Natwest Plc (LSE:NWG), perhaps a happier New Year?

#Brent #Dax When we reviewed Natwest a few weeks ago, we laid out some criteria for a price reduction to 373p, a target achieved just yesterday. During the course of the session, the price even managed to break our 373p target, hitting a low of 369p, doubtless causing more panic than a sharp knock on the front door after posting a funny political cartoon on Twitter! Now, there’s ample reason for some debate as to what’s next?

As the chart shows, by closing the session at 374.4p, Natwest managed to end the session below the immediate Red uptrend (currently 381p), placing the share price in a zone where further trouble should be anticipated in the future. To be realistic, we can allocate a trigger level at 367p as below such a point risks tipping the scales in favour of a visit t an initial 354p with our secondary, if broken, a bottom down at a painful 341p and hopefully a solid bounce. It’s interesting to note, when we paint a Blue downtrend since 2007 onto the chart, when the bank was known as Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), there’s an arguable bounce point at 345p, the level of the most recent trend break in October last year.

 

So, what should be expected in a scenario, where Natwest reverses to around 341p and actually bounces? We can calculate an initial longer term 434p with our secondary, should such an ambition be exceeded, working out at a distant looking  472p and some almost certain hesitation.

Overall, similar to the other retail banks, the financial sector actually is currently lodging in a zone, where some long term optimism is permitted. Hopefully the current UK Government, always keen to damage business, doesn’t discover a new and exciting way to derail this rare chance for “proper” share price movements.

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
11:39:49PM BRENT 8080.9 7834 7738 7606 7980 8101 8331 8763 7630
11:43:03PM GOLD 2688.43
11:48:09PM FTSE 8249.4
11:50:08PM STOX50 4974.7
11:53:21PM GERMANY 20228.5 20100 19937 19753 20332 20420 20612 20930 20240
11:56:12PM US500 5819.7
11:37:11PM DOW 41948.4
11:40:07PM NASDAQ 20832.8
11:42:37PM JAPAN 38588

 

10/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8249 points. Change of -0.84%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,170,108,064 a change of -6.19%
9/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8319 points. Change of 11.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,511,068,613 a change of -13.81%
8/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 7452 points. Change of -9.62%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,394,228,390 a change of 16.2%
7/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8245 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,502,690,636 a change of 7.78%
6/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8249 points. Change of 0.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,105,577,084 a change of -3.75%
3/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8223 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,304,674,170 a change of 278.32%
31/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8173 points. Change of 0.64%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,402,162,545 a change of -42.6%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **

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Updated charts published on : Greggs, Hikma, British Airways, Lloyds Grp., National Glib, Standard Chartered,


LSE:GRG Greggs Close Mid-Price: 2082 Percentage Change: -5.79% Day High: 2260 Day Low: 2094

Target met. Weakness on Greggs below 2094 will invariably lead to 1977p w ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma Close Mid-Price: 2022 Percentage Change: -1.94% Day High: 2066 Day Low: 2022

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 315.9 Percentage Change: + 0.99% Day High: 316.8 Day Low: 305.6

Further movement against British Airways ABOVE 316.8 should improve acce ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp. Close Mid-Price: 52.88 Percentage Change: -1.89% Day High: 54.1 Day Low: 52.44

Weakness on Lloyds Grp. below 52.44 will invariably lead to 51.3p with se ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib Close Mid-Price: 918.4 Percentage Change: -1.75% Day High: 934.4 Day Low: 913.2

If National Glib experiences continued weakness below 913.2, it will inva ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered. Close Mid-Price: 1025 Percentage Change: + 1.08% Day High: 1031.5 Day Low: 1002

Continued trades against STAN with a mid-price ABOVE 1031.5 should improv ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX) looking surprisingly good. Odd!

#FTSE #Futures  After just 9 days of January, Argyll has started to produce this years quota of ridiculous. The incident was caused by me leaving my Samsung earbuds in the car, when the temperature dropped to a thrilling -5c on Thursday, then electing to listen to the stunning book by Yeonmi Park about her horrible journey, when she defected from North Vietnam. She certainly suffered but perhaps not as much as myself, when I placed the left ear bud in my ear and twisted the cold Samsung device into place. It ignored the usual long tap to wake it up, even ignored a spiteful double tap. Eventually the penny dropped about the reality of leaving an electronic device in sub-zero temperatures, nothing eats a battery faster than serious cold. When I twisted the ear piece out of my ear, the still cold rubber tip decided to remain in place, doubtless expanding to its normal size as my body temperature warmed it up.

Instinctively poking my index finger into the ear to dig the thing out, it refused to budge, perhaps instead opting to curl away from my searching finger like a guilty puppy hiding under a chair. Perhaps I had even pushed it further into the ear canal but plan B was making dinner, so I could wait.  When we finished dinner, my wife tried to grab the thing with tweezers, failing utterly but promised to try again before bed. At 10pm, she dug out a pair of tweezers with needle dips, deciding she could probably poke a hole in the rubber donut to get purchase. For amusement sake and to test my pain reflex, she also decided to pluck a couple of long hairs from the ear!

By 11pm, she gave up and admitted the rubber tip was now further into my ear than she’d thought possible. Perhaps I should go to the local hospital?

Of course, instead I started working on the (confusing) futures markets, working on the basis A&E might experience an “after pubs” rush at 11pm. It transpires, here in Argyll, that isn’t the case. Plus my left ear was in utter agony, making the idea of professionals poking around with it quite abhorrent.

Arriving at midnight to an empty car park, energy saving lights at the A&E entrance and the ground a solid white from frost, the nurse on duty at A&E asked me to complete the inevitable form, asking if I wanted a cup of tea while waiting. My immediate joke about an expected 10 hour delay fell flat but the cuppa made the agony of completing a “medical history” section easier to handle. Literally the moment I completed the Blue form, a doctor appeared and took the clipboard, asking me to follow him to an examination room. The nurse from reception followed, both trying to conceal their amusement at the potentials of an “older bloke with something stuck inside his body” joke. An inevitable amount of poking into my left ear ensued until they admitted defeat.

But of course, this is Argyll and there were two doctors on A&E duty. So a 2nd bored doctor appeared and asked if she could have a go as she’d a gadget she wanted to try. It was essentially a spotlight, a pair of crocodile clips, and a TV camera all built into the end of a straw. Literally 10 seconds later, the offending Samsung component was retrieved, leaving me free to return home. In this day and age, a good news story from A&E would be avoided by the media, a zero minute waiting time failing to make a decent headline.

 

There’s an obvious simile between the story above and the FTSE. Unfortunately, we’ve no idea what it is! But will admit to making the decision to ditch the expensive Samsung ear buds in favour of a good old fashioned single side headset, ensuring one ear is always able to listen to what’s going on around..

For the FTSE, above 8,324 points currently calculates with a pretty confident looking 8,348 points with our longer term secondary, should such a level be exceeded, working out at an extraordinary 8,395 points. If triggered, the calculated stop loss level is absurdly wide at 8,264 points. However, we’re not inclined to anticipate a quick visit to our third level of 8,462 points but arithmetically, it’s difficult to discount such an ambition in the coming weeks.

Our inevitable converse scenario allows for weakness below 8,279 to bring reversals down to an initial 8,245 with our secondary, if broken, a less likely 8,177 points.

Have a good weekend, hopefully warmer than in Argyll.

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
2:35:26AM BRENT 7702.9 7676 7660 7715 7730 7842 7595
2:44:00AM GOLD 2672.82 2661 2653 2668 2676 2681 2665
2:48:17AM FTSE 8303.8 8243 8217 8280 8311 8330 8304 Success
2:50:51AM STOX50 5013.7 4956 4940 4990 5025 5046 4993
2:53:15AM GERMANY 20327.2 20238 20192 20331 20370 20421 20301
3:46:46AM US500 5896.9 5886 5857 5900 5913 5928 5886 ‘cess
3:56:40AM DOW 42533 42430 42397 42527 42655 42709 42555
4:02:10AM NASDAQ 21128 21006 20945 21136 21206 21314 21082
4:05:14AM JAPAN 39200 39241 39109 39333 39442 23787 39321 ‘cess
9/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8319 points. Change of 11.63%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,511,068,613 a change of -13.81%
8/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 7452 points. Change of -9.62%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,394,228,390 a change of 16.2%
7/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8245 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,502,690,636 a change of 7.78%
6/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8249 points. Change of 0.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,105,577,084 a change of -3.75%
3/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8223 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,304,674,170 a change of 278.32%
31/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8173 points. Change of 0.64%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,402,162,545 a change of -42.6%
30/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8121 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,442,888,350 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BME B & M** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:PHP Primary Health** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:SDY Speedyhire** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

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Updated charts published on : B & M, Carclo, Capita, Greggs, Hikma, HSBC, British Airways, Ocado Plc, Primary Health, Rockhopper, Speedyhire, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, Standard Chartered, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:BME B & M Close Mid-Price: 318.9 Percentage Change: -8.52% Day High: 323.8 Day Low: 299.8

Target met. Continued weakness against BME taking the price below 299.8 c ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 23.3 Percentage Change: -3.32% Day High: 24 Day Low: 22.8

Weakness on Carclo below 22.8 will invariably lead to 20.3 with secondary ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 13.2 Percentage Change: -0.75% Day High: 13.36 Day Low: 13.16

Continued weakness against CPI taking the price below 13.16 calculates as ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs Close Mid-Price: 2210 Percentage Change: -15.84% Day High: 2508 Day Low: 2230

If Greggs experiences continued weakness below 2230, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma. Close Mid-Price: 2062 Percentage Change: + 2.38% Day High: 2064 Day Low: 2016

All Hikma needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 2064 to improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 802.5 Percentage Change: + 1.43% Day High: 802.1 Day Low: 790.1

Further movement against HSBC ABOVE 802.1 should improve acceleration tow ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 312.8 Percentage Change: + 1.96% Day High: 313.7 Day Low: 306.5

Continued trades against IAG with a mid-price ABOVE 313.7 should improve ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 279 Percentage Change: -3.96% Day High: 287.5 Day Low: 271.4

Target met. Weakness on Ocado Plc below 271.4 will invariably lead to 248 ……..

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LSE:PHP Primary Health Close Mid-Price: 87.65 Percentage Change: -0.96% Day High: 87.65 Day Low: 85.4

Target met. Continued weakness against PHP taking the price below 85.4 ca ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 34.4 Percentage Change: + 13.16% Day High: 35 Day Low: 30.1

All Rockhopper needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 35 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:SDY Speedyhire Close Mid-Price: 27.3 Percentage Change: -1.97% Day High: 27.9 Day Low: 27

In the event Speedyhire experiences weakness below 27 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust Close Mid-Price: 988.2 Percentage Change: -0.30% Day High: 996.2 Day Low: 987.6

In the event of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust enjoying further trade ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered. Close Mid-Price: 1014 Percentage Change: + 0.65% Day High: 1017 Day Low: 1000

Target met. All Standard Chartered needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1017 ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 111.55 Percentage Change: + 1.18% Day High: 111.7 Day Low: 106.8

In the event Taylor Wimpey experiences weakness below 106.8 it calculates ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

IMI Plc (LSE:IMI) with a warming up price?

#Gold #DAX This is a company with a fascinating pedigree, spun out of Imperial Chemical Industries (ICI) back in 1962 and finally achieving full independence from ICI in 1978. Nowadays, they’re the leading manufacturer of thermostatic radiator valves, along with other magic involving using metals to do something useful. From a personal perspective, these radiator valves remain objects of hatred, due to owning a 300 year old house which has had its heating system butchered over the years. Few things are more irritating than discovering, once the basic groundwork of draining a radiator is complete, the pipes in use are 10mm rather than the expected 8mm but on the other side of the radiator, everything is 13mm. And the hoarded box of shiny plumbing equipment lacks the necessary adaptors!

Meanwhile, due to the heating being off, the very person who’d nagged for the valves to be fitted is now complaining about the house being cold and could I stop mucking around and light the wood burning stove…

 

IMI are involved in rather more than radiator valves, their website showing quite an intimidating range of activities. Quite why they don’t simply supply a clip on thermometer for radiators with a wireless gizmo sending a signal back to the boiler telling it to stop or start sending heat to the specific radiator defeats me? They could even place some flashing LED lights on the thermometer to impress people.

The company share price is starting to look fairly useful in the coming months, showing some potential for growth. Currently, above just 1873p should trigger movement to an initial 1916p with our longer term secondary, if bettered, working out at an interesting 2011. This secondary is “interesting”, representing a new all time high where a distant ambition of 2265p becomes expected, a price level where some hesitation feels inevitable.

If things intend go wrong, the share needs below 1675p as this threatens reversals to an initial 1604 with our secondary, if broken, at 1513 and hopefully a bounce.

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
2:48:22AM BRENT 7568.1
2:52:14AM GOLD 2657.43 2632 2622 2608 2642 2667 2704 2744 2646
5:05:48AM FTSE 8252.6
5:10:08AM STOX50 4991.3
5:14:00AM GERMANY 20340.7 20213 20132 20044 20290 20392 20573 20880 20251
5:17:35AM US500 5904 ‘cess
5:21:56AM DOW 42554
5:24:39AM JAPAN 39506

 

8/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 7452 points. Change of -9.62%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,394,228,390 a change of 16.2%
7/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8245 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,502,690,636 a change of 7.78%
6/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8249 points. Change of 0.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,105,577,084 a change of -3.75%
3/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8223 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,304,674,170 a change of 278.32%
31/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8173 points. Change of 0.64%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,402,162,545 a change of -42.6%
30/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8121 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,442,888,350 a change of 0%
29/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8149 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,693,002,049 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:PHP Primary Health** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

********

Updated charts published on : Capita, HSBC, British Airways, IG Group, Ocado Plc, Primary Health, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 13.3 Percentage Change: -1.34% Day High: 13.96 Day Low: 13.2

Weakness on Capita below 13.2 will invariably lead to 11p with secondary ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 791.2 Percentage Change: + 1.96% Day High: 792.4 Day Low: 781.4

Target met. In the event of HSBC enjoying further trades beyond 792.4, th ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 306.8 Percentage Change: + 0.76% Day High: 309.9 Day Low: 304.2

All British Airways needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 309.9 to improve ac ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 988 Percentage Change: -1.20% Day High: 1009 Day Low: 985.5

Target met. Continued trades against IGG with a mid-price ABOVE 1009 shou ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 290.5 Percentage Change: -2.39% Day High: 299.4 Day Low: 282.4

In the event Ocado Plc experiences weakness below 282.4 it calculates wit ……..

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LSE:PHP Primary Health Close Mid-Price: 88.5 Percentage Change: -2.59% Day High: 92.45 Day Low: 88.55

If Primary Health experiences continued weakness below 88.55, it will inv ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 110.25 Percentage Change: -3.80% Day High: 114.3 Day Low: 109.8

Target met. Continued weakness against TW. taking the price below 109.8 c ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Diversified Energy Co Plc (LSE:DEC) with strong potentials?

#FTSE #Nasdaq There’s a series currently on telly called “Landman” which has become a reliable excuse to waste an hour every week, watching the dramas of a mid-level oil company. It’s not “Dallas” (thankfully) and a developing storyline caught my attention. One of the workers, receiving a large settlement from his employer, has a cunning plan. He’s chasing after oil wells which have dried up, believing if he can get around 50 locations, he’ll be able to attract fracking companies to squeeze out what’s remaining. One dry well will not interest a fracking operator but 50 well sites will get their attention.

 

This brought an article we wrote about DEC three months ago to mind, when we noted they are the ‘Largest Owner Of Oil Wells’ in North America. We’d assumed the company were building a land bank, due to their ability to decommission wells at a substantially lower price than everyone else. But what if they were awaiting a US President coming, one whose tagline was “Drill, Baby, Drill” and is due to be crowned in just 12 days.

Should DEC be the inspiration for the “Landman” storyline, we’d be amazed but in the real world, since our previous analysis, their share price has risen from 983p to 1427p, achieving our primary and secondary targets with remarkable accuracy. Unsurprisingly, we’ve received emails asking for a “What’s Next?” update. Please remember our entire suspicion for future growth is based entirely on a telly program plotline but, should it story be based on real world potentials, there’s obviously a reasonable chance the owner of “Largest Owner Of Oil Wells in North America” could be poised to use fracking to extract substantial amounts of oil and gas from the land of wells they’ve bought.

 

Now above 1429p calculates with the potential of a lift to an initial 1630p with our secondary, if exceeded, working out at 1764p and some probable hesitation. Rather impressively, should – in the long term – the share price close above 1764p, it enters a realm where a future 3023 shall be seen as exerting an influence!

Of course, we’ve a converse scenario tucked away, just to make folk miserable. Below 1200p now suggests a potential for weakness to an initial 1061p and hopefully a proper bounce. Closure below such a level opens up a threat of travel down to 940p and a need for us to utterly revamp all our calculations.

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:22:11PM BRENT 7717.5
11:25:01PM GOLD 2650.82 ‘cess
11:35:43PM FTSE 8236.8 8188 8164 8131 8215 8262 8281 8312 8232 Shambles
11:40:01PM STOX50 4999.8
11:43:31PM GERMANY 20307.2 ‘cess
11:48:03PM US500 5918.1 ‘cess
11:51:39PM DOW 42570.4 ‘cess
11:54:42PM NASDAQ 21219 21103 21069 20858 21237 21703 21848 22203 21450 Success
11:57:36PM JAPAN 39789 ‘cess

 

7/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8245 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,502,690,636 a change of 7.78%
6/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8249 points. Change of 0.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,105,577,084 a change of -3.75%
3/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8223 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,304,674,170 a change of 278.32%
31/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8173 points. Change of 0.64%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,402,162,545 a change of -42.6%
30/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8121 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,442,888,350 a change of 0%
29/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8149 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,693,002,049 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

********

Updated charts published on : Capita, Rockhopper, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 13.48 Percentage Change: -2.46% Day High: 13.72 Day Low: 13.44

If Capita experiences continued weakness below 13.44, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 32.7 Percentage Change: + 3.81% Day High: 33.9 Day Low: 31.4

Continued trades against RKH with a mid-price ABOVE 33.9 should improve t ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust Close Mid-Price: 985.2 Percentage Change: -0.77% Day High: 994.6 Day Low: 978.4

Further movement against Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust ABOVE 994.6 s ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 114.6 Percentage Change: -4.46% Day High: 119 Day Low: 114.35

Target met. Weakness on Taylor Wimpey below 114.35 will invariably lead t ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Rockhopper Exploration Plc (LSE:RKH) ready for a jump?

#Gold #Dow_Jones  It’s surprising to have a favourite Penguin story but one of my nieces provided one when she was around 6 years old at school. The kids has been asked to write a summary about a book they’d been asked to read. Her summary simply and essentially read; “This book told me more about Penguins than I wanted to know!”  Interestingly, she’s now a Vet working in a German zoo, still hates Penguins but really likes Bears!

Which brings us to Rockhopper Plc, named after a famed make of penguin.

Given Rockhoppers share price movements since the end of September last year, the share price has broken through a very obvious downtrend, making serious attempts to head upward. Broadly speaking, we generally suspect any company associated with the Falklands area to be the victim of “ramping” in internet discussion forums. However, the pattern of growth – possibly aside from the surge upward on Monday 6th – doesn’t reflect the usual fuel for damage inflicted by gullible investors slavishly following “experts” in chatrooms.

 

However, if we choose to embrace optimism, it’s currently the case movements above 32p should trigger ongoing traffic to an initial 38p. Our longer term secondary calculates at an astounding future 51p, a price level not seen since 2015 and fully in the clutches of a long term attraction at an amazing and probably unlikely, 84p.

The issue we have with unexpected surges upward in price comes from the truism; “The higher they go, the harder they fall”, which is why we despise surges based on facts made of vapour. Balancing this, Rockhopper share price should only have risen to 25p as this theoretically represented a level where a stumble was anticipated. Aside from a brief hiccup at the end of the year, the share has spent the last three sessions behaving as if our 25p were not an issue, generally a signal the market has further plans for the price. Hopefully this is the case as some oilers long suffering shareholders really deserve a break!

Should things plan on going horribly wrong, our converse scenario paints a picture of danger, if the share price dips below 23p as reversal to an initial 18p looks possible with our longer term secondary coming in at 8.5p, a number which unfortunately makes some visual sense. In this instance, our inclination is toward optimism.

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:48:08PM BRENT 7621
11:12:15PM GOLD 2634.33 2623 2617 2601 2637 2650 2660 2675 2633 Success
11:15:00PM FTSE 8204
11:17:49PM STOX50 4964 Success
11:23:50PM GERMANY 20138.2 Success
11:36:10PM US500 5976.7 ‘cess
11:39:00PM DOW 42696 42620 42455 42231 42819 43127 43259 43621 42903
11:42:28PM NASDAQ 21563 ‘cess
11:46:56PM JAPAN 40092 Shambles

 

6/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8249 points. Change of 0.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,105,577,084 a change of -3.75%
3/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8223 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,304,674,170 a change of 278.32%
31/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8173 points. Change of 0.64%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,402,162,545 a change of -42.6%
30/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8121 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,442,888,350 a change of 0%
29/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8149 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,693,002,049 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust** **

********

Updated charts published on : Block Energy PLC, International Distribution, IG Group, Rockhopper, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust,


LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC. Close Mid-Price: 0.7 Percentage Change: + 7.69% Day High: 0.7 Day Low: 0.65

Continued weakness against BLOE taking the price below 0.65 calculates as ……..

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LSE:IDS International Distribution. Close Mid-Price: 363.8 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 364.6 Day Low: 363.6

Target met. In the event of International Distribution enjoying further t ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 998.5 Percentage Change: + 0.15% Day High: 1001 Day Low: 995

All IG Group needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1001 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 31.5 Percentage Change: + 14.13% Day High: 31.5 Day Low: 27.9

Target met. In the event of Rockhopper enjoying further trades beyond 31. ……..

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LSE:SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust. Close Mid-Price: 992.8 Percentage Change: + 2.20% Day High: 993.6 Day Low: 975

Continued trades against SMT with a mid-price ABOVE 993.6 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments

Barclays (LSE:BARC) looking for a change!

#Brent #SP500  Barclays share price has spent the last three weeks since our previous review, mimicking the weather here in Argyll by doing nothing interesting. It has been almost amusing, reading of the rest of the UK being blown around, flooded, and snowed upon. Here by the mountainous seashores, aside from a few days when temperatures dropped seriously toward -10c, it’s been quite mild. As a “for instance”, this weekend, completing the dog walks under blue sky, the daylight lasting ’till nearly 4.30pm, has been quite pleasant.

Unfortunately, the hysteria from the rest of the UK somehow managed to take hold locally, an irrational fear of snow provoking some churches to cancel their Sunday services! What was even stranger, the usual weather services were predicting snow on the West Coast with Argyll, painted with a similar yellow band to everywhere else. We NEVER get the same weather as everywhere else! Unsurprisingly, there was not snow, not even foul wind or rain. On my dog walk, I wore my wide brimmed hat with confidence a gust of wind wasn’t going to provoke a Benny Hill moment, chasing the thing. (A wide brimmed hat keeps the rain off your shoulders, if you’ve chosen the wrong jacket. And it looks quite cool…) Don’t get me wrong, we’ve plenty of snow on the surrounding mountains but it’s only lying to a level of around 400 feet, giving some wonderful holiday snaps to departing tourists who’d visited for New Year week.

 

With Barclays share price literally behaving as if it has resided here in Argyll, experiencing a paucity of movement which felt hardwired to our weather systems, can we anticipate anything interesting in 2025?

 

There’s a little bit of hope, despite some immediately dangerous signals. Presently trading around 266p, the share price needs dip below 260p to justify a degree of concern as this allows reversals to an initial 237p and hopefully a bounce. Should 237p break, our secondary comes in at 229p and an excuse for us to urgently review what’s going on!

However, despite the threat of short term weakness, we shall be fascinated if the share price stumbles above just 274p as this should next signal recovery to an initial 289p with our secondary, if bettered, an eventual 313p along with some hesitation when it matches a prior series of highs. Our belief is this hesitation becomes inevitable, due to selling pressure from folks trapped since 2013.

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:36:14PM BRENT 7662.5 7552 7503 7446 7627 7677 7794 8036 7477
10:55:10PM GOLD 2640.4
11:10:09PM FTSE 8220.9
11:12:38PM STOX50 4880.7
11:15:35PM GERMANY 19909
11:18:08PM US500 5942.2 5878 5848 5813 5896 5953 5996 6052 5917
11:20:59PM DOW 42702
11:26:44PM NASDAQ 21299.6
11:31:34PM JAPAN 39746

 

3/01/2025 FTSE Closed at 8223 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,304,674,170 a change of 278.32%
31/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8173 points. Change of 0.64%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,402,162,545 a change of -42.6%
30/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8121 points. Change of -0.34%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,442,888,350 a change of -9.29%
29/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8149 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,693,002,049 a change of 0%
23/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8102 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,427,016,579 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

********

Updated charts published on : Capita, Gulf Keystone, HSBC, International Distribution, IG Group, Quadrise, Rockhopper, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:CPI Capita. Close Mid-Price: 13.9 Percentage Change: + 0.72% Day High: 14.04 Day Low: 13.7

In the event Capita experiences weakness below 13.7 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 161 Percentage Change: + 5.02% Day High: 161.2 Day Low: 153.3

Target met. All Gulf Keystone needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 161.2 to i ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC Close Mid-Price: 782.3 Percentage Change: -0.14% Day High: 787.3 Day Low: 775.5

All HSBC needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 787.3 to improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:IDS International Distribution Close Mid-Price: 363.8 Percentage Change: -0.05% Day High: 364 Day Low: 363.4

Further movement against International Distribution ABOVE 364 should impr ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 997 Percentage Change: + 0.10% Day High: 999 Day Low: 993

Further movement against IG Group ABOVE 999 should improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise Close Mid-Price: 7.18 Percentage Change: -5.28% Day High: 7.98 Day Low: 6.52

Target met. All Quadrise needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 7.98 to improve ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 27.6 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 28 Day Low: 26.2

Further movement against Rockhopper ABOVE 28 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 118.85 Percentage Change: -2.78% Day High: 122.1 Day Low: 118.9

If Taylor Wimpey experiences continued weakness below 118.9, it will inva ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Lloyds Banking Group (LSE:LLOY) and a Santa crash?

#FTSE #Gold  Hope everyone had a good Christmas. Now, here in Argyll we move onto the most important part of the festive season, having friends and family round for drinks. We actually started early at the weekend, arranging to meet chums for a late lunch on Saturday. Unfortunately, they were having a fun time with everything in their bathroom blocked, water not draining from the bath, the sink, the shower, or the WC. By the time a Drain Cleaning company arrived and sorted out teenage daughter problems… we’d missed our lunch, opting to head to their house, stopping to pick up a selection of Chinese food from a takeaway. Thankfully, we’d also brought a selection of our home made wines, the plan now being to taste test our Merlot, Chardonnay, and Rioja against “real” wines they’d purchased for comparison.

With a score of 8-0, our home brewed Chardonnay white won the competition.

With a score of 0-8, our Rioja got exactly the vote it deserved, needing a few months to age, rather than 4 days since being bottled!

Finally, a score of 4-4 left us wondering about our Merlot as it has only been aging for a couple of months.

The move from brewing Cider to Wine is certainly proving quite fun, aside from the detail our chums really want a regular supply of Chardonnay! Personally, I dislike French and Italian white wines but in this instance, would hesitate opening a bottle of my Chardonnay at home as I’d feel duty bound to finish it, though it’s fairly strong at 13.7° proof…. The Merlot is just okay and I suspect I shall eventually be pouring 25 litres of Rioja into the garden stream.

 

All this waffle, as usual, is to conceal we’ve a degree of trouble, when attempting to divine what the heck is happening with Lloyds share price. Since our previous review, it failed to trigger any drop triggers, instead opting to his a gain trigger yet not rising to our initial 57p target on the first surge. Instead, it has flopped uselessly, a bit like one of Lee Macs overconfident guests on “The 1% Club”. (Our 11 and 13 year old monsters each made it to his 40% question on the Xmas show!). If we take the stance the gain trigger was hit first, above 55p should now trigger movement to an initial 57 with our longer term secondary, if bettered, calculating at 60.8p, along with almost certain hesitation unless the market starts gapping Lloyds up. In such a scenario, the unspoken implication will be to force the market to exceed 60.8p and create a new trend toward an eventual 92p.

Our alternate scenario kicks in, if the index wanders below 52.7p as this now risks promoting reversal to an initial 49.1 with our secondary, if broken, a hopeful (though unlikely) bottom at 45p.

 

Best wishes for a prosperous New Year. As usual, we’re off on the 1st and 2nd, publishing our first Live Market report to subscribers on the 3rd of January.

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
1:24:29AM BRENT 7372 Nothing makes sense
1:27:04AM GOLD 2624.21 2584 2579 2530 2610 2640 2647 2668 2620
1:28:57AM FTSE 8145.9 8113 8094 8071 8147 8161 8194 8259 8114
1:32:00AM STOX50 4903.1 4847 4820 4789 4877 4913 4919 4957 4884
1:36:34AM GERMANY 19987 19883 19865 19823 19961 20015 20109 20212 19947
1:38:45AM US500 5971.4 5931 5919 5888 5983 5982 5991 6011 5969
2:19:12AM DOW 42959.5 42752 42607 42347 42956 43089 43179 43322 42911
3:10:43AM NASDAQ 21476.5 21277 21244 21037 21442 21515 21618 21731 21460
3:13:29AM JAPAN 39984 39830 39692 39456 40099 40285 40464 41216 40044

 

29/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8149 points. Change of 0.58%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 2,693,002,049 a change of -21.42%
23/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8102 points. Change of 0.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,427,016,579 a change of -68.02%
20/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8084 points. Change of -0.26%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,715,072,684 a change of 85.06%
19/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8105 points. Change of -1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,790,138,165 a change of 13.02%
18/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8191 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,123,160,668 a change of 0%
17/12/2024 FTSE Closed at 8195 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,670,012,289 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IDS International Distribution** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

********

Updated charts published on : Asos, Capita, HSBC, International Distribution, Rockhopper, Tullow,


LSE:ASC Asos. Close Mid-Price: 434.6 Percentage Change: + 0.60% Day High: 454.2 Day Low: 414.4

Further movement against Asos ABOVE 454.2 should improve acceleration tow ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 13.8 Percentage Change: -1.85% Day High: 14.12 Day Low: 13.8

Continued weakness against CPI taking the price below 13.8 calculates as ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 777.1 Percentage Change: + 0.66% Day High: 777.4 Day Low: 771.5

Target met. In the event of HSBC enjoying further trades beyond 777.4, th ……..

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LSE:IDS International Distribution. Close Mid-Price: 362.8 Percentage Change: + 0.06% Day High: 363.8 Day Low: 362.6

Continued trades against IDS with a mid-price ABOVE 363.8 should improve ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 23.2 Percentage Change: + 2.65% Day High: 24.6 Day Low: 22.8

Continued trades against RKH with a mid-price ABOVE 24.6 should improve t ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 19.36 Percentage Change: + 1.89% Day High: 19.58 Day Low: 18.92

Target met. Weakness on Tullow below 18.92 will invariably lead to 15p wi ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares