FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX), an unexpected journey…

#FTSE #GOLD Unexpected disasters always catch people out, yet most of the time, they shouldn’t be unexpected. We’d a complete disaster in the kitchen tonight, my wife opting to mount a new spice rack she’d bought from Temu. I’ve plead with her, repeatedly, to stop using the fitting kits often supplied by Temu and instead, ask me to employ a couple of screws if mounting anything. She judged, by the weight of the spice rack, it would never need screwed to the tiles, mounting it with the supplied double sided tape.

She then filled the rack with her copious spice jars, somehow forgetting she’d just increased the weight quite substantially. The result was visually pleasing but I made a mental note to sneak a couple of screws into the mountings as while all her spice bottles looked great, experience has taught never to trust any adhesive mountings supplied with products bought through Temu. Essentially, if they supply a dinky little shelf which weighs in at 150 grams, the adhesive is designed to take 150 grams and nothing else. For some reason, they ALWAYS forget to factor in humans and their need to put things on shelves…

Inevitably, while trying to figure out an introduction to our FTSE for FRIDAY which didn’t mention the wet snow here in Argyll, there was a spectacular crash from the kitchen. Shortly after she went to bed, her fancy spice rack succumbed to gravity, depositing around 30 jars on the worktop and floor. Only four of the jars smashed, ensuring a cloud of Cayenne pepper, Paprika, and (thankfully) two jars of Chilli powder, something I utterly detest but she feels should be used generously. Working on the correct basis the animals wouldn’t enter the kitchen with its toxic cloud, I gave it 30 minutes before going through to tidy up.

 

We obviously have a reason behind this, an attempt to point out the unexpected often need not come as a surprise. For instance, currently the German in, the DAX, is bumping against a logical high, one of these areas which will often provoke some market volatility. Our immediate “top” number calculates at 17201 points, the index coming within a few points of such a target this week. Equally, the S&P 500 has a logical top around 5115 points, an ambition the index is very close to and again, we anticipate some stutters. Unless, of course, the market opts to start gapping the S&P upward at the open of trade.  Even Wall St, currently around 39070 with a recent high of 39150 calculates with 39500 points expected to provide some sort of ceiling. And the Nasdaq has briefly surpassed a logical high of 18011, achieving 18034 on Thursday but closing the session at 18004.

Adding all these things together, we’ve a gathering expectation favouring some stutters in the market place, making us question whether the FTSE shall prove capable of ignoring what’s going on elsewhere. The UK market calculates with 7871 as target on the current cycle and, at 7684 at time of writing, it’s got some distance to go. We don’t anticipate it covering the distance, if other main markets start to experience some hesitation. This is unfortunate as overall, we should be rejoicing at the long term calculation for the FTSE now working out at 8250, a number we fear shall be as real as the number of death threats claimed by UK politicians as they scrape the bottom of the trough to enforce a  political stance.

 

Near term, below 7650 looks capable of promoting reversal on the FTSE down to an initial paltry 7634 with secondary, if broken, calculating at 7574 points and hopefully yet another bounce. If triggered, the tightest stop looks fairly reasonable at 7690 points.

However, above 7690 has the less likely potential of causing some fireworks as above this level provides an initial hope for 7714 points with our secondary, if exceeded, coming along at 7751. This is a potentially game changing move where our longer term third level calculates at 7871 points.

Have a good weekend and enjoy the Bahrain Grand Prix, hopefully not a completely boring procession of cars.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
8:43:31PM BRENT 8263 8193 8153 8272 8276 8300 8224 ‘cess
8:46:20PM GOLD 2022.81 2020 2015 2025 2036 2049 2023 Success
8:50:07PM FTSE 7694 7636 7598 7670 7702 7708 7676 ‘cess
8:55:34PM STOX50 4866 4820 4799 4850 4872 4925 4743 ‘cess
9:01:40PM GERMANY 17427 17280 17211 17370 17433 17470 17022 Success
9:11:44PM US500 5083 5034 5021 5064 5095 5123 5037 Success
9:16:31PM DOW 39047 38640 38468 38912 39157 39338 39014 Success
9:20:07PM NASDAQ 17969 17805 17724 17873 18036 18065 17898 Success
9:31:36PM JAPAN 39424 38803 38580 39285 39494 39580 39397 Success

 

22/02/2024 FTSE Closed at 7684 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,941,569,029 a change of 3.14%
21/02/2024 FTSE Closed at 7662 points. Change of -0.74%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,760,836,180 a change of 16.25%
20/02/2024 FTSE Closed at 7719 points. Change of -0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,955,387,121 a change of 38.92%
19/02/2024 FTSE Closed at 7728 points. Change of 0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,567,027,566 a change of -46.92%
16/02/2024 FTSE Closed at 7711 points. Change of 1.5%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,719,822,861 a change of 59.53%
15/02/2024 FTSE Closed at 7597 points. Change of 0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,212,176,049 a change of -10.97%
14/02/2024 FTSE Closed at 7568 points. Change of 0.75%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,731,346,457 a change of -6.79%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:ITRK Intertek** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, Avacta, Barclays, Experian, Gulf Keystone, Hikma, Hargreaves Lansdown, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Intertek, Lloyds Grp., Quadrise, Rolls Royce,


LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 450.1 Percentage Change: + 1.01% Day High: 453.2 Day Low: 446.8

Target met. In the event of Aviva enjoying further trades beyond 453.2, t ……..

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LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 77 Percentage Change: -12.00% Day High: 88 Day Low: 77

Target met. In the event Avacta experiences weakness below 77 it calculat ……..

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LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 163.68 Percentage Change: + 0.57% Day High: 164.32 Day Low: 159.1

All Barclays needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 164.32 to improve accelerat ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3436 Percentage Change: + 1.72% Day High: 3443 Day Low: 3372

In the event of Experian enjoying further trades beyond 3443, the share s ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone Close Mid-Price: 94.45 Percentage Change: -0.37% Day High: 95.95 Day Low: 92.15

If Gulf Keystone experiences continued weakness below 92.15, it will inva ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma. Close Mid-Price: 2083 Percentage Change: + 4.28% Day High: 2165 Day Low: 2030

Target met. Further movement against Hikma ABOVE 2165 should improve acce ……..

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LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown Close Mid-Price: 747.2 Percentage Change: -7.23% Day High: 821.6 Day Low: 728

Weakness on Hargreaves Lansdown below 728 will invariably lead to 704p wi ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 8600 Percentage Change: + 0.82% Day High: 8668 Day Low: 8516

Target met. All Intercontinental Hotels Group needs are mid-price trades ……..

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LSE:ITRK Intertek. Close Mid-Price: 4639 Percentage Change: + 3.60% Day High: 4652 Day Low: 4521

Target met. Continued trades against ITRK with a mid-price ABOVE 4652 sho ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.. Close Mid-Price: 45.95 Percentage Change: + 6.16% Day High: 46.18 Day Low: 42.37

Target met. Further movement against Lloyds Grp. ABOVE 46.18 should impro ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise. Close Mid-Price: 2.1 Percentage Change: + 0.72% Day High: 2.05 Day Low: 2

Weakness on Quadrise below 2 will invariably lead to 1.9p with secondary ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 356.8 Percentage Change: + 8.29% Day High: 369 Day Low: 347.4

Target met. Further movement against Rolls Royce ABOVE 369 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

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