Natwest Group Plc (LSE:NWG), around 348 currently

#Brent #SP500 An interesting aspect of looking across to the mainland has been a sense of relief. Watching the media during the early days of Covid-19, we expected to witness a never ending stream of emergency vehicles rushing patients to hospital but, the road along the shoreline remained thankfully empty of ambulances driving fast. This year, with the motorcycle season upon us, it’s quite a different story with fast moving blue light ambulances now a daily occurrence. Equally, looking across, there’s been a complete lack of rioting aside from the occasional bad tempered growl of a revving engine as a motorist escapes from the larcenous fees charged by the ferry company for a short crossing!

The riot thing isn’t entirely a joke, due to an addiction to getting news from anywhere other than heavily biased UK sources. Across Europe and the USA, there’s a general belief “The UK Had Fallen”, even with some American outlets warning fliers against stop-overs in the UK in case their name comes up on a database of people who’ve written the wrong thing on Twitter or Facebook. Hopefully it’s all ridiculous but as a Twitter addict, it became sensible to self police any comments about UK PM, Sir Starmer. But, from a US perspective, there’s real horror about what’s going on in the UK, making us expect to see raging riots across the narrow strip of sea to the mainland.

This brings us quite neatly to Natwest, a share price which is supposed to be doing something, yet in real life it isn’t happening.

 

When we reviewed Natwest a month ago, we’d given a target of 377p yet, in real life, it only managed to discover a route to 372p before sharply falling back, presumably due to being parked for the month of August. This has created an interesting situation, one which will doubtless become possible in September, where movement above 372.5p should promote further growth to an initial 387 with our longer term secondary, if this initial is beaten, calculating at 413p. Or perhaps even 431p, thanks to the manipulation gaps.

If Natwest decides to follow the route of the Lemming, below 310p now risks proving troubling movement  Below such a level risks triggering reversals down to an initial 270p with our secondary, if broken, at a bottom (hopefully) of 232p. To be “safe”, we’d prefer seeing the share price actually close below 310p before pressing an alarm buzzer. Our suspicion remains of the market expecting Natwest to head upward but with no immediate dramatics.

.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
10:17:14PM BRENT 7913 7830 7762 7694 7980 8230 8541 8888 8041
10:21:35PM GOLD 2506.21 2498
10:25:33PM FTSE 8302 8329
10:40:50PM STOX50 4851.9 4841
10:47:51PM GERMANY 18347.7 18301
10:53:12PM US500 5565.8 5514 5493 5467 5544 5570 5580 5602 5547
10:56:05PM DOW 40714.5 40642
10:58:32PM NASDAQ 19563.5 19480
11:01:34PM JAPAN 37975 37824

 

16/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8311 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,973,574,909 a change of -9.98%
15/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8347 points. Change of 0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,413,998,964 a change of 1.84%
14/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8281 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,334,159,938 a change of 16.54%
13/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8235 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,719,074,811 a change of -40.15%
12/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8210 points. Change of 0.51%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,213,997,853 a change of 45.06%
9/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8168 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,283,759,175 a change of -11.55%
8/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8144 points. Change of -0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,843,015,012 a change of -1.4%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Capita, IG Group, Rolls Royce, Tesco,


LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 143.1 Percentage Change: -0.42% Day High: 149 Day Low: 144

Above 156p now looks capable of a visit to an initial 162 with our seconda ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 17.82 Percentage Change: -0.22% Day High: 18.08 Day Low: 17.8

This could prove interesting as above 21p has the potential of a lift to a ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 964.5 Percentage Change: -0.05% Day High: 970.5 Day Low: 960.5

In the event of IG Group enjoying further trades beyond 970.5, the share ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 501 Percentage Change: -0.40% Day High: 504.6 Day Low: 498

Further movement against Rolls Royce ABOVE 504.6 should improve accelerat ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 341.2 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 342.3 Day Low: 339.7

Continued trades against TSCO with a mid-price ABOVE 342.3 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Our internationally popular FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX)

#FTSE #GOLD  August certainly isn’t going as expected. Our conventionally belief “the B Team” are running the markets during the holiday month certainly isn’t looking very concise this year and final confirmation shall come if the FTSE closes above 8400 points and the immediate downtrend. Volumes in London are certainly as low as expected at roughly 2/3rds of that experienced during June/July but regardless of this detail, dribbles of positive news are serving to push the FTSE upward.

One interesting facet about very recent index value movements in Europe and the USA is a fairly strong suggestion we should anticipate some upward movement of some strength. While this shall doubtless be due to relaxation of interest rates, our inclination to to expect such a miracle in September rather than for central banks to unleash such an occasion before “the A Team” come back from Butlins and resume control of the markets. However, with encouraging retail figures from the UK & the USA, along with North America deciding (for some reason) movement into a recession is receding.

For the FTSE, we’re inclined to view movement below 8300 points as holding some danger, perhaps capable of kicking off reversals to an initial 8246 points with our secondary, if broken, calculating at 8203 points and the hope of a bottom. While such a level of movement isn’t particularly tragic, we’ve a suspicion some effort shall be made for the UK market to avoid troubling the Blue downtrend on the chart – for the time being. If triggered, the tightest stop loss level looks like 8355 points.

 

Alternately, if things intend move positively for the FTSE, above 8368 points looks capable of triggering gains to an initial 8428 points, along with a chance of the index actually closing above Blue at 8400 points. Our secondary, should 8428 be exceeded, works out at an astounding 8645 points. For this reason alone, we strongly expect 8428 to provoke some reversals, if achieved.

Have a good weekend, only another weekend until the next Grand Prix.

.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:07:32PM BRENT 8065.1 7937 7834 7985 8120 8194 8051
11:02:18PM GOLD 2456.02 2432 2423 2460 2481 2497 2456 ‘cess
11:05:25PM FTSE 8343 8328 8319 8356 8358 8373 8329
11:10:25PM STOX50 4815.5 4795 4787 4815 4823 4844 4799 ‘cess
11:13:53PM GERMANY 18199.2 18117 18108 18160 18216 18574 18144 ‘cess
11:18:39PM US500 5546.1 5503 5492 5521 5548 5624 5527 ‘cess
11:25:51PM DOW 40591.5 40295 40246 40459 40609 40725 40464 ‘cess
11:30:22PM NASDAQ 19489.4 19306 19264 19456 19504 19692 19307 ‘cess
11:36:55PM JAPAN 37719 37391 37344 37617 37762 38368 37581 Success

 

15/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8347 points. Change of 0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,413,998,964 a change of 1.84%
14/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8281 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,334,159,938 a change of 16.54%
13/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8235 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,719,074,811 a change of -40.15%
12/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8210 points. Change of 0.51%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,213,997,853 a change of 45.06%
9/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8168 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,283,759,175 a change of -11.55%
8/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8144 points. Change of -0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,843,015,012 a change of -1.4%
7/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8166 points. Change of 1.74%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,912,004,252 a change of -45.12%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:STAR Star Energy** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

********

Updated charts published on : Astrazeneca, Barrett Devs, British Telecom, Gulf Keystone, IG Group, International Personal Finance, Sainsbury, Spirax, Star Energy, Vodafone,


LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 13166 Percentage Change: + 2.05% Day High: 13218 Day Low: 12966

Target met. In the event of Astrazeneca enjoying further trades beyond 13 ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs Close Mid-Price: 541.4 Percentage Change: -1.42% Day High: 549.8 Day Low: 542.8

Continued trades against BDEV with a mid-price ABOVE 549.8 should improve ……..

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom Close Mid-Price: 145.75 Percentage Change: -0.61% Day High: 147 Day Low: 145

Target met. Further movement against British Telecom ABOVE 147 should imp ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 0 Percentage Change: + 1.68% Day High: 128.4 Day Low: 125.8

Gulf Keystone needs mid-price trades ABOVE 129.5 to improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 965 Percentage Change: + 0.99% Day High: 969 Day Low: 953.5

Continued trades against IGG with a mid-price ABOVE 969 should improve th ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 158 Percentage Change: + 0.96% Day High: 159 Day Low: 156

Further movement against International Personal Finance ABOVE 159 should ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury. Close Mid-Price: 281.2 Percentage Change: + 0.79% Day High: 282.4 Day Low: 279.2

All Sainsbury needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 282.4 to improve accelerat ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax. Close Mid-Price: 7580 Percentage Change: + 0.20% Day High: 7660 Day Low: 7435

Target met. Continued weakness against SPX taking the price below 7435 ca ……..

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LSE:STAR Star Energy. Close Mid-Price: 8.79 Percentage Change: + 7.20% Day High: 8.98 Day Low: 8.6

Target met. Continued trades against STAR with a mid-price ABOVE 9p shoul ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 74.5 Percentage Change: -0.05% Day High: 75.74 Day Low: 74.38

Target met. Further movement against Vodafone ABOVE 75.74 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Diversified Energy Company Plc (LSE:DEC), around 1068 currently

#Brent #SP500 Part of the route to become a “proper” airline pilot in the USA sometimes includes getting a job as a Pipeline Pilot, flying a Cessna above gas/water/oil pipelines and looking for potential problems. It’s mind numbing work, only carried out in daylight, the experience generated for potential pilots questionable, but the flight hours banked in the pilots log cannot be questioned. It’s surprising no-one has updated the old tune, The Wichita Lineman, to reflect modern methods of checking utility supplies.

When we previously glanced at DEC earlier this year, we were expecting the worst but surprisingly, it triggered and exceeded our initial gain target. Perhaps this was a reflection of the price of Natural Gas doubling during summer, the product unusually looking capable of reversals now we’re stumbling toward winter. It’s interesting to note Rowan trees locally are bearing amazing quantities of red berries, a stable diet of some birds, mice, red squirrel, and the occasional delusional wine maker. More importantly, in years when these trees show such a heavy fruit, it’s usually a signal for a “proper” winter with snow and cold, nature providing a crop for animals to prepare. Which is probably one of the silliest theories to suspect Natural Gas prices shall have an excuse to rise sharply but if you can’t trust the birds and the trees, who can you trust! Perhaps a Long position on Natural Gas may prove to be a good idea, if salting away a hedge for the winter.

 

Surprisingly, while Natural Gas prices were recently “gapped up” over their downtrend since the mid-summer high of $3200, DEC recently saw their share price “gapped down” below their uptrend since March (circled). This conflict of signals happened earlier in August, leaving us more than a little uncertain on what to believe. Is Gas wanting to head up or is DEC wanting to head down? The nature of Diversified Energy’s trend break makes us suspicious, essentially anticipating some reversals but thinking they shall be short lived, if Natural Gas is anything to go by.

This being the case, below just 1053p looks capable of an initial 1011 with our secondary, if broken, a less likely 911p. A visit to 1011p would certainly represent a valid point for a bounce, one which could be attained without the share price retreating below the Blue downtrend. It also makes the point where any bounce exceeding 1100p enters the realms of “hold on and see where it goes”.

Strictly speaking, our jobsworth software demands DEC exceed 1167p to be taken seriously as this now calculates with the potential of a lift to 1442p with our secondary, if beaten, working out at a longer term 1648p and an urgent need to revisit our tea leaves.

Something is certainly happening with the FTSE 250 member and it may prove worth keeping an eye on.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:59:35PM BRENT 7970.1 7955 7924 7823 7985 8232 8472 8793 8065
11:02:35PM GOLD 2449.09 Success
11:05:27PM FTSE 8277.7 Success
11:09:38PM STOX50 4729.1 ‘cess
11:13:51PM GERMANY 17898 ‘cess
11:16:18PM US500 5452.4 5415 5400 5379 5439 5463 5472 5599 5433 ‘cess
11:19:36PM DOW 40025 Success
11:23:36PM NASDAQ 19033.9 ‘cess
11:26:37PM JAPAN 36585

 

14/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8281 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,334,159,938 a change of 16.54%
13/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8235 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,719,074,811 a change of -40.15%
12/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8210 points. Change of 0.51%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,213,997,853 a change of 45.06%
9/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8168 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,283,759,175 a change of -11.55%
8/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8144 points. Change of -0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,843,015,012 a change of -1.4%
7/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8166 points. Change of 1.74%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,912,004,252 a change of -45.12%
6/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8026 points. Change of 0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,950,670,093 a change of 16.02%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:JET Just Eat** **LSE:PHP Primary Health** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

********

Updated charts published on : Astrazeneca, Barrett Devs, Gulf Keystone, Just Eat, Parkmead, Spirax, Tesco, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:AZN Astrazeneca Close Mid-Price: 12902 Percentage Change: -0.14% Day High: 12990 Day Low: 12804

Further movement against Astrazeneca ABOVE 12990 should improve accelerat ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs. Close Mid-Price: 549.2 Percentage Change: + 3.82% Day High: 545.8 Day Low: 532.6

Target met. All Barrett Devs needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 545.8 to im ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 125 Percentage Change: + 0.40% Day High: 127.1 Day Low: 121.6

Gulf Keystone needs mid-price trades ABOVE 1529 to improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:JET Just Eat. Close Mid-Price: 1104 Percentage Change: + 1.85% Day High: 1110 Day Low: 1084

Continued trades against JET with a mid-price ABOVE 1110 should improve t ……..

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LSE:PHP Primary Health. Close Mid-Price: 97.05 Percentage Change: + 0.67% Day High: 99.3 Day Low: 95.4

All Primary Health needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 99.3 to improve accel ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead Close Mid-Price: 10.75 Percentage Change: -3.37% Day High: 11.12 Day Low: 10.75

Weakness on Parkmead below 10.75 will invariably lead to 10p with seconda ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 7565 Percentage Change: -1.11% Day High: 7695 Day Low: 7495

Weakness on Spirax below 7495 will invariably lead to 7446p with secondar ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 340.6 Percentage Change: + 1.67% Day High: 340.2 Day Low: 336.5

Target met. All Tesco needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 340.2 to improve a ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 164.25 Percentage Change: + 3.63% Day High: 164.35 Day Low: 159.65

In the event of Taylor Wimpey enjoying further trades beyond 164.35, the ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

i3 Energy Plc (LSE:i3e) bubbling up?

#Gold #Nasdaq There’s been a reasonable amount of positive coverage regarding I3 Energy recently, prompting a few emails asking where we think their share price might be going.  The company, listed on the Toronto exchange, along with the London AIM market, certainly has a share price which looks a little confused, as highlighted on the two chart extracts below. The closing price for Monday bothers us, the market somehow deciding the share was going to end the session at just 8.9p. This visually brought a break of the uptrend since 2020 and it’s something we’d usually be quite concerned about, a share price being “allowed” to close above or below a trend line usually providing a major excuse to tick a box for direction.

However… something quite interesting also happened on Tuesday, the share price being spiked down to an odd 8.3p in early trades, a movement which caught our attention as a potential “bottom” had calculated at 8.11p. This brief dip didn’t hit our bottom potential, perhaps giving an early signal some hidden strength was present. In addition, it created a scenario where the share value now need only exceed 9.3p (please, not with a mystery upward spike) to carry the threat of real imminent price growth.

Essentially, movement above 9.3p should now be capable of triggering recovery to an initial 12.2p, testing the downward trend since 2019. If exceeded, our secondary works out at a future 14.5p, a price level where closure shall be necessary to tick a major box which lays out a path to a future 21.5p! Therefore, we’re taking the unusual step of looking positively at a trend break.

 

However, the market has teeth, though we’d prefer to regard our 8.11p as providing the next trigger level, one capable of provoking reversal to an initial 6.5 with secondary, if broken, at 4.5p and a price level below which we cannot calculate. It’ll maybe be worth doing some research into this lot as “something” looks very capable of happening with their share price.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:31:28PM BRENT 8072.7
11:37:56PM GOLD 2464.28 2460 2453 2445 2470 2478 2495 2542 2452
11:41:02PM DOW 39741
11:44:21PM FTSE 8247.7
11:50:26PM STOX50 4704.7
11:53:13PM GERMANY 17849.7 ‘cess
12:22:41AM US500 5431.4 ‘cess
12:26:37AM NASDAQ 19015.7 18542 18336 18106 18723 19030 19084 19696 18868 ‘cess
12:31:26AM JAPAN 36516 ‘cess

Just Group Plc LSE:JUST Time to order takeaway?

#Gold #WallSt  We’ve little batches of dislike about this food delivery organisation, not least beginning with their UK advertising campaign. Quite why anyone in the UK is supposed to be attracted to the telephone by some Los Angeles guy posing on an unrideable motorcycle, with a soundtrack of something called Rap which is a death sentence for radio in the UK, defeats us. We can only guess the launch introduction was a glitzy party in LA, designed to overwhelm any common sense. It was to take literal years to discover the bloke posing on the motorbike was a US Rapper we’d actually heard of, a chap calling himself Snoopy Dogg.

Perhaps in Europe, the delivery company should have overlaid their campaign with a caption and arrow, explaining who it was.

 

Here in Argyll, Just Eat finally moved into the area, offering deliveries from a couple of local curry shops. It was an innovation as revolutionary as the invention of the hot water tap until it was realised everything was being brought by the same delivery drivers as normal, rather than some unknown celeb on a motorcycle. Worse, delivery times got longer, due to the outlets waiting until they’d a batch of deliveries to a specific area before sending orders out. This actually makes a lot of sense, our villages along the shore being 8 to 14 miles away from the curry shop with very little in between. When drivers started to discuss the commissions being paid to Just Eat, we decided to return to the old fashioned way of just using the phone to order, though the outlet would sometimes say; “We’ve a delivery going out your way in 20 minutes, you don’t need to pick it up!” Basically, it tended to prove the Just Eat business model is ideal in town and city environments, quite a lot less so in the countryside. Additionally, folk who stay in areas where they are liable to appreciate just who the celebrity promoting the company actually is, tend not to be of the demagogue who live in civilised areas…

What’s doubly hilarious about the advertising campaign comes from the type of bike used. There’s a group of motorcyclists who join something called “Hog”. Some of them look like budding Hells Angels, some dress like real bikers, but what they have in common is a concept called “Retirement Age” and an attraction to the Harley Owners Group (HOG). This month, the UK chapter of this army of bikers is meeting up in August at family friendly Aviemore, their entertainment coming from a musical Girl Group called Dea Matrona, an unbelievably talented pair of singers/musicians who make Simon & Garfunkel sound current, Fleetwood Mac sound new, and Abba sound like beginners. Sorry about the personal bias but as the sort of person who’s never gotten used to woman driving cars (my mother was a nightmare), watching this bunch play their instruments at a level of which I couldn’t even dream was truly impressive.

 

Returning to Just Group Plc their share price now looks capable of becoming interesting. Movement above just 122p almost certainly proposes the threat of recovery to an initial 134p with our secondary, if bettered, at a longer term 160p. Neither target level proposes an exciting level of acceleration, though probably substantially better than the motorcycle featured in their advert could ever achieve before the rider ran over a pebble and fell off. Geometry matters, especially when steering a bike.

Visually, it looks like the 160p level shall be capable of producing some hesitation, if only due to prior price movements. Folks stuck in a trade at the prior 160p level shall doubtless bail at break even, rather than risk waiting to see what comes next.

Should things intend go wrong for Just, their share price now needs below 106 to risk triggering reversal to an initial 99 with our secondary, if broken, an eventual 86p along with a very strong possibility of a bounce.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:22:11PM BRENT 8184.4   Success
11:24:23PM GOLD 2475.36 2444 2441 2429 2459 2476 2495 2538 2445 Success
11:28:32PM FTSE 8222
1:06:56AM STOX50 4667
1:10:18AM GERMANY 17710.2
1:18:12AM US500 5347.3
1:23:16AM DOW 39366.5 39254 39109 38942 39424 39632 39888 40325 39462
1:27:39AM NASDAQ 18541.7
1:30:10AM JAPAN 35815

 

12/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8210 points. Change of 0.51%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,213,997,853 a change of 45.06%
9/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8168 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,283,759,175 a change of -11.55%
8/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8144 points. Change of -0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,843,015,012 a change of -1.4%
7/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8166 points. Change of 1.74%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,912,004,252 a change of -45.12%
6/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8026 points. Change of 0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,950,670,093 a change of 16.02%
5/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8008 points. Change of -2.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,714,993,159 a change of 12.21%
2/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8174 points. Change of -1.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,875,472,629 a change of 20.68%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

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Updated charts published on : Asos, Astrazeneca, Scancell, Spirax, Tullow, Vodafone,


LSE:ASC Asos. Close Mid-Price: 356.6 Percentage Change: + 0.28% Day High: 359.4 Day Low: 351.4

In the event Asos experiences weakness below 337, it calculates with a dro ……..

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LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 12780 Percentage Change: + 0.63% Day High: 12842 Day Low: 12638

All Astrazeneca needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 12842 to improve acceler ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell. Close Mid-Price: 18.5 Percentage Change: + 2.78% Day High: 18.75 Day Low: 18

Target met. All Scancell needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 19 to improve a ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax. Close Mid-Price: 7715 Percentage Change: + 0.72% Day High: 7795 Day Low: 7640

In the event Spirax experiences weakness below 7640 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 27.98 Percentage Change: + 3.55% Day High: 28.14 Day Low: 26.6

Continued weakness against TLW taking the price below 26.6 calculates as ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone. Close Mid-Price: 74.44 Percentage Change: + 0.87% Day High: 74.8 Day Low: 73.84

Continued trades against VOD with a mid-price ABOVE 74.8 should improve t ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Barclays Bank (LSE:BARC) like herding cats…

#Brent #Dax We experienced an unexpected weekend here in Argyll. The plan had been to route a pipe with an inner bore of 5cm, my brother arriving with 55 metres of the stuff designed to hook up with a hydro-electric generator. It was one of these “you had one job” moments, when he dragged everything up the stream gully to the dammed area and in doing so, discovered my measurement was out by 25 metres. How we laughed as the weight of all that plastic tubing was memorable, especially as I’d estimated the distance to the pool of water as around 50 metres. Apparently I should have factored in the level of waterfall drop (7 metres) and the land slope (5 metres), along with the fact I’d measured a straight line, rather than the other two sides of a triangle.

And so, to mollify my big brother, I cheerfully poured him a pint of my home made cider, being careful to warn of the strength. Three pint glasses later, his wife supported his walk to bed, no-one noticing I was avoiding drinking the 18 degree proof stuff. On Sunday, my notorious 6am riser emerged from the bedroom at around noon, deciding he was going up above the cliff to fell some trees. This is a confirmed “bloke” thing and while driving my little red tractor, I could occasionally see a tree toppling as if a monster was charging around. In the forest, I’d spray painted some massive Holly Trees as targets as they’re effectively big weeds, my brother opting to fell every single one of ’em as the hardwood is suitable to burn immediately. Quite literally, we now have an entire years supply of wood above the 7 metre cliff. The next trick will be to get a couple of chums to visit to throw the logs over the cliff, then slice then up down in the cutting area. If I play my cards right, absolutely no effort will be needed on my part. Hollywood clearly has missed a few tricks, if someone wants to gain the attention of big lumberjack types, dangle a large chainsaw in front of them, along with a couple of extremely sharp axe’s.

Sunday evening saw my brother fall victim to my wifes superb cooking, along with further supplies of my home made cider. This time, he was rationed to a couple of pints but I also gave him a 5 litre container of the stuff to take home. His wife scuttled through to their bedroom to hide it but, when offered a 3rd helping of Carbonara and garlic bread, he vanished to his bedroom and returned with yet another full glass of cider. I already felt the current batch was acceptable but, with my lifelong stridently teetotal brother rapidly looking addicted to the stuff, the wisdom of giving him a gallon to take home was questionable. His wife and I agreed it was similar to a dry white wine, my own non drinking wife (unless it is Drambuie) thinks is abhorrent. When we watched a recording of the “1% Club” presented by the genius Lee Mac, my brother went out at the easy question, going to bed in a sulk. Thankfully, normality should return on Monday, our guests due to enjoy a 254 mile drive home to the Ross-shire, an awkward part of Scotland. We’d live there for a few years, due to my entire family staying in a particular village. However, as city folk, the challenge of an 86 mile drive to the nearest Tesco become abhorrent and we started to value visits to our Glasgow home or my wifes family in Yorkshire.

 

It would be nice to dovetail the foregoing into the dangers of estimating number but it’s something we never do. Things went a little wrong with Barclays as the share price had enacted sufficient work to promote travel to what we’d then shown as 254p. Instead, the rise fizzled out at 242p. In our defence, we had demanded the share price close above 235p to make growth inevitable but it didn’t happen. Instead, despite the surge to 242p, the highest the share price closed at was 234.05p, thus giving us a clue we’d been watch the correct trend. Then things got worse and we’ve circled it on the chart extract below. “They” opted to gap Barclays share price below the Red uptrend, confirming a suspicion Barclays were not due their day in the sun. Quite the converse appears possible as it’s always a little scary when the market starts forcing a share price down.

Our “Panic” level is set at 195p as closure below such a point shall make reversal potentials serious. Equally, closure above 221.5p shall make recovery potentials serious and these are two number probably worth printing out an remembering. Essentially, at present, Barclays has a 26.5p bandwidth which is perhaps worth ignoring, aside from the crucial fact the share price is moving above a Blue downtrend which dates back to 2015. In theory, this should impart some strength to the price, especially as it doesn’t need try very hard to close above our 221.5p trigger level. Such a movement now looks capable of triggering recovery to an initial 257p with our secondary, if beaten, at an eventual 290p and a need for us to run and revue our tea leaves.

Alternately, closure below 195 shall be viewed as a bad thing, capable of triggering reversals to an initial 182p with secondary, if broken, a longer term visually unlikely 163p.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
3:36:46AM BRENT 7956.5 7749 7505 7080 7777 7978 8004 8172 7864
3:40:41AM GOLD 2430.79 2416
3:51:44AM FTSE 8190.5 8136
4:09:20AM STOX50 4687 4646
4:19:57AM GERMANY 17773.9 17626 17595 17529 17737 17786 17888 18175 17654
4:27:06AM US500 5340 5297
1:56:48AM DOW 39475 39410
1:59:17AM NASDAQ 18511.8 18421
2:01:44AM JAPAN 35335 35468

 

9/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8168 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,283,759,175 a change of -11.55%
8/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8144 points. Change of -0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,843,015,012 a change of -1.4%
7/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8166 points. Change of 1.74%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,912,004,252 a change of -45.12%
6/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8026 points. Change of 0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,950,670,093 a change of 16.02%
5/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8008 points. Change of -2.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,714,993,159 a change of 12.21%
2/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8174 points. Change of -1.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,875,472,629 a change of 20.68%
1/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8283 points. Change of -1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,697,242,185 a change of -8.56%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:JET Just Eat** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:STAR Star Energy** **

********

Updated charts published on : Just Eat, Scancell, Spirax, Star Energy,


LSE:JET Just Eat. Close Mid-Price: 1082 Percentage Change: + 3.64% Day High: 1106 Day Low: 1072

Further movement against Just Eat ABOVE 1106 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell. Close Mid-Price: 18 Percentage Change: + 2.86% Day High: 18.5 Day Low: 17.5

Target met. In the event of Scancell enjoying further trades beyond 18.5, ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 7660 Percentage Change: -3.04% Day High: 7945 Day Low: 7650

Continued weakness against SPX taking the price below 7650 calculates as ……..

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LSE:STAR Star Energy. Close Mid-Price: 7.95 Percentage Change: + 3.65% Day High: 8.42 Day Low: 7.64

Target met. All Star Energy needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 8.42 to impr ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Our world famous FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX)

#FTSE #Gold It has been a crazy week on the FTSE with Mondays opening second plunge provoking some unpleasant behaviour. As we mentioned on Thursday, we are far from confident a “bottom is in”, a suspicion confirmed in the opening second with the FTSE manipulated downward by 60 points at the start of trading, then losing a further bunch of points in the next 30 minutes. It certainly wasn’t behaviour pumping out confidence for the future, creating a situation as puzzling as the final of a Paris Olympics Female boxing match being played out by 2 blokes! France certainly appear to be hosting games which shall prove memorable for all the wrong reasons.

 

To be fairly brief, above 8176 points should next promote FTSE recovery to an initial 8287 points, a movement which if triggered should be quite sharp, probably with an extremely tight stop loss level. Our longer term secondary calculates at 8421 points, an ambition which would exceed the immediate Blue downtrend but we’ve some doubts. For various nerdy reasons, the FTSE needs to close a session above 8250 points to allow us to tick a major box for movement of greater strength and as it’s a biblically wet August (here in Argyll), we have doubts.

If, as we suspect, things intend go wrong, perhaps due to Taylor Swift cancelling her Austrian concerts due to terrorist threats, the FTSE actually needs fall by around 100 points to 8033, causing panic. Attaining such a level risks triggering further reversals to 7937 points with our secondary, if broken, at 7752 and a probable challenge against the immediate uptrend since 2020.

While we expected the FTSE to settle within a trading channel for August, events of the first week are leaving us a little clueless.

On a brighter note, my big brother is visiting this weekend, intending to build a new hydro electric scheme to replace my previous attempt which was the victim of floods, probably due to turn up on a Canadian shore at some point. His cunning plan is to build a Dam 50 metres up the stream gully, creating a stable water flow. Unfortunately due to recent rainfall levels, the waterfall noise is utterly horrific and I suspect we shall spend the weekend indoors, drinking cider, and making plans for September while he moans about a 450 mile wasted round trip.

 

Have a good weekend.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:13:23PM BRENT 7886.5 7756 7683 7838 7930 7945 7879
10:17:14PM GOLD 2427.13 2392 2378 2402 2429 2441 2417 Success
10:19:40PM FTSE 8158.9 8063 8024 8119 8180 8192 8130 ‘cess
10:23:25PM STOX50 4681.4 4605 4578 4650 4696 4750 4660
10:25:55PM GERMANY 17723 17423 17338 17558 17758 17849 17643
10:28:10PM US500 5325.3 5174 5147 5214 5334 5406 5283
10:31:30PM DOW 39474 39208 39118 39325 39522 39885 39213 Success
11:06:20PM NASDAQ 18460.2 17649 17483 17836 18490 18802 18221 Success
11:08:47PM JAPAN 35740 33740 33438 34879 35863 36053 35431

 

8/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8144 points. Change of -0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,843,015,012 a change of -1.4%
7/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8166 points. Change of 1.74%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,912,004,252 a change of -45.12%
6/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8026 points. Change of 0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,950,670,093 a change of 16.02%
5/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8008 points. Change of -2.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,714,993,159 a change of 12.21%
2/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8174 points. Change of -1.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,875,472,629 a change of 20.68%
1/08/2024 FTSE Closed at 8283 points. Change of -1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,697,242,185 a change of -8.56%
31/07/2024 FTSE Closed at 8367 points. Change of 1.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,230,318,806 a change of 19.13%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

********

Updated charts published on : MAN, Glencore Xstra, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Parkmead, Scancell, Spirax, Tullow,


LSE:EMG MAN Close Mid-Price: 213.8 Percentage Change: -1.66% Day High: 214.6 Day Low: 208.4

Target met. In the event MAN experiences weakness below 208.4 it calculat ……..

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra Close Mid-Price: 403.2 Percentage Change: -0.25% Day High: 403.45 Day Low: 391.35

This is now looking a little dodgy as weakness below 380 points at the pot ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Close Mid-Price: 7212 Percentage Change: -0.85% Day High: 7256 Day Low: 7152

Target met. Weakness on Intercontinental Hotels Group below 7152 will inv ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead. Close Mid-Price: 11.25 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 11.25 Day Low: 11

If Parkmead experiences continued weakness below 11, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell. Close Mid-Price: 17.5 Percentage Change: + 2.94% Day High: 17.5 Day Low: 17

Further movement against Scancell ABOVE 17.5 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 7900 Percentage Change: -7.44% Day High: 8195 Day Low: 7705

Target met. Weakness on Spirax below 7705 will invariably lead to 7446p w ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 26.96 Percentage Change: -2.60% Day High: 28 Day Low: 26.76

In the event Tullow experiences weakness below 26.76 it calculates with a ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares