#DAX #SP500 An interesting company, they seem quite clear on what they actually do, rather than making the reason for their existence vanish in a bucket of word spaghetti. From an in-house perspective, this is the sort of company we hope will knock on our door one day, offer a ridiculous amount of money for our logic tree, then vanish into the night, while we choose what colour of Norton Commando is being bought, along with a specific Honda RC45 for my wife. All joking aside, she really misses going out to the garage once a month and cleaning spider webs off her bike, it only being used once a year in dry weather. From a bikers viewpoint, this was akin to cruelty and when she agreed to sell it, the (immediate) buyer was delighted at the masterpiece of Honda race bikes.
Unfortunately, the guy adopted my wifes maintenance regime but her attitude has changed. Next time she has an RC45, we will have a van capable of carrying our family bikes to racetracks, where she will again be capable of humiliating bikers. To be clear, my (5 ft tall) wife once passed me TWICE on a single racing lap and I’m supposed to be fairly competent. On a brighter note, our daughter, while capable of choosing spectacular machinery, is the sort of rider who experiences a smear of suicidal dead flies on the back of her helmet. Let’s just say she isn’t fast but has exquisite taste…
We can dream!
Back in 2012, when we wrote our market monitoring software, only one share proved reliable, a mining share called Xstrata. This wasn’t exactly a surprise as we’d used the historical data for the share to tune our series of 187 algorithms but there was a core problem, as running the numbers for shares like BARC or AAL generally fell completely apart. Oddly, one share which proved remarkably concise was Gulf Keystone, a share which was dangerous to write about due to the large and hysterical fan club. Genuinely, many folk writing about the markets would avoid GKP due to the level of abuse received.
Returning to the present, the eventual realisation our 187 formula were useless did present a real problem. The core issue was each and every argument needed tweaked for each and every share. As there were only two of us doing high level programming, a new approach was needed, one which we’ve adopted for the last 12 years. Clients report we’re right around 80% of the time, substantially higher than achieved by the market god Buffet, the head bloke behind Berkshire Hathaway with their 737,000 dollar share price. Buffet claims a success ratio of 60% our 80% ratio being quite superior…
Our solution to the problem was to retain our core software but allow humans to glance at what’s being suggested. It’s less elegant but the human eye can make a relatively informed decision in seconds. Whereas the time required to “tune” our software for every single share, commodity, index, or whatever would be absurd, each item of interest requiring months of work! If only there was an investment company willing to throw money at this problem? We’ve a suspicion somewhere in the UK, there is an Ai company who know what they’re doing, an organisation capable of bringing a small truck full of funds. And to even speak to such an entity, we’d need a company such as Intermediate Capital Group. (it’s a Black Norton 951 Commando Interstate, with the gold leaf logo on the tank) as they’d be unlikely to take a company from Argyll seriously, despite our proven track record. Whimsically, in 2015 we noticed a company in Canada were listed on Toronto, claiming to do what we do. Their listing vanished, then the company vanished.
Joking aside, we find ICG interesting as they look like the sort of company capable of assisting small fry through the difficult growth phase. We’ve been happy to remain discrete, due to a distaste for the type of folk who want to “big” things rather than tell the unvarnished truth. We know we’re good at what we do, also knowing the level of work required to extend our magic across every market worldwide would end badly. But we would be happy to chat to a company producing a proper Ai, rather than the hype offered by ChatGPT and the rest of the family.
But we do like the “About” ethos being offered by LSE:ICG, so we’re liable to get gentle in our share price potentials.
Now above 2,086 should prove useful, giving an initial target level at 2,224p with our secondary, if beaten, an eventual visit to 2,378p. Visually, such an ambition is difficult, given a high which is below the price movements earlier this year. But it does dump the price into a zone, where a longer term “all time high” of 2,694 apparently becomes possible.
For things to go wrong, below 1,990 should serve the first trigger, hitting a reversal cycle to an eventual 1,537. Visually, this scenario makes some sense, creating a picture of a “double bottom” which is sure to get the markets excited.
Our gut feeling is an expectation this is a share price heating toward almost the 2700 level.[
But of course, Mrs T&T really wants her RC45 back…
FUTURES
FUTURES
Time Issued | Market | Price At Issue | Short Entry | Fast Exit | Slow Exit | Stop | Long Entry | Fast Exit | Slow Exit | Stop | Prior |
11:13:20PM | BRENT | 6472 | |||||||||
11:17:11PM | GOLD | 3377.15 | ‘cess | ||||||||
11:26:17PM | FTSE | 8798.5 | |||||||||
11:28:50PM | STOX50 | 5404 | 5381 | No | idea | 5414 | 5428 | 5469 | 5390 | ‘cess | |
11:44:48PM | GERMANY | 24273.2 | 24117 | 24022 | 23913 | 24187 | 24303 | 24360 | 24569 | 24247 | |
11:52:41PM | US500 | 5969.7 | 5963 | 5954 | 5942 | 5973 | 5990 | 6011 | 6035 | 5965 | |
11:32:08PM | DOW | 42406.7 | |||||||||
11:36:29PM | NASDAQ | 21709 | ‘cess | ||||||||
11:40:11PM | JAPAN | 37671 |
4/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8801 points. Change of 0.16%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,523,776,146 a change of 16.37%
3/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8787 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,606,086,540 a change of 3.39%
2/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8774 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,422,234,482 a change of -53.25%
30/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8772 points. Change of 0.64%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 11,598,431,042 a change of 144.4%
29/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8716 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,745,696,803 a change of -0.05%
28/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8726 points. Change of -0.59%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,748,118,751 a change of -20.39%
27/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8778 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,964,362,693 a change of 0% 
SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.
Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION
Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.
UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.
We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…
Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares
Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SFOR S4 Capital** **
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Updated charts published on : Barclays, Carnival, Centrica, Firstgroup, Fresnillo, ITM Power, Natwest, Rolls Royce, S4 Capital,
LSE:BARC Barclays Close Mid-Price: 325.95 Percentage Change: -1.00% Day High: 331.95 Day Low: 324.9
All Barclays needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 331.95 to improve accelerat ……..
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View Previous Barclays & Big Picture ***
LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1583.5 Percentage Change: + 0.48% Day High: 1596 Day Low: 1563
Further movement against Carnival ABOVE 1596 should improve acceleration ……..
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View Previous Carnival & Big Picture ***
LSE:CNA Centrica Close Mid-Price: 161.7 Percentage Change: -1.40% Day High: 165.25 Day Low: 161.5
Further movement against Centrica ABOVE 165.25 should improve acceleratio ……..
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View Previous Centrica & Big Picture ***
LSE:FGP Firstgroup Close Mid-Price: 194 Percentage Change: -0.26% Day High: 195.6 Day Low: 191.3
In the event of Firstgroup enjoying further trades beyond 195.6, the shar ……..
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View Previous Firstgroup & Big Picture ***
LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 1262 Percentage Change: + 2.02% Day High: 1272 Day Low: 1245
In the event of Fresnillo enjoying further trades beyond 1272, the share ……..
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View Previous Fresnillo & Big Picture ***
LSE:ITM ITM Power Close Mid-Price: 68.1 Percentage Change: -13.03% Day High: 94.5 Day Low: 67.7
Something quite mad happened with this on the 4th, the share price going t ……..
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View Previous ITM Power & Big Picture ***
LSE:NWG Natwest Close Mid-Price: 529.8 Percentage Change: -0.56% Day High: 537 Day Low: 529
In the event of Natwest enjoying further trades beyond 537, the share sho ……..
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View Previous Natwest & Big Picture ***
LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 891.2 Percentage Change: -0.34% Day High: 900.4 Day Low: 890.4
All Rolls Royce needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 900.4 to improve acceler ……..
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View Previous Rolls Royce & Big Picture ***
LSE:SFOR S4 Capital. Close Mid-Price: 26.5 Percentage Change: + 2.91% Day High: 27.75 Day Low: 25.55
This share, new to the list, is trading below any sort of logical bottom. ……..
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View Previous S4 Capital & Big Picture ***