Author: T&T Staff

#Gold #LloydsBank We didn’t skip our three weekly coverage of Lloyds because Easter Monday was a holiday. Because we also got to enjoy a holiday off, our retail bank Monday simply didn’t happen and was utterly forgotten about. However, the share is starting to show some signs of becoming interesting (along with our members of the financial sector) with a result we’re taking a “better late than never” stance, if only due to our target numbers changing.

 

There’s certainly some excitement, perhaps a bit muted, over Lloyds finally breaking the 50p level, even though the movement was carried out by a little bit of manipulation, the share price being gapped up from 50 to 51.1p as March drew toward a close. While some sectors of the financial press as positively drooling at this movement, one even inventing 70p as the next major target, our inclination is to rely on our software as historically it has proven pretty reliable in mapping the retail banks.

Now above just 52.5p currently looks capable of triggering fairly near term gains to an initial 55.5p and perhaps some hesitation, given the share prices behaviour at such a level since 2022. Our longer term secondary, if 55.5p is exceeded, works out at 60.5p and a price level where our logic demands witnessing the share price closing at such a level before being confident of a reasonable future. The 60.5p level is a big deal, marginally exceeding the high pre-pandemic and only once the price actually closes above such a point does it become very probable happier days are ahead.

One mildly important facet of Lloyds current movements is represented by the Blue line on the chart below. This Blue crayon mark shows a downtrend which dates back to the financial crisis of 2009 and for some reason, the market appears to be currently treating it as important, given price movements during the most recent 7 sessions. We can argue closure around the 60.5p level shall be significant, suggesting the price has broken free from the gloom of the big market crash and the doom of the Covid-19 era.

This being the case, we can easily shift into “big picture” mode and suggest ignoring any pundits promoting the idea of a 70p target level. Instead, we are able to calculate a future 89.6p as a viable future ambition.

 

Of course, this is a retail bank, always at the mercy of politicians, economists, and other circus clowns. As a result, below 50p shall now be viewed as dangerous, giving the potential of reversal to an initial 47.3p with our secondary, if broken, at 46p and a hopeful bounce.  One other thing worth remembering, if you wake up during the next few weeks and the market as chosen to gap Lloyds down at the open for any reason, there’s a reasonable excuse for some panic. But for now, we’re quite hopeful.

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:04:56PM	BRENT	8917.8
9:07:14PM	GOLD	2297.3	2265	2254	2239	2276	2299	2301	2313	2289	‘cess
9:10:24PM	FTSE	7926									‘cess
9:12:53PM	STOX50	5064.1
9:14:49PM	GERMANY	18361
9:19:59PM	US500	5218.6
10:52:39PM	DOW	39162.9
10:55:42PM	NASDAQ	18178.5	18032	17971	17880	18116	18242	18331	18440	18138	‘cess
10:58:13PM	JAPAN	39979

 

3/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7937 points. Change of 0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,056,901,297 a change of -5.31%

2/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7935 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,396,592,284 a change of 13.98%

28/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7952 points. Change of 0.26%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,611,823,607 a change of -19.65%

27/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7931 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,984,265,081 a change of 6.21%

26/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of 0.16%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,575,880,287 a change of 25.5%

25/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7917 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,239,616,873 a change of 0%

22/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,861,635,918 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:ITV ITV** **LSE:MMAG Music Magpie** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Barclays, Centamin, Capita, MAN, ITV, Music Magpie, Natwest, Ocado Plc, Tullow,

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LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 188.54 Percentage Change: + 2.40% Day High: 189.22 Day Low: 183.52

Further movement against Barclays ABOVE 189.22 should improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:CEY Centamin. Close Mid-Price: 117.2 Percentage Change: + 2.00% Day High: 117.7 Day Low: 114

In the event of Centamin enjoying further trades beyond 117.7, the share ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 12.5 Percentage Change: -2.95% Day High: 13.04 Day Low: 12.48

Target met. If Capita experiences continued weakness below 12.48, it will ……..

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LSE:EMG MAN. Close Mid-Price: 274 Percentage Change: + 3.01% Day High: 274.4 Day Low: 265.2

In the event of MAN enjoying further trades beyond 274.4, the share shoul ……..

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LSE:ITV ITV. Close Mid-Price: 74.85 Percentage Change: + 1.77% Day High: 75 Day Low: 73

All ITV needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 75 to improve acceleration towar ……..

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LSE:MMAG Music Magpie Close Mid-Price: 7 Percentage Change: -2.10% Day High: 7.15 Day Low: 6.75

In the event Music Magpie experiences weakness below 6.75 it calculates w ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 272.7 Percentage Change: + 2.10% Day High: 273 Day Low: 266.4

All Natwest needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 273 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc. Close Mid-Price: 439.3 Percentage Change: + 0.78% Day High: 443.3 Day Low: 426.5

Continued weakness against OCDO taking the price below 426.5 calculates a ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 33.48 Percentage Change: + 1.76% Day High: 33.38 Day Low: 32.28

In the event of Tullow enjoying further trades beyond 33.38, the share sh ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Brent #Germany An email asking our thoughts on long established #Fisher & Sons Plc caught our attention, if only due to a reference to them being based in Barrow-in-Furness. Having visited Barrow just twice, it wasn’t a place which inspired any fond memories, especially after passing through the picturesque lake district anticipating being impressed. Instead, we found a town which would challenge a wet day in Greenock, Scotland for misery.

Okay, perhaps there’s another reason for the grudge. A reference about a mythical TVR 2+2 had led to a dealer in the town who claimed being able to source one. They were rare, not due to popularity but really because no sane person wanted one but as I’d a Golden Retriever, a sports car with a slightly useable back seat was needed. As I’d already owned most models of TVR, the idea of a 2+2 made sense and this vehicle promised to be special, apparently a cancelled order from someone in the middle east. The next few years proved interesting, the high end specification giving a constant reason for the vehicle suffering problems. One special incident was the day it started snowing inside the car, air conditioning opting to create artificial snow which pumped out every vent. This was to be the final TVR owned, eventually traded against a Mercedes coupe.

 

For the last couple of years, it has almost felt like a rule was being applied, one designed to make traders believe the share price could not sink below 245p. We often believe this can be an example of brokers exercising a sense of humour, awaiting sufficient number of shares purchased at “bottom” prior to executing a final “gotcha” drop. In the case of Fisher, we’re not entirely confident this is the case as, from a Big Picture stance, it is difficult to calculate below 245p without coming up with answers which are prefaced by impossible minus signs. Perhaps it is the case the share price is indeed at a “bottom” though, when we review movements since 2022, there is a vague chance weakness below 245p could maybe bottom at 120p.

Should we chose to embrace optimism, above 277p could hopefully trigger recovery to an initial important 292p. Recovery such as this would be important, exceeding the Blue downtrend and transporting the share price into a zone where a longer term cycle to 344p looks very possible. In this instance, we can even supply a third level target potential at 423p, an ambition which makes a lot of visual sense and implies any break upward is liable to find the share price stuck in its channel between 245p and 423p. Only with closure above 423p shall we dare believe a significant change has taken place in its longer term potentials.

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
9:53:40PM	BRENT	8900.9	8717	8694	8622	8786	8910	9001	9273	8683
9:57:37PM	GOLD	2279.9
10:53:13PM	FTSE	7940.3
10:54:51PM	STOX50	5053.2
10:56:41PM	GERMANY	18309.1	18258	18205	18060	18328	18575	18657	18790	18487
10:58:24PM	US500	5210.7
11:00:24PM	DOW	39188.5
11:03:36PM	NASDAQ	18134.4
11:07:12PM	JAPAN	39654

 

2/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7935 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,396,592,284 a change of 13.98%

28/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7952 points. Change of 0.26%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,611,823,607 a change of -19.65%

27/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7931 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,984,265,081 a change of 6.21%

26/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of 0.16%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,575,880,287 a change of 25.5%

25/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7917 points. Change of -0.16%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,239,616,873 a change of -10.61%

22/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,861,635,918 a change of 0%

21/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,034,399,784 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, BALFOUR BEATTY, BP PLC, Centamin, Natwest, Rolls Royce, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, Tullow,

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LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 492.5 Percentage Change: -0.83% Day High: 499.4 Day Low: 492.7

In the event of Aviva enjoying further trades beyond 499.4, the share sho ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY Close Mid-Price: 378.8 Percentage Change: -0.89% Day High: 391.4 Day Low: 377.6

Further movement against BALFOUR BEATTY ABOVE 391.4 should improve accele ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 508.6 Percentage Change: + 2.60% Day High: 511.7 Day Low: 502.8

Target met. All BP PLC needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 511.7 to improve ……..

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LSE:CEY Centamin. Close Mid-Price: 114.9 Percentage Change: + 1.77% Day High: 116.1 Day Low: 114

Target met. Further movement against Centamin ABOVE 116.1 should improve ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 267.1 Percentage Change: + 0.60% Day High: 267.9 Day Low: 264

In the event of Natwest enjoying further trades beyond 267.9, the share s ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 418.9 Percentage Change: -1.83% Day High: 435 Day Low: 412.9

In the event of Rolls Royce enjoying further trades beyond 435, the share ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust Close Mid-Price: 866 Percentage Change: -3.13% Day High: 898 Day Low: 866.4

Target met. All Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust needs are mid-price tr ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 32.9 Percentage Change: + 5.58% Day High: 32.72 Day Low: 31.34

Target met. Continued trades against TLW with a mid-price ABOVE 32.72 sho ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#FTSE #WallSt  There was once a pop group called The Beatles and they wrote a tune called “Dear Prudence”. There can be few folk surfing the decline in Prudential’s share price since 2018 who don’t silently sing the first line of the song; “Dear Prudence, won’t you come out to play?” as they patiently tolerate the reduction in share value from 20 quid to a current 755p. Potentially, there is some good news on the horizon.

 

From a big picture perspective, since 2020 there has been a need for the share price to close a session below 736p to drive a final nail in its coffin. However, a few days ago when the price collapsed down to 719p, it actually closed the session at 745p, failing to pull a serious trigger. Our inclination is toward some hope we’ve just seen the price achieve a bottom.

This being the case, above 768p has the potential to provoke some fun and gains, allowing price recovery to an initial 784p with our secondary, if beaten, at a significant future 837p. We’re inclined to treat the potential of a future 837p as significant as it risks allowing the share price to nudge above the Red uptrend which dates back to the year 2009 and an era when “Dear Prudence” was around 40 years old.

 

However, if things intend go wrong, below 747 now risks a visit to an initial 736 with our secondary, if broken, calculating at 700p and hopefully a proper bounce. Danger intrudes, if 700p breaks as a third “it almost MUST bounce” level intrudes at 626p, a price level which makes little visual sense as it’d take the share into a zone which threatens armageddon which shall be difficult to recover from.

For now, as we face the annual chocolate festival of Easter with its unfortunate “diet starts Tuesday” implication, have a good long weekend and we’ll return on Tuesday.

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:58:57PM	BRENT	8555.7	8447	8367		8517	8563	8608		8516	Shambles
10:00:59PM	GOLD	2194.45	2175	2166		2183	2201	2218		2185
10:02:55PM	FTSE	7936.5	7890	7861		7917	7954	7968		7931	‘cess
10:09:39PM	STOX50	5094.1	5061	5041		5092	5103	5128		5080	Success
10:14:55PM	GERMANY	18531.9	18383	18312		18494	18537	18553		18380	‘cess
10:20:25PM	US500	5248.5	5214	5205		5230	5257	5266		5213
10:23:28PM	DOW	39758	39456	39370		39580	39818	39885		39584	Success
10:25:46PM	NASDAQ	18270.8	18212	18156		18242	18354	18419		18247
10:28:43PM	JAPAN	40478	40455	40218		40672	40984	41165		40618	‘cess

 

27/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7931 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,984,265,081 a change of 6.21%

26/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of 0.16%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,575,880,287 a change of 25.5%

25/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7917 points. Change of -0.16%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,239,616,873 a change of -10.61%

22/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,861,635,918 a change of -16.67%

21/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 1.87%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,034,399,784 a change of 32.89%

20/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7737 points. Change of -0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,293,450,897 a change of -24.59%

19/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7738 points. Change of 0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,019,485,626 a change of 32.39%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, Avacta, BALFOUR BEATTY, Carnival, British Airways, Tesco,

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 496.2 Percentage Change: + 0.02% Day High: 497.8 Day Low: 493.2

Further movement against Aviva ABOVE 497.8 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 49 Percentage Change: -3.73% Day High: 51.25 Day Low: 48.75

Weakness on Avacta below 48.75 will invariably lead to 45p with secondary ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 384 Percentage Change: + 0.37% Day High: 390.8 Day Low: 381.4

In the event of BALFOUR BEATTY enjoying further trades beyond 390.8, the ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1236.5 Percentage Change: + 1.69% Day High: 1283 Day Low: 1157

Target met. All Carnival needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1283 to improve ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 171.5 Percentage Change: + 3.31% Day High: 171.15 Day Low: 166.7

Target met. Further movement against British Airways ABOVE 171.15 should ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 298.2 Percentage Change: + 0.47% Day High: 300 Day Low: 296.5

Continued trades against TSCO with a mid-price ABOVE 300 should improve t ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Gold #FTSE The death by 1,000 share price cuts which afflicts Vodafone continues to plague the share. Visually it appears the market isn’t overly impressed with the plan to spin off their Vodafone UK mobile phone service with Three UK and of course, the market regulator has now stuck its oar in with some reasonable questions. Vodafone, owning and operating networks in 21 countries, along with partnering in an additional 44 countries, make it easy to forget their UK operation is just a single division of the massive company.

Personally, only one experience of Vodafone as a provider happened an awfully long time ago. I’d a Volvo estate car and the company decided it’d be great if they could call me at any time, so installed a Racal “mobile” phone in the thing. This was probably my favourite “mobile” of all time. You picked up the handset and it rang the BT operator. After telling the nice friendly lady the number you wanted to connect to, the call was established. Vodafone grew out of Racal and unfortunately, this quaint method of communication didn’t last. That Volvo estate became the first major casualty of the coming mobile phone revolution, due to the enormous power required by the original Racal system which quite literally charged the body of the car, turning it into the biggest rust magnet of all time. Within a couple of years, the roof, the doors, even the bonnet, had large rust patches in evidence with a mechanic suggesting we should have fitted something called an “Anode”, something ships use to inhibit corrosion damage. Thank goodness my next company car, an Audi Coupe, proved unaffected by my Racal replacement, the massive Vodafone brick where the handset doubled as a carrying handle. After a brief period, this was discarded as opting for a pager made more sense.

 

Vodafone, despite their long history and international success, have a share price which had failed to impress anyone for some years and there are signs (weak signs) it may perhaps have bottomed this year. The first indication for this to be the case shall come if the price trades above 75p as this should trigger a movement to an initial 79p. Above such a level and things start to become more interesting, calculating with the potential of a future lift to 94p and the potential of a break above the downtrend since 2018. We think the markets shall regard this as quite a big deal, due to closure above Blue on the chart immediately dumping the share price in a zone where a long term attraction is seen as coming from 130p.

However, there’s also the risk the deal to merge Vodafone UK and 3 Mobile UK shall be viewed as poisonous. If this is the case, the price needs below 62.5p to risk triggering reversal to an initial 57p with secondary, if broken, at 53p. The proximity of these targets tends to suggest this movement will almost certainly produce a bottom.

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:51:58PM	BRENT	8519
9:54:45PM	GOLD	2178.61	2170	2159	2145	2184	2201	2206	2213	2179	Success
9:57:44PM	FTSE	7917.3	7895	7887	7862	7936	7936	7948	7968	7914
10:00:20PM	STOX50	5058.3									‘cess
10:07:51PM	GERMANY	18367									Success
10:10:30PM	US500	5214.6									‘cess
10:12:59PM	DOW	39376
10:15:22PM	NASDAQ	18247.6
10:17:34PM	JAPAN	40489									Success

26/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of 0.16%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,575,880,287 a change of 25.5%

25/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7917 points. Change of -0.16%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,239,616,873 a change of -10.61%

22/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,861,635,918 a change of -16.67%

21/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 1.87%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,034,399,784 a change of 32.89%

20/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7737 points. Change of -0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,293,450,897 a change of -24.59%

19/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7738 points. Change of 0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,019,485,626 a change of 32.39%

18/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7722 points. Change of -0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,302,291,747 a change of -63.39%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G** **LSE:ITV ITV** **LSE:MMAG Music Magpie** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **LSE:SRP Serco** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

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Updated charts published on : ECO (Atlantic) O & G, ITV, Music Magpie, Natwest, Rolls Royce, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, Serco, Tullow, Tesco,

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LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G Close Mid-Price: 8.85 Percentage Change: -3.80% Day High: 9.3 Day Low: 8.85

Continued weakness against ECO taking the price below 8.85 calculates as ……..

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LSE:ITV ITV. Close Mid-Price: 73.3 Percentage Change: + 1.83% Day High: 73.64 Day Low: 71.62

Continued trades against ITV with a mid-price ABOVE 73.64 should improve ……..

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LSE:MMAG Music Magpie Close Mid-Price: 6.9 Percentage Change: -3.50% Day High: 7.15 Day Low: 6.9

Weakness on Music Magpie below 6.9 will invariably lead to 6.4p with seco ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 262.4 Percentage Change: + 0.92% Day High: 262.8 Day Low: 258.7

Continued trades against NWG with a mid-price ABOVE 262.8 should improve ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 428 Percentage Change: + 1.64% Day High: 428.8 Day Low: 421.1

Continued trades against RR. with a mid-price ABOVE 428.8 should improve ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust. Close Mid-Price: 884.4 Percentage Change: + 0.98% Day High: 884.6 Day Low: 871

Further movement against Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust ABOVE 884.6 s ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco. Close Mid-Price: 189.5 Percentage Change: + 0.91% Day High: 193 Day Low: 187

Continued trades against SRP with a mid-price ABOVE 193 should improve th ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 31.92 Percentage Change: + 1.33% Day High: 31.8 Day Low: 30.66

Further movement against Tullow ABOVE 31.8 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 296.8 Percentage Change: + 1.06% Day High: 297.3 Day Low: 292.4

All Tesco needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 297.3 to improve acceleration ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Gold #SP500 Something appears to be happening with the insurance industry. A quick scan of end of day positions revealed Admiral and Beazley starting to look positive for the longer term, then we opted to glance at Direct Line, discovering a company share price swimming in the other direction. After some thought, we decided to review the most positive looking share and thus, settled on Admiral, the company behind some of the more irritating TV adverts. Thankfully, they’ve dodged any effort to be completely inclusive aside from that lady Admiral commercial, now discretely moored.

Admiral Group, the company behind Admiral, Bell, Elephant, Veygo and Diamond insurance labels, in addition to starting the price comparison sites known as Confused.Com and Compare.Com, enjoy a share price which looks very capable of experiencing some real recovery. What’s a bit strange is the price was trading around 2300p pre-pandemic, somehow surging to the 3700p level in 2021 before embracing the misery which afflicted the UK markets through to 2023. Now, similar to the FTSE, Admiral share price is showing early signals of some coming growth.

 

Currently above 2870p calculates as capable of triggering price recovery to an initial 3002p with our secondary, if bettered, working out at a longer term 3450p, solidly in a zone where a third level 3664 calculates as possible. This has the potential of some price hesitation while the market questions if a previous all time high shall represent the highest the share price can go.

If things intend go horribly wrong, below Red at 2520 currently works out with the risk of reversal down to an initial 2265p with secondary, if broken, calculating at an eventual hopeful bottom of 2073p.

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:36:17PM	BRENT	8596.3									Success
9:38:55PM	GOLD	2171.48	2158	2149	2125	2170	2182	2185	2192	2172
9:41:37PM	FTSE	7905.8
9:43:28PM	STOX50	5039.3
9:45:45PM	GERMANY	18258.9									‘cess
9:48:30PM	US500	5222	5213	5193	5171	5231	5236	5241	5250	5221	‘cess
9:51:10PM	DOW	39322.3									‘cess
10:33:43PM	NASDAQ	18300.7									‘cess
10:36:40PM	JAPAN	40408									Success

 

25/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7917 points. Change of -0.16%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,239,616,873 a change of -10.61%

22/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,861,635,918 a change of -16.67%

21/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 1.87%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,034,399,784 a change of 32.89%

20/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7737 points. Change of -0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,293,450,897 a change of -24.59%

19/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7738 points. Change of 0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,019,485,626 a change of 32.39%

18/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7722 points. Change of -0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,302,291,747 a change of -63.39%

15/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7727 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 14,485,048,081 a change of 162.41%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

********

Updated charts published on : Asos, BP PLC, Carnival, Experian, Tullow,

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LSE:ASC Asos. Close Mid-Price: 346.2 Percentage Change: + 2.58% Day High: 349 Day Low: 329

In the event Asos experiences weakness below 329 it calculates with a dro ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 505.9 Percentage Change: + 1.41% Day High: 507.5 Day Low: 500.3

In the event of BP PLC enjoying further trades beyond 507.5, the share sh ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1229 Percentage Change: + 0.37% Day High: 1260 Day Low: 1222

In the event of Carnival enjoying further trades beyond 1260, the share s ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3502 Percentage Change: + 0.46% Day High: 3530 Day Low: 3487

Target met. All Experian needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 3530 to improve ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 31.5 Percentage Change: + 11.07% Day High: 31.44 Day Low: 29.4

This is on the edge of giving a signal as above 31.5 should bring an initi ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Brent #Dax The third race of the 2024 Formula1 season proved worth watching for the first 15 laps, finally ushering in a nap which lasted until a few laps from the end, waking up to witness the Spanish driver Alonso cause the car following him to crash, when was lining up for a pass. It reminded how fragile the banks share price can be, always awaiting a politician or regulatory body, to “brake check” then, forcing everything to go wrong.

It was certainly a more worthwhile race to follow, aside from the lack of action at the front. With neither the usual boring winner, nor the Brit Louis Hamilton, participating due to car troubles in the opening scenes, some actual racing did take place. But of course, by lap 15, this viewer was sound asleep.

 

When we reviewed Natwest three weeks ago, we dared use some flamboyant language, declaring;

“Our suspicion is we’re about to see Natwest become useful.“

This appears to be the case and now, movement exceeding 264p (it’s trading around 261 at time of writing) should prove capable of triggering further price recovery to an initial 278p with our secondary, if exceeded, now calculating at a future 314p. Visually, there’s a bit of suspicion the price faces some hesitation around the 278p level, given prior behaviour most times the pre-pandemic high was challenged but we’d hope any interference shall be miserable, due to the price now trading above the Blue downtrend since 2007. Also, with the price regaining the Red uptrend since the pandemic low and the market visually confirming this Red line is important, considerable hope is possible for a reasonable recovery cycle. Hopefully, no UK politicians are lining themselves up to “do an Alonso” to the retail bank.

If things were to go wrong, we’d regard below 234 as a bad thing, risking provoking reversal to an initial 228p with secondary, if broken, a probable bottom and bounce from the 218p level.

 

For now, the visuals certainly allow considerable hope.

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
9:40:57PM	BRENT	8494.4	8456	8412	8310	8526	8558	8580	8597	8500
9:42:58PM	GOLD	2165.07
9:46:17PM	FTSE	7926.5
11:10:37PM	STOX50	5031.8
11:13:06PM	GERMANY	18237.6	18134	18099	18046	18192	18260	18278	18353	18160
11:15:29PM	US500	5231.9
11:18:16PM	DOW	39443
11:21:01PM	NASDAQ	18336.1
11:23:07PM	JAPAN	40692

 

22/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,861,635,918 a change of -16.67%

21/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 1.87%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,034,399,784 a change of 32.89%

20/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7737 points. Change of -0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,293,450,897 a change of -24.59%

19/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7738 points. Change of 0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,019,485,626 a change of 32.39%

18/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7722 points. Change of -0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,302,291,747 a change of -63.39%

15/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7727 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 14,485,048,081 a change of 162.41%

14/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7743 points. Change of -0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,520,093,152 a change of -24.07%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, BP PLC, Carnival, Experian, Lloyds Grp., Natwest, Rolls Royce, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, Tesco,

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 494.5 Percentage Change: + 0.98% Day High: 495.8 Day Low: 489

Continued trades against AV. with a mid-price ABOVE 495.8 should improve ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 498.85 Percentage Change: + 0.44% Day High: 503.2 Day Low: 495.8

Further movement against BP PLC ABOVE 503.2 should improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1224.5 Percentage Change: + 1.66% Day High: 1230 Day Low: 1215.5

Further movement against Carnival ABOVE 1230 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3486 Percentage Change: + 0.52% Day High: 3497 Day Low: 3462

Target met. In the event of Experian enjoying further trades beyond 3497, ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.. Close Mid-Price: 52.18 Percentage Change: + 1.34% Day High: 52.66 Day Low: 51.43

Target met. All Lloyds Grp. needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 52.66 to imp ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 261.1 Percentage Change: + 3.04% Day High: 261.3 Day Low: 254.5

All Natwest needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 261.3 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 419.9 Percentage Change: -0.07% Day High: 423.9 Day Low: 417.6

All Rolls Royce needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 423.9 to improve acceler ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust. Close Mid-Price: 878.8 Percentage Change: + 1.60% Day High: 882 Day Low: 862.6

Continued trades against SMT with a mid-price ABOVE 882 should improve th ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 294.2 Percentage Change: + 0.75% Day High: 295.8 Day Low: 292.7

In the event of Tesco enjoying further trades beyond 295.8, the share sho ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

In the history of the world, absolutely zero drowning men have stopped drowning, because someone ‘might’ throw them a lifebelt. Equally, none have stopped burning to death, because someone ‘might’ have called the fire brigade. We are supposed to be happy, because the UK “might” reduce interest rates at some point…  Surely the fact they are willing to make such a statement should indicate they are aware the BoE has made an error and should correct it immediately, rather than create hope which will be proved false repeatedly as the institution fails to make good on “might” with repeated excuses.

Sorry if it all sounds quite jaded but the massive inflation decrease is nothing to do with interest rates but instead, reflecting the level of price gouging being wound back as companies react to reduced sales. Even Switzerland, like the UK not a member of the EU, opted to reduce their interest rates, winding things back to 1.5% as the base rate.

As could be expected, the FTSE performed like a trained seal, jumping 1.8% in its largest single day movement since September last year, all because something “might” happen in the future! It has created a scenario, where the London market is finally appearing to perform with some positive potentials.

 

Movement on the market next above 7902 points calculates with the near term potential of a lift to 7932 points with our secondary, if this initial ambition is exceeded, working out at 7980 points. Additionally, in this instance we can provide a 3rd level target at 8023 points, effectively matching the highs of 2023 and presenting an index level where some hesitation feels possible. If this scenario triggers, the tightest stop appears reasonable at 7862 but visually, we far prefer giving a wider 7833 as the stop loss level.

 

If everything intends go wrong, below 7833 calculates with the chance of reversals to 7794 points with our secondary, if broken, at a probable bottom of 7712 points and hopefully a bounce, effectively undoing all the gains from Thursday and indicating the markets looked up the meaning of the word “might”…

 

Have a good weekend. Hopefully the Australian Grand Prix proves worth watching.

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:21:21PM	BRENT	8498	8456	8410	8307	8534	8552	8562	8597	8493
9:24:01PM	GOLD	2180.78	2166	2161	2140	2184	2187	2191	2194	2179	Success
9:26:48PM	FTSE	7883.8	7771	7742	7689	7842	7903	7937	8115	7801	Success
9:29:15PM	STOX50	5042.7	5021	5002	4981	5046	5065	5278	5569	4972	‘cess
9:31:21PM	GERMANY	18161.9	18054	17993	17921	18104	18209	18222	18278	18159	‘cess
9:34:59PM	US500	5246	5238	5228	5217	5252	5261	5281	5462	5237	‘cess
9:55:09PM	DOW	39835	39585	39465	39321	39695	39897	39927	39981	39782	Success
9:58:39PM	NASDAQ	18337	18314	18246	18173	18384	18467	18518	18586	18377	‘cess
10:03:02PM	JAPAN	41006	40459	40296	40013	40777	41145	41225	41646	41001	‘cess

 

21/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 1.87%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,034,399,784 a change of 32.89%

20/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7737 points. Change of -0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,293,450,897 a change of -24.59%

19/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7738 points. Change of 0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,019,485,626 a change of 32.39%

18/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7722 points. Change of -0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,302,291,747 a change of -63.39%

15/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7727 points. Change of -0.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 14,485,048,081 a change of 162.41%

14/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7743 points. Change of -0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,520,093,152 a change of -24.07%

13/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7772 points. Change of 0.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,270,420,862 a change of 0.35%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **LSE:SPT Spirent Comms** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Barclays, BP PLC, Carnival, Centamin, Capita, Experian, Firstgroup, British Airways, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, Spirent Comms, Tesco,

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 489.7 Percentage Change: + 1.70% Day High: 493.2 Day Low: 483.4

Target met. All Aviva needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 493.2 to improve a ……..

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LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 181.84 Percentage Change: + 3.47% Day High: 183.62 Day Low: 178.8

Continued trades against BARC with a mid-price ABOVE 183.62 should improv ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 496.65 Percentage Change: + 0.61% Day High: 499.5 Day Low: 494.95

Continued trades against BP. with a mid-price ABOVE 499.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1204.5 Percentage Change: + 2.51% Day High: 1226.5 Day Low: 1189.5

Target met. Continued trades against CCL with a mid-price ABOVE 1226.5 sh ……..

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LSE:CEY Centamin. Close Mid-Price: 110 Percentage Change: + 3.77% Day High: 112.3 Day Low: 106.8

Target met. All Centamin needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 112.3 to improv ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita. Close Mid-Price: 13.63 Percentage Change: + 3.65% Day High: 13.63 Day Low: 12.82

Weakness on Capita below 12.82 will invariably lead to 12.4p with seconda ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3468 Percentage Change: + 2.88% Day High: 3476 Day Low: 3392

Continued trades against EXPN with a mid-price ABOVE 3476 should improve ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 182.8 Percentage Change: + 0.61% Day High: 189 Day Low: 183.6

Target met. Continued trades against FGP with a mid-price ABOVE 189 shoul ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 166.7 Percentage Change: + 2.90% Day High: 167.15 Day Low: 164.05

Continued trades against IAG with a mid-price ABOVE 167.15 should improve ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust. Close Mid-Price: 865 Percentage Change: + 2.59% Day High: 877.6 Day Low: 849.6

Target met. All Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust needs are mid-price tr ……..

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LSE:SPT Spirent Comms Close Mid-Price: 176.3 Percentage Change: -0.11% Day High: 184.7 Day Low: 176.2

Continued trades against SPT with a mid-price ABOVE 184.7 should improve ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 292 Percentage Change: + 2.21% Day High: 292.7 Day Low: 286

Further movement against Tesco ABOVE 292.7 should improve acceleration to ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.