#Brent #Dax The retail banks remain the politicians of the stock market. As in, they don’t actually do anything except cost people money. And their movements stink a bit too! #Lloyds remains a case in point, our previous report suggesting the price only required a slight nod upward to start some recovery. For 3 weeks, the share has wallowed in the gutter and now is at risk of some reversals.
The situation for Lloyds remains the same, the share price only needing exceed 30.9p to tick a box suggesting coming recovery toward an initial 34 with secondary, if exceeded, at 35.75p. If triggered, the tightest stop loss level looks like 28p. In fairness, we shall be fascinated if the market discovers an excuse to “Gap” Lloyds up above 30.9p at the start of trade as it shall become likely a cycle toward 50p is likely to commence.
Of course, there’s a massive “however” thanks to Lloyds share price closing on Friday at 25.8p. By taking this stance, the market has allowed the bank to close in the land of ‘lower lows’, the share price now visiting levels not seen since 2012. In doing so, price moves have created a situation where below 25.8 calculates with the potential of weakness to an initial 24p with secondary, if broken, now at a really surprising price level.
Both our Big Picture, along with our calculations for the current year, point quite separately to 22.35p becoming a “bottom” for this retail bank! We don’t entirely understand which this is the case but when two quite different trading scenario point to the same target level, the market usually finds such a number irresistible. The big question, obviously, remains. Should Lloyds Bank hit our 22.35p target level (in fact, ideally just above this level to imply residual strength) will it bounce?
FUTURES
| Time Issued | Market | Price At Issue | Short Entry | Fast Exit | Slow Exit | Stop | Long Entry | Fast Exit | Slow Exit | Stop | Prior |
| 2:36:15PM | BRENT | 40.12 | 39.58 | 39.32 | 36.9 | 41 | 40.9 | 41.14 | 41.65 | 40 | |
| 2:39:11PM | GOLD | 1940.56 | |||||||||
| 2:43:55PM | FTSE | 6032.74 | ‘cess | ||||||||
| 3:02:34PM | FRANCE | 5025 | |||||||||
| 3:06:17PM | GERMANY | 13187 | 13110 | 13071.5 | 12989 | 13204 | 13260 | 13350 | 13540 | 13110 | ‘cess |
| 3:26:07PM | US500 | 3338 | ‘cess | ||||||||
| 3:39:06PM | DOW | 27648 | |||||||||
| 3:41:12PM | NASDAQ | 11077 | ‘cess | ||||||||
| 3:49:30PM | JAPAN | 23332 | Success |
