Trends And Targets

#FTSE #Nasdaq We reviewed #Tullow just a few weeks ago on 29th January, giving an argument for our speculation the share could bottom at 13p.  On March 11th, the share price closed the session at 13.03p, hopefully close enough to our target to justify an “attaboy” award. Of course, such a thing only becomes of special interest, if a share price experiences a solid bounce otherwise it risks remaining as an anomaly. Thankfully, there appears a reasonable chance Tullow are exhibiting the other half of our deal with the gods of statistical mathematics!

When we previously did our magic on Tullow, we didn’t bother giving rebound figures from our 13p bottom, essentially because we didn’t expect it to make an appearance. However, we cannot ignore the 13.5% rise experienced on the 26th March, the share price roaming into uncharted territory above the immediate downtrend. One curious detail we don’t understand, the immediate downtrend since December last year rather exactly parallels the 10 year downtrend since 2015, a truly odd coincidence which we shall doubtless waste a few days trying to comprehend. At first glance, it was easy to assume the share price had been allocated a “rate of decline” and now, we can hope this state of affairs shall be corrected. While conceding our interest in numbers can lead us down countless routes to dead ends, it will certainly be interesting trying to figure out if Tullow Oil experience a “rate of gain” in the weeks ahead!

From a near term perspective, above 17.6p should allegedly trigger price recovery to an initial 19.3p with our secondary, if bettered, a longer term 22.8p. Closure above this secondary target should become useful from a Big Picture perspective, triggering a recovery cycle to an eventual 40p which makes a lot of visual sense.

Hopefully it is the case where Tullow shall finally become useful again.

Oh, below 13p now gives a ridiculous “final” target of just above 4p!

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:28:35PM	BRENT	7254.9
9:30:26PM	GOLD	3019.4
9:45:49PM	FTSE	8675.5	8613	8599	8559	8672	8719	8739	8781	8678
11:00:40PM	STOX50	5477.1									Shambles
11:17:51PM	GERMANY	23138									‘cess
11:22:48PM	US500	5781.9
11:29:08PM	DOW	42602
11:32:25PM	NASDAQ	20316.5	20095	19986	19870	20208	20335	20355	20752	20200
11:35:00PM	JAPAN	38066

 

26/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8689 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,309,245,116 a change of -37.66%

25/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8663 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,516,934,652 a change of 81.47%

24/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8638 points. Change of -0.09%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,693,303,680 a change of -72.9%

21/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8646 points. Change of -0.64%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 17,319,068,122 a change of 126.14%

20/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8702 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,658,434,671 a change of 23.47%

19/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8706 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,202,916,969 a change of 4.34%

18/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8705 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,945,136,476 a change of 0.41%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:FOXT Foxtons** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : BP PLC, Diageo, Foxtons, Rockhopper, Tullow,

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 447 Percentage Change: + 1.15% Day High: 450.1 Day Low: 442.85

There’s something a bit weird going on with BP as it should be heading upw ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo. Close Mid-Price: 2035.5 Percentage Change: + 0.47% Day High: 2046.5 Day Low: 2012

If Diageo experiences continued weakness below 2012, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:FOXT Foxtons. Close Mid-Price: 63 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 63.4 Day Low: 62.8

This appears worth watching anytime soon as above 67 risks triggering reco ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 45 Percentage Change: + 5.63% Day High: 45.5 Day Low: 42

Target met. All Rockhopper needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 45.5 to impro ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 17.11 Percentage Change: + 13.54% Day High: 17.52 Day Low: 15.03

Target met. In the event of Tullow enjoying further trades beyond 17.52, ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Stoxx #Dax  When we reviewed JD Sports last June, we issued the kiss of death to the share price, giving a final paragraph as shown below. It was a throwaway sentence “just” to cover ourselves as our article had been quite positive, pointing at a potential scenario toward 232p! Needless to say, the criteria for price growth triggered, matched our initial target level of 161p, then the price fell off a cliff, eventually triggering our drop scenario.

It was, be any standards, messier than a fat blokes t-shirt, after spending an hour in a gym regretting his diet choices…

 

It’s now the case where JD share price has actually broken below our 82p drop target, a price level which looked smugly accurate back in January of this year. We’re now pondering whether the recent tumble to the 71p level shall prove capable of creating a realistic bottom, a price level capable of generating a bounce. Visually, we’d hope so but there is now a very real risk of below 71p promoting another drift down to an initial 64p with secondary, if broken, at 58p and hopefully an end to this drop madness. We now have a serious issue at the 58p level, due to us being currently unable to calculate sensible targets further down without prefacing our results with minus signs. The circled gap in price movements tends throw a massive spanner in the works, when mapping price reversals.

On the basis some optimism can be generated, if we use a positive final paragraph, it seems above just 83p should prove capable of triggering a surge to an initial 95p with our secondary, if bettered, at an eventual 104p and visually, some hesitation. We shall certainly be interested if the market starts to Gap the share price upward for any reason as we’ve an expectation this shall provoke a cycle of gains. If it happens?

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:28:35PM	BRENT	7254.9
9:30:26PM	GOLD	3019.4
9:45:49PM	FTSE	8675.5
11:00:40PM	STOX50	5477.1	5396	5387	5350	5406	5499	5507	5544	5472	Shambles
11:17:51PM	GERMANY	23138	22838	22704	22543	23020	23183	23210	23374	23077	‘cess
11:22:48PM	US500	5781.9
11:29:08PM	DOW	42602
11:32:25PM	NASDAQ	20316.5
11:35:00PM	JAPAN	38066

 

25/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8663 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,516,934,652 a change of 81.47%

24/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8638 points. Change of -0.09%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,693,303,680 a change of -72.9%

21/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8646 points. Change of -0.64%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 17,319,068,122 a change of 126.14%

20/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8702 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,658,434,671 a change of 23.47%

19/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8706 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,202,916,969 a change of 4.34%

18/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8705 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,945,136,476 a change of 0.41%

17/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8680 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,920,651,803 a change of 10.88%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, BALFOUR BEATTY, British Telecom, Diageo, Gulf Keystone,

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LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 5.6 Percentage Change: -13.85% Day High: 6.5 Day Low: 5

Target met. Continued weakness against AFC taking the price below 5 calcu ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 456 Percentage Change: + 0.75% Day High: 461.2 Day Low: 452

Continued trades against BBY with a mid-price ABOVE 476 to improve accele ……..

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom Close Mid-Price: 163.35 Percentage Change: -0.43% Day High: 165.5 Day Low: 162.5

All British Telecom needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 165.5 to improve acc ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 2026 Percentage Change: -1.24% Day High: 2065.5 Day Low: 2028

In the event Diageo experiences weakness below 2028 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 205.4 Percentage Change: + 1.28% Day High: 209.8 Day Low: 204.4

Continued trades against GKP with a mid-price ABOVE 209.8 should improve ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 15.07 Percentage Change: + 7.64% Day High: 15.1 Day Low: 13.26

Further movement against Tullow ABOVE 15.47 should improve acceleration t ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Gold #SP500 A component of the FTSE 250, Hochschild recently produced what was described as their best results in 13 years. Better still, they restored their Dividend, something which we like to see as it generally will imply longer term confidence in an organisation. Of course, the price of Gold currently fluttering around the $3,000 level cannot be harming a company which registered 347k ounces of Gold in 2025, knocking the companies we watch via their Reality shows on Discovery into a cocked hat. For instance, hero of the Gold Rush show, Parker Schnabel, is targeting 10k ounces in the current season, making his operation an absolute minnow on the world stage. And Emily Riedels efforts to vacuum up 500 ounces from the floor of the Bering Strait starts to sound quite pathetic! But her 30 minute show on YouTube is compulsive viewing every Saturday.

 

Given the company share price performance this year, breaking through a downtrend since 2011 and recently achieving what we judge as an official, Big Picture higher high, our inclination is toward optimism for the future, simply from a chart perspective. Obviously, if the chart is looking good, it is a fair indication of growing market confidence rather than the usual internet chatroom room driven flurry of movements. For this reason, we dare suggest Hochschild may be worth taking a hard look at.

Presently, above 266p suggests the potential of ongoing gains to an initial 281p. In the event the share price closes a session above 281p, our secondary ambition becomes fairly confident looking at a future 352p. Such an ambition risks puncturing the visual glass ceiling which exists just over the 3 quid level, entering the realms of Big Picture calculations where a long term attraction shall be seen as coming from a distant 586p! We tend take these breaks of a glass ceiling seriously, the long term rarely proving a disappointment.

If everything intends go wrong for Hochshild Mining, their share price needs dig below 238p to give the first indication of trouble, entering a realm where an eventual reversal to a ridiculous looking 112p becomes possible.

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:52:38PM	BRENT	7240.9									‘cess
10:55:26PM	GOLD	3011.28	3000	2989	2966	3018	3034	3043	3057	3014
10:57:20PM	FTSE	8635.3
11:38:56PM	STOX50	5410.4									‘cess
11:41:43PM	GERMANY	22884
11:03:26PM	US500	5761.9	5718	5698	5673	5741	5774	5866	5986	5728	‘cess
11:06:18PM	DOW	42543									Success
11:10:31PM	NASDAQ	20152									‘cess
11:14:51PM	JAPAN	37995

 

24/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8638 points. Change of -0.09%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,693,303,680 a change of -72.9%

21/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8646 points. Change of -0.64%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 17,319,068,122 a change of 126.14%

20/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8702 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,658,434,671 a change of 23.47%

19/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8706 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,202,916,969 a change of 4.34%

18/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8705 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,945,136,476 a change of 0.41%

17/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8680 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,920,651,803 a change of 10.88%

14/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8632 points. Change of 1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,339,805,616 a change of -8.09%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Rockhopper, Scancell, Tullow,

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LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 72.75 Percentage Change: -4.65% Day High: 77.75 Day Low: 72.25

In the event Aston Martin experiences weakness below 72.25 it calculates ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 41.7 Percentage Change: + 10.03% Day High: 44.4 Day Low: 38.8

Continued trades against RKH with a mid-price ABOVE 44.4 should improve t ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell Close Mid-Price: 7.5 Percentage Change: -11.24% Day High: 8.45 Day Low: 7.25

Target met. Continued weakness against SCLP taking the price below 7.25 c ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 14 Percentage Change: + 0.94% Day High: 15.47 Day Low: 13.9

Continued trades against TLW with a mid-price ABOVE 15.47 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Brent #SP500   It was Mrs T&T’s turn to choose the movie for the weekend and she opted to play fairly safe by going for a documentary about a popular UK singer. Unfortunately, last time she did this, Elton Johns movie was selected, a film we abandoned before the end. An expectation I’d enjoy the film “Better Man”, a homage to the greatness which is Robbie Williams, was going to be an obvious mistake. Within the first minute, the realisation the star was being played by a CGI Chimpanzee led to an anxious glance at our wine glasses, hoping an excuse could be given to leave the room.

However, 10 minutes later, the fact Robbie Williams was being played by a monkey vanished from notice  as the story started to fascinate and two hours thirty minutes later, the only reason for regrets related to the members of the singing group Take That as they didn’t come through the experience with any credibility. It certainly appears Robbie Williams hasn’t retained any great fondness for Garry Barlow, Williams experiencing a solo career which seemed to knock everything which went before into the gutter. In terms of worth watching, this certainly joins the Queen movie, that alternative world Beatles movie, as worth an evening. Unlike that Elton John nonsense where, apparently Elton asked his pal Rod Stewart to be honest in his opinion of his biopic. It is said they haven’t spoken since Rod gave his opinion!

 

Of course, this film review is essentially due to very little interesting actually happening with Lloyds Bank in the last three weeks and – unsurprisingly – the Chinese GP being pretty boring, the best action happening once the race was completed when the Ferrari team were disqualified for cheating. Historically, generally the first race of a new season overloads with mistakes, the second race overloading with cautious driving. Hopefully Japan in two weeks shall provide proper racing.

When we reviewed Lloyds three weeks ago, we gave 73.5p as a reasonable level for the share price to close above, ideally triggering  proper movement, just like we suspect Japan shall provide proper F1 racing. I chasing day trade positions, it’s visually possible intraday movement above 74.46 should give a sane trigger level for those anxious to get into the game of chasing a retail bank recovery. It’s now the case where, from a relatively near term perspective, above 74.46 could easily implement movement to an initial 78.3p with our secondary, if bettered, at 81.5p. Our more “safe” scenario demands the price close a day above 73.5p to confirm entry into such a cycle but, as this is also more of a Big Picture thing, it also includes a distant sounding 123p as a realistic ambition.

In the contrary event, should Lloyds share price decide to give the market a scare, below 68p suggests coming weakness to 65.3p with our secondary, if broken, a hopeful bottom at 62.3p.

 

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
10:15:09PM	BRENT	7167.8	7025	6963	6878	7117	7222	7256	7397	7118
10:17:30PM	GOLD	3024.19
10:19:18PM	FTSE	8662.2
10:26:21PM	STOX50	5430.3
10:29:04PM	GERMANY	22960.1
10:30:55PM	US500	5697.1	5601	5553	5498	5638	5718	5749	5798	5674
10:33:51PM	DOW	42171.4
10:35:31PM	NASDAQ	19871.3
10:37:28PM	JAPAN	37794

 

21/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8646 points. Change of -0.64%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 17,319,068,122 a change of 126.14%

20/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8702 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,658,434,671 a change of 23.47%

19/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8706 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,202,916,969 a change of 4.34%

18/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8705 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,945,136,476 a change of 0.41%

17/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8680 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,920,651,803 a change of 10.88%

14/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8632 points. Change of 1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,339,805,616 a change of -8.09%

13/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8542 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,809,805,582 a change of -17.07%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:SRP Serco** **

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Updated charts published on : Astrazeneca, British Telecom, Gulf Keystone, Glencore Xstra, Intercontinental Hotels Group, International Personal Finance, Serco,

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LSE:AZN Astrazeneca Close Mid-Price: 11608 Percentage Change: -1.69% Day High: 11826 Day Low: 11618

This needs traffic above 12090 to point at potentials gains to an initial ……..

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 164.35 Percentage Change: + 0.70% Day High: 164.5 Day Low: 161.3

Target met. Further movement against British Telecom ABOVE 164.5 should i ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 205 Percentage Change: + 0.79% Day High: 209.6 Day Low: 202.8

All Gulf Keystone needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 209.6 to improve accel ……..

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra Close Mid-Price: 299.2 Percentage Change: -3.48% Day High: 307.9 Day Low: 298.4

Target met. Weakness on Glencore Xstra below 298.4 will invariably lead t ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Close Mid-Price: 8364 Percentage Change: -2.45% Day High: 8466 Day Low: 8200

Target met. If Intercontinental Hotels Group experiences continued weakne ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 156 Percentage Change: + 1.30% Day High: 157 Day Low: 153

Target met. All International Personal Finance needs are mid-price trades ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco Close Mid-Price: 159.5 Percentage Change: -0.50% Day High: 162 Day Low: 157.8

This is seriously confusing. Apparently, below 152 risks triggering revers ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#FTSE #Sausages   Sometimes, we make ourselves victims of our own rules. The FTSE is currently providing a “case in point” where it’s a market we’ve been miserably pronouncing, similar to the gloomy farm business advisor called Charlie on the excellent Clarkstons Farm, that something is going to go horribly wrong. With Charlie, it’s usually to do with crop yields or the local council and with us, it’s always to do with the FTSE. In this particular cycle of stupid, we managed to miss a FTSE movement on Tuesday which made a visit to the 8400 point level virtually impossible, according to our rule book.

And so, sitting down tonight with the expectation of producing a gloom laden article, spotting the FTSE being spiked to 8700 on Tuesday morning at the open rung a distant bell. In our own defence we’ve a pretty good excuse for missing such a calamity, an adverse reaction to a simple blood pressure medicine making us suddenly aware we’d been cheerfully watching the heart rate slowly counting down to zero, during the preceding week! Our blood pressure reading had declined until it was less inspiring than a month old limp blue party balloon, from a children’s birthday celebration signal at the bottom of a driveway. Between 6am and 8am, no less than six espressos were consumed, a rather pleasant method of boosting ones blood pressure, our local GP advising to immediately stop the medication and continue with the coffee prescription. And to give his receptionist a call on Friday with updated twice daily test results.

 

For someone with a history of not taking blood pressure readings seriously (since my early 20’s), everything became horribly real on Tuesday morning, so I’ve forgiven myself for missing the FTSE’s twitch into an area where I could ignore the small warning of a market rule being broken… We do have 188 of the things!

But the FTSE managed to close above our critical 8700 level 3 times this week with an 8705, an 8706, and finally an 8701. While  the numbers may not prove particularly inspiring, they did provide confirmation the market also thought our 8700 was significant and had chosen to let the index exceed it. From our perspective, our inclination is to take this as a sign of happier days ahead, a bit like my own blood pressure returning safely above 120/80 into conventional territory the medical profession utterly abhor. For instance, there was one occasion when prescribed a notoriously hard hitting drug called Ramilpril, I developed a little problem which became evident around 6am every day. Essentially my body chose to treat Ramipril as poor mans Viagra, creating considerable discomfort for most of the following day… My GP asked permission to tell this ridiculous story, it being the medical equivalent of using a bandage to enhance the bleeding and thus, making no sense. But it was too funny to ignore. The event was clearly written in block capitals on medical records, it still being the case where a Doctor will still glance at my groin when asking how a Blood Pressure medication is working.

 

The only remaining clown story remaining is how to deal with the FTSE. It has gone up despite a pile of evidence saying it should go down.

What’s next?

It seems above 8743 points should now provoke acceleration to an initial 8790 points with our secondary, if bettered, at around 8890 points, matching the previous all time high at the start of March. Visually, we believe in the potential of our initial 8790 but feel less confident about our secondary, certainly on the immediate movement cycle. This is a bit unfortunate as the tightest “safe” stop loss works out at 8,660 points, rather wide for an immediate Gain/Risk scenario.

Of course, we can cheerfully still through a near term reduction scenario into the mix. It’s now the case where below 8662 calculates with the potential of reversal to an initial 8610 with our secondary, if broken, working out at 8680 and a very possible bounce.

 

Have a good weekend, thankfully one without such a ‘bak to skool’ clown show of a Formula1 race!

 

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:57:25PM	BRENT	7199.1	6908	6801		7230	7235	7280		7180
10:05:01PM	GOLD	3044.4	3026	3016		3044	3059	3068		3024	‘cess
10:08:06PM	FTSE	8697.3	8663	8648		8707	8715	8729		8687
10:11:29PM	STOX50	5439.1	5431	5424		5458	5465	5471		5441
11:18:41PM	GERMANY	22938	22819	22767		23998	23052	23096		22935	Success
11:21:38PM	US500	5657.5	5629	5601		5665	5712	5740		5682
11:24:15PM	DOW	41911	41836	41703		41960	42069	42156		41940	‘cess
11:27:02PM	NASDAQ	19651.5	19546	19415		19670	19732	19782		19648	Shambles
11:32:42PM	JAPAN	37656	37559	37409		37763	37984	38015		37587	‘cess

 

20/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8702 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,658,434,671 a change of 23.47%

19/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8706 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,202,916,969 a change of 4.34%

18/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8705 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,945,136,476 a change of 0.41%

17/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8680 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,920,651,803 a change of 10.88%

14/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8632 points. Change of 1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,339,805,616 a change of -8.09%

13/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8542 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,809,805,582 a change of -17.07%

12/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8540 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,005,575,880 a change of -4.97%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : British Telecom, Gulf Keystone, International Personal Finance, Tullow,

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 163.2 Percentage Change: + 2.06% Day High: 162.95 Day Low: 160.2

Continued trades against BT.A with a mid-price ABOVE 162.95 should improv ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 203.4 Percentage Change: + 1.95% Day High: 207.8 Day Low: 200

Target met. Further movement against Gulf Keystone ABOVE 207.8 should imp ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 154 Percentage Change: + 1.32% Day High: 154 Day Low: 152.5

Further movement against International Personal Finance ABOVE 154 should ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 14.16 Percentage Change: -0.14% Day High: 14.49 Day Low: 13.82

It looks like our miserable calculation of a 13p bottom may have been corr ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Gold #Japan  A daft thing to become annoyed about, fairly regularly, are the clickbait stories issued by the MetOffice. The print media positively salivate over each press release, using them to produce the most inaccurate headline stories, knowing if it turns out to be the usual utter rubbish, folk will just blame the weather forecasters. Scrolling through Google & Yahoo News today, we picked up a couple of tales for March weather which seem to slightly contradict each other. Due to us starting Wednesday with blue skies and -3c temperatures, we’re not inclined to believe a ‘Spanish plume’ is coming. To be honest, while Paul Simon once sung “Get All The News I Need from the Weather Report” in the tune ‘The Only Living Boy in New York’, we’re getting to the stage of trying to filter the term “MetOffice” from news reports, joining the BBC & Sky in our list of untrusted sources when referring to the UK.. Nowadays, we’re finding the Dutch, German, even Irish, media tends report what’s happening in the UK without obvious bias and better still, they don’t give weather reports.

Headlines; 19th March 2025 via Yahoo News!

 

A visit to FirstGroup Wikipedia page proved somewhat discouraging, the company appearing to enjoy a very vanilla background without any decent scandals. Generally, to be involved in public transport in Scotland generally produces some great conspiracy theories but for FirstGroup, they appear quite clean. It was also quite a surprise to discover the company now own the world famous Greyhound company in the USA, along with Grey Goose in Canada. This quickly diluted an assumption FirstGroup were a FTSE250 who primarily focus on the UK’s third world rail service.

 

The company chart is on the edge of showing something seriously important, for those who study such things. It shows the company share price has exceeded the downtrend since 2009, a fairly credible trend and one which is probably making folk salivate. There’s an important problem at present, one worth paying a lot of attention to. The share price has not created a Higher High yet, creating a situation where a ‘so called’ chart breakout will often feel like it is fizzling. The ideal situation occurs, when a share price breaks a downtrend AND starts to trade higher than the previous point which defined that trend. This isn’t a secret, probably just too obvious and thus ignored, but if you want a fairly sane signal for a price movement, once FirstGroup closes above 188p or starts trading above 189p, there’s a reasonable chance the share price is about to head up.

In the case of FirstGroup, above 189p now points at the potential of a lift to 198 next with our secondary, if bettered, at 221p. Overall, such a scenario shall force us to accept a long term 239p as exerting an attraction.

 

Our alternate scenario allows for weakness below 148 to risk triggering reversals to an initial 127p with our longer term secondary, if broken, at 118p. For now, this doesn’t feel likely, gains appearing possible unless the share price tumbles below 170p.

 

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
8:46:47PM	BRENT	7062.6
8:52:58PM	GOLD	3045.77	3023	3011	2997	3032	3054	3058	3078	3037
10:16:48PM	FTSE	8711.9
10:30:01PM	STOX50	5516.4									Success
10:33:22PM	GERMANY	23350.2									Shambles
10:38:35PM	US500	5687.4
10:41:53PM	DOW	42041									‘cess
10:46:09PM	NASDAQ	19791
10:48:54PM	JAPAN	37904	37563	37437	37205	37777	38133	38344	38605	39018	Shambles

 

19/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8706 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,202,916,969 a change of 4.34%

18/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8705 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,945,136,476 a change of 0.41%

17/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8680 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,920,651,803 a change of 10.88%

14/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8632 points. Change of 1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,339,805,616 a change of -8.09%

13/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8542 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,809,805,582 a change of -17.07%

12/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8540 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,005,575,880 a change of -4.97%

11/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8496 points. Change of -1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,372,262,809 a change of -3.66%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

********

Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Asos, Aviva, Diageo, Firstgroup, Gulf Keystone, International Personal Finance, Rolls Royce,

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LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 6.24 Percentage Change: -6.87% Day High: 6.5 Day Low: 5.41

Target met. Weakness on AFC Energy below 5.41 will invariably lead to 5.2 ……..

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LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 230 Percentage Change: -4.56% Day High: 237.2 Day Low: 223.2

Continued weakness against ASC taking the price below 223.2 calculates as ……..

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 561.6 Percentage Change: + 0.21% Day High: 565.8 Day Low: 558.6

Target met. In the event of Aviva enjoying further trades beyond 565.8, t ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 2035.5 Percentage Change: -2.14% Day High: 2075 Day Low: 2032

Target met. Continued weakness against DGE taking the price below 2032 ca ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 183.1 Percentage Change: + 1.27% Day High: 184.1 Day Low: 179.3

In the event of Firstgroup enjoying further trades beyond 184.1, the shar ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 199.5 Percentage Change: + 1.37% Day High: 200 Day Low: 193.7

In the event of Gulf Keystone enjoying further trades beyond 200, the sha ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance Close Mid-Price: 152 Percentage Change: -0.65% Day High: 153 Day Low: 151.5

In the event of International Personal Finance enjoying further trades be ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 812.8 Percentage Change: + 0.20% Day High: 818 Day Low: 802.8

Continued trades against RR. with a mid-price ABOVE 818 should improve th ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#FTSE #STOXX Construction company Kier Group seem to be facing a bit of a share meltdown, something of a surprise given their initiative of indulging in a share buyback. Generally speaking, we’re always quite enthusiastic about this tactic by companies as anything which reduces the number of shares “in issue” usually invokes the core law of supply and demand – essentially the rarer something is, the more expensive it gets. Once a major company starts playing this game, it’s unusual for a share price to suffer.

However…

It feels like Kier Group may have done something to offend the market as the price is currently viewed as entering a reversal cycle. At present. weakness below 118 points at the potential of reversals to an initial 104p with our secondary, if broken, working out at 80p, hopefully bouncing before such a target level is achieved as the longer term implications of such a target level breaking are grotty.

On the bright side, we’ve an interesting scenario where, should the share price bounce from our initial 104p drop target level, any solid bounce which toddles above 145p should continue to an initial 171p with our secondary, if bettered, at 192p. In fact, in this instance, we suspect the market shall eventually commence solid recovery movement with an upward price gap, making an eventual 209p a viable ambition.

 

Sorry to be short and sharp with this ‘un. The lack of words and humour doesn’t reflect our thoughts on the potentials here. Essentially, we suspect the current season of reversals shall prove “fake”. Here’s hoping!

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
11:39:50PM	BRENT	8694.6
10:54:08PM	GOLD	3033.21
10:58:16PM	FTSE	8705.9	8680	8670	8650	8704	8730	8747	8769	8696
11:00:20PM	STOX50	5481.3	5458	5440	5419	5475	5503	5510	5524	5473
11:04:14PM	GERMANY	23368.6
11:05:59PM	US500	5619.1
11:11:10PM	DOW	41634.5
11:13:31PM	NASDAQ	19505.5
11:15:36PM	JAPAN	37943.3

 

18/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8705 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,945,136,476 a change of 0.41%

17/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8680 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,920,651,803 a change of 10.88%

14/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8632 points. Change of 1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,339,805,616 a change of -8.09%

13/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8542 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,809,805,582 a change of -17.07%

12/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8540 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,005,575,880 a change of -4.97%

11/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8496 points. Change of -1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,372,262,809 a change of -3.66%

10/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8600 points. Change of -0.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,652,125,992 a change of 21.38%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, British Telecom, Firstgroup, Fresnillo, Gulf Keystone, Intercontinental Hotels Group,

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 560.4 Percentage Change: + 0.61% Day High: 560.6 Day Low: 556.4

Further movement against Aviva ABOVE 560.6 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 161.2 Percentage Change: + 1.58% Day High: 162.15 Day Low: 159

In the event of British Telecom enjoying further trades beyond 162.15, th ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 180.8 Percentage Change: + 2.44% Day High: 183 Day Low: 177.9

Further movement against Firstgroup ABOVE 183 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 954 Percentage Change: + 1.71% Day High: 960.5 Day Low: 945

Target met. Further movement against Fresnillo ABOVE 960.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 196.8 Percentage Change: + 0.15% Day High: 199.5 Day Low: 193.4

Continued trades against GKP with a mid-price ABOVE 199.5 should improve t ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Close Mid-Price: 8528 Percentage Change: -1.14% Day High: 8738 Day Low: 8476

Target met. Weakness on Intercontinental Hotels Group below 8476 will inv ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares