Author: T&T Staff

#FTSE #Gold  In common, probably, with most households, my wife feels the need to supervise when “we” emplace Christmas lights at the front of our home. The back garden, however, is mine and I’m restricted to a long string of Led lights. This year, opting for something new, a bunch of nails were hammered into the big beech tree at the top of the garden, a thing about 60 feet tall with a trunk around 2 metres. The cunning plan was to create the outline of a traditional fir tree but when doing this job in daylight, it can be fairly difficult to be sure what the illuminated result shall be like.

We were sitting at dinner, when the timer clicked on. “What is that supposed to be?”, she asked. “Either a Christmas Tadpole (our grandchildren grow them to frogs every year) or perhaps a creative Christmas Sperm…” I replied. Apparently I’ve agreed to go up with step ladders and change the route of the lights. However, the results are shown below from a dodgy mobile phone snapshot.

 

 

Similar to my Christmas lights, the FTSE opted to spend Thursday exploring an entirely new route in life, barging through the 2023 downtrend as if it didn’t know it was there. The index even contrived to spend a couple of hours above the prior high from October, giving some hope the rise would prove genuine and stay around for a while. Alas, this wasn’t to be but by closing the day at 7644 points, it successfully exceeded the trend break point of 7620 and gives a degree of hope for the future. Our attitude with this sort of thing is pretty basic, unless a market price actually closes a session above a prior number, what we’re looking at isn’t an official “higher high” and thus, we’re forced to curb our enthusiasm.

Something is certainly bothering us about the retreat from the day highs as the FTSE reversed quite a bit further than our intraday calculations allowed. In theory, the market should have bounced from around 7625 points but instead, the FTSE chose to plummet to 7606 points. This carries a threat of implicit weakness, creating a scenario where below 7606 risks triggering reversal to an initial 7570 with secondary, if broken, at 7520 and hopefully a bottom.

If triggered, the tightest stop looks like 7650 points.

 

As always, there’s a strong chance we’re fooling ourselves by falling into the mindset of always expecting the worst from the FTSE 100.  This being the case, the index should only need exceed 7688 points to hopefully trigger a near term gain to an initial modest 7714 points. If bettered, our secondary calculates at 7762 points but importantly, in this instance there’s a very strong chance of a visit to a third level of 7801 points, a point where we anticipate some hesitation.

Have a good weekend.

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:12:57PM	BRENT	7676	7547	7465		7707	7744	7765		7641	Success
9:22:12PM	GOLD	2035.71	2028	2021		2039	2048	2058		2028	Success
9:25:01PM	FTSE	7633.1	7608	7573		7657	7669	7687		7642	Success
9:36:48PM	STOX50	4533.7	4514	4488		4552	4556	4568		4536	Success
9:39:48PM	GERMANY	16714.5	16659	16604		16760	16814	16856		16740
9:43:45PM	US500	7633.3	4683	4668		4712	4737	4752		4714
9:48:22PM	DOW	37232	37046	36993		37226	37328	37882		37113	‘cess
9:51:02PM	NASDAQ	16526	16457	16415		16553	16670	16744		16574
9:53:23PM	JAPAN	32665	32513	32504		32698	32884	32969		32711	‘cess

 

14/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7648 points. Change of 1.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,088,595,771 a change of 41.45%

13/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7548 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,718,449,628 a change of 4.86%

12/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7542 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,453,180,069 a change of 16.03%

11/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7544 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,699,736,729 a change of -1.07%

8/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7554 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,750,603,507 a change of -16.53%

7/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7513 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,691,416,870 a change of -34.9%

6/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7515 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,742,933,283 a change of 113.36%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:GENL Genel** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:JET Just Eat** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **LSE:SPT Spirent Comms** **LSE:SRP Serco** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

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Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Asos, Aviva, Avacta, Barclays, Barrett Devs, Carnival, ECO (Atlantic) O & G, Experian, EasyJet, Fresnillo, Genel, International Distribution, IG Group, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Just Eat, Marks and Spencer, National Glib, Ocado Plc, Oxford Instruments, Sainsbury, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, Spirent Comms, Serco, Tesco, Taylor Wimpey,

LSE:AFC AFC Energy. Close Mid-Price: 21.05 Percentage Change: + 3.95% Day High: 22 Day Low: 20.25

In the event of AFC Energy enjoying further trades beyond 22, the share s ……..

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LSE:ASC Asos. Close Mid-Price: 401.1 Percentage Change: + 2.40% Day High: 414 Day Low: 396.5

In the event of Asos enjoying further trades beyond 414, the share should ……..

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 431.1 Percentage Change: + 0.02% Day High: 440.5 Day Low: 428.6

In the event of Aviva enjoying further trades beyond 440.5, the share sho ……..

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LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 118.2 Percentage Change: -0.67% Day High: 121 Day Low: 111

Target met. Continued weakness against AVCT taking the price below 111 ca ……..

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LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 10468 Percentage Change: + 0.75% Day High: 10690 Day Low: 10376

Continued trades against AZN with a mid-price ABOVE 10690 should improve ……..

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LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 150 Percentage Change: + 6.32% Day High: 150.6 Day Low: 143.58

Further movement against Barclays ABOVE 150.6 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs. Close Mid-Price: 561.8 Percentage Change: + 3.58% Day High: 565 Day Low: 550.8

Target met. Continued trades against BDEV with a mid-price ABOVE 565 shou ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1341.5 Percentage Change: + 5.05% Day High: 1342 Day Low: 1300

Target met. In the event of Carnival enjoying further trades beyond 1342, ……..

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LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G. Close Mid-Price: 9.35 Percentage Change: + 3.89% Day High: 9.35 Day Low: 9.05

If ECO (Atlantic) O & G experiences continued weakness below 9.05, it wil ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3229 Percentage Change: + 2.87% Day High: 3241 Day Low: 3178

Continued trades against EXPN with a mid-price ABOVE 3241 should improve ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet. Close Mid-Price: 502.6 Percentage Change: + 2.43% Day High: 507.4 Day Low: 497.3

Further movement against EasyJet ABOVE 507.4 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 591 Percentage Change: + 3.94% Day High: 611 Day Low: 588

Target met. In the event of Fresnillo enjoying further trades beyond 611, ……..

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LSE:GENL Genel. Close Mid-Price: 68.4 Percentage Change: + 5.39% Day High: 70.4 Day Low: 64.9

If Genel experiences continued weakness below 64.9, it will invariably le ……..

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LSE:IDS International Distribution. Close Mid-Price: 277.6 Percentage Change: + 3.27% Day High: 284.6 Day Low: 272.8

Target met. Continued trades against IDS with a mid-price ABOVE 284.6 sho ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 747.5 Percentage Change: -0.13% Day High: 766.5 Day Low: 749

Continued trades against IGG with a mid-price ABOVE 766.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 7076 Percentage Change: + 2.58% Day High: 7082 Day Low: 6970

All Intercontinental Hotels Group needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 7082 t ……..

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LSE:JET Just Eat. Close Mid-Price: 1339 Percentage Change: + 6.02% Day High: 1363 Day Low: 1308

Target met. All Just Eat needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1363 to improve ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer. Close Mid-Price: 265.3 Percentage Change: + 0.26% Day High: 268.3 Day Low: 264.1

All Marks and Spencer needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 268.3 to improve a ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1079.5 Percentage Change: + 0.56% Day High: 1100 Day Low: 1079.5

Target met. Continued trades against NG. with a mid-price ABOVE 1100 shou ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc. Close Mid-Price: 718.6 Percentage Change: + 11.62% Day High: 720 Day Low: 661.2

Target met. In the event of Ocado Plc enjoying further trades beyond 720, ……..

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LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments. Close Mid-Price: 2285 Percentage Change: + 4.34% Day High: 2295 Day Low: 2220

Further movement against Oxford Instruments ABOVE 2295 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury. Close Mid-Price: 300.3 Percentage Change: + 1.11% Day High: 304.7 Day Low: 299.4

Continued trades against SBRY with a mid-price ABOVE 304.7 should improve ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust. Close Mid-Price: 776 Percentage Change: + 3.60% Day High: 779.4 Day Low: 765.4

Target met. All Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust needs are mid-price tr ……..

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LSE:SPT Spirent Comms. Close Mid-Price: 119.1 Percentage Change: + 3.21% Day High: 120.3 Day Low: 116.9

Continued trades against SPT with a mid-price ABOVE 120.3 should improve ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco. Close Mid-Price: 162 Percentage Change: + 4.31% Day High: 164.2 Day Low: 157.8

In the event of Serco enjoying further trades beyond 164.2, the share sho ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco Close Mid-Price: 288.1 Percentage Change: -0.31% Day High: 293.5 Day Low: 287

Continued trades against TSCO with a mid-price ABOVE 293.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 142.4 Percentage Change: + 3.60% Day High: 144.65 Day Low: 140.2

Target met. Continued trades against TW. with a mid-price ABOVE 144.65 sh ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Gold #Brent To pad out any article, or perhaps to make it readable as, let’s face, numbers are boring, we glanced at the JD Sports Fashion website to discover if anything interesting jumped out. Once again, there was a resounding “nope”, due to the sheer volume of their products sporting the name of the maker. It’s definitely not a case of disliking folk noticing what I’m wearing as I’ve a vulgar selection of Hawaiian shirts which are worn at any opportunity. Perhaps it’s some kind of inverse snobbish behaviour as after all, my favourite dog walking jacket is made by Armani but nothing on the exterior advertises this. It’s better made than the perceived market leader, Barbour, with a stronger zip, reasonable pockets and most importantly, a decent lining.

But to get the correct spelling of the name, I’d to take the jacket off a coat hook and look at the label. Then came the realisation everyone probably knows it was Giorgio. Perhaps this would be an advantage when writing about Nike as all that’s required would be to look down, if you’re the sort of person inclined toward advertising another companies products.

However, it seems the market suspects this shall be a good Christmas for the sportswear retailer as their share price is doing useful things. When we previously reviewed them back in September, we’d given an initial target price of 161p,. an ambition achieved at the start of this month with the share price blowing effortlessly onward. There was one thing which gave considerable hope for the longer term as the market opted to – very slightly – gap the share price upward , making a visit to our 161p virtually mandatory. With the period since providing small but steady gains, we’re quite curious as to what the future now holds.

 

Presently trading around 171p, it needs exceed 175.1p to give the suggestion it’s now heading toward 192p next with our secondary, if exceeded, now calculating at 236p, a price ambition almost certain to provoke hesitation. Unusually, we can report the risk of a half way hesitation level of just 211p, this number also being reported as a potential secondary, if we only factor in the share prices malevolent behaviour during 2023. But, to cancel the potential of a future 236p, the share would currently need close a session below 157p, the point of trend break at the beginning of December.

Any calamity such as this would also carry the risk of a reversal cycle to 119p commencing.

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:59:08PM	BRENT	7467.7	7237	7220	7072	7440	7471	7519	7613	7388
10:05:14PM	GOLD	2027.04	1973	1956	1932	1988	2028	2036	2045	2002	Success
10:09:21PM	FTSE	7592.8									Shambles
10:13:24PM	STOX50	4564.1									‘cess
10:15:53PM	GERMANY	16879
10:19:04PM	US500	4704.1
10:23:14PM	DOW	37099									‘cess
10:32:27PM	NASDAQ	16540.7									Success
10:34:40PM	JAPAN	32919									Shambles

 

13/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7548 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,718,449,628 a change of 4.86%

12/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7542 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,453,180,069 a change of 16.03%

11/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7544 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,699,736,729 a change of -1.07%

8/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7554 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,750,603,507 a change of -16.53%

7/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7513 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,691,416,870 a change of -34.9%

6/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7515 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,742,933,283 a change of 113.36%

5/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of -0.31%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,097,792,180 a change of -8.47%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:GENL Genel** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

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Updated charts published on : Avacta, Block Energy PLC, BP PLC, Experian, EasyJet, Genel, IG Group, OPG Power Ventures, Oxford Instruments, Rockhopper, Rolls Royce, Sainsbury, Scancell, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, Vodafone,

LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 119 Percentage Change: -11.85% Day High: 139 Day Low: 118

If Avacta experiences continued weakness below 118, it will invariably le ……..

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LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC. Close Mid-Price: 0.75 Percentage Change: + 3.45% Day High: 0.75 Day Low: 0.68

Target met. Weakness on Block Energy PLC below 0.68 will invariably lead ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC Close Mid-Price: 459.85 Percentage Change: -0.24% Day High: 461.25 Day Low: 456.65

Continued weakness against BP. taking the price below 456.65 calculates a ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3139 Percentage Change: + 0.03% Day High: 3166 Day Low: 3131

Further movement against Experian ABOVE 3166 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet. Close Mid-Price: 490.7 Percentage Change: + 0.04% Day High: 494.3 Day Low: 487.1

All EasyJet needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 494.3 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:GENL Genel Close Mid-Price: 64.9 Percentage Change: -8.20% Day High: 71 Day Low: 65.1

In the event Genel experiences weakness below 65.1 it calculates with a d ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 748.5 Percentage Change: + 0.60% Day High: 753.5 Day Low: 744

All IG Group needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 753.5 to improve accelerati ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures. Close Mid-Price: 13.2 Percentage Change: + 1.54% Day High: 14.25 Day Low: 13

In the event of OPG Power Ventures enjoying further trades beyond 14.25, ……..

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LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments. Close Mid-Price: 2190 Percentage Change: + 0.23% Day High: 2280 Day Low: 2175

All Oxford Instruments needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 2280 to improve a ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 10.88 Percentage Change: + 0.46% Day High: 10.55 Day Low: 10.2

If Rockhopper experiences continued weakness below 10.2, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 301.8 Percentage Change: -0.95% Day High: 313.1 Day Low: 298

In the event of Rolls Royce enjoying further trades beyond 313.1, the sha ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury. Close Mid-Price: 297 Percentage Change: + 0.07% Day High: 301.2 Day Low: 297.4

In the event of Sainsbury enjoying further trades beyond 301.2, the share ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell Close Mid-Price: 10.75 Percentage Change: -3.37% Day High: 11.12 Day Low: 10.62

In the event Scancell experiences weakness below 10.62 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust Close Mid-Price: 749 Percentage Change: -0.77% Day High: 763.8 Day Low: 749.8

In the event of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust enjoying further trade ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 65.14 Percentage Change: -2.94% Day High: 66.55 Day Low: 64.97

Target met. Weakness on Vodafone below 64.97 will invariably lead to 60p ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#FTSE #NK225  To continue our reminiscence over what we said exactly a year ago (December) along with what happened next, Deutsche Bank has behaved just like a British financial institution by producing very little meaningful movement. It exactly hit our secondary target at the end of January this year, then has flopped around like a half dead fish on the dock. The malaise infecting the UK market is certainly wider spread!

Given DBK share price took around 45 days to reach our target levels quite literally exactly, before falling around in the confusion which has been 2023, perhaps it shall prove the case the German bank shall perform a similar party trick in 2024. It’s certainly the case the share price is already twitching like a child, desperate to get the unwrapping of Xmas presents started. Nowadays, as we pretend to enjoy the role of being grandparents, the girls are blissfully unaware every slow sip of morning coffee on Xmas day has been meticulously planned to increase frustration, along with final hesitation while asking who wants to come out for a dog walk before we do the presents… With age comes great mischievousness!

As an aside, this year we’re planning on giving the girls a treasure hunt, each present containing a clue as to where the next one is. Such a simple prospect is obviously complicated by the Scottish weather as we’re planning on both indoors or outdoors searches.

 

But as mentioned, DBK has a share price which currently appears to be showing modest prospects. Movement now above just 12€ calculates with an almost certain lift to a potential 13.2€ with our longer term secondary working out at a longer term 15.5€. This secondary shall prove pretty critical from a Big Picture perspective, affording the share the chance of closing at a higher level than any achieved in the last five years. This should prove to be quite a big deal, moving the price into a zone where it becomes possible to dream a future 30€ is exerting an attraction for the share price.

However, for now, it’s probably best to confine oneself to simply dreaming of a white Christmas and  hoping nothing happens to propel DBK below Red on the chart, currently at 9 €. From a numbers perspective, this would be a bad thing

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:49:29PM	BRENT	73.53	72.9	72.03	70.54	75.3	76.67	78.12	79.86	74.86	Success
10:52:52PM	GOLD	1980.03	1974	1966	1956	1983	1996	2007	2018	1982	‘cess
10:56:35PM	FTSE	7558.9	7548	7525	7497	7578	7599	7609	7632	7560	‘cess
10:58:48PM	STOX50	4549.4	4526	4515	4500	4546	4560	4563	4574	4539
11:03:12PM	GERMANY	16801	16731	16699	16646	16819	16840	16870	16910	16794	‘cess
11:05:46PM	US500	4649.5	4606	4597	4579	4636	4651	4720	4926	4605	Success
11:10:45PM	DOW	36623	36368	36325	36221	36502	36638	37135	37825	36422	Success
11:13:21PM	NASDAQ	16389	16176	16144	16061	16294	16393	16421	16526	16224	Success
11:23:56PM	JAPAN	33014	32728	32582	32371	32910	33142	33348	33742	32944	Shambles

 

12/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7542 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,453,180,069 a change of 16.03%

11/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7544 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,699,736,729 a change of -1.07%

8/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7554 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,750,603,507 a change of -16.53%

7/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7513 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,691,416,870 a change of -34.9%

6/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7515 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,742,933,283 a change of 113.36%

5/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of -0.31%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,097,792,180 a change of -8.47%

4/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7512 points. Change of -0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,476,825,041 a change of -0.54%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:FOXT Foxtons** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

********

Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Aviva, Barrett Devs, ECO (Atlantic) O & G, Experian, EasyJet, Foxtons, IG Group, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Marks and Spencer, National Glib, Ocado Plc, Rolls Royce, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, Tesco, Taylor Wimpey, Vodafone,

LSE:AFC AFC Energy. Close Mid-Price: 19 Percentage Change: + 3.83% Day High: 21.75 Day Low: 18.02

Continued trades against AFC with a mid-price ABOVE 21.75 should improve ……..

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 431.2 Percentage Change: + 0.49% Day High: 432 Day Low: 427

Further movement against Aviva ABOVE 432 should improve acceleration towa ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs Close Mid-Price: 541.6 Percentage Change: -0.04% Day High: 549.6 Day Low: 541.2

Target met. All Barrett Devs needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 549.6 to im ……..

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LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G Close Mid-Price: 9.1 Percentage Change: -2.15% Day High: 9.3 Day Low: 9.06

Target met. Weakness on ECO (Atlantic) O & G below 9.06 will invariably l ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3138 Percentage Change: + 0.54% Day High: 3148 Day Low: 3117

All Experian needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 3148 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet. Close Mid-Price: 490.5 Percentage Change: + 2.79% Day High: 491.9 Day Low: 477.7

Continued trades against EZJ with a mid-price ABOVE 491.9 should improve ……..

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LSE:FOXT Foxtons Close Mid-Price: 44.45 Percentage Change: -0.11% Day High: 45.9 Day Low: 44.6

Continued trades against FOXT with a mid-price ABOVE 45.9 should improve ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 744 Percentage Change: -0.20% Day High: 747.5 Day Low: 741

Further movement against IG Group ABOVE 747.5 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 7028 Percentage Change: + 1.68% Day High: 7046 Day Low: 6932

Target met. Further movement against Intercontinental Hotels Group ABOVE ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 263 Percentage Change: -0.75% Day High: 267.2 Day Low: 262.7

Target met. In the event of Marks and Spencer enjoying further trades bey ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1068 Percentage Change: + 0.42% Day High: 1076 Day Low: 1065

In the event of National Glib enjoying further trades beyond 1076, the sh ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc. Close Mid-Price: 641.2 Percentage Change: + 1.39% Day High: 654.8 Day Low: 632

Further movement against Ocado Plc ABOVE 654.8 should improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 304.7 Percentage Change: + 2.63% Day High: 306 Day Low: 296.5

Target met. Further movement against Rolls Royce ABOVE 306 should improve ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust. Close Mid-Price: 754.8 Percentage Change: + 1.04% Day High: 760.2 Day Low: 750.2

Further movement against Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust ABOVE 760.2 s ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco Close Mid-Price: 289.3 Percentage Change: -0.41% Day High: 292.6 Day Low: 289.1

Target met. In the event of Tesco enjoying further trades beyond 292.6, t ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 137.3 Percentage Change: -0.29% Day High: 139.65 Day Low: 137.45

Target met. All Taylor Wimpey needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 139.65 to ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 67.11 Percentage Change: -2.10% Day High: 68.37 Day Low: 66.93

Continued weakness against VOD taking the price below 66.93 calculates as ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Gold #SP500  As we slide down the slope toward the end of 2023, we decided we’d take a look at shares which were studied exactly a year ago and see how they’d performed. After all, the UK market hasn’t exactly been poised to deliver a quick buck to traders, instead performing with even slower speed of response for those folk calling a local council “pothole emergency” line.

Our local situation here in Argyll was proving fascinating, another flash flood swiftly removing road repairs from just a month earlier, creating a dangerous and deep pothole which, of course, filled with water. The sizeable trench quite literally acted as a car trap and when each vehicle was cleared, another would shortly afterward drive into the hole and come to an emergency stop. We were annoyed when our large Toyota 4WD had its exhaust damaged today, when my wife splashed through what she thought was a puddle. The local council “hotline” claimed it was receiving higher volumes of call but after 90 minutes on speakerphone, we decided to take a snapshot and just drive up to the council offices. It transpired they’d already despatched someone who’d trashed his van in the trench, was collected by another council vehicle, and in the excitement, forgot to emplace warning signs and traffic cones. But his van was still stuck and did have hazard lights flashing! By the time we headed home, emergency traffic lights were now in place

We must be the only part of the UK where the area is served by huge LED screens, alerting folk when the main A-class road is actually open. Everywhere else uses these signs to warn of closures but in Argyll, rather than fix a problem with landslides, the council deem a large sign saying “A83 Currently Open” resolves their lack of action quite neatly.

 

A year ago, we produced a scenario for Tesco, suggesting the potential of a share price lift to 259p initially with secondary, if beaten, at 266p. It took until the end of April for this to come to fruition, the share price eventually opting to toddle a little higher to 285 before falling back. This shouldn’t have been a surprise as we’d suspected the proximity of our target levels was suggesting some inevitable hesitations and this certainly proved to be the case. Despite exceed our target levels quite comprehensively, the share price managed to tumble back to 244, recovering to our 266p level repeatedly until September, when some effort was made to leverage Tesco share price upward again.

After all, there’s no point in exceeding our target levels, if a share price doesn’t intend to explore new highs.

 

At time of writing, Tesco are trading around 290p and doubtless poised to continue to reap the benefits of what the FT coined as “greedflation”, the policy of many supermarkets to increase prices well beyond anything justified by outside factors such as wages, fuel costs, electricity, etc.  Instead, they appear to be attempting a method which is quite basic and brutal. Increase prices by, for instance, 25% and if sales only drop by 20%, their profit margin will benefit. This methodology has been most noticed in their petrol stations, an area where both Tesco & Morrison’s excel in failing to follow the wholesale price of fuel.

For now, should Tesco manage above 292p, we shall regard the share price as being on a road toward an initial 310p with our secondary, if exceeded, now calculating at a very comfortable looking long term 348p Visually, there’s quite a strong suggestion closure above 310p shall be significant, making it difficult for the share price to abandon its attempts at future gains.

If everything intends go turkey shaped, the share price needs delve below 208p to suggest panic. To be fair, even below 278p would now justify a raised eyebrow.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:06:37PM	BRENT	7599.4									‘cess
10:20:34PM	GOLD	1981.6	1975	1945	1921	1984	1985	1993	1999	1980	‘cess
10:23:23PM	FTSE	7547.5									‘cess
10:27:23PM	STOX50	4541
10:29:56PM	GERMANY	16814.6
10:32:21PM	US500	4620	4596	4589	4578	4610	4622	4635	4648	4600	‘cess
10:35:39PM	DOW	36405.5									‘cess
10:39:20PM	NASDAQ	16227.1									‘cess
10:42:17PM	JAPAN	33107.8									Success

 

11/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7544 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,699,736,729 a change of -1.07%

8/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7554 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,750,603,507 a change of -16.53%

7/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7513 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,691,416,870 a change of -34.9%

6/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7515 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,742,933,283 a change of 113.36%

5/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of -0.31%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,097,792,180 a change of -8.47%

4/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7512 points. Change of -0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,476,825,041 a change of -0.54%

1/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7529 points. Change of 1.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,501,021,882 a change of -55.19%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

********

Updated charts published on : Barrett Devs, Block Energy PLC, Carnival, Experian, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Marks and Spencer, Rolls Royce, Scancell, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, Tesco,

LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs. Close Mid-Price: 541.8 Percentage Change: + 0.97% Day High: 545.4 Day Low: 535.8

Further movement against Barrett Devs ABOVE 545.4 should improve accelera ……..

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LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC Close Mid-Price: 0.75 Percentage Change: -9.09% Day High: 0.85 Day Low: 0.72

If Block Energy PLC experiences continued weakness below 0.72, it will in ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival Close Mid-Price: 1261 Percentage Change: -1.94% Day High: 1296 Day Low: 1259

Further movement against Carnival ABOVE 1296 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3121 Percentage Change: + 1.30% Day High: 3130 Day Low: 3072

Target met. In the event of Experian enjoying further trades beyond 3130, ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 6912 Percentage Change: + 1.20% Day High: 6958 Day Low: 6818

Continued trades against IHG with a mid-price ABOVE 6958 should improve t ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer. Close Mid-Price: 265 Percentage Change: + 1.84% Day High: 265.5 Day Low: 257.4

Target met. Continued trades against MKS with a mid-price ABOVE 265.5 sho ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 296.9 Percentage Change: + 2.63% Day High: 298.1 Day Low: 291

Target met. Continued trades against RR. with a mid-price ABOVE 298.1 sho ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell Close Mid-Price: 10.88 Percentage Change: -2.03% Day High: 11.12 Day Low: 10.88

Continued weakness against SCLP taking the price below 10.88 calculates a ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust. Close Mid-Price: 747 Percentage Change: + 0.51% Day High: 750.8 Day Low: 739

Continued trades against SMT with a mid-price ABOVE 750.8 should improve ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 290.5 Percentage Change: + 0.90% Day High: 291.2 Day Low: 287.8

All Tesco needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 291.2 to improve acceleration ……..

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View Previous Tesco & Big Picture ***

*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

In the department of “Did that really happen?”, Natwest share price is finally giving a very slight hint toward coming changes in its fortunes! We should, of course, slip in the word ‘potential’ before changes as this is a UK retail bank and thus, incapable of deserving any trust. But like the first Xmas tree in your road, our inclination is to take this as a sign of things to come. It’s funny to note we’ve been unable to put up our Xmas tree here in our bit of Argyll, due to incessant rotten weather. It has either been extremely windy or extremely wet or both at the same time. Regardless, the idea of working outside with 240v lighting in a tall windswept fir tree, has proven quite unattractive but perhaps this week shall allow us a couple of drier days.

This ‘real’ tree is 4 or 5 years old, has no needles and gets bolted in place. It was spray painted gloss white a few years ago, actually making quite a pretty sight once the lights are fitted in place. This year has been the first time it has been a challenge to even consider dragging it out from behind the shed.

 

If we examine the immediate chart for Natwest, the price has enacted a couple of share price movements which should suggest some optimism, perhaps even a slightly raised eyebrow. We often write about this signal, a share price exceeding the level of a trend break. This is something we generally use to justify erasing all our previous drop targets as essentially, all our work has been cancelled.   The second, more important signal, shows the share price exceeding the Blue downtrend since 2007, a rather less than exciting breakout but we cannot ignore the market opting to gap the share price upward on Friday. This tends confirm we’re not the only folk with a blue crayon and when we mix both signals together, it’s easy to make a presumption of some positive plans for the future.

If Natwest intends behave in a manner unbecoming of a British bank (ie; giving shareholders hope), we now regard above 228 as being a trigger level of some importance, on hopefully capable of propelling the share price to an initial 248 with secondary, if exceeded, calculating at a longer term 279p. We shall doubtless have plenty of time to revisit this, if it kicks off, but essentially above 228p places the share price in a Big Picture zone with a distant 316 allegedly exerting an influence.

To spoil the party and force us to stare stupidly at our upward calculations, the share price now needs close a session below 214p. Such a calamity dumps the share in a zone where reversal to an initial 192 looks possible with secondary, if broken, at 182p and the hope for another bounce while the monotonous story starts again…

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
9:13:44PM	BRENT	7586	7499	7460	7421	7592	7635	7692	7740	7509
9:15:37PM	GOLD	2004.32	1994	1981	1925	2015	2016	2024	2034	2002
9:19:02PM	FTSE	7559.4	7519	7493	7463	7541	7576	7590	7608	7548
9:22:28PM	STOX50	4527.8	4477	4451	4423	4509	4535	4579	4664	4485
9:24:40PM	GERMANY	16787	16630	16568	16490	16712	16802	16832	16866	16762
9:27:09PM	US500	4603.1	4571	4559	4542	4592	4610	4617	4633	4588
9:29:21PM	DOW	36240.9	36042	35938	35819	36168	36294	36311	36426	36197
9:31:31PM	NASDAQ	16075	15925	15874	15798	16034	16103	16161	16316	16010
9:41:37PM	JAPAN	32572	32421	32332	32229	32567	32639	32760	32955	32565

 

8/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7554 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,750,603,507 a change of -16.53%

7/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7513 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,691,416,870 a change of -34.9%

6/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7515 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,742,933,283 a change of 113.36%

5/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of -0.31%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,097,792,180 a change of -8.47%

4/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7512 points. Change of -0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,476,825,041 a change of -0.54%

1/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7529 points. Change of 1.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,501,021,882 a change of -55.19%

30/11/2023 FTSE Closed at 7453 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,044,675,963 a change of 155.31%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AAL Anglo American** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:CASP Caspian** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:MMAG Music Magpie** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

********

Updated charts published on : Anglo American, Aviva, Barrett Devs, Caspian, Carnival, Experian, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Music Magpie, Ocado Plc, Rolls Royce, Sainsbury, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, Tesco, Taylor Wimpey, Vodafone,

LSE:AAL Anglo American Close Mid-Price: 1802.6 Percentage Change: -18.97% Day High: 2148 Day Low: 1630

Target met. Continued weakness against AAL taking the price below 1630 ca ……..

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 429.1 Percentage Change: + 0.28% Day High: 430 Day Low: 425.7

Continued trades against AV. with a mid-price ABOVE 430 should improve th ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs Close Mid-Price: 536.6 Percentage Change: -1.00% Day High: 544 Day Low: 532.4

In the event of Barrett Devs enjoying further trades beyond 544, the shar ……..

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LSE:CASP Caspian Close Mid-Price: 2.65 Percentage Change: -3.64% Day High: 2.75 Day Low: 2.65

Continued weakness against CASP taking the price below 2.65 calculates as ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1286 Percentage Change: + 2.31% Day High: 1292 Day Low: 1262.5

Continued trades against CCL with a mid-price ABOVE 1292 should improve t ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3081 Percentage Change: + 1.28% Day High: 3099 Day Low: 3041

Continued trades against EXPN with a mid-price ABOVE 3099 should improve ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 6830 Percentage Change: + 3.64% Day High: 6836 Day Low: 6580

Target met. In the event of Intercontinental Hotels Group enjoying furthe ……..

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LSE:MMAG Music Magpie Close Mid-Price: 11.4 Percentage Change: -0.87% Day High: 11.75 Day Low: 10.75

Target met. Continued weakness against MMAG taking the price below 10.75 ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc. Close Mid-Price: 627.4 Percentage Change: + 2.02% Day High: 645.6 Day Low: 613.6

Target met. All Ocado Plc needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 645.6 to impro ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 289.3 Percentage Change: + 1.08% Day High: 292.4 Day Low: 286.5

Target met. All Rolls Royce needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 292.4 to imp ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury. Close Mid-Price: 294.8 Percentage Change: + 1.62% Day High: 300.7 Day Low: 294.3

Target met. Further movement against Sainsbury ABOVE 300.7 should improve ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust. Close Mid-Price: 743.2 Percentage Change: + 1.09% Day High: 748.6 Day Low: 733

All Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 7 ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco Close Mid-Price: 287.9 Percentage Change: -0.21% Day High: 290.8 Day Low: 287

Target met. Further movement against Tesco ABOVE 290.8 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 137.5 Percentage Change: + 0.29% Day High: 138.5 Day Low: 135.3

Target met. In the event of Taylor Wimpey enjoying further trades beyond ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 69.25 Percentage Change: -0.79% Day High: 70.08 Day Low: 68.75

Target met. If Vodafone experiences continued weakness below 68.75, it wi ……..

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View Previous Vodafone & Big Picture ***

*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Vibrant, exciting, positive, are all words which cannot be used to describe the #FTSE. The markets behaviour for the start of December has been pretty awful but at least allows us to identify a couple of trigger levels, one for the near term and another important one for the longer term Big Picture.

There’s almost a pretty good argument favouring a future 8695 as exerting an attraction for the future. All the UK index needs do is exceed 7760 points to trigger some real fireworks. One thing which is quite fascinating about this trigger level is it was obviously generated by software but, when we look at the chart, market movements during May, July, and September managed to form a glass ceiling around the 7760 level. The puzzle for us comes from the fact our trigger level was generated due to market movements in 2020 and the work required by the FTSE to move away from the 4900 point bottom. What we can suggest now, the downtrend for 2023 appears pretty firmly formed and a nudge above 7760 shall certainly signify a breakout, breaking above the downtrend AND breaking above the illusory glass ceiling at 7760.

The reason we’re making so much noise about 7760 is the market actually doesn’t need try hard to achieve such an ambition. Allegedly, the first important box for movement to 7760 shall be ticked, if the FTSE manages to CLOSE a session above just 7532 points. At time of writing, it closed Thursday at 7513 points, so very little effort is required.

From a closer perspective, above 7542 points calculates with the potential of a lift to a fairly innocuous 7567 points with our secondary, if bettered, calculating at a confident looking 7625 points and a challenge against the Blue downtrend since February this year. If triggered, the market needs below 7512 to cancel, a fairly attractive stop loss position. But as always, if the movement happens in the opening second of the day, it will be perhaps best to ignore it and go pour a fresh coffee.

Unfortunately, market behaviour this week makes us suspect Friday shall experience some reversals, the index only needing below 7500 points to ring a small alarm bell, calculating with the chance of reversal to an initial 7482 along with a possible short lived bounce. Our secondary, if 7482 breaks, works out at 7451 points

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:36:24PM	BRENT	7437	7359	7343		7477	7902	7953		7710
9:38:11PM	GOLD	2028.34	2010	1980		2032	2040	2046		2024
9:46:03PM	FTSE	7511	7477	7454	7424	7499	7523	7531	7549	7504
9:48:33PM	STOX50	4473.8	4457	4445		4475	4486	4492		4466
9:51:54PM	GERMANY	16629.3	16592	16535		16645	16670	16677		16614
9:54:39PM	US500	4578.8	4543	4530		4553	4586	4594		4567	‘cess
9:56:48PM	DOW	36098	35973	35897		36055	36167	36225		36099
9:59:18PM	NASDAQ	15993	15774	15710		15839	16047	16128		15987	Success
10:04:42PM	JAPAN	32404	32171	32076		32421	32954	33228		32694	Success

 

7/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7513 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,691,416,870 a change of -34.9%

6/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7515 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,742,933,283 a change of 113.36%

5/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of -0.31%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,097,792,180 a change of -8.47%

4/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7512 points. Change of -0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,476,825,041 a change of -0.54%

1/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7529 points. Change of 1.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,501,021,882 a change of -55.19%

30/11/2023 FTSE Closed at 7453 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,044,675,963 a change of 155.31%

29/11/2023 FTSE Closed at 7423 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,934,274,294 a change of -13.77%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:MMAG Music Magpie** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

********

Updated charts published on : Barrett Devs, BP PLC, British Telecom, Carnival, EasyJet, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Music Magpie, National Glib, Oxford Instruments, Sainsbury, Taylor Wimpey, Vodafone,

LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs. Close Mid-Price: 542 Percentage Change: + 1.92% Day High: 540.8 Day Low: 528.6

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LSE:BP. BP PLC Close Mid-Price: 460.25 Percentage Change: -1.22% Day High: 466.05 Day Low: 459.7

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom Close Mid-Price: 134.4 Percentage Change: -1.65% Day High: 137.3 Day Low: 132.15

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1257 Percentage Change: + 1.70% Day High: 1270 Day Low: 1215

Target met. All Carnival needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1270 to improve ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet. Close Mid-Price: 483.4 Percentage Change: + 0.10% Day High: 487.8 Day Low: 469.2

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 6590 Percentage Change: + 2.33% Day High: 6586 Day Low: 6384

Target met. All Intercontinental Hotels Group needs are mid-price trades ……..

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LSE:MMAG Music Magpie Close Mid-Price: 11.5 Percentage Change: -8.00% Day High: 12.5 Day Low: 11.75

Target met. In the event Music Magpie experiences weakness below 11.75 it ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1066 Percentage Change: + 1.38% Day High: 1072.5 Day Low: 1052

Target met. Further movement against National Glib ABOVE 1072.5 should im ……..

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LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments Close Mid-Price: 2100 Percentage Change: -2.10% Day High: 2240 Day Low: 2085

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury. Close Mid-Price: 290.1 Percentage Change: + 0.03% Day High: 291.8 Day Low: 288.3

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 137.1 Percentage Change: + 1.82% Day High: 137.25 Day Low: 134.1

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 69.8 Percentage Change: -3.31% Day High: 71.73 Day Low: 69.71

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Bitcoin #Brent  It’s that time again, when numerous analysts will write sagely about Bitcoin, announcing it’s obviously going to hitherto unforeseen levels and has become the currency of choice worldwide. Or at, in a small part of El Salvador. The president of El Salvador has been enthusiastically buying Bitcoin since 2021 using public money, spending nearly £100 million on Bitcoin and now, as he starts to campaign for his next election, is able to announce his investment has finally moved into profit. When compared with the despotic regime of Nicola Sturgeon in Scotland, the blokes strategy made some sense. The best she seemed to come up with was buying a top end camper van, one which was confiscated by the police!

Excitement over Bitcoin should necessarily be tempered with a doze of reality, thanks to the price finally regaining the level at which it was at in April 2022.  Investors at that level saw the value drop by 2/3rd, eventually bottoming (hopefully) at the $15000 level. Of course, now it will be the case folk are suggesting “It needed to go down a lot, so it can go even higher!”, this statement usually proving the final kiss of death for UK AIM shares just before they get delisted.

However, we shall be generous as Bitcoin could easily have collapsed during the reversal cycle from 2020, especially as it spent an indecent amount of time trading in a zone which calculated with an eventual “ultimate bottom” down at the 1200 dollar level. The fact it choice to bounce, almost exactly half way to the ultimate drop target gives considerable hope, suggesting the market actually has some real confidence for the longer term. As for why Bitcoin and Gold are currently surging, it’s difficult to pin down any single reason as so much else feels like it’s living a life of uncertainty. Perhaps it shall be the case the hiatus with interest rates shall somehow be credited with confidence in crypto and Gold, perhaps it’s enthusiasm we shall not need sit through any more boring Grand Prix races for a while…

 

The situation for Bitcoin near term is quite positive as we can calculate movement next above 45000 dollars should provoke a lift to an initial $47422. Of greater interest is our longer term secondary, calculating at a presumably distant $61425, slightly lower than the highs of 2021 but crucially taking the value into territory where a long term calculation gives a future $77100 as exerting influence, along with a new all time high. And doubtless giving el-president in El Salvador sufficient excuse to get seriously drunk, perhaps even choosing to buy a motor home.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:07:04PM	BRENT	7419.2	7416	7346	6974	7747	7758	7898	8059	7492	‘cess
9:11:34PM	GOLD	2026.32
9:14:08PM	FTSE	7494.5									Success
9:17:45PM	STOX50	4468
9:20:57PM	GERMANY	16624									‘cess
9:24:49PM	US500	4548.5									Success
9:28:04PM	DOW	36049									Success
9:32:10PM	NASDAQ	15786.2									Success
9:36:37PM	JAPAN	33162	33143	32980	32817	33222	33335	33380	33459	33219

 

6/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7515 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,742,933,283 a change of 113.36%

5/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of -0.31%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,097,792,180 a change of -8.47%

4/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7512 points. Change of -0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,476,825,041 a change of -0.54%

1/12/2023 FTSE Closed at 7529 points. Change of 1.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,501,021,882 a change of -55.19%

30/11/2023 FTSE Closed at 7453 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,044,675,963 a change of 155.31%

29/11/2023 FTSE Closed at 7423 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,934,274,294 a change of -13.77%

28/11/2023 FTSE Closed at 7455 points. Change of -0.07%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,562,527,303 a change of 31.7%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:BME B & M** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:CASP Caspian** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:MMAG Music Magpie** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

********

Updated charts published on : Barrett Devs, B & M, British Telecom, Caspian, Carnival, EasyJet, Hikma, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Music Magpie, National Glib, Ocado Plc, Quadrise, Tesco, Taylor Wimpey,

LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs. Close Mid-Price: 531.8 Percentage Change: + 1.10% Day High: 532.6 Day Low: 522.2

All Barrett Devs needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 532.6 to improve accele ……..

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LSE:BME B & M. Close Mid-Price: 612.4 Percentage Change: + 1.59% Day High: 616.8 Day Low: 602.8

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 136.65 Percentage Change: + 4.91% Day High: 136.85 Day Low: 130.8

Target met. All British Telecom needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 136.85 t ……..

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LSE:CASP Caspian Close Mid-Price: 2.75 Percentage Change: -3.51% Day High: 2.85 Day Low: 2.75

In the event Caspian experiences weakness below 2.75 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1236 Percentage Change: + 6.00% Day High: 1241 Day Low: 1164

Target met. In the event of Carnival enjoying further trades beyond 1241, ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet. Close Mid-Price: 482.9 Percentage Change: + 3.03% Day High: 483 Day Low: 472.5

Further movement against EasyJet ABOVE 483 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma. Close Mid-Price: 1803 Percentage Change: + 0.22% Day High: 1811 Day Low: 1790.5

All Hikma needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1811 to improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 6440 Percentage Change: + 1.45% Day High: 6460 Day Low: 6364

Target met. Further movement against Intercontinental Hotels Group ABOVE ……..

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LSE:MMAG Music Magpie Close Mid-Price: 12.5 Percentage Change: -3.85% Day High: 13 Day Low: 12.5

Weakness on Music Magpie below 12.5 will invariably lead to 12p next with ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1051.5 Percentage Change: + 1.59% Day High: 1053.5 Day Low: 1036.5

All National Glib needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1053.5 to improve acce ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc. Close Mid-Price: 612.2 Percentage Change: + 2.37% Day High: 635 Day Low: 596.4

Continued trades against OCDO with a mid-price ABOVE 635 should improve t ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise. Close Mid-Price: 2.9 Percentage Change: + 19.83% Day High: 3.3 Day Low: 2.5

Further movement against Quadrise ABOVE 3.3 should improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 286.7 Percentage Change: + 0.92% Day High: 287 Day Low: 285.4

Continued trades against TSCO with a mid-price ABOVE 287 should improve t ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 134.65 Percentage Change: + 1.39% Day High: 135.35 Day Low: 132.75

Continued trades against TW. with a mid-price ABOVE 135.35 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.