Natwest Group and the opposite of fizzing.

Natwest Group (LSE:NWG)

It’s more difficult to find anything positive about Natwest than find any unbiased news source about the Russia/Ukraine mess. Thanks to the Russian broadcaster RT being banned from Europe, an attempt to reach their website produced some worrying internet activity, advising my “Browser was being checked before I could continue”. An unwritten rule of the internet is fairly simple; if something strange happens, close it down and do something else.

As this sort of thing hasn’t been happened when accessing the UK state broadcaster, the BBC, it was certainly time to move on and find something else to moan about. And along came Natwest Group as a willing candidate.

 

Just three weeks ago, we were speculating on the potentials of Natwest entering a future above 3 quid. Unfortunately, everything has gone wrong for the share price and crucially, it has now managed to close a session below 207p, the magically level where the banks price had pierced the downtrend since 2008. This sort of thing is, from our perspective, quite a big deal, thanks to a shocking admission. The Trend isn’t important, it’s how prices behave in relation to The Trend. With Natwest opting to move below the point of trend break, a distinct suggestion is being given we cannot trust the price to move in sympathy with anything which occurred before the trend break. Or in plain English, there’s no longer any certainty Natwest share price shall experience recovery.

The next trigger level is lurking at 201p. Weakness below such a level points at reversal to an initial 191p. This currently paints a picture of another “very bad thing” as it risks the share price moving below Blue on the chart, taking the price back to the clutches of a downtrend from 2008, one which will no longer have any right to be shown on any charts! At this level, things risk getting pretty nasty thanks to weakness below 191p calculating with a secondary drop potential of 157p. Visually this is quite an unhappy image, perhaps suggesting Natwest share price is about to become trapped in a trading range between 150p and 250p for some prolonged time. We can even give a third level (aka less likely) target down at 120p.

Natwest requires something of a miracle to escape this gloomy picture, a miracle which shall be considered delivered if the price somehow manages better 230p anytime soon. We’re not holding our breath.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
8:48:14PM BRENT 117.49 109.2 107.965 104.47 113.75 118.45 121 125.07 112.4
9:01:32PM GOLD 1967.54 Success
9:05:19PM FTSE 6992.44 Success
9:24:17PM FRANCE 6035.9 Success
9:30:03PM GERMANY 13120 12963 12625 12517 13167 13432 13496 13673 13322 Success
9:32:29PM US500 4299.27 Success
10:16:23PM DOW 33363 Success
10:21:02PM NASDAQ 13753 ‘cess
10:23:13PM JAPAN 25864
4/03/2022 FTSE Closed at 6987 points. Change of -3.47%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,861,498,669 a change of 14.29%
3/03/2022 FTSE Closed at 7238 points. Change of -2.57%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,753,530,217 a change of -3.98%
2/03/2022 FTSE Closed at 7429 points. Change of 1.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,074,541,610 a change of -5.31%
1/03/2022 FTSE Closed at 7330 points. Change of -1.72%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,527,347,509 a change of -15.97%
28/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7458 points. Change of -0.41%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,147,661,297 a change of 20.2%
25/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of 3.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,442,124,681 a change of -14.64%
24/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7207 points. Change of -3.88%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 9,889,574,342 a change of 64.76%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CBX Cellular Goods** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:DDDD 4D Pharma** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:FOXT Foxtons** **LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **LSE:ITV ITV** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:POG Petrop etc** **LSE:RMG Royal Mail** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:SDY Speedyhire** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **LSE:VOG VICTORIA** **LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Asos, Aviva, Avacta, Barclays, BALFOUR BEATTY, Barrett Devs, Carclo, Cellular Goods, Carnival, Capita, 4D Pharma, Diageo, Experian, EasyJet, Firstgroup, Foxtons, Hargreaves Lansdown, British Airways, IG Group, International Personal Finance, ITM Power, ITV, Lloyds Grp., Marks and Spencer, Natwest, OPG Power Ventures, Petrop etc, Royal Mail, Sainsbury, Speedyhire, The Trainline, Taylor Wimpey, VICTORIA, Zoo Digital,

LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 785.8 Percentage Change: -8.33% Day High: 855.2 Day Low: 787.6

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LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 1609.5 Percentage Change: -0.40% Day High: 1620.5 Day Low: 1545

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LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 386.8 Percentage Change: -4.64% Day High: 400.9 Day Low: 386.5

Weakness on Aviva below 386.5 will invariably lead to 347 with secondary, ……..

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LSE:AVCT Avacta. Close Mid-Price: 42 Percentage Change: + 1.45% Day High: 43 Day Low: 38.5

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LSE:BARC Barclays Close Mid-Price: 156.8 Percentage Change: -7.19% Day High: 168.16 Day Low: 156.78

Target met. Weakness on Barclays below 156.78 will invariably lead to 154 ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY Close Mid-Price: 219.4 Percentage Change: -4.61% Day High: 230.8 Day Low: 219.2

Target met. Continued weakness against BBY taking the price below 219.2 c ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs Close Mid-Price: 543.8 Percentage Change: -2.54% Day High: 559 Day Low: 537.4

Target met. Weakness on Barrett Devs below 537.4 will invariably lead to ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 22.45 Percentage Change: -8.37% Day High: 23.1 Day Low: 20.9

Target met. Continued weakness against CAR taking the price below 20.9 ca ……..

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LSE:CBX Cellular Goods Close Mid-Price: 3.3 Percentage Change: -13.16% Day High: 3.82 Day Low: 3.38

In the event Cellular Goods experiences weakness below 3.38 it calculates ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival Close Mid-Price: 1195.6 Percentage Change: -5.64% Day High: 1252 Day Low: 1180

If Carnival experiences continued weakness below 1180, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 22.34 Percentage Change: -9.52% Day High: 24.7 Day Low: 22.21

Target met. Weakness on Capita below 22.21 will invariably lead to 20 wit ……..

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LSE:DDDD 4D Pharma Close Mid-Price: 26.55 Percentage Change: -7.49% Day High: 29.1 Day Low: 26.2

If 4D Pharma experiences continued weakness below 26.2, it will invariabl ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 3509 Percentage Change: -2.53% Day High: 3583.5 Day Low: 3494

Continued weakness against DGE taking the price below 3494 calculates as ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian Close Mid-Price: 2833 Percentage Change: -2.98% Day High: 2926 Day Low: 2810

In the event Experian experiences weakness below 2810 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet Close Mid-Price: 475.3 Percentage Change: -6.95% Day High: 500 Day Low: 467.3

If EasyJet experiences continued weakness below 467.3, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup Close Mid-Price: 92 Percentage Change: -2.75% Day High: 94.75 Day Low: 91.35

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LSE:FOXT Foxtons Close Mid-Price: 32.4 Percentage Change: -5.81% Day High: 34 Day Low: 31.5

Target met. Continued weakness against FOXT taking the price below 31.5 c ……..

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LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown. Close Mid-Price: 1010.5 Percentage Change: + 1.50% Day High: 1020 Day Low: 973

Target met. In the event Hargreaves Lansdown experiences weakness below 9 ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways Close Mid-Price: 123.48 Percentage Change: -6.30% Day High: 131.32 Day Low: 123.88

If British Airways experiences continued weakness below 123.88, it will ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 722.5 Percentage Change: -1.97% Day High: 742.5 Day Low: 714

Target met. Continued weakness against IGG taking the price below 714 cal ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance Close Mid-Price: 95 Percentage Change: -12.04% Day High: 109.2 Day Low: 91.1

Target met. In the event International Personal Finance experiences weakn ……..

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LSE:ITM ITM Power. Close Mid-Price: 314.8 Percentage Change: + 3.48% Day High: 319.4 Day Low: 296.2

Weakness on ITM Power below 296.2 will invariably lead to 263 with second ……..

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LSE:ITV ITV Close Mid-Price: 75.26 Percentage Change: -6.18% Day High: 79.28 Day Low: 72.5

Target met. Continued weakness against ITV taking the price below 72.5 ca ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp. Close Mid-Price: 43.03 Percentage Change: -4.71% Day High: 45.01 Day Low: 42.63

Target met. In the event Lloyds Grp. experiences weakness below 42.63 it ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 157.3 Percentage Change: -3.38% Day High: 163.2 Day Low: 156.85

Continued weakness against MKS taking the price below 156.85 calculates a ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest Close Mid-Price: 202.5 Percentage Change: -5.73% Day High: 214.6 Day Low: 203.6

In the event Natwest experiences weakness below 203.6 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures Close Mid-Price: 6.75 Percentage Change: -11.76% Day High: 7.65 Day Low: 6.75

If OPG Power Ventures experiences continued weakness below 6.75, it will ……..

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LSE:POG Petrop etc. Close Mid-Price: 1.88 Percentage Change: + 4.44% Day High: 1.91 Day Low: 0.98

Weakness on Petrop etc below 0.98 will invariably lead to 0.5p and that’s ……..

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LSE:RMG Royal Mail Close Mid-Price: 353 Percentage Change: -2.22% Day High: 362.1 Day Low: 349

Target met. If Royal Mail experiences continued weakness below 349, it wi ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury Close Mid-Price: 248.7 Percentage Change: -1.47% Day High: 252.4 Day Low: 246.5

Target met. In the event Sainsbury experiences weakness below 246.5 it ca ……..

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LSE:SDY Speedyhire Close Mid-Price: 48.55 Percentage Change: -3.67% Day High: 50.2 Day Low: 48.3

Target met. Weakness on Speedyhire below 48.3 will invariably lead to 44 ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 164.2 Percentage Change: -6.92% Day High: 178.6 Day Low: 163.8

Target met. Continued weakness against TRN taking the price below 163.8 c ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 133.1 Percentage Change: -3.93% Day High: 140.4 Day Low: 133.6

Target met. Weakness on Taylor Wimpey below 133.6 will invariably lead to ……..

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LSE:VOG VICTORIA Close Mid-Price: 3.9 Percentage Change: -8.24% Day High: 4.1 Day Low: 3.9

In the event VICTORIA experiences weakness below 3.9 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital Close Mid-Price: 99 Percentage Change: -7.91% Day High: 107.5 Day Low: 99

Target met. Weakness on Zoo Digital below 99 will invariably lead to 96p ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Our famed FTSE for FRIDAY

#FTSE #Gold

Our doom laden outlook against Wall St appeared to strike a few chords, so we guess quite a few folk want to know how bad things could get for the FTSE too, if everything starts to go (even more) horribly wrong with the world. To judge by the number of shares needing updated daily, volatility is currently the name of the game, so perhaps it shall not prove silly to run the numbers against a Big Picture reversal risk.

There is a detail worthy of attention currently. It appears, if we pencil in a trend line since October 2020, the UK stock market has carefully adhered to this Red line, needing close today below 7,228 points to indicate the trend failing. However, if the market intends continue its game of chicken with this historic uptrend, there appears a chance today (Friday) should experience some gains.

In fact, if we opt to play safe, below 7,204 (the previous two lows) looks like singing a song of misery, capable of provoking a reversal cycle to an initial 7,095 with secondary, if broken, at 6,897 points. This secondary target is an issue, taking the FTSE marginally below the uptrend since the pandemic low of 2020 and this risks being a serious Red Flag, ensuring the UK is trading in a zone where “bottom” risks being discovered down around 6,000 points. However, it’s important to remember despite an awful week, calamity has not been triggered yet and we’re essentially just playing with numeric potentials.

As for the FTSE near term as opposed to the above Big Picture,  there’s a bit of an argument anticipating some FTSE gains. At present, the UK index needs trade above 7,280 to suggest a gap upward at the open should be treated with respect. Such a trigger level allegedly allows for gains toward an initial 7,322 points. If bettered, our secondary calculation brings 7,380 to the table. The tightest stop looks wide at 7,230 points.

Our converse reversal scenario suggests near term movement below 7,230 risks promoting reversal to an initial 7,161 points. If broken, our secondary works out at 7,107 points.

Have a good weekend. Only 2 weeks until the next Formula 1 race, sadly without the entertainment on a Russian driver this year.

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:27:02PM BRENT 110.07 109.12 107.78 112.3 119.3 120.865 113.6 ‘cess
10:28:44PM GOLD 1937.11 1921 1915 1932 1942 1951 1923
10:32:53PM FTSE 7257.08 7222 7207 7272 7275 7315 7243 Success
10:37:27PM FRANCE 6352 6309 6278 6397 6460 6482 6380 ‘cess
10:44:35PM GERMANY 13685.97 13598 13503 13735 13799 13844 13640
10:48:10PM US500 4369.95 4343 4323 4371 4424 4461 4370
10:52:40PM DOW 33832.3 33661 33604 33877 34186 34294 33870
10:55:03PM NASDAQ 14067 13960 13841 14146 14400 14544 14176 ‘cess
10:56:51PM JAPAN 26354 26273 26071 26438 26732 26925 26493

 

3/03/2022 FTSE Closed at 7238 points. Change of -2.57%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,753,530,217 a change of -3.98%
2/03/2022 FTSE Closed at 7429 points. Change of 1.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,074,541,610 a change of -5.31%
1/03/2022 FTSE Closed at 7330 points. Change of -1.72%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,527,347,509 a change of -15.97%
28/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7458 points. Change of -0.41%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,147,661,297 a change of 20.2%
25/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of 3.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,442,124,681 a change of -14.64%
24/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7207 points. Change of -3.88%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 9,889,574,342 a change of 64.76%
23/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7498 points. Change of 0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,002,308,781 a change of -10.52%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:ITV ITV** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:POG Petrop etc** **LSE:POLY Polymetal** **LSE:RMG Royal Mail** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:SDY Speedyhire** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Asos, Avacta, Barclays, Carclo, Capita, Darktrace Plc, Firstgroup, Glencore Xstra, Hargreaves Lansdown, IG Group, International Personal Finance, ITV, Marks and Spencer, OPG Power Ventures, Petrop etc, Polymetal, Royal Mail, Sainsbury, Speedyhire, The Trainline, Taylor Wimpey, Zoo Digital,

LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 857.2 Percentage Change: -8.59% Day High: 962.6 Day Low: 862

Target met. Continued weakness against AML taking the price below 862 cal ……..

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LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 1616 Percentage Change: -10.30% Day High: 1800 Day Low: 1607.5

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LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 41.4 Percentage Change: -5.91% Day High: 46 Day Low: 41.25

Continued weakness against AVCT taking the price below 41.25 calculates a ……..

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LSE:BARC Barclays Close Mid-Price: 168.94 Percentage Change: -4.53% Day High: 174.88 Day Low: 168.28

In the event Barclays experiences weakness below 168.28 it calculates wit ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 24.5 Percentage Change: -13.73% Day High: 26.1 Day Low: 24.9

Target met. Weakness on Carclo below 24.9 will invariably lead to 22p wit ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 24.69 Percentage Change: -5.87% Day High: 26.5 Day Low: 24.41

Target met. In the event Capita experiences weakness below 24.41 it calcu ……..

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LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc. Close Mid-Price: 511.5 Percentage Change: + 11.20% Day High: 553 Day Low: 504

Target met. Further movement against Darktrace Plc ABOVE 553 should impro ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup Close Mid-Price: 94.6 Percentage Change: -3.57% Day High: 98.7 Day Low: 93.5

Continued weakness against FGP taking the price below 93.5 calculates as ……..

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra. Close Mid-Price: 476.5 Percentage Change: + 5.28% Day High: 484.6 Day Low: 467.6

Target met. Continued trades against GLEN with a mid-price ABOVE 484.6 sh ……..

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LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown Close Mid-Price: 995.6 Percentage Change: -6.60% Day High: 1055.5 Day Low: 996.6

If Hargreaves Lansdown experiences continued weakness below 996.6, it wil ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 737 Percentage Change: -3.97% Day High: 772 Day Low: 741

If IG Group experiences continued weakness below 741, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance Close Mid-Price: 108 Percentage Change: -1.82% Day High: 113 Day Low: 108.6

Continued weakness against IPF taking the price below 108.6 calculates as ……..

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LSE:ITV ITV Close Mid-Price: 80.22 Percentage Change: -27.50% Day High: 104.45 Day Low: 80.92

Target met. In the event ITV experiences weakness below 80.92 it calculat ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 162.8 Percentage Change: -1.90% Day High: 168.05 Day Low: 162.55

If Marks and Spencer experiences continued weakness below 162.55, it will ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures Close Mid-Price: 7.65 Percentage Change: -3.16% Day High: 7.85 Day Low: 7.65

In the event OPG Power Ventures experiences weakness below 7.65 it calcul ……..

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LSE:POG Petrop etc Close Mid-Price: 1.8 Percentage Change: -10.00% Day High: 2.58 Day Low: 1.84

If Petrop etc experiences continued weakness below 1.84, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:POLY Polymetal Close Mid-Price: 177.6 Percentage Change: -42.13% Day High: 269.8 Day Low: 166.3

Target Met. This is really bad as the share is effectively trading in “sub ……..

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LSE:RMG Royal Mail. Close Mid-Price: 361 Percentage Change: + 0.56% Day High: 370.7 Day Low: 353.9

Target met. In the event Royal Mail experiences weakness below 353.9 it c ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury Close Mid-Price: 252.4 Percentage Change: -2.92% Day High: 258.8 Day Low: 253.3

Continued weakness against SBRY taking the price below 253.3 calculates a ……..

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LSE:SDY Speedyhire Close Mid-Price: 50.4 Percentage Change: -2.70% Day High: 52.2 Day Low: 50.8

If Speedyhire experiences continued weakness below 50.8, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 176.4 Percentage Change: -8.17% Day High: 191.3 Day Low: 172.5

Weakness on The Trainline below 172.5 will invariably lead to 164 with se ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 138.55 Percentage Change: -4.02% Day High: 149.15 Day Low: 138.55

Target met. In the event Taylor Wimpey experiences weakness below 138.55 ……..

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LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital Close Mid-Price: 107.5 Percentage Change: -3.15% Day High: 111 Day Low: 107.5

If Zoo Digital experiences continued weakness below 107.5, it will invari ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Wall St misery while Brent Crude bubbles!

#Brent #Gold

Every now and then, we gleefully jump at the chance to ridicule chart patterns, often a part of a core belief structure for some traders. In fact, if were were to create a Top 3 of things which do not work for analysis, Moving Averages is #1, Candlestick patterns is #2 with Chart Patterns tying for position at #2. To be blunt, most technical indicators are a complete waste of space unless the trader understands how to “tune” an indicator against historical price behaviour for any specified item.

Unfortunately, in most internet chatrooms, folks will enthuse about what ‘MacD’ points toward, completely unaware the default set of averages supplied for a ‘MacD’ shall be completely wrong unless, by some miracle, they’re discussing a share at the market average price, historically making completely average movements. When you pause to consider this, it should be quickly realised the average share simply doesn’t exist. However…

We’ve often a problem with Tom Bulkowski’s Head & Shoulders chart pattern, ‘cos it sometimes works. Basically the pattern breaks down into a series of emotions, especially against something turbulent.

  1. We’ve all confident, it’s going up.
  2. Okay, that’s far enough. I’m taking profit and bailing. The price drops.
  3. Hey, that share had dropped sharply. Think I’ll jump in.
  4. Look, we’ve just passed the previous high. I’m out of here. The price drops.
  5. Hey, that share had dropped sharply. Think I’ll jump in.
  6. Feels like it’s struggling to match the first high price. I’m nervous and getting out. The price drops.
  7. Look at that share. It can’t even reach the level of previous highs. I’m not touching it. The price drops further.

This trading cycle combines to produce the classic Head & Shoulder pattern and when you combine the emotions with the roller coaster, everything starts to make a grudging sense. Unfortunately, when looking at Wall St currently, the index is setting itself up for a bit of a Head & Shoulders moment and we worry about how far the dandruff risks dropping. Our own take on the situation was given in January (link here) when we supplied criteria for reversal from 34,525 to 32,624 points, a drop of 1,901 points. This movement completed at the end of February and crucially, the index failed to close the session below our target level. As a result – from our perspective – the final nail remains absent from the Head & Shoulders coffin which is lurking against the DOW JONES.

The immediate situation (Wall St trading around 33,880 at time of writing) demands the index weaken below 33,090 to enter a cycle which threatens reversal to an initial 31,026 points. Our secondary is relatively close by, lurking at 30,453 and creating a suggestion of a bounce, should such a level appear. Even visually, this would make some sense. To cancel our gloomy outlook, Wall St requires trade above 34,885 points currently.

Finally, something quite curious occurred the day the market hit and broke our 32,624 target level. We’ve shown it on the chart inset but basically, the only reason our target level broke was thanks to Wall Street being “gapped down” at the open on the 24th February. Go figure!

As for Brent Crude, we’ll keep it short and sharp, thanks to the inspired essay above!

The oil market has been showing some impressive high prices and it appears they are close to running out of steam. For Brent Crude, now above $114.80 looks capable of attempting an initial $118.4 next. Should this level be exceeded, our secondary calculation works out at $129.1 and we expect some volatility at such a level. To be blunt, it seems now isn’t the time to rush and open a short as there’s the potential of further growth for the black stuff. Personally, I’m growing to hate folk with electric cars, thanks to the litre price at our local garage of 153p!

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:45:58PM BRENT 113.95 106.9 105.6 102.5 110.8 114.8 117.1 120.5 108.7 Success
9:48:19PM GOLD 1925.52 1910 1896 1878 1935 1948 1955 1969 1928
9:50:47PM FTSE 7411.02 7400 Success
9:55:44PM FRANCE 6490 6449
9:57:54PM GERMANY 13988 13900 Shambles
10:03:29PM US500 4378 4308 Success
10:07:17PM DOW 33835 33620 Success
10:13:45PM NASDAQ 14195 14093
10:17:39PM JAPAN 26659 26475 ‘cess

 

2/03/2022 FTSE Closed at 7429 points. Change of 1.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,074,541,610 a change of -5.31%
1/03/2022 FTSE Closed at 7330 points. Change of -1.72%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,527,347,509 a change of -15.97%
28/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7458 points. Change of -0.41%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,147,661,297 a change of 20.2%
25/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of 3.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,442,124,681 a change of -14.64%
24/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7207 points. Change of -3.88%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 9,889,574,342 a change of 64.76%
23/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7498 points. Change of 0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,002,308,781 a change of -10.52%
22/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7494 points. Change of 0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,707,697,679 a change of 29%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:POG Petrop etc** **LSE:POLY Polymetal** **LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC** **LSE:RMG Royal Mail** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital** **

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Updated charts published on : Barclays, Carclo, Centamin, Capita, Darktrace Plc, Experian, Firstgroup, Glencore Xstra, British Airways, Lloyds Grp., Marks and Spencer, Natwest, OPG Power Ventures, Petrop etc, Polymetal, Reabold Resources PLC, Royal Mail, Rolls Royce, Sainsbury, The Trainline, Zoo Digital,

LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 176.96 Percentage Change: + 2.16% Day High: 178.56 Day Low: 170.1

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 28.4 Percentage Change: -5.02% Day High: 29 Day Low: 27

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LSE:CEY Centamin Close Mid-Price: 103.65 Percentage Change: -0.19% Day High: 108.3 Day Low: 103.85

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 26.23 Percentage Change: -0.68% Day High: 27.25 Day Low: 25.87

Target Met. Movement now below 25.75 threatens reversal to an initial 24 a ……..

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LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc. Close Mid-Price: 460 Percentage Change: + 0.22% Day High: 492.8 Day Low: 456.6

Above 493 still should promote recovery to an initial 517 with secondary, ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 2983 Percentage Change: + 2.58% Day High: 3012 Day Low: 2883

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 98.1 Percentage Change: + 0.72% Day High: 101 Day Low: 95.25

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra. Close Mid-Price: 452.6 Percentage Change: + 1.72% Day High: 459.15 Day Low: 449.6

Now above 459.2 should still signal 461 as the next major point of intere ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 141.78 Percentage Change: + 4.19% Day High: 142.22 Day Low: 131.26

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.. Close Mid-Price: 46.08 Percentage Change: + 0.64% Day High: 46.58 Day Low: 45.26

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 165.95 Percentage Change: -2.35% Day High: 170.6 Day Low: 163.05

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 220 Percentage Change: + 1.62% Day High: 220.8 Day Low: 213.5

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures Close Mid-Price: 7.9 Percentage Change: -9.71% Day High: 8.75 Day Low: 7.75

Target Met. This is exceptionally bad as below 7.75 now calculates with th ……..

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LSE:POG Petrop etc Close Mid-Price: 2 Percentage Change: -59.76% Day High: 5.66 Day Low: 2.2

The situation now is of movement below 2p threatening 0.5p and that’s it. ……..

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LSE:POLY Polymetal. Close Mid-Price: 306.9 Percentage Change: + 18.54% Day High: 319.9 Day Low: 234.2

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LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC. Close Mid-Price: 0.38 Percentage Change: + 14.93% Day High: 0.4 Day Low: 0.34

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LSE:RMG Royal Mail Close Mid-Price: 359 Percentage Change: -7.43% Day High: 383.7 Day Low: 356

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 98.23 Percentage Change: + 6.77% Day High: 98.61 Day Low: 87.02

Target Met. Thankfully it did not close the day below our secondary! Near ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury Close Mid-Price: 260 Percentage Change: -2.40% Day High: 270.6 Day Low: 258.7

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LSE:TRN The Trainline. Close Mid-Price: 192.1 Percentage Change: + 4.23% Day High: 196.1 Day Low: 180.3

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LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital Close Mid-Price: 111 Percentage Change: -5.53% Day High: 117.5 Day Low: 111

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Is British American Tobacco Plc lighting up?

#FTSE #Japan

It was to prove a worthwhile exercise, glancing at how major markets are performing this year. Germany is down 15%, Wall St down 13%, France down 12%, the S&P down 15% and the usually dreadful UK market has relaxed from its 2022 high by just 6.5%! As a result, we opted to review another British success story, British American Tobacco…

Sticking with the FTSE for a minute, all the other markets had previously strongly exceeded their Covid-19 high, essentially placing themselves at risk of some reversals should a suitable excuse be discovered. On the other hand, the FTSE only flirted briefly with its prior high levels and it still in a “recovery” zone, whereas other markets were in a “growth” zone. We suspect this is reflected in the FTSE only attaining half the rate of damage to other markets. It’s a strange phenomena, one which we witness all the time with shares, where items which go up fast come down even faster. However, we’re still not ready to start running in circles, declaring “the sky is falling”.

 

We reviewed LSE:BATS last August, giving an upper target at 3434p and the share cheerfully delivered the target, even managing to close very slightly higher at 3439p. This creates a new situation, where the largest cigarette company in the world can now present a new growth scenario. Next above 3459p should enter a cycle toward an initial 3746p next. If exceeded, our longer term secondary comes in at 4188p. It’s always a bit of a puzzle just who is buying cigarettes and even, where can they buy them?

Our local town here in Argyll boasted a tobacconist on the high street. It was a properly old fashioned shop, also carrying a bewildering range of pipe tobacco and of course, some really vulgar pipes. The place became an early victim of Lockdown, announcing the store wasn’t going to reopen. But as to the question of just who is buying tobacco products, it’s easy to suspect many folk do. But as someone who stopped smoking, mingling in the semi-enclosed bicycle sheds placed discretely outside offices everywhere has become a thing of the past. Given LON.BATS share price, it’s pretty certain the company still have a strong market for their output.

 

If things intend go wrong for BATS.L, the price needs fall below 3200p as this risks provoking reversal to 2987p. If broken, our secondary calculation comes along at 2728p, hopefully a level with an excuse for a solid rebound.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:44:27PM BRENT 107.26 Success
10:47:19PM GOLD 1945.73 Success
10:50:36PM FTSE 7319.11 7269 7255 7192 7342 7338 7358 7388 7297 ‘cess
10:55:25PM FRANCE 6337 Success
10:58:39PM GERMANY 13854.76 Success
11:02:10PM US500 4312.69 Shambles
11:05:07PM DOW 33368 ‘cess
11:06:57PM NASDAQ 14026
11:09:20PM JAPAN 26434 26316 26210 25943 26523 26568 26634 26742 26422
1/03/2022 FTSE Closed at 7330 points. Change of -1.72%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,527,347,509 a change of -15.97%
28/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7458 points. Change of -0.41%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,147,661,297 a change of 20.2%
25/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of 3.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,442,124,681 a change of -14.64%
24/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7207 points. Change of -3.88%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 9,889,574,342 a change of 64.76%
23/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7498 points. Change of 0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,002,308,781 a change of -10.52%
22/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7494 points. Change of 0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,707,697,679 a change of 29%
21/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7484 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,199,890,341 a change of -19.05%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc** **LSE:FOXT Foxtons** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IGAS Igas Energy** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:IQE IQE** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:POG Petrop etc** **LSE:POLY Polymetal** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **

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Updated charts published on : Barclays, Capita, Darktrace Plc, Foxtons, Glencore Xstra, British Airways, Igas Energy, International Personal Finance, IQE, National Glib, Petrop etc, Polymetal, Rolls Royce, Scancell, The Trainline,

LSE:BARC Barclays Close Mid-Price: 173.22 Percentage Change: -5.28% Day High: 185.18 Day Low: 173.04

Ongoing trouble below 173 still points at the potential of reversal to an ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 26.41 Percentage Change: -5.68% Day High: 29.3 Day Low: 26.23

Continued weakness against CPI taking the price below 26.2 still calculate ……..

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LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc. Close Mid-Price: 459 Percentage Change: + 3.75% Day High: 462.8 Day Low: 444.4

This has gotten mildly interesting as above 463 now should promote recover ……..

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LSE:FOXT Foxtons Close Mid-Price: 34.65 Percentage Change: -0.72% Day High: 35.2 Day Low: 33.9

Weakness on Foxtons below 33.9 will invariably lead to 32.5 with secondary ……..

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra. Close Mid-Price: 444.95 Percentage Change: + 0.63% Day High: 451.55 Day Low: 434.8

Target Met. Wonder where that came from! Now above 452 should signal 461 a ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways Close Mid-Price: 136.08 Percentage Change: -8.40% Day High: 154.8 Day Low: 137.32

Airlines must be considering sacrificing stewardesses into a volcano in Ic ……..

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LSE:IGAS Igas Energy Close Mid-Price: 21.75 Percentage Change: -2.68% Day High: 23.3 Day Low: 21.5

All Igas Energy needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 23.3 to improve accelerat ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 112.8 Percentage Change: + 0.71% Day High: 113.8 Day Low: 110.6

Weakness on International Personal Finance below 110 will invariably lead ……..

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LSE:IQE IQE Close Mid-Price: 40.5 Percentage Change: -4.37% Day High: 43.5 Day Low: 39.95

Target Met. Now above 44 hints at 49p next with secondary, if bettered, a ……..

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LSE:ITM ITM Power Close Mid-Price: 318.6 Percentage Change: -4.09% Day High: 374.8 Day Low: 302

Target Met. But it was a truly crazy day and now, it requires above 350p t ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1138.2 Percentage Change: + 0.65% Day High: 1147.4 Day Low: 1120.6

Target Met. National Grid is starting to look quite useful as above 1148 n ……..

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LSE:POG Petrop etc Close Mid-Price: 4.97 Percentage Change: -37.88% Day High: 8.25 Day Low: 4

Target Met. Serves them right for having a Russian name… Must be guilty! ……..

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LSE:POLY Polymetal Close Mid-Price: 258.9 Percentage Change: -26.28% Day High: 371.3 Day Low: 250

In the event Polymetal experiences weakness below 250 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 92 Percentage Change: -11.11% Day High: 104.94 Day Low: 92.36

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LSE:SCLP Scancell. Close Mid-Price: 12.25 Percentage Change: + 1.66% Day High: 12.25 Day Low: 11.75

If Scancell experiences continued weakness below 11.75, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 184.3 Percentage Change: -9.48% Day High: 203 Day Low: 183.5

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Airbus SE and flight or fright.

#Gold #SP500

Mr Putin must surely be due a Nobel Prize for Medicine. To judge by media reporting, in the space of just 24 hours, he eradicated Covid-19 as an issue in Europe. Normality, while a bit tongue in cheek, has returned faster than expected. In our weekly trawl of European shares starting to look interesting, Airbus has popped up, maybe thanks to an issue last year.

Our prior report on Airbus last October proposed reversals to an initial 97€ with secondary at 85€. In November 2021, the price reversed to 95 but crucially, did not close a single session below 98 euro and this perhaps indicates some strength. Certainly, in the period since, the price successfully bounced up from the 97 level to 120€ and is presently trading around 115€.

The immediate situation is fairly interesting, suggesting movements exceeding 117 should next promote a change in altitude to an initial 125€, a fairly significant number as it’s a “higher high”. Our longer term secondary ambition calculates at 140€, suspiciously exactly matching the share price highs before the pandemic hit the fan.

Should Airbus plan any form of emergency descent, the share price currently needs trade below 105€ as this works out with the potential of reversal to an initial 95 with secondary, if broken, a less likely trip down to 76€ and hopefully a bounce. For now, we suspect they shall prove worth keeping an eye on as price recovery looks increasingly likely.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:03:58PM BRENT 98.08
10:05:34PM GOLD 1910.24 1890 1875 1857 1903 1919 1923 1928 1906
10:07:33PM FTSE 7393.15
10:09:41PM FRANCE 6563.7
10:12:06PM GERMANY 14290
10:31:43PM US500 4373 4304 4276 4239 4359 4388 4408 4429 4351
10:33:51PM DOW 33872
10:35:56PM NASDAQ 14223 Shambles
10:37:48PM JAPAN 26624

 

28/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7458 points. Change of -0.41%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,147,661,297 a change of 20.2%
25/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of 3.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,442,124,681 a change of -14.64%
24/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7207 points. Change of -3.88%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 9,889,574,342 a change of 64.76%
23/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7498 points. Change of 0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,002,308,781 a change of -10.52%
22/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7494 points. Change of 0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,707,697,679 a change of 29%
21/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7484 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,199,890,341 a change of -19.05%
18/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7513 points. Change of -0.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,423,213,414 a change of 12%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:IGAS Igas Energy** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:ODX Omega Diags** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments** **LSE:POG Petrop etc** **LSE:POLY Polymetal** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **

********

Updated charts published on : Glencore Xstra, Igas Energy, International Personal Finance, National Glib, Omega Diags, OPG Power Ventures, Oxford Instruments, Petrop etc, Polymetal, Tern Plc,

LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra. Close Mid-Price: 442.15 Percentage Change: + 0.68% Day High: 446.85 Day Low: 436.35

Further movement against Glencore Xstra ABOVE 446.85 should improve accel ……..

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LSE:IGAS Igas Energy. Close Mid-Price: 22.35 Percentage Change: + 19.20% Day High: 22.5 Day Low: 19

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance Close Mid-Price: 112 Percentage Change: -6.20% Day High: 124 Day Low: 111

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LSE:ITM ITM Power. Close Mid-Price: 332.2 Percentage Change: + 19.84% Day High: 349.2 Day Low: 273

Target met. All ITM Power needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 349.2 to impro ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1130.8 Percentage Change: + 2.74% Day High: 1132 Day Low: 1097

Target met. Further movement against National Glib ABOVE 1132 should impr ……..

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LSE:ODX Omega Diags Close Mid-Price: 4.62 Percentage Change: -0.54% Day High: 4.65 Day Low: 4.42

Continued weakness against ODX taking the price below 4.42 calculates as ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures Close Mid-Price: 8.75 Percentage Change: -5.41% Day High: 9.25 Day Low: 8.75

Weakness on OPG Power Ventures below 8.75 will invariably lead to 8.5 wit ……..

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LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments. Close Mid-Price: 2665 Percentage Change: + 31.93% Day High: 2770 Day Low: 2000

All Oxford Instruments needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 2770 to improve a ……..

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LSE:POG Petrop etc Close Mid-Price: 8 Percentage Change: -15.70% Day High: 8.88 Day Low: 6.92

Target met. Weakness on Petrop etc below 6.92 will invariably lead to 5.6 ……..

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LSE:POLY Polymetal Close Mid-Price: 351.2 Percentage Change: -56.01% Day High: 563.6 Day Low: 290

Target met. In the event Polymetal experiences weakness below 290 it calc ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc. Close Mid-Price: 10.75 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 11 Day Low: 9.75

If Tern Plc experiences continued weakness below 9.75, it will invariably ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Lloyds Banking Group, a warning shot?

#Brent #DAX Thursday and Friday of last week surely deserve an award, if only for some of the most blatant manipulation of the FTSE. Somehow, in an impossible session, the FTSE for Friday achieved a day high of 7497.94 points, just 24/100ths below the previous day high. It essentially suggested all the Russia panic was as real as many TV clips were at the start of the Covid-19 panic, the ones showing bodies lying in the streets in China or a military convoy full of coffins from a village in Italy.

Despite the truth eventually emerging regarding fake footage (scenes from a Zombie movie and misrepresented video of a NATO convoy from 2015), once again we’re being bombarded with dubious reports and given the FTSE’s behaviour over the two sessions, it certainly feels like the markets don’t believe a true picture has emerged for whatever is going on. But the behaviour of the markets, along with ludicrous moves in the price of Gold collectively left a very bad smell, due to the almost indecent haste with which Thursdays movements were corrected on Friday. It almost felt like grown ups had returned to the controls, undoing whatever the heck happened on Thursday.

 

Alas, not all of the damage was fixed with Lloyds share price finding itself, suddenly, in a questionable position. The share price was manipulated downward from 52.2p to 48p at the open on Thursday, yet only managed to close the session at 49.68p on Friday. Had FTSE movements been representative of the bank, the share price should ideally have closed Friday at around 52.1p, obviously failing to do so. This has created a situation where we must regard Thursdays movements as a potential (pardon the pun) warning shot for the future, now suggesting future weakness on Lloyds share price below 46p risks provoking reversal to an initial 42.5p with secondary, if broken, down at 32.7p. The market certainly recovered the price above the immediate Red uptrend but should Lloyds manage below last Thursdays bottom, this is the sort of early warning which should really merit close attention.

If there’s to be any meaningful effort to recover Lloyds share price, the first signal should come with near term strength exceeding just 50.25p. Apparently, a movement such as this should trigger recovery to an initial 53.3p with our secondary, if bettered, calculating at a more useful 58.7p. To be honest, we shall not be surprised for the price to experience such levels of recovery, carefully avoiding breaking the Blue downtrend on the chart. And if something happens which genuinely justifies an bout of nerves, such as last week, everything could reverse fairly sharply to an eventual 32.7p.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
3:28:18PM BRENT 94.81 93.02 90.49 86.46 95.52 96.21 96.77 98.02 94.21
3:42:01PM GOLD 1890.87 ‘cess
9:43:36PM FTSE 7554 Success
10:20:55PM FRANCE 6748.9 Success
10:23:40PM GERMANY 14668 14378 14277 14146 14531 14670 14808 14953 14489 Success
10:27:05PM US500 4368.77 Success
10:30:54PM DOW 33967 Success
10:33:09PM NASDAQ 14114
10:35:16PM JAPAN 26974
25/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of 3.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,442,124,681 a change of -14.64%
24/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7207 points. Change of -3.88%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 9,889,574,342 a change of 64.76%
23/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7498 points. Change of 0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,002,308,781 a change of -10.52%
22/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7494 points. Change of 0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,707,697,679 a change of 29%
21/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7484 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,199,890,341 a change of -19.05%
18/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7513 points. Change of -0.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,423,213,414 a change of 12%
17/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7537 points. Change of -0.87%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,734,831,803 a change of -14.78%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:ODX Omega Diags** **LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC** **

********

Updated charts published on : Glencore Xstra, IG Group, International Personal Finance, Omega Diags, Reabold Resources PLC,

LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra. Close Mid-Price: 439.15 Percentage Change: + 4.00% Day High: 442.75 Day Low: 421.2

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 770.5 Percentage Change: + 2.26% Day High: 773 Day Low: 746

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance Close Mid-Price: 119.4 Percentage Change: -2.45% Day High: 123 Day Low: 116.2

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LSE:ODX Omega Diags Close Mid-Price: 4.65 Percentage Change: -4.62% Day High: 4.88 Day Low: 4.53

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LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC. Close Mid-Price: 0.38 Percentage Change: + 8.70% Day High: 0.39 Day Low: 0.34

Target met. In the event of Reabold Resources PLC enjoying further trades ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Our FTSE for FRIDAY, popular in Russia…

 #FTSE #Gold Days like Thursday make it easy to question just what the heck were we thinking, buying a house just a couple of miles away from NATO’s nuclear weapon store and the Coulport nuclear base. The big solid mountains across the water are generally thought to sound hollow, if knocked! Usually the place is ignored, aside from the inevitable pretty backdrop when walking the dogs.

But with the media determined to move on from the misery of Covid-19 scare stories, now specialising in Russia scare stories, it’s inevitable some consideration is given to our local big fireworks storage unit.

The FTSE is showing signs of paying attention to the newest mess in the world. We’d been hoping the Russia/Ukraine crisis was posturing designed to keep the price of gas and oil high during the winter months as this would directly benefit Russia. However, everything changed on Thursday and now we’ve got to face the reality of the UK index behaving in similar fashion to events pre-pandemic in 2020. The immediate scenario for the FTSE is pretty straightforward as weakness continuing below 7175 points looks capable of plotting reversal to an initial 7056 points. If broken, our secondary calculation comes along at 6897 points and hopefully a bounce. The FTSE 100 needs above 7320 to cancel these drop potentials.

The problem at the secondary level is the implied challenge from the Red uptrend since 2020’s pandemic plunge. Closure below this trend line carries the implication of recovery from March 2020 failing, instead opening the market up to all sorts of unpleasantness. Just for light relief, we ran some calculations against the risks of closure below 6897 and the numbers proved quite scary, essentially a series of domino falls with a hopeful final destination at 5142 points. Thankfully, this is just speculation but, like most folk, we were horrified at the near 300 point fall on Thursday.

If we’re to experience surprise recovery, the index requires exceed 7293 to give slight hope, calculating with an initial ambition at 7348 points. Our secondary is less certain, working out at 7435 and suggesting the force of reversals has been a little mistake.

 

Have a good weekend and remember, just 3 weeks until the Formula 1 season commences.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:09:51PM BRENT 95.94 94.49 92.22 96.28 98.92 101.51 96.61 Success
10:14:34PM GOLD 1897.85 1890 1882 1903 1904 1916 1890 Success
10:17:51PM FTSE 7275 7175 7153 7241 7305 7346 7254 “”
10:23:20PM FRANCE 6594.4 6426 6349 6518 6624 6653 6511 “”
10:26:45PM GERMANY 14286 13800 13775.5 13998 14361 14442 14066 “”
10:54:27PM US500 4278 4107 4057 4324 4293 4317 4243 “”
10:57:10PM DOW 33133.2 32467 32141 32735 33268 33462 32868 “”
10:59:08PM NASDAQ 13922.57 13411 13342 13607 13990 14277 13723 “”
11:01:29PM JAPAN 26267 25542 25255 25832 26309 26653 26091 “”
24/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7207 points. Change of -3.88%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 9,889,574,342 a change of 64.76%
23/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7498 points. Change of 0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,002,308,781 a change of -10.52%
22/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7494 points. Change of 0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,707,697,679 a change of 29%
21/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7484 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,199,890,341 a change of -19.05%
18/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7513 points. Change of -0.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,423,213,414 a change of 12%
17/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7537 points. Change of -0.87%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,734,831,803 a change of -14.78%
16/02/2022 FTSE Closed at 7603 points. Change of -0.07%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,729,531,357 a change of 15.27%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:DDDD 4D Pharma** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G** **LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:FOXT Foxtons** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:ODX Omega Diags** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:POG Petrop etc** **LSE:POLY Polymetal** **LSE:PPC President Energy** **LSE:QFI Quadrise** **LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC** **LSE:RMG Royal Mail** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:SDY Speedyhire** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:SRP Serco** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

********

Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Aston Martin, Asos, BALFOUR BEATTY, Barrett Devs, Capita, 4D Pharma, Diageo, ECO (Atlantic) O & G, MAN, Foxtons, Fresnillo, Hikma, IG Group, ITM Power, Lloyds Grp., Marks and Spencer, Omega Diags, OPG Power Ventures, Petrop etc, Polymetal, President Energy, Quadrise, Reabold Resources PLC, Royal Mail, Rolls Royce, Sainsbury, Scancell, Speedyhire, Spirax, Serco, Tern Plc, The Trainline, Taylor Wimpey,

LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 30.65 Percentage Change: -1.92% Day High: 31.15 Day Low: 27.7

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LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 960.8 Percentage Change: -4.16% Day High: 978.4 Day Low: 897.8

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LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 1876.5 Percentage Change: -2.32% Day High: 1904 Day Low: 1787

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY Close Mid-Price: 231.2 Percentage Change: -2.45% Day High: 237 Day Low: 229.4

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs Close Mid-Price: 558 Percentage Change: -4.52% Day High: 573.2 Day Low: 552.6

Target met. In the event Barrett Devs experiences weakness below 552.6 i ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 27.17 Percentage Change: -4.47% Day High: 28 Day Low: 26.85

Target met. Continued weakness against CPI taking the price below 26.85 c ……..

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LSE:DDDD 4D Pharma Close Mid-Price: 28.3 Percentage Change: -6.91% Day High: 29.45 Day Low: 27.35

Target met. In the event 4D Pharma experiences weakness below 27.35 it ca ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 3525 Percentage Change: -4.21% Day High: 3587 Day Low: 3510

Target met. If Diageo experiences continued weakness below 3510, it will ……..

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LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G. Close Mid-Price: 36.25 Percentage Change: + 4.77% Day High: 37.75 Day Low: 35.25

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LSE:EMG MAN Close Mid-Price: 178.85 Percentage Change: -5.52% Day High: 187.1 Day Low: 179

Target met. If MAN experiences continued weakness below 179, it will inva ……..

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LSE:FOXT Foxtons Close Mid-Price: 34.05 Percentage Change: -8.47% Day High: 35.5 Day Low: 34

Target met. Weakness on Foxtons below 34 will invariably lead to 32.5 wit ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 715.8 Percentage Change: + 4.01% Day High: 763 Day Low: 697

Target met. Further movement against Fresnillo ABOVE 763 should improve a ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma Close Mid-Price: 1833.5 Percentage Change: -8.92% Day High: 1940 Day Low: 1813

Weakness on Hikma below 1813 will invariably lead to 1787 with secondary ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 753.5 Percentage Change: -2.52% Day High: 774 Day Low: 754.5

In the event IG Group experiences weakness below 754.5 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:ITM ITM Power. Close Mid-Price: 257.8 Percentage Change: + 9.14% Day High: 260 Day Low: 210

If ITM Power experiences continued weakness below 210, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp. Close Mid-Price: 46.55 Percentage Change: -10.83% Day High: 49.5 Day Low: 46

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 172.55 Percentage Change: -0.40% Day High: 173 Day Low: 166

Weakness on Marks and Spencer below 166 will invariably lead to 154 with ……..

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LSE:ODX Omega Diags Close Mid-Price: 4.88 Percentage Change: -1.02% Day High: 4.9 Day Low: 4.65

Weakness on Omega Diags below 4.65 will invariably lead to 3.73 with seco ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures Close Mid-Price: 9.1 Percentage Change: -6.67% Day High: 10 Day Low: 9.1

Target met. Continued weakness against OPG taking the price below 9.1 cal ……..

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LSE:POG Petrop etc Close Mid-Price: 10 Percentage Change: -27.01% Day High: 14.03 Day Low: 9.24

If Petrop etc experiences continued weakness below 9.24, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:POLY Polymetal Close Mid-Price: 682.4 Percentage Change: -37.82% Day High: 1046 Day Low: 504.2

Target met. Weakness on Polymetal below 504.2 will invariably lead to 501 ……..

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LSE:PPC President Energy Close Mid-Price: 1.46 Percentage Change: -5.81% Day High: 1.55 Day Low: 1.43

Target met. Weakness on President Energy below 1.43 will invariably lead ……..

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LSE:QFI Quadrise Close Mid-Price: 1.52 Percentage Change: -6.30% Day High: 1.58 Day Low: 1.45

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LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC. Close Mid-Price: 0.34 Percentage Change: + 18.97% Day High: 0.34 Day Low: 0.28

Target met. Further movement against Reabold Resources PLC ABOVE 0.34 sho ……..

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LSE:RMG Royal Mail Close Mid-Price: 370.9 Percentage Change: -4.90% Day High: 382.6 Day Low: 367.9

Target met. Continued weakness against RMG taking the price below 367.9 c ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 102.38 Percentage Change: -13.02% Day High: 107.58 Day Low: 95.07

Target met. In the event Rolls Royce experiences weakness below 95.07 it ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury Close Mid-Price: 266 Percentage Change: -1.48% Day High: 271.2 Day Low: 264.6

Target met. Weakness on Sainsbury below 264.6 will invariably lead to 259 ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell Close Mid-Price: 12 Percentage Change: -8.40% Day High: 13.05 Day Low: 12.12

Target met. If Scancell experiences continued weakness below 12.12, it wi ……..

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LSE:SDY Speedyhire Close Mid-Price: 51.7 Percentage Change: -2.82% Day High: 53 Day Low: 51.5

Target met. In the event Speedyhire experiences weakness below 51.5 it ca ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 11380 Percentage Change: -0.18% Day High: 11400 Day Low: 10880

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LSE:SRP Serco Close Mid-Price: 121.9 Percentage Change: -3.25% Day High: 129.1 Day Low: 121.1

Weakness on Serco below 121.1 will invariably lead to 119 with secondary, ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc Close Mid-Price: 10.25 Percentage Change: -10.87% Day High: 11 Day Low: 10.25

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 199.3 Percentage Change: -2.69% Day High: 201.4 Day Low: 189.1

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 141 Percentage Change: -5.02% Day High: 146.35 Day Low: 140.9

If Taylor Wimpey experiences continued weakness below 140.9, it will inva ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.