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Rockhopper Exploration Plc (LSE:RKH) ready for a jump?

#Gold #Dow_Jones  It’s surprising to have a favourite Penguin story but one of my nieces provided one when she was around 6 years old at school. The kids has been asked to write a summary about a book they’d been asked to read. Her summary simply and essentially read; “This book told me more about Penguins than I wanted to know!”  Interestingly, she’s now a Vet working in a German zoo, still hates Penguins but really likes Bears!

Which brings us to Rockhopper Plc, named after a famed make of penguin.

Given Rockhoppers share price movements since the end of September last year, the share price has broken through a very obvious downtrend, making serious attempts to head upward. Broadly speaking, we generally suspect any company associated with the Falklands area to be the victim of “ramping” in internet discussion forums. However, the pattern of growth – possibly aside from the surge upward on Monday 6th – doesn’t reflect the usual fuel for damage inflicted by gullible investors slavishly following “experts” in chatrooms.

 

However, if we choose to embrace optimism, it’s currently the case movements above 32p should trigger ongoing traffic to an initial 38p. Our longer term secondary calculates at an astounding future 51p, a price level not seen since 2015 and fully in the clutches of a long term attraction at an amazing and probably unlikely, 84p.

The issue we have with unexpected surges upward in price comes from the truism; “The higher they go, the harder they fall”, which is why we despise surges based on facts made of vapour. Balancing this, Rockhopper share price should only have risen to 25p as this theoretically represented a level where a stumble was anticipated. Aside from a brief hiccup at the end of the year, the share has spent the last three sessions behaving as if our 25p were not an issue, generally a signal the market has further plans for the price. Hopefully this is the case as some oilers long suffering shareholders really deserve a break!

Should things plan on going horribly wrong, our converse scenario paints a picture of danger, if the share price dips below 23p as reversal to an initial 18p looks possible with our longer term secondary coming in at 8.5p, a number which unfortunately makes some visual sense. In this instance, our inclination is toward optimism.

 

 

FUTURES

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:48:08PM BRENT 7621
11:12:15PM GOLD 2634.33 2623 2617 2601 2637 2650 2660 2675 2633 Success
11:15:00PM FTSE 8204
11:17:49PM STOX50 4964 Success
11:23:50PM GERMANY 20138.2 Success
11:36:10PM US500 5976.7 ‘cess
11:39:00PM DOW 42696 42620 42455 42231 42819 43127 43259 43621 42903
11:42:28PM NASDAQ 21563 ‘cess
11:46:56PM JAPAN 40092 Shambles

 

6/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8249 points. Change of 0.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,105,577,084 a change of -3.75%
3/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8223 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,304,674,170 a change of 278.32%
31/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8173 points. Change of 0.64%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,402,162,545 a change of -42.6%
30/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8121 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,442,888,350 a change of 0%
29/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8149 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,693,002,049 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **

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Updated charts published on : Block Energy PLC, International Distribution, IG Group, Rockhopper, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust,

LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC. Close Mid-Price: 0.7 Percentage Change: + 7.69% Day High: 0.7 Day Low: 0.65

Continued weakness against BLOE taking the price below 0.65 calculates as ……..

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LSE:IDS International Distribution. Close Mid-Price: 363.8 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 364.6 Day Low: 363.6

Target met. In the event of International Distribution enjoying further t ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 998.5 Percentage Change: + 0.15% Day High: 1001 Day Low: 995

All IG Group needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1001 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 31.5 Percentage Change: + 14.13% Day High: 31.5 Day Low: 27.9

Target met. In the event of Rockhopper enjoying further trades beyond 31. ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust. Close Mid-Price: 992.8 Percentage Change: + 2.20% Day High: 993.6 Day Low: 975

Continued trades against SMT with a mid-price ABOVE 993.6 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments

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Barclays (LSE:BARC) looking for a change!

#Brent #SP500  Barclays share price has spent the last three weeks since our previous review, mimicking the weather here in Argyll by doing nothing interesting. It has been almost amusing, reading of the rest of the UK being blown around, flooded, and snowed upon. Here by the mountainous seashores, aside from a few days when temperatures dropped seriously toward -10c, it’s been quite mild. As a “for instance”, this weekend, completing the dog walks under blue sky, the daylight lasting ’till nearly 4.30pm, has been quite pleasant.

Unfortunately, the hysteria from the rest of the UK somehow managed to take hold locally, an irrational fear of snow provoking some churches to cancel their Sunday services! What was even stranger, the usual weather services were predicting snow on the West Coast with Argyll, painted with a similar yellow band to everywhere else. We NEVER get the same weather as everywhere else! Unsurprisingly, there was not snow, not even foul wind or rain. On my dog walk, I wore my wide brimmed hat with confidence a gust of wind wasn’t going to provoke a Benny Hill moment, chasing the thing. (A wide brimmed hat keeps the rain off your shoulders, if you’ve chosen the wrong jacket. And it looks quite cool…) Don’t get me wrong, we’ve plenty of snow on the surrounding mountains but it’s only lying to a level of around 400 feet, giving some wonderful holiday snaps to departing tourists who’d visited for New Year week.

 

With Barclays share price literally behaving as if it has resided here in Argyll, experiencing a paucity of movement which felt hardwired to our weather systems, can we anticipate anything interesting in 2025?

 

There’s a little bit of hope, despite some immediately dangerous signals. Presently trading around 266p, the share price needs dip below 260p to justify a degree of concern as this allows reversals to an initial 237p and hopefully a bounce. Should 237p break, our secondary comes in at 229p and an excuse for us to urgently review what’s going on!

However, despite the threat of short term weakness, we shall be fascinated if the share price stumbles above just 274p as this should next signal recovery to an initial 289p with our secondary, if bettered, an eventual 313p along with some hesitation when it matches a prior series of highs. Our belief is this hesitation becomes inevitable, due to selling pressure from folks trapped since 2013.

 

 

FUTURES

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:36:14PM BRENT 7662.5 7552 7503 7446 7627 7677 7794 8036 7477
10:55:10PM GOLD 2640.4
11:10:09PM FTSE 8220.9
11:12:38PM STOX50 4880.7
11:15:35PM GERMANY 19909
11:18:08PM US500 5942.2 5878 5848 5813 5896 5953 5996 6052 5917
11:20:59PM DOW 42702
11:26:44PM NASDAQ 21299.6
11:31:34PM JAPAN 39746

 

3/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8223 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,304,674,170 a change of 278.32%
31/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8173 points. Change of 0.64%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,402,162,545 a change of -42.6%
30/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8121 points. Change of -0.34%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,442,888,350 a change of -9.29%
29/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8149 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,693,002,049 a change of 0%
23/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8102 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,427,016,579 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

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Updated charts published on : Capita, Gulf Keystone, HSBC, International Distribution, IG Group, Quadrise, Rockhopper, Taylor Wimpey,

LSE:CPI Capita. Close Mid-Price: 13.9 Percentage Change: + 0.72% Day High: 14.04 Day Low: 13.7

In the event Capita experiences weakness below 13.7 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 161 Percentage Change: + 5.02% Day High: 161.2 Day Low: 153.3

Target met. All Gulf Keystone needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 161.2 to i ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC Close Mid-Price: 782.3 Percentage Change: -0.14% Day High: 787.3 Day Low: 775.5

All HSBC needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 787.3 to improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:IDS International Distribution Close Mid-Price: 363.8 Percentage Change: -0.05% Day High: 364 Day Low: 363.4

Further movement against International Distribution ABOVE 364 should impr ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 997 Percentage Change: + 0.10% Day High: 999 Day Low: 993

Further movement against IG Group ABOVE 999 should improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise Close Mid-Price: 7.18 Percentage Change: -5.28% Day High: 7.98 Day Low: 6.52

Target met. All Quadrise needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 7.98 to improve ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 27.6 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 28 Day Low: 26.2

Further movement against Rockhopper ABOVE 28 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 118.85 Percentage Change: -2.78% Day High: 122.1 Day Low: 118.9

If Taylor Wimpey experiences continued weakness below 118.9, it will inva ……..

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View Previous Taylor Wimpey & Big Picture ***

*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

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Lloyds Banking Group (LSE:LLOY) and a Santa crash?

#FTSE #Gold  Hope everyone had a good Christmas. Now, here in Argyll we move onto the most important part of the festive season, having friends and family round for drinks. We actually started early at the weekend, arranging to meet chums for a late lunch on Saturday. Unfortunately, they were having a fun time with everything in their bathroom blocked, water not draining from the bath, the sink, the shower, or the WC. By the time a Drain Cleaning company arrived and sorted out teenage daughter problems… we’d missed our lunch, opting to head to their house, stopping to pick up a selection of Chinese food from a takeaway. Thankfully, we’d also brought a selection of our home made wines, the plan now being to taste test our Merlot, Chardonnay, and Rioja against “real” wines they’d purchased for comparison.

With a score of 8-0, our home brewed Chardonnay white won the competition.

With a score of 0-8, our Rioja got exactly the vote it deserved, needing a few months to age, rather than 4 days since being bottled!

Finally, a score of 4-4 left us wondering about our Merlot as it has only been aging for a couple of months.

The move from brewing Cider to Wine is certainly proving quite fun, aside from the detail our chums really want a regular supply of Chardonnay! Personally, I dislike French and Italian white wines but in this instance, would hesitate opening a bottle of my Chardonnay at home as I’d feel duty bound to finish it, though it’s fairly strong at 13.7° proof…. The Merlot is just okay and I suspect I shall eventually be pouring 25 litres of Rioja into the garden stream.

 

All this waffle, as usual, is to conceal we’ve a degree of trouble, when attempting to divine what the heck is happening with Lloyds share price. Since our previous review, it failed to trigger any drop triggers, instead opting to his a gain trigger yet not rising to our initial 57p target on the first surge. Instead, it has flopped uselessly, a bit like one of Lee Macs overconfident guests on “The 1% Club”. (Our 11 and 13 year old monsters each made it to his 40% question on the Xmas show!). If we take the stance the gain trigger was hit first, above 55p should now trigger movement to an initial 57 with our longer term secondary, if bettered, calculating at 60.8p, along with almost certain hesitation unless the market starts gapping Lloyds up. In such a scenario, the unspoken implication will be to force the market to exceed 60.8p and create a new trend toward an eventual 92p.

Our alternate scenario kicks in, if the index wanders below 52.7p as this now risks promoting reversal to an initial 49.1 with our secondary, if broken, a hopeful (though unlikely) bottom at 45p.

 

Best wishes for a prosperous New Year. As usual, we’re off on the 1st and 2nd, publishing our first Live Market report to subscribers on the 3rd of January.

 

FUTURES

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
1:24:29AM BRENT 7372 Nothing makes sense
1:27:04AM GOLD 2624.21 2584 2579 2530 2610 2640 2647 2668 2620
1:28:57AM FTSE 8145.9 8113 8094 8071 8147 8161 8194 8259 8114
1:32:00AM STOX50 4903.1 4847 4820 4789 4877 4913 4919 4957 4884
1:36:34AM GERMANY 19987 19883 19865 19823 19961 20015 20109 20212 19947
1:38:45AM US500 5971.4 5931 5919 5888 5983 5982 5991 6011 5969
2:19:12AM DOW 42959.5 42752 42607 42347 42956 43089 43179 43322 42911
3:10:43AM NASDAQ 21476.5 21277 21244 21037 21442 21515 21618 21731 21460
3:13:29AM JAPAN 39984 39830 39692 39456 40099 40285 40464 41216 40044

 

29/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8149 points. Change of 0.58%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,693,002,049 a change of -21.42%
23/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8102 points. Change of 0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,427,016,579 a change of -68.02%
20/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8084 points. Change of -0.26%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,715,072,684 a change of 85.06%
19/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8105 points. Change of -1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,790,138,165 a change of 13.02%
18/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8191 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,123,160,668 a change of 0%
17/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8195 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,670,012,289 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Asos, Capita, HSBC, International Distribution, Rockhopper, Tullow,

LSE:ASC Asos. Close Mid-Price: 434.6 Percentage Change: + 0.60% Day High: 454.2 Day Low: 414.4

Further movement against Asos ABOVE 454.2 should improve acceleration tow ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 13.8 Percentage Change: -1.85% Day High: 14.12 Day Low: 13.8

Continued weakness against CPI taking the price below 13.8 calculates as ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 777.1 Percentage Change: + 0.66% Day High: 777.4 Day Low: 771.5

Target met. In the event of HSBC enjoying further trades beyond 777.4, th ……..

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LSE:IDS International Distribution. Close Mid-Price: 362.8 Percentage Change: + 0.06% Day High: 363.8 Day Low: 362.6

Continued trades against IDS with a mid-price ABOVE 363.8 should improve ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 23.2 Percentage Change: + 2.65% Day High: 24.6 Day Low: 22.8

Continued trades against RKH with a mid-price ABOVE 24.6 should improve t ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 19.36 Percentage Change: + 1.89% Day High: 19.58 Day Low: 18.92

Target met. Weakness on Tullow below 18.92 will invariably lead to 15p wi ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Posted on

FTSE pre Santa (FTSE:UKX) looks boring!

#Gold #FTSE

 

With a small “whoopsie”, it proved stupid leaving Xmas shopping until Monday. Here in Argyll, business’ bend over backward to be helpful, pleasant, and provide outstanding customer service. The only problem is they don’t behave like money greedy establishments but instead, opt to open at 11am and close at 4pm, ensuring there is no rush in their personal life. My personal problem occurred, deciding to do the dog walk, then heading up to the town and discovering the high street was lined with wonderfully decorated closed shops. Thankfully, my wifes “big” present had already arrived but unfortunately, there is still a daughter and her two daughters to cater for. Knowing exactly what is being purchased for each doesn’t help, when on the busiest two day week of the year the shops have closed.

To be honest, the real culprit was myself, one of the shop owners being a personal friend and we regularly bump into each other when walking our animals. The personal failure to communicate with my own brain ensures I shall be fulfilling the eternal cliche, a husband doing Xmas shopping on Xmas eve. Me, I thought I was a grown up but that theory has now fallen apart.

 

Traditionally Xmas Eve on the markets is pretty much a waste of time, it being easy to suppose the nice folks who run the markets have taken the day off, leaving a few scared interns in control until the first full week of January. Historically, we’ve a very low opinion of the markets during the festive season, expecting anything which is lucky enough to go up finding itself forced back down before the grown ups return from holiday.

We’re using a lot of waffle to conceal the fact we’re not entirely comfortable with market movement potentials on Xmas Eve. Apparently, if the FTSE exceeds 8107 points (it closed at 8996 points), we should anticipate movement to an initial 8124 points with our alleged secondary calculating at 8148 points. Historical experience suggests any movement to the primary target shall probably occur in the final few minutes of the day, before everything closes at 12.30pm.

Our converse scenario includes reversal to an initial 8069 points, should 8076 break and our secondary works out at a believable 8059 points. To be fair, the market is already looking like it doesn’t want to open on Tuesday, instead preferring to go shopping here in Argyll where everything is open late and closing early.

 

Have a good Christmas, hopefully without the chaos of our house thanks to Grand-daughters planning a Xmas performance with obligatory attendance!

 

FUTURES

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
10:38:57PM BRENT 7265.8 7171 7134 7031 7305 7370 7410 7444 7237
10:46:28PM GOLD 2615.36 2584 2558 2503 2628 2635 2649 2671 2608
10:51:37PM FTSE 8122.5 8065 7902 7739 8110 8149 8202 8271 8073
2:57:52AM STOX50 4870 4825 4803 4734 4865 4883 4914 4950 4842
3:13:09AM GERMANY 19883 19785 19577 19255 19926 19965 20128 20288 19805
3:15:23AM US500 6947.5 6916 6811 6706 6930 6996 7039 7098 6937
3:22:20AM DOW 42898 42732 42636 42429 42797 43061 43256 43502 42795
3:25:02AM JAPAN 39038 39003 38707 38220 39222 39347 39768 40240 39037
23/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8102 points. Change of 0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,427,016,579 a change of -68.02%
20/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8084 points. Change of -0.26%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,715,072,684 a change of 85.06%
19/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8105 points. Change of -1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,790,138,165 a change of 13.02%
18/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8191 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,123,160,668 a change of -23.19%
17/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8195 points. Change of -0.81%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,670,012,289 a change of 49.11%
16/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8262 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,473,170,966 a change of 7.01%
13/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8300 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,180,122,576 a change of -10.3%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share:

********

Updated charts published on :

*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Posted on

Natwest Group Plc (LSE:NWG)

#Brent #GermanyDax #ElonMusk_please_re-x!   Sunday was “one of these days…” It was a bit windy up here in Argyll. For instance, when I decided to do the dog walk and habitually picked up one of the kitchen bins, the contents were tipped – correctly – into the recycle bin. Leaving the kitchen bin outside, the walk commenced with the intention of taking the bin indoors when we returned.  But on return, the black kitchen recycle bin had vanished, not embedded in the hedge and not across the road on the sea shore. It was just “gone”. My wife returned home, couldn’t believe I’d been so stupid as to lose a bin and undertook her own search, even including checking the gully down to the stream which was really a dangerous torrent. Somehow or other, the big flip top kitchen bin had vanished, presumably picked up by one of the wind tornadoes slicing across the surface of the sea.

The dog walk hadn’t even gone as planned. In winter, the typical SUV or pickup will have a rope concealed somewhere, able to pull folk out of ditches. Also carried habitually is a chainsaw, able to cope with a fallen tree blocking the road. Our usual route to the dog walk was blocked by a downed tree. Actually, the road was blocked by a couple of pickups and a bunch of guys slicing the tree up to clear the road. It’s one of these things, fallen trees happen all the time but it’s a rare event when you and your chainsaw are on hand. Wandering into the scene, there were actually four chainsaws in use, a bloke coming across to advise the road would be clear in a minute. And nope, they really didn’t need someone else with a chainsaw… After a complicated three point turn (more like 8 points on single track road) we headed back to a beach, confident no trees would spoil the day. Of course, a beach with loads of seaweed on the shore is dog heaven, so a smelly and wet Golden Retriever ensured the afternoon was ruined.

Finally deciding a quick perusal of the rear garden was in order, my little red tractor was in full view. When I last used it a few weeks ago, I’d decided to leave it outside its shed, so I could “winterise” the nasty little brute. But plans fell apart due to rain, so a big tarpaulin had been covering the thing, tied in place by heavy duty rope and a few big fenceposts holding the tarpaulin down on the engine cowl and the seat. The tractor was naked, the 6 metre by 3 metre cover now a thing of the past, vanished into  the Land of Oz, a destination clearly in need of a kitchen bin and big tarp.

Sunday decided to finish amusing as by finding our daughter and grand-daughters, visiting for Xmas, were stranded across on the mainland, the ferries cancelled due to the winds. Worse, her electric Renault was low on battery power and all the charging stations she could find were either out of order or occupied. For some reason, she wanted heating on, especially as it was a little cold. After 3 hours, the ferries decided to run again and scare their passengers silly with mountainous seas. But the worst part of the day was still to come, when some Maris Piper potatoes decided to spoil our calm.

My wife has decided a range of wire frame baskets look great in the kitchen and I designed some funky custom brackets, printing them on my 3d printer. The array of basked look great but I wasn’t prepared for her emptying 3kg of potatoes into one of the baskets, my brackets immediately breaking with gravity bringing a domino effect against the other baskets below.. Sunday evening has been a task of “printing” another batch of redesigned brackets, hopefully impossible to break even if the decision is made to dump a bunch of heavy coconuts into one. The irritation with the 3d printer is how absolutely EVERYTHING lies to you. According to the software, the print job should take just 28 minutes and use 1.74 metres of plastic filament cable. Instead, nearly 2 hours and just under 5 metres of cable were used. It’s irritating, because I find it safest to keep an eye on print jobs as left to their own devices, a 3d printer will cheerfully deliver a bowl of spaghetti rather than whatever they were programmed for. Next Xmas, I think a more expensive printer shall be on my wish list!

 

And as for Natwest, reviewing the share potentials after such a rotten Sunday, there’s obviously a risk of ones brain being in the wrong place but there’s a serious risk the share price is about to bounce again. From our perspective, the recent visit to 420 confirmed happy days were ahead and despite reversals to around 390p, we’re not particularly concerned. Yes, there is a risk of below 391 bringing a trip down to 373p but it really doesn’t feel such a great threat. Share price reversals since December 9th had prove rather contrived, presenting a visual effect of the market “just” playing games. Natwest currently requires below 350p to induce panic!

More probably, if our suspicion of a bounce from current levels is justified, above just 398 should trigger recovery to an initial 402p with our secondary, if bettered, a rather more Christmassy 406p. Okay, neither are especially interesting, but the ruling attraction is being views as 415p and chance of some hesitation, due to the share price matching prior highs.

 

Have a great Christmas. We might produce a headline section on Monday evening, even though no-one will read it and the markets shut at lunchtime Tuesday. And as usual, the most market activity will occur between 12 noon and 12.30, so the UK can pretend to be working on Xmas Eve. Apparently, this year we are to follow a Polish tradition of feasting and swapping presents on Xmas Eve but, to be honest, we suspect this is our grand-daughters inventing a reason to get their presents a day early. There is certainly an attraction to enjoying a seriously lazy Xmas day, snacks, cheese & crackers, wine, and more snacks!

 

 

FUTURES

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
10:52:04PM BRENT 7273 7177 7160 7080 7245 7306 7321 7369 7260
11:17:14PM GOLD 2621.55 2619
11:38:04PM FTSE 8085.8 8065
11:40:17PM STOX50 4863.5 4867
10:53:48PM GERMANY 19906.7 19643 19586 19273 19864 19959 20004 20123 19889
11:11:09PM US500 5956 5942
12:02:19AM DOW 42971 42938
12:06:44AM NASDAQ 21393 21365

 

20/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8084 points. Change of -0.26%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,715,072,684 a change of 85.06%
19/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8105 points. Change of -1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,790,138,165 a change of 13.02%
18/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8191 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,123,160,668 a change of -23.19%
17/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8195 points. Change of -0.81%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,670,012,289 a change of 49.11%
16/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8262 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,473,170,966 a change of 7.01%
13/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8300 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,180,122,576 a change of -10.3%
12/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8311 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,660,074,740 a change of -19.71%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Block Energy PLC, Glencore Xstra, British Airways, International Personal Finance, Ocado Plc, Tullow, Taylor Wimpey,

LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 457.2 Percentage Change: -0.31% Day High: 459.1 Day Low: 451.9

Continued weakness against AV. taking the price below 451.9 calculates as ……..

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LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC Close Mid-Price: 0.68 Percentage Change: -3.57% Day High: 0.7 Day Low: 0.68

Weakness on Block Energy PLC below 0.68 will invariably lead to 0.6p with ……..

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra Close Mid-Price: 352.9 Percentage Change: -0.34% Day High: 354.25 Day Low: 348.35

Target met. If Glencore Xstra experiences continued weakness below 348.35 ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 305.8 Percentage Change: + 1.26% Day High: 305.8 Day Low: 300.6

In the event of British Airways enjoying further trades beyond 305.8, th ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 126 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 127.5 Day Low: 124.5

Continued weakness against IPF taking the price below 124.5 calculates as ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc. Close Mid-Price: 305 Percentage Change: + 2.97% Day High: 309.3 Day Low: 293

Continued weakness against OCDO taking the price below 293 calculates as ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 19.64 Percentage Change: -6.48% Day High: 21.08 Day Low: 19.42

Target met. If Tullow experiences continued weakness below 19.42, it will ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 122.15 Percentage Change: + 0.37% Day High: 122.75 Day Low: 120.75

Continued weakness against TW. taking the price below 120.75 calculates a ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Posted on

FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX)

#FTSE hashtags don’t work in X!

When Bank of England economists concluded maintaining high interest rates and therefore, high prices and damage to the UK economy, was the way to fight prices going up, remains a jaw dropping type of logic from some sort of mirror universe. When the fact the Government recently increased the tax on jobs (Employers National Insurance), it’s hard not to conclude both the UK Government and the Bank of England are at war with the country, doing their best to dampen down any hope of things getting better. The whole shambles starts to feel like surgeons deliberately botching heart surgery to ensure the patient dies, thus “curing” the patient of any future cardiac problems. When the UK got to the point where unemployment levels were actually falling, it’s questionable why hitting employers with an additional tax on jobs made any sense.

As expected, the FTSE reacted negatively to the news about UK Interest Rates, actually managing to exceed the drop on Budget Day at the end of October!

 

From an immediate perspective, we’re inclined to anticipate further reversals on the market, perhaps even testing the Red uptrend since 2023. But of course, our software is giving a UK inspired miserable view as below 8078 points calculate with the potential of travel down to an initial 8015 points. This certainly comes close to the Red uptrend but our secondary if a worry, calculating at 7900 points and the potential for breaking the most recent uptrend, spelling a miserable start to 2025.

Should this trigger, the tightest stop is at 8125 points.

 

Our scenario, if things intend go right for the UK index, it needs above 8125 points to hopefully trigger an initial 8144 points with our secondary, if bettered, at 8168 points. Despite this being a vaguely attractive points gain, it presents a visual issue, making it harder for the index to climb higher… Unless, of course, some index chaos kicks in. Perhaps the UK government will discover people need air to breath and it isn’t being taxed yet?

Have a good weekend.

 

FUTURES

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:36:16PM BRENT 7241.5 7233 7160 7078 7283 7369 7411 7471 7288 Shambles
10:38:44PM GOLD 2593.9 2584 2564.5 2544 2601 2626 2641 2660 2603
10:42:49PM FTSE 8110.7 8079 8061 7953 8139 8140 8160 8187 8108
10:47:53PM STOX50 4870.9 4864 4849 4796 4911 4911 4931 4953 4879 Success
10:58:15PM GERMANY 19945 19934 19906 19840 20001 20105 20177 20258 19973
11:02:10PM US500 5868.4 5864 5831 5796 5890 5936 5948 5976 5880
11:05:47PM DOW 42351.5 42289 42113 41895 42509 42758 42885 43076 42500 ‘cess
11:10:05PM NASDAQ 21093.4 21072 21011 20881 21182 21402 21555 21735 21231 ‘cess
11:12:50PM JAPAN 38885 38713 38495 38202 38930 39376 39430 39666 39100 Success

 

19/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8105 points. Change of -1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,790,138,165 a change of 13.02%
18/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8191 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,123,160,668 a change of -23.19%
17/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8195 points. Change of -0.81%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,670,012,289 a change of 49.11%
16/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8262 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,473,170,966 a change of 7.01%
13/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8300 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,180,122,576 a change of -10.3%
12/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8311 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,660,074,740 a change of -19.71%
11/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8301 points. Change of 0.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,804,184,495 a change of 29.66%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:GENL Genel** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:SDY Speedyhire** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Carclo, Capita, Genel, Glencore Xstra, International Personal Finance, National Glib, Ocado Plc, Speedyhire,

LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 458.6 Percentage Change: -1.14% Day High: 460.4 Day Low: 456.1

Target met. Weakness on Aviva below 456.1 will invariably lead to 450p wi ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo. Close Mid-Price: 25.8 Percentage Change: + 2.38% Day High: 25 Day Low: 23.6

Target met. In the event Carclo experiences weakness below 23.6 it calcul ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 14.26 Percentage Change: -2.46% Day High: 14.5 Day Low: 13.9

Weakness on Capita below 13.9 will invariably lead to 11p with secondary ……..

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LSE:GENL Genel Close Mid-Price: 62 Percentage Change: -2.82% Day High: 62.6 Day Low: 58.8

Target met. Continued weakness against GENL taking the price below 58.8 c ……..

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra Close Mid-Price: 354.1 Percentage Change: -2.26% Day High: 358.55 Day Low: 353.7

Target met. In the event Glencore Xstra experiences weakness below 353.7 ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance Close Mid-Price: 126 Percentage Change: -1.56% Day High: 128.5 Day Low: 125.5

If International Personal Finance experiences continued weakness below 12 ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib Close Mid-Price: 921.6 Percentage Change: -0.50% Day High: 923 Day Low: 915.2

Target met. Continued weakness against NG. taking the price below 915.2 c ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 296.2 Percentage Change: -2.15% Day High: 301 Day Low: 294.9

Weakness on Ocado Plc below 294.9 will invariably lead to 279p with secon ……..

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LSE:SDY Speedyhire Close Mid-Price: 27.9 Percentage Change: -3.96% Day High: 29.5 Day Low: 27.7

Weakness on Speedyhire below 27.7 will invariably lead to 24 with our sec ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Posted on

Eckoh Plc (LSE:ECK) about to break free?

#Gold #WallSt  This is a share which we’ve decided to include in our December “advent calendar” listings.  It’s quite fascinating how the market decided to gap the share price up, then stop the price moving. If we’d to guess, it looks like fairly standard takeover behaviour, shareholders now waiting to see if the board of directors opt to accept whatever part of the deal is best for their own pockets, rather than bothering about shareholders. However, in this instance, something very positive has happened, the market clearly allocating some interest in the future.

With the price being gapped above the Blue downtrend, it also now resides in “higher high” territory at levels not seen since 2021. This is one of these illogical situations, the opposite to the truism of “never catching a falling knife” when trying to assume a price cannot fall further. This attitude is rarely rewarded with anything other than a bunch of shareholders walking funny, their investment going horribly wrong. In this instance, the converse could be true as while you should never try and catch the falling metaphorical knife, it often can prove wise to grab hold of something which is heading up. And this is what the market are enacting with payment provider, Eckoh.

 

The situation now suggests traffic above 53.7p should next trigger gains to an initial 60p which, if bettered, allows for a secondary at 70p. Visually, there is certainly ample excuse for some hesitation to occur at the 60p level but applying conventional charty wisdom, the strong suggestion given is of this intending to head up.

Our problem comes from a Big Picture argument, presented by our software, as it presents a Long Term 96p as a viable ambition, now the share resides in recovery territory. We suspect this shall be worth keeping an eye on in case whatever potential deal is currently being offered falls apart.

If things intend go wrong, the share price needs close below 47p, this being a perfect point to invest in running shoes…

 

 

FUTURES

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:09:17PM BRENT 7279
11:14:54PM GOLD 2589 2585 2572 2535 2596 2625 2640 2659 2604 Success
11:35:11PM FTSE 8118.3 Success
11:38:34PM STOX50 4888 Success
11:41:36PM GERMANY 19988.2 Success
11:44:54PM US500 5881.5 Success
11:48:45PM DOW 42405.5 42162 42119 41137 42422 42535 42674 42844 42329 Success
11:52:26PM NASDAQ 21229.6 Success
11:55:51PM JAPAN 38665 Success

 

18/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8191 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,123,160,668 a change of -23.19%
17/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8195 points. Change of -0.81%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,670,012,289 a change of 49.11%
16/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8262 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,473,170,966 a change of 7.01%
13/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8300 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,180,122,576 a change of -10.3%
12/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8311 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,660,074,740 a change of -19.71%
11/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8301 points. Change of 0.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,804,184,495 a change of 29.66%
10/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8280 points. Change of -0.86%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,476,630,300 a change of -11.71%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Carclo, HSBC, British Airways, National Glib, Ocado Plc, Quadrise,

LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 463.9 Percentage Change: -0.79% Day High: 468.9 Day Low: 462.9

If Aviva experiences continued weakness below 462.9, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 25.2 Percentage Change: -6.67% Day High: 27 Day Low: 24.8

Target met. Continued weakness against CAR taking the price below 24.8 ca ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 767.9 Percentage Change: + 1.35% Day High: 769.4 Day Low: 759.6

Target met. All HSBC needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 769.4 to improve ac ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 302.8 Percentage Change: + 1.85% Day High: 304.9 Day Low: 300.1

Further movement against British Airways ABOVE 304.9 should improve acce ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib Close Mid-Price: 926.2 Percentage Change: -1.11% Day High: 938.8 Day Low: 924.6

Weakness on National Glib below 924.6 will invariably lead to 919p with s ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 302.7 Percentage Change: -0.85% Day High: 305.8 Day Low: 296.2

In the event Ocado Plc experiences weakness below 296.2 it calculates wit ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise Close Mid-Price: 5.35 Percentage Change: -8.55% Day High: 6.3 Day Low: 5.3

Target met. Further movement against Quadrise ABOVE 6.3 should improve ac ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares