Trends And Targets

#FreeFTSE #FridayFutures We reviewed Argo Blockchain as recently as April, asking the question ‘Is Argo Blochchain sinking’. It appears we know the answer with the price attaining a low of 86p, closing the session around 87p. This is not good, thanks to our prior report published on Interactive Investor giving a secondary drop target of 92p and hopefully a bounce. By breaking below our 92p and closing below such a level, from our standpoint, any bounce becomes less probable.

The situation now for ARB has a few tweaks implemented, due to price movements over the last few months. Next below 86p introduces the possibility of weakness to an initial 73p. If broken, our “ultimate bottom” remains at 63p, presenting a level by which the price almost must bounce. This is due to a single salient detail. We cannot calculate anything below 63p!

To escape this mess, the share price needs exceed 110p to tick a pretty major box for any recovery to prove genuine. Such a movement should allow recovery to an initial 127 with secondary, if bettered, calculating at an eventual 170p. For now, as mentioned in our original article;  ‘For the cautious, perhaps worth keeping a weather eye on it, just in case 63p makes a guest appearance in the weeks ahead.’

FTSE for FRIDAY We remain somewhat pleased at the number of folk, internationally, who ‘tune in’ every Friday for this report. Given the state of the UK market since June, we fear there’s an expectation of us coming up with magic words to signal the point at which the FTSE actually does something sane. The FTSE opened June at 7022 points. It closed Thursday 15th July at 7018 points! Despite the index making a few attempts upward, some sort of gravity has ensured the market returns to the 7000 level on 8, out of 31 trading days. This sort of glass ceiling behaviour, when witnessed against shares, often indicates a hiatus prior to positive news being announced. Thereafter, any surge upward will tend prove interesting and sharp.

Unfortunately, this is the FTSE, an index which rarely boldly goes anywhere. The market now has broken 7 uptrends since November last year, without actually crashing. The most recent trend breaks provide slight cause for worry, due to the index also failing to exceed prior highs. An argument can be made for weakness settling into place, despite the UK nervously hopping from foot to foot as we count down the seconds to Freedom Day on Monday. Equally nervously, we note the media carefully mentioning Covid-19 infections reaching new highs and we wonder if the UK Govt intends press the brakes on the supposed concept of imminent freedoms.

It’s funny how, using the UK criteria to define what exactly a “Red Zone” country is, the UK would already completely ban any travel to the UK! Perhaps this is where the hesitancy across the FTSE 100 comes as there are a few quite contradictory signals evident. The market has now closed below its 7th uptrend.

 

The immediate prospect for the FTSE is fairly straightforward. We should anticipate the worst is coming, were it not for the markets serial behaviour of breaking uptrends, bouncing from the 7,000 point level. If things are about to become serious, the index needs drop below 6993 to convince us as this risks imminent reversal to an initial 6963 points. If broken, our secondary works out at 6890 points, taking the index into a truly nasty area where it’s difficult to ignore the potential of 6500 making an appearance eventually.

Of course, there’s always the visual promise the FTSE shall, once again, rebound from the 7000 level. We shall not be inclined to trust any bounce unless the market exceeds 7030 points as this calculates as capable of triggering movement to an initial 7044 points. If bettered, our secondary works out at 7073 points. We’re not immune from noticing both “rebound” targets are pretty lame, the FTSE really needing above 7100 to convince a true attempt to escape the gutter is upon us.

Hopefully the UK can make it to Monday without political action, and a day when some optimism may finally rear its ugly head.

Finally, have a good weekend and remember to cross your fingers for Louis Hamilton remembering how to drive again… It is “our” home Grand Prix after all.

 

Also, our thanks to those who find adverts on this page sufficiently interesting to check out.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:40:28PM	BRENT	72.97	72.8	72.115		74.1	74.25	74.6		73.1
10:42:28PM	GOLD	1829.86	1819	1816		1828	1834	1837		1824	‘cess
10:45:52PM	FTSE	7014.9	6997	6977		7049	7068	7078.5		7014	Success
10:52:32PM	FRANCE	6492.5	6466	6429		6506	6506	6515.5		6477	Success
10:54:30PM	GERMANY	15619	15587	15543.5		15663	15777	15792		15654	Success
10:56:33PM	US500	4354.97	4351	4339		4366	4377	4384		4356	‘cess
10:58:30PM	DOW	34953	34704	34600.5		34890	34990	35079		34830	‘cess
11:00:59PM	NASDAQ	14782	14739	14700		14839	14974	15020		14870	Shambles
11:03:11PM	JAPAN	28024	27980	27923		28180	28286	28334		28102	Success

 

15/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7012 points. Change of -1.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,099,995,306 a change of 13.98%

14/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7091 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,474,388,413 a change of 6.25%

13/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7124 points. Change of -0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,211,106,808 a change of 2.19%

12/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7125 points. Change of 0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,120,988,724 a change of -9.74%

9/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7121 points. Change of 1.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,565,910,390 a change of -14.66%

8/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7030 points. Change of -1.69%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,350,338,695 a change of -5.7%

7/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7151 points. Change of 0.72%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,997,934 a change of 23.9%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BLVN Bowleven** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:DDDD 4D Pharma** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:QFI Quadrise** **LSE:RMG Royal Mail** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

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Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Asos, Aviva, Bowleven, BP PLC, Carnival, Capita, 4D Pharma, Diageo, Experian, EasyJet, British Airways, Marks and Spencer, Quadrise, Royal Mail, Spirax, Standard Chartered, Taylor Wimpey, Vodafone,

LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 53.7 Percentage Change: -6.77% Day High: 58 Day Low: 52.6

If AFC Energy experiences continued weakness below 52.6, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 3854 Percentage Change: -18.12% Day High: 4451 Day Low: 3809

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LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 393.1 Percentage Change: -0.96% Day High: 399.2 Day Low: 391.5

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LSE:BLVN Bowleven Close Mid-Price: 4 Percentage Change: -11.11% Day High: 4.25 Day Low: 3.5

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LSE:BP. BP PLC Close Mid-Price: 296.05 Percentage Change: -2.85% Day High: 301.7 Day Low: 293.95

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LSE:CCL Carnival Close Mid-Price: 1425.4 Percentage Change: -2.80% Day High: 1456.2 Day Low: 1424.4

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 34.02 Percentage Change: -2.13% Day High: 35.24 Day Low: 33.67

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LSE:DDDD 4D Pharma Close Mid-Price: 88.4 Percentage Change: -1.56% Day High: 90.9 Day Low: 86.7

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 3477.5 Percentage Change: -0.27% Day High: 3552.5 Day Low: 3473.5

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3050 Percentage Change: + 2.45% Day High: 3157 Day Low: 3026

Target met. Continued trades against EXPN with a mid-price ABOVE 3157 sho ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet Close Mid-Price: 822.6 Percentage Change: -2.02% Day High: 835.6 Day Low: 807.8

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LSE:IAG British Airways Close Mid-Price: 165.36 Percentage Change: -3.25% Day High: 171 Day Low: 164.86

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 137.5 Percentage Change: -5.24% Day High: 145 Day Low: 138.05

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LSE:QFI Quadrise Close Mid-Price: 3.3 Percentage Change: -6.78% Day High: 3.52 Day Low: 3.3

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LSE:RMG Royal Mail Close Mid-Price: 553.8 Percentage Change: -2.19% Day High: 567.4 Day Low: 551.6

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LSE:SPX Spirax. Close Mid-Price: 14440 Percentage Change: + 1.30% Day High: 14460 Day Low: 14255

Target met. Continued trades against SPX with a mid-price ABOVE 14460 sho ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered Close Mid-Price: 440.5 Percentage Change: -1.28% Day High: 448.5 Day Low: 439.7

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 156.65 Percentage Change: -3.60% Day High: 162 Day Low: 156.65

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 115.3 Percentage Change: -1.86% Day High: 117.64 Day Low: 114.6

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Gold #Japan An unexpected conversation with an 8 y/o grand-daughter inevitably led to me questioning the markets. Children appear able to attach value to things to such an extent, barter is possible, taking place without fuss or drama. Crucially, neither Bitcoin nor the US Dollar was involved in the girls transaction but her logic proved fascinating.

By way of background, the little monster was ‘hovering with intent’ outside the office door, clearly awaiting the moment when I published my “Live Market” futures, leaned back, stood up and stretched, before going through to the kitchen to make my second coffee of the day. It was clear my journey was going to be interrupted by an impatient child***.

 

“Alistair, can you make this fit onto my belt?” she asked. (As I don’t feel old enough to be a grandparent, I insist on first name terms) The item was a plastic scabbard, hopefully for a plastic sword and certainly not the normal thing I’d associate with either of the girls.

“Where did you get that from?”

“Swapped it at the beach on Monday…” Sudden visions of a lucky child suddenly becoming the owner of an iPad were dispelled, when the rest of the story came out. The girls had decided to open a beach cafe, something inspired by the film Madagascar. All the food and drinks were fake and they’d raided our garden for Pampas Grass fronds to decorate their pretend cafe. It looked quite convincing, at least to those younger than 10 years old.

She’d swapped 2 Pampas fronds for the plastic sword and scabbard. Her older sister managed to gain a soft toy at the cost of just a single frond. Apparently, as the day continued, the trade in Pampas fronds proved worthwhile, our dog unlikely to run out of toys for a while. We regard Pampas grass as a terrible weed, annual battles taking place to get rid of the fast growing things. Amusingly, the local village hall has them displayed outside, along with an honesty bucket, inviting passers by to purchase fronds at £2 each. Apparently some florists attempt to sell them (in the city) for around £20 each! In a clearing on the hill behind us, there are literally 1,000’s of Pampas grass plants growing, killing the prospects of anything else getting a start in the soil.

But suddenly, it appears there is a market for Pampas Grass Fronds, the children entering it seamlessly and without fuss, being able to sort out exchange rates to trade weeds for assorted junk. With hindsight, I suspect some tourist parents were probably encouraging the exchange, spotting the chance of a bargain while offloading some of their kids rubbish.

 

It begs the question, just how to the currency or crypto markets survive without the benefit of an 8 year old girl providing steerage. Why should Sterling be stronger than the US Dollar on a Monday, yet weaker on the Wednesday, suddenly attracting speculation as to the future. Our inclination is to step back and review the currency pairing from a Big Picture perspective. As shown, since 2007 GBP has enjoyed a pretty grim downhill ride and it was only at the end of 2020 when the relationship finally broke through the Blue downtrend. Our previous analysis gave an initial breakout ambition at 1.4061, a number which has been achieved and exceeded a couple of times this year.

We are inclined to believe, should the market next exceed 1.4061, a new cycle can be anticipated with future recovery to an initial 1.4760 with secondary, if bettered, a rather less certain (at present) 1.5490.

 

Our alternate scenario isn’t initially scary. After all, prices go up and down with greater volatility than the Pampas grass market. There’s an immediate non-threatening danger of weakness below 1.3730 leading to reversal to an initial 1.3417. This visually matches the price level at which the pairing exited the long term downtrend and exhibits a point at which we’d hope for a rebound. The danger comes, if 1.3417 breaks as this calculates with ongoing reversal toward 1.3131. While the price level may not sound so dreadful, by breaking below the historical level of trend break, the pairing is at risk of entering a period we’ll call stodgy . Across the wider marketplace, when shares or commodities start trading below such major levels of a trend break, price movements start to become pretty boring and the market feels very depressed, neither going up nor down with any real conviction. Perhaps this phenomena relates to the pandemic as we’re seeing the effect around the world and it’s never confined to any particular sector or product.

In a brief summary, we now regard GBPUSD as heading to 1.4760, the pair needing below 1.3417 to cancel the prospect. Who knows, for the brave this may present a superb long position opportunity with an incredibly tight stop loss possible.

***After ensuring the child could attach the scabbard to her belt, the inevitable happened later, while watching the USA open for business.

“Can you fix my sword?”

Patient voice: “What happened?”

“I was trying to cut (sisters name) head off and she threw a cushion. I chopped the cushion and the sword broke in half… It was her fault!”

They go home tomorrow for a few days.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
11:06:46PM	BRENT	74.22									Shambles
11:09:03PM	GOLD	1827.43	1809	1802	1793	1819	1830	1833	1845	1808	Success
11:11:57PM	FTSE	7088.38									Success
11:13:49PM	FRANCE	6549.8
11:15:53PM	GERMANY	15774
11:18:01PM	US500	4375.17
11:19:48PM	DOW	34920
11:22:02PM	NASDAQ	14910
11:24:40PM	JAPAN	28537	28504	28434	28351	28609	28683	28715	28783	28590

14/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7091 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,474,388,413 a change of 6.25%

13/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7124 points. Change of -0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,211,106,808 a change of 2.19%

12/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7125 points. Change of 0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,120,988,724 a change of -9.74%

9/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7121 points. Change of 1.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,565,910,390 a change of -14.66%

8/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7030 points. Change of -1.69%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,350,338,695 a change of -5.7%

7/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7151 points. Change of 0.72%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,997,934 a change of 23.9%

6/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7100 points. Change of -0.89%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,579,399,515 a change of 38.26%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:BLVN Bowleven** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:FOXT Foxtons** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:ITRK Intertek** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:VOG VICTORIA** **

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Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Asos, Aviva, Barclays, Bowleven, British Telecom, Carclo, Carnival, Centamin, Capita, MAN, EasyJet, Foxtons, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Intertek, Rolls Royce, Spirax, VICTORIA,

LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 57.6 Percentage Change: -4.48% Day High: 60.3 Day Low: 57.2

For some reason, this has managed to clambour onto the naughty step as wea ……..

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LSE:ASC Asos. Close Mid-Price: 4707 Percentage Change: + 1.71% Day High: 4748 Day Low: 4568

Continued weakness against ASC taking the price below 4568 calculates as l ……..

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 396.9 Percentage Change: + 0.05% Day High: 400 Day Low: 394.1

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LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 170.7 Percentage Change: + 0.41% Day High: 173.62 Day Low: 169.02

Weakness on Barclays below 165 will invariably lead to 162 with secondary ……..

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LSE:BLVN Bowleven Close Mid-Price: 4.5 Percentage Change: -5.26% Day High: 4.75 Day Low: 4.25

I think it the case that even above 5p should now promote movement to an i ……..

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom Close Mid-Price: 186.3 Percentage Change: -0.43% Day High: 188.2 Day Low: 185.6

There is now little doubt below 183 is dodgy, allowing weakness down to an ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 43.1 Percentage Change: -0.58% Day High: 45 Day Low: 42.4

Weakness on Carclo below 42 will invariably lead to 40p Secondary is at 24 ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival Close Mid-Price: 1466.4 Percentage Change: -1.40% Day High: 1499.2 Day Low: 1461.8

It’s still sinking, when we near an era of buoyancy. But below 1461 sugges ……..

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LSE:CEY Centamin Close Mid-Price: 103 Percentage Change: -0.82% Day High: 103.75 Day Low: 102.45

It’s still the case weakness below 100 should take this down to 90p but im ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 34.76 Percentage Change: -1.56% Day High: 35.67 Day Low: 34

Weakness on Capita below 34 will invariably lead to 30p and possible bounc ……..

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LSE:EMG MAN Close Mid-Price: 192.45 Percentage Change: -1.08% Day High: 194.25 Day Low: 192.65

We regard this now as on a track to an initial 212 (and hesitation). Secon ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet Close Mid-Price: 839.6 Percentage Change: -4.35% Day High: 871.4 Day Low: 838

Target Met. Ouch. Now below 838 allows a descent to 802 with secondary, if ……..

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LSE:FOXT Foxtons Close Mid-Price: 53.5 Percentage Change: -1.47% Day High: 55.5 Day Low: 50.9

Target met. If Foxtons experiences continued weakness below 50.9, it will ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Close Mid-Price: 4641 Percentage Change: -0.77% Day High: 4684 Day Low: 4612

Continued weakness against IHG taking the price below 4612 calculates as ……..

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LSE:ITRK Intertek Close Mid-Price: 5596 Percentage Change: -1.27% Day High: 5668 Day Low: 5552

Further movement against Intertek ABOVE 5668 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 92.76 Percentage Change: -0.91% Day High: 94.27 Day Low: 90.55

Target met. If Rolls Royce experiences continued weakness below 90.55, it ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 14255 Percentage Change: -0.18% Day High: 14310 Day Low: 14130

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LSE:VOG VICTORIA Close Mid-Price: 4.15 Percentage Change: -2.35% Day High: 4.25 Day Low: 4.15

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Scottish soft drink maker (the Irn Bru folk) recently suffered a ‘Royal Visit’, the media showing the Queen and her crowd of hangers-on dutifully pretending they were enjoying fizzy drinks, fresh from melted steel girders. Given conventional sentiment in Scotland, we hold suspicions this sort of nonsense has its roots in business owners dreaming of honours rather than any real belief a picture of Her Majesty knocking back Irn Bru will appeal to their target market. Private Eye, even has a section on this, The Order of The Brown Nose…

What always proves amusing, with special thanks to Twitter, is the framing of crowds behind barriers in photographs. Invariably, someone shows a real photograph of the event and it becomes clear journalists concept of “crowds” falls short of the truth. Of course, doubtless Covid-19 is making it difficult for the usual suspects to be encouraged to look enthusiastic, schools being hesitant at their pupils being bussed to an event just to make up numbers.

Once, as a child, this writer experienced at first hand the bullying tactics employed, a squad of police officers conducting a sweep through a holiday park to enlist ‘volunteers’ for a royal visit. Each child was even given a Union flag on a stick to wave. Unfortunately for the police, children at holiday park tend make thorough explorations of the area which ensured by the time the royal train appeared, virtually every child had made their way to the end of the platform, where an absence of fencing created an easy escape. What happened to the obligatory flags is a mystery but it’s unlikely any found their way into a bin.

 

Cynical nature aside, A G Barr look like their share price is poised for some action.

Presently trading around 547p, the share need only fizz above 567p to become interesting. Such a trigger level should prove capable of allowing the price to bubble up to an initial 614p. As the chart below shows, this has the potential of the price regaining its long term Red uptrend, creating a realistic ambition of future recovery to 700p. This year has experienced some quite amazing weather here on Scotland’s west coast and despite (until now) reduced tourist numbers, soft drink sales will have been very high. Hopefully, for A G Barr, this shall follow through with vastly improved income over last years performance, giving sufficient excuse for a future boost above 700p to a longer term 889p. Surprisingly, this calculation tier also gives share price movements the opportunity to cover the circled gap on the chart with startling accuracy.

Our thanks to those who find relevant advertising on this page sufficiently interesting to visit. You also keep us in coffee, essential on mornings such as today!

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:55:21PM	BRENT	76.14									‘cess
10:02:08PM	GOLD	1807.94									‘cess
10:03:52PM	FTSE	7128.35	7111	7100	7083	7143	7145	7158	7219	7111
10:05:27PM	FRANCE	6554
10:09:05PM	GERMANY	15777	15294	No	sodding	clue
10:21:33PM	US500	4368
10:23:42PM	DOW	34894
10:25:46PM	NASDAQ	14872	14803	14755	14671	14940	15005	15052.5	15125	14805	Success
10:27:52PM	JAPAN	28511									Success

13/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7124 points. Change of -0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,211,106,808 a change of 2.19%

12/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7125 points. Change of 0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,120,988,724 a change of -9.74%

9/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7121 points. Change of 1.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,565,910,390 a change of -14.66%

8/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7030 points. Change of -1.69%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,350,338,695 a change of -5.7%

7/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7151 points. Change of 0.72%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,997,934 a change of 23.9%

6/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7100 points. Change of -0.89%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,579,399,515 a change of 38.26%

5/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7164 points. Change of 0.58%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,312,078,677 a change of -20.84%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:FOXT Foxtons** **LSE:NG. National Glug** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:ODX Omega Diags** **LSE:POG Petrop etc** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:VOG VICTORIA** **

********

Updated charts published on : Avacta, Block Energy PLC, Carclo, Carnival, Diageo, MAN, Experian, Foxtons, National Glug, Natwest, Omega Diags, Petrop etc, Rolls Royce, VICTORIA,

LSE:AVCT Avacta. Close Mid-Price: 135.5 Percentage Change: + 7.11% Day High: 138.5 Day Low: 118

Target met. If Avacta experiences continued weakness below 118, it will i ……..

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LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC. Close Mid-Price: 2.55 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 2.55 Day Low: 2.4

Weakness on Block Energy PLC below 2.4 will invariably lead to 2.2 and ho ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 43.35 Percentage Change: -5.56% Day High: 46 Day Low: 43

Weakness on Carclo below 43 will invariably lead to 40p Secondary is at 2 ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival Close Mid-Price: 1487.2 Percentage Change: -1.60% Day High: 1532.2 Day Low: 1488

Quite why the share price looks like sinking, when we near an era of buoya ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo. Close Mid-Price: 3502 Percentage Change: + 1.49% Day High: 3503 Day Low: 3450.5

All Diageo needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 3503 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:EMG MAN Close Mid-Price: 194.55 Percentage Change: -0.21% Day High: 197.4 Day Low: 193.5

In the event of MAN enjoying further trades beyond 197.4, the share shoul ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3023 Percentage Change: + 1.31% Day High: 3030 Day Low: 2973

Target met. In the event of Experian enjoying further trades beyond 3030, ……..

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LSE:FOXT Foxtons Close Mid-Price: 54.3 Percentage Change: -4.74% Day High: 57 Day Low: 54.3

Weakness on Foxtons below 54.3 will invariably lead to 51 with secondary, ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glug Close Mid-Price: 942.6 Percentage Change: -0.26% Day High: 945.7 Day Low: 939.1

All National Glug needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 945.7 to improve accel ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest Close Mid-Price: 201.4 Percentage Change: -2.61% Day High: 213.8 Day Low: 201

All Natwest needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 213.8 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:ODX Omega Diags. Close Mid-Price: 48.5 Percentage Change: + 2.11% Day High: 49.5 Day Low: 40.5

In the event Omega Diags experiences weakness below 40.5 it calculates wi ……..

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LSE:POG Petrop etc Close Mid-Price: 22.84 Percentage Change: -0.35% Day High: 23.06 Day Low: 22.74

Continued weakness against POG taking the price below 22.74 calculates as ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 93.61 Percentage Change: -2.22% Day High: 97.51 Day Low: 93.52

In the event Rolls Royce experiences weakness below 93.52 it calculates w ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax. Close Mid-Price: 14280 Percentage Change: + 1.20% Day High: 14295 Day Low: 14095

Target met. Further movement against Spirax ABOVE 14295 should improve ac ……..

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LSE:VOG VICTORIA Close Mid-Price: 4.25 Percentage Change: -19.05% Day High: 5 Day Low: 4.25

Weakness on VICTORIA below 4.25 will invariably lead to 4 with secondary, ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Gold #WallSt Surprisingly, #Boohoo share price hasn’t fared particularly well during the lockdown period. In a time when online shopping was “it”, we’ve been expecting this retailer to flourish, something which clearly has failed to occur.

 

There always seems to be some sort of reason giving pause for thought, whether it’s how workers in the company supply chain are treated or, the current hot potato, their habitual sham sales and promotions in the USA.

Quite why such a practice is deemed “shocking”, especially in North America, defeats us. While in the UK, there are a couple of furniture retailers famous for their phoney promotional sales, the USA created the entire concept of “Closing Down Sale, now celebrating its 10th Year!”.

 

Cynicism aside, a suspicion about the online experience deteriorating led to a fascinating BBQ conversation. Due to “normal” allegedly returning in a week, the round table question was simple; “would people still buy online, when the attraction of all shops being open AND SAFE to visit returns?” It transpired we were hosting a collection of converts to the online experience, several of the ladies present admitting to ordering multiple items from various retailers, secure in the knowledge they intended send most of them back for a full refund. Free postage for “returns” made the option of buying varied choices, deciding which fitted or looked best, then going online to start the return process was easy. Apparently a big part of shopping is trying stuff on, the attraction of traveling, carrying bags, parking now cheerfully left in the past.

It all begs the question, why is Boohoo share price not flying upward?

 

The answer perhaps lies in the past. Boohoo, even prior to Lockdown, were a successful online presence. Immediately following the Covid-19 drop in 2020, their share price soared to 430p, nearly 10% higher than we could calculate. Essentially, the price had already did all the hard work, spending the last 15 months fluttering around between the 2 quid level and 4 pounds. Certainly, a seriously useful trading range and one which only requires the share to actually CLOSE a session above 400p to signal a change in emphasis with some true growth anticipated. In such an instance, we’re already projecting the potential of 544p, maybe even a secondary at 592p!

Unfortunately, for now we need examine the threat of near term trouble.

 

By closing 12th July at 289p, the share price kicked open the threat of “Lower Lows”. As a result, the immediate scenario suggests weakness below 286p risks reversal toward 265p initially with our longer term secondary, if broken, calculating at 246p. Making matters slightly worse, should 246p break, we can present 198p as a potential “bottom”, a level at which the share almost must bounce.

Glancing at the chart, this scenario giving 198p as a potential bottom makes a lot of visual sense. We’d suggest keeping an eye open in case such a level appears as it gives an ideal entry level, if playing both the short term or long term games. In the short term, there’s a reasonable chance of grabbing a quick bounce. For the longer term, who knows where a bounce will lead as patience may deserve quite a strong reward in the future.

A big thanks to the folk who found interesting adverts on this page on Monday. Tuesday and we’re getting a croissant!

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:56:13PM	BRENT	74.98
9:57:47PM	GOLD	1806.53	1791	1785	1774	1805	1808	1812	1819	1798	‘cess
10:03:02PM	FTSE	7123.3
10:05:14PM	FRANCE	6563.9
10:13:40PM	GERMANY	15789									‘cess
10:16:27PM	US500	4383									‘cess
10:18:19PM	DOW	35004.5	34654	34553	34399	34780	35015	35035	35162	34912
10:20:20PM	NASDAQ	14887									‘cess
10:22:14PM	JAPAN	28671									‘cess

 

12/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7125 points. Change of 0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,120,988,724 a change of -9.74%

9/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7121 points. Change of 1.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,565,910,390 a change of -14.66%

8/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7030 points. Change of -1.69%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,350,338,695 a change of -5.7%

7/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7151 points. Change of 0.72%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,997,934 a change of 23.9%

6/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7100 points. Change of -0.89%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,579,399,515 a change of 38.26%

5/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7164 points. Change of 0.58%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,312,078,677 a change of -20.84%

2/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7123 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,184,057,082 a change of -10.65%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:ITRK Intertek** **LSE:ODX Omega Diags** **LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments** **LSE:PHP Primary Health** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **LSE:VEC Vectura** **

********

Updated charts published on : Avacta, Carclo, Capita, MAN, Experian, Hikma, HSBC, Intertek, Omega Diags, Oxford Instruments, Primary Health, Spirax, Tullow, Vectura,

LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 126.5 Percentage Change: -12.76% Day High: 145.5 Day Low: 125

Target met. Continued weakness against AVCT taking the price below 125 ca ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 45.9 Percentage Change: -5.07% Day High: 48.5 Day Low: 43.6

In the event Carclo experiences weakness below 43.6 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 35.21 Percentage Change: -5.20% Day High: 38 Day Low: 35.26

Weakness on Capita below 35.26 will invariably lead to 31p and possible b ……..

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LSE:EMG MAN. Close Mid-Price: 194.95 Percentage Change: + 1.19% Day High: 195.65 Day Low: 192.95

All MAN needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 195.65 to improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 2984 Percentage Change: + 1.57% Day High: 2988 Day Low: 2939

All Experian needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 2988 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma Close Mid-Price: 2616 Percentage Change: -0.27% Day High: 2632 Day Low: 2614

In the event of Hikma enjoying further trades beyond 2632, the share shou ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC Close Mid-Price: 412.85 Percentage Change: -0.30% Day High: 413.85 Day Low: 405.45

Continued weakness against HSBA taking the price below 405.45 calculates ……..

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LSE:ITRK Intertek. Close Mid-Price: 5632 Percentage Change: + 0.54% Day High: 5658 Day Low: 5578

Continued trades against ITRK with a mid-price ABOVE 5658 should improve ……..

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LSE:ODX Omega Diags Close Mid-Price: 47.5 Percentage Change: -7.77% Day High: 51 Day Low: 47.5

Continued weakness against ODX taking the price below 47.5 calculates as ……..

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LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments Close Mid-Price: 2440 Percentage Change: -0.81% Day High: 2520 Day Low: 2435

Target met. All Oxford Instruments needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 2520 ……..

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LSE:PHP Primary Health. Close Mid-Price: 161.1 Percentage Change: + 1.77% Day High: 161.5 Day Low: 158.9

Continued trades against PHP with a mid-price ABOVE 161.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax. Close Mid-Price: 14110 Percentage Change: + 0.71% Day High: 14195 Day Low: 13885

Target met. All Spirax needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 14195 to improve ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 52.48 Percentage Change: -3.46% Day High: 54.22 Day Low: 51.78

A mildly interesting picture is developing with this needing above 66 to s ……..

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LSE:VEC Vectura Close Mid-Price: 154.4 Percentage Change: -0.13% Day High: 155 Day Low: 153.8

Continued trades against VEC with a mid-price ABOVE 155 should improve th ……..

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View Previous Vectura & Big Picture ***

*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#BrentFutures #Dax We wonder if the Banking Sector is about to hit a perfect “Buy on the Rumour, Sell on the News” period. There’s been a lot of speculation the cap on bank dividend levels shall be removed this week, coming just ahead of the sectors ‘earnings season’ at the end of July. If the UK lifts its restriction on bank dividends this week, it’s anticipated Europe shall follow suit next week. This gives the media a few weeks in which to speculate on profit levels, especially as banks are reporting lower than expected losses on loans.

Add this to the vaunted “Freedom Day” of July 19th, when the UK Govt has decreed life shall return to normal and the nasty Covid-19 germ will be forbidden from harming folk, there’s certainly a fair number of reasons to anticipate a bout of optimism breaking out.

 

When we previously reviewed Barclays, we gave criteria for some reversals, along with doubt as to whether it could happen. To our surprise, the criteria triggered but so far, the bank share price has only reached 165p, marginally above our initial drop target. This situation now calculates as weakness below 165p presenting 161p with a reasonable chance of a bounce but unfortunately, our secondary “bottom” number works out at 149p.

The alternate scenario now signals above just 180p should supply a trigger level for surprise gains. Essentially, Barclays share price exceeding this level should supply early warning of some strength and as a result, we can promote 213p as a viable target initially. Our longer term secondary calculates at 225p. Visually, the concept of 213p matches the share price highs of 3 years ago, appealing to our inner nerd and suggesting this shall make a great level for some hesitation.

We’ve a fairly big however, thanks to the dodgy price movements through March and April as shown on the inset on the chart. If you’re one of these sane people who demands a share price achieves “higher highs” before risking a Long position, waiting until the share exceeds 190p remains a sensible concept.

 

After all, the market clearly indicated there was something going on at the 190p level, a number which was defended more strongly than the gates of Wembley earlier today. Perhaps when fans of Barclays storm the 190p level, a surge shall prove spectacular.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
5:50:23PM	BRENT	75.29	73.49	72.965	72.12	74.6	75.73	76.09	77.5	74	Success
5:52:39PM	GOLD	1808.42									‘cess
5:54:47PM	FTSE	7117.16									Success
6:57:10PM	FRANCE	6533.1									Success
7:16:56PM	GERMANY	15681.09	15459	15419	15326	15612	15699	15750	15858	15515	Success
7:33:36PM	US500	4369.22									‘cess
7:36:06PM	DOW	34872									Success
7:37:36PM	NASDAQ	14822
7:41:03PM	JAPAN	28484									Success

 

9/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7121 points. Change of 1.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,565,910,390 a change of -14.66%

8/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7030 points. Change of -1.69%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,350,338,695 a change of -5.7%

7/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7151 points. Change of 0.72%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,997,934 a change of 23.9%

6/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7100 points. Change of -0.89%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,579,399,515 a change of 38.26%

5/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7164 points. Change of 0.58%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,312,078,677 a change of -20.84%

2/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7123 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,184,057,082 a change of -10.65%

1/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7125 points. Change of 1.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,682,685,719 a change of -14.48%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:NG. National Glug** **LSE:VEC Vectura** **

********

Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Avacta, BALFOUR BEATTY, Carclo, Diageo, MAN, Experian, Hikma, National Glug, Vectura,

LSE:AFC AFC Energy. Close Mid-Price: 61.2 Percentage Change: + 0.16% Day High: 62 Day Low: 60.4

Perhaps hope exists, the price now needing exceed just 67 to indicate the ……..

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LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 145 Percentage Change: -5.84% Day High: 151.5 Day Low: 142.5

Weakness on Avacta below 142.5 will invariably lead to 137 with secondary ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 312.6 Percentage Change: + 0.64% Day High: 315 Day Low: 304.4

By a small amount, this became mildly interesting as movement next above 3 ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 48.35 Percentage Change: -3.30% Day High: 50.6 Day Low: 48

Continued weakness against CAR taking the price below 48 calculates as le ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo. Close Mid-Price: 3434 Percentage Change: + 0.01% Day High: 3455 Day Low: 3416.5

For some reason, 3434 has been annointed as a floor level for the last few ……..

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LSE:EMG MAN. Close Mid-Price: 192.65 Percentage Change: + 2.66% Day High: 193.8 Day Low: 187.65

Continued trades against EMG with a mid-price ABOVE 193.8 should improve ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 2938 Percentage Change: + 0.65% Day High: 2958 Day Low: 2923

Further movement against Experian ABOVE 2958 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma. Close Mid-Price: 2623 Percentage Change: + 2.18% Day High: 2625 Day Low: 2569

Further movement against Hikma ABOVE 2625 should improve acceleration tow ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glug. Close Mid-Price: 939.6 Percentage Change: + 0.43% Day High: 940.3 Day Low: 933.3

This has interesting potentials as above 942 now works out with an initial ……..

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LSE:VEC Vectura. Close Mid-Price: 154.6 Percentage Change: + 14.01% Day High: 154.4 Day Low: 152.2

In the event of Vectura enjoying further trades beyond 154.4, the share s ……..

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View Previous Vectura & Big Picture ***

*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#FreeFutures #FTSE Digging through her great-grandmothers old sewing box, my wife unearthed a spool of lead, the heavy metal roughly the same thickness as a metal clothes hanger. She explained, patiently, the long deceased relative probably planned to use the lead to add weight to a garments hem. And asked, “could I use the spool for anything?”

The answer, obviously, was YES and the little treasure was immediately spirited away and stored in the odds&ends drawer in the shed, vanishing among the collection of spare screws, fittings, and miscellaneous leftovers from self assembly furniture. Over dinner, my wife asked just what I intended use the lead for?

“No idea, but it could be really handy.”

“You know that sowing box was around 70 years old, the lead stored in a belief it would be ‘really handy’ one day?”

This moment of pause for thought actually relates to the FTSE. For quite a few weeks, I’ve been patiently adhering to the idea the UK market shall recover. This belief, stored in a little area of my brain probably shaped like a shed, has tended drive my opinions, despite the market failing to actually do anything particularly useful. But similar to this spool of lead, the belief in recovery has been protected despite the FTSE failing to do anything useful since April.

 

From a chart perspective, it’s fairly easy to lose faith, were it not for a series of ghostly trend lines on the FTSE chart. Since October last year, five trend lines established themselves and despite the FTSE breaking each uptrend, the market has recovered and in doing so, maintained the FTSE’s place as one of the slowest moving markets in the G7! We’re now at the stage where Red Trend Line #6 has broken (Important: Our criteria for a trend break demands a price close a session below the trend) and, if only due to frustration, our upbeat tone on the FTSE should perhaps end as we embrace a complete lack of optimism. Maybe we’re confusing optimism with utter boredom, due to flat market conditions?

Watching the CEO of a banking concern on TV, the interviewer was attempting to get the guy to admit Thursdays behaviour on USA markets was obviously the beginning of the end for the current stock market bubble. The response was clearly not the one desired, when instead the interviewee simply said; “markets go up and down. At present, the markets are producing all time highs and a blip on a bad day is just that, a blip.”

Hopefully he’s proven correct, the DOW needing exceed 35,000 points to completely assure us Thursday was just a blip.

 

To return to the FTSE, it closed Thursday at 7030 points. The UK index needs below 6980 to provoke some near term concerns, risking reversal toward an initial 6905 points with secondary, if broken, calculating at 6811 points. The secondary target level is a major nuisance, thanks to closure around this level placing the market at severe risk of a dive down to the 6500 level. In such an instance, the spool of lead could be repurposed into making a balloon…

 

Our alternate, optimists scenario, actually feels more likely. Should the FTSE manage to clamber above just 7038 points, we calculate the potential of a climb to 7067 points. If bettered, our secondary works out at 7139 points and returns the FTSE to a point where it risks challenging the Blue downtrend. Embedded amongst these boring numbers is a little detail worthy of mention. Should the FTSE reach 7067 points, the market exceeds the point of Thursdays trend break, suggesting the trend was wrong and conceding the little Red line should join its 5 previous incarnations in being coloured a forgetful grey.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:42:29PM	BRENT	74.15	72.7	72.085	subscribe	73.5	74.18	74.315	subscribe	72.4	‘cess
10:44:30PM	GOLD	1803.14	1793	1785		1804	1806	1810		1793	Success
10:47:18PM	FTSE	7036.38	7012	6988.5		7058	7059	7087		7008	Success
10:51:25PM	FRANCE	6399.9	6345	6306		6415	6432	6451.5		6385	Success
10:53:56PM	GERMANY	15405.65	15376	15314.5		15518	15528	15545.5		15380	Success
10:56:23PM	US500	4318.47	4302	4288		4335	4338	4352		4304	Success
10:58:35PM	DOW	34397	34104	33999		34299	34604	34675.5		34424	Success
11:00:45PM	NASDAQ	14728	14550	14497.5		14677	14804	14874		14730	Success
11:02:59PM	JAPAN	27726	27687	27603		27856	27858	27936		27693

8/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7030 points. Change of -1.69%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,350,338,695 a change of -5.7%

7/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7151 points. Change of 0.72%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,997,934 a change of 23.9%

6/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7100 points. Change of -0.89%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,579,399,515 a change of 38.26%

5/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7164 points. Change of 0.58%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,312,078,677 a change of -20.84%

2/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7123 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,184,057,082 a change of -10.65%

1/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7125 points. Change of 1.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,682,685,719 a change of -14.48%

30/06/2021 FTSE Closed at 7037 points. Change of -0.71%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,475,559,287 a change of 23.7%

 

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:EME Empyrean** **LSE:FOXT Foxtons** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:POG Petrop etc** **LSE:RMG Royal Mail** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, Barclays, Barrett Devs, BP PLC, Empyrean, Foxtons, HSBC, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Lloyds Grp., Petrop etc, Royal Mail, Standard Chartered, Tesco, Vodafone,

LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 397.8 Percentage Change: -3.35% Day High: 408.9 Day Low: 395.6

If Aviva experiences continued weakness below 395.6, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:BARC Barclays Close Mid-Price: 167.64 Percentage Change: -2.82% Day High: 170.88 Day Low: 165.22

Weakness on Barclays below 165.22 will invariably lead to 162 with second ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs Close Mid-Price: 688.8 Percentage Change: -3.64% Day High: 711.2 Day Low: 681.4

Weakness on Barrett Devs below 681.4 will invariably lead to 674 with sec ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 307.7 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 309.35 Day Low: 301.2

If BP PLC experiences continued weakness below 301, it will invariably le ……..

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LSE:EME Empyrean. Close Mid-Price: 8.5 Percentage Change: + 3.66% Day High: 8.9 Day Low: 8.15

Target met. Continued trades against EME with a mid-price ABOVE 8.9 shoul ……..

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LSE:FOXT Foxtons Close Mid-Price: 57.7 Percentage Change: -2.37% Day High: 58.7 Day Low: 55.8

This is still a bit dodgy, despite failing to drop yet. Below 55 now point ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC Close Mid-Price: 410.6 Percentage Change: -1.76% Day High: 413.7 Day Low: 406.7

If HSBC experiences continued weakness below 406.7, it will invariably le ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Close Mid-Price: 4734 Percentage Change: -2.55% Day High: 4839 Day Low: 4667

Weakness on Intercontinental Hotels Group below 4667 will invariably lead ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp. Close Mid-Price: 45.62 Percentage Change: -2.51% Day High: 46.38 Day Low: 44.95

Target met. In the event Lloyds Grp. experiences weakness below 44.95 it ……..

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LSE:POG Petrop etc Close Mid-Price: 22.92 Percentage Change: -2.30% Day High: 23.54 Day Low: 22.84

If Petrop etc experiences continued weakness below 22.84, it will invaria ……..

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LSE:RMG Royal Mail Close Mid-Price: 568.6 Percentage Change: -0.94% Day High: 571.4 Day Low: 560.4

Weakness on Royal Mail below 560.4 will invariably lead to 544 with secon ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered Close Mid-Price: 446 Percentage Change: -1.20% Day High: 450.9 Day Low: 442.7

Weakness on Standard Chartered below 442.7 will invariably lead to 415 wi ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco Close Mid-Price: 234.25 Percentage Change: -1.35% Day High: 240.85 Day Low: 233.8

All Tesco needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 240.85 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 117.86 Percentage Change: -1.02% Day High: 119.1 Day Low: 116.66

In the event Vodafone experiences weakness below 116.66 it calculates wit ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#BrentCrude #SP500 Excited news headlines of a company striking Silver in Cornwall certainly provided a bit of a ‘duh?’ moment. Despite being utterly unfamiliar with the geological strata of the area, a surprising research source had already informed me Silver from Cornwall was hardly something new. Quite the opposite, if the dodgy research source could be trusted! Being one of these folk who’ll read anything, trapped in a hospital room with nothing but romance novelist Catherine Cookson to read, her book (the title escapes me) dealt with the nitty gritty of mining in Cornwall, thankfully about as distant from her presumed ‘bodice ripping’ style of writing as it gets. To my horror, the book proved enjoyable and informative. It remains the only Catherine Cookson novel I’ve read, just in case I get sucked down a rabbit hole!

Already armed with knowledge of Cornwalls 18th century past and the hunt for tin and copper in the area, the newspaper article on Cornish Metals Inc was approached with some scepticism, expecting an attempt to drive expectations, along with the share price, unrealistically high. Thankfully, Cornish Metals own website pays suitable homage to the areas history, the company providing a reasonable history of the industry.

Our utter distrust for anything to do with Silver is fairly straightforward, regarding the price of the metal as dangerously manipulated, thanks to market events ten years ago in April 2011. We remain puzzled why there was never a financial investigation into the price movement and, to this day, our distrust remains to such an extent we never cover Silver futures. Presently trading around 28USD, the big picture advises we shouldn’t be surprised if the market finds a reason to dump the price back to the 14 dollar level, probably making the extraction process unprofitable. However, it appears Cornish Metals are about more than Silver from Cornwall, their website even making mention of Lithium. As a result, some further investigation is justified.

 

From our numbers standpoint, share price movements next exceeding 15.2p calculate with an initial potential of 16.4p. With the share trading at 14.98p at time of writing, this hardly represents the most emphatic price jump. However, should 16.4p be exceeded, we can calculate a longer term secondary at 19p. Above this level, we shall need stir the tea leaves again as currently we cannot calculate higher.

 

To promote alarm bells, the share price will need slip below 13p. Such reversal risks the clutches of reversal down to 9.75p with secondary, if broken, a bottom at 6.5p.

Massive thanks to the folk who showed their approval of the adverts on this page by checking them out. The additional income generated still buys our morning coffees!

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:45:31PM	BRENT	73.19	72.37	72.025	70.15	73.95	75.76	76.33	77.65	73.9	Success
10:47:36PM	GOLD	1803.84
10:49:54PM	FTSE	7151.19									Success
10:52:36PM	FRANCE	6534.6									Success
10:54:37PM	GERMANY	15712									Success
11:07:19PM	US500	4358.97	4329	4324	4311	4346	4362	4366	4377	4350	Shambles
11:09:45PM	DOW	34698									‘cess
11:12:18PM	NASDAQ	14819									Success
11:12:39PM	JAPAN	28347	Nothing	making	sense

 

7/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7151 points. Change of 0.72%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,997,934 a change of 23.9%

6/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7100 points. Change of -0.89%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,579,399,515 a change of 38.26%

5/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7164 points. Change of 0.58%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,312,078,677 a change of -20.84%

2/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7123 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,184,057,082 a change of -10.65%

1/07/2021 FTSE Closed at 7125 points. Change of 1.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,682,685,719 a change of -14.48%

30/06/2021 FTSE Closed at 7037 points. Change of -0.71%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,475,559,287 a change of 23.7%

29/06/2021 FTSE Closed at 7087 points. Change of 0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,426,489,456 a change of -5.63%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:EME Empyrean** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments** **LSE:PHP Primary Health** **LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **LSE:ZOL Zoldav** **

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Updated charts published on : Avacta, Block Energy PLC, BP PLC, Empyrean, Experian, Oxford Instruments, Primary Health, Reabold Resources PLC, Sainsbury, Spirax, Standard Chartered, Tesco, Vodafone, Zoldav,

LSE:AVCT Avacta. Close Mid-Price: 160 Percentage Change: + 3.90% Day High: 159 Day Low: 145.5

Target Met, albeit with an opening second plunge… Movement continuing ab ……..

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LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC Close Mid-Price: 2.55 Percentage Change: -7.27% Day High: 2.75 Day Low: 2.45

If Block Energy PLC experiences continued weakness below 2.45, it will in ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC Close Mid-Price: 307.7 Percentage Change: -1.00% Day High: 317.65 Day Low: 305.95

Continued weakness against BP. taking the price below 305.95 calculates a ……..

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LSE:EME Empyrean. Close Mid-Price: 8.2 Percentage Change: + 3.80% Day High: 8.3 Day Low: 7.9

Target met. All Empyrean needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 8.3 to improve ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 2943 Percentage Change: + 2.33% Day High: 2949 Day Low: 2881

Target met. Continued trades against EXPN with a mid-price ABOVE 2949 sho ……..

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LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments. Close Mid-Price: 2470 Percentage Change: + 1.65% Day High: 2505 Day Low: 2420

In the event of Oxford Instruments enjoying further trades beyond 2505, t ……..

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LSE:PHP Primary Health. Close Mid-Price: 160.8 Percentage Change: + 0.88% Day High: 160.8 Day Low: 159.1

All Primary Health needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 160.8 to improve acce ……..

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LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC Close Mid-Price: 0.42 Percentage Change: -4.55% Day High: 0.44 Day Low: 0.39

In the event Reabold Resources PLC experiences weakness below 0.39 it cal ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury. Close Mid-Price: 285.4 Percentage Change: + 2.00% Day High: 286 Day Low: 280.5

Target met. Further movement against Sainsbury ABOVE 286 should improve a ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax. Close Mid-Price: 14075 Percentage Change: + 1.96% Day High: 14095 Day Low: 13805

Target met. Continued trades against SPX with a mid-price ABOVE 14095 sho ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered. Close Mid-Price: 451.4 Percentage Change: + 0.11% Day High: 454.8 Day Low: 447.2

In the event Standard Chartered experiences weakness below 447.2 it calcu ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 237.45 Percentage Change: + 1.37% Day High: 238.9 Day Low: 232.95

Further movement against Tesco ABOVE 238.9 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 119.08 Percentage Change: -0.17% Day High: 120.26 Day Low: 118.58

Weakness on Vodafone below 118.58 will invariably lead to 104 and probabl ……..

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LSE:ZOL Zoldav. Close Mid-Price: 46.5 Percentage Change: + 6.90% Day High: 48 Day Low: 43.5

All Zoldav needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 48 to improve acceleration to ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.