Our galactically popular FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX)

#FTSE #Gold With us approaching the last Bank Holiday of the year before Xmas, there’s been plenty of reason to end the week with a grin. News of the new CEO for Starbucks commuting by private jet 1,000 miles from California to Seattle, rather than relocate is a cracker. Just remember this, when you are fined 25p in Scotland for not having a reusable mug for your takeaway coffee! Additionally, it was amusing watching the various, often contradictory, reasons being trotted out for the movement between the US Dollar and UK Sterling. The cause was variously something to do with US interest rates not being cut or perhaps enthusiasm over a forthcoming cut in rates during September. But it may have been treasury bonds or maybe something to do with the Democrats convention in Chicago.

One thing none of them appear to have noticed is the Cable pairing recently broke through the downtrend since since 2007 and it now sits in a zone where our next target level is at 1.3300. Perhaps it shall be the case where the UK will once again announce a rate cut during September.

However, as the month draws to an end, some normality is expected from the Dutch Grand Prix this weekend, doubtless with a wet circuit to judge by weather forecasts. Hopefully this shall lead to an interesting race, along with a viable excuse not to cut our grass here in Argyll.

 

Returning to the UK and the FTSE, our suspicion of the market finding the idea of breaking above Blue being a difficult concept during August appears to be borne out, the index carefully remaining below the trend line. Presumably, once the grown ups come back from holiday in September, any breakout upward shall prove quite vivid, especially if backed by the UK trying to return interest rates to sane levels. As always, we have a fly in the ointment due to the index spending this week without any “test” of the Blue line, instead remaining just below it. When we see this sort of thing happen with shares, invariably it ends badly, almost as if the markets were trying to sucker traders into opening short positions. Obviously, this sort of thing would never happen as it would call into question the integrity of the marketplace…

Currently, we calculate the FTSE needs exceed 8374 points to discover a route to an initial 8466 points with our longer term secondary, if bettered, at 8649 points. With the FTSE currently around 8290 points, this certainly leaves plenty of room for the market to do nothing before September kicks off. As for where any stop loss level should be, we’re a little clueless as the Risk/Reward computation suggests at least 100 points as a safety net!

Our alternate scenario, if everything is to remain “parked” until the end of the month, allows weakness below 8261 to provoke reversals to an initial 8227 points with our secondary, if broken, at 8177 points. Our conclusion is the markets are like the weather currently, utterly horrid.

Have a good long weekend. We shall return on Tuesday.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:23:38PM BRENT 7643 7529 7451 7592 7773 7833 7643 Success
10:31:30PM GOLD 2484.38 2471 2464 2487 2487 2492 2476 ‘cess
10:35:06PM FTSE 8284.2 8263 8239 8282 8301 8334 8275 ‘cess
10:37:39PM STOX50 4869 4863 4848 4879 4894 4902 4871 Success
10:41:00PM GERMANY 18465.7 18433 18388 18479 18505 18513 18460 Success
10:44:09PM US500 5583.7 5562 5539 5586 5596 5602 5571 ‘cess
10:47:29PM DOW 40785 40576 40470 40750 41043 41126 40853 Success
10:51:48PM NASDAQ 19553 18461 19452 19590 19655 19712 19532 Success
10:55:29PM JAPAN 38169 37953 37704 38212 38314 38330 38093 ‘cess

 

22/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8288 points. Change of 0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,714,962,713 a change of -13.14%
21/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8283 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,428,290,323 a change of 49.7%
20/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8273 points. Change of -0.99%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,626,221,676 a change of -7.78%
19/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8356 points. Change of 0.54%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,932,181,241 a change of -1.04%
16/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8311 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,973,574,909 a change of -9.98%
15/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8347 points. Change of 0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,413,998,964 a change of 1.84%
14/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8281 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,334,159,938 a change of 16.54%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:JET Just Eat** **LSE:PHP Primary Health** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

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Updated charts published on : BP PLC, Firstgroup, IG Group, Just Eat, Primary Health, Sainsbury, Tesco,


LSE:BP. BP PLC Close Mid-Price: 426.2 Percentage Change: -0.98% Day High: 429.85 Day Low: 424.55

In the event BP PLC experiences weakness below 424.55 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup Close Mid-Price: 157.8 Percentage Change: -2.29% Day High: 164.2 Day Low: 158.7

This seems to be adhering to a downtrend which dates back to 2008, somethi ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 979.5 Percentage Change: + 0.72% Day High: 984 Day Low: 971.5

All IG Group needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 984 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:JET Just Eat. Close Mid-Price: 1120 Percentage Change: + 1.08% Day High: 1144 Day Low: 1120

All Just Eat needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1144 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:PHP Primary Health Close Mid-Price: 98.2 Percentage Change: -0.56% Day High: 99.5 Day Low: 97.35

Continued trades against PHP with a mid-price ABOVE 99.5 should improve t ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury. Close Mid-Price: 283.2 Percentage Change: + 1.22% Day High: 286.2 Day Low: 279.8

Target met. Further movement against Sainsbury ABOVE 286.2 should improve ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 346.6 Percentage Change: + 2.00% Day High: 347.3 Day Low: 340.9

In the event of Tesco enjoying further trades beyond 347.3, the share sho ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Costain Group Plc (LSE:COST), around 101 currently, will Jackson Hole help?

.#Gold #DowJones  With the Central Banks of the world enjoying their annual bean feast at Jackson Hole, deciding what to do to implement decisions from the World Economic Forum meeting at the ski resort of Davos, we always flinch at the name of #JacksonHole. It was the late 1990’s and we’d enacted a cracking property deal, obviously deciding we deserved a fun ski holiday. So we booked a week at Jackson Hole, a week at Vail, and a final week at Breckenridge, discovering the latter had been ruined by snow-boarder day tripper students. This isn’t a snob thing, the ski and snow-boarder disciplines being quite different. Imagine being on a motorway, traffic from a slip road on the right heading across three lanes to an exit road on the left. While this chaotic state of incompetence happens on the M8 in Glasgow, the number of bumps and near misses isn’t exactly fun. Thankfully, nowadays ski resorts tend assign some specific runs to specific disciplines. Personally, I fail to value the time our family holiday was ruined when a snow-boarder T-boned me, leading to hospital time. Oddly, my wife and daughter still regard that particular trip as their best holiday ever! (Val d’Isere and a week with my credit card… Our then 14 y/o daughter even stayed for another week, due to becoming best-friends with the hotel owners daughter. Amazingly, they are still chums, bemoaning the fact neithers’ children ski.)

The Jackson Hole meeting in the USA is, we suspect, interesting. As a ski resort, the place was perfect, allowing the ability to ski backwards at speed while taking snapshots of everyone. Queues for ski lifts were managed by local rangers, angrily jumping in on any queue jumpers. Essentially, the place was “too good” as memories are made of disasters when skiing. But the economic meeting in Jackson Hole potentially sets up the economic mood for the rest of the year and currently, if we ignore Crude Oil but instead looks at international indices, the markets appear to have an expectation for further gains against a background of the USA immolating itself with the pantomime of a forthcoming presidential election. As a recent convert to the  Meghan Kelly Show and her 2 hour daily politics report, it’s a shame we don’t host a similar commentator in the UK.

However, the markets continue to nudge upwards, making us suspect once Jackson Hole completes, the markets shall experience a few weeks of positive action until the reality of the potential chaos from the USA hits home across Europe. On one side, there is a presidential candidate who’s never won an election, never really left the country, nor visited its borders, and a potential vice-president who appears to be concealing a really long Pinocchio nose. And on the other side, there is Mr Trump.

 

Costain Plc are one of the companies nudging their way upward. It’s a share which historically has provided very slow movements but recently, things seem to be changing a bit. Share price movements above just 103p should prove significant, allowing price recovery to an initial 120p with our longer term secondary, if bettered, working out at 150p. What’s a bit worrying about this optimistic sounding scenario is we shall regard the long term attraction as coming from a future 164p, a target level which fails to create any sort of Higher High and thus represents a price level where some volatility can be anticipated.

If things intend go horribly wrong for Costain, below 88 risks triggering reversals to an initial 68p with our secondary, if broken, working out at an eventual 57p and hopefully a rebound. Visually, the current picture suggests some ongoing gains.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:00:18PM BRENT 7557.3 ‘cess
11:02:39PM GOLD 2512.9 2494 2484 2468 2511 2520 2527 2538 2504
11:05:50PM FTSE 8294.8
11:10:22PM STOX50 4891.3 ‘cess
11:15:20PM GERMANY 18484 ‘cess
11:18:10PM US500 5625.9
11:30:55PM DOW 40918.5 40739 40690 40592 40877 40939 40993 41077 40871 ‘cess
11:33:41PM NASDAQ 19845.2
11:36:31PM JAPAN 36275

 

21/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8283 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,428,290,323 a change of 49.7%
20/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8273 points. Change of -0.99%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,626,221,676 a change of -7.78%
19/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8356 points. Change of 0.54%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,932,181,241 a change of -1.04%
16/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8311 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,973,574,909 a change of -9.98%
15/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8347 points. Change of 0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,413,998,964 a change of 1.84%
14/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8281 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,334,159,938 a change of 16.54%
13/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8235 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,719,074,811 a change of -40.15%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:FOXT Foxtons** **LSE:IQE IQE** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

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Updated charts published on : Foxtons, IQE, Spirax, The Trainline, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:FOXT Foxtons Close Mid-Price: 65.2 Percentage Change: -1.81% Day High: 66.4 Day Low: 65

Continued trades against FOXT with a mid-price ABOVE 71.4 should improve t ……..

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LSE:IQE IQE Close Mid-Price: 27.65 Percentage Change: -0.18% Day High: 28.2 Day Low: 27.35

Below 26p looks troubling, allowing reversal to an initial 22.75 with our ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 7335 Percentage Change: -0.27% Day High: 7385 Day Low: 7300

If Spirax experiences continued weakness below 7300, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 308 Percentage Change: -0.26% Day High: 315 Day Low: 303.4

In the event of The Trainline enjoying further trades beyond 345, the shar ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 165.65 Percentage Change: + 0.06% Day High: 165.75 Day Low: 163.75

Continued trades against TW. with a mid-price ABOVE 165.75 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Neo Energy Metals Plc (LSE:NEO) glowing in the dark?

#FTSE #NASDAQ  From the department of “Things That Make You Go Hmmm”, the probably tragedy of Mike Lynch going missing in a rare super yacht accident is a bit strange, the media reporting without comment on the coincidence his co-defendant in the US Trial was run over in Cambridgeshire and died a day before a tempest capsized the super yacht. It’s certainly an interesting pile up of accidents, immediately following a US Trial of a type where 99+% of those charged are found guilty, rather than acquitted of all charges as happened with Mr Lynch and Mr Chamberlain. Oddly, this actually dovetails into the share we’re looking at today as it seems the media are not bothering to connect any dots in another subject.

The announcement by China they intend build 11 Nuclear power plants was interesting, reminding us to review some of the press releases from companies playing in the Yellowcake (Uranium) field. To cut a long story short, when we combine this announcement with the forthcoming spread of Micro Nuclear generators as provided by the likes of Rolls Royce, it appears entirely possible there’s not enough Uranium to go round. Potentially, this shall create a situation where the price of the product will rapidly increase as it’s unlikely China will build the plants, yet decide not to turn them on due to shortages of fuel.

As a result, we decided to take a look at some of the minnows in the field with Neo Energy, a penny share, coming forward for a look at their share price potentials.

Neo Energy Metals, as an explorer for Uranium, certainly sound quite excited about their prospect in South Africa, and seem well placed to take advantage of any increase in Uranium prices.

 

We’ve worked out at potential trigger level of 1.14p with movement above such a point ideally able to provoke movement to an initial 1.5p with our secondary, if bettered, at 2p. We shall certainly find it interesting, if the market discovers an excuse to continue gapping NEO share price up at the open as this will be required (from a software perspective) to give the share sufficient excuse to exceed 2p sometime in the future. We’ll certainly be keeping a look out for this one.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:14:48PM BRENT 7667 ‘cess
11:18:09PM GOLD 2513.86 ‘cess
11:23:43PM FTSE 8241.2 8240 8229 8180 8263 8292 8312 8336 8255
11:27:44PM STOX50 4849.4 ‘cess
11:31:40PM DOW 40845.5 Shambles
11:35:22PM GERMANY 18348.7
11:06:06PM US500 5598.5 ‘cess
11:10:49PM NASDAQ 19703 19653 19595 19513 19730 19841 19916 20004 19755
11:17:31PM JAPAN 37543 Shambles

 

20/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8273 points. Change of -0.99%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,626,221,676 a change of -7.78%
19/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8356 points. Change of 0.54%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,932,181,241 a change of -1.04%
16/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8311 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,973,574,909 a change of -9.98%
15/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8347 points. Change of 0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,413,998,964 a change of 1.84%
14/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8281 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,334,159,938 a change of 16.54%
13/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8235 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,719,074,811 a change of -40.15%
12/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8210 points. Change of 0.51%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,213,997,853 a change of 45.06%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

********

Updated charts published on : Barrett Devs, HSBC, International Personal Finance, Spirax, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs Close Mid-Price: 549 Percentage Change: -0.90% Day High: 562.8 Day Low: 548.4

Further movement against Barrett Devs ABOVE 562.8 should improve accelera ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC Close Mid-Price: 651.1 Percentage Change: -1.88% Day High: 662.1 Day Low: 651.7

Above 672 should next give some real hope, calculating with the potential ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 161 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 165 Day Low: 160

Continued trades against IPF with a mid-price ABOVE 165 should improve th ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 7355 Percentage Change: -1.87% Day High: 7505 Day Low: 7305

In the event Spirax experiences weakness below 7305 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 165.55 Percentage Change: + 1.04% Day High: 165.35 Day Low: 163.3

Target met. All Taylor Wimpey needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 165.35 to ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Whitbread Plc (LSE:WTB), around 2828 currently

#Gold #Germany  Once the largest brewer in the world, it was something of a surprise to peruse Wikipedia and discover the company are not longer in the business of supplying the good stuff. Instead, now operating as a hospitality company, they run the largest hotel chain in the UK and are spreading in Germany too. In addition, they’re the organisation behind chains of bland but reliable restaurants serving mass produced food.

We received a couple of emails asking for a quick opinion on Whitbread as something seems to be causing optimism but we didn’t need try terribly hard to spot a potential tripwire. From our perspective, there’s a very clear tripwire down at 2766p, this representing a price level below which the share dare not close a day. Such a movement would be dodgy, creating the risk of reversals down to an initial 2335p. Our secondary looks less likely but should such a level break, it works out at an eventual 1867p and a spectacular return to the lows of 2020.

 

However, if the emails received prove correct, there’s an expectation Whitbread are about to reverse the downward course they’ve been ploughing this year.

Should this be the case, above 2933p may perhaps trigger price recovery to an initial 3089p with our secondary, if bettered, at 3307p and almost certain hesitation. If the share price ever closes above 3307p, we shall regard this as potentially game changing, allowing for attempts in the longer term above 3700p and the high at the start of this year.

Perhaps worth raising a toast to, just not with a mug of Whitbread beer.

.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:17:10PM BRENT 7742.9 ‘cess
9:32:37PM GOLD 2503.52 2487 2478 2467 2497 2512 2526 2540 2495
9:53:17PM FTSE 8338 ‘cess
10:37:16PM STOX50 4871.3 ‘cess
10:42:55PM GERMANY 18423.1 18282 18216 18136 18342 18456 18587 19110 18280 ‘cess
11:16:25PM US500 5601.6 Success
11:22:17PM DOW 40890.5 Success
11:29:02PM NASDAQ 19778.8 Success
11:33:00PM JAPAN 37882

 

19/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8356 points. Change of 0.54%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,932,181,241 a change of -1.04%
16/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8311 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,973,574,909 a change of -9.98%
15/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8347 points. Change of 0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,413,998,964 a change of 1.84%
14/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8281 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,334,159,938 a change of 16.54%
13/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8235 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,719,074,811 a change of -40.15%
12/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8210 points. Change of 0.51%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,213,997,853 a change of 45.06%
9/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8168 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,283,759,175 a change of -11.55%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:JET Just Eat** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Barrett Devs, Gulf Keystone, IG Group, International Personal Finance, Just Eat, Sainsbury, Tesco,


LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 506.6 Percentage Change: + 1.24% Day High: 507.8 Day Low: 498.2

Target met. Further movement against Aviva ABOVE 507.8 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs. Close Mid-Price: 554 Percentage Change: + 3.40% Day High: 554 Day Low: 537.2

Target met. In the event of Barrett Devs enjoying further trades beyond 5 ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 128.8 Percentage Change: + 1.66% Day High: 130.3 Day Low: 125.5

Continued trades against GKP with a mid-price ABOVE 130.3 should improve ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 975 Percentage Change: + 1.09% Day High: 980.5 Day Low: 960.5

Target met. Further movement against IG Group ABOVE 980.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 161 Percentage Change: + 2.22% Day High: 162 Day Low: 157.5

Target met. All International Personal Finance needs are mid-price trades ……..

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LSE:JET Just Eat. Close Mid-Price: 1102 Percentage Change: + 0.18% Day High: 1126 Day Low: 1094

In the event of Just Eat enjoying further trades beyond 1126, the share s ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury. Close Mid-Price: 284.2 Percentage Change: + 1.28% Day High: 284.2 Day Low: 280

Target met. Continued trades against SBRY with a mid-price ABOVE 284.2 sh ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 341.4 Percentage Change: + 0.06% Day High: 343.4 Day Low: 340

Target met. Further movement against Tesco ABOVE 343.4 should improve acc ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Natwest Group Plc (LSE:NWG), around 348 currently

#Brent #SP500 An interesting aspect of looking across to the mainland has been a sense of relief. Watching the media during the early days of Covid-19, we expected to witness a never ending stream of emergency vehicles rushing patients to hospital but, the road along the shoreline remained thankfully empty of ambulances driving fast. This year, with the motorcycle season upon us, it’s quite a different story with fast moving blue light ambulances now a daily occurrence. Equally, looking across, there’s been a complete lack of rioting aside from the occasional bad tempered growl of a revving engine as a motorist escapes from the larcenous fees charged by the ferry company for a short crossing!

The riot thing isn’t entirely a joke, due to an addiction to getting news from anywhere other than heavily biased UK sources. Across Europe and the USA, there’s a general belief “The UK Had Fallen”, even with some American outlets warning fliers against stop-overs in the UK in case their name comes up on a database of people who’ve written the wrong thing on Twitter or Facebook. Hopefully it’s all ridiculous but as a Twitter addict, it became sensible to self police any comments about UK PM, Sir Starmer. But, from a US perspective, there’s real horror about what’s going on in the UK, making us expect to see raging riots across the narrow strip of sea to the mainland.

This brings us quite neatly to Natwest, a share price which is supposed to be doing something, yet in real life it isn’t happening.

 

When we reviewed Natwest a month ago, we’d given a target of 377p yet, in real life, it only managed to discover a route to 372p before sharply falling back, presumably due to being parked for the month of August. This has created an interesting situation, one which will doubtless become possible in September, where movement above 372.5p should promote further growth to an initial 387 with our longer term secondary, if this initial is beaten, calculating at 413p. Or perhaps even 431p, thanks to the manipulation gaps.

If Natwest decides to follow the route of the Lemming, below 310p now risks proving troubling movement  Below such a level risks triggering reversals down to an initial 270p with our secondary, if broken, at a bottom (hopefully) of 232p. To be “safe”, we’d prefer seeing the share price actually close below 310p before pressing an alarm buzzer. Our suspicion remains of the market expecting Natwest to head upward but with no immediate dramatics.

.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
10:17:14PM BRENT 7913 7830 7762 7694 7980 8230 8541 8888 8041
10:21:35PM GOLD 2506.21 2498
10:25:33PM FTSE 8302 8329
10:40:50PM STOX50 4851.9 4841
10:47:51PM GERMANY 18347.7 18301
10:53:12PM US500 5565.8 5514 5493 5467 5544 5570 5580 5602 5547
10:56:05PM DOW 40714.5 40642
10:58:32PM NASDAQ 19563.5 19480
11:01:34PM JAPAN 37975 37824

 

16/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8311 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,973,574,909 a change of -9.98%
15/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8347 points. Change of 0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,413,998,964 a change of 1.84%
14/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8281 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,334,159,938 a change of 16.54%
13/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8235 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,719,074,811 a change of -40.15%
12/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8210 points. Change of 0.51%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,213,997,853 a change of 45.06%
9/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8168 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,283,759,175 a change of -11.55%
8/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8144 points. Change of -0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,843,015,012 a change of -1.4%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Capita, IG Group, Rolls Royce, Tesco,


LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 143.1 Percentage Change: -0.42% Day High: 149 Day Low: 144

Above 156p now looks capable of a visit to an initial 162 with our seconda ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 17.82 Percentage Change: -0.22% Day High: 18.08 Day Low: 17.8

This could prove interesting as above 21p has the potential of a lift to a ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 964.5 Percentage Change: -0.05% Day High: 970.5 Day Low: 960.5

In the event of IG Group enjoying further trades beyond 970.5, the share ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 501 Percentage Change: -0.40% Day High: 504.6 Day Low: 498

Further movement against Rolls Royce ABOVE 504.6 should improve accelerat ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 341.2 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 342.3 Day Low: 339.7

Continued trades against TSCO with a mid-price ABOVE 342.3 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Our internationally popular FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX)

#FTSE #GOLD  August certainly isn’t going as expected. Our conventionally belief “the B Team” are running the markets during the holiday month certainly isn’t looking very concise this year and final confirmation shall come if the FTSE closes above 8400 points and the immediate downtrend. Volumes in London are certainly as low as expected at roughly 2/3rds of that experienced during June/July but regardless of this detail, dribbles of positive news are serving to push the FTSE upward.

One interesting facet about very recent index value movements in Europe and the USA is a fairly strong suggestion we should anticipate some upward movement of some strength. While this shall doubtless be due to relaxation of interest rates, our inclination to to expect such a miracle in September rather than for central banks to unleash such an occasion before “the A Team” come back from Butlins and resume control of the markets. However, with encouraging retail figures from the UK & the USA, along with North America deciding (for some reason) movement into a recession is receding.

For the FTSE, we’re inclined to view movement below 8300 points as holding some danger, perhaps capable of kicking off reversals to an initial 8246 points with our secondary, if broken, calculating at 8203 points and the hope of a bottom. While such a level of movement isn’t particularly tragic, we’ve a suspicion some effort shall be made for the UK market to avoid troubling the Blue downtrend on the chart – for the time being. If triggered, the tightest stop loss level looks like 8355 points.

 

Alternately, if things intend move positively for the FTSE, above 8368 points looks capable of triggering gains to an initial 8428 points, along with a chance of the index actually closing above Blue at 8400 points. Our secondary, should 8428 be exceeded, works out at an astounding 8645 points. For this reason alone, we strongly expect 8428 to provoke some reversals, if achieved.

Have a good weekend, only another weekend until the next Grand Prix.

.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:07:32PM BRENT 8065.1 7937 7834 7985 8120 8194 8051
11:02:18PM GOLD 2456.02 2432 2423 2460 2481 2497 2456 ‘cess
11:05:25PM FTSE 8343 8328 8319 8356 8358 8373 8329
11:10:25PM STOX50 4815.5 4795 4787 4815 4823 4844 4799 ‘cess
11:13:53PM GERMANY 18199.2 18117 18108 18160 18216 18574 18144 ‘cess
11:18:39PM US500 5546.1 5503 5492 5521 5548 5624 5527 ‘cess
11:25:51PM DOW 40591.5 40295 40246 40459 40609 40725 40464 ‘cess
11:30:22PM NASDAQ 19489.4 19306 19264 19456 19504 19692 19307 ‘cess
11:36:55PM JAPAN 37719 37391 37344 37617 37762 38368 37581 Success

 

15/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8347 points. Change of 0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,413,998,964 a change of 1.84%
14/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8281 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,334,159,938 a change of 16.54%
13/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8235 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,719,074,811 a change of -40.15%
12/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8210 points. Change of 0.51%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,213,997,853 a change of 45.06%
9/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8168 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,283,759,175 a change of -11.55%
8/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8144 points. Change of -0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,843,015,012 a change of -1.4%
7/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8166 points. Change of 1.74%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,912,004,252 a change of -45.12%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:STAR Star Energy** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

********

Updated charts published on : Astrazeneca, Barrett Devs, British Telecom, Gulf Keystone, IG Group, International Personal Finance, Sainsbury, Spirax, Star Energy, Vodafone,


LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 13166 Percentage Change: + 2.05% Day High: 13218 Day Low: 12966

Target met. In the event of Astrazeneca enjoying further trades beyond 13 ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs Close Mid-Price: 541.4 Percentage Change: -1.42% Day High: 549.8 Day Low: 542.8

Continued trades against BDEV with a mid-price ABOVE 549.8 should improve ……..

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom Close Mid-Price: 145.75 Percentage Change: -0.61% Day High: 147 Day Low: 145

Target met. Further movement against British Telecom ABOVE 147 should imp ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 0 Percentage Change: + 1.68% Day High: 128.4 Day Low: 125.8

Gulf Keystone needs mid-price trades ABOVE 129.5 to improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 965 Percentage Change: + 0.99% Day High: 969 Day Low: 953.5

Continued trades against IGG with a mid-price ABOVE 969 should improve th ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 158 Percentage Change: + 0.96% Day High: 159 Day Low: 156

Further movement against International Personal Finance ABOVE 159 should ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury. Close Mid-Price: 281.2 Percentage Change: + 0.79% Day High: 282.4 Day Low: 279.2

All Sainsbury needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 282.4 to improve accelerat ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax. Close Mid-Price: 7580 Percentage Change: + 0.20% Day High: 7660 Day Low: 7435

Target met. Continued weakness against SPX taking the price below 7435 ca ……..

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LSE:STAR Star Energy. Close Mid-Price: 8.79 Percentage Change: + 7.20% Day High: 8.98 Day Low: 8.6

Target met. Continued trades against STAR with a mid-price ABOVE 9p shoul ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 74.5 Percentage Change: -0.05% Day High: 75.74 Day Low: 74.38

Target met. Further movement against Vodafone ABOVE 75.74 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Diversified Energy Company Plc (LSE:DEC), around 1068 currently

#Brent #SP500 Part of the route to become a “proper” airline pilot in the USA sometimes includes getting a job as a Pipeline Pilot, flying a Cessna above gas/water/oil pipelines and looking for potential problems. It’s mind numbing work, only carried out in daylight, the experience generated for potential pilots questionable, but the flight hours banked in the pilots log cannot be questioned. It’s surprising no-one has updated the old tune, The Wichita Lineman, to reflect modern methods of checking utility supplies.

When we previously glanced at DEC earlier this year, we were expecting the worst but surprisingly, it triggered and exceeded our initial gain target. Perhaps this was a reflection of the price of Natural Gas doubling during summer, the product unusually looking capable of reversals now we’re stumbling toward winter. It’s interesting to note Rowan trees locally are bearing amazing quantities of red berries, a stable diet of some birds, mice, red squirrel, and the occasional delusional wine maker. More importantly, in years when these trees show such a heavy fruit, it’s usually a signal for a “proper” winter with snow and cold, nature providing a crop for animals to prepare. Which is probably one of the silliest theories to suspect Natural Gas prices shall have an excuse to rise sharply but if you can’t trust the birds and the trees, who can you trust! Perhaps a Long position on Natural Gas may prove to be a good idea, if salting away a hedge for the winter.

 

Surprisingly, while Natural Gas prices were recently “gapped up” over their downtrend since the mid-summer high of $3200, DEC recently saw their share price “gapped down” below their uptrend since March (circled). This conflict of signals happened earlier in August, leaving us more than a little uncertain on what to believe. Is Gas wanting to head up or is DEC wanting to head down? The nature of Diversified Energy’s trend break makes us suspicious, essentially anticipating some reversals but thinking they shall be short lived, if Natural Gas is anything to go by.

This being the case, below just 1053p looks capable of an initial 1011 with our secondary, if broken, a less likely 911p. A visit to 1011p would certainly represent a valid point for a bounce, one which could be attained without the share price retreating below the Blue downtrend. It also makes the point where any bounce exceeding 1100p enters the realms of “hold on and see where it goes”.

Strictly speaking, our jobsworth software demands DEC exceed 1167p to be taken seriously as this now calculates with the potential of a lift to 1442p with our secondary, if beaten, working out at a longer term 1648p and an urgent need to revisit our tea leaves.

Something is certainly happening with the FTSE 250 member and it may prove worth keeping an eye on.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:59:35PM BRENT 7970.1 7955 7924 7823 7985 8232 8472 8793 8065
11:02:35PM GOLD 2449.09 Success
11:05:27PM FTSE 8277.7 Success
11:09:38PM STOX50 4729.1 ‘cess
11:13:51PM GERMANY 17898 ‘cess
11:16:18PM US500 5452.4 5415 5400 5379 5439 5463 5472 5599 5433 ‘cess
11:19:36PM DOW 40025 Success
11:23:36PM NASDAQ 19033.9 ‘cess
11:26:37PM JAPAN 36585

 

14/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8281 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,334,159,938 a change of 16.54%
13/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8235 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,719,074,811 a change of -40.15%
12/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8210 points. Change of 0.51%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,213,997,853 a change of 45.06%
9/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8168 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,283,759,175 a change of -11.55%
8/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8144 points. Change of -0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,843,015,012 a change of -1.4%
7/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8166 points. Change of 1.74%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,912,004,252 a change of -45.12%
6/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8026 points. Change of 0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,950,670,093 a change of 16.02%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:JET Just Eat** **LSE:PHP Primary Health** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

********

Updated charts published on : Astrazeneca, Barrett Devs, Gulf Keystone, Just Eat, Parkmead, Spirax, Tesco, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:AZN Astrazeneca Close Mid-Price: 12902 Percentage Change: -0.14% Day High: 12990 Day Low: 12804

Further movement against Astrazeneca ABOVE 12990 should improve accelerat ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs. Close Mid-Price: 549.2 Percentage Change: + 3.82% Day High: 545.8 Day Low: 532.6

Target met. All Barrett Devs needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 545.8 to im ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 125 Percentage Change: + 0.40% Day High: 127.1 Day Low: 121.6

Gulf Keystone needs mid-price trades ABOVE 1529 to improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:JET Just Eat. Close Mid-Price: 1104 Percentage Change: + 1.85% Day High: 1110 Day Low: 1084

Continued trades against JET with a mid-price ABOVE 1110 should improve t ……..

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LSE:PHP Primary Health. Close Mid-Price: 97.05 Percentage Change: + 0.67% Day High: 99.3 Day Low: 95.4

All Primary Health needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 99.3 to improve accel ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead Close Mid-Price: 10.75 Percentage Change: -3.37% Day High: 11.12 Day Low: 10.75

Weakness on Parkmead below 10.75 will invariably lead to 10p with seconda ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 7565 Percentage Change: -1.11% Day High: 7695 Day Low: 7495

Weakness on Spirax below 7495 will invariably lead to 7446p with secondar ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 340.6 Percentage Change: + 1.67% Day High: 340.2 Day Low: 336.5

Target met. All Tesco needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 340.2 to improve a ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 164.25 Percentage Change: + 3.63% Day High: 164.35 Day Low: 159.65

In the event of Taylor Wimpey enjoying further trades beyond 164.35, the ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares