When Bitcoin met De La Rue (COIN:BTCUSD & LSE:DLAR)

When Bitcoin met De La Rue (COIN:BTCUSD & LSE:DLAR) 54,644 and 55.34 at time of writing. #BTCUSD #DLAR It was an unusual day on Monday in many respects. From a personal viewpoint, glancing out the bedroom window revealed a ship called The Waverly going past. It’s the last sea-going paddle steamer in the world, one which brings back unpleasant memories. Back in the day, it was a popular corporate venue companies such as Vauxhall, Chrysler, Esso, BP or Shell, hiring it fairly regularly for “fun” trips down the River Clyde with a splash around the Isle of Arran, the thing going at full speed all the time. Meanwhile, the free bars below deck ensured guests completely ignored the scenery with only the Ceilidh band above decks blasting out Scottish dance tunes. My unpleasant memories of the vessel stem from our company selling all the foregoing corporate products with the result an evening on board became less of an honour, more a reason to reward staff members on a booze cruise. Unfortunately, literally on my 18th Birthday, Vauxhall organised their annual cruise with the result it became something of a mission amongst folk from our company to get me utterly hammered when I could now drink legally.

Once the vessel rounded Arran, I suffered the entire journey back to Glasgow, closely admiring the water over the rear guard rail, discovering whisky isn’t as much fun when it comes back out. Inevitably, a few months later, one of the oil companies hired the boat with me once again designated as the representative of the company, a convenient 18 year old family member who was gullible. It proved an unpleasant replay of the first trip, this time a comedy of errors ensured my mother was collecting my corpse from the dock. Needless to say, my dad and cousins were banned from ever letting me go on corporate junkets as the official family representative. Until, a particular golf competition at Gleneagles but that’s another story… From about the age of 11, playing 18 holes every day at a local council course with my Mum, Dad, my friends, or alone, provided a surprising skill set.

The main issue behind this story is the snapshot through the window shows just 18 people on deck, while the vessel charges through our usual August monsoon weather here in Argyll. Perhaps many more were below decks in the sumptuous bars and dining areas but, it’s doubtful.

 

Something similarly unpleasant appears to be happening with the markets and inevitably, we chose DLAR and Bitcoin as “cases in point” as they both look to be in trouble. De La Rue prove especially irritating, the company managing to lose their contract – AFTER Brexit – to a French/German organisation to produce UK Passports. Quite how they managed this remains a mystery as surely the most naive PR Consultant should have been able to pressure the UK Government to favour a UK Company. Instead, it was decided the ability of DLAR to produce plastic bank notes could continue, the company potentially able to flourish with their digital signature bias. We were not impressed with the Boris Johnson ability to allow a leading UK company, after Brexit, to lose the contract to print UK Passports overseas. A mainstay of the Brexit argument had been to stop this sort of thing happening, a concept which was somehow lost in 2019 without any rational explanation.

The markets look destined to experience a surprise recovery on Tuesday and as always, traders will ignore 10% down days are quite different from 10% up days. It’s really simple, if an index is at 1,000 and experiences a 10% drop, it finds itself at 900 points. Should it experience a 10% gain the next day, it will find itself at 990 points, failing to recover from its loss and actually experiencing a lower high. Cutting a long story short, even though Tuesday and Wednesday may show recovery in Europe and the USA, we are just a little cynical.

 

Returning to De La Rue, their share price is looking troublesome as movement below 88p looks capable of triggering reversal to an initial 86p with secondary, if/when broken at 79p and hopefully a bottom capable of generating a rebound. The share price needs exceed 96p to attain a degree of safety, thus providing a reasonable stop loss level.

As for BitCoin, our historical abhorrence of crypto currency ensured we are a little cynical about recent moves, suggesting below 48,785 shall prove dangerous, allowing weakness to an initial 41,274 with our secondary, at a stupid sounding 27,874 dollars. The problem with our secondary level is it makes quite a lot of visual sense! All things considered, a rebound from the 41K level shall make a lot more sense than continued reversals but it’s BitCoin, so who knows.

As for De La Rue, so call their share price a mess would be an understatement,  everything depends on the share closing price but, to be fair, they look a little stuffed.

But some hope is offered by movement above just 8,126 points leading to an initial 8,297 with secondary, if beaten, at an unlikely 8,424 points. We distrust this calculation. Instead, it feels more likely, doubtless later in the week, share price travel below 7,915 shall provoke reversals to an initial 8,652 with our secondary, when broken, a probable bottom of 7,928.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:31:20PM BRENT 7726.1 7505 7395 7108 7744 7740 7830 7939 7609 ‘cess
11:03:14PM GOLD 2410.15 2363 2343 2339 2396 2413 2427 2448 2400 Success
12:29:56AM FTSE 8043 7991 7911 7721 8068 8068 8128 8199 8007 Success
12:45:06AM STOX50 4603.8 4473 4418 4182 4574 4635 4698 4773 4563 ‘cess
1:17:26AM GERMANY 17463.9 17023 16881 16197 17295 17651 17815 18079 17402 ‘cess
1:26:34AM US500 5233.4 5092 5056 4991 5224 5254 5329 5408 5164 Success
1:35:07AM DOW 38932 38397 38201 37143 38828 39158 39903 40406 38854 Success
1:38:54AM NASDAQ 18143.8 17244 16991 15740 17712 18270 18744 19244 17798 ‘cess
1:45:51AM JAPAN 34239 32923 32600 32026 33381 34345 36812 38952 33775 ‘cess

 

5/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8008 points. Change of -2.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,714,993,159 a change of 12.21%
2/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8174 points. Change of -1.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,875,472,629 a change of 20.68%
1/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8283 points. Change of -1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,697,242,185 a change of -8.56%
31/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8367 points. Change of 1.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,230,318,806 a change of 19.13%
30/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8274 points. Change of -0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,229,655,790 a change of 9.68%
29/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8292 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,768,279,831 a change of 1.53%
26/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8285 points. Change of 1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,696,468,997 a change of -12.32%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:GENL Genel** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:JET Just Eat** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:PHP Primary Health** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Avacta, BP PLC, Centrica, MAN, Genel, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Just Eat, Lloyds Grp., OPG Power Ventures, Parkmead, Scancell, Tullow,


LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 13.7 Percentage Change: -4.86% Day High: 14.18 Day Low: 13.3

If AFC Energy experiences continued weakness below 13.3, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 57 Percentage Change: -8.06% Day High: 61 Day Low: 52

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LSE:BP. BP PLC Close Mid-Price: 431 Percentage Change: -3.10% Day High: 435.85 Day Low: 427.15

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LSE:CCL Carnival Close Mid-Price: 1034 Percentage Change: -2.50% Day High: 1036.5 Day Low: 966.2

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LSE:CNA Centrica Close Mid-Price: 121.25 Percentage Change: -4.72% Day High: 124.75 Day Low: 120.8

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LSE:EMG MAN Close Mid-Price: 222.6 Percentage Change: -3.64% Day High: 226.4 Day Low: 219.4

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LSE:GENL Genel Close Mid-Price: 77.7 Percentage Change: -6.05% Day High: 82.5 Day Low: 77.1

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Close Mid-Price: 7354 Percentage Change: -0.16% Day High: 7410 Day Low: 7192

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LSE:JET Just Eat Close Mid-Price: 909 Percentage Change: -3.19% Day High: 921 Day Low: 861

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp. Close Mid-Price: 54.56 Percentage Change: -1.41% Day High: 54.68 Day Low: 52.76

Target met. Weakness on Lloyds Grp. below 52.76 will invariably lead to 5 ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures Close Mid-Price: 9.3 Percentage Change: -5.10% Day High: 9.75 Day Low: 9.25

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LSE:PHP Primary Health Close Mid-Price: 92.7 Percentage Change: -0.91% Day High: 92.95 Day Low: 89.15

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LSE:PMG Parkmead Close Mid-Price: 11.5 Percentage Change: -8.00% Day High: 12.5 Day Low: 11.5

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LSE:SCLP Scancell Close Mid-Price: 15.8 Percentage Change: -1.25% Day High: 16.2 Day Low: 15.25

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 27.96 Percentage Change: -4.38% Day High: 28.4 Day Low: 27.22

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Lloyds Banking Group (LSE:LLOY) around 55.34 at time of writing

#Brent #Dax  Growing up on the outskirts of Glasgow, a favourite saying at this time of year was; “Red Sky at Night, Stolen Car Alight”. With the fun and games in parts of England over the weekend, doubtless other folk are adopting the pithy country saying to their own areas, where wheelie bins have been weaponised. In the wider world, something rather more horrifying has been happening for the last few hours. Apparently, Iran is expected to fire missiles at Israel with the result, quite a few folk are Live Streaming from the region in the hope of catching some live action. Perhaps it’s proving the show title cliché; ‘the Revolution will be Televised’ but the ghoulish nature of watching Israel’s skyline in the hope of catching a missile attack is quite dreadful.

It looks like the markets may be reacting to the threat of war in the Middle East or, more likely, reacting to the very probable threat of Israel responding forcefully. What’s a bit surprising though, the price of Oil has been dropping quite fast and at $76, is now trading in a zone where a visit to $71 has become possible with our eventual secondary in the 50’s. Of course, this doesn’t gel with the chances of a live fire conflict in the oil producing region but, texting a chum who’s involved in a university “dig” in Jerusalem, she doesn’t think anything is expected and was out at a nightclub…

 

With everything going on, we’re not exactly sold on positive movements for Lloyds anytime soon, instead anticipating quite the opposite. From a fairly immediate viewpoint, weakness below 55p looks capable of triggering reversals down to an initial 54.1p and hopefully a rebound. Our secondary, should such a level break, calculates at 51.4p and the prospect of longer term trouble. Danger signs become writ large, should 51.4 break as a cycle to 48.2 becomes expected, dragging the bank share price back below the Blue downtrend since 2009, threatening to dump the share price into a region where the recovery cycle will need to start again.

Obviously, this should provoke the central banks to reduce interest rates fast, finally admitting they got everything wrong.

On the converse side, Lloyds now needs exceed 57.4 to give any hope, once again entering a zone with an ambition at 65.8p and beyond. From what we can see of the futures markets tonight (substantially more frightening than Tel Aviv’s skyline) the markets looks like they are losing confidence. Doubtless the UK media shall spin it to blame imaginary Right Wing Activists.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
10:20:20PM BRENT 7734.7 7674 7625 7425 7800 8050 8233 8434 7920
10:31:40PM GOLD 2443.13
10:39:00PM FTSE 8218
10:48:59PM STOX50 4654.8
11:46:42PM GERMANY 17716.4 17535 17335 16804 17750 17926 18093 18278 17612
1:21:57AM US500 5273
1:28:31AM DOW 39380
1:33:33AM NASDAQ 18104
1:45:26AM JAPAN 34032

 

2/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8174 points. Change of -1.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,875,472,629 a change of 20.68%
1/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8283 points. Change of -1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,697,242,185 a change of -8.56%
31/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8367 points. Change of 1.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,230,318,806 a change of 19.13%
30/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8274 points. Change of -0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,229,655,790 a change of 9.68%
29/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8292 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,768,279,831 a change of 1.53%
26/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8285 points. Change of 1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,696,468,997 a change of -12.32%
25/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8186 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,356,362,048 a change of 4.45%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **

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Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Avacta, Astrazeneca, MAN, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Lloyds Grp., National Glib, OPG Power Ventures,


LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 14.4 Percentage Change: -2.96% Day High: 14.82 Day Low: 13.5

Target met. In the event AFC Energy experiences weakness below 13.5 it ca ……..

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LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 62 Percentage Change: -6.06% Day High: 66 Day Low: 62

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LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 12610 Percentage Change: + 0.78% Day High: 12792 Day Low: 12466

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LSE:EMG MAN Close Mid-Price: 231 Percentage Change: -3.02% Day High: 235.4 Day Low: 227.6

Target met. If MAN experiences continued weakness below 227.6, it will in ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Close Mid-Price: 7366 Percentage Change: -3.33% Day High: 7524 Day Low: 7282

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp. Close Mid-Price: 55.34 Percentage Change: -1.46% Day High: 56.38 Day Low: 55.04

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 997 Percentage Change: + 1.73% Day High: 1006.5 Day Low: 977.4

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures. Close Mid-Price: 9.8 Percentage Change: + 0.51% Day High: 9.8 Day Low: 9.65

Weakness on OPG Power Ventures below 9.65 will invariably lead to 9.4 wit ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX) around 8283 at time of writing

#FTSE #WallSt  Our pessimistic outlook for the market, in the event of an interest rate cut by the Bank of England, proved not to be a wasted emotion, the FTSE indeed doing the opposite of what was expected.  An upward spike at the open to 8405 was paid back in full by subsequent reversals to 8268 and a potential bounce. To be honest, we suspect Friday shall provide some gains for the FTSE, hopefully NOT with an artificial spike upward in the opening seconds.

We think there was very real uncertainty about “what to do” in the early hours of Thursday, several companies showing quite different Futures values for various markets. This created a situation, where we felt it unwise to provide Short potentials across the FTSE or European markets, while the USA proved impossible to predict with any degree of confidence. Maybe it’s been such a long time, the markets are forgetting what they do when faced with a sure thing!

Friday 2nd August expects the US to provide their Payrolls numbers at 1.30pm UK time. Given the majority of states numbers will be guesstimates, due to the proximity to the start of the month, it’s almost inevitable the collated reports shall show more than 175,000 jobs created, this being the estimated number by analysts. Exceeding such a target will cause the markets to spike, the FTSE usually opting to follow along, and we’ve come to expect “estimates” always to be optimistically wrong. When the real numbers are drip fed in the coming week, we expect the markets will experience a series of reversals.

 

It certainly looks like the FTSE has decided to abandon the previous median level of 8200 points, probably heading upward to another parking level for the month of August until mid-September by which time the big players will all have returned from their Centre Parks holidays. Routinely, here in Argyll, we joke about tourist numbers but this year it’s becoming unusual to hear a Scottish accent, event when out with the pets. A favourite walk revealed a family who’d taken quite a lot of effort to move themselves, their picnic furniture, their children, to a low water pebble island which has appeared in the middle of a river. Feeling mildly sorry for the invaders, I pointed out there was a completely empty, pristine sandy beach on the shore, just around the next bend in the river. My Golden Retriever, after ascertaining no food was available to steal, continued her walk up the middle of the river, still refusing to come out. She thinks it’s funny but, when we reverse course, she’s capable of pretending to swim fast with the current behind her.

As for Friday, the FTSE is showing some quite interesting potentials. If we are correct in our supposition the forced reversal to 8268 points on Thursday should now be rewarded with some upward travel, next above 8321 points should prove capable of a lift to an initial 8380 points with our secondary, if bettered, calculating at an impressive 8468 points. This creates a montage, of higher highs, meaning we shall view a long term 8604 points as creating an influence. If triggered, the tightest stop looks like a massive 8230, perhaps confirming an illusion the index is about to be “trapped” in a zone between 8200 and 8600 points.

 

If things intend go horribly wrong, below 8268 could be dangerous, presenting the scenario of reversal to an initial 8209 with our secondary, if broken, at 8139 points.

Have a good weekend, even though Formula1 is on holiday.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
10:16:51PM BRENT 7997.8 7942 7926 8023 8163 8247 8109
10:22:07PM GOLD 2445.88 2430 2418 2443 2463 2468 2442
10:25:07PM FTSE 8291.8 8259 8212 8283 8311 8322 8282
10:27:50PM STOX50 4746 4729 4709 4759 4851 4901 4808
10:31:57PM GERMANY 18053.5 17977 17925 18107 18334 18483 18220
10:34:49PM US500 5436.3 5408 5339 5452 5481 5506 5415
10:40:27PM DOW 40236 40097 40058 40253 40430 40524 40270
10:44:32PM NASDAQ 18831.6 18723 18656 18931 19101 19260 18980
10:48:17PM JAPAN 36765 36448 36386 36913 38204 38705 37756

 

1/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8283 points. Change of -1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,697,242,185 a change of -8.56%
31/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8367 points. Change of 1.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,230,318,806 a change of 19.13%
30/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8274 points. Change of -0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,229,655,790 a change of 9.68%
29/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8292 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,768,279,831 a change of 1.53%
26/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8285 points. Change of 1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,696,468,997 a change of -12.32%
25/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8186 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,356,362,048 a change of 4.45%
24/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8153 points. Change of -0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,128,130,189 a change of -2.6%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:SPT Spirent Comms** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

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Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Barclays, Greggs, International Distribution, IG Group, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Lloyds Grp., Marks and Spencer, Rockhopper, Rolls Royce, Spirent Comms, Tesco,


LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 14.84 Percentage Change: -1.07% Day High: 15.58 Day Low: 14.7

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LSE:BARC Barclays Close Mid-Price: 222.9 Percentage Change: -4.66% Day High: 241.65 Day Low: 222.25

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LSE:GRG Greggs. Close Mid-Price: 3140 Percentage Change: + 0.19% Day High: 3194 Day Low: 3122

All Greggs needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 3194 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:IDS International Distribution. Close Mid-Price: 347 Percentage Change: + 0.58% Day High: 349.2 Day Low: 339.6

Target met. All International Distribution needs are mid-price trades ABO ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 934.5 Percentage Change: -0.32% Day High: 953 Day Low: 931.5

All IG Group needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 953 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Close Mid-Price: 7620 Percentage Change: -2.81% Day High: 7856 Day Low: 7614

Weakness on Intercontinental Hotels Group below 7614 will invariably lead ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp. Close Mid-Price: 56.16 Percentage Change: -5.74% Day High: 58.84 Day Low: 56.3

Continued weakness against LLOY taking the price below 56.3 calculates as ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer. Close Mid-Price: 331.2 Percentage Change: + 0.88% Day High: 339.4 Day Low: 331

Target met. All Marks and Spencer needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 339.4 ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 15.05 Percentage Change: + 2.91% Day High: 15.4 Day Low: 15

Continued trades against RKH with a mid-price ABOVE 15.4 should improve t ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 481.1 Percentage Change: + 7.01% Day High: 502.8 Day Low: 477.5

Target met. Continued trades against RR. with a mid-price ABOVE 502.8 sho ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell. Close Mid-Price: 16 Percentage Change: + 3.23% Day High: 16 Day Low: 15.5

Further movement against Scancell ABOVE 16 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:SPT Spirent Comms Close Mid-Price: 172.5 Percentage Change: -0.29% Day High: 174.5 Day Low: 168.1

Weakness on Spirent Comms below 168.1 will invariably lead to 160p possib ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco Close Mid-Price: 330.1 Percentage Change: -0.45% Day High: 335.2 Day Low: 330

Further movement against Tesco ABOVE 335.2 should improve acceleration to ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Brent Crude (CCOM:OILBRENT) around 8144 at time of writing.

#Gold #Japan  The end of July brought some really strange movements to the markets, forcing us to emblazon “nothing makes sense” against an astounding 5 different types of futures. As usual, it’s probably the UK’s fault with the Bank of England speculated to lower interest rates from their criminally high levels. The Futures market appears to be taking this as “a sure thing”, desperately trying to factor in the rises, a helpful feature intended to stop traders worrying about taking profit from market gains while the world celebrates something positive finally happening.

We’re not entirely convinced the markets have fully factored in the potentials, given the FTSE (for instance) could easily out accelerate everyone else, given our potential target level at 8482 points. It’d only be fair, given the FTSE ability to languish behind every other market. If only the stock markets actually “did” fair, instead tending to mimic the Metropolitan Police by only going after easy targets and dodging the hard ones. Somehow, there seems to be a belief folk in the UK miss the obvious. Reports across Europe of knife crimes are being blamed on folk with mental health issues, while folk protesting are labelled as “Right Wing Activists”.  As always, a compliant UK media fails to offer any serious investigation as to what’s going on, the UK press now at the stage of not being able to give away newspapers in some areas.

 

In a few hours we should know what’s ahead for UK Interest Rates but meanwhile, we’re once again slightly interested in Brent Crude, the product almost at the point where it must start dripping lower. Usually, this is the time when we cynically expect OPEC to announce something drastic or the Saudi’s to experience a fire, and more commonly, Russia accused of something heinous, thus causing the price of oil to spike. This being the case, we shall not be aghast if movement next above 8200 provokes a surge in the direction of an initial 8490 with our secondary, if beaten, at 8785.

Our distrust of “obviously independent” market forces in based on harsh experience, teaching us when the markets reach a point where something must happen, always expect the exact opposite too. It’s a dreadful way to think but successfully handles the possibility of being utterly wrong.

If the price of Brent Crude intends play fair, below 7800 cents currently looks capable of generating reversal to an initial 6859 with our secondary, if broken, at 6087 and the potential for a bounce. As a caution, we’ve painted a third level target on the bounce, should such a secondary break, and it works out as a bottom of 50 dollars.

 

In the words of pop group, The Kaiser Chiefs, all we can say (in slightly bad taste) is “We predict a Riot…”

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
1:21:46AM BRENT 8143 ‘cess
1:33:04AM GOLD 2445.94 2436 2431 2413 2447 2450 2465 2486 2443 Success
1:37:06AM FTSE 8384 Success
1:39:45AM STOX50 4880.6 Success
1:44:37AM GERMANY 18501 Success
1:47:57AM US500 5553.6
1:50:02AM DOW 40908 ‘cess
1:53:16AM NASDAQ 19527 ‘cess
1:55:54AM JAPAN 38175 37955 36220 34131 38706 38774 39070 39467 38550 Success

 

31/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8367 points. Change of 1.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,230,318,806 a change of 19.13%
30/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8274 points. Change of -0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,229,655,790 a change of 9.68%
29/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8292 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,768,279,831 a change of 1.53%
26/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8285 points. Change of 1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,696,468,997 a change of -12.32%
25/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8186 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,356,362,048 a change of 4.45%
24/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8153 points. Change of -0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,128,130,189 a change of -2.6%
23/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8167 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,265,250,514 a change of 15.55%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Barrett Devs, Carclo, Greggs, International Personal Finance, Marks and Spencer, National Glib, Sainsbury, Scancell, Tesco, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 500.2 Percentage Change: + 0.34% Day High: 504.6 Day Low: 498.5

Continued trades against AV. with a mid-price ABOVE 504.6 should improve ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs. Close Mid-Price: 526.6 Percentage Change: + 0.04% Day High: 538.2 Day Low: 527.6

Further movement against Barrett Devs ABOVE 538.2 should improve accelera ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 32.4 Percentage Change: -3.57% Day High: 35.8 Day Low: 32.6

Continued trades against CAR with a mid-price ABOVE 35.8 should improve t ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs. Close Mid-Price: 3134 Percentage Change: + 1.69% Day High: 3138 Day Low: 3086

Continued trades against GRG with a mid-price ABOVE 3138 should improve t ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 154 Percentage Change: + 11.59% Day High: 155.5 Day Low: 139

Target met. Continued trades against IPF with a mid-price ABOVE 155.5 sho ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 328.3 Percentage Change: -0.91% Day High: 334 Day Low: 326.4

In the event of Marks and Spencer enjoying further trades beyond 334, the ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 986 Percentage Change: + 0.61% Day High: 992.2 Day Low: 983

In the event of National Glib enjoying further trades beyond 992.2, the s ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury Close Mid-Price: 275.4 Percentage Change: -0.79% Day High: 279.4 Day Low: 275

In the event of Sainsbury enjoying further trades beyond 279.4, the share ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell. Close Mid-Price: 15.5 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 15.75 Day Low: 15.03

Continued trades against SCLP with a mid-price ABOVE 15.75 should improve ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco Close Mid-Price: 331.6 Percentage Change: -0.03% Day High: 334.2 Day Low: 330.5

Target met. Continued trades against TSCO with a mid-price ABOVE 334.2 sh ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 159.35 Percentage Change: + 0.50% Day High: 163.25 Day Low: 159.2

Target met. Further movement against Taylor Wimpey ABOVE 163.25 should im ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Marks and Spencer Group Plc (LSE:MKS) doing well without lingerie…

#FTSE #DOW  Retail can be a funny old business, an area in which rather a few business’ in Scotland utterly fail. For instance, visiting one of the more impressive local beaches on Monday, with wry amusement we noticed the once fabulous cafe positioned overlooking this secret treasure on the local Isle of Bute was closed both Sunday and Tuesday. Hot tip: Check tides before visiting as a 1 mile walk awaits across wet sands at low tide until you arrive at the sea. On a hot day, dogs are not amused.

The constant incompetence of Scotlands retail industry to become a service industry has always been a national embarrassment and despite significant changes over the years, ingrained habits remain. As easy “for instance” exists in the impoverished town of Dunoon in Argyll, somewhere you do not want to try and get a fish supper on a Sunday. We’d driven off the ferry, deciding it would be nice to munch an a chippy for the drive home in Argyll. All of the towns Fish’n’Chip shops shut on a Sunday, emphatically not a religious thing. The Argyll town of Dunoon compares itself as always losing out to Oban, yet fails to realise it’s raining soup and they’ve not discovered soup bowls.

 

Okay, this is a pet gripe, literally due to making a mistake on Sunday after watching the Grand Prix with friends, then thinking we’d get a takeaway to munch for dinner, on the final leg of the way home. And on Tuesday, deciding to have lunch at Ettrick Bay Cafe proved a terrible idea, especially as the dogs always look forward to their ice cream. It was shut. Instead, we discovered the nearest post office had also opened a cafe, along with an outdoors area with fabulous views of surrounding buildings. But the food was great, the new owners delighted in our praise for the changes.

Scottish Retail, or Service Industry, is certainly an area where the Scottish Government should probably appoint a Tsar, a successfully retailer whose retired from a multi-national like M&S. It’s funny, my own father received quite a lot of stick, when he opted to open his car showrooms on a Sunday, the usual complaints being based on religion, along with damaging the family unit. The crafty sod ensured us children were gainfully employed, thereafter, and I grudgingly recall his “award” of 15p an hour, along with a time card, for my services! Of course, keen to abuse the system, I would happily cycle to an outlet after school, clocking in and spending time making tea or pushing a broom. Or more commonly, sitting in a discrete corner of an office, listening to the chatter. One week, the payroll dragon, a terrifying lady called Mrs Banner, pointed out to my Dad I’d over 60 hours on my time card. This privilege was revoked but I was given “dibs” on checking trade-ins at weekends, searching for coins under the rear seats. This was often a profitable exercise, eventually paying for my first motorcycle, a clapped out 1949 AJS 500 single.

 

This has quite a lot to do with M&S, a company which has often ignored norms in retail and simply pushed ahead. Their initiative with M&S Food merging with prime location retail filling stations was the first clue the company were thinking outside the box with the initial outlets remaining rather successful. And despite the terrible social mood in the UK, M&S share price looks extremely capable of providing further improvements, despite some terrible behaviour since 2020.

Currently, above 333p looks capable of provoking a rise to an extremely important 344p, a big deal from a Big Picture perspective and leaving the share “at risk” of entering a longer term cycle to an initial 430p with our secondary, if beaten, a future attraction from 501p.

And this sermon is, why Argyll food outlets should not all shut on a Sunday! M&S share price needs below 285 to spark a panic as it risks an eventual reversal to 177p.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:20:04PM BRENT 7845.6 7802 7724 7528 8032 7924 7956 8008 7856 ‘cess
10:23:24PM GOLD 2410.57 2382 2372 2358 2399 2414 2422 2430 2404 ‘cess
10:33:19PM FTSE 8282.4 8233 8174 8109 8282 8302 8364 8465 8232 Success
10:46:38PM STOX50 4829.8 4808 4803 4783 4834 4855 4861 4879 4835 ‘cess
10:50:47PM GERMANY 18393 18297 18271 18205 18440 18460 18508 18578 18380
10:53:53PM US500 5413.9 5395 5384 5347 5436 5456 5476 5503 5426 Success
10:58:22PM DOW 40548.5 40480 40337 40160 40672 40912 41012 42008 40395 ‘cess
11:02:38PM NASDAQ 18723.9 18576 18144 17280 19038 19165 19396 19665 18933
11:06:47PM JAPAN 38074 37896 37772 37454 38209 38710 38781 39257 38587

 

30/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8274 points. Change of -0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,229,655,790 a change of 9.68%
29/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8292 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,768,279,831 a change of 1.53%
26/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8285 points. Change of 1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,696,468,997 a change of -12.32%
25/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8186 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,356,362,048 a change of 4.45%
24/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8153 points. Change of -0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,128,130,189 a change of -2.6%
23/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8167 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,265,250,514 a change of 15.55%
22/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8198 points. Change of 0.53%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,556,598,316 a change of 4.43%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:JET Just Eat** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Carclo, Diageo, Greggs, IG Group, Just Eat, Marks and Spencer, Sainsbury, Scancell,


LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 498.5 Percentage Change: + 1.10% Day High: 500 Day Low: 491.8

All Aviva needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 500 to improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo. Close Mid-Price: 33.6 Percentage Change: + 0.30% Day High: 34.8 Day Low: 34.4

All Carclo needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 34.8 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 2418 Percentage Change: -5.08% Day High: 2436.5 Day Low: 2275

Target met. Continued weakness against DGE taking the price below 2275 ca ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs. Close Mid-Price: 3082 Percentage Change: + 4.97% Day High: 3122 Day Low: 2914

Target met. In the event of Greggs enjoying further trades beyond 3122, t ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 934 Percentage Change: -0.59% Day High: 946.5 Day Low: 929.5

Further movement against IG Group ABOVE 946.5 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:JET Just Eat. Close Mid-Price: 914 Percentage Change: + 2.01% Day High: 917 Day Low: 889

Weakness on Just Eat below 889 will invariably lead to 860p with secondar ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer. Close Mid-Price: 331.3 Percentage Change: + 1.81% Day High: 331.4 Day Low: 323.5

Target met. Continued trades against MKS with a mid-price ABOVE 331.4 sho ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury. Close Mid-Price: 277.6 Percentage Change: + 1.31% Day High: 278.2 Day Low: 272.8

Target met. Further movement against Sainsbury ABOVE 278.2 should improve ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell. Close Mid-Price: 15.5 Percentage Change: + 6.90% Day High: 15.5 Day Low: 14.5

Target met. All Scancell needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 15.5 to improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Air France KLM (EU:AF) around 8.254 at time of writing

#Gold #SP500 As a country, France knows a thing or two about chaotic movements, as witnessed by those with sufficient patience to watch what was probably the worst opening ceremony in Olympic history. We decided to do something more interesting, therefore missing the part which got the internet in an uproar, but there was a distinct feeling if the organisers were trying to save money, they should have looked at the opening titles from Je Sans Frontieres back in the Jurassic period which ended in 1999. It’s a pity, because the original “It’s A Knockout” theme of pitting town against town, city against city, was deliberately funny, a notion the international version adhered to. But the opening ceremony of the games managed to embrace irony, little realising the international ridicule about to be heaped on France. Just what was Lady GaGa, a usually astounding live singer, doing lip syncing to the world?

For instance, the idea of various boats carrying national teams had some merit but it would have been more amusing, if other teams on the shore were trying to hit them with water cannon, big balls, or if all else fails, trebuchets. Such a concept would have saved me from doing some gardening.

Anyway, the four year festival of cheap broadcasting for TV has commenced, TV stations fulfilling their licence requirements and not worrying about viewer figures as they are not suffering production costs. It can be guessed our household are not fans of the games, football, rugby, tennis, or whatever other garbage reality is being hyped as watchable. Until the last 4 F1 races, even motorsport had found itself hanging on a shoogly hook (Scottish term for a screw hook wound into plasterboard)…

 

Air France share price is also looking like it may be on a “shoogly hook”, somehow managing to look more dangerous than IAG (aka British Airways etc), the airlines price movements looking less choreographed than its parent country’s Olympic ceremony. Last year, the company share price firmly exceeded their pre-pandemic 10 Euro level, making it appear good times were ahead. Instead, the share price feels like it may be moving in concert with France’s internal issues and this being the case, we should now anticipate the worst. We’ve actually got two pretty strong arguments favouring our conclusion, hence being a little emphatic about it.

Next below 7.75€ suggests coming weakness in Air France down to 6.74 and hopefully a bounce. The 6.74€ level is a bit of a problem as it’s difficult to calculate below such a level. We obviously did a little work and came up with a secondary at 4.3 Euro but we don’t entirely trust this concept. Essentially the two arguments favouring 6.74 do not currently leave the potential for anything below such a level.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:06:22PM GOLD 2382.11 2370 2363 2349 2385 2404 2409 2422 2386
11:07:52PM BRENT 7909 7863 7844 7735 7938 7960 7991 8034 7900 ‘cess
11:16:29PM FTSE 8285.2 8278 8269 8238 8295 8333 8413 8464 8313 ‘cess
11:19:14PM STOX50 4828.2 4811 4802 4770 4831 4846 4858 4874 4822 ‘cess
12:33:52AM GERMANY 18362.6 18310 18230 18124 18386 18548 18716 18921 18417 ‘cess
12:39:24AM US500 5456.2 5454 5440 5421 5467 5497 5521 5564 5462
12:43:23AM DOW 40487 40387 40323 40157 40581 40821 40856 41204 40636 Shambles
1:01:36AM NASDAQ 18994.7 18897 18857 18734 19091 19236 19397 19619 19074
1:12:53AM JAPAN 38212 38503 36476 34449 38735 38724 38808 39293 38303

 

29/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8292 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,768,279,831 a change of 1.53%
26/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8285 points. Change of 1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,696,468,997 a change of -12.32%
25/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8186 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,356,362,048 a change of 4.45%
24/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8153 points. Change of -0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,128,130,189 a change of -2.6%
23/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8167 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,265,250,514 a change of 15.55%
22/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8198 points. Change of 0.53%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,556,598,316 a change of 4.43%
19/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8155 points. Change of -0.6%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,363,233,367 a change of 1.99%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:SRP Serco** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

********

Updated charts published on : Barclays, Barrett Devs, Carclo, IG Group, Marks and Spencer, National Glib, Natwest, Ocado Plc, Serco, Tesco, Taylor Wimpey, Vodafone,


LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 232.75 Percentage Change: + 0.58% Day High: 236.9 Day Low: 231.55

Further movement against Barclays ABOVE 236.9 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs. Close Mid-Price: 527.6 Percentage Change: + 1.50% Day High: 529 Day Low: 517.8

In the event of Barrett Devs enjoying further trades beyond 529, the shar ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo. Close Mid-Price: 33.5 Percentage Change: + 6.69% Day High: 34 Day Low: 31.6

In the event of Carclo enjoying further trades beyond 34, the share shoul ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 939.5 Percentage Change: + 0.54% Day High: 945 Day Low: 928

Target met. In the event of IG Group enjoying further trades beyond 945, ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 325.4 Percentage Change: -0.09% Day High: 328.7 Day Low: 325.2

Further movement against Marks and Spencer ABOVE 328.7 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 979 Percentage Change: + 0.49% Day High: 987.6 Day Low: 976.2

Further movement against National Glib ABOVE 987.6 should improve acceler ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 371.4 Percentage Change: + 2.63% Day High: 372.7 Day Low: 364

Continued trades against NWG with a mid-price ABOVE 372.7 should improve ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 432.6 Percentage Change: -2.98% Day High: 453.3 Day Low: 432.3

Continued trades against OCDO with a mid-price ABOVE 453.3 should improve ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco Close Mid-Price: 193.1 Percentage Change: -0.46% Day High: 195.4 Day Low: 191.6

Target met. In the event of Serco enjoying further trades beyond 195.4, t ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 330.9 Percentage Change: + 1.16% Day High: 333.5 Day Low: 328.2

Target met. All Tesco needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 333.5 to improve a ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 159.65 Percentage Change: + 0.47% Day High: 161.35 Day Low: 159.3

Target met. Continued trades against TW. with a mid-price ABOVE 161.35 sh ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone. Close Mid-Price: 73.22 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 74.74 Day Low: 73.22

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Natwest (LSE:NWG) around 361.9 at time of writing

#Brent #Dax  The Belgian GP provided the usual quota of chaos, culminating in the race victor being disqualified due to cheating with a light car and his team mate propelled to first place in his stead. It is interesting to note the last time this happened in a race was also Belgium some years ago, Michael Schumacher finding himself ejected from the race. However, congratulations to Mr Hamilton for yet another race win, finishing well ahead of the current championship leader for the 4th time in succession.

Unfortunately, with Formula 1 now taking its summer holidays and the stock market readying itself to hibernate for August, all we can immediately point to is our forecast for Natwest three weeks ago. We predicted some hesitation was expected at the 340p level and wow, did it happen! The share price hit 340p last week with a similar impact to an F1 Mercedes hitting the F1 rulebook. We shall admit to being a little smug but were truly surprised on Friday, when the bank share price produced a substantial gap, propelled over the nasty 340p level and gapped UP by a significant 25p to a price level not seen since 2015. This means we now need to open the Big Picture door and adopt to a different outlook.

Essentially, now above 369p points at the potential of a lift to an initial 377 with our secondary, if beaten, a longer term 396p. Overall, our calculations highlight a future 470 as exerting the influence Toast with Jam used to do to wasps. What’s weird this year has been lower numbers of the stinging monsters, almost as if they opted to complete their life cycle a month early. Even the hated Scottish Midge has virtually vanished but regardless, it looks like 470p can be regarded as the ruling attraction for Natwest.

What’s a bit odd about this is the irritating difficulty we are experiencing, trying to find a reason for the price being “gapped up”. It’s obviously extremely unlikely they adopted this movement, because Trends and Targets pointed out an issue at the 340p level. Instead, it’s usually the case we get busy with our crayons in an invariably successful attempt to find a trend line we missed. Worryingly, in this instance, we cannot establish any sort of trend but only can come to the dodgy conclusion the market somehow managed to use the same arithmetic we did, a calculation which pointed at 340p as being a problem. We are not that arrogant, honestly, despite the proof above.

As is said when logic breaks down, “go figger”….

 

For Natwest now to fall into the clutches of despair, the share price needs below an unlikely 300p.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
11:06:24PM BRENT 8043 7932 7875 7797 7998 8171 8230 8330 8113
11:15:23PM GOLD 2388
11:37:03PM FTSE 8273
11:52:05PM STOX50 4862
11:54:32PM GERMANY 18499.9 18219 18128 18000 18466 18514 18537 18684 18426
11:59:04PM US500 8273
12:01:27AM DOW 40555
12:04:53AM NASDAQ 19010
12:08:45AM JAPAN 38024

 

26/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8285 points. Change of 1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,696,468,997 a change of -12.32%
25/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8186 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,356,362,048 a change of 4.45%
24/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8153 points. Change of -0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,128,130,189 a change of -2.6%
23/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8167 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,265,250,514 a change of 15.55%
22/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8198 points. Change of 0.53%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,556,598,316 a change of 4.43%
19/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8155 points. Change of -0.6%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,363,233,367 a change of 1.99%
18/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8204 points. Change of 0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,278,080,573 a change of -5.62%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:SRP Serco** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

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Updated charts published on : BALFOUR BEATTY, International Distribution, IG Group, International Personal Finance, National Glib, Natwest, Ocado Plc, Serco, Tesco, Taylor Wimpey, Vodafone,


LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 426.8 Percentage Change: + 2.74% Day High: 430 Day Low: 410.2

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LSE:IDS International Distribution. Close Mid-Price: 345.6 Percentage Change: + 0.52% Day High: 348.4 Day Low: 339.8

Continued trades against IDS with a mid-price ABOVE 348.4 should improve ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 934.5 Percentage Change: + 3.66% Day High: 931.5 Day Low: 891

Target met. Continued trades against IGG with a mid-price ABOVE 931.5 sho ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 137.5 Percentage Change: + 1.85% Day High: 140.5 Day Low: 135

Target met. All International Personal Finance needs are mid-price trades ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 974.2 Percentage Change: + 1.14% Day High: 976.6 Day Low: 961.2

Continued trades against NG. with a mid-price ABOVE 976.6 should improve ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 361.9 Percentage Change: + 7.04% Day High: 368.8 Day Low: 356.1

Target met. All Natwest needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 368.8 to improve ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc. Close Mid-Price: 445.9 Percentage Change: + 4.79% Day High: 452.1 Day Low: 424.7

Target met. All Ocado Plc needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 452.1 to impro ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco. Close Mid-Price: 194 Percentage Change: + 2.05% Day High: 194.6 Day Low: 185.6

Further movement against Serco ABOVE 194.6 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 327.1 Percentage Change: + 0.46% Day High: 328.6 Day Low: 323.4

Target met. In the event of Tesco enjoying further trades beyond 328.6, t ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 158.9 Percentage Change: + 1.53% Day High: 159.9 Day Low: 156.25

All Taylor Wimpey needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 159.9 to improve accel ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone. Close Mid-Price: 73.22 Percentage Change: + 1.50% Day High: 73.32 Day Low: 71.9

In the event of Vodafone enjoying further trades beyond 73.32, the share ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares