Argo Blockchain Plc (LSE:ARB), meteoric?

#Stoxx50 #SP500

True victory is when a grand-daughter says to her horrified mother, “Can we go outside tonight to look at the haemorrhoids? Grand-dad says he’s going to be taking photographs.” In my defence, meteor shower names are all vaguely similar, so inventing ‘The Haemorrhoid Meteor Shower’ amused. Of course, the child remembered tonight’s spectacular, asking her mum to go outside once it got dark.

The reality, with outside temperatures here in Argyll currently around -7c, is it’s too blooming cold to loiter with a camera. Despite a ski jacket, snow boots, bobble hat, and the inevitable surgical mask (hey, these things really keep your nose warm!), the idea of standing around for 30 minutes somehow fails to appeal. Currently, my phone is linked by bluetooth to a proper camera which is sitting outside and so far, I’ve seen nothing worth taking a photograph of. This is a bit similar to Argo Blockchain, a company with a chart we wish we could just skip past. Perhaps the number of email requests, asking for an update, may be an indication of something stirring. Or perhaps it’s showing a degree of panic at a share price following a similar trajectory to this evenings invisible meteors.

 

When we previously reviewed Argo Blockchain back in January of this year, we failed to be impressed and pointed out the dangers if it moved below 88p. By the end of the month, the share price had ticked all the boxes and started to tumble, eventually reaching out “ultimate bottom” of 49p during May 2022. We’d assigned this as an “ultimate bottom” simply because we couldn’t calculate lower without invoking minus signs. Following this calamity, time has not been kind to the share and it’s currently trading around 4p.

Perhaps some hope may be taken from recent Bitcoin price movements as it’s exhibiting early signs for a surprise recovery. LSE:ARB managed to mimic Bitcoin hysterics during the share price decline, so maybe there’s a chance for share price recovery, should Bitcoin decide to do something useful. Currently Bitcoin is suggesting it may abandon its attempts to visit the 13,000 dollar level as above 18,500 should provoke a lift to an initial 20,700 with secondary, if exceeded, a game changing 25,400. The secondary is a really big deal as, if attained, it confirms the immediate rot is over for Bitcoin. And a company like LSE:ARB should experience sharp share price recovery. At least, in a fair world, it would.

Another hopeful aspect of ARB comes from all the little Xmas bobbles we’ve decorated the chart with. This is a share where the market habitually forces the price down, six pretty major manipulation gaps in the last 12 months. Some attention is warranted with the inset on the chart, showing movement a couple of days ago, as the market worked hard to ensure ARB didn’t exceed the ruling Blue downtrend. It may be the case this shall prove important, if attempting to catch a surprise recovery. In the event the market allows this share price to close above Blue, we shall be inclined to assume the brakes are off, hoping a cycle to an initial 10.3p is commencing with secondary, if beaten, a longer term 17.2p.

We can count above these levels but, in this instance, will prefer to revisit the share if it actually does anything useful.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:38:21PM BRENT 82.95 ‘cess
9:40:52PM GOLD 1806.89 ‘cess
9:44:15PM FTSE 7476.08
9:46:45PM STOX50 3961.5 3941 3919 3881 3979 3986 4003 4024 3952
9:48:50PM GERMANY 14408
9:51:09PM US500 4002.6 3962 3947 3884 4010 4070 4088 4106 4007 Shambles
9:54:56PM DOW 34041
9:56:53PM NASDAQ 11771
9:59:30PM JAPAN 27963 ‘cess

 

14/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7495 points. Change of -0.09%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,273,114,917 a change of -15.16%
13/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7502 points. Change of 0.77%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,215,222,839 a change of 28.4%
12/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7445 points. Change of -0.41%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,840,427,704 a change of -2.03%
9/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7476 points. Change of 0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,940,691,101 a change of -3.99%
8/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7472 points. Change of -0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,146,170,093 a change of -10.96%
7/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,779,316,344 a change of 0.25%
6/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7521 points. Change of -0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,764,980,013 a change of 13.53%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CBX Cellular Goods** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **

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Updated charts published on : Astrazeneca, BP PLC, Cellular Goods, Centamin, EasyJet,

LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 11400 Percentage Change: + 0.65% Day High: 11414 Day Low: 11144

Further movement against Astrazeneca ABOVE 11414 should improve accelerat ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC Close Mid-Price: 469.55 Percentage Change: -0.32% Day High: 475.55 Day Low: 467.55

In the event of BP PLC enjoying further trades beyond 475.55, the share s ……..

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LSE:CBX Cellular Goods Close Mid-Price: 1.07 Percentage Change: -12.24% Day High: 1.23 Day Low: 1.05

Target met. Continued weakness against CBX taking the price below 1.05 ca ……..

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LSE:CEY Centamin Close Mid-Price: 108.45 Percentage Change: -1.72% Day High: 111.8 Day Low: 108.45

Target met. Further movement against Centamin ABOVE 111.8 should improve ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet Close Mid-Price: 363.1 Percentage Change: -1.81% Day High: 368.1 Day Low: 358

Weakness on EasyJet below 358 will invariably lead to 323 with secondary ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Deutsche Bank AG (XE:DBK), share price inflation?

#Gold #Nikkei

Housing Deutsche Bank and the European Central bank HQ’s, Frankfurt provides an absurd memory of visiting an excellent Christmas market one Sunday. It was supposed to be a quick day trip, my then girlfriend who worked in Munich assuring me it was just a few centimetres on the map, surely a quick drive. Her map was, of course, of all Europe and we lacked a GPS.

Our Saab 900 Turbo dealt with the 400km journey well, covering the couple of map centimetres in around 4 hours. It transpired the Xmas market was truly spectacular. Inevitably perhaps, we bought a cuckoo clock for ourselves and a bunch of unusual gifts for family back in Scotland. Perhaps it was the proximity of the banking centre but our experience in Frankfurt provided excellent shopping, unbelievable food, and several cases of wine, most of which was drunk by the time Xmas came around. Arriving back at The Four Seasons hotel in Munich just after midnight, we were just a few hours away from discovering another of her assumptions about the cost of hotels was expensively wrong. Quite how she’d survived the previous 8 months working in Munich, learning none of the language (due to most Germans demanding to practice their excellent English), remaining a distant stranger to exchange rates, still defeats me. Her corporate employer was picking up the tab for everything – except our stay in one of the best hotels in Germany! When she took my card down to settle the bill while I sorted out our luggage, her complexion would have challenged Dulux definition of “white” when she met up at the car. She’d finally gotten around to some basic arithmetic, realising we’d spent £180 on a single bottle of (excellent) wine with dinner on Friday night. By the time we reached our next port of call, Heidelberg, she was suggesting we spent the rest of the holiday week sleeping in the car.

Similar to Deutsche Bank share price at 120 €, that expensive week is a distant memory, but the pleasant impact of the Frankfurt’s Xmas market remains. And the cuckoo clock still works…

 

The point behind this reminiscence is shown with the Blue line on the chart below. At the start of November Deutsche Bank (DBK) share price moved through the downtrend from 2007. Generally with banking shares, we feel they need move through a magic wishing well, filled with lucky charms, blessed by the Xmas fairy, before anything useful happens. But in this instance, the movement appears to deserve an little inset on the chart as there’s little doubt the share price is reacting to the trend.

Should this prove to be the case, above just 10.50€ calculates with the potential of a lift to an initial 11.2 Euro with our secondary, if bettered, at a viable looking 12.4 Euro.

This secondary is of particular interest as share price closure above 12.4€ takes the share into a region where a longer term 21.9 Euro becomes a sane long term ambition.

We think DBK may prove worth watching as we know German prices can offer quite a surprise.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:33:12PM BRENT 80.58 Success
9:35:15PM GOLD 1810.82 1804 1795 1785 1815 1825 1829 1836 1811 ditto
9:37:52PM FTSE 7492.63 ditto
9:40:28PM STOX50 3979.4 ditto
9:42:38PM GERMANY 14465.54 ditto
10:04:19PM US500 4019 ditto
10:07:22PM DOW 34117.2 ditto
10:10:29PM NASDAQ 11833 ditto
10:12:14PM JAPAN 28043 27908 27872 27723 28038 28150 28210 28292 28020 ditto

 

13/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7502 points. Change of 0.77%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,215,222,839 a change of 28.4%
12/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7445 points. Change of -0.41%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,840,427,704 a change of -2.03%
9/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7476 points. Change of 0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,940,691,101 a change of -3.99%
8/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7472 points. Change of -0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,146,170,093 a change of -10.96%
7/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,779,316,344 a change of 0.25%
6/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7521 points. Change of -0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,764,980,013 a change of 13.53%
5/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7567 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,078,150,606 a change of 13.07%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:CBX Cellular Goods** **LSE:IGAS Igas Energy** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **

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Updated charts published on : Asos, BALFOUR BEATTY, Cellular Goods, Igas Energy, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Natwest,

LSE:ASC Asos. Close Mid-Price: 568 Percentage Change: + 4.80% Day High: 600 Day Low: 524.5

Now below 524 calculates with the potential of reversal to 444 with second ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY Close Mid-Price: 340.6 Percentage Change: -1.22% Day High: 350.4 Day Low: 340.8

Target Met. Above 351 suggests movement to 357 next with secondary, if bet ……..

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LSE:CBX Cellular Goods Close Mid-Price: 1.23 Percentage Change: -3.92% Day High: 1.27 Day Low: 1.23

If Cellular Goods experiences continued weakness below 1.23, it will inva ……..

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LSE:IGAS Igas Energy Close Mid-Price: 15.9 Percentage Change: -2.45% Day High: 16.3 Day Low: 15.7

Continued weakness against IGAS taking the price below 15.7 calculates as ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 4986 Percentage Change: + 0.50% Day High: 5030 Day Low: 4942

Continued trades against IHG with a mid-price ABOVE 5030 should improve t ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 263.5 Percentage Change: + 1.23% Day High: 266.3 Day Low: 260

Target met. Further movement against Natwest ABOVE 266.3 should improve a ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Tesco Plc and the price of plums.

#Gold #DOW  

Here in Argyll, the usual flamboyant (vulgar) unspoken competitions of Xmas lights appear to be enjoying a cease fire in 2022.  Whether this is to do with a fear of electricity prices, the ‘cost of living’ crisis, or folk simply fed up with untangling light ropes cables is unknown. Perhaps its the case it’s just too blooming cold, ice always a factor in deciding whether to climb ladders to dangle thousands of twinkling led lights.

Personally, the cold has provided sufficient excuse give this year a miss but we gather, in the wider world, there’s a certain lack garden displays and cost is bound to be an issue. It makes us wonder whether the supermarkets are liable to dodge their usual success in December, folk nationwide being very aware of the “cost of stuff”. It’s becoming difficult to maintain any justification for profiteering presently, Crude Oil’s now cheaper than it was a year ago with the price of wheat following a similar trajectory. Even timber has been showing price reversals, though still not returning to sensible levels.

 

For Tesco, their share price has enacted some really strange movements recently, starting November by regaining the historical Red uptrend. Unfortunately, it celebrated the start of December by once again breaking below Red and this is rarely an encouraging signal, quite the converse.

Price weakness now below 208p risks turning the share into a turkey as this could easily trigger reversal to an initial 191p, slightly below the more recent low. Our secondary, should such a level break, is visually absurd as it calculates at a potential bottom of 135p. We’d be quite careful with rushing into any short positions on the basis of this calculation as we suspect Tesco would really need blot their copybook to provoke such a catastrophe. However, it’d hopefully provide an ideal jumping off place for a long position, in the unlikely event such an entry level ever appeared.

Maybe the market is paying Tesco back for their awful reliance on ‘self scan’ checkouts.

Our converse scenario demands Tesco share price exceed 236p to trigger recovery to an initial 259p with secondary, if exceeded, working out at 266p. The proximity of these target levels tends imply an expectation of some hesitation, even if the company share price somehow manages to claw its way back above Red on the chart.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:08:06PM BRENT 78.27
10:48:27PM GOLD 1780.56 1777 1770 1758 1787 1795 1797 1803 1787 ‘cess
10:50:57PM FTSE 7467
10:53:15PM STOX50 3942.6
10:55:11PM GERMANY 14360.04
10:56:52PM US500 3986.72 3920 3904 3875 3950 3990 4004 4032 3956 Shambles
10:58:32PM DOW 33974.5
11:01:15PM NASDAQ 11695
11:03:20PM JAPAN 28028 ‘cess

 

12/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7445 points. Change of -0.41%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,840,427,704 a change of -2.03%
9/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7476 points. Change of 0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,940,691,101 a change of -3.99%
8/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7472 points. Change of -0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,146,170,093 a change of -10.96%
7/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,779,316,344 a change of 0.25%
6/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7521 points. Change of -0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,764,980,013 a change of 13.53%
5/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7567 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,078,150,606 a change of 13.07%
2/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7556 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,491,031,065 a change of -9.42%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:IGAS Igas Energy** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

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Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Asos, British Telecom, Carnival, Igas Energy, Rolls Royce,

LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 153.2 Percentage Change: -4.52% Day High: 158.55 Day Low: 149.8

This only needs above 165 to allegedly trigger acceleration to an initial ……..

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LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 542 Percentage Change: -7.35% Day High: 573 Day Low: 537

Target Met. Now below 537 calculates with the potential of reversal to 444 ……..

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom Close Mid-Price: 112.75 Percentage Change: -0.70% Day High: 113.55 Day Low: 110.55

Target Met. Now below 110 suggests reversal to 108 next with secondary, if ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival Close Mid-Price: 645 Percentage Change: -1.53% Day High: 652.8 Day Low: 619.2

Now below 619 suggests an excursion down to an initial 585 with secondary, ……..

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LSE:IGAS Igas Energy Close Mid-Price: 16.3 Percentage Change: -3.55% Day High: 17.35 Day Low: 15.9

If Igas Energy experiences continued weakness below 15.9, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 92.84 Percentage Change: -1.29% Day High: 94.68 Day Low: 92.35

Further movement against Rolls Royce ABOVE 94.7 should improve acceleratio ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Natwest (LSE:NWG) and a melting price.

#Brent #Dax  

We’ve become so cynical with the markets, spending the weekend with an occasional glance at the news to discover if a ‘breaking story’ has yet appeared, used as an excuse to force recovery of crude oil prices. Britain hasn’t invaded Ireland, Saudi refineries are still intact, Russia is still Russia, and Xmas is still coming. About the only “surprise” is the cold weather, along with the salient fact a Blocking High in winter brings very cold weather, along with wind power taking a little break when it’s most needed. As for Natwest, their share price remains utterly becalmed and similar to Brent Crude, it’s failing to do anything particularly interesting.

Of course, this week may prove interesting for financial shares with Bank of England widely expected to punt interest rates higher on Thursday, part of their insatiable campaign to battle price inflation by pushing prices upward… Also, everyone who had the misfortune of being deemed an essential worker during the pandemic are also expected to commence strike action, doubtless puzzled why they were sufficiently valued for people to open their doors and applaud on Thursday evenings for a few years. Maybe investors should start applauding bank shares at 8am on Monday mornings, maybe this is the trick we’ve all been missing as nothing else looks capable of making the retail bank sector provide real movement.

 

Our inclination is to allocate 266.5p as a trigger level against Natwest. Should the share price now exceed such a point, movement toward an initial 284p looks quite possible. Our longer term secondary, if such a level is bettered, now works out at 337p. For the longer term, closure above 284p is liable to be game changing, exceeding the pre-Covid high, along with a bunch of other glass ceiling highs at this level since 2019.

Conversely, if the market discovers an excuse to now trade NWG below 243p, reversal to an initial 228p now looks possible with secondary, if broken, down at a less likely (aside from the visuals) 198p.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
4:20:16PM BRENT 76.86 75.18 74.865 73.95 76.47 77.58 77.94 78.86 76.35
4:21:28PM GOLD
4:43:34PM GERMANY 14325 14265 14234 14183 14360 14387 14461 14545 14307
4:46:50PM US500
9/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7476 points. Change of 0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,940,691,101 a change of -3.99%
8/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7472 points. Change of -0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,146,170,093 a change of -10.96%
7/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,779,316,344 a change of 0.25%
6/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7521 points. Change of -0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,764,980,013 a change of 13.53%
5/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7567 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,078,150,606 a change of 13.07%
2/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7556 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,491,031,065 a change of -9.42%
1/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7558 points. Change of -0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,958,235,310 a change of -42.03%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **

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Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Asos, Astrazeneca, BP PLC, HSBC, International Distribution, Intercontinental Hotels Group,

LSE:AML Aston Martin. Close Mid-Price: 160.45 Percentage Change: + 9.90% Day High: 161.65 Day Low: 139.6

In the event of Aston Martin enjoying further trades beyond 161.65, the s ……..

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LSE:ASC Asos. Close Mid-Price: 585 Percentage Change: + 1.47% Day High: 593.5 Day Low: 571.5

Continued weakness against ASC taking the price below 571.5 calculates as ……..

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LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 11354 Percentage Change: + 0.34% Day High: 11396 Day Low: 11266

Continued trades against AZN with a mid-price ABOVE 11396 should improve ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC Close Mid-Price: 461.95 Percentage Change: -0.43% Day High: 464.05 Day Low: 455

This is doing very little but now below 455 looks capable of an initial 44 ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 496.2 Percentage Change: + 0.18% Day High: 498.35 Day Low: 493.6

Now above 511 should prove useful, giving the potential of an initial 525 ……..

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LSE:IDS International Distribution. Close Mid-Price: 212.6 Percentage Change: + 0.90% Day High: 213.2 Day Low: 209.2

Below 190 risks triggering reversal to 171 with secondary, if broken, at a ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 4986 Percentage Change: + 4.05% Day High: 4993 Day Low: 4863

Target met. Further movement against Intercontinental Hotels Group ABOVE ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Our popular FTSE for FRIDAY plus The S&P 500 plus Brent thoughts

#FTSE #Futures

Bank of America commented, in passing, they expect the US S&P 500 to drop around 20% early next year. Meanwhile, the FT suspect oil prices will rise thanks to the cap on Russian prices. We often express considerable reservations, when these sort of clickbait predictions surface, quite literally expecting the opposite to be what really happens.

 

The price of Brent Crude is now at a level not seen since December 23rd last year. Almost amusingly, Brent hit our oft mooted $77 drop target exactly, then bounced to 79.23 dollars. Unfortunately, next time it slumped it broke the 77 dollar level, making us suspect the next chance for some sort of rebound may be around 74.75 dollars. At time of writing, Brent is trading at 76.4 dollars and our software demands it exceed 79.23 before we should take any recovery seriously.

 

With regard the S&P, it’s currently showing some reasonable chart potentials. As shown clearly, the index broke below its pandemic Red uptrend but eventually exceeded the level of trend break. It’s currently carefully, very carefully, remaining above Red and giving some hope for the future. The index needs exceed 4100 points to hopefully ignite the touchpaper for some useful moves as this should prove capable of triggering an initial 4323 with secondary, if bettered, at 4530. The secondary is a really big deal, putting the index at risk of longer term traffic to 5108 points eventually.

Should a sufficiently clever reason be discovered to drive some reversals, below 3880 calculates with the potential of reversal to 3808 with secondary, if broken, down at 3760 and hopefully a bounce. Neither target level dumps the index in a zone, where a 20% reversal works out as possible.

FTSE for FRIDAY It’s been an annoying week for the FTSE with three sessions using the opening minute of trade to enact most of the days work. Few market strategies prove more irritating than the FTSE being gapped, then spiked, down at the open of business. Generally, this sort of nonsense proved a recipe for a wasted day, both Tuesday and Thursday finding themselves ensnared in such confusion.

The situation now suggests weakness below 7465 risks reversal to an initial 7419 points with secondary, if broken, at 7364. Of visual interest, our secondary target level implies the potential of another bonk against the Red uptrend since Covid-19 hit in 2020. Logically, we shall expect a bounce, should the index opt to attempt this line. If triggered, the tightest stop loss level looks like 7508 points.

 

A converse scenario asks what should be anticipated, should the FTSE 100 drag itself above this weeks downtrend at 7520 points?

Above 7520 calculates with an initial potential of 7546 with secondary, if exceeded, working out at 7605 points.

 

Have a good weekend and take care if chewing Xmas lights.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:00:04PM BRENT 76.61 75.87 74.76 79.3 80.55 80.925 77.31 ‘cess
10:06:14PM GOLD 1788.83 1781 1777 1788 1795 1803 1781 ‘cess
10:08:26PM FTSE 7474.24 7461 7442 7494 7511 7529 7471 ‘cess
10:10:03PM STOX50 3928.4 3913 3897 3933 3935 3943 3915 ‘cess
10:11:34PM GERMANY 14288 14190 14148 14258 14305 14337 14250
10:13:11PM US500 3963.37 3926 3913 3947 3973 3982 3944
10:15:11PM DOW 33772 33545 33482 33703 33893 33949 33656 ‘cess
10:17:16PM NASDAQ 11631 11462 11376 11585 11674 11715 11567 ‘cess
10:19:12PM JAPAN 27744 27401 27261 27611 27762 27873 27653

 

 

8/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7472 points. Change of -0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,146,170,093 a change of -10.96%
7/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,779,316,344 a change of 0.25%
6/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7521 points. Change of -0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,764,980,013 a change of 13.53%
5/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7567 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,078,150,606 a change of 13.07%
2/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7556 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,491,031,065 a change of -9.42%
1/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7558 points. Change of -0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,958,235,310 a change of -42.03%
30/11/2022 FTSE Closed at 7573 points. Change of 0.81%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,552,950,993 a change of 45.26%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

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Updated charts published on : Asos, Avacta, Astrazeneca, BALFOUR BEATTY, British Telecom, Capita, EasyJet, Vodafone,

LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 576.5 Percentage Change: -5.10% Day High: 610.5 Day Low: 575

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LSE:AVCT Avacta. Close Mid-Price: 107 Percentage Change: + 2.39% Day High: 107.5 Day Low: 101

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LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 11316 Percentage Change: + 0.52% Day High: 11366 Day Low: 11206

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 337 Percentage Change: + 1.63% Day High: 347.6 Day Low: 337

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom Close Mid-Price: 112.55 Percentage Change: -3.72% Day High: 116.05 Day Low: 112.3

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 22.64 Percentage Change: -1.99% Day High: 23.2 Day Low: 22.5

Continued weakness against CPI taking the price below 22 calculates as lea ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet Close Mid-Price: 375.9 Percentage Change: -0.90% Day High: 379.8 Day Low: 365

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 85.93 Percentage Change: -1.97% Day High: 87.55 Day Low: 84.96

Continued weakness against VOD taking the price below 84 calculates as lea ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Genedrive (LSE:GDR), prescribed to succeed?

#Gold #WallSt

We reviewed Genedrive exactly a year ago (link here) and it’s fascinating to see how our share price scenario unfolded. The saying; “sometimes life comes at you fast” rarely proved as apt as with their share price, the day following our logic giving 81p as a target witnessing the price exactly hit the 81p level, yet failed to exceed it. Instead, it closed the session at 70p.

Unfortunately, what happened next was to prove important.

On December 21st, their share price then, somehow, discovered a reason to close below 41p with what happened next being a tragedy. Make no mistake, from a Big Picture perspective, our calculations remain showing a ridiculous attraction from an impossible 14p. Perhaps anything below 8p shall discover a bounce point at 6p but we’re not exactly oozing confidence.

From a near term perspective, there’s a suggestion of movement above 10.6p as apparently capable of triggering slight recovery to 12p. Such a gain, obviously useless to the plethora of folk trapped since last year. But glancing at the chart, such a movement would return the share price above the Red uptrend which dates from the start of 2020. A crucial side effect of such a phenomena is normally a return of confidence from the market, creating a situation where immediate gains can outperform logic.

In the scenario of the share price closing a session at or above 12p, we anticipate future recovery to an initial 17.7 with secondary, if bettered, at 22p. Hopefully this proves worth watching as the company appear to be providing an attractive range of medical aids.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:38:35PM BRENT 77.65 Success
9:40:41PM GOLD 1787.33 1768 1759 1749 1776 1791 1793 1797 1781 ‘cess
9:44:19PM FTSE 7496.44
9:46:20PM STOX50 3931
9:48:00PM GERMANY 14282
9:50:47PM US500 3931.92
9:54:36PM DOW 33589 33418 33315 33111 33694 33777 33814 33946 33492
9:57:10PM NASDAQ 11487.1 ‘cess
9:59:42PM JAPAN 27574 ‘cess

 

7/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7489 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,779,316,344 a change of 0.25%
6/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7521 points. Change of -0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,764,980,013 a change of 13.53%
5/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7567 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,078,150,606 a change of 13.07%
2/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7556 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,491,031,065 a change of -9.42%
1/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7558 points. Change of -0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,958,235,310 a change of -42.03%
30/11/2022 FTSE Closed at 7573 points. Change of 0.81%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,552,950,993 a change of 45.26%
29/11/2022 FTSE Closed at 7512 points. Change of 0.51%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,887,947,739 a change of 42.84%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:IGAS Igas Energy** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

********

Updated charts published on : MAN, Hikma, Igas Energy, Scancell, Vodafone,

LSE:EMG MAN Close Mid-Price: 209.6 Percentage Change: -0.85% Day High: 212.8 Day Low: 208

This is on the edge of dodgy as now below 200 indicates the potential of r ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma. Close Mid-Price: 1539 Percentage Change: + 1.38% Day High: 1560 Day Low: 1513

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LSE:IGAS Igas Energy Close Mid-Price: 16.45 Percentage Change: -1.50% Day High: 17 Day Low: 16

If Igas Energy experiences continued weakness below 16, it will invariabl ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell Close Mid-Price: 26.75 Percentage Change: -0.93% Day High: 29.5 Day Low: 26.75

Target met. Further movement against Scancell ABOVE 29.5 should improve a ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 87.66 Percentage Change: -1.80% Day High: 92.33 Day Low: 86.36

Target met. Continued weakness against VOD taking the price below 86.36 c ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Harbour Energy (LSE:HBR) & Ardmore Shipping (NYSE:ASC) optimism vs pessimism

#FTSE #Nasdaq

We’d a couple of interesting “reader requests” today and one immediately caught our eye. Ardmore Shipping. Surely Ardmore must enjoy local roots from Scotland, a local peninsula in Argyll giving terrible views of nothing really. Neither Greenock nor a partially sunken ship justify ever visiting. Perhaps the excellent Ardmore Malt whisky provided the inspiration but visiting their distillery on a wet day is an experience to avoid. And it’s often very wet, windy, and bleak in the Cairngorms.

Thankfully with no visible link to Scotland, Ardmore Shipping commenced 12 years ago, creating a new shipping company carrying chemicals and other products via their own fleet of tankers. Anyone who enjoys looking at pictures of tankers is advised to visit the corporate website. They appear proud of their fleet, described as the most modern in the industry. Their share price appears to justify some confidence as it’s currently trading at an all time high, requiring very little effort to once again climb higher.

We’ve calculates $16.50 as a viable trigger level to hopefully produce further share price gains. Above this level looks capable of promoting gains toward an initial 17.75 with our longer term secondary, should such a tame ambition be exceeded, working out at 22.75 dollars. Perhaps this shall prove worth keeping an eye on, their share price needing below $11 to promote a panic.

Harbour Energy (LSE:HBR) We’d glanced at this back in September and every appears to be going wrong with their share price. Visually, it’s easy to believe the price is experiencing a “double bottom” as visually, the current trip to the 300p level visually matches the lows from July earlier this year.

Alas, there’s a tiny little problem insofar as while this is indeed the case, their share price has broken below the Red uptrend which dates back to 2020. As the share price has not closed a session below 298.5p yet, the final nail has not been hammered but we’d advocate caution, despite them being proclaimed as the largest London Listed independent oil & gas company.

The immediate situation, their share price trading at 309 at time of writing, calculates with a threat of movement below 298 bringing a visit down to 243 with secondary, if broken, a probable bottom just above the 200p level.

 

If any miracle recovery is planned, the share price needs exceed 354p to apparently trigger movement to an initial 391p with secondary, if bettered, a longer term 460p.

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:03:43PM BRENT 79.8 Success
10:06:35PM GOLD 1771.7
10:09:12PM FTSE 7554.51 7500 7478 7460 7536 7557 7569 7592 7534 ‘cess
10:11:31PM STOX50 3940 ‘cess
10:13:59PM GERMANY 14302 ‘cess
10:16:22PM US500 3942.27 ‘cess
10:19:02PM DOW 33602.8 ‘cess
10:21:40PM NASDAQ 11553.1 11480 11421 11324 11565 11642 11698 11769 11558 Success
10:23:47PM JAPAN 27648

 

6/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7521 points. Change of -0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,764,980,013 a change of 13.53%
5/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7567 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,078,150,606 a change of 13.07%
2/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7556 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,491,031,065 a change of -9.42%
1/12/2022 FTSE Closed at 7558 points. Change of -0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,958,235,310 a change of -42.03%
30/11/2022 FTSE Closed at 7573 points. Change of 0.81%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,552,950,993 a change of 45.26%
29/11/2022 FTSE Closed at 7512 points. Change of 0.51%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,887,947,739 a change of 42.84%
28/11/2022 FTSE Closed at 7474 points. Change of -0.16%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,121,947,461 a change of -6.58%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:FOXT Foxtons** **LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments** **LSE:POLY Polymetal** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Astrazeneca, Foxtons, Oxford Instruments, Polymetal, Rolls Royce, Scancell, Vodafone,

LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 444.2 Percentage Change: + 0.18% Day High: 446.9 Day Low: 441.4

Moves now above 467 look capable of provoking a lift to 484 next with seco ……..

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LSE:AZN Astrazeneca Close Mid-Price: 11150 Percentage Change: -0.98% Day High: 11268 Day Low: 11160

Above just 11352 should now prove significant, triggering a visit to an in ……..

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LSE:FOXT Foxtons Close Mid-Price: 30.85 Percentage Change: -0.64% Day High: 31.4 Day Low: 30.75

Now below 30p looks capable of inducing reversal to an initial 28 with sec ……..

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LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments Close Mid-Price: 2150 Percentage Change: -4.02% Day High: 2275 Day Low: 2140

All Oxford Instruments needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 2275 to improve a ……..

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LSE:POLY Polymetal Close Mid-Price: 238 Percentage Change: -3.04% Day High: 248 Day Low: 230

Price improvement above 265 now looks capable of providing a lift to an in ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 93.49 Percentage Change: + 3.20% Day High: 94.45 Day Low: 91.22

Further movement against Rolls Royce ABOVE 94.45 should improve accelerat ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell. Close Mid-Price: 27 Percentage Change: + 15.38% Day High: 27 Day Low: 23.25

Target met. In the event of Scancell enjoying further trades beyond 27, t ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 89.27 Percentage Change: -1.92% Day High: 91.11 Day Low: 88.56

Weakness on Vodafone below 88.56 will invariably lead to 87 with secondar ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.