GBP vs US Dollar (FX:GBPUSD) and the thin blue line

#Stoxx50 #DAX There are times when it can pay dividends to take a really big picture view of something. Back in January, we reviewed Sterling vs US Dollar with a calculation which suggested the price risked challenging the Blue downtrend. As the months rolled beneath us, the pairing eventually issued such a challenge, topping out at 1.315 in July before retreating in confusion. What interested us about this was our calculation, back in January, gave 1.333 as a viable ambition, this number obviously declining every month. When the relationship hit 1.315, we’d no calculations giving such an ambition and the only thing capable of provoking reversal was the Blue downtrend.

Sometimes, trend lines can be important, especially as our raison d’être is to monitor how prices are reacting to trend lines. Sometimes, after all, they can just be meaningless crayon lines but in this instance, it seems clear the markets are regarding Blue as important. Should this be the case, Blue currently represents a level of 1.3039.229 (roughly) and above such, it seems a Long position should reward anyone speculating.

After all, it’s not often we are presented with tangible proof the market views a particular trend line as important.

 

Alas, since the relationship attempted a challenge of Blue, things appear be going horribly wrong for Sterling as its retreat against the US Dollar has proven quite merciless. Currently, it’s the case where below 1.2110 presents the potential of relaxation to an initial 1.2081. While this isn’t a massive drop in the grand scheme of things, a visit to 1.2081 will represent a price level around which we’d conventionally hope for a solid bounce. The implication, should 1.2081 break, allows our calculation giving 1.1710 as viable. And should this level be trashed, we can even supply a third drop target at 1.1512 as a point by which the pairing really must rebound. Unfortunately, if daring to ride this dodgy gravy train to the bottom, it appears the tightest stop loss level shall require to be quite wide at 1.2880 though there’s a vague chance 1.2556 shall suffice for a bunch of complex reasons.

Our reading of the recovery prospects is muddied by a demand to take a time element into consideration. Above 1.2556 calculates with the potential of a lift to 1.2976, potentially with the chance of breaking above Blue on the chart and triggering some proper recovery for Sterling. Such a scenario currently allows for recovery to 1.3393 with secondary, a longer term 1.4513. This sort of thing is liable to become game changing for the future, taking Sterling into unfamiliar territory where a future surge to 1.71 becomes possible.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:59:00PM BRENT 94.48 Success
10:01:37PM GOLD 1874.73 Success
10:05:03PM FTSE 7597.75
10:06:47PM STOX50 4145.8 4101 4087 4065 4131 4153 4170 4193 4120
10:11:18PM GERMANY 15263 15205 15140 15083 15268 15303 15356 15431 15202 ‘cess
10:14:41PM US500 4283.63 Shambles
10:26:17PM DOW 33614 ‘cess
10:28:57PM NASDAQ 14611.48
10:31:46PM JAPAN 32309 ‘cess

 

27/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7593 points. Change of -0.42%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,367,119,674 a change of 0.5%
26/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7625 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,340,510,819 a change of -24.76%
25/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7624 points. Change of -0.77%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,097,867,582 a change of -9.65%
22/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7683 points. Change of 0.07%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,855,931,745 a change of 26.88%
21/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7678 points. Change of -0.69%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,191,643,124 a change of 28.33%
20/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7731 points. Change of 0.93%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,824,861,883 a change of -0.46%
19/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7660 points. Change of 0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,847,212,890 a change of 23.66%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital** **

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Updated charts published on : BP PLC, Diageo, ECO (Atlantic) O & G, Experian, Standard Chartered,

LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 538.5 Percentage Change: + 1.43% Day High: 538.7 Day Low: 530.6

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 3022 Percentage Change: -1.52% Day High: 3067 Day Low: 3016.5

Target met. Weakness on Diageo below 3016.5 will invariably lead to 3002p ……..

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LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G Close Mid-Price: 11.75 Percentage Change: -4.08% Day High: 12.25 Day Low: 11.75

If ECO (Atlantic) O & G experiences continued weakness below 11.75, it wi ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian Close Mid-Price: 2661 Percentage Change: -0.82% Day High: 2702 Day Low: 2661

If Experian experiences continued weakness below 2661, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered Close Mid-Price: 750.2 Percentage Change: -0.82% Day High: 764.8 Day Low: 748.6

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LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital Close Mid-Price: 52 Percentage Change: -4.59% Day High: 55.1 Day Low: 51.7

Continued weakness against ZOO taking the price below 51.7 calculates as ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

JD Sports Fashion (LSE:JD.) taking a run uphill?

#FTSE #Nasdaq  When we reviewed JP Sports back in May, it was with an expectation the future looked fairly rosy. It only needed a share price which exceeded 179p to trigger some movement of substance. Unfortunately, the period since has seen the price behave as if the company had appointed Russel Brand as their public face.

What really came as a surprise was scanning the company’s operations as we’d never appreciated how strongly this organisation, from Bury, was expanding throughout the known universe. Surely questions must be asked as to why the rag trade manufacturer featured in ‘Coronation St’, presumably from the same part of the world as JD, has failed to flourish over the years… This question only arises, because it transpires my wife’s Coronation St addiction is the ONLY reason we remain with a TV licence! If only they’d bring back Top Gear or Formula 1.

 

For JD Sports, it remains a puzzle why people attach any value to choosing a product due to a logo. Recently gifted a pair of trainers from Nike, they were returned, claiming a flat feet issue made wearing them impossible. However, for JD Sports, their own share price appears to be suffering its own flat feet issue, failing to do anything of particular note.

It is currently the case where above 150p should apparently trigger share price recovery to an initial 161p. Visually, there’s an expectation of hesitation at such a target level, given the presence of the downtrend since 2022. Our longer term secondary, if exceeded, works out at a confident looking 185p, this time with almost certain hesitation as this price will challenge a series of highs from the start of this year. Plenty of folk who’ve seen their investment trapped in the 180’s since February can be expected to contribute some selling pressure at the opportunity to regain their funds without any significant loss.

Should things intend go pear shaped, below 133p risks provoking real trouble, allowing for reversal to an initial 115p. Closure below 115p risks becoming absurdly troubling, dumping the share price into a region where a cycle to 64p becomes possible.

This one is a little bit worrying as the share has carefully avoided triggering growth. However, presumably they shall avoid being perceived as doing deals in car parks for the future and perhaps allowing confidence to return to the share price.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:25:18PM BRENT 92.49
9:28:32PM GOLD 1900.22 Success
9:31:54PM FTSE 7603.7 7594 7585 7532 7621 7658 7682 7716 7610
9:34:17PM STOX50 4119.2 ‘cess
9:52:40PM GERMANY 15214.8 ‘cess
9:56:28PM US500 4278.2
10:09:40PM DOW 33655 ‘cess
10:15:27PM NASDAQ 14560 14504 14265 13811 14622 14730 14819 14924 14650 Success
10:17:58PM JAPAN 32118 Success

 

26/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7625 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,340,510,819 a change of -24.76%
25/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7624 points. Change of -0.77%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,097,867,582 a change of -9.65%
22/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7683 points. Change of 0.07%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,855,931,745 a change of 26.88%
21/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7678 points. Change of -0.69%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,191,643,124 a change of 28.33%
20/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7731 points. Change of 0.93%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,824,861,883 a change of -0.46%
19/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7660 points. Change of 0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,847,212,890 a change of 23.66%
18/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7652 points. Change of -0.77%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,919,854,652 a change of -71.71%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BLVN Bowleven** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G** **LSE:ITV ITV** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **

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Updated charts published on : Bowleven, BP PLC, ECO (Atlantic) O & G, ITV, Spirax, Tern Plc,

LSE:BLVN Bowleven Close Mid-Price: 0.89 Percentage Change: -50.56% Day High: 1.25 Day Low: 0.65

Target met. If Bowleven experiences continued weakness below 0.65, it wil ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 530.9 Percentage Change: + 0.68% Day High: 533.3 Day Low: 521.2

Further movement against BP PLC ABOVE 533.3 should improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G Close Mid-Price: 12.25 Percentage Change: -5.04% Day High: 12.8 Day Low: 12.25

Weakness on ECO (Atlantic) O & G below 12.25 will invariably lead to 11.4 ……..

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LSE:ITV ITV Close Mid-Price: 70.7 Percentage Change: -1.86% Day High: 71.88 Day Low: 70.3

Watching TV recently, I was amazed at the number of advertising slots bein ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 9242 Percentage Change: -2.45% Day High: 9448 Day Low: 9202

Target met. In the event Spirax experiences weakness below 9202 it calcul ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc Close Mid-Price: 5.5 Percentage Change: -4.35% Day High: 6.25 Day Low: 5.25

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Yellow Cake Plc (LSE:YCA)  glowing in the dark.

#Gold #SP500 The term Yellowcake is always something I’ve a personal fondness for. While never having harboured an ambition to sit down and tuck into a nice bowl of Uranium, the term yellow cake was employed when I was a child to keep me out of the kitchen when either my mother or sister were cooking. The reasoning was quite straightforward, due to a potentially fatal allergy to egg.

If either family member was baking, the point at which egg was added to any mix turned it a sickly yellow, warning me to keep far away from whatever was being prepped. This would apply to scones, bread and butter pudding, cake (obviously) or even bread being painted with the stuff prior to being shoved in the oven. Sometimes, I suspect eggs were not involved and it was all just an excuse to give them some peace to cook and a child’s fingers away from any cans of condensed milk, a personal kryptonite. Such was this unfulfilled longing, when I purchased my first flat, I clearly remember buying a large can of condensed milk and sitting down in my own kitchen to privately devour it. It transpired the task was beyond any immediate greed, a long held ambition defeated by the relentless sweet contents. Oddly, this was all it took to cure me of such an addiction.

But I still distrust Yellow cake with similar alarm to yellow snow…

 

When we previously reviewed Uranium “speculator” Yellow Cake back in March, we’d given three potential target levels. A few of our clients believe, quite firmly, Uranium is a product whose turn is coming and with the easing of society fears for the nuclear industry (doubtless assisted by a now compliant media who’ve abandoned their prior hysterical stance), we shouldn’t be surprised this share price has achieved every one of our target levels.

Currently, Yellow Cake face a bit of a problem from our perspective.

The immediate situation suggests movement above 568p should make an attempt at 572p next with our secondary, if exceeded, working out at a longer term 655p. In the normal scheme of things, we’d anticipate some hesitation at the 572p level as the share price is getting close to the top end of our calculations. We shall be interested if the market once again chooses to gap the price upward as this should make it clear there are expectations for Yellow Cake in the future above 655p.

Visually, the recent nudge above 500p looks like it was inflicted, just to avoid the 5 quid level becoming entrenched as a point of resistance. This is certainly an interesting share, not least due to a suspicion our upper target of 655p shall become a footnote, proving just because we cannot calculate higher, it doesn’t mean the price cannot continue north.

 

If things intend go wrong, below 450 risks becoming troublesome, allowing for reversal down to an initial 415 with our longer term secondary, if broken, working out at 363p.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:11:30PM BRENT 92.1 91.84
10:13:54PM GOLD 1916.48 1913 1906 1899 1923 1929 1934 1941 1919
10:17:17PM FTSE 7637 7615 Success
10:23:18PM STOX50 4181.3 4168 Success
10:25:39PM GERMANY 15441.45 15398
10:28:35PM US500 4345.43 4299 4271 4181 4357 4357 4368 4391 4317
10:33:55PM DOW 34043 33908 Success
10:37:40PM NASDAQ 14805 14712
10:39:56PM JAPAN 32714 32663

 

25/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7624 points. Change of -0.77%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,097,867,582 a change of -9.65%
22/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7683 points. Change of 0.07%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,855,931,745 a change of 26.88%
21/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7678 points. Change of -0.69%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,191,643,124 a change of 28.33%
20/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7731 points. Change of 0.93%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,824,861,883 a change of -0.46%
19/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7660 points. Change of 0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,847,212,890 a change of 23.66%
18/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7652 points. Change of -0.77%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,919,854,652 a change of -71.71%
15/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7711 points. Change of 0.5%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 13,856,220,608 a change of 129.91%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:SPT Spirent Comms** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **

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Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Block Energy PLC, Experian, OPG Power Ventures, Spirent Comms, Spirax, Tern Plc,

LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 268.2 Percentage Change: -3.73% Day High: 278.6 Day Low: 260.4

Target met. In the event Aston Martin experiences weakness below 260.4 it ……..

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LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC. Close Mid-Price: 1.5 Percentage Change: + 1.69% Day High: 1.5 Day Low: 1.48

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LSE:EXPN Experian Close Mid-Price: 2687 Percentage Change: -1.14% Day High: 2715 Day Low: 2668

In the event Experian experiences weakness below 2668 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures. Close Mid-Price: 11 Percentage Change: + 5.77% Day High: 12 Day Low: 10.5

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LSE:SPT Spirent Comms Close Mid-Price: 135.5 Percentage Change: -1.31% Day High: 136.5 Day Low: 133.5

Target met. If Spirent Comms experiences continued weakness below 133.5, ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 9474 Percentage Change: -1.27% Day High: 9614 Day Low: 9366

Continued weakness against SPX taking the price below 9366 calculates as ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc. Close Mid-Price: 5.75 Percentage Change: + 9.52% Day High: 5.75 Day Low: 5

Continued trades against TERN with a mid-price ABOVE 5.75 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Barclays Plc (LSE:BARC), like a sinking stone…

#Brent #Dax  With spectacular levels of competence, we managed to miss TWO international championships at the weekend. Firstly, there was the Grand Prix from Japan and secondly, there was the World Stone Skimming Championship in Scotland. Being in Scotland, it was easier to opt to attend our local event, World Stone Skimming, which was scheduled for the isle of Easdale in Argyll.

We’ve been promising ourselves a day out to Easdale for years. As the place is virtually on our doorstep, we’ve obviously never bothered visiting since moving to Argyll, this attitude generally being the fate of local attractions throughout the UK. However, we’d decided to take this event seriously, planning on leaving at 9am rather than enjoy a lazy Sunday watching the usually entertaining Japanese Grand Prix. The journey to Easdale started with light rain but thankfully deserted roads but the weather steadily worsened as we headed north.  Stopping to let the dog out alongside the Crinnan Canal, the question arose as to whether we really wanted to spend Sunday afternoon in now torrential rain, watching people throw stones at water? Easdale, once renowned for its slate quarries, is hard to visit without skimming flat stones across its dark and threatening deep ponds as, aside from a pub and a chums derelict house, there’s nothing else to do there. We opted to let common sense take over rather than face getting soaked, turned around and chose to stop for lunch at Loch Fyne Oyster Bar on the journey home. Thankfully, the dog likes shellfish…

And that’s how easy it is to miss two championship events, though the “highlights” show from Japan was interesting as the TV producers proved unable to edit out many laps of the race, due to it once again being quite good. It’s a strange sentiment, praising Formula 1 because some real racing actually took place!

 

Alas, for Barclays, their share price movements remain open to some sniffs of distain. When we reviewed the share three weeks ago, we’d given an initial gain target at 160p, something achieved recently. In fact, on the day of the initial surge to target, their share price closed at 160.08p and by such a massive 8/100ths of a penny, it was seen to be exceeding our initial ambition, opening the door for great things in the future. We rarely feel confidence from such tiny signals as they often feel like they fall into the “a stopped clock is right twice a day” category of analysis.

However, if we pretend undying optimism, it’s now the case where movement exceeding 163.18p should next make an attempt for 175p with secondary, if exceeded, now calculating at 185p. We’re not terribly impressed with current price movements as they lack real confidence.

Should a slow down be on the cards, below 153.7 risks triggering reversal to an initial 152p with secondary, if broken, down at 150p and hopefully a bounce.  Visually, our fear is of a protracted “walk” down the Blue trend line on the chart until sufficient set of circumstances are discovered to allow Barclays to make a future attempt to show some gains.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
8:48:09PM BRENT 9222.3 9120 9030 8920 9244 9362 9428 9524 9274
8:50:03PM GOLD 1924.8 1922
8:52:06PM FTSE 7663.1 7700
8:54:06PM STOX50 4187 4191
9:01:29PM GERMANY 15501.2 15448 15322 15082 15562 15593 15632 15691 15530
9:04:33PM US500 4320.41 4320
9:06:36PM DOW 33980 34040
10:34:41PM NASDAQ 14706.3 14725
10:37:46PM JAPAN 32491 32472

 

22/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7683 points. Change of 0.07%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,855,931,745 a change of 26.88%
21/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7678 points. Change of -0.69%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,191,643,124 a change of 28.33%
20/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7731 points. Change of 0.93%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,824,861,883 a change of -0.46%
19/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7660 points. Change of 0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,847,212,890 a change of 23.66%
18/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7652 points. Change of -0.77%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,919,854,652 a change of -71.71%
15/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7711 points. Change of 0.5%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 13,856,220,608 a change of 129.91%
14/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7673 points. Change of 1.97%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,026,828,350 a change of 14.3%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CBX Cellular Goods** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **

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Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Block Energy PLC, BP PLC, Cellular Goods, Diageo, International Personal Finance, OPG Power Ventures, Spirax, Standard Chartered,

LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 278.6 Percentage Change: -2.25% Day High: 282.4 Day Low: 276.6

Continued weakness against AML taking the price below 276.6 calculates as ……..

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LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC. Close Mid-Price: 1.48 Percentage Change: + 5.36% Day High: 1.48 Day Low: 1.4

Continued trades against BLOE with a mid-price ABOVE 1.48 should improve ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 525.7 Percentage Change: + 1.02% Day High: 529.1 Day Low: 515.6

All BP PLC needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 529.1 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:CBX Cellular Goods Close Mid-Price: 0.48 Percentage Change: -9.52% Day High: 0.52 Day Low: 0.48

In the event Cellular Goods experiences weakness below 0.48 it calculates ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo. Close Mid-Price: 3153.5 Percentage Change: + 0.45% Day High: 3191 Day Low: 3062

Target met. Continued weakness against DGE taking the price below 3062 ca ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 130 Percentage Change: + 0.39% Day High: 134 Day Low: 129.5

Target met. Continued trades against IPF with a mid-price ABOVE 134 shoul ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures. Close Mid-Price: 10.4 Percentage Change: + 26.06% Day High: 11.5 Day Low: 8.12

Target met. Further movement against OPG Power Ventures ABOVE 11.5 should ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax. Close Mid-Price: 9596 Percentage Change: + 0.06% Day High: 9596 Day Low: 9492

Target met. Weakness on Spirax below 9492 will invariably lead to 9340p w ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered Close Mid-Price: 750 Percentage Change: -0.45% Day High: 762.2 Day Low: 747.4

All Standard Chartered needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 762.2 to improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

FTSE for FRIDAY & Brent Crude (FTSE:UKX & CCOM:OILBRENT) Some thoughts.

#FTSE #BRENT  We’ve mixed feelings about Brent, due to disgust at the price of fuel in petrol stations making it difficult to cheer the immediate potentials for the black stuff. The current cycle has a target level at 96.4 dollars, an ambition the price has failed to achieve as the rise feels like it’s stumbling at the 95 dollar level.

It’s still the case, where above 95 dollars remains with the potential of a lift to 96.4 but one of our unfathomable rules demands a product, index, or share, achieve an initial target level of the first upward surge, preferably exceeding any initial target. In the case of Brent, the initial surge happened a week ago with the price struggling for every cent of gain in the period since. Should our 96.4 be exceeded, we’re now forced to be less confident about our secondary at $105. Essentially, it starts to feel like the price manipulation by Saudi and Russia is failing and perhaps we should now focus more on reversal potentials.

Below $86 now looks capable of triggering reversals down to an initial $75 and a possible bounce, if we judge by the present of the Red uptrend since 2020. In the event $75 breaks, our secondary calculates down at $57, a drop potential which would suggest a return to the period of sane pricing between 2015 and 2021.

FTSE for FRIDAY With the Government and BoE opting to give the UK a rest from their policy of draining ambition from the country, it appears possible some gains may be permitted on the FTSE. Unfortunately, we cannot be confident at such a prospect, thanks to the markets spending the week being incredibly hesitant and it has created a situation, where any excuse for reversal is liable to give those with Long positions a bit of a kicking.

Below 7670 points looks capable of triggering weakness down to an initial 7639 points with secondary, if broken, calculating down at 7604 points, almost certainly accompanied by a bounce. If triggered, the tightest stop looks like 7715 points.

 

Our alternate scenario, one which feels less probable due to the behaviour of futures after hours, indicates movement above 7747 should make an attempt at a lunge to 7804 points with our secondary, if bettered, working out at 7871 points.

More importantly, with the Japan Grand Prix this weekend, we’ve obviously sufficient excuse to make sushi in anticipation of a race which proves as enjoyable as last weeks effort from Singapore. However, we’re forced to miss watching the event live, due to attending the World Championship of the World Stone Skimming Contest. The event, held in an old slate quarry on an island off the coast of Argyll, is supposed to be tongue in cheek but unfortunately, it’s now at risk of being taken seriously. The only tiny little problem is the tiny little boat which will be tasked with ferrying a huge number of spectators and competitors across to Easdale, an island with no shops, one pub, no roads, and a small population who value their privacy.

Have a good weekend.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:47:47PM BRENT 9224 9217 9158 9036 9280 9302 9364 9413 9232 ‘cess
10:53:28PM GOLD 1919.58 1914 1909 1896 1922 1930 1932 1938 1923 ‘cess
10:56:19PM FTSE 7635.6 7637 7621 7579 7684 7729 7777 7824 7679 Success
10:59:05PM STOX50 4178.5 4181 4151 4092 4211 4222 4231 4247 4200 Success
11:01:36PM GERMANY 15476.9 15471 15409 15214 15573 15630 15676 15744 15546 Success
11:04:55PM US500 4329.5 4323 4282 4201 4378 4395 4401 4427 4367 Success
11:07:18PM DOW 34069.5 34032 33899 33498 34130 34420 34467 34612 34346 Success
11:10:13PM NASDAQ 14688.4 14674 14596 14252 14817 14852 14890 14962 14752 ‘cess
11:14:01PM JAPAN 32194 32194 32079 31552 32393 32652 32695 32859 32563 Success

 

21/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7678 points. Change of -0.69%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,191,643,124 a change of 28.33%
20/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7731 points. Change of 0.93%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,824,861,883 a change of -0.46%
19/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7660 points. Change of 0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,847,212,890 a change of 23.66%
18/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7652 points. Change of -0.77%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,919,854,652 a change of -71.71%
15/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7711 points. Change of 0.5%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 13,856,220,608 a change of 129.91%
14/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7673 points. Change of 1.97%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,026,828,350 a change of 14.3%
13/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7525 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,272,761,043 a change of 13.44%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:BME B & M** **LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:SPT Spirent Comms** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **

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Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, B & M, Darktrace Plc, International Personal Finance, Marks and Spencer, National Glib, Spirent Comms, Spirax,

LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 285 Percentage Change: -6.43% Day High: 304.6 Day Low: 280.4

Target met. Weakness on Aston Martin below 280.4 will invariably lead to ……..

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LSE:BME B & M. Close Mid-Price: 584.6 Percentage Change: + 0.97% Day High: 587 Day Low: 576

In the event of B & M enjoying further trades beyond 587, the share shoul ……..

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LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc Close Mid-Price: 419.1 Percentage Change: -0.21% Day High: 428.1 Day Low: 409.9

In the event of Darktrace Plc enjoying further trades beyond 428.1, the s ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 129.5 Percentage Change: + 1.97% Day High: 130 Day Low: 125

All International Personal Finance needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 130 t ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer. Close Mid-Price: 236.1 Percentage Change: + 2.16% Day High: 238.1 Day Low: 229.9

All Marks and Spencer needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 238.1 to improve a ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib Close Mid-Price: 1029 Percentage Change: -0.53% Day High: 1039.5 Day Low: 1022.5

Target met. All National Glib needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1039.5 to ……..

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LSE:SPT Spirent Comms Close Mid-Price: 136.4 Percentage Change: -2.29% Day High: 140.3 Day Low: 136.5

In the event Spirent Comms experiences weakness below 136.5 it calculates ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 9590 Percentage Change: -1.98% Day High: 9804 Day Low: 9584

If Spirax experiences continued weakness below 9584, it will invariably l ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Trinity Exploration & Production Plc (LSE:TRIN) and nuclear submarines…

#Gold #Nasdaq  Every now and then, there’s a “Wait, What?” moment when reading the blurb about a company. Trinity produced such an event when their website made reference to “West Coast Assets”. Due to a plethora of nuclear submarine ‘secret’ traffic lanes*, along with an area containing a massive amount of dumped munitions, oil production from Scotlands West Coast is mostly from the skin complexion of troubled teenagers!

A few seconds later, the realisation Trinity do their thing on the West and East Coasts of Trinidad made some sense, especially as their website oil production platform photographs lacked any semblance of foul weather, quite the contrary. The islands position at the end of a chain of enviable destinations starting with The Bahamas is enviable, probably not the worst place in the world to be discovering and extracting oil. That honour doubtless goes to Scotland, the country where the rain goes to fall down…

 

Share price movements for Trinity are starting to give considerable hope as there’s a hope movement next above just 93p shall trigger a nod in the direction of 109p next. If bettered, our longer term secondary looks impressive, calculating at 132p and a new ball game for the future.

If things intend go coconut shaped, below 77p would look troublesome, allowing reversal down to an initial 55p with secondary, if broken, at a less likely 20p. But due to movements this year, our inclination is to anticipate some price recovery for Trinity.

*An amusing story about submarine traffic in Scotland recently surfaced in the USA. 48 years ago, an American nuclear submarine was exiting Holy Loch base in Argyll when it bumped into a Russian nuclear submarine which was waiting, intending to follow it out into the Atlantic. Both countries decided to keep the story quiet and it’s questionable whether the UK government was even told about the incident. Everything remained under water, though some paint may have drifted upward. What makes this tale noteworthy is the disclosure from the US military included a photograph of the (now gone) American base, a snapshot  taken on the hill directly behind our house. The collision would have taken place about 2 miles away.

Needless to say, the UK media have failed to cover this story. After all, we’re still knee deep in submarines here in Argyll.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:43:13PM BRENT 9237.2 Success
9:45:51PM GOLD 1929.26 1927 1918 1908 1934 1948 1953 1960 1938 ‘cess
9:48:04PM FTSE 7697.7 Success
9:52:04PM STOX50 4247.7 Success
9:54:26PM GERMANY 15696.8 ‘cess
9:57:06PM US500 4398.9 ‘cess
9:59:26PM DOW 34427
10:02:56PM NASDAQ 14949.5 14947 14725 14423 15080 15080 15129 15190 14948
10:05:57PM JAPAN 32959 Success

 

20/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7731 points. Change of 0.93%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,824,861,883 a change of -0.46%
19/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7660 points. Change of 0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,847,212,890 a change of 23.66%
18/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7652 points. Change of -0.77%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,919,854,652 a change of -71.71%
15/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7711 points. Change of 0.5%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 13,856,220,608 a change of 129.91%
14/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7673 points. Change of 1.97%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,026,828,350 a change of 14.3%
13/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7525 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,272,761,043 a change of 13.44%
12/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7527 points. Change of 0.41%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,648,224,872 a change of 0.61%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:CBX Cellular Goods** **LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **

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Updated charts published on : British Telecom, Cellular Goods, Darktrace Plc, Firstgroup, Scancell,

LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 121.4 Percentage Change: + 4.34% Day High: 121.7 Day Low: 116.85

Now above 123 should prove interesting, indicating the chances of a lift t ……..

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LSE:CBX Cellular Goods Close Mid-Price: 0.5 Percentage Change: -4.76% Day High: 0.52 Day Low: 0.5

Target met. Weakness on Cellular Goods below 0.5 will invariably lead to ……..

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LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc. Close Mid-Price: 420 Percentage Change: + 1.55% Day High: 423.3 Day Low: 417

All Darktrace Plc needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 423.3 to improve accel ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 159.6 Percentage Change: + 3.37% Day High: 161.8 Day Low: 157.8

In the event of Firstgroup enjoying further trades beyond 161.8, the shar ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell. Close Mid-Price: 17 Percentage Change: + 6.25% Day High: 18.12 Day Low: 15.88

Further movement against Scancell ABOVE 18.12 should improve acceleration ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Macfarlane Group Plc (LSE:MACF) and moving stationary…

#FTSE #Stoxx50 It’s funny how it can transpire a company we’ve known for years is actually just a little bit bigger than thought.  The logo of “Clansman”, adorning numerous boxes of stationary back in the day when businesses used paper (they still do!), concealed just how massive local company MacFarlane had become. Thankfully, there’s little sign their share price has been tarnished with the proximity of their Glasgow packaging centre in Uddingstone to a notorious house of Nicola Sturgeon, featured strongly for several days with a police search which rivalled most murder scenes.

In many ways, the disgrace was deserved as the “alphabet women”, the conspirators labelled from Ms A through to Ms H, are unmasked and to no-ones amazement, it transpires they were all members of Nicola Sturgeons inner cabal, with some dodgy financial dealings remaining unanswered. However, it’s still the case none can be named, despite growing calls for legal action for perjury. But to get down to brass tacks, what international company would like to have such a person as a neighbour? While perhaps a small degree of bias may be sneaking through, witness ‘Ms H’ was even warned at Mr Salmonds trial she was skirting on the edge of a legal black hole due to the frequency of her rotating storylines.

 

One thing which is slightly amusing with the Macfarlane Group analysis comes from it being requested, not by a reader in the UK but instead, someone in Spain! It was almost ignored until the realisation dawned we actually know the company, hence our interest.

The share price has been in the doldrums this year but certainly is developing an argument for some price growth. Currently trading around 110p, it need only exceed 115p currently to kick off a cycle to an initial 120p with secondary, if exceeded, at 131p and some probable hesitation. The funny thing, closure above 131p should prove interesting as a future all time high of 152p becomes possible.

Our alternate scenario suggests trouble below 101p as giving an early indication of coming reversal to an initial 92p with our longer term secondary, if broken, calculating down at 73p and hopefully a proper bounce.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:27:25PM BRENT 9390.2 Success
10:31:05PM GOLD 1930.87 ‘cess
10:33:41PM FTSE 7658.3 7641 7634 7597 7667 7682 7688 7704 7645
10:39:00PM STOX50 4247.7 4225 4214 4193 4251 4255 4265 4278 4239 ‘cess
10:41:32PM GERMANY 15690.3 ‘cess
10:43:54PM US500 4445.4 Success
10:47:20PM DOW 34513 ‘cess
10:49:36PM NASDAQ 15196.8 ‘cess
10:52:16PM JAPAN 33247

 

19/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7660 points. Change of 0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,847,212,890 a change of 23.66%
18/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7652 points. Change of -0.77%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,919,854,652 a change of -71.71%
15/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7711 points. Change of 0.5%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 13,856,220,608 a change of 129.91%
14/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7673 points. Change of 1.97%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,026,828,350 a change of 14.3%
13/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7525 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,272,761,043 a change of 13.44%
12/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7527 points. Change of 0.41%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,648,224,872 a change of 0.61%
11/09/2023 FTSE Closed at 7496 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,619,826,018 a change of -15.09%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:SPT Spirent Comms** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital** **

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Updated charts published on : Centrica, Oxford Instruments, Scancell, Spirent Comms, Tesco, Zoo Digital,

LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 172.5 Percentage Change: + 1.47% Day High: 173.15 Day Low: 170.3

In the event of Centrica enjoying further trades beyond 174, the share sho ……..

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LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments Close Mid-Price: 2145 Percentage Change: -1.83% Day High: 2175 Day Low: 2110

Now below 2110 indicates reversal coming to an initial 2096 with secondary ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell. Close Mid-Price: 16 Percentage Change: + 21.90% Day High: 16.75 Day Low: 15.5

All change, finally! Now above 16.75 suggests ongoing recovery to an initi ……..

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LSE:SPT Spirent Comms. Close Mid-Price: 140.8 Percentage Change: + 0.86% Day High: 141.5 Day Low: 137.2

Target Met. Now below 137 suggests a coming visit to 134 with secondary, i ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 273.1 Percentage Change: + 0.59% Day High: 273.4 Day Low: 271.1

All Tesco needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 274 to improve acceleration tow ……..

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LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital Close Mid-Price: 55 Percentage Change: -4.35% Day High: 57.5 Day Low: 54.5

Weakness on Zoo Digital below 54 will invariably lead to 43p and hopefully ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.