Our internationally popular FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX) and a grump about UK Interest Rates.

#FTSE #GOLD Thursday was slightly interesting, the UK’s FTSE providing a pretty tame day against a backdrop of other markets looking strong. Of course, fully to blame for the lack of enthusiasm was the Bank of England, the organisation looking increasingly invested in keeping the country struggling, rather than use the tools at its disposal by decreasing interest rates. Meanwhile, across the pond, the USA suffered a vile 0.5% cut in rates. Even the European Central Bank opted for action, reducing their rate to 3.5% while the UK continues to be stifled at 5%.

It was unusual, noting BoE claimed the drop in inflation to 2.2% was due to Inflationary Pressures easing due to the previous cut in rates. As a result, they somehow decided this was a perfect reason to further delay rate reductions for the present. What’s doubly foul is the trend suggests the UK should head to around 2.9%, this being our best guess due to the historical level of the trend break in 2021, when the BoE decided the best way to challenge inflation was to force prices up. It’s almost a surprise they didn’t advocate another increase in VAT or Fuel Duty in an attempt to further fight inflation by making the country poorer. At times, it feels like the Bank of England are populated by the type of people who often gravitate into politics, where the most important qualification seems to be active hatred of your own country!

 

We’d like to advocate Friday as looking quite positive for the FTSE but unfortunately, at time of writing, FTSE Futures are experiencing a bit of a hammering, trading around 8294 at time of writing. In many ways, this isn’t terribly encouraging carrying a vague threat of reversal down to 8270 points or so. Our current expectation is for the market to open down on Friday, ideally above 8270 points and spend the rest of the day exhibiting some recovery. On the basis the UK opens around 8300 points, we shall hope for gains during the morning toward an initial 8340 points. If bettered, our secondary is at 8374 points but we should also admit this gets close to a bigger picture value at 7403 and a visual chance of some hesitation, at least until next week.

If this triggers, the tightest stop loss level looks like 8270 points, an extremely kind risk/reward potential.

Our converse scenario looks at the risks should 8270 break as reversals to an initial 8236 points looks possible with our secondary, if broken, calculating at a less likely 8129 points.

 

Have a good weekend. Hopefully the Singapore Grand Prix produces its usual level of chaos and controversy…


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:16:40PM BRENT 7435.6 7255 7171 7322 7482 7584 7368
10:23:10PM GOLD 2586.34 2552 2526 2568 2595 2610 2560
11:00:58PM FTSE 8317.2 8299 8284 8337 8374 8392 8324 Success
11:04:09PM STOX50 4934.5 4872 4848 4901 4957 4964 4919 Success
11:17:40PM GERMANY 18972 18806 18743 18900 19047 19168 18946 Success
11:24:50PM US500 5712.5 5637 5597 5677 5735 5744 5708 Success
11:34:20PM DOW 42054.5 41571 41543 41785 42179 42304 41977 ‘cess
11:38:42PM NASDAQ 19818 19724 19663 19845 19960 20201 19819 Success
11:42:43PM JAPAN 37687 37033 36732 37370 37929 38233 37560 Success

 

19/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8328 points. Change of 0.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,494,685,893 a change of -5.91%
18/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8253 points. Change of -0.67%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,902,679,441 a change of 22.65%
17/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8309 points. Change of 0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,628,109,018 a change of 50.11%
16/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8278 points. Change of 0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,749,335,232 a change of -16.44%
13/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8273 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,486,905,265 a change of -19.07%
12/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8240 points. Change of 0.57%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,544,211,682 a change of 9.81%
11/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8193 points. Change of -0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,048,721,179 a change of -0.13%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, BALFOUR BEATTY, Centrica, Experian, Firstgroup, Greggs, British Airways, Marks and Spencer, Ocado Plc, Parkmead, Rolls Royce,


LSE:AML Aston Martin. Close Mid-Price: 169 Percentage Change: + 2.61% Day High: 171 Day Low: 162.8

Target met. In the event of Aston Martin enjoying further trades beyond 1 ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 436.6 Percentage Change: + 1.63% Day High: 439.8 Day Low: 430

Target met. Further movement against BALFOUR BEATTY ABOVE 439.8 should im ……..

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 118.35 Percentage Change: + 0.17% Day High: 121.4 Day Low: 115.85

Continued weakness against CNA taking the price below 115.85 calculates a ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3878 Percentage Change: + 2.29% Day High: 3892 Day Low: 3801

Target met. All Experian needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 3892 to improve ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup Close Mid-Price: 153.8 Percentage Change: -1.73% Day High: 156.8 Day Low: 145.7

In the event Firstgroup experiences weakness below 145.7 it calculates wi ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs. Close Mid-Price: 3190 Percentage Change: + 0.76% Day High: 3222 Day Low: 3168

Further movement against Greggs ABOVE 3222 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 208.1 Percentage Change: + 0.87% Day High: 209.8 Day Low: 207.5

All British Airways needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 209.8 to improve ac ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer. Close Mid-Price: 369.2 Percentage Change: + 0.49% Day High: 376.1 Day Low: 367.5

Further movement against Marks and Spencer ABOVE 376.1 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc. Close Mid-Price: 359.3 Percentage Change: + 2.77% Day High: 411 Day Low: 355.8

In the event of Ocado Plc enjoying further trades beyond 411, the share s ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead Close Mid-Price: 8.25 Percentage Change: -10.81% Day High: 9.25 Day Low: 8.25

Target met. Continued weakness against PMG taking the price below 8.25 ca ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 525 Percentage Change: + 5.85% Day High: 525 Day Low: 499

Target met. In the event of Rolls Royce enjoying further trades beyond 52 ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB) currently 7.04.

#Gold #SP500 With Mr Musk’s SpaceX grabbing all the headlines, it’s easy to forget other companies exist in his playground, one in particular we suspect is worthy of a glance. New Zealander Peter Beck, subject of the highly recommended book “When the Heavens Went On Sale, and his company, Rocket Lab specialise in sending small satellites into orbit but also, were contracted by NASA to send a payload to the Moon. SpaceX, specialising in doing big stuff, don’t regard them as competition, the company still shooting off payloads from New Zealand South Island while being based, inevitably, in California, where components are built and shipped to the New Zealand launch site to be thrown upward.

While the company Wikipedia entry is useful, the book is better as it generates real laughter, especially when the inventor tests a new rocket design on a bicycle. At night, on the main road through his town. To indicate how seriously they are taking their current position, Rocket Labs “Launch Complex 1” is licensed to launch rockets every 72 hours for the next 30 years. This tends suggest a company which isn’t expecting to vanish into the clouds with little warning. Meanwhile, here’s a snapshot of the moon the other night, during the eclipse around 3am. We’re not planning on firing a rocket at it.

 

When Rocket Lab was back at 4.5 dollars,  we knocked together a series of calculations pointing at potential growth to 7.5 eventually. The share price achieved this level in the last few days, even closing a session at 7.46p but given the intraday high, suggesting further hope may be possible. All the share needs do it trade above 7.54p!

It’s now the case where above 7.54 should trigger continued price recovery to an initial $8.1 with our secondary, if bettered, at $9.6. This is liable to prove quite a big deal as closure above our secondary level ticks a major box for a longer term journey to nearly $18.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:05:19PM BRENT 7242.2
11:09:22PM GOLD 2557.65 2548 2544 2525 2570 2601 2610 2631 2576 ‘cess
11:12:54PM FTSE 8273
11:17:03PM STOX50 4857.4 ‘cess
11:21:24PM Wall St 41615
11:37:48PM US500 5639 5612 5590 5556 5641 5692 5706 5730 5633
11:50:33PM GERMANY 18797 Success
11:53:27PM NASDAQ 19424.1
11:56:14PM JAPAN 36860

 

18/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8253 points. Change of -0.67%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,902,679,441 a change of 22.65%
17/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8309 points. Change of 0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,628,109,018 a change of 50.11%
16/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8278 points. Change of 0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,749,335,232 a change of -16.44%
13/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8273 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,486,905,265 a change of -19.07%
12/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8240 points. Change of 0.57%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,544,211,682 a change of 9.81%
11/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8193 points. Change of -0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,048,721,179 a change of -0.13%
10/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8205 points. Change of -0.79%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,055,044,781 a change of 31.7%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:IQE IQE** **LSE:ITV ITV** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **

********

Updated charts published on : IQE, ITV, Marks and Spencer, Parkmead, Spirax,


LSE:IQE IQE Close Mid-Price: 17.4 Percentage Change: -0.80% Day High: 18.04 Day Low: 17.3

Weakness on IQE below 17.3 will invariably lead to 16p with secondary (if ……..

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LSE:ITV ITV Close Mid-Price: 80.9 Percentage Change: -0.25% Day High: 81.2 Day Low: 80.6

It’s now the case this needs above 89 to promote recovery to an initial 94 ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 367.4 Percentage Change: -0.78% Day High: 373.2 Day Low: 365.2

Target met. All Marks and Spencer needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 373.2 ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead Close Mid-Price: 9.25 Percentage Change: -5.13% Day High: 9.75 Day Low: 9.25

Weakness on Parkmead below 9.25 will invariably lead to 8.5p with seconda ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 7220 Percentage Change: -2.10% Day High: 7385 Day Low: 7185

Target met. In the event Spirax experiences weakness below 7185 it calcul ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Kingfisher Plc (LSE:KGF) currently 322p

#FTSE #SP500 It was worrying, noticing Kingfisher share place surged 11.23% on Tuesday, presumably on the news my wife and I intend visit one of their stores on the mainland this week. To be fair, we’re only intending buy wall tiles for the kitchen but historically, a visit to B&Q always sees us return with a load of “just in case” items, the sort of hardware which isn’t readily available here in Argyll or, if it is, the price is horrific. Over the years, we’ve learned to use B&Q as a big hardware store but wouldn’t dream of shopping there for a new kitchen or bathroom.

It was interesting to note their recent financial results were encouraging, despite the company noting demand for “big ticket” items has remained weak. Perhaps we can be classified as a typical customer, though it’s funny we purchased a new boiler burner earlier this year from another of Kingfishers companies, Screwfix. However, despite reporting a drop in group sales, the company is reporting profits are nudging up and therefore, the market is a happy bunny.

 

The immediate situation is fairly useful with movement above just 333.1p showing the potential of triggering further price lurches in the direction of 345p. As the chart below implies, there’s certainly reason to anticipate some hesitation at such a level but also, another reason to hope something important happens. We suspect closure above 346p shall prove critical to the share price future, taking the share into a zone where we calculate 423p as a logical third level target, leaving it in a zone where a strong potential long term can be speculated on.

If things intend go wrong, the price needs discounted below 225p to cause serious panic, capable of triggering reversals to an initial 193p with secondary, if broken, at 123p and a probable bounce.

For now, we’re fairly enthusiastic about Kingfishers future.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:09:41PM BRENT 7337 ‘cess
10:13:46PM GOLD 2569.8
10:18:52PM FTSE 8289.3 8273 8236 8197 8303 8324 8340 8362 8298 ‘cess
10:22:20PM STOX50 4851.7 Success
11:27:07PM GERMANY 18690.7 ‘cess
11:31:24PM US500 5638.2 5613 5603 5580 5641 5674 5760 5984 5540 ‘cess
11:35:24PM DOW 41630.3
11:38:47PM NASDAQ 19447.2
11:42:06PM JAPAN 36671 Success
17/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8309 points. Change of 0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,628,109,018 a change of 50.11%
16/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8278 points. Change of 0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,749,335,232 a change of -16.44%
13/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8273 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,486,905,265 a change of -19.07%
12/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8240 points. Change of 0.57%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,544,211,682 a change of 9.81%
11/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8193 points. Change of -0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,048,721,179 a change of -0.13%
10/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8205 points. Change of -0.79%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,055,044,781 a change of 31.7%
9/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8270 points. Change of 1.09%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,838,355,695 a change of -22.29%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IQE IQE** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **LSE:VOD Vodafone** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, British Telecom, Experian, Greggs, British Airways, IQE, Marks and Spencer, National Glib, Tern Plc, Tesco, Taylor Wimpey, Vodafone,


LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 160.2 Percentage Change: -0.68% Day High: 165 Day Low: 160.4

Continued trades against AML with a mid-price ABOVE 165 should improve th ……..

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 147.7 Percentage Change: + 0.14% Day High: 149.3 Day Low: 147.3

In the event of British Telecom enjoying further trades beyond 149.3, the ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3822 Percentage Change: + 1.30% Day High: 3846 Day Low: 3797

In the event of Experian enjoying further trades beyond 3846, the share s ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs. Close Mid-Price: 3182 Percentage Change: + 0.19% Day High: 3202 Day Low: 3174

All Greggs needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 3202 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 206.4 Percentage Change: + 3.41% Day High: 207.1 Day Low: 200.2

In the event of British Airways enjoying further trades beyond 207.1, th ……..

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LSE:IQE IQE Close Mid-Price: 17.54 Percentage Change: -3.20% Day High: 18.52 Day Low: 17.5

Target met. In the event IQE experiences weakness below 17.5 calculates a ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer. Close Mid-Price: 370.3 Percentage Change: + 2.46% Day High: 369.9 Day Low: 364.3

In the event of Marks and Spencer enjoying further trades beyond 369.9, t ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1056 Percentage Change: + 0.86% Day High: 1061.5 Day Low: 1043

Target met. In the event of National Glib enjoying further trades beyond ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc Close Mid-Price: 1.1 Percentage Change: -6.38% Day High: 1.18 Day Low: 1.05

Continued weakness against TERN taking the price below 1.05 calculates as ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco Close Mid-Price: 369.2 Percentage Change: -0.38% Day High: 373.9 Day Low: 369.8

Target met. Continued trades against TSCO with a mid-price ABOVE 373.9 sh ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 166.9 Percentage Change: + 0.82% Day High: 168.95 Day Low: 166.65

Target met. In the event of Taylor Wimpey enjoying further trades beyond ……..

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LSE:VOD Vodafone Close Mid-Price: 77.62 Percentage Change: -1.02% Day High: 79.5 Day Low: 77.54

Continued trades against VOD with a mid-price ABOVE 79.5 should improve t ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

GBP/USD (FX:GBPUSD) currently 1.3217. Time for Florida?

#Gold #Nasdaq Elections are proving weird this year. We had the UK’s General Election being held on July 4th, the USA’s favourite firework festival. And the USA’s Presidential Election is being held on November 5th, the UK’s favourite firework festival.  We can only assume Scotlands next General Election shall be held on September 5th next year, the anniversary of the first time The Muppet Show was broadcast. Perhaps the American Presidential election shall adopt Our Guy Fawkes fireworks for the 5th November vote, doubtless to conceal the sound of gunshots!

Despite the chaotic state of UK politics, it seems Sterling is strengthening against the dollar, maybe the markets somehow feel the UK is doing better than the USA. The media attribute the weakness of the dollar, due to the highly publicised imminent reduction in US interest rates. There’s a pretty strong argument suggesting the Dollar should continue to weaken, due to the GBPUSD exceeding the Blue downtrend on the chart below. It’s quite a big deal as this trend line dates back to 2007 and surely a 17 year old downtrend must mean something to folk and usually, they’re not wrong. From our perspective, when a value goes through a trend line, the bias of the market tends change with in this instance, positive news tending to enhance positive movements.

 

This results in a situation, where movement next above 1.3324 should strengthen Sterling to an initial pairing target of 1.3584 with our secondary, if bettered, now at 1.4271 and some almost certain hesitation. Since the pairing broke the trend, price levels have pretty much adhered to our rules, so perhaps it’s time to consider a visit to Disney Florida.

Of course, things could go wrong but the pairing needs weaken below 1.2600 to cause serious concern, allowing reversals to an initial 1.2002 with our longer term secondary at 1.1410 and a potential bounce. Visually, very little of this reversal scenario makes any real sense.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:09:19PM BRENT 7274
10:21:50PM GOLD 2582.56 2563 2555 2543 2583 2590 2596 2603 2575
10:26:09PM FTSE 8303.9 8297 ‘cess
10:28:18PM STOX50 4846 4834
10:37:26PM GERMANY 18712.3 18632
10:40:34PM US500 5631.1 5611
10:44:22PM DOW 41602.5 41521 ‘cess
11:17:07PM NASDAQ 19430.6 19285 19209 19095 19440 19524 19696 19894 19380 ‘cess
11:20:34PM JAPAN 36434 36373

 

16/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8278 points. Change of 0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,749,335,232 a change of -16.44%
13/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8273 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,486,905,265 a change of -19.07%
12/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8240 points. Change of 0.57%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,544,211,682 a change of 9.81%
11/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8193 points. Change of -0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,048,721,179 a change of -0.13%
10/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8205 points. Change of -0.79%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,055,044,781 a change of 31.7%
9/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8270 points. Change of 1.09%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,838,355,695 a change of -22.29%
6/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8181 points. Change of -0.73%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,939,178,824 a change of -5.79%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IQE IQE** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Block Energy PLC, British Airways, IQE, Marks and Spencer, Tern Plc,


LSE:AML Aston Martin. Close Mid-Price: 161.3 Percentage Change: + 1.00% Day High: 164 Day Low: 155.7

All Aston Martin needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 164 to improve accelera ……..

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LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC Close Mid-Price: 0.82 Percentage Change: -5.71% Day High: 0.88 Day Low: 0.82

Target met. If Block Energy PLC experiences continued weakness below 0.82 ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 199.6 Percentage Change: + 0.33% Day High: 200.8 Day Low: 198.3

Target met. Further movement against British Airways ABOVE 200.8 should ……..

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LSE:IQE IQE Close Mid-Price: 18.12 Percentage Change: -7.55% Day High: 21 Day Low: 17.98

Continued weakness against IQE taking the price below 17.98 calculates as ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer. Close Mid-Price: 361.4 Percentage Change: + 2.90% Day High: 362.5 Day Low: 349.9

Continued trades against MKS with a mid-price ABOVE 362.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc Close Mid-Price: 1.18 Percentage Change: -17.54% Day High: 1.25 Day Low: 1.18

If Tern Plc experiences continued weakness below 1.18, it will invariably ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Lloyds Banking Group (LSE:LLOY) currently 58.04

#Brent #Dax It’s being said around 80% of Artificial Intelligence companies fail, despite investors throwing money at them. Similar behaviour has been noted with Blockchain and Crypto, essentially with the “smart” investors being afraid of missing the next big thing. Understandably, no-one wants to miss the next Google, Apple, or Tesla but AI (especially) is a dodgy territory. Essentially, while it’s a good idea, no-one has actually figured out where it will be useful.

Being careful not to name names, someone we know works with a national retailer, specialising in PR customer support. Her department received a dreadful email from a customer, complaining they’d bought a bunch of roses with one of the stems drawing blood, when a thorn scratched their skin. The customer expected a refund for the roses, along with some sort of goodwill gesture! Eventually, it was decided to allow the first person who’d read the email to reply, along with a strong suggestion she didn’t use words like “moron or idiot”. The junior member sent a 3 word email reply, saying “Roses Have Thorns” and no more was heard.

However, for a giggle, the team threw the email at AI software which was under test to replace call centres. This is where is all started to go wrong, the AI immediately replying with a full refund, along with a store credit to purchase another bunch of flowers. Additionally, it tried to issue an email to management, suggesting future bunches of roses be sheathed in puncture proof rubber sleeves as this accident was completely avoidable. Needless to say, the AI software remains under an increasingly cynical test, doubtless giving considerable hope to employees in call centres worldwide.

Amusingly, there’s apparently a video of the new Beetlejuice movie doing the rounds, a perfect copy from a Mexican showing. The language is obviously Spanish and initially someone claimed to have used AI to successfully generate accurate subtitles. Another pirate movie enthusiast then had a go at it, somehow converting the Spanish audio into an English soundtrack, all with AI. While this sort of thing is truly impressive (we’re going to see the real film this week), it’s more indicative of a firm future for. Historically, once the dodgy side of life adopts new technology, it’s a pretty certain signal the technology will catch on, something the film industry is pretty aware of anyway, due to the initial use of moving pictures being to record porn. As a result, it is said every improvement in the film technology has insiders watching the porn industry for signs of it being adopted. We’d guess, if the porn industry starts making entire AI movies, mainstream actors shall doubtless start reviewing their career options. For now, despite the Beetlejuice story, we remain sceptical about AI as it appears a solution which hasn’t yet found a suitable problem.

 

Lloyds Banking Group share price continues to prove the markets are not under the control of an AI, or if they are, it’s one with the IQ of a small ginger cat. We’re extremely frustrated at the inability of retail banking shares to actually do anything positive, despite larcenous interest rates starting to relax worldwide. The immediate situation with Lloyds now suggests movement above 61.62p should bring movement to an initial 66.4p with our secondary, if beaten, at a more useful 69.5p and potential hesitation. Visually, the share price has experienced an issue at the 70p level since 2016.

If things intend go wrong with Lloyds, below 56p looks like providing the first warning as this risks promoting reversal to an initial 52p with our secondary, if broken, now at 49.4p and a potential excuse for a real bounce.

For now, we’re stuck in a repeat cycle of every three weeks, trying to find reasons for Lloyds share price to remove itself from a zombie lifestyle. The retail banking sector, once interesting and exciting, is being outperformed by this years crop of dandelions on our lawn.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
2:15:32AM BRENT 7193.4 7104 6993 6887 7181 7291 7365 7533 7202
2:21:08AM GOLD 2577.82
2:23:32AM FTSE 8282.9
2:26:22AM STOX50 4844.1
2:31:38AM GERMANY 18683.9 18653 18629 18597 18711 18680 18874 19102 18540
2:40:59AM US500 5622.2
2:44:36AM DOW 41392.5
2:47:15AM NASDAQ 19485.2
2:51:33AM JAPAN 36428

 

13/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8273 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,486,905,265 a change of -19.07%
12/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8240 points. Change of 0.57%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,544,211,682 a change of 9.81%
11/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8193 points. Change of -0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,048,721,179 a change of -0.13%
10/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8205 points. Change of -0.79%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,055,044,781 a change of 31.7%
9/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8270 points. Change of 1.09%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,838,355,695 a change of -22.29%
6/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8181 points. Change of -0.73%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,939,178,824 a change of -5.79%
5/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8241 points. Change of -0.34%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,242,721,349 a change of 2.61%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:PHP Primary Health** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, British Telecom, Centamin, Experian, Firstgroup, British Airways, Primary Health, Parkmead,


LSE:AML Aston Martin. Close Mid-Price: 159.7 Percentage Change: + 3.50% Day High: 161.6 Day Low: 154.9

Target met. Further movement against Aston Martin ABOVE 161.6 should impr ……..

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 147.15 Percentage Change: + 1.31% Day High: 148.2 Day Low: 145

Target met. All British Telecom needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 148.5 to ……..

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LSE:CEY Centamin. Close Mid-Price: 156 Percentage Change: + 1.30% Day High: 158.6 Day Low: 154.3

Further movement against Centamin ABOVE 158.6 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3771 Percentage Change: + 0.40% Day High: 3811 Day Low: 3767

Continued trades against EXPN with a mid-price ABOVE 3811 should improve ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 155 Percentage Change: + 0.52% Day High: 155.1 Day Low: 149.9

Target met. If Firstgroup experiences continued weakness below 149.9, it w ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 198.95 Percentage Change: + 1.74% Day High: 199.4 Day Low: 194.8

Continued trades against IAG with a mid-price ABOVE 199.4 should improve ……..

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LSE:PHP Primary Health. Close Mid-Price: 101.7 Percentage Change: + 0.89% Day High: 102.2 Day Low: 100.8

All Primary Health needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 102.2 to improve acce ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead Close Mid-Price: 10 Percentage Change: -1.23% Day High: 10.12 Day Low: 9.75

Target met. If Parkmead experiences continued weakness below 9.75, it wil ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX) currently 8240… Just watch the Grand Prix

#FTSE #GOLD Projecting market direction sometimes feels like publicising Aura Borealis or Meteor sighting potentials, an exercise which often leads to disappointment.  Tonight, with the outside temperature at -2c, a clear sky and fully charged camera, all the hype about a promised Borealis starts to feel like clickbait though we did see an IcelandAir jet heading home at 40,000 feet. Thankfully, our track record on the FTSE is substantially better than those who forecast lights in the sky!

Now indoors, with the heating on, glancing at the FTSE is bringing similar levels of frustration to those experienced when trying to spot the Northern Lights.

However, we have several underlying reasons to suspect FTSE growth is set to continue. Something quite curious is going on between the UK and Australia as both markets appear to be copying the other. Broadly speaking, there’s a strong scenario presenting 8800 points as the real attraction for each index, Australia showing some fairly immediate positive potentials with Higher Highs whereas the FTSE is proving a bit lethargic.

 

In the event the FTSE opts to follow the expected behaviour of Australia, above 8290 points calculates with the potential of a lift to an initial 8332 points with our secondary, if exceeded, working out at an impressive 8402 points. If triggered, we suggest a stop loss level at around 8250 points.

We’re obviously not anticipating either the UK or Oz index making the leap to the 8800 level overnight, quite the converse, but instead we regard this as a longer term ambition, similar to a politician keeping its eye on a distant expenses office or subsidised restaurant/bar. Here in Scotland, our experience with SNP MP’s has shown what happens when people who struggled to be elected as a councillor were elevated to parliament. The results were not pretty and it’s probable the Daily Mail and the Express already have written their corruption headlines, just awaiting the unfortunate career politician to fill the story!

If things intend go wrong, below 8202 points looks like a trigger level as it risks promoting reversal down to an initial 8144 points with our secondary, if broken, calculating at a less likely 8090 points. We shall not be concerned if the 8144 level is breached, suspected the index shall bounce before the 8090 level.

 

Finally, having just spent another 20 freezing minutes outside, not a single meteor or Aura Borealis has been spotted. And it’s now approaching 3am.

Have a good weekend and enjoy the Grand Prix, hopefully a bit more interesting than the previous one.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:21:13PM BRENT 7194.2 7092 7010 7172 7282 7372 7159 Success
10:49:22PM GOLD 2558.25 2542 2537 2556 2560 2573 2542 Success
11:02:25PM FTSE 8253.1 8218 8189 8251 8281 8316 8248 Success
11:14:38PM STOX50 4823.7 4782 4775 4808 4839 4862 4817 ‘cess
11:17:14PM GERMANY 18567 18382 18339 18483 18594 18670 18549
11:20:25PM US500 5596.3 5536 5516 5567 5605 5628 5573 ‘cess
11:44:48PM DOW 41110 40659 40482 40975 41134 41317 41000 ‘cess
11:50:08PM NASDAQ 19422.9 19162 19104 19317 19460 19607 19239 ‘cess
11:53:53PM JAPAN 36996 36382 36180 36702 37060 37148 36646 ‘cess

 

12/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8240 points. Change of 0.57%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,544,211,682 a change of 9.81%
11/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8193 points. Change of -0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,048,721,179 a change of -0.13%
10/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8205 points. Change of -0.79%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,055,044,781 a change of 31.7%
9/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8270 points. Change of 1.09%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,838,355,695 a change of -22.29%
6/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8181 points. Change of -0.73%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,939,178,824 a change of -5.79%
5/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8241 points. Change of -0.34%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,242,721,349 a change of 2.61%
4/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8269 points. Change of -0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,109,260,535 a change of 3.53%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **

********

Updated charts published on : Centamin, British Airways, National Glib,


LSE:CEY Centamin. Close Mid-Price: 154 Percentage Change: + 2.94% Day High: 156.4 Day Low: 149

Target met. Continued trades against CEY with a mid-price ABOVE 156.4 sho ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 195.55 Percentage Change: + 1.06% Day High: 196.5 Day Low: 189.75

Target met. All British Airways needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 196.5 t ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib Close Mid-Price: 1037.5 Percentage Change: -0.43% Day High: 1053 Day Low: 1035.5

Further movement against National Glib ABOVE 1053 should improve accelera ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 319.7 Percentage Change: -1.69% Day High: 332.1 Day Low: 316.3

If Ocado Plc experiences continued weakness below 315.1, it will invariabl ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Greatland Gold (LSE:GGP) currently 5.1p

#Gold #NK225 Whatever Greatland have done to offend the market, their share price has received a bit of a hammering.  The headline news of them acquiring a further asset, along with news they intend to seek an additional listing for the enlarged company on the Australia Exchange (the ASX), it should be happy days but the market clearly feels unsettled. Or alternately are trying to frighten small investors as the share price potentials are currently foul. Essentially, it feels like there’s something going on we don’t entirely trust.

To be transparent, our entire knowledge of the gold industry is based on the excellent Gold Rush & Bering Sea Gold on the Discovery channel, along with an amateur effort to build a sluice in the stream which makes its way through our back garden. Every now and then, it gets cleaned out and each time produces two or three tiny little flakes of gold. While it’s certainly not commercial quantities, our haul over the last 10 years was given to a local jewellery designer who included it in the bunch of old gold rings & necklaces he was melting down to make a bracelet for our daughters birthday. The chap valued our haul over the last 10 years at around 90 quid, marginally diminishing my wifes scorn. In defence, the artificial grass which is supposed to capture gold is a problem, due to occasional overnight storms turning the placid stream into a raging torrent, scouring the carpet of grass clean.

However, with Greatland Gold trading in the area of Australia the chap Parker from Gold Rush viewed as Utopia for seeking gold in the continent, it seems sane to assume Greatland will enjoy better recovery rates than those from our back garden here in Argyll…

 

To dwell on the miserable potentials initially, apparently it’s the case weakness below 5p should trigger reversal to an initial 3p and hopefully a bounce. Our secondary, should 3p break, calculates at an absurd looking 0.1p. Our suspicion in this instance is the market shall ideally discover an excuse to gap the share price upward on morning, creating a game changing potential for the share price future. The reason we’re being a little cynical is due to the share price adherence to the Blue downtrend during August and September (circled in Red).

If things intend go right, movement above Blue currently at 7.4p should prove worthwhile, allowing price recovery to an initial 9p with our secondary, if bettered, at 10.7p. This secondary is important, due to the need for share price closure above such point to create a game changing scenario, where a long term cycle to an eventual 28p should commence.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:23:43PM BRENT 7058.2
10:29:40PM GOLD 2511.17 2501 2490 2477 2513 2525 2531 2541 2515
10:46:17PM FTSE 8252.2 8248 Success
11:47:45PM STOX50 4813.1 4772 Shambles
11:14:28PM GERMANY 18483.4 18396 ‘cess
11:20:29PM US500 5551.7 5478 ‘cess
11:25:30PM DOW 40842.5 40704 Success
11:37:11PM NASDAQ 19218.1 19075 Success
11:42:09PM JAPAN 36610 35284 35016 34458 35678 36678 37051 37640 36355 Shambles

 

11/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8193 points. Change of -0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,048,721,179 a change of -0.13%
10/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8205 points. Change of -0.79%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,055,044,781 a change of 31.7%
9/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8270 points. Change of 1.09%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,838,355,695 a change of -22.29%
6/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8181 points. Change of -0.73%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,939,178,824 a change of -5.79%
5/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8241 points. Change of -0.34%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,242,721,349 a change of 2.61%
4/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8269 points. Change of -0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,109,260,535 a change of 3.53%
3/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8298 points. Change of -0.78%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,935,106,783 a change of 50.92%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IQE IQE** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:PHP Primary Health** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

********

Updated charts published on : Centrica, Glencore Xstra, British Airways, IQE, Marks and Spencer, National Glib, Ocado Plc, Primary Health, Tullow,


LSE:CNA Centrica Close Mid-Price: 117.4 Percentage Change: -1.76% Day High: 120.3 Day Low: 116.2

Weakness on Centrica below 116.2 will invariably lead to 100p with second ……..

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra Close Mid-Price: 362.8 Percentage Change: -0.18% Day High: 371.85 Day Low: 360.7

If Glencore Xstra experiences continued weakness below 360.7, it will inv ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 193.5 Percentage Change: + 0.52% Day High: 194.4 Day Low: 192.1

In the event of British Airways enjoying further trades beyond 194.4, th ……..

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LSE:IQE IQE Close Mid-Price: 18.94 Percentage Change: -1.04% Day High: 20.9 Day Low: 18.02

Target met. If IQE experiences continued weakness below 18.02, it will in ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 351.7 Percentage Change: -1.37% Day High: 357.4 Day Low: 349.4

Target met. Further movement against Marks and Spencer ABOVE 357.4 should ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib Close Mid-Price: 1042 Percentage Change: -0.10% Day High: 1048 Day Low: 1034.5

Continued trades against NG. with a mid-price ABOVE 1048 should improve t ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 325.2 Percentage Change: -3.99% Day High: 347 Day Low: 315.1

If Ocado Plc experiences continued weakness below 315.1, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:PHP Primary Health Close Mid-Price: 100.5 Percentage Change: -0.40% Day High: 101 Day Low: 99.25

In the event of Primary Health enjoying further trades beyond 101, the sh ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 22.7 Percentage Change: + 2.62% Day High: 23.4 Day Low: 22.12

In the event Tullow experiences weakness below 22.12 it calculates with a ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares