Our really famous FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX)

#FTSE #Sausages   Sometimes, we make ourselves victims of our own rules. The FTSE is currently providing a “case in point” where it’s a market we’ve been miserably pronouncing, similar to the gloomy farm business advisor called Charlie on the excellent Clarkstons Farm, that something is going to go horribly wrong. With Charlie, it’s usually to do with crop yields or the local council and with us, it’s always to do with the FTSE. In this particular cycle of stupid, we managed to miss a FTSE movement on Tuesday which made a visit to the 8400 point level virtually impossible, according to our rule book.

And so, sitting down tonight with the expectation of producing a gloom laden article, spotting the FTSE being spiked to 8700 on Tuesday morning at the open rung a distant bell. In our own defence we’ve a pretty good excuse for missing such a calamity, an adverse reaction to a simple blood pressure medicine making us suddenly aware we’d been cheerfully watching the heart rate slowly counting down to zero, during the preceding week! Our blood pressure reading had declined until it was less inspiring than a month old limp blue party balloon, from a children’s birthday celebration signal at the bottom of a driveway. Between 6am and 8am, no less than six espressos were consumed, a rather pleasant method of boosting ones blood pressure, our local GP advising to immediately stop the medication and continue with the coffee prescription. And to give his receptionist a call on Friday with updated twice daily test results.

 

For someone with a history of not taking blood pressure readings seriously (since my early 20’s), everything became horribly real on Tuesday morning, so I’ve forgiven myself for missing the FTSE’s twitch into an area where I could ignore the small warning of a market rule being broken… We do have 188 of the things!

But the FTSE managed to close above our critical 8700 level 3 times this week with an 8705, an 8706, and finally an 8701. While  the numbers may not prove particularly inspiring, they did provide confirmation the market also thought our 8700 was significant and had chosen to let the index exceed it. From our perspective, our inclination is to take this as a sign of happier days ahead, a bit like my own blood pressure returning safely above 120/80 into conventional territory the medical profession utterly abhor. For instance, there was one occasion when prescribed a notoriously hard hitting drug called Ramilpril, I developed a little problem which became evident around 6am every day. Essentially my body chose to treat Ramipril as poor mans Viagra, creating considerable discomfort for most of the following day… My GP asked permission to tell this ridiculous story, it being the medical equivalent of using a bandage to enhance the bleeding and thus, making no sense. But it was too funny to ignore. The event was clearly written in block capitals on medical records, it still being the case where a Doctor will still glance at my groin when asking how a Blood Pressure medication is working.

 

The only remaining clown story remaining is how to deal with the FTSE. It has gone up despite a pile of evidence saying it should go down.

What’s next?

It seems above 8743 points should now provoke acceleration to an initial 8790 points with our secondary, if bettered, at around 8890 points, matching the previous all time high at the start of March. Visually, we believe in the potential of our initial 8790 but feel less confident about our secondary, certainly on the immediate movement cycle. This is a bit unfortunate as the tightest “safe” stop loss works out at 8,660 points, rather wide for an immediate Gain/Risk scenario.

Of course, we can cheerfully still through a near term reduction scenario into the mix. It’s now the case where below 8662 calculates with the potential of reversal to an initial 8610 with our secondary, if broken, working out at 8680 and a very possible bounce.

 

Have a good weekend, thankfully one without such a ‘bak to skool’ clown show of a Formula1 race!

 

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:57:25PM BRENT 7199.1 6908 6801 7230 7235 7280 7180
10:05:01PM GOLD 3044.4 3026 3016 3044 3059 3068 3024 ‘cess
10:08:06PM FTSE 8697.3 8663 8648 8707 8715 8729 8687
10:11:29PM STOX50 5439.1 5431 5424 5458 5465 5471 5441
11:18:41PM GERMANY 22938 22819 22767 23998 23052 23096 22935 Success
11:21:38PM US500 5657.5 5629 5601 5665 5712 5740 5682
11:24:15PM DOW 41911 41836 41703 41960 42069 42156 41940 ‘cess
11:27:02PM NASDAQ 19651.5 19546 19415 19670 19732 19782 19648 Shambles
11:32:42PM JAPAN 37656 37559 37409 37763 37984 38015 37587 ‘cess

 

20/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8702 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,658,434,671 a change of 23.47%
19/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8706 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,202,916,969 a change of 4.34%
18/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8705 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,945,136,476 a change of 0.41%
17/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8680 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,920,651,803 a change of 10.88%
14/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8632 points. Change of 1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,339,805,616 a change of -8.09%
13/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8542 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,809,805,582 a change of -17.07%
12/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8540 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,005,575,880 a change of -4.97%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : British Telecom, Gulf Keystone, International Personal Finance, Tullow,


LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 163.2 Percentage Change: + 2.06% Day High: 162.95 Day Low: 160.2

Continued trades against BT.A with a mid-price ABOVE 162.95 should improv ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 203.4 Percentage Change: + 1.95% Day High: 207.8 Day Low: 200

Target met. Further movement against Gulf Keystone ABOVE 207.8 should imp ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 154 Percentage Change: + 1.32% Day High: 154 Day Low: 152.5

Further movement against International Personal Finance ABOVE 154 should ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 14.16 Percentage Change: -0.14% Day High: 14.49 Day Low: 13.82

It looks like our miserable calculation of a 13p bottom may have been corr ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

FirstGroup Plc (LSE:FGP) showing some potentials!!!

#Gold #Japan  A daft thing to become annoyed about, fairly regularly, are the clickbait stories issued by the MetOffice. The print media positively salivate over each press release, using them to produce the most inaccurate headline stories, knowing if it turns out to be the usual utter rubbish, folk will just blame the weather forecasters. Scrolling through Google & Yahoo News today, we picked up a couple of tales for March weather which seem to slightly contradict each other. Due to us starting Wednesday with blue skies and -3c temperatures, we’re not inclined to believe a ‘Spanish plume’ is coming. To be honest, while Paul Simon once sung “Get All The News I Need from the Weather Report” in the tune ‘The Only Living Boy in New York’, we’re getting to the stage of trying to filter the term “MetOffice” from news reports, joining the BBC & Sky in our list of untrusted sources when referring to the UK.. Nowadays, we’re finding the Dutch, German, even Irish, media tends report what’s happening in the UK without obvious bias and better still, they don’t give weather reports.

Headlines; 19th March 2025 via Yahoo News!

 

A visit to FirstGroup Wikipedia page proved somewhat discouraging, the company appearing to enjoy a very vanilla background without any decent scandals. Generally, to be involved in public transport in Scotland generally produces some great conspiracy theories but for FirstGroup, they appear quite clean. It was also quite a surprise to discover the company now own the world famous Greyhound company in the USA, along with Grey Goose in Canada. This quickly diluted an assumption FirstGroup were a FTSE250 who primarily focus on the UK’s third world rail service.

 

The company chart is on the edge of showing something seriously important, for those who study such things. It shows the company share price has exceeded the downtrend since 2009, a fairly credible trend and one which is probably making folk salivate. There’s an important problem at present, one worth paying a lot of attention to. The share price has not created a Higher High yet, creating a situation where a ‘so called’ chart breakout will often feel like it is fizzling. The ideal situation occurs, when a share price breaks a downtrend AND starts to trade higher than the previous point which defined that trend. This isn’t a secret, probably just too obvious and thus ignored, but if you want a fairly sane signal for a price movement, once FirstGroup closes above 188p or starts trading above 189p, there’s a reasonable chance the share price is about to head up.

In the case of FirstGroup, above 189p now points at the potential of a lift to 198 next with our secondary, if bettered, at 221p. Overall, such a scenario shall force us to accept a long term 239p as exerting an attraction.

 

Our alternate scenario allows for weakness below 148 to risk triggering reversals to an initial 127p with our longer term secondary, if broken, at 118p. For now, this doesn’t feel likely, gains appearing possible unless the share price tumbles below 170p.

 

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
8:46:47PM BRENT 7062.6
8:52:58PM GOLD 3045.77 3023 3011 2997 3032 3054 3058 3078 3037
10:16:48PM FTSE 8711.9
10:30:01PM STOX50 5516.4 Success
10:33:22PM GERMANY 23350.2 Shambles
10:38:35PM US500 5687.4
10:41:53PM DOW 42041 ‘cess
10:46:09PM NASDAQ 19791
10:48:54PM JAPAN 37904 37563 37437 37205 37777 38133 38344 38605 39018 Shambles

 

19/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8706 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,202,916,969 a change of 4.34%
18/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8705 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,945,136,476 a change of 0.41%
17/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8680 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,920,651,803 a change of 10.88%
14/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8632 points. Change of 1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,339,805,616 a change of -8.09%
13/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8542 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,809,805,582 a change of -17.07%
12/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8540 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,005,575,880 a change of -4.97%
11/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8496 points. Change of -1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,372,262,809 a change of -3.66%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

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Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Asos, Aviva, Diageo, Firstgroup, Gulf Keystone, International Personal Finance, Rolls Royce,


LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 6.24 Percentage Change: -6.87% Day High: 6.5 Day Low: 5.41

Target met. Weakness on AFC Energy below 5.41 will invariably lead to 5.2 ……..

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LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 230 Percentage Change: -4.56% Day High: 237.2 Day Low: 223.2

Continued weakness against ASC taking the price below 223.2 calculates as ……..

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 561.6 Percentage Change: + 0.21% Day High: 565.8 Day Low: 558.6

Target met. In the event of Aviva enjoying further trades beyond 565.8, t ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 2035.5 Percentage Change: -2.14% Day High: 2075 Day Low: 2032

Target met. Continued weakness against DGE taking the price below 2032 ca ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 183.1 Percentage Change: + 1.27% Day High: 184.1 Day Low: 179.3

In the event of Firstgroup enjoying further trades beyond 184.1, the shar ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 199.5 Percentage Change: + 1.37% Day High: 200 Day Low: 193.7

In the event of Gulf Keystone enjoying further trades beyond 200, the sha ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance Close Mid-Price: 152 Percentage Change: -0.65% Day High: 153 Day Low: 151.5

In the event of International Personal Finance enjoying further trades be ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 812.8 Percentage Change: + 0.20% Day High: 818 Day Low: 802.8

Continued trades against RR. with a mid-price ABOVE 818 should improve th ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Kier Group Plc (LSE:KIE) digging for victory?

#FTSE #STOXX Construction company Kier Group seem to be facing a bit of a share meltdown, something of a surprise given their initiative of indulging in a share buyback. Generally speaking, we’re always quite enthusiastic about this tactic by companies as anything which reduces the number of shares “in issue” usually invokes the core law of supply and demand – essentially the rarer something is, the more expensive it gets. Once a major company starts playing this game, it’s unusual for a share price to suffer.

However…

It feels like Kier Group may have done something to offend the market as the price is currently viewed as entering a reversal cycle. At present. weakness below 118 points at the potential of reversals to an initial 104p with our secondary, if broken, working out at 80p, hopefully bouncing before such a target level is achieved as the longer term implications of such a target level breaking are grotty.

On the bright side, we’ve an interesting scenario where, should the share price bounce from our initial 104p drop target level, any solid bounce which toddles above 145p should continue to an initial 171p with our secondary, if bettered, at 192p. In fact, in this instance, we suspect the market shall eventually commence solid recovery movement with an upward price gap, making an eventual 209p a viable ambition.

 

Sorry to be short and sharp with this ‘un. The lack of words and humour doesn’t reflect our thoughts on the potentials here. Essentially, we suspect the current season of reversals shall prove “fake”. Here’s hoping!

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
11:39:50PM BRENT 8694.6
10:54:08PM GOLD 3033.21
10:58:16PM FTSE 8705.9 8680 8670 8650 8704 8730 8747 8769 8696
11:00:20PM STOX50 5481.3 5458 5440 5419 5475 5503 5510 5524 5473
11:04:14PM GERMANY 23368.6
11:05:59PM US500 5619.1
11:11:10PM DOW 41634.5
11:13:31PM NASDAQ 19505.5
11:15:36PM JAPAN 37943.3

 

18/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8705 points. Change of 0.29%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,945,136,476 a change of 0.41%
17/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8680 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,920,651,803 a change of 10.88%
14/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8632 points. Change of 1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,339,805,616 a change of -8.09%
13/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8542 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,809,805,582 a change of -17.07%
12/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8540 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,005,575,880 a change of -4.97%
11/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8496 points. Change of -1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,372,262,809 a change of -3.66%
10/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8600 points. Change of -0.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,652,125,992 a change of 21.38%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, British Telecom, Firstgroup, Fresnillo, Gulf Keystone, Intercontinental Hotels Group,


LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 560.4 Percentage Change: + 0.61% Day High: 560.6 Day Low: 556.4

Further movement against Aviva ABOVE 560.6 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 161.2 Percentage Change: + 1.58% Day High: 162.15 Day Low: 159

In the event of British Telecom enjoying further trades beyond 162.15, th ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 180.8 Percentage Change: + 2.44% Day High: 183 Day Low: 177.9

Further movement against Firstgroup ABOVE 183 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 954 Percentage Change: + 1.71% Day High: 960.5 Day Low: 945

Target met. Further movement against Fresnillo ABOVE 960.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 196.8 Percentage Change: + 0.15% Day High: 199.5 Day Low: 193.4

Continued trades against GKP with a mid-price ABOVE 199.5 should improve t ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Close Mid-Price: 8528 Percentage Change: -1.14% Day High: 8738 Day Low: 8476

Target met. Weakness on Intercontinental Hotels Group below 8476 will inv ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Renold Plc (LSE:RNG) chained to success?

#Gold #Nasdaq Being asked to review Renold Plc immediately brought a sharp memory of an abhorrent smell! It used to be the case, if fitting a new chain to your 1949 AJS 500, some subterfuge was involved, essentially waiting until Mum left the house for a while. Once she was gone, you could turn on the oven, place a tin can full of solid grease on a shelf and heat it until it became liquid. At this point, you took the stinking can of grease outside and carefully spooled your new chain into the black mess. It was important to leave it overnight and the next day, apply gentle heating to remove the now untouchable chain. It was also important your mother didn’t catch this desecration of her kitchen!

The mess created, fitting the chain to the clapped out motorcycle (bought for 25 quid) was memorable, involving spending an hour or so, hands in hot water and an industrial strength nail brush, scrubbing frantically to return your skin to baby pink. We really do not miss the days before Latex Gloves became a thing but would love to revisit the early 1980’s where classic British motorcycles could literally be bought for pennies.  A chum from the period managed to accumulate around 40 big Nortons and Triumphs, dismantling them and storing in his workshop attic. He’s still got that workshop but as a long term dopehead, cannot be bothered doing anything about his collection as it would be too much work… Nor will he accept any offers of free help from friends trying to get him back on his feet.

 

But yes, Renolds and their chain became an important facet of life back in a grease smeared childhood and nowadays, in addition to being the #1 supplier of chain to classic British motorcycles also have their fingers in quite a few other pies. Whether it is escalators, farming machinery, or even fairground rides, Renolds continue to supply solutions to connect the power bit of machines to the final drive, where something is being turned. Now, they are famed for rather more than their chain, supplying gears, bearings, chains, and most other items associate with what’s called the Final Drive.

The company share price is currently a little bit interesting, recently colliding with the Reduptrend since the Pandemic low of 2020. The market has certain produced some sort of bounce but it currently needs above 43p to hopefully trigger recovery to an initial 47p with our longer term secondary, if bettered, at an important trend breaking 58.5p. Share price closure above such a level shall be regarded as “game changing” for the long term. We’ve shown a could of teaser prices on the chart below.

Alternately, our miserable scenario cannot be ignored. At present, the share price need only retreat below 35p to potentially trigger reversals to an initial  21p with our secondary calculating at a vile looking 7p.

 

 


Date Time Scanned Target Price At Issue Long Short Enter At Safe Exit Longer Exit Stop At
18/03/2025 5:58AM BRENT 7122
18/03/2025 5:59AM Dow Jones 41751
18/03/2025 6:00AM GERMANY 23234
18/03/2025 6:03AM GOLD 3012.32 Long 3018 3021 3053 3010
18/03/2025 6:12AM Nasdaq 19724
18/03/2025 6:18AM SP500 5658 Short 5634 5615 5584 5664
18/03/2025 5:57AM Stx Nothing new
18/03/2025 6:20AM UK FTSE 8701.50

 

17/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8680 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,920,651,803 a change of 10.88%
14/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8632 points. Change of 1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,339,805,616 a change of -8.09%
13/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8542 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,809,805,582 a change of -17.07%
12/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8540 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,005,575,880 a change of -4.97%
11/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8496 points. Change of -1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,372,262,809 a change of -3.66%
10/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8600 points. Change of -0.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,652,125,992 a change of 21.38%
7/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8679 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,304,463,649 a change of -17.82%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **

********

Updated charts published on : Asos, Aviva, Fresnillo, International Personal Finance, Sainsbury,


LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 240 Percentage Change: -4.00% Day High: 250 Day Low: 224

Target met. Weakness on Asos below 224 will invariably lead to 213p with ……..

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 557 Percentage Change: + 1.72% Day High: 558 Day Low: 547.4

Continued trades against AV. with a mid-price ABOVE 558 should improve th ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 938 Percentage Change: + 2.35% Day High: 935.5 Day Low: 910

Continued trades against FRES with a mid-price ABOVE 935.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 151.5 Percentage Change: + 1.68% Day High: 152.5 Day Low: 149

Continued trades against IPF with a mid-price ABOVE 152.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury Close Mid-Price: 232.4 Percentage Change: -1.11% Day High: 234.6 Day Low: 228

Target met. If Sainsbury experiences continued weakness below 228, it wil ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

17 March, now titled Natwest share price… Oops

#Gold #Nasdaq  It’s worth remembering back in June 2012, RBS (Natwest) did a sneaky 10:1 share price split, an effort to make the sound of the share price more respectable than it actually was. The initiative, making each share magically worth 2 quid overnight, rather than 20p, was certainly more impressive to the gullible. Until such time the price dribbled its way downhill, matching the lows of the financial crisis with an eventual visit to 99p in 2020. By dividing by 10, this placed the share at a real 9.9p, just 0.2p above the lows of 2009. It was not a pretty picture.

Of course, the market had a final “Hail Mary” to throw at the problem and that was to change the company name, along with its trading code by rebranding RBS into Natwest. To a degree, this sleight of hand has worked as it’s almost possible to forget, when we look at Natwest trading at 440.9p, the share price should really read 44p, due to every 10 shares being magically folded into 1 share in 2012. The period since has been fairly kind to Natwest and there’s now some remarkable potentials forming for the future.

 

The only immediate fly in the ointment has been one of our least favourite share price shuffles, Natwest being gapped UP in February and gapped DOWN in March. Typically, this share price dance introduces the potential for some reliable reversals, a market inspired push toward a level from which we tend expect a rebound.

In the case of Natwest, this situation allows weakness below 428p to trigger reversal to an initial 400p along with a reasonable chance of a rebound, due to the Red uptrend line. Should 400p break, our anticipated rebound level moves down to 368p. Visually, this should not be a big deal as it neatly matches the low of the start of 2025, again giving a good reason for a bounce. And more importantly… it keeps the share price within Big Picture parameters which is quite important.

The situation with Natwest Group now is useful, calculating with the potential of movement next above 462p moving the share price into a region where shuffles upward to an initial 558p becomes possible with our longer term secondary, if bettered, at an astounding 693p, matching the ‘adjusted’ market high of 2007. Our “only” major problem comes from that “GaGa” shuffle, giving a suspicion the market may not wish the share price to flourish above our historical target level at 466p. We’d warned this may cause issues as it would signal the share making the transit from “current market” to “big picture” potentials. It’s not witchcraft, just a fairly typical excuse the market uses to foul up price dance steps.

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
10:18:43PM BRENT 7040.9 6830 6746 6634 7150 7134 7208 7335 6938
10:37:15PM GOLD 2984.1
10:42:06PM FTSE 8667
10:59:19PM STOX50 5420.3
11:44:22PM GERMANY 23079.9
11:58:37PM US500 5624.8
12:04:04AM DOW 41420.5
12:41:29AM NASDAQ 19648 19354 19209 19038 19472 19692 19819 20042 19590
12:44:12AM JAPAN 37517

 

14/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8632 points. Change of 1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,339,805,616 a change of -8.09%
13/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8542 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,809,805,582 a change of -17.07%
12/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8540 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,005,575,880 a change of -4.97%
11/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8496 points. Change of -1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,372,262,809 a change of -3.66%
10/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8600 points. Change of -0.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,652,125,992 a change of 21.38%
7/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8679 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,304,463,649 a change of -17.82%
6/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8682 points. Change of -0.83%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,671,130,291 a change of 6.49%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **

********

Updated charts published on : Asos, Aviva, Firstgroup, Fresnillo, International Personal Finance, Sainsbury, The Trainline,


LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 250 Percentage Change: -3.03% Day High: 264.2 Day Low: 247.4

Target met. In the event Asos experiences weakness below 247.4 it calcula ……..

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 547.6 Percentage Change: + 0.66% Day High: 549 Day Low: 539

All Aviva needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 549 to improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 175.8 Percentage Change: + 1.27% Day High: 178.3 Day Low: 166.7

Continued trades against FGP with a mid-price ABOVE 178.3 should improve ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 916.5 Percentage Change: + 1.89% Day High: 933 Day Low: 892.5

Target met. All Fresnillo needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 933 to improve ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 149 Percentage Change: + 7.19% Day High: 149 Day Low: 140

Target met. All International Personal Finance needs are mid-price trades ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury Close Mid-Price: 235 Percentage Change: -7.77% Day High: 255.8 Day Low: 234

In the event Sainsbury experiences weakness below 234 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 265.4 Percentage Change: -2.57% Day High: 275 Day Low: 261.8

If The Trainline experiences continued weakness below 261.8, it will inva ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Our famed FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX)  

#FTSE #GOLD  With something interesting finally happening in the world, the ‘Free Practice’ sessions have kicked off for the Australian F1 race and as always, internet chat rooms ooze utter rubbish about each driver and teams performance. Somehow or other, folk manage to forget each session is called “Practice” for a reason. Teams are trying to ascertain if a call shall complete a race without the steering wheel falling off, without running out of petrol, and ideally with the same number of wheels each car started the race with.

The one thing about ‘Free Practice’ is important, teams are not attempting to establish record times. There are always points where a race team is asking their driver to try and establish a fast time between Point X and Point Y, the aim of the team being to compare how each driver managed the car and track, attempting to blend the two methods in a way where everyone has a chance to improve. But when reading Twitter (X), it becomes easy to believe Practice sessions themselves form some sort of race. Of course, the eye candy of Free Practice is hyped up by the media in an attempt to draw viewers and gullible readers.

 

The FTSE itself looks guilty of doing a similar Free Practice moment on the stock markets, the index reaching an arithmetically important level around 8780 points, then deciding to flutter above and below this level. From our perspective, the index has been busy forming a glass ceiling – or horizontal trend to be accurate. This creates a point where we shall tend view any future attempt by the market to close above 8780 points as a significant trigger, one ideally capable of introducing a surge to an initial 8920. We’ve a little problem with such a target level, given it matches the prior high earlier in March. But closure above 8920 shall be regarded as important, suggesting the FTSE has entered a Big Picture phase toward the magic sounding 10,000 point level. It would be true to say with any market, other than the FTSE, we’d be pretty confident of such a scenario but the UK index track record doesn’t readily lend itself to large outpourings of confidence. But given market performance this year, we’re perhaps exhibiting ” learned muscle memory” which could be entirely misplaced! In other words, we’re chicken.

 

From a nearer term perspective, weakness below 8514 risks being a little troublesome, provoking a potential trip down to 8462 points with our secondary, if broken, introducing itself at 8368 points. If triggered, the tightest stop loss level looks like 8564 points, wide but fairly civilised given the reversal calculation.

Alternately, our scenario if the UK index intends to behave on Friday allows above 8582 points to perhaps trigger recovery to an initial 8650 points. Our secondary is slightly insane, a return to the glass ceiling level with at 8786 points!

 

Have a good weekend. And at least try to enjoy the Australian Grand Prix.

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:32:52PM BRENT 7001.2 6922 6857 7037 7135 7182 7046 Shambles
11:41:07PM GOLD 2987.27 2970 2963 2982 2991 3004 2975 Success
11:43:36PM FTSE 8559.1 8511 8484 8455 8535 8573 8593 8636 8533
11:46:54PM STOX50 5318 5301 5280 5330 5387 5412 5335
11:49:07PM GERMANY 22556 22412 22277 22570 22764 22869 22591
11:51:09PM US500 5549.2 5504 5489 5547 5606 5645 5562 ‘cess
11:54:34PM DOW 40970.5 40667 40648 40954 41412 41730 41268
11:56:51PM NASDAQ 19354.8 19155 19039 19344 19616 19802 19459 ‘cess
11:59:01PM JAPAN 36790 36564 36512 36774 37050 37254 36805 ‘cess

 

13/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8542 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,809,805,582 a change of -17.07%
12/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8540 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,005,575,880 a change of -4.97%
11/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8496 points. Change of -1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,372,262,809 a change of -3.66%
10/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8600 points. Change of -0.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,652,125,992 a change of 21.38%
7/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8679 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,304,463,649 a change of -17.82%
6/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8682 points. Change of -0.83%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,671,130,291 a change of 6.49%
5/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8755 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,203,655,204 a change of -19.84%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **

********

Updated charts published on : Asos, Diageo, Fresnillo, Intercontinental Hotels Group, International Personal Finance, The Trainline,


LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 257.8 Percentage Change: -1.30% Day High: 272.4 Day Low: 256.8

If Asos experiences continued weakness below 256.8, it will invariably le ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 2082.5 Percentage Change: -0.22% Day High: 2107.5 Day Low: 2050

Target met. Weakness on Diageo below 2050 will invariably lead to 2039p w ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet Close Mid-Price: 473.8 Percentage Change: -1.52% Day High: 482.9 Day Low: 471.5

Continued weakness against EZJ taking the price below 471.5 calculates as ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 899.5 Percentage Change: + 0.56% Day High: 902 Day Low: 861

In the event of Fresnillo enjoying further trades beyond 902, the share s ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Close Mid-Price: 8518 Percentage Change: -1.93% Day High: 8646 Day Low: 8500

Continued weakness against IHG taking the price below 8500 calculates as ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 139 Percentage Change: + 2.58% Day High: 140 Day Low: 135.5

Further movement against International Personal Finance ABOVE 140 should ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 272.4 Percentage Change: -13.19% Day High: 305.8 Day Low: 263.4

Target met. Weakness on The Trainline below 263.4 will invariably lead to ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Diversified Energy Company Plc (LSE:DEC) ready to bounce???

#Brent #Gold It’s always a bit of a puzzle, when the media suddenly switches to “Analysts rate XYZ as a buy”, generally at a point where a share price can be in a bigger nosedive than UK politics.  When we reviewed DEC.L at the start of this year, we laid out criteria which would force us to re-evaluate the shares potentials and now, not only has it made it down to 940p but worse, emphatically closed below such a point.

With the share price spending the most recent 5 sessions waving a surrender flag, we’re certainly curious at the number of buy recommendations as visually, the only things visually capable of arresting the current price drop are the two trend lines on the chart below. Maybe the Blue line shall afford a halt to the drop, maybe it shall be the Red line. Or maybe neither will feature in traders thoughts and the share shall continue exploring the depths of misery/

At present, below  824 looks like it shall prove nasty. potentially able to trigger reversal to 746 next with our secondary, if broken, at 519p. We would certainly hope for a bounce before 519p makes an appearance, due to price movements below such a level having terrible implications.

 

On a brighter note, the visuals suggest it may be more likely to anticipate a bounce anytime soon, perhaps with an inevitable spike down to 824p before it actually happens. This is a fairly typical playbook event, the chart almost writing a clickbait headline telling folk to expect it. It is certainly the case movement above 960p would be regarded as the first tentative step toward recovery, suggesting a cycle toward 1253p with secondary, if beaten, at 1352p and once again, an urgent need for us to revisit our calculations!

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:13:49PM BRENT 31904 7000 6967 6923 7039 7100 7184 7293 7067 ‘cess
10:17:00PM GOLD 2934.54 2906 2896 2881 2926 2941 2949 2972 2916 ‘cess
10:20:59PM FTSE 8540.4
10:23:09PM STOX50 5358.7
10:25:55PM GERMANY 22674.3 ‘cess
10:28:26PM US500 5604.7 ‘cess
10:48:00PM DOW 41379 Shambles
10:50:42PM NASDAQ 19600.1
10:54:28PM JAPAN 37082 ‘cess

 

12/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8540 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,005,575,880 a change of -4.97%
11/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8496 points. Change of -1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,372,262,809 a change of -3.66%
10/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8600 points. Change of -0.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,652,125,992 a change of 21.38%
7/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8679 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,304,463,649 a change of -17.82%
6/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8682 points. Change of -0.83%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,671,130,291 a change of 6.49%
5/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8755 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,203,655,204 a change of -19.84%
4/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8759 points. Change of -1.26%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,986,196,002 a change of 22.76%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital** **

********

Updated charts published on : Asos, Diageo, ECO (Atlantic) O & G, Fresnillo, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Ocado Plc, Zoo Digital,


LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 261.2 Percentage Change: -2.97% Day High: 281.2 Day Low: 259.2

Continued weakness against ASC taking the price below 259.2 calculates as ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 2087 Percentage Change: -1.74% Day High: 2158.5 Day Low: 2087

If Diageo experiences continued weakness below 2087, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G Close Mid-Price: 7.95 Percentage Change: -12.15% Day High: 8.9 Day Low: 7.65

Target met. In the event ECO (Atlantic) O & G experiences weakness below ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 894.5 Percentage Change: + 4.74% Day High: 890.5 Day Low: 852

Further movement against Fresnillo ABOVE 890.5 should improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Close Mid-Price: 8686 Percentage Change: -0.78% Day High: 8828 Day Low: 8628

In the event Intercontinental Hotels Group experiences weakness below 862 ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 230.3 Percentage Change: -4.04% Day High: 240 Day Low: 222.1

If Ocado Plc experiences continued weakness below 222.1, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital Close Mid-Price: 10.25 Percentage Change: -4.21% Day High: 10.5 Day Low: 9.75

Weakness on Zoo Digital below 9.75 will invariably lead to 8.5p with seco ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares