Natwest Group and a surprise price movement…

#Brent #Dax

Three weeks ago, when we reviewed Natwest, we cynically proposed the market devising an excuse for panic reversal, if only due to the share price heading upward faster than expected. Of course, this unfortunately came to pass, the company announcing serious profits, bunging their CEO a £5 billion bonus for the first time since 2008, and the share price was dropped by 9%…

The reason for reversals came from the small print in their earnings report, an expectation 2023 shall probably be less profitable but shareholders, in the meantime, should anticipate a dividend of 10p per share. With the panic reversal we’d suspected, the share price, despite breaking below Blue during the session, closed the day just above the 280p level. So perhaps all is not lost, the market not making the final commitment to stabbing traders in the back. The Blue downtrend on the chart and insets dates back to the start of 2018 and it appears to be taken seriously.

It’s going to be interesting watching what happens next. The market manipulated NWG’s share price downward at the open, going from last Thursdays closing price of 306p down to a Friday open of 282p, a market service which avoided anyone the distress of actually trading. We wish this drop hadn’t broken the 280p level as the gapped visit to 276p fouled up some of our calculations and optimism. Instead, it has introduced a potential of weakness below 276p promoting reversal to 270p next with our secondary, if broken, at 260p and hopefully a rebound. And worse, if genuine negative news appears, this share price could continue to power downward toward an eventual 237p.

 

Conversely, to return to illusory safety, the share price needs trade above 300p or, at least close a session above 294p currently as this works out with the potential of a lift to an initial 322p next with our longer term secondary, if exceeded, working out at 396p. Our suspicion, visually, shall be for the markets to invent a reason to gap Natwest back above the immediate Red uptrend. Should this prove to be the case within the next couple of weeks, it sends quite a strong “just go long and wait” signal to traders.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
2:13:10PM US500 4078 4056
6:55:36PM DOW 33800 33550
6:56:58PM NASDAQ 12355 12300
7:52:24PM JAPAN 27516 27519
7:54:38PM BRENT 82.87 82.02 81.52 79.57 82.72 83.75 83.98 84.78 82.59
7:56:21PM GOLD 1842 1831
7:58:38PM FTSE 8021.37 8003
8:00:48PM STOX50 4289.8 4268
8:02:38PM GERMANY 15524.27 15335 15295 15182 15448 15530 15627 15739 15440

 

17/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8004 points. Change of -0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,672,519,841 a change of 57.8%
16/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8012 points. Change of 0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,862,026,417 a change of -10.79%
15/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7997 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,450,342,646 a change of -0.23%
14/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7953 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,463,158,317 a change of 17.15%
13/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7947 points. Change of 0.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,663,265,889 a change of -40.31%
11/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,812,457,009 a change of 15.14%
10/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of -0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,785,335,053 a change of -4.85%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:CBX Cellular Goods** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:GENL Genel** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **

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Updated charts published on : Asos, Cellular Goods, Centrica, Genel, Hikma, HSBC, National Glib, Natwest, OPG Power Ventures,

LSE:ASC Asos. Close Mid-Price: 834 Percentage Change: + 1.09% Day High: 848 Day Low: 801.5

In the event Asos experiences weakness below 801.5 it calculates with a d ……..

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LSE:CBX Cellular Goods. Close Mid-Price: 0.65 Percentage Change: + 8.33% Day High: 0.65 Day Low: 0.6

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 105.05 Percentage Change: + 0.82% Day High: 106.15 Day Low: 102.95

Continued trades against CNA with a mid-price ABOVE 106.15 should improve ……..

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LSE:GENL Genel Close Mid-Price: 123.2 Percentage Change: -1.12% Day High: 125.6 Day Low: 122.6

If Genel experiences continued weakness below 122.6, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma Close Mid-Price: 1770.5 Percentage Change: -0.25% Day High: 1787 Day Low: 1763

In the event of Hikma enjoying further trades beyond 1787, the share shou ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 621.1 Percentage Change: + 0.44% Day High: 623.7 Day Low: 614

All HSBC needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 623.7 to improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1070 Percentage Change: + 2.05% Day High: 1075.5 Day Low: 1046

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LSE:NWG Natwest Close Mid-Price: 284.6 Percentage Change: -6.87% Day High: 288.5 Day Low: 276.5

Continued weakness against NWG taking the price below 276.5 calculates as ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures. Close Mid-Price: 8.55 Percentage Change: + 3.01% Day High: 8.9 Day Low: 8.3

Continued trades against OPG with a mid-price ABOVE 8.9 should improve th ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

FTSE for FRIDAY and more AIM Thoughts (FTSE:UKX & FTSE:AXX), another sunny day?

#FTSE #GOLD

We looked at the AIM a few weeks ago, confidently giving a trigger level above which “things” should start happening.  Unfortunately, the junior UK market is behaving with the resilience of a bird dropping on a car windscreen, refusing to move significantly.

Since the AIM hit its trigger level,  it moved upward by around 20 points before slight retreats, not exactly the song and dance we’d been hoping for. Presently trading around 870 points, above just 876 should now promote the concept of movement to an initial 899 with secondary, if bettered, at 943 points. Achieving such a level should hopefully provoke longer term movement of strength and emulate the FTSE, a market which has grown by 1,000 points since Liz Truss decided the UK would be better off without her interference.

 

FTSE for FRIDAY It’s going to be interesting if the FTSE experiences yet another day of gains on Friday, a relatively unusual 5 straight Blue days for the market. Unusual, except for the first week of this year, where 5 sessions saw growth of 400 points. This week has witnessed 300 points of movement and while the jumps are not proving spectacular, they’ve been steady.

Near term, above 8027 points hints at the potential of a lift to an initial 8052 points. Our secondary, if it’s party time, works out at 8075 points. If triggered, the tightest stop loss looks like a reasonable 7998 points and overall, we still suspect our longer term ambition around 8234 shall prove capable of hesitation.

Our converse scenario allows weakness below 7998 to promote reversal to a useless 7988 points. If broken, our secondary works out at 7965 points.

Have a good weekend.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:24:16PM BRENT 84.49 84.33 83.81 85.04 85.97 86.53 84.97 ‘cess
10:26:19PM GOLD 1836.45 1827 1821 1840 1845 1852 1835 ‘cess
10:29:19PM FTSE 8006 7980 7966 8018 8036 8058 8009 ‘cess
10:32:02PM STOX50 4286.2 4259 4241 4306 4314 4328 4292
10:35:04PM GERMANY 15508 15409 15352 15517 15634 15654 15540
10:38:22PM US500 4087.12 4085 4068 4111 4148 4163 4118 Shambles
10:41:47PM DOW 33687 33657 33636 33863 34179 34239 34010
10:45:54PM NASDAQ 12422.99 12414 12344 12512 12518 12528 12438 ‘cess
10:50:34PM JAPAN 27511 27487 27436 27563 27680 27713 27579 ‘cess

 

16/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 8012 points. Change of 0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,862,026,417 a change of -10.79%
15/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7997 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,450,342,646 a change of -0.23%
14/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7953 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,463,158,317 a change of 17.15%
13/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7947 points. Change of 0.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,663,265,889 a change of -40.31%
11/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,812,457,009 a change of 15.14%
10/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of -0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,785,335,053 a change of -4.85%
9/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7911 points. Change of 0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,130,980,933 a change of 23.74%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:GENL Genel** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:ITRK Intertek** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

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Updated charts published on : Astrazeneca, British Telecom, Centrica, Genel, HSBC, Intertek, OPG Power Ventures, Rolls Royce,

LSE:AZN Astrazeneca Close Mid-Price: 11362 Percentage Change: -1.78% Day High: 11626 Day Low: 11298

Continued trades against AZN with a mid-price ABOVE 11626 should improve ……..

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 142.25 Percentage Change: + 2.86% Day High: 143.4 Day Low: 139.15

Target met. Further movement against British Telecom ABOVE 143.4 should i ……..

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 104.2 Percentage Change: + 5.72% Day High: 105 Day Low: 102

All Centrica needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 105 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:GENL Genel Close Mid-Price: 124.6 Percentage Change: -0.48% Day High: 126.6 Day Low: 123.6

This is on the edge of drama as below 123 now indicates the potential of w ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 618.4 Percentage Change: + 1.00% Day High: 620.9 Day Low: 612.8

Continued trades against HSBA with a mid-price ABOVE 621 should improve th ……..

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LSE:ITRK Intertek Close Mid-Price: 4497 Percentage Change: -0.20% Day High: 4549 Day Low: 4467

It still looks like movement next above 4549 should attempt an initial 465 ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures. Close Mid-Price: 8.3 Percentage Change: + 11.41% Day High: 8.4 Day Low: 7.45

Target Met. Now above 8.4 calculates with the potential of a lift to 9.1 n ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 113.8 Percentage Change: + 1.61% Day High: 114.8 Day Low: 112.56

Continued trades against RR. with a mid-price ABOVE 115 should improve the ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Fevertree Drinks Plc (LSE:FEVR), facing a Scottish ban?

#Gold #Stoxx50

The thankful demise of fragrant Nicola Sturgeon brought Fevertree to mind, a company certain to be affected by the poorly thought out bottle deposit scheme in Scotland. On paper, idea appears straightforward, ensuring virtually all drinks sold in Scotland experience a price increase of up to 27p, regardless of whether it’s a can of coke or a bottle of plonk. Essentially, if a drink is sold in a single use container, the purchase price shall include a 20p deposit, along with a fee to the state administrator who’s running the scheme. And of course, as this all happens to the retail price, the VAT folk will desire their pound of flesh.

It all sounds great, until a company like Fevertree come along.

They make their little glass bottles of mixers in England and unless they comply with Scottish legislation, their products risk being banned north of the border. Most folk in retail suspect it shall prove impossible to enforce the new rules on imported products, ensuring Scottish producers face a price disadvantage on supermarket shelves. Our home-grown Barrs Irn Bru could suddenly become quite overpriced, when compared to the cost of an inferior bottle of Fanta or Coke!

Now Nicola Sturgeon is about to exit the trough, hopefully this poorly thought out idea vanishes with her while the public reflect on a complete lack of achievement during her time as boss of Scotland. Maybe the current police investigation into missing funds shall become her legacy, unless whoever replaces her organises a proper investigation into the spectacularly failed attempt to frame Alex Salmond.

 

Visually, Fevertree share price is in a problematic situation. In July last year the market opted to gap the share price down below the uptrend since 2015. This is generally regarded as a bad thing but we cannot help wonder if the market suddenly appreciated the dangers of the forced downward nudge. Essentially, despite going over a trip wire, the share price has actually not fallen appreciably. Instead, it continues to tease, carefully mirroring the historic Red uptrend. It’s reversal potentials now exhibit a slight change as below 1019p currently looks capable of reversal to an initial 870p along with a chance of a bounce. However, should 870 break, our secondary (and hopeful bottom) now calculates at 446p.

Overall, the share is trading in a zone, where an ultimate bottom, the point below which we cannot calculate, works out at 77p.

Our converse scenario, in case the market wakes up one morning and decides it has all been a dreadful mistake, suggests above 1160p should make an attempt for an initial 1371p with secondary, if bettered, at 1584p and a need to revisit future calculations.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:31:08PM BRENT 85.05 ‘cess
10:34:03PM GOLD 1838.04 1831 1828 1814 1840 1848 1853 1861 1833 Success
10:36:01PM FTSE 8022.57 ‘cess
10:39:18PM STOX50 4304.6 4256 4238 4216 4280 4305 4320 4369 4277 ‘cess
10:41:28PM GERMANY 15570.81 ‘cess
10:47:34PM US500 4151.44 Shambles
10:49:54PM DOW 34100
10:56:18PM NASDAQ 12698
10:58:48PM JAPAN 27633

 

15/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7997 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,450,342,646 a change of -0.23%
14/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7953 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,463,158,317 a change of 17.15%
13/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7947 points. Change of 0.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,663,265,889 a change of -40.31%
11/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,812,457,009 a change of 15.14%
10/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of -0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,785,335,053 a change of -4.85%
9/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7911 points. Change of 0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,130,980,933 a change of 23.74%
8/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7885 points. Change of 0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,763,001,863 a change of -1.93%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:EME Empyrean** **LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Asos, Barclays, Empyrean, MAN, Fresnillo, Hargreaves Lansdown, OPG Power Ventures, The Trainline,

LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 197.65 Percentage Change: -0.18% Day High: 207.3 Day Low: 192.75

In the event of Aston Martin enjoying further trades beyond 207.3, the sh ……..

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LSE:ASC Asos. Close Mid-Price: 830.5 Percentage Change: + 1.53% Day High: 832.5 Day Low: 806.5

Continued weakness against ASC taking the price below 806.5 calculates as ……..

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LSE:BARC Barclays Close Mid-Price: 172.6 Percentage Change: -7.86% Day High: 176.98 Day Low: 167.58

Target met. In the event Barclays experiences weakness below 167.58 it ca ……..

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LSE:EME Empyrean Close Mid-Price: 1.3 Percentage Change: -7.14% Day High: 1.3 Day Low: 1.26

This remains a complex waste of time, now needing above 1.5 to suggest mov ……..

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LSE:EMG MAN. Close Mid-Price: 256.4 Percentage Change: + 0.35% Day High: 263.1 Day Low: 254.5

All MAN needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 263.1 to improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 789 Percentage Change: -0.58% Day High: 793.8 Day Low: 774.6

Target met. In the event Fresnillo experiences weakness below 774.6 it ca ……..

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LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown Close Mid-Price: 883.6 Percentage Change: -6.77% Day High: 1023.5 Day Low: 855

Continued trades against HL. with a mid-price ABOVE 1023.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures. Close Mid-Price: 7.45 Percentage Change: + 9.56% Day High: 7.45 Day Low: 6.75

In the event of OPG Power Ventures enjoying further trades beyond 7.45, t ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 255 Percentage Change: -2.45% Day High: 259.4 Day Low: 253.8

Continued weakness against TRN taking the price below 253.8 calculates as ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Brave Bison Group Plc (LSE:BBSN), about to run faster?

#FTSE #WallSt

We reviewed this lot last year and it has taken them an age for reasonable price movements to kick into life. We’re pleased to note, despite them remaining as a marketing agency, some editing on their website & Wikipedia appears to have reduced the buzz-word hype dependency, instead giving some straightforward information as to their activities. We also notice, amongst their self description, is something called “influencer marketing”.

Finding the entire “influencer” concept abhorrent, for a change decided to ponder the notion for a while, eventually coming to appreciate they are probably not the group of self important leaches from their impressions on Reddit & Twitter. Instead, it’s likely “influencers” have discovered a gap in the market, due to the failure of conventional advertising across most mediums. Newspaper sales have gone through the floor, many folk have become experts at ‘fast forward’ to skip TV adverts, a chum proving capable of pressing play for her Coronation St fix only once it has been on for 20 minutes. With this method, she generally finishes watching an hours worth of TV in just 40 minutes!

Companies feeling the need for self promotion will clearly be looking around for folk willing to stand on street corners while wearing a sandwich board, perhaps the original “influencers”. But their efforts tend be diluted by the antics of some trying to get free food, drinks, accommodation, etc, with a clumsy promise of being mentioned on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook, or wherever. Perhaps the future holds a promise of Tesla’s with full size LCD body panels, capable of turning the exterior into a moving advertisement for toothpaste or panty liners. This would certainly be a twist on the concept of subscribing to avoid adverts, maybe advert free electric vehicles being sold at a premium.

 

As for advertising agency Brave Bison, their share price has finally started to show some signs of coming alive.

Now above 3.1p should prove capable of a near term attempt now at 3.4p next with our longer term secondary, if bettered, calculating at 4.3p. The share price certainly opens up the potential of significant future objectives, in the event it ever manages to close a session above 4.3p. Something like this should effectively move it beyond the clutches of misplaced internet chatroom optimism, instead into a region with quite strong future potentials.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:24:23PM BRENT 85.36
10:26:57PM GOLD 1856.19 Shambles
10:29:20PM FTSE 7993 7944 7923 7896 7970 8004 8022 8046 7982 ‘cess
10:31:29PM STOX50 4266.5 ‘cess
10:36:00PM GERMANY 15446.34 ‘cess
10:43:15PM US500 4131.47 ‘cess
10:45:26PM DOW 34053 33820 33725 33462 34090 34514 34609 34872 34139 ‘cess
10:47:33PM NASDAQ 12577 ‘cess
10:49:32PM JAPAN 27747

 

14/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7953 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,463,158,317 a change of 17.15%
13/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7947 points. Change of 0.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,663,265,889 a change of -40.31%
11/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,812,457,009 a change of 15.14%
10/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of -0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,785,335,053 a change of -4.85%
9/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7911 points. Change of 0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,130,980,933 a change of 23.74%
8/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7885 points. Change of 0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,763,001,863 a change of -1.93%
7/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7864 points. Change of 0.36%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,876,288,872 a change of 0.42%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:CBX Cellular Goods** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Asos, Astrazeneca, British Telecom, Cellular Goods, Hikma, Hargreaves Lansdown, National Glib, OPG Power Ventures, Parkmead,

LSE:AML Aston Martin. Close Mid-Price: 198 Percentage Change: + 5.49% Day High: 200.9 Day Low: 188.15

Target met. Further movement against Aston Martin ABOVE 200.9 should impr ……..

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LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 818 Percentage Change: -0.85% Day High: 850 Day Low: 811.5

Weakness on Asos below 811.5 will invariably lead to 782 with secondary ( ……..

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LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 11518 Percentage Change: + 0.84% Day High: 11598 Day Low: 11476

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 138.3 Percentage Change: + 3.13% Day High: 140.3 Day Low: 135

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LSE:CBX Cellular Goods. Close Mid-Price: 0.62 Percentage Change: + 13.64% Day High: 0.62 Day Low: 0.55

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LSE:HIK Hikma. Close Mid-Price: 1751.5 Percentage Change: + 0.75% Day High: 1777 Day Low: 1738.5

Continued trades against HIK with a mid-price ABOVE 1777 should improve t ……..

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LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown. Close Mid-Price: 947.8 Percentage Change: + 1.28% Day High: 963.8 Day Low: 935.6

Target met. In the event of Hargreaves Lansdown enjoying further trades b ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1054.5 Percentage Change: + 0.05% Day High: 1070.5 Day Low: 1055

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures. Close Mid-Price: 6.8 Percentage Change: + 6.25% Day High: 6.85 Day Low: 6.4

Further movement against OPG Power Ventures ABOVE 6.85 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead Close Mid-Price: 44.75 Percentage Change: -1.21% Day High: 44.5 Day Low: 42.5

Weakness on Parkmead below 42.5 will invariably lead to 41 next with seco ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Easyjet Plc (LSE:EZJ), not taking flight?

#Gold #SP500

It seemed a good idea to review the Travel Sector in conjunction with Easyjet, in the hope we’d finally spot some commonality of purpose. Inspiration wasn’t difficult to discover, thanks to the number of aliens appearing here in Argyll. It used to be the case “the roads were ours” until around the end of April but this year, things are very different. An easy example occurs daily, going for a dog walk in the local tree museum, a forest stocked with tree examples from around the globe.

There are multiple paths winding through the trees, the varied routes colour coded to denote difficulty. This month has seen locals emulate the deer, heading higher up the mountain to avoid the many visiting families with young children who’re tending to pollute the lower, easy paths. Few events are more irritating than an over-protective mother, anxious to keep her coddled children away from all the savage wild pet dogs, generally better behaved than these feral children. And the pollution from children is quite real, the lower paths already punctuated with lost gloves, lost hats, lost scarfs, even a lost pink romper suit. As for the parking area, the end of day witnesses a comedy of forgotten children’s single shoes and wellington boots, detritus of a successful day in the country…

The point behind this little rant is a little obscure as we think there’s a disconnect between the Travel and Leisure index and the airline industry. The travel sector is doing okay, whereas many components relating to flying appear to be enjoying a struggle. If what’s happening here in Argyll is typical, domestic tourism appears more popular than international tourism and we should be dreading the summer months of May & June, when the West Coast of Scotland is usually sunniest, warmest, and driest.

 

For the Travel Sector, presently trading around 7150 points, it looks like it needs exceed 7790 to trigger recovery to 8857 points with secondary, if bettered, at 10754 and a challenge of the pre-Covid level of the market. We’re fairly optimistic this should be the case and in a normal environment, would suspect this should bode well for Easyjet.

However, for Easyjet, we’re not quite as hopeful as there are major differences between the visuals on the charts.

Easyjet, for instance, managed to trade lower than the pandemic low, a feature which will suggest difficulty in recovering in the absence of a material change. The little poisonous Red Circles on the Easyjet chart catalogue numerous manipulation efforts since 2020, days when the market opted to Gap Down the share price at the open of trading. As can be seen, Gaps Up became a rarer event though, this year, there actually has been one fairly significant manipulation gap toward the end of January.

From a fairly near term perspective, EZJ need only exceed 490p as this should allegedly trigger slight recovery to an initial 578p. Our longer term secondary, should such a level be exceeded, works out at 804p. The major problem with each of these target levels, aside from not impressing us, is they fail to do anything other than exceed the immediate Blue downtrend since 2020. At present, nothing credible presents itself with the potential of share price movement of substance, challenging the historical pre-Covid high of almost 1600p.

Instead, despite a FTSE 100 painting higher all time highs, Easyjet currently looks struggling to become airborne. We’d guess the invading tourists here in Argyll are driving north, rather than avail themselves of the budget airline.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:15:46PM BRENT 85.6 Shambles
9:17:28PM GOLD 1854.46 1850 1843 1832 1859 1867 1874 1882 1853
9:20:08PM FTSE 7966 Success
9:27:03PM STOX50 4258.8 Success
9:29:59PM GERMANY 15436
9:41:45PM US500 4141 4068 4032 3977 4106 4142 4149 4181 4111 Success
9:44:25PM DOW 34254 Success
10:02:18PM NASDAQ 12508 ‘cess
10:05:03PM JAPAN 27706

 

13/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7947 points. Change of 0.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,663,265,889 a change of -40.31%
11/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,812,457,009 a change of 15.14%
10/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of -0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,785,335,053 a change of -4.85%
9/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7911 points. Change of 0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,130,980,933 a change of 23.74%
8/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7885 points. Change of 0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,763,001,863 a change of -1.93%
7/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7864 points. Change of 0.36%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,876,288,872 a change of 0.42%
6/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7836 points. Change of -0.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,851,906,357 a change of 5.01%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **

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Updated charts published on : Astrazeneca, Fresnillo, National Glib, OPG Power Ventures, Parkmead,

LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 11422 Percentage Change: + 0.28% Day High: 11466 Day Low: 11296

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 794.4 Percentage Change: + 0.48% Day High: 796.8 Day Low: 785.2

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1054 Percentage Change: + 1.88% Day High: 1058 Day Low: 1037.5

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures Close Mid-Price: 6.4 Percentage Change: -3.03% Day High: 6.75 Day Low: 6.4

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LSE:PMG Parkmead. Close Mid-Price: 45.3 Percentage Change: + 0.67% Day High: 44.5 Day Low: 43.4

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Lloyds Bank (LSE:LLOY) & The Banking Sector looking good? 

#Brent #Dax

When we reviewed the banking sector in January last year, we were surprisingly optimistic, daring to suggest closure above 3673 points shall open the doors for longer term oomph. To our surprise, the fairy tale actually came true and the sector overall now appears poised for gains of 20% and beyond. Historically, we distrust the UK banks, price movements tending be slow and untrustworthy. Maybe times are changing.

Trading around 3846 at time of writing, the index needs close a session below 3370 points (Green Line on chart) to utterly foul up our arguments promoting optimism for the future!

It’s now the case where movement above 3930 points calculates with the potential of a continued lift to 4428 points with our longer term secondary, if bettered, working out at 5311 points, matching the highs of 2013 and a visual implication of the sector finally getting itself in place to finally recover from the famed Banking Crisis of 2008/9. We remain a little sceptical, thanks to 15 years of false dawns across the prices of retail bank shares and, to be honest, we’d never expected to find ourselves with sufficient justification to write the previous sentence.

Lloyds Bank If we accept the foregoing as gospel, it appears to be the case Lloyds intends head upward but so far, it’s painfully slow. Perhaps it shall be the case any wider market optimism, due to the current US series of earnings reports, shall polish Lloyds speed of movement. It’s certainly frustrating with Lloyds share price experiencing just 4.3p of movements during the most recent month. We’ve been awaiting an attempt at the 56p level but despite all boxes being ticked, the highest Lloyds has achieved (so far) has been just 54.33p.

It is now the case above 53.33p calculates with the potential of gains to 56.5p next with our secondary, if such a level is exceeded, now calculating at 62.8p. We still suspect some hesitation at such a secondary level, especially as it matches the share price high pre-pandemic!

But importantly, it’s now the case share price closure above 56.5p should allow us to mention a future 72p with secondary, now a longer term 110p.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:10:56PM BRENT 85.56 83.85 83.04 82.13 85.25 85.83 86.34 88.75 84.64 Success
10:14:30PM GOLD 1864.46
10:17:02PM FTSE 7898 Success
10:19:16PM STOX50 4208.5
10:26:43PM GERMANY 15333.25 15241 15225 15080 15336 15446 15458 15530 15354 Success
10:28:38PM US500 4085.52
10:31:14PM DOW 33839
10:33:00PM NASDAQ 12284
10:35:22PM JAPAN 27592 ‘cess

 

11/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,812,457,009 a change of 15.14%
10/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7882 points. Change of -0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,785,335,053 a change of -4.85%
9/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7911 points. Change of 0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,130,980,933 a change of 23.74%
8/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7885 points. Change of 0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,763,001,863 a change of -1.93%
7/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7864 points. Change of 0.36%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,876,288,872 a change of 0.42%
6/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7836 points. Change of -0.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,851,906,357 a change of 5.01%
3/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7901 points. Change of 1.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,572,467,076 a change of -26.46%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **

********

Updated charts published on : Asos, Astrazeneca, BP PLC, Oxford Instruments, The Trainline,

LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 824 Percentage Change: -8.95% Day High: 901 Day Low: 814.5

If Asos experiences continued weakness below 814.5, it will invariably le ……..

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LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 11390 Percentage Change: + 1.79% Day High: 11390 Day Low: 11130

In the event of Astrazeneca enjoying further trades beyond 11390, the sha ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 560 Percentage Change: + 2.62% Day High: 570.5 Day Low: 541.6

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LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments. Close Mid-Price: 2485 Percentage Change: + 3.97% Day High: 2615 Day Low: 2455

Continued trades against OXIG with a mid-price ABOVE 2615 should improve ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 262.3 Percentage Change: -2.64% Day High: 270.9 Day Low: 259.7

Weakness on The Trainline below 259.7 will invariably lead to 243 with se ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Highest ever FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX)

#FTSE #Gold

As 2022 slid downhill toward 2023, we expressed frustration at many “respected market experts” predicting recession and dire times ahead in 2023. We could see quite the opposite. Even the current UK PM joined in the chorus of doom. Unsurprisingly, the FTSE just closed at Its Highest Level Ever, perhaps letting folk know just how competent “the experts” are.

We’d voiced considerable scepticism, due to many little signals in the market making us believe “the experts” were talking absolute rubbish, each joining in a gossip game which could possibly be traced back to a single source. Considerable back-pedalling has been taking place during the last week, both the US and UK treasuries now trying hard to correct their previous statements, without any apology. This nonsense actually matters as clickbait thinking amongst “the market experts” work on the mindset of many private investors, often causing folk to sell early when they should really hold. Equally, they create a mood where private investors will often be quite literally afraid of making a buy decision.

And, to reiterate, the FTSE just closed a session at its Highest Level Ever with 7911 points, obviously considerably disappointing the Bank of England. Quite why we’re supposed to trust an institution whose idea of tackling inflation was to use interest rates to push up prices, defeats us.

 

As for Friday, we’re curious whether the FTSE shall do similar to shares, when they paint a new high. Invariably, the next day produces some reversals, generally fairly short lived as the following week will often show improved confidence.

To take a positive stance first, above 7940 should next make an attempt at 7961 points with secondary, if beaten, at 7990 points. If triggered, the tightest stop looks like just 7910 points.

Our converse scenario is a little less confident, due to something freakish which often happens in a climbing market. Should a value start to recede, our initial target level will usually be hit, often broken, but our secondary is rarely hit. Over the years, we’ve attempted to quantify this behaviour but, similar to Twitter execs currently before the US congress, there appears to be no rhyme or reason to what is happening. Only when our secondary targets start being regularly broken does it become clear the market has possibly changed direction.

Currently, below 7910 calculates with the potential of a visit to an initial 7880 points. If broken, our secondary works out at 7846 points.

The next few sessions should prove interesting. Have a good weekend.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:55:05PM BRENT 84.06 83.4 82.68 84.48 84.7 85.235 83.8 ‘cess
9:57:21PM GOLD 1860.92 1859 1848 1873 1877 1884 1865 ‘cess
9:59:35PM FTSE 7906.33 7892 7884 7918 7930 7940 7910 Shambles
10:01:58PM STOX50 4233.1 4218 4194 4250 4255 4261 4235 Success
10:04:20PM GERMANY 15455 15403 15377 15503 15553 15603 15473 Success
10:09:04PM US500 4088.17 4068 4043 4093 4132 4140 4104 Success
10:11:28PM DOW 33722.3 33589 33318 33776 33933 34062 33812
10:19:31PM NASDAQ 12408 12364 12319 12444 12577 12622 12455 Success
10:21:49PM JAPAN 27549 27504 27436 27570 27641 27679 27564

 

9/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7911 points. Change of 0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,130,980,933 a change of 23.74%
8/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7885 points. Change of 0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,763,001,863 a change of -1.93%
7/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7864 points. Change of 0.36%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,876,288,872 a change of 0.42%
6/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7836 points. Change of -0.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,851,906,357 a change of 5.01%
3/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7901 points. Change of 1.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,572,467,076 a change of -26.46%
2/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7820 points. Change of 0.76%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,577,557,777 a change of 8.79%
1/02/2023 FTSE Closed at 7761 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,964,989,564 a change of 4.57%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:ITV ITV** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Astrazeneca, Barclays, BP PLC, HSBC, ITV, Lloyds Grp., Standard Chartered,

LSE:AML Aston Martin. Close Mid-Price: 182.5 Percentage Change: + 2.96% Day High: 188.4 Day Low: 175.55

Continued trades against AML with a mid-price ABOVE 189 should improve the ……..

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LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 11190 Percentage Change: + 4.07% Day High: 11348 Day Low: 10878

Some sort of miracle has taken place. Above 11348 now should attempt an in ……..

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LSE:BARC Barclays Close Mid-Price: 189.6 Percentage Change: -0.06% Day High: 193.16 Day Low: 189.56

All Barclays needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 193.2 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 545.7 Percentage Change: + 2.34% Day High: 545.3 Day Low: 532.1

Target Met. Now above 546 allows for an initial 555p with secondary, if be ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 615.8 Percentage Change: + 0.56% Day High: 620.4 Day Low: 610

Continued trades against HSBA with a mid-price ABOVE 620.4 should improve ……..

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LSE:ITV ITV. Close Mid-Price: 90.06 Percentage Change: + 0.18% Day High: 96.56 Day Low: 88.96

Target met. In the event of ITV enjoying further trades beyond 96.56, the ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.. Close Mid-Price: 53.97 Percentage Change: + 0.60% Day High: 54.33 Day Low: 53.5

Further movement against Lloyds Grp. ABOVE 54.33 should improve accelerat ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered. Close Mid-Price: 767.6 Percentage Change: + 11.44% Day High: 772.4 Day Low: 686.4

This has gotten interesting as above 773 now suggests coming movement to a ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.