Author: T&T Staff

#Gold #FTSE The subject of a few recent emails asking our opinion, we’d never come across FTSE 250 member IntegraFin until folk started asking questions, this generally being a sign something may be brewing and hopefully not misplaced optimism in an internet chatroom. To be fair, their movement history since being listed in 2018 is fairly typical and now, the share price appears to be on the edge of making realistic gains.

There certainly appears to be an issue at the 290p level as since 2022, the share price has been regularly forced down below such a point. However, since some movements last December, we’re justified in taking an interest as it looks possible something interesting is brewing. More useful, since the price made its initial surge upward at the end of 2023, the share price appears keen to define yet another trend for itself, making it plain the Blue downtrend matters on no less than 7 occasions in just a few weeks. This behaviour, ideally, allows us to establish a trigger level for future positive movements.

This being the case, we’ve opted to establish a trigger level at 307p as movement above such a point calculates with the chance of a lift to 323p with secondary, if beaten, a longer term 335p. Visually, there’s a threat of some hesitation at the 335p level, given prior highs. Essentially, a bunch of folk trapped since the start of 2023 can be expected to ditch their shares, thus provoking some selling pressure. Only with closure above 335p shall we date start expressing hope for a future wander uphill to an eventual 457p.

 

For now, the share price is trading below Blue on the chart and therefore, at risk of a hysterical fall.

Below 273p would now be regarded as a bad thing, introducing the threat of reversal to 257p with secondary, if broken, a rather more damaging 208p, along with the visual expectation of a rebound.

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:19:26PM	BRENT	7991
9:22:36PM	GOLD	2012.58	2011	2009	1999	2021	2037	2046	2058	2024	‘cess
10:15:56PM	FTSE	7507.2	7496	7484	7466	7524	7540	7563	7617	7510
10:21:31PM	STOX50	4557									Success
10:42:31PM	GERMANY	16875									Success
10:48:57PM	US500	4871.9									Success
10:53:41PM	DOW	37871									Shambles
11:00:31PM	NASDAQ	17504.9									Success
11:20:41PM	JAPAN	36191

 

24/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7527 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,729,886,078 a change of -8.08%

23/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7486 points. Change of -0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,145,475,949 a change of 1.4%

22/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7487 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,074,323,347 a change of -15.67%

19/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of 0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,017,076,844 a change of 5.37%

18/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7459 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,710,434,313 a change of 4.63%

17/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7446 points. Change of -1.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,457,663,350 a change of -3.81%

16/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7558 points. Change of -0.47%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,801,232 a change of 52.3%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:EME Empyrean** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:ITRK Intertek** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:SRP Serco** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **

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Updated charts published on : Empyrean, Experian, EasyJet, Intertek, Lloyds Grp., Serco, Tern Plc,

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LSE:EME Empyrean Close Mid-Price: 0.4 Percentage Change: -15.79% Day High: 0.4 Day Low: 0.38

Continued weakness against EME taking the price below 0.38 calculates as ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3246 Percentage Change: + 0.78% Day High: 3268 Day Low: 3214

Target met. In the event of Experian enjoying further trades beyond 3268, ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet. Close Mid-Price: 520.2 Percentage Change: + 2.36% Day High: 538.4 Day Low: 514.6

Continued trades against EZJ with a mid-price ABOVE 538.4 should improve ……..

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LSE:ITRK Intertek. Close Mid-Price: 4390 Percentage Change: + 0.69% Day High: 4396 Day Low: 4355

In the event of Intertek enjoying further trades beyond 4396, the share s ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp. Close Mid-Price: 42.16 Percentage Change: -2.10% Day High: 43.47 Day Low: 41.98

Continued weakness against LLOY taking the price below 41.98 calculates a ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco. Close Mid-Price: 173.3 Percentage Change: + 3.03% Day High: 173.8 Day Low: 167.4

Target met. Continued trades against SRP with a mid-price ABOVE 173.8 sho ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc Close Mid-Price: 2.09 Percentage Change: -27.30% Day High: 2.15 Day Low: 1.75

Target met. Continued weakness against TERN taking the price below 1.75 c ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#FTSE #Nasdaq Due to a little bout of leukaemia, I’m probably more interested in Hemogenyx than most people should have any right to. Most folk, wandering down a cancer path, start to become extremely frustrated at all the nonsense “cures” constantly promised in clickbait stories. Some promise cures in a vague tomorrow, some promise cures with miracle herbs, spices, or berries but unfortunately, not a single person is ever cured by a “promise”. Eventually, by the simple expedient of not buying newspapers, folk insulate themselves from constant disappointment.

One such “promise” sticks in mind, the promise of Stem Cell treatment. The newspaper article made it all sound very simple. A compatible family member would be sat in one chair and plumbed into a special machine. The person suffering from a cancer would sit alongside and also plumbed in. After a few hours, Stem Cells would be transferred from the healthy person to the ill one and voila, within just a few weeks a blood cancer would be eradicated. The media made it read like a simple process, one which would be available to everyone. But the reality was it was just in testing and wonderful early results didn’t stand the test of time. Companies involved in the field had a lot more work to do but for months, nurses and consultants in cancer units were being bombarded with questions by patients who felt ignored by not being offered the miracle treatment.

Before sounding terribly dramatic, my own version of leukaemia isn’t fatal, requiring regular (daily in my case) tedious chemotherapy. I do keep a weather eye open, glancing at the inevitable medical journals which grace the waiting room of the vampire unit which specialises in blood disorders but the mantra, “don’t hold your breath” remains the best advice possible. However, a recent email jelled with an article I’d read about Hemogenyx Pharmaceuticals, a company we previously reviewed a few years ago, one which is active in my own field, and also a share price which we were not terribly enthusiastic about.

 

As expected, their share price crumbled but didn’t actually reach our ‘worst case’ ultimate  bottom of 0.75p, instead falling to an all time low of just 1p and doing very little useful in the period since. This failure to attain an ultimate bottom actually justifies some hope, usually indicating hidden strength. The immediate situation certainly gives an excuse for some optimism, allowing us to create a scenario where above just 3.5p should next trigger share price recovery to an initial 4.8p with our secondary, if beaten, a cheerful looking 6.75p. Visually, there’s an almost certain expectation of some hesitation at the 6.75p level but in this instance, beware if the market opts to gap the share upward by around 0.7p, if the company opt to provide good news.

Such an event shall be regarded as significant, moving the price into a region where upward travel of some strength becomes expected. Despite an obvious personal bias, we suspect this shall prove worthy of watching.

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:57:58PM	BRENT	7926.9									‘cess
10:00:11PM	GOLD	2028.97									‘cess
10:04:15PM	FTSE	7506.1	7457	7434	7403	7507	7529	7562	7615	7483
10:15:50PM	STOX50	4483.3									Shambles
10:18:27PM	GERMANY	16678.5									‘cess
10:21:36PM	US500	4871.3
10:24:01PM	DOW	37924.5									‘cess
10:26:40PM	NASDAQ	17428	17284	17258	17198	17370	17434	17452	17508	17374	Shambles
10:30:09PM	JAPAN	36511									‘cess

 

23/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7486 points. Change of -0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,145,475,949 a change of 1.4%

22/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7487 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,074,323,347 a change of -15.67%

19/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of 0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,017,076,844 a change of 5.37%

18/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7459 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,710,434,313 a change of 4.63%

17/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7446 points. Change of -1.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,457,663,350 a change of -3.81%

16/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7558 points. Change of -0.47%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,801,232 a change of 52.3%

15/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7594 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,725,366,941 a change of -35.31%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:FOXT Foxtons** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, Diageo, Foxtons, Lloyds Grp.,

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LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 433.2 Percentage Change: -1.39% Day High: 441.9 Day Low: 434.3

All Aviva needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 441.9 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 2685.5 Percentage Change: -0.56% Day High: 2711 Day Low: 2676

In the event Diageo experiences weakness below 2676 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:FOXT Foxtons. Close Mid-Price: 54.1 Percentage Change: + 1.50% Day High: 56 Day Low: 53.6

Target met. Continued trades against FOXT with a mid-price ABOVE 56 shoul ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp. Close Mid-Price: 43.06 Percentage Change: -0.83% Day High: 43.85 Day Low: 43.09

The share from hell continues to confirm its residence in somewhere like M ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

)#Gold #SP500 JD’s decision to deliver a late Christmas present to investors, starting 2024 with a cheery profits warning, managed to utterly trash their share price and movements since continue to sow confusion. What we find a little interesting are the number of emails asking where we can calculate an eventual bottom, suggesting folk are keeping a fairly close eye on the price.

Perhaps there is already a degree of inherent strength, the share already bouncing from the Red pandemic low uptrend. This bounce allows us to create a box ticking scenario, one where we can take movement above 118.75p as hopefully ticking the first box suggesting any gains may prove viable. As the share is currently trading around 115p, it certainly doesn’t have far to go for an attempt at our first major trigger level. Share price gains exceeding 118.75 calculate with the potential of a lift to an initial 124p with secondary, if beaten, at 136p.

It’s certainly curious how recovery such as this shall certainly tickle the forced price from from the start of this year, almost hinting the drop was perhaps overcooked. Confirmation of such will be given, if there’s any effort made to gap this share price upward as we will be inclined to believe a cycle of gains can be expected to continue.

 

Of course, there’s an obvious risk of trouble, thanks to companies generally being pretty circumspect when throwing around profit warnings. As a result, the worst may not be over yet and the share price now needs only slink below 105p to dial in the potential of a visit to 95p and a price level which is visually a bounce point. In the event such a level breaks, our secondary works out at 75p and we think any recovery from such a level shall require patience and probably the right market conditions.

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:15:02PM	BRENT	7949
9:18:04PM	GOLD	2020.16	2017	2013	2004	2026	2030	2035	2041	2023
10:01:52PM	FTSE	7487									Shambles
10:03:43PM	STOX50	4471.7									‘cess
11:34:53PM	GERMANY	16664.5									‘cess
11:41:01PM	US500	4852.2	4844	4834	4823	4858	4869	4896	4930	4844	‘cess
11:44:56PM	DOW	37996.5									‘cess
11:48:28PM	NASDAQ	17341.5
11:50:49PM	JAPAN	36631									‘cess

 

22/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7487 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,074,323,347 a change of -15.67%

19/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of 0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,017,076,844 a change of 5.37%

18/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7459 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,710,434,313 a change of 4.63%

17/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7446 points. Change of -1.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,457,663,350 a change of -3.81%

16/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7558 points. Change of -0.47%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,801,232 a change of 52.3%

15/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7594 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,725,366,941 a change of -35.31%

12/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7624 points. Change of 0.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,758,721,485 a change of -30.28%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:EME Empyrean** **LSE:FOXT Foxtons** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **LSE:SRP Serco** **

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Updated charts published on : Avacta, BP PLC, Empyrean, Foxtons, Fresnillo, Glencore Xstra, Greggs, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Serco,

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LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 101 Percentage Change: -2.88% Day High: 104 Day Low: 99.5

Target met. Weakness on Avacta below 99.5 will invariably lead to 98p wit ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 446.05 Percentage Change: + 0.06% Day High: 448.35 Day Low: 441.1

If BP PLC experiences continued weakness below 441.1, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:EME Empyrean Close Mid-Price: 0.48 Percentage Change: -13.64% Day High: 0.5 Day Low: 0.4

Target met. If Empyrean experiences continued weakness below 0.4, it will ……..

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LSE:FOXT Foxtons. Close Mid-Price: 53.3 Percentage Change: + 2.30% Day High: 54 Day Low: 52.1

In the event of Foxtons enjoying further trades beyond 54, the share shou ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 477.8 Percentage Change: + 0.17% Day High: 484.8 Day Low: 474.9

In the event Fresnillo experiences weakness below 474.9 it calculates wit ……..

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra Close Mid-Price: 397.9 Percentage Change: -3.49% Day High: 414.75 Day Low: 397.45

Target met. If Glencore Xstra experiences continued weakness below 397.45 ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs. Close Mid-Price: 2708 Percentage Change: + 0.67% Day High: 2732 Day Low: 2680

In the event of Greggs enjoying further trades beyond 2732, the share sho ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 7490 Percentage Change: + 0.92% Day High: 7558 Day Low: 7432

Further movement against Intercontinental Hotels Group ABOVE 7558 should ……..

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LSE:ITM ITM Power Close Mid-Price: 45.12 Percentage Change: -3.90% Day High: 47.46 Day Low: 43.2

Target met. Continued weakness against ITM taking the price below 43.2 ca ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco. Close Mid-Price: 167.6 Percentage Change: + 0.84% Day High: 170 Day Low: 166.3

In the event of Serco enjoying further trades beyond 170, the share shoul ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Brent #WallSt March 2007 was an interesting year, a time which gave birth to the Blue downtrend on the NatWest chart. It’d be reasonable to question whether a ridiculous 18 year old chart has any relevance but when we delve into how the market was treating Natwest during 2023 and current, you’d need the moral intellect of a Post Office senior manager to deny the evidence of the last 12 months.

As someone who’s been involved with software design for rather a long time, the original article in Computer Weekly made fascinating reading, a memorable disaster clearly waiting to happen. It was obvious the sub-post masters were the victims of a corporate body determined to defend a faulty product, rather than take any action. As the years went by and prosecutions and deaths continued, any occasional article in the media was once again rebutted by the Post Office defending their “robust” system. Essentially, it was a case where no-one now dared admit to a terrible mistake and now, it’s unlikely anyone senior in the organisation shall suffer the deserved consequences of their often corrupt practices.

Which takes us back to 2007 and the dawn of the banking shambles. Aside from the odd knighthood being rescinded, the banking industry in the UK managed to find itself insulated from blame, a quite different set of circumstances to Europe and the USA. Even Iceland discovered the urge to charge several senior members of their banking community.

 

If this Blue line is the stick with which Natwest continues to be beaten, the market has been doing a fascinating job assuring us of its importance. In December, the share price broke above the trend but price movements in recent days indicate some alarm, almost promising weakness next below 203p shall provoke reversal to an initial 191p with secondary, if broken, at 180p and hopefully a rebound. There’s a dangerous implication, should the share value close a session below 180p and a sharp reversal to a bottom at 141p becomes possible.

However, the index has been throwing plenty of trend break signals at us, all of which conspire to suggest above 225p shall promote price recovery to 263p with secondary, if beaten, an encouraging 294p along with an urgent need for us to again review the tea leaves.

For now, we think it intends 180p.

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
10:45:45PM	BRENT	7341.3	7320	7303	7250	7356	7405	7461	7628	7342
10:48:25PM	GOLD
10:50:24PM	FTSE
10:52:58PM	STOX50
10:54:44PM	GERMANY
11:34:11PM	US500
11:37:30PM	DOW	37900.8	37423	37208	36962	37560	37940	38037	38166	37833
11:42:16PM	NASDAQ
11:44:10PM	JAPAN

 

19/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of 0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,017,076,844 a change of 5.37%

18/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7459 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,710,434,313 a change of 4.63%

17/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7446 points. Change of -1.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,457,663,350 a change of -3.81%

16/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7558 points. Change of -0.47%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,801,232 a change of 52.3%

15/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7594 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,725,366,941 a change of -35.31%

12/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7624 points. Change of 0.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,758,721,485 a change of -30.28%

11/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7576 points. Change of -0.98%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,259,450,269 a change of 68.77%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **

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Updated charts published on : Diageo, Fresnillo, Glencore Xstra, Intercontinental Hotels Group, ITM Power,

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 2715.5 Percentage Change: -0.62% Day High: 2762.5 Day Low: 2699.5

Weakness on Diageo below 2699.5 will invariably lead to 2603p with second ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 477 Percentage Change: -1.16% Day High: 490.4 Day Low: 476.7

Continued weakness against FRES taking the price below 476.7 calculates a ……..

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra Close Mid-Price: 412.3 Percentage Change: -1.80% Day High: 421.95 Day Low: 411.45

In the event Glencore Xstra experiences weakness below 411.45 it calculat ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 7422 Percentage Change: + 1.06% Day High: 7474 Day Low: 7282

Target met. Continued trades against IHG with a mid-price ABOVE 7474 shou ……..

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LSE:ITM ITM Power Close Mid-Price: 46.95 Percentage Change: -8.01% Day High: 51.72 Day Low: 46.87

Target met. Weakness on ITM Power below 46.87 will invariably lead to 44. ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

This second  full week of work for the FTSE has proven less than interesting. Aside from a single movement at the open on Wednesday, the FTSE 100 generally is making fewer movements than our temperature gauge here in Argyll. And therein lies a story, a week without a boiler and -14c has proven “interesting”. The lounge and adjacent bedroom has been quite happy, due to an incredibly hungry wood burning stove. The rest of the house has struggled, an oil filled electric heater heroically failing to do much with the office. The secret weapon of an electric waistcoat (powered by a USB power bank) made evenings fairly tolerable and hopefully the engineer arrives on Friday with the magical part to get the boiler running again.

It was annoying to discover, via Google, complete burner assemblies were available for a few hundred pounds, a price which seems cheap after 4 days without on demand heat.

Oddly, the problem isn’t the fact it doesn’t work. It does, just it also fills the house with white noxious smoke and triggers all the emergency alarms, two of which we didn’t even know we had! Despite it being possible to reach behind the engineers bit of protective tape and turn the boiler on, just one attempt to “take the chill off” led us to decide freezing to death would be better.

Thankfully we shall remain forever grateful for the last minute discovery Air Source Heat Pumps don’t really work in Scotland. Below 5c and they turn into big consumers of electricity, this unfortunately being a fairly low bar here in Argyll. Our home has fantastic insulation but as most of winter is spent below 5c, the much hyped product was worth avoiding. The last straw was the owner of a company which makes the devices, going public and saying he wouldn’t recommend them in Scotland, due to excess electricity costs.

 

As for the FTSE, we’re a little uncomfortable as to its prospects. January is usually a little rubbish and given all the rubbish going on in the world currently, some hesitancy makes sense. This week has seen one of the more absurd statements from Government, saying interest rate reductions may prove slower, thanks to inflation rates from December. This, rather neatly, avoided admitting the real reason inflation rates were higher was entirely due to Government action by increasing duty during December on life’s good stuff (booze and tobacco). Meanwhile, those guilty are enjoying skiing in Davos and will doubtless return to the UK with their full duty free entitlement of cheap cigars, Silk Cut cigarettes and Johnny Walker Black Label. (There’s a fond memory here, my Mum returning from Barcelona in the 1960’s with my first flamenco guitar. She stuffed it full of Silk Cut, then instructed me to be a nuisance in the customs hall.)

Our expectation is for the FTSE to find its way down to 7384 points with any weakness below 7426 points. If triggered, the tightest stop is visually at 7475 points but realistically, if this triggers, we suspect the drop shall prove sharp. If this is indeed the markets cunning plan, should it open Friday below 7475 points and things are liable to go pear shaped. Overall, there’s a reasonable argument anticipating an eventual 7340 points to provide a trampoline movement.

Of course, there is always an alternate and less complex scenario. Above 7490 (and not with a spike in the opening second) should prove capable of a lift to a pitiful 7499 points. If bettered, our secondary works out at an exciting and unlikely, cycle to an eventual 7613 points.

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:23:49PM	BRENT	7868.3	7633	7532	7407	7755	7907	7984	8101	7857	Success
10:26:00PM	GOLD	2022.92	2006	2003	1996	2015	2024	2026	2034	2013
10:30:11PM	FTSE	7476.7	7429	7409	7383	7454	7487	7497	7528	7446	Success
10:37:21PM	STOX50	4468.7	4441	4431	4416	4459	4476	4482	4485	4467	Success
10:40:50PM	GERMANY	16607	16514	16490	16446	16574	16620	16646	16746	16550	Success
10:43:35PM	US500	4780.5	4740	4727	4707	4767	4788	4795	4822	4764	Success
10:45:52PM	DOW	37471.8	37130	37015	36842	37297	37534	37545	37604	37417	‘cess
11:18:23PM	NASDAQ	16987.4	16714	16590	16454	16780	16998	17064	17136	16874	Success
11:21:17PM	JAPAN	36071	35412	35137	34818	35626	36100	36435	36810	36001	Success

18/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7459 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,710,434,313 a change of 4.63%

17/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7446 points. Change of -1.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,457,663,350 a change of -3.81%

16/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7558 points. Change of -0.47%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,801,232 a change of 52.3%

15/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7594 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,725,366,941 a change of -35.31%

12/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7624 points. Change of 0.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,758,721,485 a change of -30.28%

11/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7576 points. Change of -0.98%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,259,450,269 a change of 68.77%

10/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7651 points. Change of -0.42%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,893,879,848 a change of -19.09%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:SDY Speedyhire** **

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Updated charts published on : Diageo, Intercontinental Hotels Group, International Personal Finance, Speedyhire,

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 2732.5 Percentage Change: -0.60% Day High: 2745 Day Low: 2712

Continued weakness against DGE taking the price below 2712 calculates as ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group. Close Mid-Price: 7344 Percentage Change: + 2.31% Day High: 7324 Day Low: 7164

In the event of Intercontinental Hotels Group enjoying further trades bey ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 115 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 115 Day Low: 112

Below 111.5 looks problematic, allowing for reversals to an initial 100p. ……..

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LSE:SDY Speedyhire Close Mid-Price: 33.05 Percentage Change: -1.20% Day High: 34.1 Day Low: 33

Now above just 35p should trigger price gains to an initial 38.8 with seco ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Gold #Nasdaq I remember a scare story when I was younger, one which proclaimed 1 in 10 people will get cancer. A few years later and the ratio changed to 1 in 5, and then there was a memorable night in a pub where four of us were joking about which one would get the illness.  From the perspective of the cancer industry, things continue to improve, a recent outlook suggesting 1 in 2 folk shall be diagnosed.

It’s certainly a growth market. From the four of us sitting in that pub joking about who was going to be the 1 in 4, three were diagnosed in the years which followed, allowing for one undeniable conclusion. The advertising industry is consistently rubbish at predicting just what’s going on in the world. The cynic within does question if the problem is of more cancers or is the real reason one of greater accuracy of diagnosis, ideally while the patient is still alive and able to present for testing.

Angle Plc appear to be producing some important products, in particular their breast cancer system which provides personalised cancer care through non-invasive liquid biopsy. Anything to improve the level of care in such a field is deserving of some attention but unfortunately, this doesn’t answer why Angle Plc have experienced such a rotten share price ride since 2022.

 

Thankfully, there are some early signs of optimism for the share price future but don’t get us wrong. The share is currently trading in a zone where we can calculate an “ultimate bottom”, the level below which we cannot calculate, down at just 5p. Perhaps the surge to 37 at the start of this year deserves some hope, creating an immediate situation where above just 26p should now trigger share price recovery to 35p. Such a scenario could be quite significant, allowing the price to break above the immediate downtrend and commence a cycle to a secondary target of 47p and beyond.

While this share price is presently trading in a pretty foul zone, it’s certainly not difficult to argue in favour of sharp recovery kicking off, due to any eventual closure above Blue taking the price into a region where a sharp future movement to an impressive looking 96p becomes possible.

Unlike cancer statistics, we suspect this one shall prove worth watching.

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:27:13PM	BRENT	7789.1
10:29:50PM	GOLD	2005.94	2001	1999	1900	2008	2030	2041	2054	2018	‘cess
10:33:12PM	FTSE	7433.2									Success
10:36:43PM	STOX50	4397.6									Success
10:39:24PM	GERMANY	16409									‘cess
10:42:02PM	US500	4735.8									‘cess
10:45:50PM	DOW	37283.5									‘cess
10:48:40PM	NASDAQ	16729	16566	16503	16370	16682	16775	16853	16950	16720
10:51:14PM	JAPAN	35507

 

17/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7446 points. Change of -1.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,457,663,350 a change of -3.81%

16/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7558 points. Change of -0.47%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,801,232 a change of 52.3%

15/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7594 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,725,366,941 a change of -35.31%

12/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7624 points. Change of 0.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,758,721,485 a change of -30.28%

11/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7576 points. Change of -0.98%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,259,450,269 a change of 68.77%

10/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7651 points. Change of -0.42%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,893,879,848 a change of -19.09%

9/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7683 points. Change of -0.14%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,048,276,632 a change of 28.89%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:SPT Spirent Comms** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **

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Updated charts published on : Avacta, BP PLC, Fresnillo, Hikma, Spirent Comms, Standard Chartered,

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LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 105 Percentage Change: -1.87% Day High: 106.5 Day Low: 102

In the event Avacta experiences weakness below 102 it calculates with a d ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC Close Mid-Price: 448.5 Percentage Change: -0.84% Day High: 450.45 Day Low: 442.2

Target met. In the event BP PLC experiences weakness below 442.2 it calcu ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 487.9 Percentage Change: -2.96% Day High: 498.6 Day Low: 477.5

Target met. Weakness on Fresnillo below 477.5 will invariably lead to 436 ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma Close Mid-Price: 1965 Percentage Change: -0.25% Day High: 1980.5 Day Low: 1946.5

Further movement against Hikma ABOVE 1980.5 should improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:SPT Spirent Comms Close Mid-Price: 123.9 Percentage Change: -3.28% Day High: 130 Day Low: 123.2

Continued trades against SPT with a mid-price ABOVE 130 should improve th ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered Close Mid-Price: 575 Percentage Change: -2.41% Day High: 581.2 Day Low: 571

Continued weakness against STAN taking the price below 571 calculates as ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#FTSE #US500 An unexpected side effect of our Covid week was the unpleasant realisation we could use an entire months supply of heating oil in just 5 days. And of course, the tank ran out. Thankfully, the oil company were able to make a swift, if expensive, delivery and in the process of this came the shocking discovery heating oil in Northern Ireland is around 30p/litre cheaper than in Scotland or England. Jealousy was not an attractive look while also enjoying a -5c sunny day!

As usual, the Met Office panic which promised snow failed to come to fruition, our animals forced to enjoy rolling around on frozen grass.

However, the heating oil story wasn’t over, thanks to the boiler deciding to try and impress us with a range of error codes. The core issue was the boiler had figured out we’d run out of oil, needed a delivery, and needed an engineer to reset the error codes. Thankfully I’ve been around this particular block, knowing there’d be a reset switch or button. The thing was easily found, the boiler bursting into life only to shut down again, this time because air had been detected in the fuel line. In plain English, it needed bled, a fairly straightforward process, one which utterly fell apart on me.

The problem was simple. No fuel was making its way from the oil tank to the boiler and a check at the tank revealed the problem. The delivery driver had stood on the copper pipe, creating a kink, stopping the flow of oil. It should have  been an easy fix (in -5c), so I turned the tap on the tank off while I sorted the damaged pipe. Unfortunately, this was probably the first time this tap had been touched since installation and there was a metal snapping noise. It was time to call out a grown-up as I both knew I’d broken the tap, couldn’t stop the flow of oil, couldn’t fix the damaged pipe, couldn’t get fuel to our boiler. A text message to my wife (she knows people…) ensured a bloke turned up within an hour looking dangerously competent. I explained what had happened, he explained he was a farm engineer and could probably sort things out. After a while, he admitted he’d decided to order a new tap and filter assembly for the oil tank as bypassing it would damage our modern boiler. The parts should arrive tomorrow and hopefully we’ll get things going again.

As an aside, it transpired his border collie “knows” our golden retriever, the two dogs enacting a play fight for a couple of hours, stopping only to drink. I’d completely forgotten about the cat but the animal was proving quite relaxed, watching the games from her perch above a computer, obviously completely unthreatened. Amusingly, when they were allowed into the rear garden, our golden retriever led the collie through all her favourite bits, the stream gully, the waterfall pool, and the secret dog path up the cliff where, unusually, no deer were waiting to be chased. Instead, Red Squirrel were on the menu, driving both dogs insane.

Long story short, another day in Argyll, one which ended with the log fire blazing and the patio doors slid open to allow the lounge to cool down.

 

This has quite a lot to do with Central Asia Metals, not because of dogs or heating systems. Instead, it’s got everything to do with their share price failing to do something expected.

When we previously reviewed the share, we’d given criteria for share price reversal to 178 with secondary, if broken, at 170p. In the grand scheme of things, when we present such a confluence of numbers, we’ve a secret expectation a proper bounce in inevitable. In July last year, the share price exactly hit our 170p and indeed produced a bounce, eventually reaching 210p. It was by most standards, a reasonable gain but unfortunately, one which appears not to be proving sustainable. The situation now is quite messy, suggesting weakness below 161p shall risk a visit to an initial 140 with secondary, if broken, at 130p and once again, a price level from which we anticipate another bounce. The current situation demands the share price sink below 95 to indicate everything has gone wrong, similar to our heating oil tank.

In the event of any miracle behaviour, we can present a scenario where above 182p could apparently trigger price recovery to an initial 203p and almost certain hesitation. Our longer term secondary, should such a level be exceeded, works out at an impressive 262p. Common sense demands we wait until the price closes above 203p before believing the calculation which allows such an impressive jump.

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:20:45PM	BRENT	7766.1									Shambles
10:24:08PM	GOLD	2028.15									Success
10:29:17PM	FTSE	7535.1	7530	7489	7441	7580	7580	7596	7618	7548	‘cess
10:32:30PM	STOX50	4433.6									Success
10:35:46PM	GERMANY	16534									‘cess
10:39:04PM	US500	4766.3	4747	4739	4724	4767	4784	4795	4811	4763	Success
10:42:39PM	DOW	37342									‘cess
10:46:22PM	JAPAN	35899									Success

 

16/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7558 points. Change of -0.47%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,673,801,232 a change of 52.3%

15/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7594 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,725,366,941 a change of -35.31%

12/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7624 points. Change of 0.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,758,721,485 a change of -30.28%

11/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7576 points. Change of -0.98%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,259,450,269 a change of 68.77%

10/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7651 points. Change of -0.42%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,893,879,848 a change of -19.09%

9/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7683 points. Change of -0.14%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,048,276,632 a change of 28.89%

8/01/2024 FTSE Closed at 7694 points. Change of 0.07%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,692,765,125 a change of -13.08%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:EME Empyrean** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:ITV ITV** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **

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Updated charts published on : BP PLC, Carclo, Empyrean, Fresnillo, Hikma, ITV, Standard Chartered,

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LSE:BP. BP PLC Close Mid-Price: 452.3 Percentage Change: -0.15% Day High: 458.65 Day Low: 448.2

Target met. Continued weakness against BP. taking the price below 448.2 c ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 8.2 Percentage Change: -12.30% Day High: 9.02 Day Low: 8.2

Continued weakness against CAR taking the price below 8.2 calculates as l ……..

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LSE:EME Empyrean Close Mid-Price: 0.55 Percentage Change: -4.35% Day High: 0.5 Day Low: 0.5

Target met. Weakness on Empyrean below 0.5 will invariably lead to 0.43p ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 502.8 Percentage Change: -4.63% Day High: 525 Day Low: 504.8

If Fresnillo experiences continued weakness below 504.8, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma. Close Mid-Price: 1970 Percentage Change: + 1.91% Day High: 1976 Day Low: 1906

Target met. All Hikma needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1976 to improve ac ……..

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LSE:ITV ITV Close Mid-Price: 59.48 Percentage Change: -1.98% Day High: 60.16 Day Low: 57.86

Target met. Continued weakness against ITV taking the price below 57.86 c ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered Close Mid-Price: 589.2 Percentage Change: -2.61% Day High: 603.4 Day Low: 587.4

If Standard Chartered experiences continued weakness below 587.4, it will ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.