Aston Martin Lagonda (LSE:AML) in pole position?

#FTSE #Stoxx  Now the Formula 1 season is over, there’s perhaps a chance Aston Martin share price shall recover, the company reputation decline no longer being televised live every week or two. They’re a team which often appear set up for disaster, employing Alonso and his history as one driver and, one the other hand, employing Lance Stroll as the second driver, his place earned by the size of his fathers chequebook. Perhaps 2025 shall see a significant change in the team fortunes with the legendary Adrian Newey joining the gang, a bloke regarded as one of the greatest engineers in the history of the sport.

With his prior experience working at McLaren before Red Bull, perhaps he shall immediately point at Alonso and announce “there’s your problem!”.

Unfortunately, this is doubtful but his departure from Red Bull must surely effect the moral of the team, something which will be amusing to watch next year. However, if Mr Newey is able to wield his magic wand with Aston Martin, perhaps the company share price shall reflect success in the sport. It’s certainly the case an interesting year potentially awaits but personally, I suspect I shall be watching recorded highlights rather than live races, still being jaded due to F1 management manipulating race results.

 

It was certainly interesting to see Aston Martin share price experience a 4% rise from nowhere on 17th December, perhaps optimism due to the company not being shown to fail on television.

This being the case, we shall pay attention if their share price exceeds just 106.5p anytime soon as this should trigger price recovery to an initial 118.5 and probable hesitation, as the price donks against the Blue downtrend since 2023. Our secondary, if the share price manages to close above Blue works out at a future 131p, an indication the price may have finally started some proper recovery. We do suspect some hesitation around the 131 – 141 level, if only due to the share price being forced down at the end of September. It is probable next will will require share price closure above 121p to confirm a recovery cycle has commenced.

Should things intend go wrong, the price needs reverse below 100p as a visit to 83p has become possible with our secondary calculating at a visually ridiculous 50p.

 

Who knows, next year we will probably not be watching F1 but shall take some time to keep an eye on Aston Martin!

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:39:11PM BRENT 7315.9
11:45:31PM GOLD 2648.09 ‘cess
11:49:16PM FTSE 8193.3 8184 8160 8093 8226 8226 8234 8251 8192 ‘cess
11:51:26PM STOX50 4937 4933 4912 4884 4949 4968 4975 4992 4940 ‘cess
11:53:50PM GERMANY 20217.6 20240 Success
11:56:34PM US500 6046.8 6050 ‘cess
11:34:11PM DOW 43463 43489
11:38:17PM NASDAQ 21968.1 21877
11:40:46PM JAPAN 39169 39298 Success

 

17/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8195 points. Change of -0.81%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,670,012,289 a change of 49.11%
16/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8262 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,473,170,966 a change of 7.01%
13/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8300 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,180,122,576 a change of -10.3%
12/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8311 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,660,074,740 a change of -19.71%
11/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8301 points. Change of 0.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,804,184,495 a change of 29.66%
10/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8280 points. Change of -0.86%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,476,630,300 a change of -11.71%
9/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8352 points. Change of 0.53%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,070,546,042 a change of 9.1%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Capita, Glencore Xstra, National Glib, Quadrise,


LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 467.6 Percentage Change: -0.51% Day High: 469.1 Day Low: 464.5

Target met. In the event Aviva experiences weakness below 464.5 it calcul ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 14.88 Percentage Change: -14.68% Day High: 17.5 Day Low: 14.5

If Capita experiences continued weakness below 14.5, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra Close Mid-Price: 362.7 Percentage Change: -1.37% Day High: 365.35 Day Low: 360.4

Weakness on Glencore Xstra below 360.4 will invariably lead to 354p with ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 936.6 Percentage Change: + 0.09% Day High: 941.4 Day Low: 925.4

Target met. In the event National Glib experiences weakness below 925.4 i ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise. Close Mid-Price: 5.85 Percentage Change: + 25.81% Day High: 6 Day Low: 4.8

Target met. All Quadrise needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 6 to improve ac ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Weir Group (LSE:WEIR) and the bridge across the Cart.

#Gold #SP500  A small portion of my childhood became fascinated with Weir’s. The company had a massive engineering plant behind my primary school, the workforce entering every morning via a mysterious bridge across a river, until such time the big gates closed and all the adults were doing mysterious things. Without any doubt, the place was the largest single employer on the south side of Glasgow, the expected path being -Primary School, Secondary School, Weir’s, a route followed by enormous numbers of engineers. Our parents decided to move away, after two years, and I was plucked from this road to obscurity and engineering excellence.

There’s a slightly funny story about the day the family moved. Dad knew Mum was collecting me from school to go to the new big house. Mum knew Dad was doing the task. Me, only knowing we were moving house, gave up waiting and decided to walk home to our “old” house. I was six years old!

Arriving at the old house, it was deserted, no bikes in the driveway and the house totally empty. Slight worry started to settle in, so with impeccable logic, I decided to walk to the new house which was around 8 miles away. I’d been there once and thought I remembered the route, so how hard could it be? First, I walked back to the primary school as it had been the starting point, when we visited the new house. Making my way along the main road, I also remembered a short cut my Mum had sometimes taken, cutting through a massive estate of new houses, and eventually rejoined the main road beside the cinema my mother would abandon me at on Saturday mornings. At this point, things started to go a little wrong, as I’d regularly meet with two cousins at this cinema. Of course, the three of us would skip out and do something more interesting, useful as they stayed pretty close to our new house.

So I took a shortcut through swamp, across an abandoned quarry, and finally through a railway yard, one complete with rusting steam engines along with long forgotten carriages etc. In other words, a magnet for children. Following the railway line, eventually I arrived at the local railway station and from there, it was easy to walk a series of paths to eventually arrive at the new house. Inevitably, there was a bit of fuss about my arrival, along with quite a few phone calls to alert our wider family I’d somehow turned up. This was the first manifestation of a strange personal superpower, an inability to get lost, always handy in a new city.

 

As for Weir Group, the company embraced the usual trauma of expansion, contraction, bankruptcy, mass redundancies, etc but survive. However, it appears some of the massive area their engineering works embraced has now been given over to flats and housing and they’re no longer a major employer in the area. Even my first Primary School closed down, thankfully remaining as a listed building.

 

But Weirs survived through a couple of iterations and now, their share price is becoming interesting. In fact, it’s sufficiently useful to be designated as one of our ‘advent calendar’ shares as we’re fairly enthusiastic about their future.

Currently, above 2270p calculates as potentially triggering share price gains to an initial 2496p with our secondary, if bettered, an impressive long term 3016 and a new all time high, certainly something which makes a lot of visual sense as the share price has been bubbling upward since September of this year. As a result of this, we shall not be surprised if the share price moves upward, once market trading conditions allow.

For the present, the price would need below 2170 to trigger latent reversals to an initial 2014 and hopefully a bounce. Our secondary, should such a level break, works out at 1868p and a very possible rebound, along with an urgent need for us to revisit the share price.

 

For now, we think Weir should prove worth watching.

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:52:23PM BRENT 7374
10:54:43PM GOLD 2651.52 2649 2633 2602 2667 2667 2672 2681 2653
11:15:20PM FTSE 8234.9
11:18:51PM STOX50 4943.3
11:29:30PM GERMANY 20313.8 ‘cess
11:37:09PM US500 6067.9 6050 6037 6021 6071 6085 6095 6115 6070
11:41:53PM DOW 43657
11:52:33PM NASDAQ 22076.8 Success
11:54:55PM JAPAN 39658

 

16/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8262 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,473,170,966 a change of 7.01%
13/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8300 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,180,122,576 a change of -10.3%
12/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8311 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,660,074,740 a change of -19.71%
11/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8301 points. Change of 0.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,804,184,495 a change of 29.66%
10/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8280 points. Change of -0.86%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,476,630,300 a change of -11.71%
9/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8352 points. Change of 0.53%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,070,546,042 a change of 9.1%
6/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8308 points. Change of -0.49%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,647,469,843 a change of -11.07%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Barclays, Carclo, Glencore Xstra, HSBC, British Airways, International Distribution, Quadrise, Rockhopper, Standard Chartered, Tesco, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 470 Percentage Change: -1.30% Day High: 476.1 Day Low: 470.4

Continued weakness against AV. taking the price below 470.4 calculates as ……..

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LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 270.3 Percentage Change: + 0.33% Day High: 273.25 Day Low: 268.75

Further movement against Barclays ABOVE 273.25 should improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 28 Percentage Change: -6.35% Day High: 29.6 Day Low: 26.8

Weakness on Carclo below 26.8 will invariably lead to 24.7 with our secon ……..

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra Close Mid-Price: 367.75 Percentage Change: -0.89% Day High: 374.6 Day Low: 366.3

Continued weakness against GLEN taking the price below 366.3 calculates a ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC Close Mid-Price: 761.5 Percentage Change: -0.61% Day High: 768.3 Day Low: 760.5

Continued trades against HSBA with a mid-price ABOVE 768.3 should improve ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 296.4 Percentage Change: + 1.09% Day High: 298.6 Day Low: 292

Target met. Continued trades against IAG with a mid-price ABOVE 298.6 sho ……..

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LSE:IDS International Distribution. Close Mid-Price: 361.8 Percentage Change: + 0.78% Day High: 362.8 Day Low: 361.2

All International Distribution needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 362.8 to ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise. Close Mid-Price: 4.65 Percentage Change: + 15.10% Day High: 4.9 Day Low: 4.43

Continued trades against QED with a mid-price ABOVE 4.9 should improve th ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 21.5 Percentage Change: + 0.94% Day High: 22 Day Low: 21.1

Target met. In the event of Rockhopper enjoying further trades beyond 22, ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered Close Mid-Price: 991.4 Percentage Change: -0.54% Day High: 1010 Day Low: 989.4

Further movement against Standard Chartered ABOVE 1010 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 373.1 Percentage Change: + 0.30% Day High: 375.1 Day Low: 371.5

In the event of Tesco enjoying further trades beyond 375.1, the share sho ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 124.15 Percentage Change: -0.16% Day High: 124.25 Day Low: 121.4

Target met. Weakness on Taylor Wimpey below 121.4 will invariably lead to ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Barclays (LSE:BARC) on the edge of hesitation

#Brent #SP500  With Christmas just over a week away, we’ve a few reasons to spoil any Christmas spirit. It’s all to do with market index’ which are approaching logical highs, a fictional point in time at which we tend anticipate some hysterics. Some markets have already started to display some hesitation, behaving a bit like most blokes considering entering a ladies shoe shop at this time of year. The Dow Jones, for instance, has a logical “high” target level calculated at 45,135 and with the highest recently achieved being 45,074 points, there’s a reasonable argument this high was “close enough”.

The problem comes, when we review other markets like Germany, the S&P, even the UK FTSE, as they are all approaching theoretical market highs. We’re starting to wonder if the markets plan some sort of artificial reversals, prior to Mr Trump being crowned in the USA. There’s probably a market opening for England’s Prince Andrew to offer rental of coronation robes and associated frippery for the event of January 20th in Washington, USA!

 

Our concern about the markets reaching a “logical high” level is oddly backed up with Barclays. Their share price, while looking quite energetic from a Big Picture viewpoint, is also looking slightly fraught with danger. The immediate issue suggests movement above just 272p should trigger improvements to an initial 279p. This brings the share price to a level last seen in 2015 but, from a closer viewpoint, we anticipate 279p as being an issue. The reason being movements during 2024, following the break of the Blue downtrend since 2008, calculate with a logical high at 279p, presenting a point at which some turbulence is expected. This detail bothers us, due to markets all suffering such a potential fairly soon.

The big question, obviously, is will this occur before the coronation of Mr Trump or after?

But should 279p be exceeded, we can calculate a secondary ambition at 312p, now challenging the highs of 2013.

 

While the retail banking sector appears to be recovering, we’re certainly getting a little nervous at the potential for some relatively near term turbulence. But Barclays now needs close below 234p to spoil our calculations, so there’s currently plenty of room for manoeuvre.

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
11:05:09PM BRENT 7432 7356 7321 7278 7377 7450 7468 7476 7422
11:08:23PM GOLD 2650 2655
11:19:49PM FTSE 8305.7 8280
11:23:54PM STOX50 4971.3 4965
12:05:41AM GERMANY 20448.6 20250
12:10:42AM US500 6056 6035 6011 5985 6048 6081 6118 6143 6027
12:15:12AM DOW 43870.5 43884
11:18:05PM NASDAQ 21794 21740
11:21:32PM JAPAN 39506 39206

 

13/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8300 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,180,122,576 a change of -10.3%
12/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8311 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,660,074,740 a change of -19.71%
11/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8301 points. Change of 0.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,804,184,495 a change of 29.66%
10/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8280 points. Change of -0.86%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,476,630,300 a change of -11.71%
9/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8352 points. Change of 0.53%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,070,546,042 a change of 9.1%
6/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8308 points. Change of -0.49%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,647,469,843 a change of -11.07%
5/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8349 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,225,818,106 a change of -2.92%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Block Energy PLC, HSBC, Quadrise, Rockhopper, Tullow,


LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 476.2 Percentage Change: + 1.10% Day High: 476.9 Day Low: 470.9

Weakness on Aviva below 470.9 will invariably lead to 468 next with our s ……..

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LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC Close Mid-Price: 0.7 Percentage Change: -3.45% Day High: 0.72 Day Low: 0.7

If Block Energy PLC experiences continued weakness below 0.7, it will inv ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 766.2 Percentage Change: + 0.67% Day High: 765.4 Day Low: 758.9

Further movement against HSBC ABOVE 765.4 should improve acceleration tow ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise Close Mid-Price: 4.04 Percentage Change: -6.16% Day High: 4.5 Day Low: 3.98

In the event of Quadrise enjoying further trades beyond 4.5, the share sh ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 21.3 Percentage Change: + 2.40% Day High: 21.6 Day Low: 20.9

Further movement against Rockhopper ABOVE 21.6 should improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 23.44 Percentage Change: -9.85% Day High: 27.9 Day Low: 23.04

All Tullow needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 27.9 to improve acceleration ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Our world famed FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX)

#FTSE #GOLD When we look back in time, the FTSE has produced some interesting patterns of behaviour, creating a situation which may actually become useful. When we review how long it took for the index to recover from its 2003 Tech Crash low, 13 years slithered by before our calculation proved correct. Then, we’d the Financial Crash of 2009, a disaster which took 9 years before we could regard recovery as complete. While it’s always stupid to draw assumptions from a single data result, if we extrapolate using this gap between recoveries, we may embrace 2025 as the year when we should hope the market achieves a high of around 8,755 points, then invariably experience some reversals.

Another interesting facet from extrapolating data irresponsibly like this is being able to present the year 2036, this being the next point when the world should anticipate a major market crash.  Our inclinations is to regard such seriously long term predictions as far from trustworthy, just as bad as taking a government economists predictions as sane. However, it is worth remembering the Asteroid Apophis will pass fairly close to Earth in 2026, just 5 million miles away apparently.

We like playing with numbers but the idea of a “top” around 8,755 points next year is attractive, certainly suggesting a point where opening a short with a seriously tight stop will make some sense!

 

As for the FTSE near term,  we’re looking for arguments which favour market recovery above 8334 as heading to an initial 8376 points. If bettered, our secondary now calculates at 8461 points though we’re not inclined to expect both target levels to appear within a single day. Additionally, our secondary offers the prospect of being “game changing”, taking the UK index solidly above 8400 points, being introduced as a nonsense solid barrier. Market traders will be perfectly aware there’s no such thing as a ceiling or floor but with the FTSE, bettering the 8400 level certainly looks like a free gift to optimistic traders.

Unfortunately, for those taking the plunge with longer term Big Picture hopes, the tightest stop – if 8334 is triggered –  is ridiculous at 8260 points.

 

Our converse scenario demands the index slip below 8250 points, triggering reversal to an initial 8225 points with our secondary, if broken, at 8171 points.

 

Enjoy the weekend, only 93 days until the next Grand Prix weekend. To be honest, the contrived nature of “the sport” is making it harder to maintain enthusiasm.

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:29:03PM BRENT 7324.4 7236 7191 7320 7392 7418 7318 ‘cess
11:33:59PM GOLD 2680.62 2676 2664 2690 2720 2731 2702
11:37:47PM FTSE 8296.1 8288 8272 8305 8332 8344 8303
11:42:21PM STOX50 4961.4 4953 4947 4963 4976 4982 4963
11:44:35PM GERMANY 20415.3 20363 20334 20418 20458 20491 20392
11:33:44PM US500 6058 6047 6039 6063 6080 6089 6060
11:37:38PM DOW 43894 43878 43701 44085 44200 44293 44057
11:39:53PM NASDAQ 21716 21578 21534 21662 21740 21780 21645 ‘cess
11:42:35PM JAPAN 39724 39552 39443 39667 39804 39883 39631 ‘cess

 

12/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8311 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,660,074,740 a change of -19.71%
11/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8301 points. Change of 0.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,804,184,495 a change of 29.66%
10/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8280 points. Change of -0.86%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,476,630,300 a change of -11.71%
9/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8352 points. Change of 0.53%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,070,546,042 a change of 9.1%
6/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8308 points. Change of -0.49%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,647,469,843 a change of -11.07%
5/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8349 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,225,818,106 a change of -2.92%
4/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8335 points. Change of -0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,383,163,281 a change of 3.03%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:GENL Genel** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:PMG Parkmead** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Barclays, EasyJet, Genel, HSBC, British Airways, National Glib, Parkmead, The Trainline, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 471 Percentage Change: -0.63% Day High: 476 Day Low: 471.7

If Aviva experiences continued weakness below 471.7, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 270.7 Percentage Change: + 1.52% Day High: 272.05 Day Low: 267.55

All Barclays needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 272.05 to improve accelerat ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet. Close Mid-Price: 583 Percentage Change: + 0.97% Day High: 590.8 Day Low: 574.6

Target met. Further movement against EasyJet ABOVE 590.8 should improve a ……..

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LSE:GENL Genel Close Mid-Price: 62.6 Percentage Change: -1.88% Day High: 64.5 Day Low: 63

Weakness on Genel below 63 will invariably lead to 60p with secondary (if ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 761.1 Percentage Change: + 0.69% Day High: 762 Day Low: 755.5

In the event of HSBC enjoying further trades beyond 762, the share should ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 291.8 Percentage Change: + 1.32% Day High: 295.6 Day Low: 289

All British Airways needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 295.6 to improve ac ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 940.2 Percentage Change: + 0.06% Day High: 943.4 Day Low: 934.2

If National Glib experiences continued weakness below 934.2, it will inva ……..

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LSE:PMG Parkmead. Close Mid-Price: 19.4 Percentage Change: + 33.79% Day High: 24.5 Day Low: 18

Target met. Further movement against Parkmead ABOVE 24.5 should improve a ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline. Close Mid-Price: 434.8 Percentage Change: + 0.32% Day High: 442.2 Day Low: 432.6

All The Trainline needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 442.2 to improve accel ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 125.85 Percentage Change: -0.51% Day High: 127 Day Low: 125.35

If Taylor Wimpey experiences continued weakness below 125.35, it will inv ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

GSTechnologies Ltd (LSE:GST) looking healthy?

#Gold #Nasdaq  It’s that time of year, when strange things happen yet are excused, ‘cos it’s the Festive season. Tuesday night was one such occasion, a decision at 11pm to bottle and rack a dozen bottles of Chardonnay ending in the domestic equivalent of a car crash. The problem was simple, I dislike white wines (except for German) but found myself fermenting Chardonnay grape to produce something my wife “might” like. Aside from Drambuie at Christmas, she tends stick to orange juice.

Now we reach the most dodgy part of the wine production process. Each fermentation container will fill 6 bottles with wine and it’s always been irritating the amount of clear liquid left over, creating a 2cm deep pool just above all the dead yeast, wood chips, and so on. But armed with a 3d printer, I’d created what is essentially a little boat to float above the residual gunk ensuring nothing disturbed the brown paste yet allowing the liquid to be pumped away into a container. It transpired I could almost fill a 13th bottle from the fermentation container. Tasting it, using a shot glass, the stuff tasted well but the imperative was to stuff it into the fridge for an hour or so, just to bring out the full flavour  while silently hoping the 12 new bottles on the wine rack would taste even better by Xmas time. Just after midnight, the 13th bottle was taken from the fridge and a generous wine glass poured.

The chilled Chardonnay was perfect!. Just two glasses of this wonderful wine sufficient to effectively knock me out with the result my work had to be finished just after 6am, something I wasn’t proud of. From now on, the wine racks shall be avoided until Friday rolls around and in any case, my next batch of grape juice is scheduled to be 25 litres of Rioja in a week or so. Hopefully, between the Chardonnay, Merlot, and Rioja, we shall be happily provided with sufficient booze for 2025 and hopefully, avoid the alcohol disaster of making 20° proof cider…

 

We reviewed Financial Technology company (FinTech) earlier this year, giving a trigger level which would hopefully indicate good things in the days ahead.  It has finally achieved our trigger level, suggesting good things are ahead for this share price. The situation now suggests movement above just 1.6p should now trigger gains to an initial 1.91. Should this level be exceeded, our longer term secondary works out at a fairly confident looking 2,3p sometime in the viable future. This, while expected to provoke some hesitation, also places the share price in a zone where a long term 2.9p ambition calculates as apparently viable.

If things intend go wrong, below 1.2p looks troubling, triggering the potential for Big Picture reversal down to an eventual 0.6p.

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:48:41PM BRENT 7354.9 ‘cess
11:04:43PM GOLD 2719.2 2691 2682 2669 2706 2722 2725 2732 2713
11:08:12PM FTSE 8308.7 Shambles
11:17:07PM STOX50 4962.9 Success
11:19:39PM GERMANY 20403
11:53:54PM US500 6076
11:41:31PM DOW 44067.5
11:44:29PM NASDAQ 21721.8 21636 21589 21524 21735 21782 21839 22014 21710
11:47:55PM JAPAN 40062

 

11/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8301 points. Change of 0.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,804,184,495 a change of 29.66%
10/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8280 points. Change of -0.86%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,476,630,300 a change of -11.71%
9/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8352 points. Change of 0.53%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,070,546,042 a change of 9.1%
6/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8308 points. Change of -0.49%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,647,469,843 a change of -11.07%
5/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8349 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,225,818,106 a change of -2.92%
4/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8335 points. Change of -0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,383,163,281 a change of 3.03%
3/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8359 points. Change of 0.57%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,224,934,773 a change of 21.03%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

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Updated charts published on : HSBC, British Airways, National Glib, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 755.9 Percentage Change: + 0.79% Day High: 758.9 Day Low: 750

All HSBC needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 758.9 to improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 288 Percentage Change: + 2.13% Day High: 290.7 Day Low: 284

Target met. In the event of British Airways enjoying further trades beyo ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib Close Mid-Price: 939.6 Percentage Change: -1.26% Day High: 953 Day Low: 939.8

Continued weakness against NG. taking the price below 939.8 calculates as ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 126.5 Percentage Change: -0.63% Day High: 128.05 Day Low: 126.2

In the event Taylor Wimpey experiences weakness below 126.2 it calculates ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Wickes Group Plc (LSE:WIX), a price building interest?

#FTSE #Stoxx  At time of writing, my digital sensor on the office window says it’s -5c, something I’m inclined to believe. Turning to face a window reveals the glass surface is literally radiating the outside temperature into the room. Goodness knows how pensioners will cope this winter with the UK government opting to withdraw an additional payment to cope with the extra cost of heating. Thankfully, here in Argyll, the most common fuel for heating – wood – has a secret. Doing the work for a woodburning stove means you are heated two or three times from the same batch of wood. Firstly, there’s the physical effort involved in cutting trees down and dragging the timber to a slicing area, usually extraordinary hard work. Secondly, there’s the fun bit a few months later, shattering the sliced timber with a log splitter and carrying the prepared fuel to a log shelter area. Once again, this work with an Axe is physically taxing. And third, the fun bit, burning the stuff with occasional flashes of recognition when a particularly irritating bit of wood is thrown on the fire.

Of course, there’s always the risk this load of activity could be good for your health and weight, so as a result the UK Environmental folk are doing their best to demonise burning wood! But as everyone with a wood burner knows, there’s nothing to beat “freebie” cuts of wood, accidentally supplied by DIY companies such as Wickes and B&Q. Invariably, everyone doing a project has absurd levels if what’s called off-cuts, perfect for use as kindling to start fires but sometimes capable of providing proper heating. Making friends with roofing contractors can be a good idea as they’ve usually a solid supply of solid cuts of timber available and it’s always nice being able to pile wood easily, rather than do battle with shaky log piles.

 

Obviously, we like Wickes Group Plc and kidding aside about timber off cuts, historically we’ve often found the company better for odd-ball bits and pieces, the difficult hardware and tools often ignored by an increasingly corporate B&Q mindset. However, their share price hasn’t followed our preference for the company, quite the opposite.

Perhaps a light at the end of a tunnel is currently appearing, so perhaps WIX.L shall prove worth keeping an eye on.

Currently, above just 157p suggests the potential of price recovery to an initial 162p with our secondary, if bettered, at a future 176p along with almost certain hesitation as this matches the height of previous highs. But from a longer term perspective, closure above 176p will be treated as important, moving the price into a zone where longer term movement just above the 200p level will make a lot of sense.

If things intend go wrong, LSE:WIX needs below 143p for panic, allowing reversal to an initial 132p with our secondary, if broken, calculating down at an eventual possible bottom of 117p.

 

For now, we think Wickes shall prove keeping an eye on from a gains perspective.

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:42:24PM BRENT 7251.2
10:45:43PM GOLD 2695.79 Success
10:50:03PM FTSE 8246.1 8242 8212 8181 8280 8315 8342 8372 8283 ‘cess
10:57:59PM STOX50 4942.3 4936 4924 4899 4954 4958 4964 4973 4944
11:14:05PM GERMANY 20290
6:17:15AM US500 6040.4
6:20:43AM DOW 44259 Success

 

10/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8280 points. Change of -0.86%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,476,630,300 a change of -11.71%
9/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8352 points. Change of 0.53%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,070,546,042 a change of 9.1%
6/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8308 points. Change of -0.49%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,647,469,843 a change of -11.07%
5/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8349 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,225,818,106 a change of -2.92%
4/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8335 points. Change of -0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,383,163,281 a change of 3.03%
3/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8359 points. Change of 0.57%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,224,934,773 a change of 21.03%
2/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8312 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,317,215,202 a change of -3.75%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:SDY Speedyhire** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, Carclo, Glencore Xstra, International Personal Finance, National Glib, Speedyhire,


LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 475.6 Percentage Change: -1.59% Day High: 482.4 Day Low: 473.5

Below 473 now looks capable of a visit to 468 next with our secondary, if ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 27.4 Percentage Change: -0.72% Day High: 27.6 Day Low: 27.6

Below 27.6 now indicates further reversal to an initial 24.7 with our seco ……..

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra Close Mid-Price: 385.9 Percentage Change: -2.27% Day High: 389.25 Day Low: 383.2

Now looking slightly hopeful, above 414 is now needed to ideally trigger r ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 130 Percentage Change: + 0.78% Day High: 130.5 Day Low: 128.5

This now needs exceed 139 to suggest coming recovery to an initial 145 wit ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib Close Mid-Price: 951.6 Percentage Change: -1.37% Day High: 961.4 Day Low: 948

This is now looking pretty dodgy as weakness below 948 points at coming re ……..

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LSE:SDY Speedyhire. Close Mid-Price: 31.5 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 31.75 Day Low: 31.1

This is really missbehaving as below 28 now risks reversal to an initial 2 ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Lloyds Banking Group (LSE:LLOY), surviving Xmas!  

#Brent #Nasdaq  With Christmas nearly upon us, my wife spent quite a few hours assembling, illuminating, and decorating an 8 foot Xmas tree. The finished creation looks fantastic from two angles but, from the kitchen door, it’s strangely reminiscent of “The Sorting Hat” from the Harry Potter franchise. The issue, distortion of the core, probably due to it spending the last year under a pile of bags. My offer to fix it, using a six foot length of steel tube, tied to the trunk with cable ties, was refused as she’s decided “quirky” is actually quite nice.  And anyway, no one will notice it unless they sit in my seat, go into the kitchen, or sit at the dining table. Personally I think she’s spent too much time trying to make sense of Lloyds vague share price movements! Our domestic conversations are often fascinating…

 

 

Similar to our Xmas tree, Lloyds share price is misbehaving on a massive scale (from our perspective). When we previously reviewed the share, we expressed a longing for the share price to close above 57.2p but unfortunately the highest closing price achieved has been 56.48p, along with the best intraday price being just 57.06p. All things considered, it’s not a great situation, especially as the share price has now broken below Red on the chart, the uptrend since February of this year.

Interestingly, the trend-break level was at 53.4p but, by some sort of miracle, the share has closed at 53.7 since, thus allegedly making the trend break a fake – according to our rules. However, if we adhere to our other rules, the situation now should suggest weakness below 52.5p should promote reversal to an initial 51p with our secondary, if broken, at a very, very, probable bottom by 49p. Movements since July of this year we indicating 49p as a potential bottom target, this calculation remaining correct with reversals in October and again, the recent plunge below Red.

Perhaps this shall prove correct, making it worthwhile keeping an eye on this share as the market is indicating a reasonable chance for a bounce at 49p. Be warned, closing below such a target level would be a bad thing as we can advance 45.7p as a potential third level target. Reaching such a level would effectively undo all the work of 2024, indicates next year shall kick off at virtually the same level of this year.

 

Returning to our comment above about Lloyds marginally exceeding the trend break level, perhaps we should attempt to concentrate on “what if”, just in case the market is playing games.

Currently, closure above Red at 54p shall be treated as important, calculating with the potential of recovery to an initial 57.6 with our secondary, if bettered, working out at 61.5p. Neither ambition is particularly spectacular, dumping the share price into a zone where proper future growth becomes difficult and once again indicating the risk of the market spending time teasing traders until some sort of game changing reason for share price growth comes along. Unsurprisingly, the Retail Banking sector has left us disappointed with movements during 2024.

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
10:40:15PM BRENT 7112.6 7093 7021 6885 7166 7302 7391 7493 7180
10:43:57PM GOLD 2637.97 2648
10:47:18PM FTSE 8312.5 8320
10:50:17PM STOX50 4973.5 4933
10:54:32PM GERMANY 20415.5 20365
11:00:56PM US500 6091.2 6081
11:03:40PM DOW 44644 44624
11:11:08PM NASDAQ 21612.9 21382 21298 21187 21464 21631 21681 22147 21528
11:14:14PM JAPAN 39199 39190

 

6/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8308 points. Change of -0.49%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,647,469,843 a change of -11.07%
5/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8349 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,225,818,106 a change of -2.92%
4/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8335 points. Change of -0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,383,163,281 a change of 3.03%
3/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8359 points. Change of 0.57%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,224,934,773 a change of 21.03%
2/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8312 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,317,215,202 a change of -3.75%
29/11/2024 FTSE Closed at 8287 points. Change of 0.07%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,485,252,544 a change of 30.02%
28/11/2024 FTSE Closed at 8281 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,449,559,431 a change of -33.99%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:GENL Genel** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:JET Just Eat** **LSE:MMAG Music Magpie** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **

********

Updated charts published on : Barclays, EasyJet, Genel, HSBC, British Airways, Just Eat, Music Magpie, Natwest,


LSE:BARC Barclays Close Mid-Price: 264.8 Percentage Change: -1.03% Day High: 269.45 Day Low: 264.25

Target met. Continued trades against BARC with a mid-price ABOVE 269.45 s ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet Close Mid-Price: 574.4 Percentage Change: -0.24% Day High: 578.6 Day Low: 568.2

In the event of EasyJet enjoying further trades beyond 578.6, the share s ……..

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LSE:GENL Genel Close Mid-Price: 65.3 Percentage Change: -3.69% Day High: 68.4 Day Low: 64.9

All Genel needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 68.4 to improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC Close Mid-Price: 743.6 Percentage Change: -1.02% Day High: 752 Day Low: 742.1

Further movement against HSBC ABOVE 752 should improve acceleration towar ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 283.3 Percentage Change: + 0.14% Day High: 285.4 Day Low: 281.9

Target met. Further movement against British Airways ABOVE 285.4 should ……..

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LSE:JET Just Eat. Close Mid-Price: 1374 Percentage Change: + 4.57% Day High: 1376 Day Low: 1306

Target met. Continued trades against JET with a mid-price ABOVE 1376 shou ……..

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LSE:MMAG Music Magpie. Close Mid-Price: 8.95 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 9.41 Day Low: 8.95

Continued trades against MMAG with a mid-price ABOVE 9.41 should improve ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 413.9 Percentage Change: + 0.34% Day High: 418.6 Day Low: 412.8

Further movement against Natwest ABOVE 418.6 should improve acceleration ……..

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