#Gold #SP500 The contrived crash of March 20th 2020 certainly serves to provide a useful starting point to examine how the three retail banks have performed in the period since. To our utter amazement, NatWest (LSE:NWG) has outperformed the other retail banks, even achieving a high of 537p fairly recently, coming close to something we shall regard as a major trigger level at 570p. Above this point, we shall even consider using the word “strength” in conversations about the retail banks. This is fairly radical as historically we’ve cheerfully referred to the Banking Sector as the “Clown Sector”.
But as the chart below shows, Natwest has effectively gone up 5 fold since its 100p low in 2020, whereas Barclays has “only” achieved a 3 fold gain from its 100p low in 2020, effectively matching the behaviour of its stable mate Lloyds who moved from 25p to 75p. Unfortunately, the scaling of the chart fails to convey the massive difference, other than highlight NatWest is in the lead.
Barclays are certainly giving sufficient reason for some puzzlement over its relatively lethargic behaviour but the share price now needs to close a session below 310p to force us to stir the tea leaves again and revisit our future target levels. The immediate situation suggests the potential for moves above 346p to hopefully trigger an uphill wander in the direction of 370p next with our secondary, if bettered, now at 395p. This secondary is a big deal, capable of allowing this share price to actually close a session above 386p, a visually important trigger level.
From our perspective, even with such a dangerous sector as the Banks, closure above 386p shall present something about as close as possible to a trade becoming “safe”, certainly as far as a long term target of 513p, a potential profit of a reasonable 32%. It’s certainly unusual and uncomfortable taking such a stance as we’re traditionally guilty of a surfeit of caution!
For things to go wrong with Barclays, their share price now needs dip below 310p to give rise to worry, such a movement calculating with the potential of a drip down to an initial 291p. Our longer term secondary, should such a level break, works out at 248p, a target which sounds absurd but somehow also matches the mid-term Red uptrend, giving hope for a bounce if such a target makes an appearance.
For now, our inclination is to lean toward optimism for the longer term. But if you walk passed a vendor selling lucky charms, it’ll not do any harm to buy one…
FUTURES
FUTURES
| Time Issued | Market | Price At Issue | Short Entry | Fast Exit | Slow Exit | Stop | Long Entry | Fast Exit | Slow Exit | Stop |
| 1:09:13AM | BRENT | 7025 | ||||||||
| 1:11:27AM | GOLD | 3355.3 | 3308 | 3283 | 3254 | 3331 | 3370 | 3375 | 3406 | 3348 |
| 1:14:51AM | FTSE | 8944.6 | ||||||||
| 1:16:57AM | STOX50 | 5380.2 | ||||||||
| 1:21:09AM | GERMANY | 24220 | ||||||||
| 1:25:47AM | US500 | 6251.4 | 6241 | 6236 | 6218 | 6270 | 6270 | 6283 | 6300 | 6247 |
| 1:32:37AM | DOW | 44312.5 | ||||||||
| 2:08:37AM | NASDAQ | 22755.5 |
11/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 8941 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,493,815,888 a change of -13.23%
10/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 8975 points. Change of 1.22%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,178,779,712 a change of 11.73%
9/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 8867 points. Change of 0.15%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,635,239,933 a change of -8.59%
8/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 8854 points. Change of 0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,070,905,643 a change of 38.98%
7/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 8806 points. Change of -0.18%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,648,651,423 a change of 20.16%
4/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 8822 points. Change of -0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,036,552,845 a change of -37.43%
3/07/2025 FTSE Closed at 8823 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,853,262,556 a change of -31.49% 
SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.
Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION
Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.
UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.
We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…
Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares
Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **
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Updated charts published on : Barclays, Capita, British Airways, Marks and Spencer,
LSE:BARC Barclays Close Mid-Price: 340 Percentage Change: -1.06% Day High: 345.4 Day Low: 337.65
Further movement against Barclays ABOVE 345.4 should improve acceleration ……..
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View Previous Barclays & Big Picture ***
LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 347.5 Percentage Change: -1.28% Day High: 355 Day Low: 341.5
Target met. Further movement against Capita ABOVE 355 should improve acce ……..
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View Previous Capita & Big Picture ***
LSE:IAG British Airways Close Mid-Price: 369.3 Percentage Change: -0.16% Day High: 374.7 Day Low: 367.4
All British Airways needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 374.7 to improve ac ……..
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View Previous British Airways & Big Picture ***
LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer Close Mid-Price: 327.8 Percentage Change: -1.09% Day High: 334.8 Day Low: 326.3
If Marks and Spencer experiences continued weakness below 326.3, it will ……..
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View Previous Marks and Spencer & Big Picture ***