Trends And Targets

#Gold #SP500  A childhood fascination with Wilbur Smith books provided an early introduction to Namibia and the Skeleton Coast**. This big beach remains an unticked box, the ambition to visit finding fertile ground in my 11 year old imagination. A few years ago in Pretoria, the discovery it was quite a bit further for a visit on a whim during a spare weekend, was disappointing. Africa, it turns out, is a big place! Andrada Mining Plc, listed on the AIM, operate in Namibia, thus providing an immediate excuse to review their share price.

 

Visually, there’s clearly something potentially very interesting happening at present as there’s a glass ceiling making itself known at the 6p level. It’s worth considering the implications of this 6p level (okay, 6.05p) as the share price recently exceeded the major downtrend since 2022. This trend was defined by a high of 6.05p at the start of this year and now, should such a level be exceeded, it feels reasonable to anticipate some near term recovery in the share price.

 

The immediate situation calculates with the potential of movement above 6.05p apparently being capable of triggering share price recovery to an initial 7p. Our longer term secondary, if such a level is exceeded, works out at 8.2p, a price level where the visuals indicate an expectation of some hesitation, due to historical movements. To trigger party time for the miner, closure above 8.2p should prove critical for the Big Picture, dumping the price into a zone where a future 11p becomes a reasonable new all time high, along with a demand we review the share price again.

 

If everything intends go horribly wrong, the share needs close below Blue on the chart, currently around 4.5p, as this would imply the threat of future reversal to 2p and that’s it. We cannot calculate below such a point.

 

 

**The Skeleton Coast was originally named, due to the number of whale carcases washed ashore due to whaling activities. However, the name remains deserved as it’s littered with the skeletons of hundreds of ship wrecks. The author, Wilbur Smith, was enamoured with Namibia, the people, and the environment.

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:09:29PM	BRENT	75.85
10:11:25PM	GOLD	1972.07	1968.8	1966	1961	1979	1983	1993	2007	1968
10:13:01PM	FTSE	7778
10:15:05PM	STOX50	4392
10:16:56PM	GERMANY	16236
10:18:35PM	US500	4197	4178	4167	4153	4196	4209	4217	4230	4189
10:32:30PM	DOW	33319									‘cess
10:34:40PM	NASDAQ	13866.72
10:39:10PM	JAPAN	31194									Success

 

22/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7770 points. Change of 0.18%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,366,100,317 a change of 37.01%

19/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7756 points. Change of 0.18%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,376,481,422 a change of -9.9%

18/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7742 points. Change of 0.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,967,034,656 a change of 12.56%

17/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7723 points. Change of -0.36%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,301,388,137 a change of 17.83%

16/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7751 points. Change of -0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,499,249,343 a change of -9.01%

15/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7777 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,944,763,554 a change of 10.08%

12/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7754 points. Change of 0.31%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,492,113,080 a change of -8.91%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:MMAG Music Magpie** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:ODX Omega Diags** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **

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Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, HSBC, International Distribution, Music Magpie, Natwest, Ocado Plc, Omega Diags, Tern Plc,

LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 17.92 Percentage Change: -2.71% Day High: 19 Day Low: 17.8

Continued weakness against AFC taking the price below 17.8 calculates as ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 659.4 Percentage Change: -0.81% Day High: 666.8 Day Low: 655.6

Weakness on Fresnillo below 655.6 will invariably lead to 649 with second ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 617.2 Percentage Change: + 1.05% Day High: 620.4 Day Low: 613.6

Target met. Continued trades against HSBA with a mid-price ABOVE 620.4 sh ……..

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LSE:IDS International Distribution Close Mid-Price: 201.2 Percentage Change: -1.57% Day High: 208.4 Day Low: 199.3

If International Distribution experiences continued weakness below 199.3, ……..

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LSE:MMAG Music Magpie Close Mid-Price: 20.5 Percentage Change: -6.82% Day High: 22.25 Day Low: 20.5

In the event Music Magpie experiences weakness below 20.5 it calculates w ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 271.6 Percentage Change: + 1.19% Day High: 272.3 Day Low: 269

Further movement against Natwest ABOVE 272.3 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc. Close Mid-Price: 403.4 Percentage Change: + 2.39% Day High: 408.9 Day Low: 391

In the event Ocado Plc experiences weakness below 391 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:ODX Omega Diags. Close Mid-Price: 2.5 Percentage Change: + 2.04% Day High: 2.5 Day Low: 2.4

If Omega Diags experiences continued weakness below 2.4, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc Close Mid-Price: 4.1 Percentage Change: -3.53% Day High: 4.25 Day Low: 3.75

Weakness on Tern Plc below 3.75 will invariably lead to 2.6 next with sec ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Brent #SP500  In keeping with what’s become tradition in the retail banking sector, Barclays Plc managed to spend the last three weeks doing very little, failing to trigger any viable upward motion, failing to trigger anything seriously downward. What’s proving a little befuddling is any attempt to compare the banks price history with the history of the sector index. At first glance, the pair seem pretty similar but unfortunately, everything fell apart at the start of this year.

 

When we review the wider banking sector, we’re supposed to believe optimism should be justified. According to the sector index, the value broken through the downtrend since 2007 at the start of this year and has pretty rigidly adhered to “our rulebook” in the period since and despite a few sessions of amateur dramatics, utterly failed to close a session below the point of trend-break (3,250 points). This behaviour leads us to conclude the sector is simply awaiting an excuse to elected itself toward the 4,000 level sometime soon.

 

Conventional wisdom suggests Barclays should be following a similar trajectory to the sector index but this year, conventional wisdom joined political integrity as both appear to be taking a holiday somewhere far, far, away.

 

A quick glance at Barclays below reveals a broad similarity between the two entities until the start of this year, when something pretty important appears to have changed, hence our confusion.

 

While the sector index cheerfully launched itself into 2023 with a break above the trend, Barclays followed suit yet ran out of enthusiasm by mid-February, when the market opted to manipulate (gap) the banks share price back below the historical Blue downtrend. Normally, we would expect such behaviour to promote the potential of impending reversal down to 115p eventually, something which has obviously failed to happen. The reversal logic has now changed, requiring the share price to close a session below 138p to trigger an ambition of reversal to an initial 128p with secondary, if broken, at 115p and hopefully a solid bounce.

 

Unfortunately – or perhaps fortunately, due to the behaviour of of the sector index, we’re pretty far from comfortable predicting reversals against Barclays. Instead, we’ve a sneaking suspicion some surprise recovery may be awaiting an opportunity, the share price needing above 165p to hopefully trigger a twitch in the direction of 176p. With the share price presently trading around 159p, it certainly doesn’t need much work to hopefully kick things into life.

Our secondary, should 176p be exceeded. becomes especially interesting, calculating with the potential of triggering a surge to 221p and some probable hesitation.

What’s mildly humorous, an article over the weekend suggested investors should make an effort to select those sectors/companies which international governments will protect at all costs. Obviously, the biggest banks & mortgage houses feature, the biggest aviation companies, essentially any of the ‘too big to fail’ companies which pride themselves as being able to count on a bailout, if market conditions change unfavourably.

The only problem we experience, with the conclusion of such an article, comes from the salient detail these behemoths are now all suffering from dire share price movements, doubtless due to government bailouts taking the shine off the way the company is perceived. Even in Germany, Lufthansa €who aggressively dug themselves out from under the government, has a share price which is struggling to move above its level, pre-pandemic and, it any sort of fair world, it should be heading to 13.24€ rather than floundering around just above the 9 Euro mark.

 

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
9:26:26PM	BRENT	75.64	75	74.47	73.5	75.98	76.65	77.71	78.34	75.64
10:28:54PM	GOLD	1978.15								1972
10:30:17PM	FTSE	7770.79								7768
10:32:26PM	STOX50	4397								4387
10:35:36PM	GERMANY	16270.13								16090
10:37:20PM	US500	4193.77	4179	4164	4147	4198	4219	4223	4248	4180
10:39:52PM	DOW	33423.5								33370
10:42:07PM	NASDAQ	13810.32								13810
10:43:53PM	JAPAN	30825								30848

 

19/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7756 points. Change of 0.18%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,376,481,422 a change of -9.9%

18/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7742 points. Change of 0.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,967,034,656 a change of 12.56%

17/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7723 points. Change of -0.36%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,301,388,137 a change of 17.83%

16/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7751 points. Change of -0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,499,249,343 a change of -9.01%

15/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7777 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,944,763,554 a change of 10.08%

12/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7754 points. Change of 0.31%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,492,113,080 a change of -8.91%

11/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7730 points. Change of -0.14%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,931,618,860 a change of 7.65%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **

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Updated charts published on : Carnival, Fresnillo, International Distribution, Ocado Plc, Parkmead, Rockhopper,

LSE:CCL Carnival Close Mid-Price: 770.6 Percentage Change: -2.06% Day High: 797.2 Day Low: 772.2

Further movement against Carnival ABOVE 797.2 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 664.8 Percentage Change: + 0.79% Day High: 667.8 Day Low: 659

If Fresnillo experiences continued weakness below 659, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:IDS International Distribution Close Mid-Price: 204.4 Percentage Change: -2.15% Day High: 208 Day Low: 201.2

Weakness on International Distribution below 201.2 will invariably lead t ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 394 Percentage Change: -0.93% Day High: 403.2 Day Low: 394

If Ocado Plc experiences continued weakness below 394, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead Close Mid-Price: 21 Percentage Change: -1.18% Day High: 21.25 Day Low: 20.75

Continued weakness against PMG taking the price below 20.75 calculates as ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper Close Mid-Price: 14.5 Percentage Change: -2.03% Day High: 15 Day Low: 14

Continued trades against RKH with a mid-price ABOVE 15 should improve the ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#FTSE #GOLD  It transpires there are worse things than going to Ikea with your partner. Buying a car turned into something akin to trying to keep a puppy’s attention in a butterfly farm, slightly nightmarish. There were a row of cars, headed by the Peugeot she wanted to view. The salesman dug the thing out, my wife immediately spotting the VW cabriolet behind it. She really likes Golf’s, so also wanted to test this. Around this point, a big Subaru behind the Golf was revealed fully, and she also wanted a drive of this. By the end of the session, it was between the Subaru and the Peugeot, but unfortunately, neither compared well with her current Toyota 4WD.

After bluntly telling the patient salesman her conclusion, he bluntly replied she’d need to either replace her Toyota with a newer Toyota, or look at VW 4WD’s.

 

It was one of these days, a ferry to the mainland, a 30 mile drive to a car dealer, and the sinking feeling we’d accomplished nothing. Sudden inspiration struck, we’d not been for a walk on the famous Troon beach for years, once our favourite playground for the dogs and only a few miles away. Despite the tide being out, requiring a walk of around a mile to get to the sea, it proved to be dog heaven and thankfully free of humans.

 

The walk gave plenty of time to consider just what the heck is going on with the FTSE…

 

Since the start of May, most folk will have noticed the UK market has been effectively parked, waiting for an excuse to do something chaotic or useful. We’ve mentioned previously, with the index breaking above the Blue trend line which delineates market highs since 2018, it should prove relatively easy for the market to experience some proper gains as it’s trading in a zone with a long term attraction above 8200 points.

 

Near term, above 7786 suggests the potential of gains in the direction of an initial 7827 points with secondary, if bettered, at 7875. If triggered, the tightest sane stop looks like 7723 points.

 

Our alternative scenario is less flamboyant, our calculations suggesting weakness below 7723 risks a visit to 7707 points with secondary, if broken, at 7675 and the threat of the FTSE remaining, like todays used cars, trapped in a parking zone.

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:25:42PM	BRENT	7766.14	75.44	74.925		76.38	77.21	77.625		76.2	‘cess
10:28:24PM	GOLD	1957.94	1952	1946		1967	1964	1968		1956	Success
10:37:07PM	FTSE	7766.14	7724	7717		7749	7776	7781		7741	‘cess
10:48:55PM	STOX50	4389.3	4348	4341		4367	4385	4398		4372	Success
10:51:09PM	GERMANY	16218.44	16092	16037		16177	16229	16283		16132	Success
10:53:07PM	US500	4203.67	4146	4135		4176	4204	4207		4191	Success
11:10:09PM	DOW	33597	33207	33184		33311	33590	33663		33393	‘cess
11:13:28PM	NASDAQ	13891	13570	13521		13623	13902	13983		13699
11:15:22PM	JAPAN	30904	30392	30326		30584	30926	30942		30866	‘cess

 

18/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7742 points. Change of 0.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,967,034,656 a change of 12.56%

17/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7723 points. Change of -0.36%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,301,388,137 a change of 17.83%

16/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7751 points. Change of -0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,499,249,343 a change of -9.01%

15/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7777 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,944,763,554 a change of 10.08%

12/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7754 points. Change of 0.31%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,492,113,080 a change of -8.91%

11/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7730 points. Change of -0.14%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,931,618,860 a change of 7.65%

10/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7741 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,581,255,813 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:IQE IQE** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital** **

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Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Avacta, Carnival, Centrica, HSBC, British Airways, International Distribution, IQE, National Glib, Ocado Plc, Parkmead, Zoo Digital,

LSE:AML Aston Martin. Close Mid-Price: 260 Percentage Change: + 12.46% Day High: 288 Day Low: 255.4

Target met. Further movement against Aston Martin ABOVE 288 should improv ……..

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LSE:AVCT Avacta. Close Mid-Price: 108 Percentage Change: + 0.93% Day High: 109.5 Day Low: 104

Weakness on Avacta below 104 will invariably lead to 97 with secondary, i ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 786.8 Percentage Change: + 2.82% Day High: 794 Day Low: 765.2

All Carnival needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 794 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:CNA Centrica Close Mid-Price: 116.8 Percentage Change: -2.46% Day High: 120.25 Day Low: 116.15

Continued trades against CNA with a mid-price ABOVE 120.25 should improve ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 612.9 Percentage Change: + 1.64% Day High: 616.1 Day Low: 607.4

All HSBC needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 616.1 to improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 160.35 Percentage Change: + 0.69% Day High: 162 Day Low: 159.3

In the event of British Airways enjoying further trades beyond 162, the ……..

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LSE:IDS International Distribution Close Mid-Price: 208.9 Percentage Change: -5.99% Day High: 222.9 Day Low: 204.8

Continued weakness against IDS taking the price below 204.8 calculates as ……..

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LSE:IQE IQE Close Mid-Price: 20.75 Percentage Change: -11.70% Day High: 21.1 Day Low: 19.9

Target met. In the event IQE experiences weakness below 19.9 it calculate ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib Close Mid-Price: 1108 Percentage Change: -2.85% Day High: 1137 Day Low: 1098

If National Glib experiences continued weakness below 1098, it will invar ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 397.7 Percentage Change: -3.07% Day High: 413.2 Day Low: 398.8

Continued weakness against OCDO taking the price below 398.8 calculates a ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead Close Mid-Price: 21.25 Percentage Change: -2.30% Day High: 21.75 Day Low: 21.25

If Parkmead experiences continued weakness below 21.25, it will invariabl ……..

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LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital. Close Mid-Price: 134 Percentage Change: + 0.37% Day High: 134 Day Low: 131

Weakness on Zoo Digital below 131 will invariably lead to 109 with second ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Gold #Nasdaq  We tend become quite cynical, when stumbling across a company boasting of being listed in a “Sunday Times Best” list. Part of the reason is jealousy, a larger part of the reason is the important detail companies need pay before being considered for such an “accolade”.  After being recently approached for something similar, we decided to eschew the honour, partially thanks to having no real competition, mainly due to the fee required and this didn’t include the cost of attending the awards dinner at Davos next year!

 

Usually, any excuse for a ski trip to Switzerland is welcome but when 5 figure numbers start being thrown around, it’s easier to decline, possibly spending the rest of my life worrying whether my parsimonious Scottish nature just ensured a major opportunity was avoided… But for that price, we could spend Jan to March skiing in France and never be expected to wear a suit.

 

There’s another little nark bothering us about XPS. We’re about to launch into a quite optimistic scenario for the share, due to recent share price movements. But there’s something quite strange about the stock market in the UK and USA. Essentially, the further down the alphabet a share is listed, the harder the share price needs work to produce anything positive. At times, we feel folk become bored examining listings, losing interest as they scroll down the 26 letters of the alphabet. While this rather hysterical conclusion has many exceptions to the rule, a share occupying the 24th letter certainly provides some pause for thought.

 

 

However, to take a positive stance against XPS, it appears movement next above 178p should hopefully trigger near term movement to an initial 200p with secondary, if exceeded, at a longer term 235p and another new all time high.

The share price needs below 146p to ring alarm bells, risking provoking reversal to an initial 135p with our secondary, if broken, down at a visually sane bottom of 103p

 

In this instance, despite our alphabet-phobia, things currently look quite positive for the largest pure pensions consultancy in the UK.

 

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:33:19PM	BRENT	76.76									Success
9:36:12PM	GOLD	1982.63	1974	1970	1964	1985	1991	1995	2002	1985	‘cess
9:38:48PM	FTSE	7759.8									Shambles
9:41:24PM	STOX50	4350.9									‘cess
9:44:07PM	GERMANY	16025.94									‘cess
9:46:43PM	US500	4160.47									Success
9:48:50PM	DOW	33411.7									Success
9:52:59PM	NASDAQ	13595	13422	13372	13290	13488	13618	13839	13872	13424	Success
9:56:19PM	JAPAN	30516									Success

 

17/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7723 points. Change of -0.36%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,301,388,137 a change of 17.83%

16/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7751 points. Change of -0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,499,249,343 a change of -9.01%

15/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7777 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,944,763,554 a change of 10.08%

12/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7754 points. Change of 0.31%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,492,113,080 a change of -8.91%

11/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7730 points. Change of -0.14%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,931,618,860 a change of 7.65%

10/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7741 points. Change of -0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,581,255,813 a change of -35.41%

9/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7764 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,092,371,085 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

********

Updated charts published on : Avacta, BP PLC, Carclo, Fresnillo, British Airways, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Ocado Plc, Tullow,

LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 107 Percentage Change: -1.83% Day High: 110 Day Low: 106

If Avacta experiences continued weakness below 106, it will invariably le ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 478.35 Percentage Change: + 0.50% Day High: 482.2 Day Low: 475

BP are becoming a little worrisome as weakness below 458p looks like becom ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo. Close Mid-Price: 12.75 Percentage Change: + 15.91% Day High: 13.5 Day Low: 11.95

This is a bit interesting as above 13.5 suggests gains toward a confident ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 663.8 Percentage Change: -1.37% Day High: 674 Day Low: 660.8

Target met. In the event Fresnillo experiences weakness below 660.8 it ca ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 159.25 Percentage Change: + 2.28% Day High: 159.75 Day Low: 154.7

Target met. Further movement against British Airways ABOVE 159.75 should ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 5378 Percentage Change: + 0.56% Day High: 5376 Day Low: 5318

This is a nuisance as it should be going up, but isn’t! The share price ne ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 410.3 Percentage Change: -0.94% Day High: 410.8 Day Low: 400.3

Weakness on Ocado Plc below 400.3 will invariably lead to 372 with second ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 22.8 Percentage Change: + 0.88% Day High: 22.9 Day Low: 21.84

Target met. Continued weakness against TLW taking the price below 21.84 c ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#FTSE #Nasdaq  One of the few legal firms listed on the UK exchanges, RBG Holdings share price has not followed a great trajectory since July 2021 and finally, we suspect we’re seeing early signals it may be in the final stages of this death spiral. To be fair, if the market thinks there’s real strength present, ideally this share shall bounce anytime soon.

 

From our numbers perspective, it appears weakness continuing below 32p risks triggering further reversals to an initial 27.5p with secondary, if broken, calculating at an “ultimate bottom” down at an unpleasant looking 19p. We refer to this sort of thing as an “ultimate” bottom for the pretty basic reason we cannot calculate any reliable target below such a level. Surprisingly, quite a few shares experience a bounce prior to an “ultimate” making an appearance and visually, the share price is already in the zone.

However, it’s always worth remembering the market offers absolutely no guarantees of a bounce, along with the clichéd memory, warning of the dangers of catching a falling knife.

 

In this instance, above 41p looks like it could prove interesting, hopefully provoking movement to an initial 55p with secondary, if bettered, at a potentially useful 65p. We’re being a little cautious with this optimism as the share price requires (from our perspective) to close a session above 71p, over double the price level at time of writing, to signal proper recovery kicking into action for the longer term.

 

For now, it’s probably worth keeping an eye on how this price behaves in the next few weeks.

 

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:20:38PM	BRENT	74.54
9:23:44PM	GOLD	1989.57									Success
9:26:01PM	FTSE	7740.82	7726	7710	7678	7754	7761	7768	7782	7739	‘cess
9:28:23PM	STOX50	4312.1
9:30:22PM	GERMANY	15906.6
9:32:28PM	US500	4120.07
9:35:21PM	DOW	33063.6									Success
9:37:30PM	NASDAQ	13460	13377	13350	13298	13433	13506	13545	13586	13427	Success
9:41:03PM	JAPAN	29895									‘cess

 

16/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7751 points. Change of -0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,499,249,343 a change of -9.01%

15/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7777 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,944,763,554 a change of 10.08%

12/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7754 points. Change of 0.31%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,492,113,080 a change of -8.91%

11/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7730 points. Change of -0.14%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,931,618,860 a change of 7.65%

10/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7741 points. Change of -0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,581,255,813 a change of -35.41%

9/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7764 points. Change of -0.18%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,092,371,085 a change of 60.33%

5/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7778 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,423,579,038 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Centrica, Fresnillo, British Airways, Rolls Royce, Vodafone,

LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 410.3 Percentage Change: -0.61% Day High: 415.3 Day Low: 409.5

Now below 402 indicates the potential of reversals to an initial 387 with ……..

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 119.65 Percentage Change: + 1.79% Day High: 119.9 Day Low: 117.6

Target met. In the event of Centrica enjoying further trades beyond 119.9 ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 673 Percentage Change: -1.06% Day High: 681.8 Day Low: 674

Continued weakness against FRES taking the price below 674 calculates as ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 155.7 Percentage Change: + 0.91% Day High: 156.2 Day Low: 152.5

Continued trades against IAG with a mid-price ABOVE 156.2 should improve ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 148.15 Percentage Change: + 2.10% Day High: 151 Day Low: 146.95

Amazing to note this still needs above 160.25p to signal it’s breaking upw ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 83.33 Percentage Change: -7.44% Day High: 87.82 Day Low: 81.02

If Vodafone experiences continued weakness below 81.02, it will invariabl ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Gold #SP500  Traditionally, we’re quite disparaging at the Share Split game played, mainly by AIM shares, to manipulate share prices. The usual, we’ll take 100 of your shares and give back one shiny new one, is employed to make a share sound more respectable. Generally, this manoeuvre ends in tears at worst or more commonly, utter boredom for the future share price.

 

JD Sports are the opposite.

 

The last 9 years have seen JD take a converse approach, saying we’ll take 1 of your shares and give 4 back, an effort to ensure the company share price remains respectable. Then they did a 1:5 split in 2016 and finally, another 1:5 split in 2021. This sort of behaviour is the sort of thing we’ve noticed with Apple over the years, a constant effort being made to make their share price reside in the realms of the believable. Apple, of course, the US company now deemed worth more than all the US Russell 2000 constituents combined!

 

 

This being the case, perhaps it shall prove being wise to take an “Apple” approach, aka using an optimistic bias. For JD Sports, presently trading around 174p, above just 179p should now promote the concept of ongoing growth to an initial 196p. If exceeded, our longer term secondary works out at 232p along with almost certain hesitation, due to prior highs. In this instance, closure above our 232p is liable to prove important for the more distant future, nudging the share price into a zone where a future 294p becomes believable.

 

If everything intends go wrong for JD Sports, their share price needs wither below 156p to ring alarm bells, risking triggering reversal to an initial 135p with secondary, if broken, a probable bottom of 116p.

 

For now, we suspect this intends head to the 232p level.

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:42:52PM	BRENT	75.39								74.42
9:45:05PM	GOLD	2016.12	2008	2005.5	2000	2016	2023	2026	2034	2014
9:46:48PM	FTSE	7788.57									‘cess
9:48:45PM	STOX50	4329.9
9:50:53PM	GERMANY	15937.84									‘cess
10:20:24PM	US500	4137.32	4110	4100	4085	4129	4145	4153	4160	4133
10:22:28PM	DOW	33351
10:24:40PM	NASDAQ	13410									‘cess
10:27:45PM	JAPAN	29850									Success

 

15/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7777 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,944,763,554 a change of 10.08%

12/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7754 points. Change of 0.31%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,492,113,080 a change of -8.91%

11/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7730 points. Change of -0.14%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,931,618,860 a change of 7.65%

10/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7741 points. Change of -0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,581,255,813 a change of -35.41%

9/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7764 points. Change of -0.18%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,092,371,085 a change of 60.33%

5/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7778 points. Change of 0.99%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,423,579,038 a change of -18.99%

4/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7702 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,460,672,178 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

********

Updated charts published on : Asos, Centrica, Fresnillo, HSBC, ITM Power, National Glib, Reabold Resources PLC, Sainsbury, Tullow,

LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 400.5 Percentage Change: -20.69% Day High: 480 Day Low: 382

Target Met. This is now officially dodgy as below 382 indicates the strong ……..

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 117.55 Percentage Change: + 2.44% Day High: 118 Day Low: 114.75

All Centrica needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 118 to continue acceleration ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 680.2 Percentage Change: -0.15% Day High: 686.2 Day Low: 675

Weakness on Fresnillo below 675 will invariably lead to 668 with secondary ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 611 Percentage Change: + 1.88% Day High: 611.1 Day Low: 603.7

In the event of HSBC enjoying further trades beyond 612, the share should ……..

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LSE:ITM ITM Power Close Mid-Price: 72.04 Percentage Change: -4.23% Day High: 76 Day Low: 67.34

Below 67 now still indicates the potential of reversal to 63.5 and hopeful ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib Close Mid-Price: 1160.5 Percentage Change: -0.13% Day High: 1181 Day Low: 1157

Target Met. Moves next above 1181 suggests a visit to 1198 next with secon ……..

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LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC Close Mid-Price: 0.15 Percentage Change: -17.48% Day High: 0.18 Day Low: 0.15

Target Met. Perhaps this is now at bottom as below .15 allows for a visit ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury Close Mid-Price: 287.5 Percentage Change: -0.62% Day High: 290.7 Day Low: 286.9

All Sainsbury needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 291 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 23.46 Percentage Change: -1.43% Day High: 23.82 Day Low: 22.8

Weakness on Tullow below 22.8 will invariably lead to 22 with secondary, i ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Brent #Dax  Few market movements are more dismaying than when a share price is gapped (aka manipulated) before a trend line. In the case of Natwest Group, on April 28th, the decision was made to force the share price downward quite forcibly, effectively broadcasting the markets intention for enforce misery of holders of Natwest. The Blue downtrend since 2015 clearly means something to the nice folk who control the markets…

 

The situation now, for Natwest, indicates movement continuing below 250p will probably make an attempt next to an initial 238p with our longer term secondary, if broken, calculating down at 215p and a hopefully proper bottom bounce. There is obviously an issue with the banking sector due to US banks popping like the ulcers of middle management, and it leaves us with a broad expectation things may get worse, despite central banks hiking up interest rates.

There’s now a big problem should our 215p target level eventually break as “bottom” works out at 134p, a number which doesn’t look visually impossible. But it is certainly painful, representing an effective return to a true 13p level, once the historic 2012 10:1 share split is remembered.

 

 

However, given the movement in April highlighted the market places some importance against this long term Blue downtrend, we shall be fascinated if the market opts to invent an excuse to gap Natwest share price above Blue anytime in the next few weeks. Such a movement would be regarded as influential as should Natwest manage to now close a session above 270p, it looks like share price recovery to an initial 298p should make some sense.  If exceeded, our secondary works out at 318p and some potential hesitation, despite such an ambition representing a higher high. While we can introduce a long term 3rd level ambition at 396p, in this scenario, we shall prefer revisit the numbers if the 318p level makes an appearance.

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
8:58:12PM	BRENT	74.12	73.88	73.31	72.5	74.51	75.74	76.2	76.92	74.95
8:59:53PM	GOLD	2011.14								2017
9:01:37PM	FTSE	7750.78								7744
9:03:26PM	STOX50	4315.6								4329
9:05:22PM	GERMANY	15886.25	15843	15827	15791	15922	15937	15947	16012	15877
9:06:59PM	US500	4125.97								4135
9:10:06PM	DOW	33290								33338
9:13:07PM	NASDAQ	13342								13326
9:15:17PM	JAPAN	29558								29478

 

12/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7754 points. Change of 0.31%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,492,113,080 a change of -8.91%

11/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7730 points. Change of -0.14%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,931,618,860 a change of 7.65%

10/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7741 points. Change of -0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,581,255,813 a change of -35.41%

9/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7764 points. Change of -0.18%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,092,371,085 a change of 60.33%

5/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7778 points. Change of 0.99%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,423,579,038 a change of -18.99%

4/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7702 points. Change of -1.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,460,672,178 a change of 8.08%

3/05/2023 FTSE Closed at 7788 points. Change of 0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,052,417,233 a change of -36.96%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital** **

********

Updated charts published on : Fresnillo, Greggs, National Glib, Parkmead, Tullow, Zoo Digital,

LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 681.2 Percentage Change: -1.33% Day High: 693.6 Day Low: 676.8

Weakness on Fresnillo below 676.8 will invariably lead to 660 with second ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs Close Mid-Price: 2852 Percentage Change: -0.49% Day High: 2914 Day Low: 2832

Further movement against Greggs ABOVE 2914 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1162 Percentage Change: + 0.65% Day High: 1167.5 Day Low: 1157

Target met. Further movement against National Glib ABOVE 1167.5 should im ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead. Close Mid-Price: 22 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 22 Day Low: 21.75

Weakness on Parkmead below 21.75 will invariably lead to 19p with seconda ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 23.8 Percentage Change: -1.90% Day High: 24.44 Day Low: 23.86

Weakness on Tullow below 23.86 will invariably lead to 22 with secondary, ……..

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LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital Close Mid-Price: 135.5 Percentage Change: -1.81% Day High: 137.5 Day Low: 133.5

Target met. Continued weakness against ZOO taking the price below 133.5 c ……..

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View Previous Zoo Digital & Big Picture ***

*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.