Gold updated (PM:XAUUSD), ready to shine again?

#Gold #SP500

We’re long time fans of the Gold Rush TV franchise on Discovery, faithfully tuning in every week to fast forward through any segments which involve “Freds Crew”, the “Hoffman Crew” or “The Kelly Crew” on Bering Sea gold. This avoidance ritual is fairly easily explained, the Discovery producers tending allocate time to some mining crews  who couldn’t find water in an ocean.

The idiot value of some gold miners cannot be overstated. On Gold Rush, one group of miners recently completed a weeks digging and sifting, discovering absolutely nothing in the process. Had any thought been given to actually testing their bucket loads of dirt – like real miners do – the results would have been quite different. Or on Bering Sea Gold, the “Kelly Crew”, this year armed with an enormous dredge and digger, actually achieved substantially less gold than an experienced, pregnant, female miner. Once again, what separated the crews was some basic intelligence, getting advice and testing the results. Thankfully now absent from Gold Rush, the “Hoffman Crew” were notorious as the miners who decided to dig deep, perhaps because they liked the colour of wild flowers on the ground above. Over the years, the story ending is always the same, the incompetent crews run out of money, presumably due to the producers stopping paying them for entertainment value.

Our own garden stream now boasts a handmade device near the bottom of the waterfall, the aim being for tons of gold to become trapped in a bottom layer of carpet as the water rushes through. Despite watching Gold Rush for around 10 years, the first iteration of my personal gold trap vanished, following its first battle with heavy water flow. The current version resides further away from the water fall and around once every few weeks, the hairy carpet is squeezed out to disgorge a load of invisible gold, calling into question my original efforts at panning for gold in the quartz and iron mineral laden stream. Perhaps a couple of tiny flakes of gold, each roughly the size of a politicians integrity, did not prove anything for the stream which makes its way down from a fresh water well, roughly 500 feet up the mountain. Then again, our Gold trap cost absolutely nothing to operate or buy, and hope always springs eternal, as they say.

 

Our previous look at Gold last December proved remarkably successful, the price triggering and climbing above 1805 dollars to our 1901 dollar target. This time around, we’re not quite as confident as to the approaching direction for the price of Gold.

The immediate situation suggests weakness below 1807 dollars should provoke a slight meltdown to an initial 1765 with secondary, if broken, at 1698 dollars. If triggered, the tightest stop loss level calculates around $1822. Visually, the immediate cycle looks perfectly capable of making an attempt at the 1700 dollar level, a point where we suspect a bounce should occur.

What happens if the price of Gold bubbles up above $1822?

Such a scenario currently presents the potential of a lift to a surprising 1848 dollars with our longer term secondary, if bettered, working out at $1888. As we said earlier, at present we’ve no great confidence the market itself even has a clue to real direction and arithmetically, we find it easy to jump on this bandwagon.

 

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:38:34PM BRENT 82.1
9:40:08PM GOLD 1817.38 1806 1802 1787 1820 1820 1825 1832 1809
9:42:08PM FTSE 7945.71 Success
9:44:26PM STOX50 4255.9 Success
10:05:00PM GERMANY 15421 ‘cess
10:11:34PM US500 3986 3976 3964 3946 3987 4018 4026 4038 3995 Success
10:13:48PM DOW 32910 Success
10:16:23PM NASDAQ 12070.7 Success
10:18:46PM JAPAN 27525 ‘cess

 

27/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7935 points. Change of 0.72%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,272,651,300 a change of -17.32%
24/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7878 points. Change of -0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,377,185,346 a change of 16.01%
23/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7907 points. Change of -0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,497,114,036 a change of -4.82%
22/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of -0.59%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,775,714,264 a change of -17.45%
21/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7977 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,996,845,952 a change of 263.69%
20/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8014 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,923,863,385 a change of -74.93%
17/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8004 points. Change of -0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,672,519,841 a change of 57.8%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:CBX Cellular Goods** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

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Updated charts published on : BALFOUR BEATTY, Block Energy PLC, Cellular Goods, Fresnillo, Rolls Royce, Sainsbury, Standard Chartered, Tesco,

LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 370.8 Percentage Change: + 1.53% Day High: 372.2 Day Low: 365.2

Further movement against BALFOUR BEATTY ABOVE 372.2 should improve accele ……..

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LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC Close Mid-Price: 1.05 Percentage Change: -4.55% Day High: 1.1 Day Low: 1.05

Continued weakness against BLOE taking the price below 1.05 calculates as ……..

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LSE:CBX Cellular Goods. Close Mid-Price: 0.78 Percentage Change: + 19.23% Day High: 0.78 Day Low: 0.65

Continued trades against CBX with a mid-price ABOVE 0.78 should improve t ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 763.8 Percentage Change: -0.65% Day High: 775.4 Day Low: 756

Target met. Weakness on Fresnillo below 756 will invariably lead to 747 w ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 145 Percentage Change: + 6.59% Day High: 144.9 Day Low: 139.12

All Rolls Royce needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 144.9 to improve acceler ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury. Close Mid-Price: 271.2 Percentage Change: + 3.12% Day High: 272.2 Day Low: 264.2

Continued trades against SBRY with a mid-price ABOVE 272.2 should improve ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered. Close Mid-Price: 787.6 Percentage Change: + 2.13% Day High: 795.6 Day Low: 769.8

Target met. All Standard Chartered needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 795.6 ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 254.2 Percentage Change: + 2.96% Day High: 255.7 Day Low: 245.9

All Tesco needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 255.7 to improve acceleration ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Barclays Plc (LSE:BARC), will it ever be spring?  

#Brent #Nasdaq

The grass has started growing here in Argyll, always worrying as the onset of spring invariably provokes the need to service our little tractor. Worse than foliage, pools in the forest are coated with frog-spawn, unseasonably early, a good summer ahead as clever frogs avoid their breeding ground drying out in good weather. Finally, Barclays opted to establish a £1.2bn bonus pot, so of course their share price dropped like a stone on February 15th.

All kidding aside, over the years we’ve notice the markets invariably “feel” better in good weather, probably because there is nothing to beat a doze of sunshine for provoking a feel good factor amongst traders. Alas, for Barclays, we have concerns!

 

The Blue line on the chart dates back to 2007. As trends go, it certainly appears to be valid, the market manipulating Barclays share price below this trend in a hysterical movement celebrating essentially nothing. The company CFO mentioned pre-tax profits would have been up 9%, had there not been a need to increase the amount of money tucked under the banks mattress to cover a ‘potential’ rise in Covid load defaults. With distinctly unsporting behaving, she also mentioned;

So we are not seeing increases in arrears. If anything, they are lower than they were, and very stable.

There was quite a lot about Barclays share price drop (circled) which failed to make sense, leaving us with a distinct suspicion it’s just not the banking sectors turn to experience positive movement. A contrived drop to force the share price below a 16 year old trend felt just a little silly. We believe the next problem shall arise, should Barclays close a session below 169p as ongoing reversal to 160p looks very possible with our secondary, and hopeful bounce point, working out at 150p.

Our converse scenario, if any miracles are scheduled, comes if the bank share manages to close a session above Blue (179p presently) as movement to 196p calculates as possible with our secondary working out at a visually pleasing 218p and almost certain hesitation.

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
9:29:29PM BRENT 82.93 81.26 80.335 79.09 82.99 83.14 83.88 85.08 82.06
9:31:52PM GOLD 1811.13 1818
9:33:36PM FTSE 7918.99 7895
9:35:05PM STOX50 4201.3 4196
9:36:53PM GERMANY 15237 15318
9:39:09PM US500 3974.52 3967
9:46:51PM DOW 32867 32742
9:48:46PM NASDAQ 11981.6 11896 11879 11760 12016 12017 12043 12092 11919
9:50:18PM JAPAN 27345 27307

 

24/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7878 points. Change of -0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,377,185,346 a change of 16.01%
23/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7907 points. Change of -0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,497,114,036 a change of -4.82%
22/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of -0.59%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,775,714,264 a change of -17.45%
21/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7977 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,996,845,952 a change of 263.69%
20/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8014 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,923,863,385 a change of -74.93%
17/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8004 points. Change of -0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,672,519,841 a change of 57.8%
16/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8012 points. Change of 0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,862,026,417 a change of -10.79%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, Fresnillo, British Airways, Rolls Royce, The Trainline, Zoo Digital,

LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 440 Percentage Change: + 0.16% Day High: 443 Day Low: 439.1

Now below just 434 looks capable of reversal to an initial 420 with second ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 768.8 Percentage Change: -0.90% Day High: 780.8 Day Low: 767.4

If Fresnillo experiences continued weakness below 767.4, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways Close Mid-Price: 154.76 Percentage Change: -6.46% Day High: 170.62 Day Low: 152.02

This is looking a bit risky as weakness below 152 indicates the potential ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 136.04 Percentage Change: + 2.21% Day High: 142.32 Day Low: 129.9

Further movement against Rolls Royce ABOVE 142.32 should improve accelera ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline. Close Mid-Price: 246 Percentage Change: + 2.24% Day High: 246 Day Low: 237.2

Continued weakness against TRN taking the price below 237.2 calculates as ……..

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LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital. Close Mid-Price: 198.5 Percentage Change: + 3.12% Day High: 202.5 Day Low: 192.5

Target met. Continued trades against ZOO with a mid-price ABOVE 202.5 sho ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

FTSE for Friday (FTSE:UKX) looking positive

#FreeFTSE #GOLD

It has been a pretty foul week for the market, insofar as very little has really been happening. Locally, it’s proving more fun watching the Scottish political scene, the fallout over Sturgeons departure causing utter panic amongst her appalling cult of followers. It’s not quite a circular firing squad, instead more akin to a bunch of folk wearing clown costumes trying to shift their collective blame onto anyone else, even voters now being accused of being “out of touch”. The shambles almost makes the days of Boris in Downing St seem quite professional.

And of course, when you add the spice of £600,000 going missing from Sturgeons party piggy bank, a police investigation into the missing money, now with apparent links into the attempt to frame Mr Salmond, the resignation of a Chief Constable, it all appears destined to fizzle out as some of the theories dominating social media are a bit outlandish, though utterly delicious. Scotland can be a funny old place with doubtless a few ‘super-injunctions’ now being drafted in a bit of a panic.

 

However, as far as the stock market goes, all we’ve got is a little FTSE chart to promote any attempt at humour.

Currently, above 7938 should apparently make an attempt at 7985 points with our secondary, if bettered, working out at a visually unlikely 8083 points, along with a new all time high. If triggered, the tightest stop loss level looks like a reasonable 7910 points.

Our alternate scenario, if the world intends fall apart, suggests weakness below 7886 should threaten imminent reversal to an initial 7851 points with our secondary, if this initial target breaks, working out at 7796 points. If triggered, the tightest sane stop looks like 7936 points, certainly sufficiently wide to justify the depth of movement.

 

Perhaps more importantly, questions are being asked in Scotland where are all the clowns cars? It’s almost been forgotten that they’re making their way to Bahrain for the Grand Prix in a weeks time, the inaugural race of 2023. Hopefully this years winner shall not be tainted by a third year of scandal.

Have a good weekend.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:58:25PM BRENT 82.32 80.28 79.17 82 82.46 82.64 81.6 Success
11:01:24PM GOLD 1823.76 1817 1813 1830 1834 1838 1822 ‘cess
11:03:29PM FTSE 7935.12 7890 7870 7925 7949 7962 7909 Shambles
11:05:06PM STOX50 4280.2 4246 4230 4272 4284 4292 4246 ‘cess
11:07:09PM GERMANY 15518 15429 15383 15505 15554 15598 15460 Success
11:09:00PM US500 4009.42 3969 3950 4013 4029 4048 3998 Shambles
11:15:13PM DOW 33117.2 32788 32758 33118 33280 33434 33080 ‘cess
11:17:31PM NASDAQ 12157 12000 11911 12114 12235 12330 12120
11:19:33PM JAPAN 27203 27014 26910 27145 27257 27359 27124 ‘cess

 

23/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7907 points. Change of -0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,497,114,036 a change of -4.82%
22/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of -0.59%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,775,714,264 a change of -17.45%
21/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7977 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,996,845,952 a change of 263.69%
20/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8014 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,923,863,385 a change of -74.93%
17/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8004 points. Change of -0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,672,519,841 a change of 57.8%
16/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8012 points. Change of 0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,862,026,417 a change of -10.79%
15/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7997 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,450,342,646 a change of -0.23%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:GENL Genel** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Genel, Hikma, OPG Power Ventures, Parkmead, Rolls Royce, Tullow,

LSE:GENL Genel. Close Mid-Price: 122.6 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 125 Day Low: 121.2

Weakness on Genel below 121.2 will invariably lead to 120 with secondary, ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma Close Mid-Price: 1718 Percentage Change: -2.02% Day High: 1861 Day Low: 1695

Target met. All Hikma needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1861 to improve ac ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures. Close Mid-Price: 9.22 Percentage Change: + 5.98% Day High: 9.25 Day Low: 8.7

Further movement against OPG Power Ventures ABOVE 9.25 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead Close Mid-Price: 40.5 Percentage Change: -2.41% Day High: 41.8 Day Low: 39

If Parkmead experiences continued weakness below 39, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 133.1 Percentage Change: + 23.68% Day High: 134.68 Day Low: 118

Target met. All Rolls Royce needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 134.68 to im ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 33.3 Percentage Change: + 1.09% Day High: 34 Day Low: 32.02

In the event Tullow experiences weakness below 32.02 it calculates with a ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Jet2 Plc (LSE:JET2), a shining star

#Gold #WallSt

With idle curiosity and a touch of sardonic humour, news of a budget airline called Wizz Air coming bottom in customer ratings for short-haul flights in Europe, actually worse than Ryanair and British Airways, prompted a look at the table of customer service results. It was a surprise to note Jet2 Plc topped the vote with a 5 star rating. We’d incorrectly assumed the UK’s second largest travel operator would be found in the mid-range, suffering from an inevitable malaise of size.  But instead, the company appear to one customers return to, again and again.

 

There are early signs the share price is poised to become interesting.

The share price has exceeded the downtrend since 2021, laying the foundations for some positive movement as it looks like it only need exceed 1292p to hopefully trigger movement to an initial 1429p, an ambition which makes a lot of visual sense. With closure above 1429p, we’re able to calculate a longer term 1757p, a new high since the company rebranded from Dart to Jet2 back in 2020.

 

For everything to go wrong, perhaps conceding pandemic fears remain, the share price needs close a session below 1245p as this risks triggering reversals to an initial 1083p with our secondary, if broken, at a probable bottom of 915p. Visually, such an event seems unlikely as we’re fairly optimistic about this share price future.

But will also admit, entering a petri dish such as an airline cabin, remains an abhorrent idea for the writer, personally. It’s going to be likely many folk remain with such a sheltered and paranoid viewpoint, making recovery for airline shares liable to be a long term process.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:18:06PM BRENT 80.37 Success
10:21:16PM GOLD 1824.86 1823 1819 1812 1833 1842 1847 1855 1834 ‘cess
10:23:47PM FTSE 7909 Success
10:26:07PM STOX50 4248.5
10:28:15PM GERMANY 15419.99
10:30:34PM US500 4001.12 ‘cess
10:44:44PM DOW 33082.2 32927 32858 32455 33217 33260 33332 33467 33080 ‘cess
10:46:42PM NASDAQ 12142
10:49:32PM JAPAN 27050 Success

 

22/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7930 points. Change of -0.59%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,775,714,264 a change of -17.45%
21/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7977 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,996,845,952 a change of 263.69%
20/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8014 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,923,863,385 a change of -74.93%
17/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8004 points. Change of -0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,672,519,841 a change of 57.8%
16/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8012 points. Change of 0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,862,026,417 a change of -10.79%
15/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7997 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,450,342,646 a change of -0.23%
14/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7953 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,463,158,317 a change of 17.15%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:CASP Caspian** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **

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Updated charts published on : Asos, BALFOUR BEATTY, Caspian, Fresnillo, Tern Plc, Tullow, The Trainline,

LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 810 Percentage Change: -0.98% Day High: 825.5 Day Low: 794.5

If Asos experiences continued weakness below 794.5, it will invariably le ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 360.6 Percentage Change: + 0.17% Day High: 361 Day Low: 357

Now above 368 calculates with the potential of a lift to 395 next with sec ……..

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LSE:CASP Caspian Close Mid-Price: 7.9 Percentage Change: -2.47% Day High: 8.55 Day Low: 7.85

Target met. Further movement against Caspian ABOVE 8.55 should improve ac ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 779.4 Percentage Change: -1.72% Day High: 787 Day Low: 768.4

Continued weakness against FRES taking the price below 768.4 calculates a ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc Close Mid-Price: 6.88 Percentage Change: -5.17% Day High: 7.25 Day Low: 6.75

In the event Tern Plc experiences weakness below 6.75 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 32.94 Percentage Change: -3.12% Day High: 33.56 Day Low: 32.86

If Tullow experiences continued weakness below 32.86, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 240.4 Percentage Change: -1.76% Day High: 249.6 Day Low: 238.5

Target met. Weakness on The Trainline below 238.5 will invariably lead to ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Cizzle Biotech (LSE:CIZ), a happy positive test!

#FTSE #Nasdaq

We’d a bunch of emails requesting we take a look at Cizzle, a share we’ve never previously analysed.  It wasn’t a real surprise to discover their specialist subject is cancer diagnostics but it was pleasing to discover they were initially funded by Yorkshire Cancer Research amongst others, confirmation some of the charity muggers actually do something useful.

Always a cynic regarding charity collections, an attitude rooted in a real-life experience when visiting a particular “youth charity initiative” one day, when the board of directors were also having a meeting. It would have been easy to assume a photo session was taking place for high end cars, the coned off car park housing a truly impressive collection of Lexus, Mercedes, Rolls Royce, and BMW vehicles. Staff had been warned to use public transport instead of their cars, due to the VIP meeting. These same staff members were currently begging for donations of computer components and equipment, hence my visit . The manager, chatting outside, was quite acidic about the remuneration levels paid to the CEO etc, feeling the folk at the front end of the charity were the last to benefit from a trickle down attitude which was applied to public donations.

Therefore, coming across a company which is producing impressive results, while crediting its existence to charitable donations, proved something of a relief.

 

It certainly appears something may be happening with Cizzle share price. Currently, movement above just 2.1p has some interesting near term potentials, looking capable of triggering price movement to an initial 2.65p and perhaps some hesitation. If bettered, our secondary works out at 3.5p, a price level hopefully capable of provoking some useful behaviour for the longer term. The share price needs to actually close above 3.55p to tick the final box for some Big Picture potentials, theoretically kicking off a cycle to allow the share to more than double and head to an eventual 7.85p.

If things intend go wrong for Cizzle, the share price needs close a session below 1.95p as this would utterly trash our elaborate series of confident calculations.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:24:41PM BRENT 82.69 ‘cess
10:40:58PM GOLD 1834.79 ‘cess
10:43:21PM FTSE 7966.41 7954 7923 7887 7986 8016 8036 8063 7983 Success
10:45:01PM STOX50 4245.6 ditto
10:46:55PM GERMANY 15366.43 ditto
10:49:20PM US500 4000.87 ditto
10:51:15PM DOW 33157 ditto
10:53:43PM NASDAQ 12082.52 12062 11989 11735 12143 12329 12395 12506 12285 ditto
10:57:54PM JAPAN 27270 ditto

 

21/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7977 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,996,845,952 a change of 263.69%
20/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8014 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ error a change of -74.93%
17/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8004 points. Change of -0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,672,519,841 a change of 57.8%
16/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8012 points. Change of 0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,862,026,417 a change of -10.79%
15/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7997 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,450,342,646 a change of -0.23%
14/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7953 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,463,158,317 a change of 17.15%
13/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7947 points. Change of 0.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,663,265,889 a change of -40.31%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:CASP Caspian** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **

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Updated charts published on : Astrazeneca, Caspian, Hikma, National Glib, Parkmead, Standard Chartered, The Trainline,

LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 11570 Percentage Change: + 0.26% Day High: 11680 Day Low: 11516

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LSE:CASP Caspian. Close Mid-Price: 8.1 Percentage Change: + 8.00% Day High: 8.1 Day Low: 7.5

Target met. Continued trades against CASP with a mid-price ABOVE 8.1 shou ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma. Close Mid-Price: 1779 Percentage Change: + 0.59% Day High: 1811.5 Day Low: 1769.5

Target met. Further movement against Hikma ABOVE 1811.5 should improve ac ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 647.5 Percentage Change: + 4.32% Day High: 653.8 Day Low: 608

Target met. In the event of HSBC enjoying further trades beyond 653.8, th ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1071 Percentage Change: + 0.05% Day High: 1091 Day Low: 1069

All National Glib needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1091 to improve accele ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead Close Mid-Price: 42.4 Percentage Change: -0.59% Day High: 43.9 Day Low: 41

Target met. Continued weakness against PMG taking the price below 41 calc ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered. Close Mid-Price: 771.8 Percentage Change: + 0.42% Day High: 780.8 Day Low: 751

Further movement against Standard Chartered ABOVE 780.8 should improve ac ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 244.7 Percentage Change: -2.90% Day High: 251.4 Day Low: 244.4

If The Trainline experiences continued weakness below 244.4, it will inva ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Aviva Plc (LSE:AV.), a date with destiny!

 #Gold #SP500

We sometimes bang on about so called “horizontal trends” and nowhere has this been shown more clearly recently than with insurer Aviva. Since August last year, the share price exhibited a pretty obvious horizontal trend around the 440p level but, to our endless amusement, no matter how many times the price exceeded the trend, nothing useful happened.

In this sort of instance, we look for other factors which may be in play, inhibiting performance, aside from the usual things to consider like wars, pandemics, inflation, politics, and a UK stock market exploring new all time highs. Surprisingly, in this instance, there appears to be a culprit which may be to blame, the Blue trend line on the chart below which dates back to December 2000! It’s quite astounding to note, if we choose to anchor the trend at this date 23 years ago, Aviva share price must currently exceed 457.209p to “prove” it’s genuinely intending to head upward.

The chart inset provided a clue to the shenanigans, a word we didn’t think resided in the autocorrect dictionary… Since August last year, there have been three share price highs, each of which confirmed the presence of such a silly sounding long term downtrend. To be honest, we would normally suspect the market would lose interest after all this time but, as Aviva claim to have been messing around in the insurance industry for over 300 years in various disguises, perhaps a 23 year old trend can be justified.

 

On the basis our software calculation is accurate, it’s apparently the case movement now above 457p should make an attempt at an initial 516p with secondary, if beaten, calculating at an eventual 619p. In terms of confidence levels, we’re supposed to be oozing enthusiasm as, if triggered, an eventual 619p should provide a genuine and realistic ambition. We can even toss out a third level target at 711p but given this was generated as a result of something which happened during the artificial Brexit panic of 2016, we’re not really sold on the concept.

But as for 619p, there are a few quite distinct arguments favouring such an ambition. Eventually.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:50:31PM GOLD 1841.84 1836 1833 1828 1845 1848 1854 1866 1836
10:52:22PM BRENT 83.54 ‘cess
10:54:21PM FTSE 8008.16
10:56:29PM STOX50 4269.7
10:58:38PM GERMANY 15471.73
11:00:30PM US500 4067.6 4065 4061 4054 4077 4082 4094 4110 4065
11:03:56PM DOW 33741
11:07:47PM NASDAQ 12341
11:10:20PM JAPAN 27486

 

20/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8014 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,923,863,385 a change of -74.93%
17/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8004 points. Change of -0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,672,519,841 a change of 57.8%
16/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8012 points. Change of 0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,862,026,417 a change of -10.79%
15/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7997 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,450,342,646 a change of -0.23%
14/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7953 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,463,158,317 a change of 17.15%
13/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7947 points. Change of 0.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,663,265,889 a change of -40.31%
11/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,812,457,009 a change of 15.14%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CASP Caspian** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

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Updated charts published on : Carclo, Caspian, HSBC, National Glib, OPG Power Ventures, Parkmead, The Trainline, Tesco,

LSE:CAR Carclo. Close Mid-Price: 13.78 Percentage Change: + 6.17% Day High: 14 Day Low: 13.5

Now above 14p suggests the potential of movement to an initial 15.8p with ……..

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LSE:CASP Caspian. Close Mid-Price: 7.5 Percentage Change: + 5.34% Day High: 7.6 Day Low: 7.1

All Caspian needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 7.6 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC Close Mid-Price: 620.7 Percentage Change: -0.06% Day High: 626.4 Day Low: 619.8

Further movement against HSBC ABOVE 626.4 should improve acceleration tow ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1070.5 Percentage Change: + 0.05% Day High: 1081.5 Day Low: 1062

Target met. Further movement against National Glib ABOVE 1081.5 should im ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures. Close Mid-Price: 9 Percentage Change: + 5.26% Day High: 9.15 Day Low: 8.55

Target met. All OPG Power Ventures needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 9.15 ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead Close Mid-Price: 42.65 Percentage Change: -0.35% Day High: 43 Day Low: 42

In the event Parkmead experiences weakness below 42 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 252 Percentage Change: -1.45% Day High: 256.7 Day Low: 251.2

In the event The Trainline experiences weakness below 251.2 it calculates ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 251.2 Percentage Change: + 0.12% Day High: 252.1 Day Low: 250.6

Further movement against Tesco ABOVE 252.1 should improve acceleration to ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Natwest Group and a surprise price movement…

#Brent #Dax

Three weeks ago, when we reviewed Natwest, we cynically proposed the market devising an excuse for panic reversal, if only due to the share price heading upward faster than expected. Of course, this unfortunately came to pass, the company announcing serious profits, bunging their CEO a £5 billion bonus for the first time since 2008, and the share price was dropped by 9%…

The reason for reversals came from the small print in their earnings report, an expectation 2023 shall probably be less profitable but shareholders, in the meantime, should anticipate a dividend of 10p per share. With the panic reversal we’d suspected, the share price, despite breaking below Blue during the session, closed the day just above the 280p level. So perhaps all is not lost, the market not making the final commitment to stabbing traders in the back. The Blue downtrend on the chart and insets dates back to the start of 2018 and it appears to be taken seriously.

It’s going to be interesting watching what happens next. The market manipulated NWG’s share price downward at the open, going from last Thursdays closing price of 306p down to a Friday open of 282p, a market service which avoided anyone the distress of actually trading. We wish this drop hadn’t broken the 280p level as the gapped visit to 276p fouled up some of our calculations and optimism. Instead, it has introduced a potential of weakness below 276p promoting reversal to 270p next with our secondary, if broken, at 260p and hopefully a rebound. And worse, if genuine negative news appears, this share price could continue to power downward toward an eventual 237p.

 

Conversely, to return to illusory safety, the share price needs trade above 300p or, at least close a session above 294p currently as this works out with the potential of a lift to an initial 322p next with our longer term secondary, if exceeded, working out at 396p. Our suspicion, visually, shall be for the markets to invent a reason to gap Natwest back above the immediate Red uptrend. Should this prove to be the case within the next couple of weeks, it sends quite a strong “just go long and wait” signal to traders.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
2:13:10PM US500 4078 4056
6:55:36PM DOW 33800 33550
6:56:58PM NASDAQ 12355 12300
7:52:24PM JAPAN 27516 27519
7:54:38PM BRENT 82.87 82.02 81.52 79.57 82.72 83.75 83.98 84.78 82.59
7:56:21PM GOLD 1842 1831
7:58:38PM FTSE 8021.37 8003
8:00:48PM STOX50 4289.8 4268
8:02:38PM GERMANY 15524.27 15335 15295 15182 15448 15530 15627 15739 15440

 

17/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8004 points. Change of -0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,672,519,841 a change of 57.8%
16/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8012 points. Change of 0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,862,026,417 a change of -10.79%
15/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7997 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,450,342,646 a change of -0.23%
14/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7953 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,463,158,317 a change of 17.15%
13/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7947 points. Change of 0.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,663,265,889 a change of -40.31%
11/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,812,457,009 a change of 15.14%
10/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of -0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,785,335,053 a change of -4.85%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:CBX Cellular Goods** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:GENL Genel** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **

********

Updated charts published on : Asos, Cellular Goods, Centrica, Genel, Hikma, HSBC, National Glib, Natwest, OPG Power Ventures,

LSE:ASC Asos. Close Mid-Price: 834 Percentage Change: + 1.09% Day High: 848 Day Low: 801.5

In the event Asos experiences weakness below 801.5 it calculates with a d ……..

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LSE:CBX Cellular Goods. Close Mid-Price: 0.65 Percentage Change: + 8.33% Day High: 0.65 Day Low: 0.6

Further movement against Cellular Goods ABOVE 0.65 should improve acceler ……..

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 105.05 Percentage Change: + 0.82% Day High: 106.15 Day Low: 102.95

Continued trades against CNA with a mid-price ABOVE 106.15 should improve ……..

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LSE:GENL Genel Close Mid-Price: 123.2 Percentage Change: -1.12% Day High: 125.6 Day Low: 122.6

If Genel experiences continued weakness below 122.6, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma Close Mid-Price: 1770.5 Percentage Change: -0.25% Day High: 1787 Day Low: 1763

In the event of Hikma enjoying further trades beyond 1787, the share shou ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 621.1 Percentage Change: + 0.44% Day High: 623.7 Day Low: 614

All HSBC needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 623.7 to improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1070 Percentage Change: + 2.05% Day High: 1075.5 Day Low: 1046

In the event of National Glib enjoying further trades beyond 1075.5, the ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest Close Mid-Price: 284.6 Percentage Change: -6.87% Day High: 288.5 Day Low: 276.5

Continued weakness against NWG taking the price below 276.5 calculates as ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures. Close Mid-Price: 8.55 Percentage Change: + 3.01% Day High: 8.9 Day Low: 8.3

Continued trades against OPG with a mid-price ABOVE 8.9 should improve th ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.