Trends And Targets

#Brent #Dax   It was almost spiteful, the highest Natwest closed at since our previous report being at 530p. This was, by amazing coincidence, our initial price rise target. Despite the share price achieving 534p since, it has failed to close above this 530p level, so it’s probably an important number, one which will be worth watching if the share price ever closes above such a level.

To be short, sharp, and concise because everyone is on holiday, either intraday traffic above 535p or closure above 530p should now signal the potential of movement to 551p with our secondary, if beaten, at 579p. Importantly, another salient detail of share price closure above 530p comes from the fact we shall regard a long term 696p potential more attractive than a jam jar to wasp!

If things intend go a bit wrong for the share price, below 505p looks capable of triggering reversal to an initial 489p with our secondary, if broken, a more dangerous (and thus, less likely) 463p.

 

Hopefully the markets enjoy a good week without any real drama. We still suspect things are marching on the spot under everyone gets back from Centre Parks…

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
10:59:20PM	BRENT	6591.2	6540	6181.5	5064	6908	6700	6755	6829	6619
11:04:45PM	GOLD	3397.92
11:07:23PM	FTSE	9093.1
11:11:54PM	STOX50	5360.5
11:16:01PM	GERMANY	24222.3	23902	23717	23491	24120	24294	24327	24642	24160
11:18:28PM	US500	6397.6
11:24:29PM	DOW	44253.8
11:29:07PM	NASDAQ	23625.1
11:31:40PM	JAPAN	42282

 

8/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9095 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,123,576,118 a change of -18.06%

7/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9100 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,252,889,741 a change of -8.09%

6/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9164 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,802,933,143 a change of 19.42%

5/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9142 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,696,529,731 a change of -2.04%

4/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9128 points. Change of 0.66%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,815,366,472 a change of 5.59%

1/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9068 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,507,518,764 a change of -29.16%

31/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9132 points. Change of -0.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,774,577,039 a change of 48.3%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:MRO Melrose** **LSE:SFOR S4 Capital** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Fresnillo, Melrose, S4 Capital, Tern Plc, Tullow,

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 1701 Percentage Change: + 1.67% Day High: 1753 Day Low: 1662

Further movement against Fresnillo ABOVE 1753 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:MRO Melrose. Close Mid-Price: 591 Percentage Change: + 1.72% Day High: 592.4 Day Low: 578.2

Continued trades against MRO with a mid-price ABOVE 592.4 should improve ……..

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LSE:SFOR S4 Capital Close Mid-Price: 21.2 Percentage Change: -5.78% Day High: 22.2 Day Low: 20.65

Target met. Weakness on S4 Capital below 20.65 will invariably lead to 19 ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc. Close Mid-Price: 0.92 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0.92 Day Low: 0.91

Continued weakness against TERN taking the price below 0.91 calculates as ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 9.99 Percentage Change: -10.64% Day High: 10.9 Day Low: 10.02

Target met. Continued weakness against TLW taking the price below 10.02 c ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#FTSE #GOLD It would be true to admit Thursday was spent, subconsciously thinking of which excuses to use tonight, in an attempt to explain why the FTSE has spent the day doing sod all. After all, the first few hours of the day saw the UK market flutter around by just 20 points, while we all awaited confirmation interest rates had been again reduced. The official announcement “should” have provoked some positive energy for the market and the fact the converse happened feels more like an August symptom – a month where an attempts to keep the market flat always occur. It’s a bit like being on a motorway, where the traffic is restricted to 70mph but, in an undeclared battle, motorists find reasons to exceed the out-dated limit, invariably leading to situations when things go wrong and panic slowdowns created a domino effect, forcing all traffic to suddenly slow down in response to an artificial ripple in speed.

For the UK, we often feel the solution is to declare the outside lane on a motorway as “the fast lane”, the middle lane as “the overtaking lane” and the inside lane as “the travel lane”. Unfortunately, this utopia is impossible, due to vehicles above 7.5 tons being restricted to 56mph, creating an artificial moving barricade in “the travel lane”. This situation already sows the seeds of many traffic incidents, an absurd situation where different speed limits are artificially imposed on different types of vehicle, yet all of them expected to share the same highway. This chaos starts to sound more and more like the stock markets!

 

Our suspicion August has been designated as a “slow month” will prove interesting, if the market wanders below 9066 points. According to our software, this should present a trigger possibility for market reversals as below such a point creates a scenario where an initial 8982 points calculates as possible with our secondary, if broken, at 8869 points and a probable bounce. Should this scenario trigger within the next few days, the tightest stop loss works out at roughly 9117.438 points, this being the level of the Red trend currently. The FTSE, at 9100 points, has already broken the uptrend since April this year and we feel the level of trend break needs exceeded to cancel current reversal prospects..

However, as it’s August, things could theoretically go the other way, though we strongly suspect the UK shall avoid the path to 9700 points until everyone is back from their Disney holidays!  But should the FTSE now exceed 9176 points, it is liable to trigger near term growth to an initial 9205 points with our secondary, if bettered, at 9262 points.

Have a good weekend.

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:39:53PM	BRENT	6609.2	6607	6485		6906	6747	6799		6651
10:42:08PM	GOLD	3396.42	3384	3380		3394	3401	3407		3386
10:54:51PM	FTSE	9090.3	9075	9045		9105	9149	9173		9115	Success
11:14:25PM	STOX50	5338.3	5265	5236		5295	5355	5393		5314	Success
11:18:53PM	GERMANY	24230.7	23906	23715		24099	24393	24473		24214	‘cess
11:24:18PM	US500	6355.8	6333	6309		6353	6402	6420		6372	‘cess
11:27:11PM	DOW	44069.2	43798	43730		43980	44075	44136		43985	Shambles
11:31:17PM	NASDAQ	23459.1	23224	23121		23393	23468	23509		23339	Success
11:34:45PM	JAPAN	41180	40943	40779		41085	41340	41393		41190	Success

 

7/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9100 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,252,889,741 a change of -8.09%

6/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9164 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,802,933,143 a change of 19.42%

5/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9142 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,696,529,731 a change of -2.04%

4/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9128 points. Change of 0.66%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,815,366,472 a change of 5.59%

1/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9068 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,507,518,764 a change of -29.16%

31/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9132 points. Change of -0.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,774,577,039 a change of 48.3%

30/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,242,351,161 a change of -7.33%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:MRO Melrose** **LSE:SRP Serco** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, Fresnillo, Hikma, Marks and Spencer, Melrose, Serco, Tullow,

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LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 650.6 Percentage Change: -0.52% Day High: 657 Day Low: 647.2

All Aviva needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 657 to improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 1673 Percentage Change: + 1.09% Day High: 1738 Day Low: 1661

Target met. All Fresnillo needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1738 to improv ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma Close Mid-Price: 1750 Percentage Change: -7.11% Day High: 1804 Day Low: 1695

Target met. In the event Hikma experiences weakness below 1695 it calcula ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 328.7 Percentage Change: -1.88% Day High: 333.9 Day Low: 325

Continued weakness against MKS taking the price below 325 calculates as l ……..

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LSE:MRO Melrose. Close Mid-Price: 581 Percentage Change: + 0.03% Day High: 589.2 Day Low: 578.2

Target met. All Melrose needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 589.2 to improve ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco. Close Mid-Price: 216 Percentage Change: + 3.15% Day High: 228.6 Day Low: 215

Target met. Continued trades against SRP with a mid-price ABOVE 228.6 sho ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 11.18 Percentage Change: -3.62% Day High: 11.66 Day Low: 11.06

In the event Tullow experiences weakness below 11.06 it calculates with a ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Gold #Japan  At one point during the trading session, Hiscox share price was up 15.39%, a truly impressive surge for a FTSE 100 company but of course, it closed the session “only” up 9.44%. This, while marginally below the attention grabbing double digit rise was attributed to their ambitions for the future, along with the intention of the company buying back shares.  Such a reduction in issued capital generally will provoke a price rise, fewer shares available to meet investors perceived demand.

But from a Big Picture perspective, something quite important has happened, the share price within a whisker of achieving the next major milestone for the longer term and that’s closure above 1429p. According to our software, this is a pretty big thing, also achievable anytime soon as the market high on the 6th August was 1454p. We’ve even decided to spoil readers with a zoomed in excerpt from the chart below…

 

Currently, either closure above 1429 or (allegedly) trades above 1454p should suffice to take the share price on an upward journey to an initial 1700p, effectively matching the highs before Covid-19 chose to spoil the worlds day. Our long term secondary (with closure above 1700p) comes along at 2054p and a new All Time High for the share price.

To review a scenario, where everything burns to the ground, the share price needs CLOSE a session below 1344p as this risks triggering reversal to an initial 1114p with our secondary, if (when) broken at an eventual 1008p and an almost certain rebound.

Finally, as it’s August, we’re keeping our headline articles short and sharp which, having changed a minor insurance policy detail recently, should be a relief to the crooked industry! Being charged 15 quid to access my own details online, typing a minor address correction, was somehow deemed worthy of attracting an “Admin Fee” despite the company doing absolutely NO admin.

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:55:08PM	BRENT	6672.8									‘cess
11:22:21PM	GOLD	3368.76	3349	3331	3311	3379	3380	3425	3477	3350
11:24:40PM	FTSE	9133.4
11:30:53PM	STOX50	5265.2
11:35:07PM	GERMANY	23994
11:37:53PM	US500	6359.9
11:41:56PM	DOW	44237
11:46:17PM	NASDAQ	23350.2									Success
11:49:45PM	JAPAN	40731	40598	40443	40152	40757	40858	40914	41309	40684	‘cess

 

6/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9164 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,802,933,143 a change of 19.42%

5/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9142 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,696,529,731 a change of -2.04%

4/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9128 points. Change of 0.66%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,815,366,472 a change of 5.59%

1/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9068 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,507,518,764 a change of -29.16%

31/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9132 points. Change of -0.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,774,577,039 a change of 48.3%

30/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,242,351,161 a change of -7.33%

29/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,656,845,157 a change of 28.68%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:MRO Melrose** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, BALFOUR BEATTY, Centrica, Firstgroup, Fresnillo, Melrose, Tullow,

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 654 Percentage Change: + 1.24% Day High: 652.4 Day Low: 644

Target met. In the event of Aviva enjoying further trades beyond 652.4, t ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 549 Percentage Change: + 0.27% Day High: 559 Day Low: 545

All BALFOUR BEATTY needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 559 to improve accele ……..

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 168.35 Percentage Change: + 2.28% Day High: 169.6 Day Low: 164.4

Continued trades against CNA with a mid-price ABOVE 169.6 should improve ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 232 Percentage Change: + 0.61% Day High: 240.4 Day Low: 229.4

In the event of Firstgroup enjoying further trades beyond 240.4, the shar ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 1655 Percentage Change: + 8.88% Day High: 1649 Day Low: 1518

Target met. Continued trades against FRES with a mid-price ABOVE 1649 sho ……..

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LSE:MRO Melrose. Close Mid-Price: 580.8 Percentage Change: + 1.01% Day High: 581.4 Day Low: 569.8

Further movement against Melrose ABOVE 581.4 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 11.6 Percentage Change: -18.99% Day High: 14.64 Day Low: 11.2

Target met. Weakness on Tullow below 11.2 will invariably lead to 10.3p w ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#FTSE #STOXX  A surprise invitation to go see the new Superman movie provided a perfect waste of a few hours on Tuesday evening. The film itself was utter rubbish, nonsense designed to neither inform nor enlighten viewers. Instead, it provided a couple of hours of mindless entertainment, without taking itself seriously and falling into the trap Marvel movies discovered, when they decided their film series was important! A personal opinion is fairly simple, movies should offer escapism, a chance to escape the tedium of real life. And for now, with the markets treading water during the hell which is August, Superman provided exactly the escape needed. And importantly, one of the stars was a flying dog with a cape…

 

Talking of dogs, the last three years has seen some truly dreadful behaviour by Diageo share price, moving from the 40 quid level down to below  20 pounds, giving the visual impression of being a complete dog of a share, one which felt incapable of flying. It has been a dreadful journey, placing the share in very real danger of returning to levels not seen since 2009. Perhaps it shall prove the case their recent results and optimistic outlook shall provide an arrest from the force which feels like it’s driving the price to the gutter.

To be real, there is a danger price movement below 1797p shall provoke reversals down to an initial 1492p, a potential fake bounce, but if 1492p is broken, our eventual “bottom” calculates at a ridiculous sounding 871p. Unfortunately, visually it isn’t ridiculous, imagination not requiring greatly stretched to accept the potential of such a vile low level for the price.

However, the release of results and subsequent 4.9% gain over the session, tends imply the market shall be quite happy for Diageo to escape from its cycle of doom. Should the share price continue to display some optimism, above 2072p has the potential of triggering gains in the direction of 2590 next with our secondary, if bettered, an amazing (and perhaps difficult) 3184p sometime in the future.

Our problem with this secondary level is it substantially exceeds a hypothetical 2727p, the level of the trend break of Red on the chart. In a scenario where Diageo Plc exceeds such a level, our conventional logic suggests happy days will be ahead for the share, the price theoretically absorbing a power to once again rejoin the Red uptrend. We suspect interesting times may be ahead for this price.

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:46:59PM	BRENT	6750									‘cess
10:50:38PM	GOLD	3380.11
11:23:11PM	FTSE	9147.7	9093	9065	9026	9128	9183	9215	9275	9142
10:59:54PM	STOX50	5245.9	5235	5228	5213	5255	5271	5288	5332	5235
11:27:26PM	GERMANY	23862									‘cess
11:31:42PM	US500	6296.5
11:34:23PM	DOW	44118
11:38:40PM	NASDAQ	22960
11:40:34PM	JAPAN	40511

 

5/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9142 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,696,529,731 a change of -2.04%

4/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9128 points. Change of 0.66%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,815,366,472 a change of 5.59%

1/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9068 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,507,518,764 a change of -29.16%

31/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9132 points. Change of -0.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,774,577,039 a change of 48.3%

30/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,242,351,161 a change of -7.33%

29/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,656,845,157 a change of 28.68%

28/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9081 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,395,992,123 a change of -22.42%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:MRO Melrose** **

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Updated charts published on : BALFOUR BEATTY, Fresnillo, Melrose,

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY Close Mid-Price: 547.5 Percentage Change: -0.36% Day High: 553 Day Low: 545.5

Further movement against BALFOUR BEATTY ABOVE 553 should improve accelera ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 1520 Percentage Change: + 6.00% Day High: 1581 Day Low: 1483

Target met. In the event of Fresnillo enjoying further trades beyond 1581 ……..

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LSE:MRO Melrose. Close Mid-Price: 575 Percentage Change: + 4.89% Day High: 577.6 Day Low: 550.4

Target met. In the event of Melrose enjoying further trades beyond 577.6, ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Gold #SP500  Unusually, we’re able to directly blame the Tate family (of Tate & Lyle fame) for the roaring noise in our back garden tonight. The land and forest directly beyond our back garden was once landscaped as a massive ornamental area by one of the Tate family, some amazing waterways and ornamental streams, along with substantial growing areas for specimen plants. Every now and then, when exploring the forest area, it’s possible to do a double take at a little waterfall and pool, then realise it’s not natural and shortly afterward, discover the remnants of a path which will lead to something else long neglected. We’ve often wondered just who created a substantial dam across the stream which leads to our roaring waterfall, the novelty of which wore off, after the first heavy rainfall filled the stream…

Of course, with spectacular stupidity, we decided in addition to a view of the sea and mountains at the front of the house, it would be nice to view the waterfall from the back garden. As a result, we cleared away vegetation, removing bushes and a couple of trees which had muted the roar of a 7 metre garden waterfall. According to our title deeds, the land owned by the Tate people commenced quite literally just above the top of our garden cliff.

Nowadays, with the onset of T2 Diabetes, it’s safe to say I’m not part of Tate & Lyles target audience. Though I did add 5.5 kilos of their product to 22 litres of distilled water the other day as my latest experiment in growing wine commenced.

 

The value of Tate & Lyle share price is a concern, movements earlier this year showing (circled) the share price was gapped below an uptrend since the market lows of 2009. It’s becoming vanishingly rare for uptrends since the Financial Crisis to be justified as concerning but in this instance, in February the market clearly decided to pay homage to a 16 year old trend line, forcing the price down below the Red trend. It is now the case Tate & Lyle needs close above 613p to indicate a miracle recovery is commencing. Instead we fear the worst as it looks like the sugar giant share price faces a bit of a meltdown.

At time of writing, the share needs drop below 502p, thus bringing the risk of a trigger down to an initial 375p. Should such a level break, our secondary works out at a longer term 203p, virtually mirroring the low of 2009. While the concept seems ridiculous, the numbers insist on telling their own story. Personally, some guilt is felt, due to discovering Stevia as a sweetener, though it is useless as part of the wine fermentation process.

Should Tate & Lyle decide to enact a surprise recovery, above 613 should be taken very seriously as movement to an initial 675 looks probable with our secondary, if bettered, at a future 861p.

For now, our suspicion is this share faces some downward pain.

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:36:37PM	BRENT	6848.9									‘cess
10:47:59PM	GOLD	3374.63	3267	3237	3188	3301	3385	3398	3416	3345	‘cess
10:50:47PM	FTSE	9153
10:53:54PM	STOX50	5252.5
10:57:51PM	GERMANY	23839
11:00:40PM	US500	6342.5	6252	6214	6170	6288	6343	6394	6455	6301	‘cess
11:05:41PM	DOW	44254.3
11:08:14PM	NASDAQ	23225
11:11:22PM	JAPAN	40624									Success

4/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9128 points. Change of 0.66%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,815,366,472 a change of 5.59%

1/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9068 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,507,518,764 a change of -29.16%

31/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9132 points. Change of -0.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,774,577,039 a change of 48.3%

30/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,242,351,161 a change of -7.33%

29/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,656,845,157 a change of 28.68%

28/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9081 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,395,992,123 a change of -22.42%

25/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9120 points. Change of -0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,666,736,165 a change of 2.7%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:BME B & M** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **

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Updated charts published on : BALFOUR BEATTY, B & M, Diageo, Lloyds Grp.,

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 549.5 Percentage Change: + 1.38% Day High: 551.5 Day Low: 541.5

Target met. In the event of BALFOUR BEATTY enjoying further trades beyond ……..

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LSE:BME B & M Close Mid-Price: 216.6 Percentage Change: -1.23% Day High: 221.3 Day Low: 216.5

Weakness on B & M below 216.5 will invariably lead to 200p with secondary ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 1815 Percentage Change: -0.38% Day High: 1821 Day Low: 1797

Target met. Continued weakness against DGE taking the price below 1797 ca ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.. Close Mid-Price: 82.56 Percentage Change: + 9.00% Day High: 82.42 Day Low: 79.68

Target met. Continued trades against LLOY with a mid-price ABOVE 82.42 sh ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#FTSE #Gold The first half of this years Grand Prix season finished with a good race from Hungary, completed with a fascinating couple of final laps from the two McLarens while viewers waited with a reasonable expectation of the team members hitting each other. Alas, it wasn’t to be, McLaren scoring a convincing 1st and 2nd while confirming Formula1 isn’t what it used to be as, in a fair world, the two drivers would have collided on the final lap, failing to finish. And this brings us to Barclays!

 

The bank has survived a stonking acceleration from the low of 223p earlier this year and WAS looking strong in a race to our previous upper target at 395p. Unfortunately, on the final lap, the highest the share price achieved was 376p and now appears to be convincing itself of a need to exhibit some price reversals. Perhaps this shall prove to be an August thing, a very real instance of the market placing shares in “march on the spot” mode while everyone takes a holiday at Butlins.

While sounding ridiculous there’s certainly a problem with what occurred with Barclays share price at the start of August. By closing below a “Closing Price” uptrend, there’s a real risk a “lower low” mindset shall insert itself in share price behaviour for the relatively near term, creating a situation where now below 352 risks triggering a downhill cycle to an initial 334p. Our secondary, should such a level break, calculates down at 320p and an almost certain rebound. It is worthwhile noting this share price needs close below 330p to actually cause any real panic. Until such a point, we tend regard any near term movements as just that, movements.

However, when we paint a Closing Price trend on the chart, Barclays had to close on the 1st August above roughly 358.789p. It didn’t, it closed at 356.65p, slightly below the trend. From our perspective, this was ringing a pretty big bell for trouble ahead. It’s fairly crucial we admit this share price only needs close above 359p to undo our previously given gloomy predictions.

 

Share price closure above 359p now has the potential of triggering movement to 403p. In the event such an ambition is exceeded, we cal calculate a future 502p as now making a reasonable Big Picture target level.

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
10:52:10PM	BRENT	6915.8	7001	6863	6725	6988	6992	7016	7061	6931
10:54:39PM	GOLD	3359.26	3284	3268	3236	3310	3364	3380	3396	3344
10:56:30PM	FTSE	9100.6	9026	9002	8939	9092	9128	9170	9218	9084
10:58:35PM	STOX50	5177.1	5150	5111	4992	5220	5319	5396	5478	5275
11:01:24PM	GERMANY	23459.4	23370	22871	22280	23532	24024	24234	24522	23824
11:06:54PM	US500	6244.5	6225	6210	6134	6270	6300	6323	6361	6265
11:12:13PM	DOW	43625	43433	43283	42672	43728	44165	44521	44918	44004
11:14:34PM	NASDAQ	22818.5	22667	22628	22267	22823	23332	23466	23733	23100
11:18:29PM	JAPAN	40040	39850	39806	39382	40054	40132	40291	40480	39950

 

1/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9068 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,507,518,764 a change of -29.16%

31/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9132 points. Change of -0.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,774,577,039 a change of 48.3%

30/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,242,351,161 a change of -7.33%

29/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,656,845,157 a change of 28.68%

28/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9081 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,395,992,123 a change of -22.42%

25/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9120 points. Change of -0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,666,736,165 a change of 2.7%

24/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9138 points. Change of 0.85%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,517,760,836 a change of 0.27%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:BME B & M** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:ITRK Intertek** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : BALFOUR BEATTY, B & M, British Airways, Intertek, Tullow,

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY Close Mid-Price: 542 Percentage Change: -0.18% Day High: 547 Day Low: 540

Continued trades against BBY with a mid-price ABOVE 547 should improve th ……..

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LSE:BME B & M Close Mid-Price: 219.3 Percentage Change: -2.27% Day High: 224.4 Day Low: 218

If B & M experiences continued weakness below 218, it will invariably lea ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways Close Mid-Price: 374.1 Percentage Change: -1.68% Day High: 393.2 Day Low: 368.2

Target met. In the event of British Airways enjoying further trades beyo ……..

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LSE:ITRK Intertek Close Mid-Price: 4610 Percentage Change: -6.68% Day High: 4670 Day Low: 4520

Target met. Continued weakness against ITRK taking the price below 4520 c ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 14.18 Percentage Change: -0.84% Day High: 14.62 Day Low: 13.96

If Tullow experiences continued weakness below 13.96, it will invariably ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

We’re  about to enter the horror which is August, a month virtually devoid of Formula1 and also, a complete absence of anything making much sense on low volume stock markets. Following last weekends masterclass from Louis Hamilton, we hope this weekends Hungarian Grand Prix lets the guy again show it’s possible to pass cars on a race track. And of course, once the Hungarian race completes, the world faces a month devoid of what sometimes passes as entertainment at weekend. Maybe the London Stock Exchange will someday opt to mimic such a ploy,  just closing for August holiday month!

Of course, at this point, we do need to mention anyone thinking of holidaying in Scotland during August should check the weather forecast. Typically, there’s a monsoon event during the first week and toward the end of the month, things can cool down. One year, we managed to become “stuck” in snow on the Applecross Pass in Ross-shire, made doubly embarrassing as we were in an Audi 4WD quarto. The snow was simply too deep… A couple of days later, the temperature was 22c and perfect for the West Coast. Nowadays we live 200 miles south in Argyll but due to our mountains, experience similar (or worse) weather to the highlands.

The UK market has been well behaved during July, albeit being just a little boring with each days parsimonious rise  proving less than exciting…

The chart below is a view of July, showing UK market movements literally in Minute by Minute mode. We actually like this charting ability as while it can almost provide too much information, it’s one of the ways by which real market direction can often be fathomed. In this instance, it would be reasonable to assume the market faces yet another UP day unless the index value pierced Red, currently at 9,117 points. Should such an event occur, it will give a reasonable clue the uptrend has failed, perhaps triggering some near term reversals.

At present, below 9,117 calculates with the potential of reversal to an initial 9.096 points with our secondary, if broken, at 9.050 points. What’s just a little crazy with this scenario is the potential stop loss level works out at 9.120 points, almost a free gift if reversal occurs. However, it’s unlikely such a boon would be visited upon traders, the market usually displaying a sense of humour by enacted a large part of the drop in the opening seconds of trade. It also creates a situation where anyone trying to explore a downward dip could find themselves entering the trade just below 9,096 points, only to find the index suddenly heading upward, usually to just above the stop loss level, before changing direction and heading to our proposed bottom at 9,050 points.

 

When this sort of nonsense occurs, it can be one of the most frustrating things about the markets, creating a scenario where “we were right, but anyone trying to trade lost money…”

 

Market movement above 9,160 is liable to prove better behaving, creating a situation where a lift to an initial 9,211 points is viable with our secondary, if bettered, at 9,248 points. In this game plan, the tightest stop loss looks like 9,117 points, a bit wide but visually making a lot of sense.

 

Have a good weekend. Can’t recommend any cuisine for Sunday as it’s the Hungarian Grand Prix, a country which fails to inspire any kitchen ideas. Maybe that’s why the people are always Hungry!

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:18:56PM	BRENT	7162.4	7087	7005	6914	7180	7282	7358	7621	7140
10:53:16PM	GOLD	3289.28	3287	3284	3274	3298	3305	3318	3335	3293	‘cess
11:09:38PM	FTSE	9112.7	9104	9070	9030	9134	9179	9195	9230	9130	‘cess
11:15:03PM	STOX50	5311.4	5298	5279	5230	5342	5369	5397	5430	5336	Success
11:19:56PM	GERMANY	24013.5	23965	23844	23648	24088	24112	24168	24236	24026	Shambles
11:23:38PM	US500	6335.2	6326	6291	6243	6350	6372	6388	6409	6342	‘cess
11:27:33PM	DOW	44118	44049	43940	43547	44256	44400	44520	44677	44194	‘cess
11:31:59PM	NASDAQ	23176.6	23348	23270	23171	23450	23439	23534	24390	23286	Shambles
11:35:52PM	JAPAN	40748	40781	40719	40615	40878	41018	41142	41361	40888	Success

 

31/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9132 points. Change of -0.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,774,577,039 a change of 48.3%

30/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,242,351,161 a change of -7.33%

29/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,656,845,157 a change of 28.68%

28/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9081 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,395,992,123 a change of -22.42%

25/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9120 points. Change of -0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,666,736,165 a change of 2.7%

24/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9138 points. Change of 0.85%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,517,760,836 a change of 0.27%

23/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9061 points. Change of 0.42%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,503,107,449 a change of 15.9%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, Barclays, BALFOUR BEATTY, Carclo, Carnival, Natwest, Oxford Instruments, Rockhopper, Rolls Royce, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, Spirax, Standard Chartered, Tern Plc,

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 648.6 Percentage Change: + 1.50% Day High: 650.4 Day Low: 641

Target met. Further movement against Aviva ABOVE 650.4 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:BARC Barclays Close Mid-Price: 371.3 Percentage Change: -0.99% Day High: 376.15 Day Low: 370.75

In the event of Barclays enjoying further trades beyond 376.15, the share ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 543 Percentage Change: + 0.09% Day High: 546 Day Low: 540

Target met. All BALFOUR BEATTY needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 546 to im ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo. Close Mid-Price: 47.4 Percentage Change: + 0.85% Day High: 50 Day Low: 47.6

Further movement against Carclo ABOVE 50 should improve acceleration towa ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 2086 Percentage Change: + 0.63% Day High: 2138 Day Low: 2055

Target met. Further movement against Carnival ABOVE 2138 should improve a ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest Close Mid-Price: 527 Percentage Change: -0.57% Day High: 534.8 Day Low: 526

All Natwest needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 534.8 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments Close Mid-Price: 1816 Percentage Change: -0.98% Day High: 1838 Day Low: 1750

Target met. In the event Oxford Instruments experiences weakness below 17 ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 77.6 Percentage Change: + 8.38% Day High: 79.8 Day Low: 60

Target met. Continued trades against RKH with a mid-price ABOVE 79.8 shou ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 1072 Percentage Change: + 8.50% Day High: 1108.5 Day Low: 1047.5

Target met. Currently, I’ve absolutely no idea where Rolls Royce at going ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust. Close Mid-Price: 1098 Percentage Change: + 0.73% Day High: 1105.5 Day Low: 1094.5

Continued trades against SMT with a mid-price ABOVE 1105.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax. Close Mid-Price: 6345 Percentage Change: + 0.24% Day High: 6550 Day Low: 6325

Further movement against Spirax ABOVE 6550 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered Close Mid-Price: 1360.5 Percentage Change: -0.69% Day High: 1393 Day Low: 1345.5

Target met. All Standard Chartered needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1393 ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc Close Mid-Price: 0.92 Percentage Change: -5.13% Day High: 0.98 Day Low: 0.92

Target met. In the event Tern Plc experiences weakness below 0.92 it calc ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.