Author: T&T Staff

#Gold #SP500   Historically, we’ve ample reason to utterly distrust Silver price movements, quite literally dating back to that Friday in 2011 when we suspect whoever was controlling the price  went out for wet lunch, leaving an intern to make decisions. When everyone came back from the pub and noticed Silver was almost at 50 dollars, the commodity suffered the fastest reversals seen since that Falklands oil company mentioned the bucket of oil they’d discovered was actually just dirty water. Prompting us to revisit Silver, the final episode of Grand Tour with Jeremy Clarkson, James May, and Richard Hammond, featured the trio pretending to smuggle several kilo’s of Silver out of Zimbabwe and in the process discovering the only border in the continent not manned by folk with guns and more soldiers than can be justified. Spoiler alert; their cunning plan was a success but a further question arose?

In the 7 years since they started the show, Jeremy Clarkson has somehow managed to become around 18 months pregnant, developing a massive baby bump which calls the state of his health into question. His car in the final episode was a diminutive Lancia Monte Carlo, a car designed for folk with a smaller stature, and how he managed to get in and out of the vehicle remains a puzzle. But on the bright side, as someone with experience driving that little sports car extensively at high speed, it was a pleasure to finally see one appear on a car program.

 

Returning to their efforts of smuggling silver out of the country, an initial workout for the eyebrows came when they discussed the price of the raw metal in Zimbabwe. A quick visit to exchange rates and our calculations showed the potential for quite an impressive 10 fold profit. Though it may have been 1,000 fold as there was some uncertainty about how they paid for it. Inevitably, the final episode of the show inspired us to actually revisit Silver to try and discover if the markets harbour any ambitions for a future above the $30 level. Surprising to note, there are some early signs hinting this may be the case.

In the last few weeks, the price of Silver has dared to break above the downtrend since 2011 but importantly, the value of the metal has not been permitted to close above the trend. Instead, we’ve 8 upward flourishes which just may be a tease to sucker folk into believing price movements with Silver will follow those of Gold. This feels very unlikely but we shall now be interested if Silver bubbles above $33 as this should now trigger a lunge in the direction of 36.2 next with our longer term secondary, if bettered, at 38.8 dollars.

Overall, should the price of Silver manage to close above the $33 level, we shall regard it as entering a long term cycle to a future $45.

 

But of course, thanks to events in 2011 and our ability to maintain a long term grudge, we’d now be concerned if Silver melted below $29.5 as weakness down to an initial $23 calculates as possible with our secondary, if broken, at a hopeful bottom of just $20 and hopefully a proper bounce.

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
11:20:38PM	BRENT	7669.4									‘cess
11:23:30PM	GOLD	2608.86	2605	2595	2565	2624	2625	2632	2641	2615
11:26:22PM	FTSE	8268									Shambles
11:31:35PM	STOX50	4984									‘cess
11:34:49PM	GERMANY	19269									‘cess
11:38:13PM	US500	5788.4	5733	5710	5681	5759	5797	5807	5852	5769	‘cess
11:42:12PM	DOW	42512.7									Success
11:44:51PM	NASDAQ	20261									Success
11:48:17PM	JAPAN	39658

 

9/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8243 points. Change of 0.65%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,219,173,545 a change of -36.61%

8/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8190 points. Change of -1.36%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,655,496,813 a change of 41.95%

7/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8303 points. Change of 0.28%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,688,627,065 a change of -10.63%

4/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8280 points. Change of -0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,246,156,906 a change of -2.97%

3/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8282 points. Change of -0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,406,589,998 a change of 0.25%

2/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8290 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,393,073,396 a change of -18.14%

1/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8276 points. Change of 0.49%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,588,507,831 a change of -4.69%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:MMAG Music Magpie** **

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Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Carnival, Marks and Spencer, Music Magpie,

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LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 9.3 Percentage Change: -6.06% Day High: 10.06 Day Low: 9.15

If AFC Energy experiences continued weakness below 9.15, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1402.5 Percentage Change: + 8.34% Day High: 1403.5 Day Low: 1292

Further movement against Carnival ABOVE 1403.5 should improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer. Close Mid-Price: 382.9 Percentage Change: + 2.96% Day High: 382.4 Day Low: 373.8

Target met. All Marks and Spencer needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 382.4 ……..

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LSE:MMAG Music Magpie. Close Mid-Price: 8.65 Percentage Change: + 0.58% Day High: 8.84 Day Low: 8.6

Continued trades against MMAG with a mid-price ABOVE 8.84 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#FTSE #NASDAQ When running through the headlines prior to writing about Rolls Royce, we accidentally stumbled over an Autocar article about the new Rolls-Royce Ghost offering from BMW. Our reasoning for avoiding ever buying a Rolls Royce comes from the other BMW marque, “Mini” along with the often appalling reliability of the vehicles. A relative experienced this at first hand, eventually being told the only fix the dealer could recommend was a new engine, along with the risk this might not solve the electronic problem. Eventually, she realised they simply were unable to sort the issue and effectively scrapped the vehicle, buying a Toyota which has proven utterly reliable, especially as she remembered to have rust treatment applied before it enjoyed Scotlands salty roads.

Of course, the real reason to avoid buying a Rolls Royce, especially after reading the Autocar review, relates to the price of the things. Dropping a 1/3rd of a million on a car which is designed to convince the occupants they are not in a car is silly. Plus, when a chum bought a Bentley Continental GT, within the first year he appreciated cars such as this cannot be purchased unless you can also afford the exorbitant maintenance costs. And thus, after admitting there’s no way we could afford the purchase of a Roller, it’s time to review the real Rolls Royce company who no longer make the cars on which their fame was initially built.

With Rolls Royce and their stunning reputation in jet engine manufacture, it must be admitted there are few companies more deserving of trust when they have successfully knocked together modular nuclear power generation plants, their designs now approved in the USA. Essentially, this is a regime where a few big trucks can park beside a source of water, then produce sufficient electricity to charge a Tesla or provide power for an entire city. With the USA seeming to find its infrastructure trashed in different areas by weather events, there must be a growing awareness mobile nuclear power perhaps shall not be a bad thing. And if it comes with a Rolls Royce logo, so much the better.

 

Rolls Royce share price has been climbing quite remorselessly during 2024, thankfully paying visual homage to our prior target levels of 309 and 397p. For a while, we suspected it may be “stuck” at the 309 level until in February this year, the market opted to gap the price up to 355p and get things moving. Once again, things stalled at the 397 level until, once again, the market gapped the share price upward toward the end of March this year. With price gains again kick started, Rolls Royce finally hit a high of 535p a few weeks ago, the period since working hard to give the impression the rising cycle has again stalled.

We smell a rat.

While we suspect some dramatics shall be possible in the near term with a chance of reversal to 494p, it feels like there is plenty of room for more positive gains. Our scenario is pretty unusual, suspecting the market may play ball by once again gapping Rolls Royce upward anytime soon, preferably above 550p as this trigger calculates with an initial target of 642p. In the event such a level is exceeded, we can introduce a long term target of 721p and that’s it. The share price shall either need a really convoluted path to 721p or the market will need to keep gapping it up at the open for us to be gifted with the ability of calculating beyond 721p.

And of course, there’s always the classic danger of us thinking we understand what’s happening with this share price and unfortunately, usually with someone is convinced they know what’s going on, that’s the point where the universe gives a lazy grin and says “gotcha”.

Our only defence at this point needs RR to close a session below 494p to justify panic.

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
1:13:14AM	BRENT	7743									Shambles
1:16:00AM	GOLD	2522.15									Success
1:23:36AM	FTSE	8215.3	8182	8155	8095	8230	8267	8300	8340	8227	Success
1:27:11AM	STOX50	4958.3									‘cess
1:51:22AM	GERMANY	19101
1:55:30AM	US500	5747.5
1:59:45AM	DOW	42051.2
2:08:53AM	NASDAQ	20084.9	19976	19937	19871	20080	20137	20190	20258	20077	‘cess
2:13:24AM	JAPAN	39382									Success

 

8/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8190 points. Change of -1.36%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,655,496,813 a change of 41.95%

7/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8303 points. Change of 0.28%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,688,627,065 a change of -10.63%

4/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8280 points. Change of -0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,246,156,906 a change of -2.97%

3/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8282 points. Change of -0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,406,589,998 a change of 0.25%

2/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8290 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,393,073,396 a change of -18.14%

1/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8276 points. Change of 0.49%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,588,507,831 a change of -4.69%

30/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8236 points. Change of -1.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,912,406,295 a change of 9.55%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : ECO (Atlantic) O & G, EasyJet, Gulf Keystone, Oxford Instruments, Spirax, Tullow,

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LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G Close Mid-Price: 11 Percentage Change: -2.22% Day High: 11.25 Day Low: 10.75

If ECO (Atlantic) O & G experiences continued weakness below 10.75, it wi ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet. Close Mid-Price: 494 Percentage Change: + 0.63% Day High: 497.3 Day Low: 483.7

Now above 503 should be interesting, capable of triggering recovery to an ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 133.3 Percentage Change: + 4.88% Day High: 137 Day Low: 129.4

In the event of Gulf Keystone enjoying further trades beyond 137, the sha ……..

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LSE:OXIG Oxford Instruments Close Mid-Price: 1982 Percentage Change: -2.60% Day High: 2015 Day Low: 1984

Continued weakness against OXIG taking the price below 1984 calculates as ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 6945 Percentage Change: -2.32% Day High: 7065 Day Low: 6980

In the event Spirax experiences weakness below 6980 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 25.02 Percentage Change: -5.58% Day High: 27.16 Day Low: 24.72

Further movement against Tullow ABOVE 27.16 should improve acceleration t ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Gold #WallSt   It’s funny how, on a day when we finally selected a new garden shed and ordered it, a couple of emails arrived asking our thoughts on a UK builder.  While it’s inevitable a success story like MGNS.L avoid fitting garden sheds, what’s proving a surprise is how difficult it is to find someone to actually build the sodding thing when it arrives on Friday. The manufacturer suggests assembly should be a 2 hour job, a figure which is doubtless rubbish when “assembly” meets real life. Our previous upper garden shed, the one which flew away in January storms, famously indicated a 6 hour assembly time but, in reality, it took three days for two of us to get the thing bolted together. This replacement shed is being placed on a bed of paving slabs, as solid as it gets, and my wife has banned me from taking any part in the build process for “health” reasons. This is a polite way of acknowledging she does not want the shed over-engineered, when I spot obvious weakness’s during construction.

During the January storm, being curious as to how my lower garden shed was surviving, after sliding open the doors it was impressive to realise the steel structure was utterly silent, despite the external battering from 80mph winds. Clearly, the additional bracing fitted was making a difference and regardless of whoever we eventually find to build our additional shed, there are going to be some efforts to strengthen the roof and walls internally.

The current situation is; a near neighbour owns one of the largest building companies here in Argyll and I asked him about the shed problem. He suggested approaching his teenage daughter as she would appreciate the cash, along with actually having something to do when she’s home from Uni for a weekend. This is going to be interesting…

 

As for Morgan Sindall Plc, their share price gives considerable hope further gains can be anticipated but there’s a danger the share price is approaching a logical ceiling. Should the stock market commence “gapping” this share price up at the open anytime soon, our target levels are liable to be exceeded but for now, we can only go with movements during this year. Currently, above 3155p should enter a cycle to an initial 3358p with our secondary, if exceeded, working out at a future 3750p and very possible hesitation. In the absence of evidence showing the price being manipulated upward at the open of trade, we are fairly confident it is approaching an imaginary ceiling.

Of course, we’ve an alternate scenario, one which asks for the share price to dig below 2950p to cause trouble, risking triggering reversals to an initial 2670 with our longer term secondary and bounce point working out at an eventual 2240p.

We like this one but potentially not for long.

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:55:01PM	BRENT	8110									‘cess
11:30:54PM	GOLD	2642.21	2638	2622	2606	2651	2660	2670	2683	2650
11:38:10PM	FTSE	8284.1
11:41:40PM	STOX50	4948.9
11:45:38PM	GERMANY	19010.4
11:49:06PM	US500	5691.4									‘cess
11:55:53PM	DOW	41916.5	41804	41651	41400	42017	42300	42440	42650	42098	‘cess
12:00:07AM	NASDAQ	19761
11:04:55PM	JAPAN	38731									Success

 

7/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8303 points. Change of 0.28%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,688,627,065 a change of -10.63%

4/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8280 points. Change of -0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,246,156,906 a change of -2.97%

3/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8282 points. Change of -0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,406,589,998 a change of 0.25%

2/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8290 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,393,073,396 a change of -18.14%

1/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8276 points. Change of 0.49%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,588,507,831 a change of -4.69%

30/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8236 points. Change of -1.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,912,406,295 a change of 9.55%

27/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8320 points. Change of 0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,309,682,763 a change of -12.79%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Firstgroup, HSBC, Spirax, Standard Chartered, Tullow,

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup Close Mid-Price: 138.9 Percentage Change: -0.57% Day High: 140.3 Day Low: 136.4

Target met. Continued weakness against FGP taking the price below 136 cal ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 695.2 Percentage Change: + 0.49% Day High: 698.5 Day Low: 688.7

Continued trades against HSBA with a mid-price ABOVE 698.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax Close Mid-Price: 7110 Percentage Change: -0.14% Day High: 7215 Day Low: 7045

Continued weakness against SPX taking the price below 7045 calculates as ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered. Close Mid-Price: 840.6 Percentage Change: + 1.52% Day High: 843.8 Day Low: 827

All Standard Chartered needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 843.8 to improve ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 26.5 Percentage Change: + 6.17% Day High: 26.5 Day Low: 24.78

Now getting just a little interesting, the share price needed close above ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Brent #SP500  It was a strange weekend, one literally packed full of the potential for something really stupid to happen. For some reason, every 5 years when my wife decides to change car, something daft happens and this time, things kicked off with her falling out with a bloke moving felled tree trunks around with a JCB. A big rule, when around machinery, is to never make a movement unless eye contact has been made with the operator. It was clear the guy was focussed on building a pile of timber, so I suggested to my wife she follow the dog and I on a wide detour through the forest. Unfortunately,  I hadn’t factored in my wifes ability to read peoples mind as she decided to ‘safely’ shuffle sideways past the big yellow machine, eventually making eye contact with an utterly incandescent machine operator who’d hit the panic stop switch.

Her excuse of not wanting to risk her brand new white trainers on the forest floor didn’t impress the operator, not did her attempt to explain she knew he was only working on the right hand side of the track and would have no reason to swing the boom to the left. It all made understanding Ferrari colours quite easy, the bright Red of the chaps face blending nicely with the Yellow paint of the machine… Our drive to the garage to view the car she wanted was in a dangerous angry silence after I explained she wouldn’t dare approach myself or my brother, if we were using chainsaws. And neither would she dream of going over the firing line, when our grand-daughter was humiliating me on the shooting range. Similar to all husbands, I never disagree with her logic in public but in the JCB moment, avoiding entering the conversation with the operator was probably sensible. He was right, she was wrong and her excuse pathetic. Mud on trainers can wipe off, just like blood on heavy machinery.

We arrived to review her potential car. As always, she utterly refused to test drive other than mess around with the drivers seat settings to ensure her feet could reach the pedals. (Funny story, they DID NOT reach the pedals of an MGB GT Coupe, the one occasion she didn’t do this test. But I liked that car and regret saying goodbye.) Anyway, she did the pedal test, then accidentally jumped into the rear seat of the vehicle, leaving me to take it for a howl around the block. It was comfortable in the rear and apparently dogs will not be irritated by noise levels. The car was bought, the garage folk genuinely astounded at her annual mileage of just over 2,500 miles, an advantage of staying in Argyll. Me, I’m unlucky if I go above 1,500 miles per annum but we’ve cheerfully planned a 600 mile day to do a round trip with the intention of getting used to her new vehicle – and buy a new wood burning stove! In summary, nothing stupid happened (yet), we bought the car, we collect it next weekend.

 

All these plans for the future are interesting, making us wonder about Lloyds continuing to avoid making the dangerous first step of becoming useful. Perhaps this isn’t entirely fair, the share price breaking through the Blue downtrend back in May of this year, every single dance step thereafter paying careful homage to the downtrend. It creates a situation where immediate arguments become difficult, forcing us to try and discover what trend the market next  intends pay some attention to.  There is a chance the downtrend since 2015 shall be regarded as important, suggesting the potential of some real gains in the market price, if only it would start increasing in price.

Should this be the case, the immediate situation demands Lloyds share price exceed roughly 61.338p to trigger movement to a potential 72p with our longer term secondary, if bettered, working out at a future 88.7p. Obviously, such an event shall have the UK Royal family enacting repeated bows from Buck House but it’s worth considering our secondary target matches a prior high from 2015, along with the potential for some real hesitation.

It’s all a bit messy, like mud on white trainers, but feels like patience should be required as Lloyds should be heading upward.

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
12:55:12AM	BRENT	7809	7739	7654	7562	7794	7934	8007	8155	7627	‘cess
1:15:09AM	GOLD	2653.01
1:34:19AM	FTSE	8312.1									Shambles
1:38:55AM	STOX50	4979.8
1:51:37AM	GERMANY	19196.9									Shambles
12:20:18AM	US500	5745.5	5694	5681	5655	5714	5756	5775	5800	5732	‘cess
12:23:40AM	DOW	42389									‘cess
12:27:52AM	NASDAQ	20046									‘cess
12:30:52AM	JAPAN	39736

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4/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8280 points. Change of -0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,246,156,906 a change of -2.97%

3/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8282 points. Change of -0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,406,589,998 a change of 0.25%

2/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8290 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,393,073,396 a change of -18.14%

1/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8276 points. Change of 0.49%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,588,507,831 a change of -4.69%

30/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8236 points. Change of -1.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,912,406,295 a change of 9.55%

27/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8320 points. Change of 0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,309,682,763 a change of -12.79%

26/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8284 points. Change of 0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,235,455,984 a change of 30.14%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:JET Just Eat** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **

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Updated charts published on : HSBC, Just Eat, Standard Chartered,

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 691.8 Percentage Change: + 0.99% Day High: 696.5 Day Low: 679.9

Further movement against HSBC ABOVE 696.5 should improve acceleration tow ……..

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LSE:JET Just Eat. Close Mid-Price: 1156 Percentage Change: + 2.48% Day High: 1188 Day Low: 1124

Target met. Continued trades against JET with a mid-price ABOVE 1188 shou ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered. Close Mid-Price: 828 Percentage Change: + 3.84% Day High: 832.6 Day Low: 792

Target met. Further movement against Standard Chartered ABOVE 832.6 shoul ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#FTSE #Gold  Thursday proved to be a day of humiliation. One of our grand-daughters had asked to visit and while we suspected her intention was target rifle practice, somehow I found myself sitting outside in sunny weather, teaching her to play Don McLean’s “Vincent” aka Starry Starry Night on guitar. While the 11 y/o child has the voice of an angel, she shall never play guitar better than Taylor Swift level but somehow or other, the sunny afternoon kept her attention for a couple of hours while we unwittingly did a duet, again and again.  And again.

Eventually, we had it right, her cunning plan being to play her Mums favourite song at some point over Xmas. Neither of us had noticed occasional people were no longer walking along the sea shore below us. When we called it ‘good enough’, a bunch of folk applauded from behind the hedges and wandering into sight. Grand-daughter, used to being on TV and radio due to school stuff, was not bothered but personally, why does a chasm never open when needed! Making matters worse, our nearest neighbour, quite an internationally famous piano guy, had listened to the entire thing and was now considering dragging one of his piano’s outside as we had changed the mood of a basic and simple tune. The guy has 9 different rooms with different piano’s, each with different lighting and acoustics, and is a proper musician (aka, he reads music, has a recording studio, and gets famous visitors.) And to be fair, wouldn’t dream of allowing one of his posh piano’s to enjoy a vastly variable Scottish climate. But maybe next year we shall enjoy a Strat vs Stein fight over the 1812 in privacy, confusing our dogs who usually bark at each other over the stream and wall. Each can come to the others garden without hindrance but they love the barking contest. Most folk with a Fender Stratocaster experiment with classical music at some point but in this instance, there is a perfect point to turn something ridiculous like Strauss into fun.

The lesson learned was to do this in the back garden. And only sit at the front coffee table with plenty of wine to enjoy the view.

 

It’s becoming a bit of a chore doing our FTSE for FRIDAY, simply due to the lack of realistic action emanating from London. A couple of years ago, a report from the Office for National Statistics revealed portfolio ownership of UK listed companies by Pension & Insurance funds had slipped from nearly 50% down to just 4.2% in 2022. The theory now circulating suggests international investors are not interested in UK shares, as UK institutional invests avoid them like the plague. It is certainly a theory worthy of consideration, one which is backed up by the number of companies fleeing a UK listing for the attraction of Wall St and an environment where share prices actually move meaningfully.

It’s said the majority of changes to the value of the FTSE this year are due to the value of companies replacing those leaving their UK listing behind. Without a doubt, something quite awful is going on and while our personal belief the UK’s trauma’s are a reflection of the UK’s incompetent political regime which has been happy to experience a future ruled by a complete monopoly, one which almost seems immune to any legal action by the FCA against those folks caught colouring outside the lines. However, from the start of December, the UK monopoly has awarded itself a new set of rules to work from, an initiative designed to reduce the number of companies fleeing London to set up home in foreign climates which actually value corporate initiative. Unfortunately, it’s being said the movement is too little, too late, and risks creating a UK FTSE where the bricks of the market shall prove to be made of hollow bamboo with shareholders given a reduced voice on major matters for a company future.

 

Our grump about the markets is obviously due to September wasting everyone’s’ time, the UK central bank dodging its opportunity to become useful and now, we’ve entered October with the organisation claiming it plans aggressive movement on interest rates until the year end. This panic statement tends concur with a suspicion the penny has finally dropped amongst governmental institutions that they’d dropped the ball, literally failing to favour the most important and valuable part of British industry, the Financial Sector.

Maybe it shall prove the case where October shall start to deliver some optimism, both due to forthcoming changes in FTSE rules and changes in UK interest rate policy. This being the case, it should be easy to identify early warning signs for happier days ahead with some genuine index movements.

Should this be the case, near term movement exceeding 8333 points should trigger market recovery to an initial 8367 points with our secondary, if bettered, at 8411 and a reasonable chance of some hesitation, due to historical highs. Market closure above 8411 shall be regarded as a big deal, entering a cycle where a visit to a longer term 8595 becomes possible.

 

If things plan going terribly wrong, below 8226 now risks promoting reversal to an initial 8119 with our secondary, if broken at7950

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
11:00:24PM	BRENT	7787	7439	7358		7570	7800	7881		7651	‘cess
11:02:21PM	GOLD	2655.46	2638	2630		2650	2663	2668		2655	‘cess
11:05:02PM	FTSE	8276.5	8249	8209		8289	8325	8330		8296	Shambles
11:14:31PM	STOX50	4915.7	4908	4892		4926	4985	5014		4950	‘cess
11:21:18PM	GERMANY	18996	18961	18933		19013	19113	19172		19022	‘cess
11:24:21PM	US500	5696	5676	5661		5696	5720	5741		5692
11:29:01PM	DOW	41973	41846	41709		42004	42170	42278		41990	‘cess
11:35:01PM	NASDAQ	19778.7	19653	19614		19814	19915	19977		19797

 

3/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8282 points. Change of -0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,406,589,998 a change of 0.25%

2/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8290 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,393,073,396 a change of -18.14%

1/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8276 points. Change of 0.49%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,588,507,831 a change of -4.69%

30/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8236 points. Change of -1.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,912,406,295 a change of 9.55%

27/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8320 points. Change of 0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,309,682,763 a change of -12.79%

26/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8284 points. Change of 0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,235,455,984 a change of 30.14%

25/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8268 points. Change of -0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,559,537,162 a change of 3.34%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:MMAG Music Magpie** **LSE:PHP Primary Health** **LSE:STAR Star Energy** **

********

Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Aston Martin, Centrica, Firstgroup, HSBC, Music Magpie, Primary Health, Star Energy,

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LSE:AFC AFC Energy. Close Mid-Price: 9.8 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 10.1 Day Low: 9.3

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LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 104.9 Percentage Change: -3.32% Day High: 108.9 Day Low: 102.6

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 116 Percentage Change: + 0.13% Day High: 117 Day Low: 113.9

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup Close Mid-Price: 139.2 Percentage Change: -1.00% Day High: 143.8 Day Low: 138.4

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 685 Percentage Change: + 1.33% Day High: 689.5 Day Low: 677

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LSE:MMAG Music Magpie. Close Mid-Price: 8.7 Percentage Change: + 0.46% Day High: 8.83 Day Low: 8.6

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LSE:PHP Primary Health. Close Mid-Price: 101.9 Percentage Change: + 1.09% Day High: 105.5 Day Low: 100.6

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LSE:STAR Star Energy Close Mid-Price: 6.97 Percentage Change: -2.11% Day High: 7 Day Low: 6.02

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

LSE:BA. & LSE:JD. currently 1298p & 140p. #Gold #WallSt   In an almost funny phase of self flagellation, Tuesday evening was spent deciding whether to lead with BAE or JD Sports, both companies suddenly showing some interesting potentials. But the really difficult bit was attempting to figure out how to blend a close encounter with a new snowy owl into our efforts. Over the years, a massive snowy owl has been a regular visitor, reliably coming when I give a whistle. Tonight, the Golden Retrievers brain was exploding as she barked at “something” she had trapped in an ash tree. The dog regards a bird perched on the branches watching her as a win and this time, she was obviously at the top of the class.

Suddenly, something jumped out of the tree, dropping around 1 metre before opening its wings and taking flight. It was a small snowy owl, obviously trying hard not to damage its feathers in the close confines of the forest, making me suspect it was on a brand new flying licence. Perhaps it’s the case the monster owl has now become a parent and it was showing the young bird where the favourite places to annoy dogs were. But I’ve certainly never seen a bird jump out from a tree.

 

To start with JD Sports, their share price has followed the lesson from our little owl, throwing itself off a Blue downtrend which commenced back in 2021 is quite fascinating.  The extract on the chart below is of interest, the share price exuberantly exceeding the trend on 17th September, only to be smacked back into place the following day as if the market already knew it had a cunning plan for the days ahead.

The situation now suggests ongoing weakness below 138p risks promoting reversals down to an initial 118p with our secondary, if broken, an eventual bottom of 103p and hopefully a rebound.

If things intend turn positive, the share price now needs above 158p to hint at a trigger movement toward an initial 169p with our secondary, if beaten, at 174p and a need for us to revisit our calculations. Alas, for now we suspect it intends to drop, hopefully with a bottom at 103p as the market certainly appears to be enacting a secret scenario.

 

In a world without any shortage of regional conflicts, perhaps it’s the time to take a hard look at BAE Systems again. After all, should the USA go a little crazy following their Guy Fawkes Election on 5th November and not know who they are supposed to be selling weaponry to, surely any pause in US arms supply could be filled from the UK as our country hosts one of the largest weapon suppliers in the world. The only problem is the UK’s lack of available skilled workers for the defence industry, not really a surprise as they made many of them redundant while attempting to defend executive pay levels…

However, BAE is suddenly looking pretty interesting. Movement above just 1308 should now trigger price recovery to an initial 1330p with our longer term secondary, if beaten, at a future 1457p.

If trouble is planned, below 1221p risks triggering reversals to an initial 1166p with our secondary, if broken, at a potential bottom of 1070p.

For now, we think BAE Systems share price intends some gains.

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:58:44PM	BRENT	7463
11:04:58PM	GOLD	2658.18	2644	2638	2626	2654	2662	2675	2692	2641
11:07:43PM	FTSE	8274									‘cess
11:18:04PM	STOX50	4962.5
11:13:14PM	GERMANY	19171									‘cess
11:16:58PM	US500	5717.8									‘cess
11:21:15PM	DOW	42227.3	41958	41856	41718	42086	42332	42450	42619	42222
11:23:48PM	NASDAQ	19833.4
11:26:01PM	JAPAN	38694

 

2/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8290 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,393,073,396 a change of -18.14%

1/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8276 points. Change of 0.49%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,588,507,831 a change of -4.69%

30/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8236 points. Change of -1.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,912,406,295 a change of 9.55%

27/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8320 points. Change of 0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,309,682,763 a change of -12.79%

26/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8284 points. Change of 0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,235,455,984 a change of 30.14%

25/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8268 points. Change of -0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,559,537,162 a change of 3.34%

24/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8282 points. Change of 0.28%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,379,835,021 a change of 25.1%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AAL Anglo American** **LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:EME Empyrean** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:MMAG Music Magpie** **

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Updated charts published on : Anglo American, Aston Martin, Avacta, Empyrean, Firstgroup, Music Magpie,

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LSE:AAL Anglo American. Close Mid-Price: 2478 Percentage Change: + 1.43% Day High: 2492.5 Day Low: 2444

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LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 108.5 Percentage Change: -7.42% Day High: 117.3 Day Low: 106.8

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LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 44.2 Percentage Change: -1.78% Day High: 45.5 Day Low: 42

Target met. Continued weakness against AVCT taking the price below 42 cal ……..

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LSE:EME Empyrean Close Mid-Price: 0.25 Percentage Change: -7.41% Day High: 0.25 Day Low: 0.21

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup Close Mid-Price: 140.6 Percentage Change: -1.95% Day High: 144.3 Day Low: 140.1

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LSE:MMAG Music Magpie. Close Mid-Price: 8.66 Percentage Change: + 50.61% Day High: 8.6 Day Low: 8.25

Target met. All Music Magpie needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 8.6 to impr ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Brent #Gold We’d a bit of a giggle earlier this year, a niece invited to an event in Monaco and in a complete panic about her wardrobe. She decided to design and make her own frock as such a task dovetailed neatly into her business. But she’d a major problem with the handbag, obviously a major choice when eating pizza in Monte Carlo. She begged my wife to lend her a white Mulberry bag, something allegedly valued around a silly £1,500. When my wife bought it from the window of a charity shop for £12, she simply thought it was a nice bag to have, just in case we ever attended something important. But our nieces were visiting last Xmas  and inspecting my wifes shoe and handbag collection, this white bag attracted immediate attention from one of the girls. Basically, she was about ready to place the bag on a pedestal and worship it, quite literally annoyed it was spending its time in a wardrobe.

Apparently there are things about a genuine Mulberry bag which are never replicated by the knock off market.

She didn’t want to borrow the bag to impress anyone, instead was experiencing a flurry of nerves she’d be socialising with folk who she felt would spot anything fake. Amusingly, reality proved quite different with her even admitting the provenance of the bag. And her frock design, based on a Roman Toga, became something of a joke due to her effectively torpedoing anyone else trying to show up in a similar dress with a theoretical cost of thousands. She was to spend the next week, getting very drunk with a bunch of new friends in some quite exotic locations, thankfully realising  people are interested in interesting people. But it can also be a bit freaky, when one of her “chums” arranges a private jet to a lunch at wherever. And on the bright side, her Disney Princess children’s party business now has a bunch of fangirls in exotic locations, all of whom really want access to her costume party wardrobe. Her company make their own dresses to match cartoon productions, ensuring each one of her staff is fitted with something which can be comfortable for 4 hours and beyond.

What’s especially funny about this brand name nonsense, my mother wouldn’t have dreamed of using any “wood” covers for her golf clubs which were not Mulberry. It’s doubtful any of her golfing pals were aware and when she expired, the golf clubs probably went to a charity shop somewhere in Inverness. Unfortunately, her collection included my own #1 Driver and a putter I’d spent a fortune on. Of course, when a close family member checks out, the imperative is to move on but I still miss that putter. I could drive to a green in a single shot, but was a terrible putter. My mum would get the a green in three shots, then take one or two putts. So of course, she “borrowed” my driver and putter with the intention of humiliating anyone sufficiently gullible to play against her. (She had an intimidating number of trophies) When she approached 90 years old, still playing 9 holes a day and usually on her own as folk learned not to challenge her. She left behind a collection of children, grand-children, and great-grandchildren, none of whom will willingly play golf. A personal memory is of her picking me up from school in November when the clocks had changed, so “we” could enjoy a game of golf at her snobby course before it got dark.

 

Anyway, with Mike Ashley being knocked back by Mulberry Plc for his attempt to make a cash offer for the group, we’ve had a few emails asking our opinion about the share price’ future prospects.

 

Currently, above 130 should trigger share price recovery to an initial 147 with our secondary, if beaten, calculating at a longer term 164p. Visually, such an ambition is quite a big deal, launching the share price into a zone where a longer term 349 is allegedly possible. We’re not inclined to hold our breath of such an ambition as the share just escaped from a zone with a bottom at -18p!

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
11:32:17PM	BRENT	7445.5	7008	6866	6640	7335	7456	7680	7784	7241	Success
11:37:09PM	GOLD	2660.85	2634	2617	2598	2646	2674	2682	2701	2654
11:44:29PM	FTSE	8265.5									‘cess
11:18:17PM	STOX50	4945.7									Success
11:21:36PM	GERMANY	19226.7									‘cess
11:24:44PM	US500	5705									‘cess
11:27:32PM	DOW	42086.3
11:30:53PM	NASDAQ	19757									Shambles
11:34:48PM	JAPAN	37965									Shambles

 

1/10/2024 FTSE Closed at 8276 points. Change of 0.49%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,588,507,831 a change of -4.69%

30/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8236 points. Change of -1.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,912,406,295 a change of 9.55%

27/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8320 points. Change of 0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,309,682,763 a change of -12.79%

26/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8284 points. Change of 0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,235,455,984 a change of 30.14%

25/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8268 points. Change of -0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,559,537,162 a change of 3.34%

24/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8282 points. Change of 0.28%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,379,835,021 a change of 25.1%

23/09/2024 FTSE Closed at 8259 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,300,418,012 a change of -66.74%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:PHP Primary Health** **LSE:STAR Star Energy** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

********

Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Avacta, Experian, Primary Health, Star Energy, Tullow,

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LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 10.3 Percentage Change: -13.45% Day High: 12 Day Low: 9.7

Target met. Continued weakness against AFC taking the price below 9.7 cal ……..

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LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 45 Percentage Change: -8.16% Day High: 48.5 Day Low: 45

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3956 Percentage Change: + 0.64% Day High: 3978 Day Low: 3924

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LSE:PHP Primary Health. Close Mid-Price: 102.3 Percentage Change: + 0.29% Day High: 104.7 Day Low: 101.5

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LSE:STAR Star Energy Close Mid-Price: 6.56 Percentage Change: -10.75% Day High: 7 Day Low: 6.5

Target met. Weakness on Star Energy below 6.5 will invariably lead to 6p ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 22 Percentage Change: + 2.90% Day High: 22.22 Day Low: 21.04

If Tullow experiences continued weakness below 21.04, it will invariably ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares