Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LSE:LLOY) at around 55.56 at time of writing

#Brent #Dax When we ran an analysis on Lloyds three weeks ago, the share price was 55.52p and now, as we enter the downhill slope to the end of the year, it’s impressing everyone at 55.56p. This growth of 4/100ths of a penny hasn’t really impressed anyone but tends enforce our feeling the financial sector is being “parked” until such time the pending UK election finally completes the agony.

One curious event which has occurred seems to be the arithmetic we associate with GapUp GapDown movements has changed. We’d given criteria indicating potential reversals to an initial 53p but instead, the lowest the share achieved was 53.3p, causing us to revisit our criteria in case something had changed. This certainly seems to be the case, making us wonder if the market simply uses this strategy to slow share price movements, when a share price is actually in an uptrend. It creates a situation where explaining our expectations will prove difficult, next time we see this sort of thing.

 

On the bright side, our little tractor has had the necessary welding carried out of the cutting deck to ensure grass is correctly mulched. It has been a case of patiently waiting until such time the rear lawn has finally absorbed all the hay from my failed experiment creating a “grass exhaust”. Thankfully, a grand-daughter managed to provide a suitable excuse to avoid cutting the wilderness and also spend three hours which included listening to the Grand Prix. This particular 11 year old enjoys target shooting, choosing to bring some customer targets she’d made. While I prepared the shooting stand, she dangled some tin cans from trees 75 yards away at the top of the garden, also stapling conventional bull’s-eye targets onto tree trunks. Mercifully, we (okay, me) could hear the coverage of the Formula 1 race from Spain, making it easy to supervise what was supposed to be a shooting competition.

However, it transpired the girl only intended compete with herself, using the next 3+ hours to refine her skill while taking an astounding 290 shots, while my supervisory presence was barely required, aside from fetching more ammunition when required. With Formula1 returning to a less boring format, the race proved quite enjoyable even though it was mainly an audio event though, three leader changes in the first three laps, was the equivalent of feeding the presenters raw Duracell bunnies.

 

While we suspect it shall be best to find something else to do until after the General Election in a couple of weeks as Lloyds still looks like it has potential to move. From a Big Picture perspective, it already is trading in a zone where a longer term 65.75 has become a viable ambition but even near term, above 56.1p should now promote movement toward an initial 58 with secondary, if bettered, at 59.5p.

If things intend go pear shaped, below 52p risks pushing reversal to 49.5p.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
11:33:21PM BRENT 8427.1 8400 8385 8357 8449 8539 8799 9171 8390
11:36:55PM GOLD 2320.19
11:39:31PM FTSE 8236.1
11:41:30PM STOX50 19745.1
11:45:04PM GERMANY 18199.6 18010 17954 17852 18156 18265 18346 18478 18115
11:57:59PM US500 5470.5
12:01:48AM DOW 39164.5
12:04:21AM NASDAQ 19740
12:06:37AM JAPAN 38471

 

21/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8237 points. Change of -0.42%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 15,052,828,026 a change of 169.21%
20/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8272 points. Change of 0.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,591,583,637 a change of 26.19%
19/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8205 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,431,021,762 a change of -14.42%
18/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8191 points. Change of 0.6%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,177,578,584 a change of -3.32%
17/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8142 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,355,562,392 a change of 9.34%
14/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8146 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,897,995,674 a change of -10.04%
13/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8163 points. Change of -0.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,444,343,185 a change of -29.92%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **

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Updated charts published on : Avacta, ITM Power, Rolls Royce, Tern Plc,


LSE:AVCT Avacta. Close Mid-Price: 47.5 Percentage Change: + 3.83% Day High: 48.5 Day Low: 45.5

Further movement against Avacta ABOVE 48.5 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 150.9 Percentage Change: + 6.42% Day High: 155.6 Day Low: 145.1

Target met. All Gulf Keystone needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 155.6 to i ……..

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LSE:ITM ITM Power Close Mid-Price: 47.12 Percentage Change: -2.44% Day High: 49.44 Day Low: 47

In the event ITM Power experiences weakness below 47 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 473.2 Percentage Change: -2.53% Day High: 488.3 Day Low: 468.1

All Rolls Royce needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 488.3 to improve acceler ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc Close Mid-Price: 2.1 Percentage Change: -4.55% Day High: 2.2 Day Low: 2.1

Weakness on Tern Plc below 2.1 will invariably lead to 1.9p with secondar ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Our famed FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX) at around 8272 at time of writing

#FTSE #GOLD  Following the fun and games at the recent entertaining Canadian Grand Prix, this weekends Spanish event shows similar signs of providing a decent show. The reason is the weather as it looks like rain shall be expected on Sunday, always the secret weapon to alleviate utter boredom! We can hope so anyway, especially as qualifying is expected to be dry.

The FTSE is showing some early signs of enthusiasm for Friday, moving through the downtrend which has marked the misery since the start of May. Hopefully the prospect of a reasonable race jolly’s things along on Friday, despite markets in Europe allegedly being rattled by the prospect of an early French general election. Thus far, we’ve failed to catch any real taste of election collywobbles from the FTSE, a situation which hopefully continues since the market remains trading in a zone where a long term 8600 remains a viable hope. The real strength of upward movement on the FTSE through Thursday perhaps was giving a clue as to expectations, when the BoE starts cutting interest rates in August, according to some reports.

 

Near term, FTSE movement above 8276 points has the potential to trigger near term movement to an initial 8317 points with our secondary, if beaten, at a useful 8360 points. If triggered, the tightest stop can reside around a very reasonable 8240 points. The visuals imply the 8317 level should assume some importance as closure above such a point dumps the index into a long term cycle toward an impressive 8628, a level at which we anticipate some turbulence. It will also be worth remembering the market may experience a temptation in the next couple of weeks to “park” the market roughly between 8200 and 8400 until the election is decided.

Our converse scenario, if things decide to go pear shaped, advises below 8203 risking triggering reversal to an initial tame 8189 with our secondary, if broken, at 8124 points and a possible bounce.

 

Have a good weekend. Pity we are encroaching on the longest day, when it’s only a matter of time before some ‘wit’ tells how many shopping days until Xmas. It has been a fast year.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:32:41PM BRENT 8511.4 8437 8411 8488 8541 8626 8472
10:37:10PM GOLD 2359.57 2332 2324 2347 2367 2381 2347 Success
10:41:32PM FTSE 8277.6 8200 8176 8244 8288 8345 8247 Success
10:48:02PM STOX50 4941 4880 4863 4917 4953 4984 4915 ‘cess
10:51:40PM GERMANY 18239 18118 18062 18192 18264 18317 18203 Success
10:55:48PM US500 5473.8 5455 5448 5487 5500 5519 5480 ‘cess
10:59:53PM DOW 39114 38880 38738 39015 39240 39355 39077 Success
11:04:39PM NASDAQ 19778 19680 19594 19800 19951 20061 19837 Success
11:07:52PM JAPAN 38632 38267 38103 38529 38803 38903 38570 Success

 

20/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8272 points. Change of 0.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,591,583,637 a change of 26.19%
19/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8205 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,431,021,762 a change of -14.42%
18/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8191 points. Change of 0.6%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,177,578,584 a change of -3.32%
17/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8142 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,355,562,392 a change of 9.34%
14/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8146 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,897,995,674 a change of -10.04%
13/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8163 points. Change of -0.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,444,343,185 a change of -29.92%
12/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8215 points. Change of 0.83%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,768,504,488 a change of -2.17%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **

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Updated charts published on : British Telecom, Hargreaves Lansdown, Ocado Plc, Rolls Royce, Sainsbury, Tern Plc,


LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 142.55 Percentage Change: + 0.92% Day High: 144.2 Day Low: 141.55

In the event of British Telecom enjoying further trades beyond 144.2, the ……..

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LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown Close Mid-Price: 1134 Percentage Change: -1.65% Day High: 1169 Day Low: 1127.5

In the event of Hargreaves Lansdown enjoying further trades beyond 1169, ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 310 Percentage Change: -12.06% Day High: 358.1 Day Low: 289

Target met. Continued weakness against OCDO taking the price below 289p c ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 485.5 Percentage Change: + 2.75% Day High: 487.4 Day Low: 475.9

Target met. In the event of Rolls Royce enjoying further trades beyond 48 ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury. Close Mid-Price: 265 Percentage Change: + 2.08% Day High: 266 Day Low: 260.6

All Sainsbury needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 266 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc Close Mid-Price: 2.2 Percentage Change: -2.22% Day High: 2.25 Day Low: 2.2

In the event Tern Plc experiences weakness below 2.2 it calculates with a ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Petro Matad (LSE:MATD) at around 3.75 at time of writing. A Hmmm share

#Gold #DOW  We were totally caught out by the USA’s most recent excuse for a market holiday, Juneteenth. The event initially caused pause for thought, immediately jumping to the new channels in case something had happened. Eventually, the penny dropped with the realisation most folk had gone fishing or DIY-ing for the day. We’d certainly not complain if the UK opted to invent a market holiday to fill the void between August and the Festive season, perhaps anointing Halloween with an added reason to mimic the US’s fascination with the period. Unfortunately, we also feel the markets would take advantage of such a holiday, declaring it as the best time of the year to scare investors silly!

It’s probably wise to keep this concept to ourselves as surely one of the political parties would seize the idea, shoehorn it into their manifesto and loudly pronounce, “see, we’ve an idea the other side doesn’t!”

 

We’ve have a bunch of emails asking our thoughts on #PetroMatad, the household name petroleum explorers, developers, and producers in Mongolia who are listed on the UK AIM market. With personal knowledge of the large country restricted to the time The Grand Tour (or maybe Top Gear) passed through – or maybe it was Euan McGregor doing The Long Way Round, it seemed sensible to take a glance at the company website. It’s well laid out, giving more information about the country and company than we wanted to know for a quick report.

There are some quite slight hints the share price may be getting ready to do something positive, judging by recent dance steps. The immediate situation suggests trades above just 4.1p (hopefully not with a price spike in the opening seconds of trade) shall trigger an upward push to an initial 4.65p. At this level, things become quite interesting and we’ve circled a price movement a year ago to explain why. Sometimes, this sort of spike above a trend can be a strong suggestion, essentially proof the downtrend can be broken and with the share price failing to challenge previous lows, hope is indeed possible.

Above our initial target of 4.65p calculates with a surprising number at 5.75p, breaking above the trend and ideally providing the share price with an opportunity to close above the trend. This should prove very significant, dumping the price in a zone where a longer term attraction shall be seen as coming from 9.63p. Alas, this number is similar to our Halloween Holiday concept, something for which there is little likelihood at present…

Oh, and if they intend spoil our calculations, the share need only slip below Red, presently at 3p.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
9:35:28PM BRENT 8480 8434
10:01:42PM GOLD 2327.61 2322 2318 2312 2332 2335 2339 2343 2327
10:04:11PM FTSE 8208.3 8195
10:07:46PM STOX50 4882 4880
10:12:44PM GERMANY 18079.3 18076
10:16:39PM US500 5490 5488
10:20:32PM DOW 38775 38726 38637 38534 38800 38873 38980 39064 38794
10:26:14PM NASDAQ 19942.5 19936
10:32:11PM JAPAN 38349 38433

 

19/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8205 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,431,021,762 a change of -14.42%
18/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8191 points. Change of 0.6%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,177,578,584 a change of -3.32%
17/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8142 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,355,562,392 a change of 9.34%
14/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8146 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,897,995,674 a change of -10.04%
13/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8163 points. Change of -0.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,444,343,185 a change of -29.92%
12/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8215 points. Change of 0.83%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,768,504,488 a change of -2.17%
11/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8147 points. Change of -0.98%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,940,759,501 a change of 69.47%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

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Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Barrett Devs, Diageo, ITM Power, Rolls Royce,


LSE:AFC AFC Energy. Close Mid-Price: 18.78 Percentage Change: + 8.30% Day High: 19.78 Day Low: 17.32

This is a bit of a shambles and ideally I’d like to see it gapped up at th ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs Close Mid-Price: 468.7 Percentage Change: -2.74% Day High: 482.9 Day Low: 467.4

Target met. Weakness on Barrett Devs below 467.4 will invariably lead to ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo. Close Mid-Price: 2569 Percentage Change: + 0.43% Day High: 2569.5 Day Low: 2515.5

If Diageo experiences continued weakness below 2515.5, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:ITM ITM Power. Close Mid-Price: 48.32 Percentage Change: + 1.05% Day High: 49.76 Day Low: 47.02

Weakness on ITM Power below 47.02 will invariably lead to 41 with seconda ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 472.5 Percentage Change: + 0.98% Day High: 473.5 Day Low: 467.9

Further movement against Rolls Royce ABOVE 473.5 should improve accelerat ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Investec Plc (LSE:INVP) around 581 at time of writing

#FTSE #NASDAQ  This, we think, is the first time we’ve covered a company with a Dual Listing in both Jo’burg and London. A childhood addiction to Wilbur Smiths books provided a long term liking for South Africa, one of these bucket list things. When our daughter opted to marry a South African, we had no objections to funding a wedding as it would tick off a bucket list thing and better still, get our daughter off our hands. However…

The wedding was utterly brilliant, the organisation and catering in a wildlife park venue a credit to the country. Our impressions of the country were boosted, thanks to South African hosts who ensured we only saw the better parts of Johannesburg, exactly as anyone would do with a guest visiting their home town. The first night was quite memorable, sitting outside with drinks while listening to the sporadic fireworks going off in the distance, looking up at an unfamiliar sky of stars. Of course, the next morning, we discovered the “fireworks” were actually gunshots, due to some sort of gang warfare but it did give a solid reason for the gated area in which we stayed being patrolled by armed guards. We opted to take a walk before breakfast to a nearby supermarket we’d noticed on the way. There was a wonderful sense of familiarity, Ken Bruce of ‘One Year Out’ fame voicing some sort of background radio in the store, creating the opportunity to joke with the cashier. I’d attended the same Primary School as Ken Bruce, thankfully a few years behind him. With a bag of goodies, we returned to our accommodation, one of the staff wanting to walk with us to hear more tales of Scotland.

Inevitably, we received quite a scary talk about personal safety and it was pointed out supermarkets generally don’t provide escorts to ensure their customers get home. In this particular area, the white populace didn’t shop at the local stores and would never, ever, walk the streets to get there. Worse, when asking over breakfast what all the fireworks were for the previous night, incredulity ruled that we didn’t recognise gunfire. Despite this, we continued to thoroughly enjoy our time in the country, especially the lack of Europe’s Orwellian anti-smoking laws back in 2010. But now, as neither of us still smoke and our views have changed, there was something pleasantly familiar on the night of the wedding, people able to indulge their habit in a way which had long been impossible in broken, nanny state, UK.

 

Investec, operating primarily in the UK and South Africa, employs over 8,000 people worldwide and now appear to have a share price worthy of some respect too.

 

Trading higher than at any point since the close of 2018, we’re inclined to look favourably on their prospects for the future. In addition to achieving an official “higher high”, the share price has also broken through and closed above a Blue downtrend which dates back to 2007, each of these things giving an impression something solid may be happening. There’s quite an easy tick box needing attention in the near term as movement above just 592p should trigger gains toward an initial 608p. Longer term, our secondary is at 697p but it may be important to mention The Big Picture is also suggesting a distant sounding 770p as valid, almost exactly matching the shares previous all time highs from 2007.

If things intend go wrong, the share price requires to slump below Red (500p currently) to trigger reversal to an initial 468 with secondary, if broken, at 428p and a probable bottom.

Visually, we like this one.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:00:28PM BRENT 8511.6 ‘cess
10:03:45PM GOLD 2329
10:36:19PM FTSE 8192.9 8157 8148 8129 8183 8205 8227 8263 8178
10:41:25PM STOX50 4918.7 ‘cess
10:44:21PM GERMANY 18153.1 ‘cess
10:48:29PM US500 5490
10:51:54PM DOW 38840 Success
10:56:41PM NASDAQ 19920.5 19840 19817 19760 19920 19981 21048 21343 19840
11:04:30PM JAPAN 38592

 

18/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8191 points. Change of 0.6%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,177,578,584 a change of -3.32%
17/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8142 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,355,562,392 a change of 9.34%
14/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8146 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,897,995,674 a change of -10.04%
13/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8163 points. Change of -0.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,444,343,185 a change of -29.92%
12/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8215 points. Change of 0.83%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,768,504,488 a change of -2.17%
11/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8147 points. Change of -0.98%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,940,759,501 a change of 69.47%
10/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8228 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,685,518,096 a change of -0.6%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital** **

********

Updated charts published on : Barrett Devs, Intercontinental Hotels Group, ITM Power, Rockhopper, Tern Plc, Zoo Digital,


LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs Close Mid-Price: 481.9 Percentage Change: -1.19% Day High: 493 Day Low: 482.8

If Barrett Devs experiences continued weakness below 482.8, it will invar ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 8264 Percentage Change: + 1.57% Day High: 8332 Day Low: 8174

Continued trades against IHG with a mid-price ABOVE 8332 should improve t ……..

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LSE:ITM ITM Power Close Mid-Price: 47.82 Percentage Change: -0.87% Day High: 49.62 Day Low: 47.82

If ITM Power experiences continued weakness below 47.82, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 14.9 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 15.2 Day Low: 14.5

Target met. Further movement against Rockhopper ABOVE 15.2 should improve ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc Close Mid-Price: 2.2 Percentage Change: -6.38% Day High: 2.35 Day Low: 2.25

Continued weakness against TERN taking the price below 2.25 calculates as ……..

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LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital. Close Mid-Price: 65 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 66.5 Day Low: 64.5

All Zoo Digital needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 66.5 to improve accelera ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Investec Plc (LSE:INVP) around 581 at time of writing.

#FTSE #NASDAQ  This, we think, is the first time we’ve covered a company with a Dual Listing in both Jo’burg and London. A childhood addiction to Wilbur Smiths books provided a long term liking for South Africa, one of these bucket list things. When our daughter opted to marry a South African, we had no objections to funding a wedding as it would tick off a bucket list thing and better still, get our daughter off our hands. However…

The wedding was utterly brilliant, the organisation and catering in a wildlife park venue a credit to the country. Our impressions of the country were boosted, thanks to South African hosts who ensured we only saw the better parts of Johannesburg, exactly as anyone would do with a guest visiting their home town. The first night was quite memorable, sitting outside with drinks while listening to the sporadic fireworks going off in the distance, looking up at an unfamiliar sky of stars. Of course, the next morning, we discovered the “fireworks” were actually gunshots, due to some sort of gang warfare but it did give a solid reason for the gated area in which we stayed being patrolled by armed guards. We opted to take a walk before breakfast to a nearby supermarket we’d noticed on the way. There was a wonderful sense of familiarity, Ken Bruce of ‘One Year Out’ fame voicing some sort of background radio in the store, creating the opportunity to joke with the cashier. I’d attended the same Primary School as Ken Bruce, thankfully a few years behind him. With a bag of goodies, we returned to our accommodation, one of the staff wanting to walk with us to hear more tales of Scotland.

Inevitably, we received quite a scary talk about personal safety and it was pointed out supermarkets generally don’t provide escorts to ensure their customers get home. In this particular area, the white populace didn’t shop at the local stores and would never, ever, walk the streets to get there. Worse, when asking over breakfast what all the fireworks were for the previous night, incredulity ruled that we didn’t recognise gunfire. Despite this, we continued to thoroughly enjoy our time in the country, especially the lack of Europe’s Orwellian anti-smoking laws back in 2010. But now, as neither of us still smoke and our views have changed, there was something pleasantly familiar on the night of the wedding, people able to indulge their habit in a way which had long been impossible in broken, nanny state, UK.

 

Investec, operating primarily in the UK and South Africa, employs over 8,000 people worldwide and now appear to have a share price worthy of some respect too.

 

Trading higher than at any point since the close of 2018, we’re inclined to look favourably on their prospects for the future. In addition to achieving an official “higher high”, the share price has also broken through and closed above a Blue downtrend which dates back to 2007, each of these things giving an impression something solid may be happening. There’s quite an easy tick box needing attention in the near term as movement above just 592p should trigger gains toward an initial 608p. Longer term, our secondary is at 697p but it may be important to mention The Big Picture is also suggesting a distant sounding 770p as valid, almost exactly matching the shares previous all time highs from 2007.

If things intend go wrong, the share price requires to slump below Red (500p currently) to trigger reversal to an initial 468 with secondary, if broken, at 428p and a probable bottom.

Visually, we like this one.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:00:28PM BRENT 8511.6 ‘cess
10:03:45PM GOLD 2329
10:36:19PM FTSE 8192.9 8157 8148 8129 8183 8205 8227 8263 8178
10:41:25PM STOX50 4918.7 ‘cess
10:44:21PM GERMANY 18153.1 ‘cess
10:48:29PM US500 5490
10:51:54PM DOW 38840 Success
10:56:41PM NASDAQ 19920.5 19840 19817 19760 19920 19981 21048 21343 19840
11:04:30PM JAPAN 38592

 

18/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8191 points. Change of 0.6%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,177,578,584 a change of -3.32%
17/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8142 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,355,562,392 a change of 9.34%
14/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8146 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,897,995,674 a change of -10.04%
13/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8163 points. Change of -0.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,444,343,185 a change of -29.92%
12/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8215 points. Change of 0.83%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,768,504,488 a change of -2.17%
11/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8147 points. Change of -0.98%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,940,759,501 a change of 69.47%
10/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8228 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,685,518,096 a change of -0.6%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital** **

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Updated charts published on : Barrett Devs, Intercontinental Hotels Group, ITM Power, Rockhopper, Tern Plc, Zoo Digital,


LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs Close Mid-Price: 481.9 Percentage Change: -1.19% Day High: 493 Day Low: 482.8

If Barrett Devs experiences continued weakness below 482.8, it will invar ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 8264 Percentage Change: + 1.57% Day High: 8332 Day Low: 8174

Continued trades against IHG with a mid-price ABOVE 8332 should improve t ……..

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LSE:ITM ITM Power Close Mid-Price: 47.82 Percentage Change: -0.87% Day High: 49.62 Day Low: 47.82

If ITM Power experiences continued weakness below 47.82, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 14.9 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 15.2 Day Low: 14.5

Target met. Further movement against Rockhopper ABOVE 15.2 should improve ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc Close Mid-Price: 2.2 Percentage Change: -6.38% Day High: 2.35 Day Low: 2.25

Continued weakness against TERN taking the price below 2.25 calculates as ……..

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LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital. Close Mid-Price: 65 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 66.5 Day Low: 64.5

All Zoo Digital needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 66.5 to improve accelera ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

BAE Systems Plc (LSE:BA.) at around 1337 at time of writing

#Gold #SP500  It’s surely only a matter of days until some politician kicks the doors down in some BAE factory, hoping to get their “Election Battle” photograph while poised on a tank or beside some bombs. There is a certain rhythm to these cliché photo opps, though Teresa May managed to put the scheme of pause when the public appreciated she was no Mrs Thatcher, no matter how big the tank was. Of course, the difference with Thatcher was the tank was proud to be photographed with her, the image finding its was into multiple company publicity materials. It would be difficult to anticipate either of the current combatants for No 10 appearing on a sales brochure, except perhaps as distant cardboard targets on a shooting range.

Times have certainly changed!

It has been a few years since we reviewed BAR Systems Plc, still the largest defence contractor in Europe and rated 7th largest in the world league, a veritable “one stop shop” for those interested in exotic target practice and more. Recently, we learned some respect for military gizmo engineering when a good idea fell apart. A secluded shooting range in our garden allows Olympic class target shooting and it seemed a good idea to attach a cell phone camera to a modest sniper scope, intending to increase the zoom while watching the image via a tablet. The brilliant scheme worked perfectly, a bit of white drainage pipe sliding over the the body of the scope and with amble gaffer tape, the camera stayed put. The result was “just like the movies”, right until the point the trigger was pulled. Then, it all quite literally fell apart, suggesting greater success would be achieved with a weapon which didn’t suffer an extreme recoil. Thus, a CO2 cylinder powered .22 was used, something which just gave a gentle tap of recoil. And nope, it didn’t work. As a result, while writing this, my 3d Printer is producing an entirely new set of mountings which will incorporate both the scope and the old Samsung phone camera. But the real question is, “why bother?” Unless the cunning plan for this summer involved shooting wasps, this level of magnification isn’t needed on the 75 yard range.

 

From glancing at the BAE website, it is almost certain the company produce weapons capable of shooting the wings off a Scottish midge, probably while safely located in Barbados. It’s a throwaway observation but this year is proving extremely bad for a pest which is a greater nuisance than a prospective SNP candidate. Quite literally, on Friday I bumped into 3 Forestry workers making their way down the hill, all equipped with big chainsaws.

“You’re chucking it early?” I asked.

“Bloody Midges,” the guy in the lead said. This was quite worrying as forestry staff are famed for being immune to everything, even tourists. But if a plague of midges was sufficient to get them off the hill, it also made a lot of sense to retrace my dog walking route immediately. It transpires this was the correct decision as apparently the local Facebook community page was over-run by complaints. Anyone coming to Scotland’s West Coast on a summer vacation is strongly advised to pack a product called “Avon, Skin so Soft”. The midges hate it and with apologies to Avon, almost as strongly as most wearers detest the oily coating.

 

This year, BAE recently managed break below their strong uptrend and the company share price feels set for some more fairly slight reversals. Presently trading around 1337, below 1320p risks triggering reversal to an initial 1281 with our secondary, if broken, down at an eventual 1221p. Visually, there is some reason to hope for a rebound at such a point.

Of course, we live in a world where BAE doubtless don’t lack customers as they’re unlikely to express a dislike for any of the wars going on. As a result, our converse scenario is fairly interesting with the share price only needing above 1387 to trigger gains in the direction of 1425 with our secondary, if beaten, at 1489 and yet another all time high. We admit the current series of slight reversals feels more like a deliberate slow down, rather than a real reflection of trading conditions.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
1:22:07AM BRENT 8408.6 Success
1:25:25AM GOLD 2320.89 2300 2286 2269 2323 2328 2340 2355 2315 Success
1:27:26AM FTSE 8178.8
1:29:42AM STOX50 4913.3 Success
1:32:51AM GERMANY 18174.7 ‘cess
1:36:10AM US500 5476.4 5420 5393 5360 5440 5492 5497 5506 5476 Success
1:39:02AM DOW 38829.5 Shambles
1:45:25AM JAPAN 38420 Success

 

17/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8142 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,355,562,392 a change of 9.34%
14/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8146 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,897,995,674 a change of -10.04%
13/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8163 points. Change of -0.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,444,343,185 a change of -29.92%
12/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8215 points. Change of 0.83%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,768,504,488 a change of -2.17%
11/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8147 points. Change of -0.98%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,940,759,501 a change of 69.47%
10/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8228 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,685,518,096 a change of -0.6%
7/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8245 points. Change of -0.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,713,927,581 a change of 0.32%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **LSE:JET Just Eat** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

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Updated charts published on : British Telecom, Intercontinental Hotels Group, ITM Power, Just Eat, Sainsbury, Vodafone,


LSE:BT.A British Telecom Close Mid-Price: 138.65 Percentage Change: -0.64% Day High: 143 Day Low: 136.4

Target met. All British Telecom needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 143 to i ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Close Mid-Price: 8136 Percentage Change: -0.54% Day High: 8290 Day Low: 8112

Of moderate interest for the near term, above 8315 should next trigger mov ……..

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LSE:ITM ITM Power Close Mid-Price: 48.24 Percentage Change: -2.66% Day High: 50.1 Day Low: 48

Below 48 looks bad, working out with the potential of weakness coming to a ……..

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LSE:JET Just Eat. Close Mid-Price: 1006 Percentage Change: + 1.62% Day High: 1012 Day Low: 978

Just Eat share price continues to eat itself and movement now below 978 th ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury. Close Mid-Price: 258.8 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 260.2 Day Low: 257.6

Now below just 252 looks dodgy, risking triggering reversal to an initial ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone. Close Mid-Price: 69.78 Percentage Change: + 1.19% Day High: 70.16 Day Low: 69.18

This share has behaved terribly, the recent visit to 68 being – from our p ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Natwest (LSE:NWG) at around 307 at time of writing.

#Brent #Dax  It’s difficult to pinpoint anything enacted by government recently which actually benefits society. We’ve developed a major hatred for a device called a Diesel Particulate Filter (DPF), a gizmo designed to ensure folk in country areas have economically unrepairable diesel vehicles within 5 years. But a new piece of idiocy is the tag on screwtop plastic bottles,  linking the lid to the bottle.

The apparent “green” theory is we unscrew the caps, throw them away, creating a tsunami of bottle tops which haven’t been recycled. Instead, some government “green” committee has decided to make it impossible to unscrew the lid and take a drink of cola. Instead, we’ve a choice. Give the cap a hard pull and risk piercing your lip with the remaining plastic needle or hold the cap aside and pour the contents into a plastic cup. While driving, of course. By any standards, it’s a frankly stupid initiative, one which could have been sunk by a visit to a recycling centre, where it would reveal the vast majority of bottles have their lids refitted. I’m surely not the only person in the world who’s got a bottle of water rolling around on the rear floor of the car, the top firmly sealed and the contents utterly free of taste. Designing a plastic tag to keep the lid attached to the bottle serves no purpose, other than giving a bunch of “green” idiots an illusion they are being useful. They are not, the cap still needs detached to be recycled as it’s a plastic, whereas the polyethylene bottle has its own shredded destiny ahead.

And thus, if you find yourself in a position of challenging a political candidate with a difficult question, why not select either of the subjects above. You could ask about retail banks share prices, politicians always able to produce a master-class in “the Goldfish” impression as they open and close their mouths without sound coming out. But it’s the apparent inability of politicians to actually do anything useful which causes frustration and for this voter personally, July 4th shall doubtless involve a day at the beach, once the words “none of the above” have been scrawled on the ballot paper.

 

When we previously reviewed Natwest, we cheerfully provided a reason for some optimism, giving share price closure above 315p as providing almost certain hope. In the intervening period, the share has achieved this ambition on three occasions, utterly failing to do anything useful thereafter. Worse, it has created a fairly nasty near term scenario where weakness below 300p risks promoting reversal to an initial 285p with our secondary, if broken, at 278p and hopefully a bounce.

It is probably folly to pretend any optimism until the trough at Westminster refills on July 5th. We can point out movement above 320p now calculates with the potential of a lift to 338p next with our secondary, if exceeded, working out at 335p and almost certain hesitation. But for now, we’re as confident of this as believing politicians shall ever have the courage to unwind some of the ridiculous green regulations which continue to make no sense.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
10:04:11PM BRENT 8245.9 8077 7652 7148 8325 8268 8286 8306 8235
10:10:17PM GOLD 2332.44 2323
10:47:27PM FTSE 8173.8 8163
10:50:24PM STOX50 4839.3 4842
10:52:30PM GERMANY 18000.4 17949 17544 17081 18204 18114 18129 18189 18023
10:57:00PM US500 5430.5 5424
11:00:27PM DOW 38554.5 38601
11:04:19PM NASDAQ 19667 19654
11:06:13PM JAPAN 38501 38440

 

14/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8146 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,897,995,674 a change of -10.04%
13/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8163 points. Change of -0.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,444,343,185 a change of -29.92%
12/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8215 points. Change of 0.83%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,768,504,488 a change of -2.17%
11/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8147 points. Change of -0.98%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,940,759,501 a change of 69.47%
10/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8228 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,685,518,096 a change of -0.6%
7/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8245 points. Change of -0.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,713,927,581 a change of 0.32%
6/06/2024 FTSE Closed at 8285 points. Change of 0.47%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,698,915,634 a change of -17.77%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:BME B & M** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **

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Updated charts published on : Avacta, Barrett Devs, B & M, British Telecom, OPG Power Ventures, Quadrise,


LSE:AVCT Avacta. Close Mid-Price: 40.25 Percentage Change: + 0.62% Day High: 40.5 Day Low: 39.75

Weakness on Avacta below 39.75 will invariably lead to 39p with secondary ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs Close Mid-Price: 488.9 Percentage Change: -2.26% Day High: 502.2 Day Low: 486.2

Continued weakness against BDEV taking the price below 486.2 calculates a ……..

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LSE:BME B & M Close Mid-Price: 463 Percentage Change: -0.43% Day High: 466.2 Day Low: 459.9

In the event B & M experiences weakness below 459.9 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 139.55 Percentage Change: + 3.37% Day High: 139.6 Day Low: 134.95

Further movement against British Telecom ABOVE 139.6 should improve accel ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures Close Mid-Price: 10.1 Percentage Change: -1.46% Day High: 10.4 Day Low: 10.15

Weakness on OPG Power Ventures below 10.15 will invariably lead to 9.4 wi ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise. Close Mid-Price: 2.48 Percentage Change: + 6.45% Day High: 2.5 Day Low: 2.34

Continued trades against QED with a mid-price ABOVE 2.5 should improve th ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares