Natwest (LSE:NWG) and the shoots of spring.

#Brent #Dax Attending a “garden party”  ensured we missed the Live action from the Imola Grand Prix. After sleeping off a Red Wine hangover, then watching the race highlights on YouTube at around 2am on Monday, there came three realisations. Firstly, for the first time in 2025, 9 minutes of YouTube highlights suggested watching the actual race in its entirety may be fun! . Secondly, we were wilfully ignoring the looming dreadful Monaco Grand Prix next weekend, a boring race we now avoid despite also enjoying the qualifying session on Saturday. And Third, a busy weekend ensured absolutely none of our work for Monday had been carried out! So, it’s now 4am on Monday morning and Natwest is being looked at, a vague hope inspiration shall make itself known as writing about a UK Retail Bank can prove slightly difficult.

However…

 

Our most recent analysis of Natwest, rather accurately, mapped the rise to 506p. From our perspective, things are starting to get quite interesting, thanks to an awful mistake back in 2009 which trapped a bunch of funds at around 57p. With share price 10:1 consolidation, we’re liable to become interested should the share manage to close above such a level. In the years since our 2009 mistake, we’ve taken rather a lot of time to understand how the stock market works and comprehend how we managed to turn the purchase of 1/4 million RBS shares at around 10p into what became a loss making position. We’ve a strong suspicion quite a lot of folk managed to trap themselves around the old world 57p and now are breathlessly awaiting the price reaching £5.70 so they can escape. From a personal viewpoint, having a substantial sum of money on an extended holiday for the last 16 years, we fully intend to turn the awful mistake into profit as our now 25,000 (or so) shares owe us a reasonable return. Hopefully.

The immediate situation for Natwest is – and please remember we’ve a vested interest and risk subconscious bias – now suggests movement above 507p shall provoke further price growth to an initial 513p with our secondary, if bettered, at a longer term 568p, maybe even 579p. There are already suggestions the 513p level shall provoke some hesitation which, from our viewpoint, now suggests this share price must close above 513p before we next dare adopt a position of optimism for the longer term.

Our reasoning behind this is fairly simple. Share price closure above 513p now kicks open the doors for a longer term 694p, a point at which we shall probably relinquish quite a few Natwest (aka RBS) shares and reflect on the old school saying, “Share dealing is a long term game, needing 7 years of patience…” We no longer believe such a fallacy. Except for the word “patience!”.

Anyway, it is now 6am, time for another nap. In our defence, the “garden party” was a lot of fun, our Golden Retriever stealing the show by ensuring she swam in all the ornamental pools. She eventually decided a shaded shallow pool was the ideal place to take a nap. It will probably be the first time, ever, when a private party in Argyll needed everyone wearing a wide brim hat, due to the absolutely brilliant 25c+ weather.

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
4:03:03AM BRENT 6493.6 6367 6213 6059 6506 6536 6574 6658 6473
4:05:56AM GOLD 3205.49
4:08:41AM FTSE 8672.1
4:11:44AM STOX50 5412.3
4:13:41AM GERMANY 23747 23335 23122 22868 23500 23893 23905 24095 23707
4:15:36AM US500 5903.8
4:17:42AM DOW 42366.3
4:20:26AM NASDAQ 21163
4:23:56AM JAPAN 37575

 

16/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8684 points. Change of 0.59%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,886,977,578 a change of 4.8%
15/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8633 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,571,274,924 a change of 9.38%
14/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8585 points. Change of -0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,007,730,039 a change of 12.14%
13/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8602 points. Change of -0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,357,315,867 a change of -14.15%
12/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8604 points. Change of 0.58%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,240,262,967 a change of 23.36%
9/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8554 points. Change of 0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,058,383,075 a change of -23.7%
8/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8531 points. Change of -0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,629,623,125 a change of 7.19%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:DLG Direct Line Group** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

********

Updated charts published on : Barclays, Carnival, Direct Line Group, British Airways, IG Group, Natwest, Rolls Royce,


LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 325.5 Percentage Change: + 0.99% Day High: 326.4 Day Low: 322.55

All Barclays needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 326.4 to improve accelerati ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1583.5 Percentage Change: + 1.87% Day High: 1592.5 Day Low: 1560.5

Continued trades against CCL with a mid-price ABOVE 1592.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:DLG Direct Line Group. Close Mid-Price: 292.8 Percentage Change: + 0.14% Day High: 295.8 Day Low: 291.6

Further movement against Direct Line Group ABOVE 295.8 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 323.1 Percentage Change: + 0.62% Day High: 328.3 Day Low: 320.8

All British Airways needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 328.3 to improve ac ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 1115 Percentage Change: + 1.73% Day High: 1114 Day Low: 1101

Further movement against IG Group ABOVE 1114 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 505.8 Percentage Change: + 1.55% Day High: 506.6 Day Low: 497.8

All Natwest needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 506.6 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 809.6 Percentage Change: -0.78% Day High: 821.2 Day Low: 806.8

Target met. Further movement against Rolls Royce ABOVE 822p should improv ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX) – already. A really fast week.

As we head into a weekend filled with promise, it’s only right the FTSE is showing increasing signs of being about to do something useful. With the Imola Grand Prix on Sunday, conflicting with an invite to a posh Garden Party, and also a drunken Eurovision on Saturday evening, we’re spoiled for choice. Amusingly, chatting (aka boasting) to my brother about the Garden Party, he decided to mention in passing he’s considering an invite from The King to attend a similar type of event! No matter what or when, he has always managed to go one better… usually without trying. On this occasion, it’s not quite as clear cut, my brother knowing the only time I would respect the King would be the day he was driving the fortnightly rubbish lorry, finally doing something useful for the country.

Unfortunately, our childhood was marred by stories from our mother and her sisters, reminiscing of the days when the Queen Mother used to babysit them in Kirriemuir, the girl happy to cycle up the hill from Glamis Castle to escape her royal life at every opportunity to “babysit”. Interestingly, innocent tales of our Mum’s childhood substantially diminished any respect for royalty, describing a family which would take any excuse to escape from their life. Our own family wasn’t much better, giving “Thrums” to the national trust, almost as if keen to escape any relationship to Barrie, the Peter Pan author. To be honest, the “Window in Thrums” wasn’t very exciting as sitting on the stairs, looking out the window at the chaotic junction on Kirriemuir high street was generally pretty boring, unless a motorcycle attempted to take the hard left turn on the cobbles. From a personal perspective, time spent in that claustrophobic house as a child, generally favoured the bedroom at the top of the stairs, where a book could be read in peace.  And awaiting my grandmother making her ‘tablet’ – a Scottish type of fudge but better – always made the visit worthwhile as it was generally used to tempt me out of the bedroom and away from whatever book was being devoured.

 

As for the FTSE, if we choose to reminisce about the future, some optimism is the order of the day. Apparently, above just 8635 points risks promoting the concept of a FTSE gain to an initial tame 8656 points, a fairly tepid ambition but the sort of thing possible in the market opening second. Our secondary, should 8656 be exceeded, works out at 8700 points and the prospect of a garden party with added fireworks. All kidding around, such a secondary would be significant, dumping the index into a sone where a future 8656 becomes regarded as exerting magnetic attraction.

Our eonverse scenario, if things intend go wrong, proposes weakness now below 8500 points risking trouble, suggesting the potential of a dive down to an initial 8347 points, perhaps ever our secondary at 8178 if the initial target breaks. Visually, nothing suggests any such potential.

But then again, nothing suggests Louis Hamilton will win at Imola or “Remember Monday” will win Eurovision. Or even if I shall get to play “Garden Party” by Rick Nelson at the garden party, a tune when he hated the memory of his old days as Ricky Nelson, playing at Madison Square Garden in New York. Amazingly, I’ve a personal anecdote of playing guitar with someone really famous, completely unbelievable as I was really drunk at the time. Except a couple of days ago, a photograph surfaced of me, my 12 string guitar, and the really famous person, performing at 4am on New Years Day in our local pub. It was a bit like performing with the Rolling Stones, only with Keith Richard furiously  hissing chord changes after each verse. My wife describes it as the only time she’s seen someone play “The Clarinet Bit” on an acoustic guitar.

Have a good weekend.

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:04:38PM BRENT 6446.8 6323 6209 6418 6470 6509 6422
11:08:02PM GOLD 3241.48 3165 3117 3195 3244 3289 3206 ‘cess
11:10:35PM FTSE 8640.7 8534 8489 8572 8651 8672 8612 ‘cess
11:12:56PM STOX50 5415.9 5360 5338 5390 5420 5441 5385
11:15:55PM GERMANY 23718 23330 23103 23492 23734 23828 23633 Shambles
11:19:48PM US500 5916.9 5845 5813 5882 5923 5929 5898 Success
11:22:38PM DOW 42338.7 41757 41652 41919 42368 42414 42195 Success
11:25:06PM NASDAQ 21311 21109 20971 21255 21446 21490 21287 Shambles
11:27:39PM JAPAN 37755 37571 37114 37746 37844 37939 37691

 

15/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8633 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,571,274,924 a change of 9.38%
14/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8585 points. Change of -0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,007,730,039 a change of 12.14%
13/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8602 points. Change of -0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,357,315,867 a change of -14.15%
12/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8604 points. Change of 0.58%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,240,262,967 a change of 23.36%
9/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8554 points. Change of 0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,058,383,075 a change of -23.7%
8/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8531 points. Change of -0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,629,623,125 a change of 7.19%
7/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8559 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,184,880,879 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:SRP Serco** **

********

Updated charts published on : Barclays, British Airways, Lloyds Grp., Natwest, Serco,


LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 322.3 Percentage Change: + 0.62% Day High: 324.55 Day Low: 319.1

Continued trades against BARC with a mid-price ABOVE 324.55 should improv ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 321.1 Percentage Change: + 1.52% Day High: 326.1 Day Low: 315.6

Further movement against British Airways ABOVE 326.1 should improve acce ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp. Close Mid-Price: 74.78 Percentage Change: -0.21% Day High: 75.04 Day Low: 74.32

Target met. Continued trades against LLOY with a mid-price ABOVE 75.04 sh ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 498.1 Percentage Change: + 1.03% Day High: 500.8 Day Low: 492

In the event of Natwest enjoying further trades beyond 500.8, the share s ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco. Close Mid-Price: 180.4 Percentage Change: + 3.09% Day High: 188.1 Day Low: 175

Target met. Further movement against Serco ABOVE 188.1 should improve acc ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Wickes Group Plc (LSE:WIX) and the John Wicks effect…

#FTSE #Nasdaq Rather than do anything crude, such as trying to weave the simultaneously addictive and ridiculous John Wicks movie franchise into a report on Wickes DIY group, we decided a group of bullet holes on a chart would suffice!  But Wickes Group share price has exceeded our expectations from our previous analysis 6 months ago, giving some considerable potentials for the future. Perhaps the market shall also realise the spell of good weather has enabled gullible and ambitious DIY projects, all of which will feel like they are going on forever.

 

Wickes Group share price is slightly fascinating. When we previously reviewed them, we’d commented on the potential of movement to just above the 200p level. It transpires the number we were talking about was just 203p, the share value being gapped and accelerated above this level just at the start of this week. This has created an interesting potential from a Big Picture viewpoint.

It is now the case where price growth above 218p calculates as capable of recovery to an initial 236p with our secondary, if bettered, at 248p. Overall, it feels like closure above 236p shall emplace the share in a zone where a long term ambition at 292p works out as possible.

Something fairly strange has certainly happened, optimism suggesting a return to the highs of 2021. However, if everything intends go horribly wrong, below 181p will suggest real panic, almost like buying something with a “Black & Decker” brand name from B&Q, products which rarely last the length of a project.

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:04:27PM BRENT 6561
11:07:23PM GOLD 3181.9 Success
11:10:09PM FTSE 8552.2 8552 8515 8476 8580 8618 8636 8664 8588
11:13:28PM STOX50 5388.7
11:37:29PM GERMANY 23446.2
11:42:29PM US500 5873.8
11:46:19PM DOW 41840.2 ‘cess
11:49:55PM NASDAQ 21284 21155 21080 20994 21234 21339 21513 21678 21115 ‘cess
11:53:30PM JAPAN 37692 37573 37111 36563 37805 38470 38820 39192 38146

 

14/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8585 points. Change of -0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,007,730,039 a change of 12.14%
13/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8602 points. Change of -0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,357,315,867 a change of -14.15%
12/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8604 points. Change of 0.58%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,240,262,967 a change of 23.36%
9/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8554 points. Change of 0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,058,383,075 a change of -23.7%
8/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8531 points. Change of -0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,629,623,125 a change of 7.19%
7/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8559 points. Change of -0.44%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,184,880,879 a change of -26.44%
6/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8597 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,408,484,363 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AAL Anglo American** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:DLG Direct Line Group** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **

********

Updated charts published on : Anglo American, Carnival, Direct Line Group, British Airways, Lloyds Grp.,


LSE:AAL Anglo American Close Mid-Price: 2200.5 Percentage Change: -1.65% Day High: 2247.5 Day Low: 2185

All Anglo American needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 2247.5 to improve acc ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1575.5 Percentage Change: + 2.84% Day High: 1579 Day Low: 1528

Target met. All Carnival needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1579 to improve ……..

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LSE:DLG Direct Line Group Close Mid-Price: 287.4 Percentage Change: -0.55% Day High: 291.8 Day Low: 285

Thanks to the person who nominated this addition. Direct Line appear to be ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways Close Mid-Price: 316.3 Percentage Change: -1.98% Day High: 325.8 Day Low: 314

Continued trades against IAG with a mid-price ABOVE 325.8 should improve ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.. Close Mid-Price: 74.94 Percentage Change: + 2.10% Day High: 74.8 Day Low: 73.52

All Lloyds Grp. needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 74.8 to improve accelera ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Easyjet Plc (LSE:EZJ) ascending to a new level?

#FTSE #Stoxx  We were intending to be enthusiastic about Easyjet but the horror story of their “Eurovision” theme flight to Basel, carrying a bunch of what were described as Eurovision Superfans, to view the contest. The resultant PR photographs featured a bunch of strangely dressed men, all smiling with a hint of vacant insanity, making any viewer question just how they made it through passport control, leaving a trail of glitter behind them. Perhaps Easyjet could perform a public service for the UK, opting to leave them in Switzerland regardless of the contest results. And we hope the group Remember Monday don’t foul up as they’re not bad!

 

Easyjet, due to release some financial results on the 22nd of this month, currently feature a share price which features the start of an insane grin to match their Eurovision passengers. There has been a downtrend since this time in 2021 which the share price has now broken through, presumably the market showing signs of happy days ahead. As the close up from the chart below exhibits, the share price has moved into potentially happy territory and we suspect the share may be facing a flurry of positive movements, anticipating some optimistic numbers being released.

The immediate situation gives some hope as movement above 544p should trigger a lift to an initial 564 with our secondary, if bettered, a more encouraging 608p as this would represent a “higher high”, an encouraging place for a share price to find itself prior to some Financials being released. In such a scenario, we shall be forced to regard a longer term 656p as presenting the ruling attraction.

 

Should the share price intend head toward the usual British “Null Points” destination, the share price needs descend below 495p to give the first inclination of things going terribly wrong. But it must always be remembered the UK Jury awarded Abba “Null Points” back in the day, so the UK stock market may opt to play a little game with the share price prior to any upward breakout continuing…

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:20:00PM BRENT 6634.9
11:22:14PM GOLD 3253.67
11:24:02PM FTSE 8589.1 8554 8525 8492 8592 8624 8641 8670 8597
11:26:34PM STOX50 5401.4 5361 5345 5319 5385 5423 5440 5466 5400
11:29:39PM GERMANY 23595.6
11:32:23PM US500 5884.5
11:34:55PM DOW 42167
11:38:17PM NASDAQ 21191.6 ‘cess
11:40:58PM JAPAN 38308

 

13/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8602 points. Change of -0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,357,315,867 a change of -14.15%
12/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8604 points. Change of 0.58%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,240,262,967 a change of 23.36%
9/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8554 points. Change of 0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,058,383,075 a change of -23.7%
8/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8531 points. Change of -0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,629,623,125 a change of 7.19%
7/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8559 points. Change of -0.44%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,184,880,879 a change of -26.44%
6/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8597 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,408,484,363 a change of 30.09%
2/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8596 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,463,449,781 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AAL Anglo American** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **

********

Updated charts published on : Anglo American, Carnival, Experian, Firstgroup, British Airways, Rockhopper, Standard Chartered,


LSE:AAL Anglo American. Close Mid-Price: 2237.5 Percentage Change: + 3.49% Day High: 2242 Day Low: 2155.5

Further movement against Anglo American ABOVE 2242 should improve acceler ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1532 Percentage Change: + 1.46% Day High: 1535 Day Low: 1499

In the event of Carnival enjoying further trades beyond 1535, the share s ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3982 Percentage Change: + 2.15% Day High: 3992 Day Low: 3875

Target met. Further movement against Experian ABOVE 3992 should improve a ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 184 Percentage Change: + 0.16% Day High: 192.4 Day Low: 183.1

Continued trades against FGP with a mid-price ABOVE 192.4 should improve ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 322.7 Percentage Change: + 3.53% Day High: 322.5 Day Low: 313.5

Target met. In the event of British Airways enjoying further trades beyo ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 55.2 Percentage Change: + 2.60% Day High: 56 Day Low: 53.6

In the event of Rockhopper enjoying further trades beyond 56, the share s ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered Close Mid-Price: 1155.5 Percentage Change: -1.24% Day High: 1174 Day Low: 1152

All Standard Chartered needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1174 to improve a ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Carnival Plc (LSE:CCL) looking like celebrating!

#Gold #WallSt  With the Eurovision Song Contest coming on this Saturday, our annual drinking game with friends is being cheerfully anticipated. For years, the four of us gather, eat Chinese takeaway, drink absurd quantities of wine, and ridicule the acts. This year, there’s a problem specifically with the UK entry. The group Remember Monday, comprising three girls, have been paying their dues in the entertainment industry for years and it was a real surprise to hear the UK had chosen actual talent to represent the country. Ages ago, they covered the Queen track, “Fat Bottomed Girls”, producing a standout version of the tune. Apparently even Queens Brian May complemented them on their effort, the version on YouTube gaining over 5 million views. It’s going to be the first time watching Eurovision, where a guilty secret will be to hope the UK’s Remember Monday actually does quite well!

It certainly won’t deter from our ridicule of the rest of the show, this year fuelled by my own home made Rioja wine, a brew which has matured into an amazing success.

 

Carnival Plc already have started their 2025 schedule, visiting our local cruise ship terminal, a few miles across the sea estuary at a port called Greenock. It’s extremely difficult to express any enthusiasm or attraction for cruise ships visiting Greenock, the town being a bit of a dump. It’s a bit like trying to promote Milton Keynes as a summer holiday destination and by any standard, Milton Keynes outshines Greenock. Regardless, the big white cruise liners appear every week, disgorging passengers who immediately jump on a train to Glasgow, ignoring the place their ship docked. It’s almost funny, the town called Greenock being treated as an inconvenient blob by cruise passengers as it echoes our own sentiment, the 20 minute delay created by Greenock as we head to our own ferry terminal to return to Argyll. But this year, it certainly looks like Carnival are ramping up their schedule of visits to the port of Greenock.

From a near term perspective, a share price above 1527p looks like triggering a confident visit to 1695p with our “longer term” secondary calculating at a future 1899p. along with a challenge of the downtrend since 2017. For things to go horribly wrong, the share price needs drop below 1100p as this threatens the Red uptrend, risking dire results by entering a zone capable of producing a reversal cycle to 313p.

Critically, it appears closure above 1899 shall be important for the longer term, placing the share in a zone with a long term attraction coming from 4257p, a destination substantially more attractive than Greenock…

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:16:59PM BRENT 6483.2 ‘cess
11:20:57PM GOLD 3235.24 3208 3175 3146 3250 3292 3314 3350 3260 ‘cess
11:26:20PM FTSE 8623 Success
11:28:46PM STOX50 5407.4 ‘cess
11:34:11PM GERMANY 23637 ‘cess
11:37:17PM US500 5841.2 Shambles
11:43:14PM DOW 42392 41672 41313 40926 41837 42474 42661 44391 42113 Success
11:46:32PM NASDAQ 20838 Success
11:50:21PM JAPAN 38683

 

12/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8604 points. Change of 0.58%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,240,262,967 a change of 23.36%
9/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8554 points. Change of 0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,058,383,075 a change of -23.7%
8/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8531 points. Change of -0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,629,623,125 a change of 7.19%
7/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8559 points. Change of -0.44%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,184,880,879 a change of -26.44%
6/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8597 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,408,484,363 a change of 30.09%
2/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8596 points. Change of 1.18%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,463,449,781 a change of 59.81%
1/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8496 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,044,371,616 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AAL Anglo American** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:IQE IQE** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **

********

Updated charts published on : Anglo American, Aviva, Barclays, Carclo, Carnival, British Airways, IG Group, IQE, Marks and Spencer, Rockhopper, Standard Chartered,


LSE:AAL Anglo American. Close Mid-Price: 2162 Percentage Change: + 5.54% Day High: 2212.5 Day Low: 2132

In the event of Anglo American enjoying further trades beyond 2212.5, the ……..

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LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 576.4 Percentage Change: -1.20% Day High: 592.6 Day Low: 568.2

Continued trades against AV. with a mid-price ABOVE 592.6 should improve ……..

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LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 313.3 Percentage Change: + 2.05% Day High: 320.4 Day Low: 310.9

Target met. In the event of Barclays enjoying further trades beyond 320.4 ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo. Close Mid-Price: 39 Percentage Change: + 5.41% Day High: 39 Day Low: 37

All Carclo needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 39 to improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1510 Percentage Change: + 9.38% Day High: 1527 Day Low: 1399.5

Target met. Further movement against Carnival ABOVE 1527 should improve a ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 311.7 Percentage Change: + 4.88% Day High: 316 Day Low: 302.1

Target met. All British Airways needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 316 to ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 1071 Percentage Change: -1.65% Day High: 1112 Day Low: 1066

In the event of IG Group enjoying further trades beyond 1112, the share s ……..

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LSE:IQE IQE Close Mid-Price: 9.17 Percentage Change: -2.13% Day High: 9.73 Day Low: 8.92

In the event IQE experiences weakness below 8.92 it calculates with a dro ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 346.1 Percentage Change: -3.32% Day High: 359.6 Day Low: 342.8

If Marks and Spencer experiences continued weakness below 342.8, it will ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 53.8 Percentage Change: + 3.86% Day High: 55 Day Low: 52.6

Target met. Continued trades against RKH with a mid-price ABOVE 55 should ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered. Close Mid-Price: 1170 Percentage Change: + 9.60% Day High: 1160.5 Day Low: 1087.5

Target met. Continued trades against STAN with a mid-price ABOVE 1160.5 s ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Barclays Plc (LSE:BARC) looking happy???

#Brent #SP500  Somehow or other, we’ve managed to duck reporting on Barclays for 5 weeks. In the intervening period, the bank has essentially done nothing aside from a dramatic drop down to the 223p level. This share price reversal to (and below) our projected 256p was certainly brief and dramatic and now, the market appears to be trying to convince everyone a closing price 241p was a real bottom. There’s certainly something exceedingly strange going on with Barclays share price, as can be seen from the two charts below, one showing candles which express the range of each days movements, the other showing closing prices.

At a glance, it appears the market has declared a closing price of 223p on this, something which is completely invisible when just viewing candles in an attempt to understand price movements. This is why we often bang on about how important it can be to review the point at which a share price closed a session and in the case of Barclays, it makes incredible visual sense. Of equal importance are the daily highs within the period, confirming quite brutally there’s a tend line (Blue) which the market is carefully avoiding. :Logically, we feel it safe to assume any closure above Blue (ideally 309p) shall present an image where we can dare assume Barclays share price is heading upward properly.

If choosing to play safe and embrace sanity, above the previous High which defined the Blue downtrend will be intraday movement above 316p which, by our standards, defines a Higher High and makes a Long Position a viable option. Obviously, this is still playing a little dangerous as we’re suggesting a scenario which allows for safer intraday trading. In the case of Barclays, above 316p now calculates with an initial target of 366p with our secondary, if beaten, working out at a more useful 408p. Essentially, closure above 309p should enter a cycle where a longer term 500p becomes the ruling attraction for the share.

Obviously, for a retail bank, such an ambition is quite an attractive proposition!

If things intend go wrong, below 284p risks becoming troublesome, introducing a scenario which gives the potential of reversals to an initial 268p with our secondary, if broken, at 244p and hopefully a rebound. Surprisingly, in this instance, we can present a third level drop target if 244p breaks at 206p and a potential bottom. Amazingly, this rather neatly matches the lows of mid-2024, presenting a perfect point for a bounce in the future. At present, absolutely nothing suggests this reversal cycle as it’s only a potential…

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
9:54:56PM BRENT 6382 6076 5930 5768 6202 6423 6547 6780 6303
11:40:28PM GOLD 3276.49 3322
11:10:28PM FTSE 8569 8550
11:13:36PM STOX50 5351.5 5315
11:22:50PM GERMANY 23715.4 23483
11:25:24PM US500 5728.7 5644 5601 5552 5676 5750 5880 6241 5640
11:27:11PM DOW 41687.4 41487
11:29:24PM NASDAQ 20410.5 20163
11:31:55PM JAPAN 37809 37221

 

9/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8554 points. Change of 0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,058,383,075 a change of -23.7%
8/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8531 points. Change of -0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,629,623,125 a change of 7.19%
7/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8559 points. Change of -0.44%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,184,880,879 a change of -26.44%
6/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8597 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,408,484,363 a change of 30.09%
2/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8596 points. Change of 1.18%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,463,449,781 a change of 59.81%
1/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8496 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,044,371,616 a change of -59.2%
30/04/2025 FTSE Closed at 8494 points. Change of 0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 9,912,933,347 a change of 92.29%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Carclo, Carnival, British Airways, Rockhopper,


LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 583.4 Percentage Change: + 0.69% Day High: 586.2 Day Low: 578.2

All Aviva needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 586.2 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo. Close Mid-Price: 37 Percentage Change: + 2.64% Day High: 36.9 Day Low: 36.9

Further movement against Carclo ABOVE 36.9 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival Close Mid-Price: 1380.5 Percentage Change: -0.75% Day High: 1404.5 Day Low: 1365

Continued trades against CCL with a mid-price ABOVE 1404.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 297.2 Percentage Change: + 2.38% Day High: 300.2 Day Low: 284.9

Further movement against British Airways ABOVE 300.2 should improve acce ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 51.8 Percentage Change: + 1.97% Day High: 53.4 Day Low: 50.2

Further movement against Rockhopper ABOVE 53.4 should improve acceleratio ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Our very popular FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX)

#FTSE #Gold Thursday was something of a disappointment, the market expected to show some growth following a ‘surprise’ interest rate cut. Unfortunately, the reality seems to be a case we experienced one of these ‘buy on the rumour, sell on the news’ sessions which are always a bit irritating. We were privately hoping for an interest rate cut in excess of that given, due to our “bottom” target for interest rates being 3.75% and a suspicion the BoE may accelerate travel to our target level, especially as the UK economy continues to suffer from the failed notion interest rates control inflation and aid the country.

The stock market has behaved recently in a fashion reminiscent of someone having pressed the pause button, quite a few fits and starts stifled before anything interesting comes to fruition. Maybe the election of a new Pope shall be given as the driving force for market changes. Out of curiosity, we looked at what happens to the markets on election of a new Pope, the answer appearing to be traders are not particularly religious, there being no movements which suggest one event was linked with any other. In other words, we’re not anticipated the market reacting to the new American Pope who apparently does not speak English despite being the Cardinal from Chicago, famously the home of ‘toast & cheese’ which was marketed as pizza!

 

It can be safely assumed we regard the election as a new Pontiff with equal awe to that deserved by a new mayor of Preston…

 

As for the FTSE, it is actually in an interesting position from a near term perspective as above 8576 points looks capable of triggering movement to an initial 8632 points. If bettered, our secondary calculates at 8694 points, quite a big deal as it opens the door for strong market movement in the medium term, almost to the 8900 point level. We harbour a suspicion “they” are trying to dampen down such a potential as it should all happen quite fast, if we rely on our usual logic.

If things intend go wrong, below 8500 now looks dangerous as it opens the door toward an initial 8426 points with our secondary, if broken, calculating down at 8300 points and a reasonable chance of a rebound.

 

It is a Formula One devoid weekend, so enjoy cutting the grass as the weather looks good. Perhaps visit a farm shop but at all costs, avoid chain store Garden Centres as they sell junk, not designed for local areas but instead, simply trying to export any local profit to a corporate body! A recent visit to a local B&Q almost had us buying tomato plants designed not to grow in a Scottish climate where the sun is a stranger! Sometimes Google can be a friend.

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:05:50PM BRENT 6303 6080 6021 6165 6330 6356 6268
11:08:45PM GOLD 3310.96 3289 3276 3329 3416 3468 3364 Success
11:31:34PM FTSE 8556.7 8511 8474 8574 8622 8648 8586
11:35:46PM STOX50 5282 5257 5235 5282 5319 5330 5295 ‘cess
11:38:42PM GERMANY 23381.8 23219 23186 23268 23452 23487 23380 ‘cess
11:41:57PM US500 5665 5633 5602 5674 5721 5742 5691 ‘cess
11:45:05PM DOW 41365 41163 40946 41392 41780 42384 41337 Success
11:48:39PM NASDAQ 20080.9 19900 19775 20053 20252 20290 20146 Success
11:51:24PM JAPAN 37329 36624 36378 36903 37566 37599 37259 Success

 

8/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8531 points. Change of -0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,629,623,125 a change of 7.19%
7/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8559 points. Change of -0.44%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,184,880,879 a change of -26.44%
6/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8597 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,408,484,363 a change of 30.09%
2/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8596 points. Change of 1.18%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,463,449,781 a change of 59.81%
1/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8496 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,044,371,616 a change of -59.2%
30/04/2025 FTSE Closed at 8494 points. Change of 0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 9,912,933,347 a change of 92.29%
29/04/2025 FTSE Closed at 8463 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,155,137,835 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, BALFOUR BEATTY, Experian, British Airways, IG Group,


LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 579.4 Percentage Change: -0.38% Day High: 585.2 Day Low: 579.4

Target met. In the event of Aviva enjoying further trades beyond 585.2, t ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 486.4 Percentage Change: + 2.10% Day High: 502.5 Day Low: 480

Target met. In the event of BALFOUR BEATTY enjoying further trades beyond ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 3839 Percentage Change: + 0.44% Day High: 3918 Day Low: 3836

Target met. In the event of Experian enjoying further trades beyond 3918, ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 290.3 Percentage Change: + 2.11% Day High: 289.5 Day Low: 283.4

Continued trades against IAG with a mid-price ABOVE 289.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 1100 Percentage Change: -0.09% Day High: 1111 Day Low: 1096

Continued trades against IGG with a mid-price ABOVE 1111 should improve t ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares