Author: T&T Staff

#GOLD #WallSt   Massive cruise liners visiting the area are not unusual but today, one of the things took advantage of the deep water anchorage, parking outside our office window. Once, this would have demanded grabbing a camera and taking some snaps but today, becoming quite blasé about the things, I returned two very wet dogs after letting them swim for a few hours in a local river and remembered to take a couple of snapshots of the big ship with my mobile phone. From a tourism viewpoint, the ship anchored with perfect weather, the sea flat calm, 27c degrees of unpleasant heat, and several thousand tourists were doubtless lulled into believing they’d discovered a hidden gem. Locally, we’ve even got a couple of castles overlooking the loch, one of which actually very nice, if utterly hilarious. The owner and his wife fell out, so decided to partition off half the interior of the building. The massive front door opens to reveal the partition which continues up the middle of the staircase, terminating where the master staircase forks. But the partition is only 8 feet tall, the cost of reaching the very high ceiling deemed silly. This cunning plan was enacted in several areas of the building and they opted to seal off a couple of smaller external doors, making only one way possible to enter.

As for the dogs, we deemed it too hot to walk the monsters, suspecting they’d prefer spending time in water. This proved the case, both animals spending considerable time diving completely underwater while rescuing various rocks. The wet animals decided sleeping in the shade, on paving slabs, was necessary when we decided not to dry them.

Unfortunately, a problem awaited. After taking a few snapshots of the Carnival cruise liner, it gradually moved away heading out to sea. And of course, despite this massive floating muse giving inspiration for our headline share, my Samsung S10 decided to let me view the photographs, only discovering they were corrupted hours later when trying to upload them to a PC. Through various Samsung mobiles, the penny has finally dropped the smartphones don’t like storing data on an SD card. Regardless of the lack of a snapshot, it’s certainly worth taking a look at Carnival share price.

 

When we previously reviewed the price, we dangled a massive carrot to highlight the potentials, if it ever closed above our secondary target of 1899p. The price has obviously achieved this goal, so we’re inclined to review medium term possibilities for what’s probably coming next.

The next really big deal calculates as share price CLOSURE above 2125p triggering further recovery to an initial 2676p with our secondary, if beaten, at a future 3093p.

Perhaps this will float someone’s boat!

If things intend go wrong, below 1870 is needed to promote reversal to an initial 1725p. Our secondary, should such a level be punctured, works out at 1281p and a probable rebound.

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:57:25PM	BRENT	6545.8
11:01:04PM	GOLD	3355.4	3342	3321	3292	3354	3370	3382	3399	3350	‘cess
11:04:54PM	FTSE	9148.3									‘cess
11:22:51PM	STOX50	5391.6									‘cess
11:37:56PM	GERMANY	24211
11:39:52PM	US500	6466.9									‘cess
11:45:41PM	DOW	44950.2	44408	44394	44201	44628	44969	45217	45835	44752	Success
11:48:20PM	NASDAQ	23860.7
11:51:06PM	JAPAN	43081

 

13/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9165 points. Change of 0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,576,963,719 a change of 12.35%

12/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9147 points. Change of 0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,963,866,673 a change of 14.87%

11/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9129 points. Change of 0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,321,122,132 a change of -15.66%

8/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9095 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,123,576,118 a change of -18.06%

7/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9100 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,252,889,741 a change of -8.09%

6/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9164 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,802,933,143 a change of 19.42%

5/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9142 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,696,529,731 a change of -2.04%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:MRO Melrose** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, BALFOUR BEATTY, Fresnillo, Melrose, Natwest, Standard Chartered, Tern Plc,

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 659 Percentage Change: + 0.46% Day High: 661.2 Day Low: 656

Further movement against Aviva ABOVE 661.2 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY Close Mid-Price: 553 Percentage Change: -2.73% Day High: 580 Day Low: 544

In the event of BALFOUR BEATTY enjoying further trades beyond 580, the sh ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 1701 Percentage Change: -1.96% Day High: 1769 Day Low: 1691

Target met. In the event of Fresnillo enjoying further trades beyond 1769 ……..

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LSE:MRO Melrose Close Mid-Price: 589.8 Percentage Change: -1.11% Day High: 602.2 Day Low: 591.2

Further movement against Melrose ABOVE 602.2 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 542 Percentage Change: + 1.01% Day High: 544.2 Day Low: 537

In the event of Natwest enjoying further trades beyond 544.2, the share s ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered Close Mid-Price: 1406 Percentage Change: -1.33% Day High: 1432.5 Day Low: 1399

Continued trades against STAN with a mid-price ABOVE 1432.5 should improv ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc Close Mid-Price: 0.88 Percentage Change: -5.41% Day High: 0.92 Day Low: 0.88

Weakness on Tern Plc below 0.88 will invariably lead to 0.81p with second ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#FTSE # JAPANWe received an email telling us they’d been recommended LSEG as a “Strong Buy” and asking our take on the companies recent price movements.  Apparently the reason for optimism is the company announced a “share buy back” program and generally anything which reduces the number of shares offered will tend force share price improvements. However, perhaps as repayment for LSEG’s markets, often feeling like they are part of the overall “put the UK down” misery rather than give cause for optimism. In recent years, there certainly is reason to question the number of companies delisting from the FTSE, expecting success in the USA or Europe.

To cut a long story short, LSEG’s share price isn’t reflecting the usual boost from a Share Buyback initiative, quite the opposite currently.

Embracing the misery usually seen against UK shares suffering a problem, below 9036p for LSEG risks triggering reversal to an initial 8003p with our secondary, if broken, at 8400p and an attempt to match the low of the year Covid-19 made our lives so much fun. Surprisingly, the bounce from the 2020 low quickly exceeded the highs from before the artificial drop was invented, creating a situation where recovery to 11900p could be calculated as possible. LSEG achieved this recovery at the start of 2025, even exceeding our 11900 target for a handful of sessions before falling backward quite dramatically.

 

However, who knows. Perhaps our invective about the poor performance of UK markets in comparison to the USA is underserved and LSEG shall experience a rapid turnaround in fortunes.

This being the case, maybe movement above just 10,020 (Blue) shall trigger recovery to an initial 10,774 with our longer term secondary, if bettered, at 11,205p. This secondary is liable to prove an issue, taking the share price into a zone where a distant 12,695 is seen as presenting a distant attraction. And this would be a miracle, a new all time high and a sign the UK is evincing hope for the future…

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:17:57PM	BRENT	6582.6
10:20:32PM	GOLD	3347.79
10:25:07PM	FTSE	9166.5	9119	9107	9086	9139	9171	9184	9220	9141	Success
10:47:13PM	STOX50	5352.6									‘cess
10:51:33PM	GERMANY	24136.8									‘cess
10:56:44PM	US500	6445.8									‘cess
10:59:56PM	DOW	44446.7
11:02:25PM	NASDAQ	23836.2
11:05:15PM	JAPAN	43281	42576	42249	41872	42828	43384	43770	44348	43033	Success

 

12/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9147 points. Change of 0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,963,866,673 a change of 14.87%

11/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9129 points. Change of 0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,321,122,132 a change of -15.66%

8/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9095 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,123,576,118 a change of -18.06%

7/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9100 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,252,889,741 a change of -8.09%

6/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9164 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,802,933,143 a change of 19.42%

5/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9142 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,696,529,731 a change of -2.04%

4/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9128 points. Change of 0.66%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,815,366,472 a change of 5.59%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:MRO Melrose** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, BALFOUR BEATTY, Capita, Lloyds Grp., Melrose, Natwest, Spirax, Standard Chartered, Tullow,

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LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 656 Percentage Change: -0.03% Day High: 660.8 Day Low: 654.8

Continued trades against AV. with a mid-price ABOVE 660.8 should improve ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 568.5 Percentage Change: + 2.25% Day High: 566.5 Day Low: 556

Target met. Continued trades against BBY with a mid-price ABOVE 566.5 sho ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 243 Percentage Change: -1.82% Day High: 248 Day Low: 238.5

Weakness on Capita below 238.5 will invariably lead to 231p with secondar ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.. Close Mid-Price: 83.04 Percentage Change: + 0.73% Day High: 83.34 Day Low: 82.58

All Lloyds Grp. needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 83.34 to improve acceler ……..

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LSE:MRO Melrose. Close Mid-Price: 596.4 Percentage Change: + 2.58% Day High: 595 Day Low: 582.2

In the event of Melrose enjoying further trades beyond 595, the share sho ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 536.6 Percentage Change: + 0.68% Day High: 539 Day Low: 532.6

Target met. Further movement against Natwest ABOVE 539 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax. Close Mid-Price: 6845 Percentage Change: + 12.95% Day High: 7200 Day Low: 6640

Target met. All Spirax needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 7200 to improve a ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered. Close Mid-Price: 1425 Percentage Change: + 2.15% Day High: 1428 Day Low: 1408

Target met. Further movement against Standard Chartered ABOVE 1428 should ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 10.24 Percentage Change: + 10.94% Day High: 10.52 Day Low: 9.01

Weakness on Tullow below 9.01 will invariably lead to 8.5p with secondary ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Gold #SP500  News the UK is establishing over 40,000 Construction Engineering places isn’t entirely a surprise. Broadcast as an initiative to cease relying on immigrants (we thought they were all Doctors), the construction industry is reputed to be something of a multi language field, where once the biggest challenge was understanding just what the bloke from ‘Derry just said! Bovis Homes, now Vistry, had a quite dreadful reputation, probably worse than that achieved by Barratt, and their merger with Galliford Try and subsequent rename has managed to slightly conceal many of the dire historical stories. But when we search for negative PR work affecting Vistry, the worst story appears to be their decision to become Lumberjacks, cutting down around 50 ancient trees to build houses.

However, releasing three profit warnings in 2024 seems to be provoking nastier behaviour than grabbing a chainsaw, perhaps not entirely a surprise. But the stranger thing is when we review Bovis/Vistry share price since 2007, their share price has effectively ignored the banking crisis, Covid-19, and even the current government. It has essentially fluttered above and below 866p for 18 years but failed to do anything to establish a longer term sense of direction. This absurd visual reality suggests a trading bandwidth between 270p and around 1400p, seriously wide and potentially seriously profitable – if the share continues to follow historical behaviour.

 

Currently, movement above 660p should trigger share price gains in the direction of 739p next with our secondary, if bettered, calculating at 825p. Only with closure above 739 shall we dare regard this as being attracted by a long term third level target at 933p.

However, our alternate scenario which feels more likely, suggests the danger of weakness below Red (presently 508p) triggering reversal down to an eventual 434p with our secondary, if broken, an eventual bottom at 282p. Hopefully, such a secondary level shall be followed by a bounce if it appears, presently a strong long position potential.

This one is messy but perhaps worth watching.

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:34:26PM	BRENT	6641.7
10:37:39PM	GOLD	3343.32	3341	3333	3308	3361	3365	3374	3385	3343	Success
10:40:03PM	FTSE	9125.1
10:42:05PM	STOX50	5329.5
10:47:37PM	GERMANY	24072.4
10:53:23PM	US500	6372	6364	6360	6344	6390	6408	6421	6458	6383
10:56:32PM	DOW	43973.2
11:00:44PM	NASDAQ	23535.6
11:02:55PM	JAPAN	42234

 

11/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9129 points. Change of 0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,321,122,132 a change of -15.66%

8/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9095 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,123,576,118 a change of -18.06%

7/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9100 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,252,889,741 a change of -8.09%

6/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9164 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,802,933,143 a change of 19.42%

5/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9142 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,696,529,731 a change of -2.04%

4/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9128 points. Change of 0.66%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,815,366,472 a change of 5.59%

1/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9068 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,507,518,764 a change of -29.16%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Capita, Standard Chartered, Tern Plc, Tullow,

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 247.5 Percentage Change: -2.17% Day High: 252.5 Day Low: 244.5

If Capita experiences continued weakness below 244.5, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered. Close Mid-Price: 1395 Percentage Change: + 0.54% Day High: 1395 Day Low: 1384.5

In the event of Standard Chartered enjoying further trades beyond 1395, t ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc. Close Mid-Price: 0.92 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0.92 Day Low: 0.9

If Tern Plc experiences continued weakness below 0.9, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 9.23 Percentage Change: -7.61% Day High: 10.02 Day Low: 9.26

If Tullow experiences continued weakness below 9.26, it will invariably l ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Brent #Dax   It was almost spiteful, the highest Natwest closed at since our previous report being at 530p. This was, by amazing coincidence, our initial price rise target. Despite the share price achieving 534p since, it has failed to close above this 530p level, so it’s probably an important number, one which will be worth watching if the share price ever closes above such a level.

To be short, sharp, and concise because everyone is on holiday, either intraday traffic above 535p or closure above 530p should now signal the potential of movement to 551p with our secondary, if beaten, at 579p. Importantly, another salient detail of share price closure above 530p comes from the fact we shall regard a long term 696p potential more attractive than a jam jar to wasp!

If things intend go a bit wrong for the share price, below 505p looks capable of triggering reversal to an initial 489p with our secondary, if broken, a more dangerous (and thus, less likely) 463p.

 

Hopefully the markets enjoy a good week without any real drama. We still suspect things are marching on the spot under everyone gets back from Centre Parks…

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
10:59:20PM	BRENT	6591.2	6540	6181.5	5064	6908	6700	6755	6829	6619
11:04:45PM	GOLD	3397.92
11:07:23PM	FTSE	9093.1
11:11:54PM	STOX50	5360.5
11:16:01PM	GERMANY	24222.3	23902	23717	23491	24120	24294	24327	24642	24160
11:18:28PM	US500	6397.6
11:24:29PM	DOW	44253.8
11:29:07PM	NASDAQ	23625.1
11:31:40PM	JAPAN	42282

 

8/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9095 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,123,576,118 a change of -18.06%

7/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9100 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,252,889,741 a change of -8.09%

6/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9164 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,802,933,143 a change of 19.42%

5/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9142 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,696,529,731 a change of -2.04%

4/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9128 points. Change of 0.66%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,815,366,472 a change of 5.59%

1/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9068 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,507,518,764 a change of -29.16%

31/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9132 points. Change of -0.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,774,577,039 a change of 48.3%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:MRO Melrose** **LSE:SFOR S4 Capital** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Fresnillo, Melrose, S4 Capital, Tern Plc, Tullow,

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 1701 Percentage Change: + 1.67% Day High: 1753 Day Low: 1662

Further movement against Fresnillo ABOVE 1753 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:MRO Melrose. Close Mid-Price: 591 Percentage Change: + 1.72% Day High: 592.4 Day Low: 578.2

Continued trades against MRO with a mid-price ABOVE 592.4 should improve ……..

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LSE:SFOR S4 Capital Close Mid-Price: 21.2 Percentage Change: -5.78% Day High: 22.2 Day Low: 20.65

Target met. Weakness on S4 Capital below 20.65 will invariably lead to 19 ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc. Close Mid-Price: 0.92 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0.92 Day Low: 0.91

Continued weakness against TERN taking the price below 0.91 calculates as ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 9.99 Percentage Change: -10.64% Day High: 10.9 Day Low: 10.02

Target met. Continued weakness against TLW taking the price below 10.02 c ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#FTSE #GOLD It would be true to admit Thursday was spent, subconsciously thinking of which excuses to use tonight, in an attempt to explain why the FTSE has spent the day doing sod all. After all, the first few hours of the day saw the UK market flutter around by just 20 points, while we all awaited confirmation interest rates had been again reduced. The official announcement “should” have provoked some positive energy for the market and the fact the converse happened feels more like an August symptom – a month where an attempts to keep the market flat always occur. It’s a bit like being on a motorway, where the traffic is restricted to 70mph but, in an undeclared battle, motorists find reasons to exceed the out-dated limit, invariably leading to situations when things go wrong and panic slowdowns created a domino effect, forcing all traffic to suddenly slow down in response to an artificial ripple in speed.

For the UK, we often feel the solution is to declare the outside lane on a motorway as “the fast lane”, the middle lane as “the overtaking lane” and the inside lane as “the travel lane”. Unfortunately, this utopia is impossible, due to vehicles above 7.5 tons being restricted to 56mph, creating an artificial moving barricade in “the travel lane”. This situation already sows the seeds of many traffic incidents, an absurd situation where different speed limits are artificially imposed on different types of vehicle, yet all of them expected to share the same highway. This chaos starts to sound more and more like the stock markets!

 

Our suspicion August has been designated as a “slow month” will prove interesting, if the market wanders below 9066 points. According to our software, this should present a trigger possibility for market reversals as below such a point creates a scenario where an initial 8982 points calculates as possible with our secondary, if broken, at 8869 points and a probable bounce. Should this scenario trigger within the next few days, the tightest stop loss works out at roughly 9117.438 points, this being the level of the Red trend currently. The FTSE, at 9100 points, has already broken the uptrend since April this year and we feel the level of trend break needs exceeded to cancel current reversal prospects..

However, as it’s August, things could theoretically go the other way, though we strongly suspect the UK shall avoid the path to 9700 points until everyone is back from their Disney holidays!  But should the FTSE now exceed 9176 points, it is liable to trigger near term growth to an initial 9205 points with our secondary, if bettered, at 9262 points.

Have a good weekend.

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:39:53PM	BRENT	6609.2	6607	6485		6906	6747	6799		6651
10:42:08PM	GOLD	3396.42	3384	3380		3394	3401	3407		3386
10:54:51PM	FTSE	9090.3	9075	9045		9105	9149	9173		9115	Success
11:14:25PM	STOX50	5338.3	5265	5236		5295	5355	5393		5314	Success
11:18:53PM	GERMANY	24230.7	23906	23715		24099	24393	24473		24214	‘cess
11:24:18PM	US500	6355.8	6333	6309		6353	6402	6420		6372	‘cess
11:27:11PM	DOW	44069.2	43798	43730		43980	44075	44136		43985	Shambles
11:31:17PM	NASDAQ	23459.1	23224	23121		23393	23468	23509		23339	Success
11:34:45PM	JAPAN	41180	40943	40779		41085	41340	41393		41190	Success

 

7/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9100 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,252,889,741 a change of -8.09%

6/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9164 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,802,933,143 a change of 19.42%

5/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9142 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,696,529,731 a change of -2.04%

4/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9128 points. Change of 0.66%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,815,366,472 a change of 5.59%

1/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9068 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,507,518,764 a change of -29.16%

31/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9132 points. Change of -0.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,774,577,039 a change of 48.3%

30/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,242,351,161 a change of -7.33%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:MRO Melrose** **LSE:SRP Serco** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, Fresnillo, Hikma, Marks and Spencer, Melrose, Serco, Tullow,

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LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 650.6 Percentage Change: -0.52% Day High: 657 Day Low: 647.2

All Aviva needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 657 to improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 1673 Percentage Change: + 1.09% Day High: 1738 Day Low: 1661

Target met. All Fresnillo needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1738 to improv ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma Close Mid-Price: 1750 Percentage Change: -7.11% Day High: 1804 Day Low: 1695

Target met. In the event Hikma experiences weakness below 1695 it calcula ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 328.7 Percentage Change: -1.88% Day High: 333.9 Day Low: 325

Continued weakness against MKS taking the price below 325 calculates as l ……..

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LSE:MRO Melrose. Close Mid-Price: 581 Percentage Change: + 0.03% Day High: 589.2 Day Low: 578.2

Target met. All Melrose needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 589.2 to improve ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco. Close Mid-Price: 216 Percentage Change: + 3.15% Day High: 228.6 Day Low: 215

Target met. Continued trades against SRP with a mid-price ABOVE 228.6 sho ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 11.18 Percentage Change: -3.62% Day High: 11.66 Day Low: 11.06

In the event Tullow experiences weakness below 11.06 it calculates with a ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Gold #Japan  At one point during the trading session, Hiscox share price was up 15.39%, a truly impressive surge for a FTSE 100 company but of course, it closed the session “only” up 9.44%. This, while marginally below the attention grabbing double digit rise was attributed to their ambitions for the future, along with the intention of the company buying back shares.  Such a reduction in issued capital generally will provoke a price rise, fewer shares available to meet investors perceived demand.

But from a Big Picture perspective, something quite important has happened, the share price within a whisker of achieving the next major milestone for the longer term and that’s closure above 1429p. According to our software, this is a pretty big thing, also achievable anytime soon as the market high on the 6th August was 1454p. We’ve even decided to spoil readers with a zoomed in excerpt from the chart below…

 

Currently, either closure above 1429 or (allegedly) trades above 1454p should suffice to take the share price on an upward journey to an initial 1700p, effectively matching the highs before Covid-19 chose to spoil the worlds day. Our long term secondary (with closure above 1700p) comes along at 2054p and a new All Time High for the share price.

To review a scenario, where everything burns to the ground, the share price needs CLOSE a session below 1344p as this risks triggering reversal to an initial 1114p with our secondary, if (when) broken at an eventual 1008p and an almost certain rebound.

Finally, as it’s August, we’re keeping our headline articles short and sharp which, having changed a minor insurance policy detail recently, should be a relief to the crooked industry! Being charged 15 quid to access my own details online, typing a minor address correction, was somehow deemed worthy of attracting an “Admin Fee” despite the company doing absolutely NO admin.

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:55:08PM	BRENT	6672.8									‘cess
11:22:21PM	GOLD	3368.76	3349	3331	3311	3379	3380	3425	3477	3350
11:24:40PM	FTSE	9133.4
11:30:53PM	STOX50	5265.2
11:35:07PM	GERMANY	23994
11:37:53PM	US500	6359.9
11:41:56PM	DOW	44237
11:46:17PM	NASDAQ	23350.2									Success
11:49:45PM	JAPAN	40731	40598	40443	40152	40757	40858	40914	41309	40684	‘cess

 

6/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9164 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,802,933,143 a change of 19.42%

5/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9142 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,696,529,731 a change of -2.04%

4/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9128 points. Change of 0.66%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,815,366,472 a change of 5.59%

1/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9068 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,507,518,764 a change of -29.16%

31/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9132 points. Change of -0.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,774,577,039 a change of 48.3%

30/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,242,351,161 a change of -7.33%

29/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,656,845,157 a change of 28.68%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:MRO Melrose** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Aviva, BALFOUR BEATTY, Centrica, Firstgroup, Fresnillo, Melrose, Tullow,

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 654 Percentage Change: + 1.24% Day High: 652.4 Day Low: 644

Target met. In the event of Aviva enjoying further trades beyond 652.4, t ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 549 Percentage Change: + 0.27% Day High: 559 Day Low: 545

All BALFOUR BEATTY needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 559 to improve accele ……..

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 168.35 Percentage Change: + 2.28% Day High: 169.6 Day Low: 164.4

Continued trades against CNA with a mid-price ABOVE 169.6 should improve ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 232 Percentage Change: + 0.61% Day High: 240.4 Day Low: 229.4

In the event of Firstgroup enjoying further trades beyond 240.4, the shar ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 1655 Percentage Change: + 8.88% Day High: 1649 Day Low: 1518

Target met. Continued trades against FRES with a mid-price ABOVE 1649 sho ……..

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LSE:MRO Melrose. Close Mid-Price: 580.8 Percentage Change: + 1.01% Day High: 581.4 Day Low: 569.8

Further movement against Melrose ABOVE 581.4 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 11.6 Percentage Change: -18.99% Day High: 14.64 Day Low: 11.2

Target met. Weakness on Tullow below 11.2 will invariably lead to 10.3p w ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#FTSE #STOXX  A surprise invitation to go see the new Superman movie provided a perfect waste of a few hours on Tuesday evening. The film itself was utter rubbish, nonsense designed to neither inform nor enlighten viewers. Instead, it provided a couple of hours of mindless entertainment, without taking itself seriously and falling into the trap Marvel movies discovered, when they decided their film series was important! A personal opinion is fairly simple, movies should offer escapism, a chance to escape the tedium of real life. And for now, with the markets treading water during the hell which is August, Superman provided exactly the escape needed. And importantly, one of the stars was a flying dog with a cape…

 

Talking of dogs, the last three years has seen some truly dreadful behaviour by Diageo share price, moving from the 40 quid level down to below  20 pounds, giving the visual impression of being a complete dog of a share, one which felt incapable of flying. It has been a dreadful journey, placing the share in very real danger of returning to levels not seen since 2009. Perhaps it shall prove the case their recent results and optimistic outlook shall provide an arrest from the force which feels like it’s driving the price to the gutter.

To be real, there is a danger price movement below 1797p shall provoke reversals down to an initial 1492p, a potential fake bounce, but if 1492p is broken, our eventual “bottom” calculates at a ridiculous sounding 871p. Unfortunately, visually it isn’t ridiculous, imagination not requiring greatly stretched to accept the potential of such a vile low level for the price.

However, the release of results and subsequent 4.9% gain over the session, tends imply the market shall be quite happy for Diageo to escape from its cycle of doom. Should the share price continue to display some optimism, above 2072p has the potential of triggering gains in the direction of 2590 next with our secondary, if bettered, an amazing (and perhaps difficult) 3184p sometime in the future.

Our problem with this secondary level is it substantially exceeds a hypothetical 2727p, the level of the trend break of Red on the chart. In a scenario where Diageo Plc exceeds such a level, our conventional logic suggests happy days will be ahead for the share, the price theoretically absorbing a power to once again rejoin the Red uptrend. We suspect interesting times may be ahead for this price.

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:46:59PM	BRENT	6750									‘cess
10:50:38PM	GOLD	3380.11
11:23:11PM	FTSE	9147.7	9093	9065	9026	9128	9183	9215	9275	9142
10:59:54PM	STOX50	5245.9	5235	5228	5213	5255	5271	5288	5332	5235
11:27:26PM	GERMANY	23862									‘cess
11:31:42PM	US500	6296.5
11:34:23PM	DOW	44118
11:38:40PM	NASDAQ	22960
11:40:34PM	JAPAN	40511

 

5/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9142 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,696,529,731 a change of -2.04%

4/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9128 points. Change of 0.66%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,815,366,472 a change of 5.59%

1/08/2025 FTSE Closed at 9068 points. Change of -0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,507,518,764 a change of -29.16%

31/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9132 points. Change of -0.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,774,577,039 a change of 48.3%

30/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,242,351,161 a change of -7.33%

29/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9136 points. Change of 0.61%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,656,845,157 a change of 28.68%

28/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 9081 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,395,992,123 a change of -22.42%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:MRO Melrose** **

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Updated charts published on : BALFOUR BEATTY, Fresnillo, Melrose,

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY Close Mid-Price: 547.5 Percentage Change: -0.36% Day High: 553 Day Low: 545.5

Further movement against BALFOUR BEATTY ABOVE 553 should improve accelera ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 1520 Percentage Change: + 6.00% Day High: 1581 Day Low: 1483

Target met. In the event of Fresnillo enjoying further trades beyond 1581 ……..

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LSE:MRO Melrose. Close Mid-Price: 575 Percentage Change: + 4.89% Day High: 577.6 Day Low: 550.4

Target met. In the event of Melrose enjoying further trades beyond 577.6, ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares