Diversified Energy Company Plc (LSE:DEC) Trading around 1,400p at time of writing. Worth drilling?

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The largest owner of oil/gas wells in the United States reportedly has a strange business model, reducing the book cost of the liability for future plugging of expired wells. This has created a situation, where the company has made more from accounting gains than its cumulative reported profits on oil and gas extraction. It always provokes a smile, when the most profitable part of a business is the accountancy department as “paper profit” is something we’ve learned to distrust. Once long ago, as part of a family business, my own division was the parts department, exposing me to early efforts to “computerise” part of the company. Being a little pig headed, the paper system of inventory was retained for 6 months but the operation proved a resounding success. At any time, a director could walk in and ask how many of a particular widget we had in stock and the parts bin could be presented, showing the exact number displayed on the green computer screen.

A further aspect to this computer nonsense came from the fact we also collated the real cost price of products, along with the retail value of sales. To be plain, we knew (to the penny) how profitable the parts department was, revealing a surprise number from our “trade” sales to other garages throughout the UK. The official parts distributor had managed to become a major customer, due to a personal fascination with sourcing where spare parts for cars actually came from. This entailed cutting out Vauxhall, Lada, TVR (yes really), and Chrysler from our company supply chain as it was always cheaper to go directly to the manufacturer of oil filters, brake equipment, electrical bits, steering components etc. This created a situation where we generally had in-demand components in stock, our busy workshops giving an immediate clue as to what was failing across various makes of cars. As can be guessed, with TVR’s, it was always exhaust systems but this success with the Parts Department provoked serious problems with the accountancy department. In a management meeting, they decided to allocate around 50% of the costs for the entire building against my department, ensuring the profit table was topped by car sales (who allocated vehicles to the accountants), by the workshop (who serviced all the company cars) and my Parts Department who refused to provide expensive “top of the range” sound systems for any company vehicles, along with any tuning changes or special wheels and tyres.

Needless to say, a corporate war broke out, as our in-house accountants were playing with the numbers, expecting my Parts Department would roll over and accept their analysis. The company CEO was on an extended holiday and efforts by the Sales Dept, the Service Dept, to launch an embargo against the Parts Dept failed hilariously, when they discovered nothing could be ordered without the correct order codes from our software. It didn’t help that I was part of the family who owned the company, allocated no real authority except over my own department. When the CEO returned, the Service Department was folded into the Parts Department, my software eating the outdated workshops system and the entire left hand side of the company building being my sudden responsibility. The two accountants left, the workshop manager left, the unpleasant service reception manager jumped off a popular suicide bridge, Sharon in accounts (the book-keeper) turning into an unexpected ally. She was promoted to head up the accounts department and work with our external auditors. What followed was quite unpleasant, a discovery Car Sales were running at a loss, the workshops had overspent on equipment with top heavy management wages, and my little Parts Department had been carrying the entire company. This revelation, while being personally 20 years old, engendered a lifelong distrust of “accountants” who create imaginary profit in companies. Sometimes it can go badly wrong, very quickly, and I ended up managing the retail petrol stations in a mistaken effort to stop getting my hands dirty.

However, by an impressive 7p, LSE:DEC has managed to create an official “higher high”, giving optimism for the future.

Currently, above 1406p should trigger movement to an initial 1,456p with our secondary, if bettered, at 1,527p and some very probable hesitation. This is an important number, due to closure above 1,527p calculating with a Long Term visit to 1,943p and almost confident stutters, the price running into share behaviour in 2023. Visually, despite their accountancy gymnastics, it looks like Diversified should be worthy of some attention. A Higher High above a trend is not something we generally ignore.

If things intend go wrong, below 1060p should justify a raised eyebrow or ten, giving the risk of reversals to an initial 931p with our secondary, if broken, at a comfy bottom of 766p and a very, very, possible rebound. They are, after all, the company who own the most oil wells in America!

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:58:38PM BRENT 10780.4
11:06:37PM GOLD 4510.69 4307 4179 4038 4476 4825 5030 5342 4488
11:09:10PM FTSE 10074.3
11:24:09PM STOX50 5501.5
11:28:32PM GERMANY 22446.6 22325 22211 22072 22463 22623 22669 22775 22451 ‘cess
11:31:42PM US500 6344.4
11:44:10PM DOW 45246.4
11:47:16PM NASDAQ 22927.8
11:49:46PM JAPAN 51184

 

30/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10127 points. Change of 1.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,880,014,253 a change of 15.35%
27/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 9967 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,831,266,544 a change of -12.17%
26/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 9972 points. Change of -1.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,777,739,669 a change of 15.71%
25/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10106 points. Change of 1.41%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,721,737,754 a change of -9.66%
24/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 9965 points. Change of 0.72%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,440,227,588 a change of -27.54%
23/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 9894 points. Change of -0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,268,753,932 a change of -47.55%
20/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 9918 points. Change of -1.44%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 19,578,284,329 a change of 84.81%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:GENL Genel** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:ONT Oxford Nanopore Tech** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

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Updated charts published on : BP PLC, Carclo, Genel, Glencore Xstra, Greggs, Ocado Plc, Oxford Nanopore Tech, Rolls Royce,


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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 1106.5 Percentage Change: -0.18% Day High: 1120 Day Low: 1090

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

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