Natwest (LSE:NWG) and the shoots of spring.

#Brent #Dax Attending a “garden party”  ensured we missed the Live action from the Imola Grand Prix. After sleeping off a Red Wine hangover, then watching the race highlights on YouTube at around 2am on Monday, there came three realisations. Firstly, for the first time in 2025, 9 minutes of YouTube highlights suggested watching the actual race in its entirety may be fun! . Secondly, we were wilfully ignoring the looming dreadful Monaco Grand Prix next weekend, a boring race we now avoid despite also enjoying the qualifying session on Saturday. And Third, a busy weekend ensured absolutely none of our work for Monday had been carried out! So, it’s now 4am on Monday morning and Natwest is being looked at, a vague hope inspiration shall make itself known as writing about a UK Retail Bank can prove slightly difficult.

However…

 

Our most recent analysis of Natwest, rather accurately, mapped the rise to 506p. From our perspective, things are starting to get quite interesting, thanks to an awful mistake back in 2009 which trapped a bunch of funds at around 57p. With share price 10:1 consolidation, we’re liable to become interested should the share manage to close above such a level. In the years since our 2009 mistake, we’ve taken rather a lot of time to understand how the stock market works and comprehend how we managed to turn the purchase of 1/4 million RBS shares at around 10p into what became a loss making position. We’ve a strong suspicion quite a lot of folk managed to trap themselves around the old world 57p and now are breathlessly awaiting the price reaching £5.70 so they can escape. From a personal viewpoint, having a substantial sum of money on an extended holiday for the last 16 years, we fully intend to turn the awful mistake into profit as our now 25,000 (or so) shares owe us a reasonable return. Hopefully.

The immediate situation for Natwest is – and please remember we’ve a vested interest and risk subconscious bias – now suggests movement above 507p shall provoke further price growth to an initial 513p with our secondary, if bettered, at a longer term 568p, maybe even 579p. There are already suggestions the 513p level shall provoke some hesitation which, from our viewpoint, now suggests this share price must close above 513p before we next dare adopt a position of optimism for the longer term.

Our reasoning behind this is fairly simple. Share price closure above 513p now kicks open the doors for a longer term 694p, a point at which we shall probably relinquish quite a few Natwest (aka RBS) shares and reflect on the old school saying, “Share dealing is a long term game, needing 7 years of patience…” We no longer believe such a fallacy. Except for the word “patience!”.

Anyway, it is now 6am, time for another nap. In our defence, the “garden party” was a lot of fun, our Golden Retriever stealing the show by ensuring she swam in all the ornamental pools. She eventually decided a shaded shallow pool was the ideal place to take a nap. It will probably be the first time, ever, when a private party in Argyll needed everyone wearing a wide brim hat, due to the absolutely brilliant 25c+ weather.

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
4:03:03AM BRENT 6493.6 6367 6213 6059 6506 6536 6574 6658 6473
4:05:56AM GOLD 3205.49
4:08:41AM FTSE 8672.1
4:11:44AM STOX50 5412.3
4:13:41AM GERMANY 23747 23335 23122 22868 23500 23893 23905 24095 23707
4:15:36AM US500 5903.8
4:17:42AM DOW 42366.3
4:20:26AM NASDAQ 21163
4:23:56AM JAPAN 37575

 

16/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8684 points. Change of 0.59%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,886,977,578 a change of 4.8%
15/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8633 points. Change of 0.56%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,571,274,924 a change of 9.38%
14/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8585 points. Change of -0.2%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,007,730,039 a change of 12.14%
13/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8602 points. Change of -0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,357,315,867 a change of -14.15%
12/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8604 points. Change of 0.58%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,240,262,967 a change of 23.36%
9/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8554 points. Change of 0.27%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,058,383,075 a change of -23.7%
8/05/2025 FTSE Closed at 8531 points. Change of -0.33%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,629,623,125 a change of 7.19%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:DLG Direct Line Group** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

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Updated charts published on : Barclays, Carnival, Direct Line Group, British Airways, IG Group, Natwest, Rolls Royce,


LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 325.5 Percentage Change: + 0.99% Day High: 326.4 Day Low: 322.55

All Barclays needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 326.4 to improve accelerati ……..

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View Previous Barclays & Big Picture ***


LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1583.5 Percentage Change: + 1.87% Day High: 1592.5 Day Low: 1560.5

Continued trades against CCL with a mid-price ABOVE 1592.5 should improve ……..

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View Previous Carnival & Big Picture ***


LSE:DLG Direct Line Group. Close Mid-Price: 292.8 Percentage Change: + 0.14% Day High: 295.8 Day Low: 291.6

Further movement against Direct Line Group ABOVE 295.8 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 323.1 Percentage Change: + 0.62% Day High: 328.3 Day Low: 320.8

All British Airways needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 328.3 to improve ac ……..

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View Previous British Airways & Big Picture ***


LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 1115 Percentage Change: + 1.73% Day High: 1114 Day Low: 1101

Further movement against IG Group ABOVE 1114 should improve acceleration ……..

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View Previous IG Group & Big Picture ***


LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 505.8 Percentage Change: + 1.55% Day High: 506.6 Day Low: 497.8

All Natwest needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 506.6 to improve acceleratio ……..

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View Previous Natwest & Big Picture ***


LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 809.6 Percentage Change: -0.78% Day High: 821.2 Day Low: 806.8

Target met. Further movement against Rolls Royce ABOVE 822p should improv ……..

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View Previous Rolls Royce & Big Picture ***


*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

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