FTSE for FRIDAY 6/12/2019

#FTSE for FRIDAY, our most popular regular article is now read from Australia to Russia, Reunion Island, Argentina, China and of course the UK and USA. We currently number 41 countries visiting on a Friday. As is said, “No pressure then!”, while writing a cheery near term outlook with a chart more colourful that a childs Xmas card.

Firstly, we need find the all important FTSE Big Number, the point which the market needs break to trash the uptrend (RED) since the crash of 2009. At present, it’s at 6,609 points.

Next, we need review the uptrend (Yellow) since the start of 2016 and it’s at 6875 points.

Finally, we’ve got the uptrend (Green) since the Brexit vote, presently lurking at 6816 points.

Armed with the above 3 numbers, we can decide if the UK stock market is on the verge of collapse. As it’s presently at 7,137, the answer is clearly NO despite suffering a pretty grotty week. The usual suspects can be blamed, the three ‘B’s. Boris, Brexit, and Mr Trump.

Fans of chart patterns (thankfully now following the dinosaurs) will have noted the Head & Shoulders formation on the FTSE during this year. Conventional arithmetic attributed to this pattern suggests the market should relax to 6,607 points. This risks breaking all three major trends, causing a rush for clean underwear. Presently, there is very little making such a drop inevitable. Below 7,000 points would certainly justify some panic though.

However, we do have concerns, thanks to recent movements.

At present, weakness now below 7,130 points risks reversal to an initial 7,098 points. If broken, secondary calculates at 7,026 points. Even visually, there are several reasons to anticipate a rebound, should 7,026 appear. With an election approaching and a fear of “the wrong result”, travel down to such a level makes a lot of sense prior to The Vote. In the event this 7,026 drop target appears and opting for a blind “Long” position, stop needs be pretty wide at 6,950 points.

There’s an issue, should 6,950 break. This would imply a further trip down to 6,844 and probable rebound against the Brexit Vote uptrend in Green.

Additionally, we need consider another factor. Writing about market movements, tossing in loads of numbers, risks utter confusion to the reader as it certainly provokes “number blindness” in the writer. Therefore, with this excellent excuse to pause for a cup of tea, shall return in a moment…

Now armed with a fresh cup of tea, obviously rarely do things move in an utterly straight line, resulting in the scenario of anything near term above 7,181 allegedly being capable of triggering recovery to an initial 7,212 points. If exceeded, secondary calculates at a more interesting 7,261 points. If triggered, the tightest stop is horribly wide at 7,131 points.

Have a good weekend.

FREE FIRST MOVE FRIDAY!

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:11:45PM	BRENT	63.27	62.37	61.98			63.86	64.29			‘cess
9:19:07PM	GOLD	1476.33	1472	1466			1480	1482			Shambles
9:24:53PM	FTSE	7142.32	7127	7099.5			7203	7222.5
9:27:15PM	FRANCE	5808.9	5785	5767.5			5850	5866			Success
9:35:58PM	GERMANY	13080	13049	12997			13148	13207.5			Shambles
9:37:46PM	US500	3117.92	3102	3097.5			3120	3126
9:42:24PM	DOW	27683	27552	27487.5			27772	27830			Shambles
9:44:25PM	NASDAQ	8307.37	8268	8255.5			8336	8359.5			Shambles
9:46:38PM	JAPAN	23311	23244	23167.5			23405	23466.5			‘cess

 

5/12/2019 FTSE Closed at 7137 points. Change of -0.71%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,778,792,615 a change of 2.21%

4/12/2019 FTSE Closed at 7188 points. Change of 0.42%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,653,961,334 a change of -20.69%

3/12/2019 FTSE Closed at 7158 points. Change of -1.74%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,128,755,265 a change of 21.45%

2/12/2019 FTSE Closed at 7285 points. Change of -0.83%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,869,768,076 a change of 26.83%

29/11/2019 FTSE Closed at 7346 points. Change of -0.94%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,628,092,745 a change of 28.25%

28/11/2019 FTSE Closed at 7416 points. Change of -0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,608,679,537 a change of -31.8%

27/11/2019 FTSE Closed at 7429 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,291,535,835 a change of -43.03%