FTSE for FRIDAY 19/06/2020

#FTSE #Nasdaq Numbers are funny things. The Nasdaq exceeds 10,000 points and it’s front page news. Politicians kill 64,500 people in the UK and 98,000 people in the USA, the media try to ignore it. Thankfully, even the BBC appear to be taking note of Boris’s world beating number, publishing their own analysis, matching the FT’s on the true number of UK deaths. Pro-rata, Boris has beaten Trump hands-down when it comes to killing of the population.

But we’re a little unsettled at a stock market achieving all time highs against a backdrop of record unemployment, funeral counts testifying as to how effective Boris has been in protecting the populace. The recovery of the FTSE from the Covid-19 lows in March makes us question how a country can be rated, neither excessive deaths, excess unemployment, excess business closures and excess liquidations making it feel like we’re in the grips of a Ponzi scheme, one of these things which end very badly with the realisation the emperor has no clothes.

To return to the reasoning for this immediate bout of confusion, the Nasdaq now looks capable of continued growth to 11,211 points. If exceeded, secondary is at 11,840 points and we can’t calculate any higher. Go figure! We would advocate a lot of caution, if the market gaps the Nasdaq below 9620 anytime soon.

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, it’s worth remembering our Big Picture calculation demands the UK market exceed 6,750 before recovery can be taken seriously. Equally, below 6030 gives the first indication recovery is failing.

Near term, above 6,280 should prove capable of recovery continuing to an initial 6320 points. If exceeded, our secondary calculation works out at 6373 points. If triggered, the tightest stop is horribly wide at 6184 points. Perhaps 6245 will suffice but with the market producing volatile swings, we’re less than confident.

Below 6184 looks capable of triggering reversal to an initial useless 6160 points. If broken, secondary calculates at 6110 points and we’d hope for some sort of bounce at such a level.

Have a good weekend.

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FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:33:59PM BRENT 41.52 40.35 40.105 41.61 41.74
9:36:43PM GOLD 1723.88 1717 1711 1732 1738.5 ‘cess
9:39:11PM FTSE 6215.27 6180 6159.5 6276 6287 ‘cess
9:41:36PM FRANCE 4949.2 4903 4890 4980 4995.5 ‘cess
9:43:31PM GERMANY 12266 12157 12040.5 12483 12614.5 ‘cess
9:45:49PM US500 3111 3084 3071.5 3136 3164 Success
9:49:36PM DOW 26068 25746 25484.5 26301 26671 ‘cess
9:51:58PM NASDAQ 10004 9877 9812 10042 10057.5
9:54:54PM JAPAN 22387 22087 22033.5 22519 22539 ‘cess

 

18/06/2020 FTSE Closed at 6224 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,516,542,486 a change of -22.67%
17/06/2020 FTSE Closed at 6253 points. Change of 0.18%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,840,674,157 a change of -3.28%
16/06/2020 FTSE Closed at 6242 points. Change of 2.94%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,038,997,708 a change of 21.55%
15/06/2020 FTSE Closed at 6064 points. Change of -0.67%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,968,429,954 a change of -16.12%
12/06/2020 FTSE Closed at 6105 points. Change of 0.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,923,571,843 a change of -4.84%
11/06/2020 FTSE Closed at 6076 points. Change of -4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,224,767,909 a change of 0.67%
10/06/2020 FTSE Closed at 6329 points. Change of -0.14%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,183,586,009 a change of -20.17%

 

 

 

 

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