Ferrari for 2/07/2019

#GOLD #US500 Last time we reviewed Ferrari (link here), we speculated on the price reaching 160, along with an argument in favour of the marque proving supreme in Formula One this year. From our perspective, we got the important question right but their World Championship chances look dodgy.

Ferrari share price in New York has achieved an all time high, exceeding our 160 and now trading at record levels. The next phase of a “safe” price climb shall come, if it trades beyond 165 dollars. Recent days brought highs of 163.7, close to our 165 trigger level but still not exceeding it. Perhaps if Ferrari get a thrashing at their next outing to the British Grand Prix, we shall see the share soar higher again.

The important thing, if 165 bettered, is we’re showing the potential of 188 making an appearance, a point at which we’d normally anticipate some turbulence. If 188 exceeded, the price could easily accelerate to 193p (okay, both targets are essentially the same) but we really will expect some reversals – perhaps short term – to take hold at these levels.

Given the share prices form this year, the worst thing which could happen will be Ferrari starting to win races, just in case the converse of price growth appears! In such an instance, the share requires CLOSE a session below RED, presently at 148 dollars. A disaster like this is liable to promote a visit to 140 with little chance of a successful complaint to the stewards. A larger, more painful, issue arises if 140 breaks as “bottom” should prove to be 121 dollars.

Unusually, we’ve painted the RED uptrend against Ferrari’s daily share price closing level. Most of the time, we regard this as foolish but there’s little doubt the real uptrend is being defined by the the point at which the share closes each day and NOT the low of the day. This is quite important but makes us question price moves at the beginning of May. Often, this sort of trend break serves as early warning, almost like ‘proof’ the trend is not sacrosanct and can be broken.

FUTURES

Time Issued

Market

Price At Issue

Short Entry

Fast Exit

Slow Exit

Stop

Long Entry

Fast Exit

Slow Exit

Stop

Prior

9:55:07PM

BRENT

65.16

               

‘cess

9:57:57PM

GOLD

1384.05

1381

1377.5

1357

1398

1396

1399

1405

1386

Success

10:01:22PM

FTSE

7508

               

Success

10:05:48PM

FRANCE

5575

               

Success

10:08:04PM

GERMANY

12541.62

               

Success

10:10:28PM

US500

2964.62

2951

2946.5

2936

2967

2971

2976.5

3012

2950

Success

10:13:34PM

DOW

26704

               

Success

10:21:01PM

NASDAQ

7766

               

Success

10:23:14PM

JAPAN

21699

               

Success

 

 

1/07/2019 FTSE Closed at 7497 points. Change of 0.97%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,688,983,351 a change of -13.08%

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