Natwest Group (LSE:NWG) OPTIMISM and Trading around 584p at time of writing

#Brent #US500 We’ve been having a little trauma recently, discovering producing a YouTube video is a little harder than it seems. The impression given, of it all being natural and easy, turns out to be utter tripe, every single grey hair revealed to the camera, errant nostril hairs committing major crimes, and don’t even count the chins. Then a change was made, switching to our Nikon camera for its fabulous video facility, one which revealed each and every bit of clutter on the desk…

This was all before self criticism of our presentation – which was rubbish, due to the audio quality being vile. And so, we ended up creating a video track, along with a separate audio track for a useful video. The only remaining problem was the small fat ugly bloke doing the production, managing to come across as nervous and unable to read the text on screen in front of him. And so, the decision was made to allow “ad lib” which gave us the potential of using our headline feature as a guideline, rather than a strict script for a video. Eventually, we spent three days knocking together a visual presentation of our daily 730 word report, a video which lasted just 20 minutes.

Three days for a 20 minute video was a shock.  It transpires, our own guilty fanboy culture of watching Megan Kelly’s daily output is only assuaged by the fact she has a 7 person production team, along with a professional studio, lighting, and of course hair and makeup. And the bloke doing “The Why Files” has a 10 person production team. But unfortunately, the insane Dutch girl doing the “Itchy Boots” motorcycle adventures does it all herself, accepting she will spend three days editing her videos and uploading them to YouTube. She has just completed a solo  bike ride through Afghanistan, a bit concerned about the Taliban but otherwise amazed at the country and people. Her level of dedication is shown by her overhead drone shots while she’s travelling, having learned to control her drone while riding a motorcycle.

 

It looks like our spare time shall be spent usefully, continuing to make wine rather than attempt to produce YouTube videos. Plus, it’s more fun when we also define a problem area with a share price and witness the entire market make an effort to jump above the issue. From our perspective, this is harder than flying a drone from a bike.

When we previously reviewed Natwest Group, we’d a grouch above the 551p level and the salient detail the banks share price had failed to close above this target. We don’t actually pluck these numbers out of thin air, instead providing such target levels when they are calculated by 2 or more of our formula. Thus, our demand the share price close a session above 551p wasn’t just a fit of pique but instead, something which had been carefully calculated.

The market has chosen an unusual (for the UK) method of bypassing a problem area. In the USA, it’s more common than folk would believe for the markets to chose to Gap something UP or DOWN, when a price stumbles across a level such as 551p represented for Natwest.  As the extract from the chart below highlights, the UK market opted to solved the issue by simply gapping the share price above the zone of difficulty. When this occurs in the USA, a share price has been deemed worthy of great things, usually commencing a cycle upward which, while it may experience hesitation at some altitudes, the overall force remains upward. Unless, of course, something causes the market to gap the share price downward. Invariably, this is a really bad thing, one of the worst market signals being the GaGa – Gap Up, Gap Down – where events rarely end well for a share price.

For now, we’re optimistic about NatWest, movement above 589p expected to trigger further price recovery to 595 with our secondary, if bettered, now calculating at  627p, Overall, it is now possible to believe a future 778p is exerting an influence on this share price, a level where it almost must plateau.

In the event things intend go wrong, below 550 would now present an issue, calculating with the threat of reversal to an initial 504 with our secondary, if beaten, at 475p and a hopeful rebound.

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
9:24:21PM BRENT 6460.2 6334 6288 6214 6427 6487 6514 6574 6416
11:05:04PM GOLD 4002.03
11:09:17PM FTSE 9740.6
11:11:46PM STOX50 5667.8
11:13:39PM GERMANY 24000.1
11:15:57PM US500 6859.6 6814 6809 6772 6848 6889 6909 6941 6861
11:21:33PM DOW 47681.8
11:25:03PM NASDAQ 25936.7
11:44:00PM JAPAN 52454

 

1/10/2025 FTSE Closed at 9717 points. Change of -0.44%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,102,481,430 a change of -19.1%
30/10/2025 FTSE Closed at 9760 points. Change of 0.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,306,885,149 a change of 3.02%
29/10/2025 FTSE Closed at 9756 points. Change of 0.62%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,121,713,518 a change of 7.72%
28/10/2025 FTSE Closed at 9696 points. Change of 0.45%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,683,126,613 a change of 7.14%
27/10/2025 FTSE Closed at 9653 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,304,536,727 a change of 2.03%
24/10/2025 FTSE Closed at 9645 points. Change of 0.7%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,198,860,657 a change of 1.36%
23/10/2025 FTSE Closed at 9578 points. Change of 0.66%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,128,914,273 a change of -30.05%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:BME B & M** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:SRP Serco** **LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital** **

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Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, B & M, British Airways, Ocado Plc, Serco, Zoo Digital,


LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 8.5 Percentage Change: -3.63% Day High: 8.71 Day Low: 8.5

In the event AFC Energy experiences weakness below 8.5 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:BME B & M Close Mid-Price: 179.65 Percentage Change: -1.29% Day High: 183.35 Day Low: 178.45

If B & M experiences continued weakness below 178.45, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 417.9 Percentage Change: + 0.82% Day High: 419.3 Day Low: 412.7

Target met. Continued trades against IAG with a mid-price ABOVE 419.3 sho ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 219.1 Percentage Change: -0.41% Day High: 220.7 Day Low: 215.4

Weakness on Ocado Plc below 215.4 will invariably lead to 155p with secon ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco Close Mid-Price: 253.8 Percentage Change: -0.16% Day High: 260.2 Day Low: 253

All Serco needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 260.2 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:ZOO Zoo Digital Close Mid-Price: 10.62 Percentage Change: -4.49% Day High: 11.12 Day Low: 10.55

If Zoo Digital experiences continued weakness below 10.55, it will invari ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

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