Our FTSE for FRIDAY & Defense issues (FTSE:UKX & NMX502010) Trading around 10,292 at time of writing.

#FTSE_Futures The first 9 sessions of March have seen the FTSE beset by conflict confusion, often leaving us less than confident we’d a clear idea of what’s coming. Our collated movement formula tends depend on the market employing logic to take calculated movements, this often giving the (possibly true) impression the markets are under human control to a greater degree than most folk would find believable. Unfortunately for them, we’ve a track record of providing exact – or extremely close – predictions. An easy example would be the S&P 500, we’d given an initial drop target of 6671 points. It bottomed out at 6670.40 points.

Obviously, this was just one index but collectively, we’d 5 “initial targets met” among our bunch of indices we match daily. The markets started to give a feeling things are getting back under control again, maybe an indication there’s an expectation of hostilities ending soon, maybe an indication the markets are settling down for an extended period of relatively low level conflict, hopefully with the game of “Battleship” in the Straits of Hormuz diminishing somewhat. Obviously, this may just be wishful thinking as no-one surely wants the current conflict to escalate into something greater, aside from the armaments industry.

Of course, it’s always worth a glance at NMX502010, the index code for ‘Aerospace & Defense’, a market which is quietly bubbling away in the background. Currently at 23,623 points, this index needs above 24,558 points to provoke some near term concern. This trigger level is a bit of a problem, due to the possibility of movement above 24,188 bringing an initial 24,392 points with our secondary, if bettered, at a conflict triggering 25,592 points.

To solidify the dangers of peace, this index would need sink below 21,370 points to imply reversal to an initial 20,253 with our secondary, if broken, at 18,763 points.

As for the FTSE, in its own way, the index has been mirroring the current hesitation from the above chart, only presenting a more likely potential of drops. If things get serious, below 10,258 risks triggering reversal down to an initial 10,106 points with our secondary, if broken, at a scary 9,831 points. If triggered, our tightest stop looks like 10,290 points, effectively sufficiently tight to make us distrust the drop potentials.

Our alternate, positive, scenario demands the UK index move above 10,235 to probably signal the potential of gains to an initial 10,541 points with our secondary, if bettered, at 10,883 points.

Perhaps the imminent Chinese Grand Prix shall provide some solace over the weekend as the 8 (or 9) time actual world champion, Louis Hamilton, is looking strangely happy as we head into what is usually a pretty grotty Formula1 event.

Have a good weekend

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:39:18PM BRENT 10055 9400 9167 9722 101 10379 9681 ‘cess
10:47:29PM GOLD 5086.28 5056 5025 5110 5200 5255 5050 Success
11:07:55PM FTSE 10290.2 10258 10227 10300 10328 10357 10290
11:17:42PM STOX50 5734.4 5688 5655 5737 5784 5825 5742 ‘cess
11:20:58PM GERMANY 23529.1 23366 23244 23554 23642 23715 23536
11:23:42PM US500 6686 6667 6644 6699 6725 6746 6687 ‘cess
11:26:01PM DOW 46774.9 46659 46550 46761 47076 47216 46814
11:40:44PM NASDAQ 24556.4 24498 24152 24622 24726 24823 24597 ‘cess
11:43:25PM JAPAN 53767 53485 53344 53978 54150 54256 53700 ‘cess

 

12/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10305 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,832,637,892 a change of -14.1%
11/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10353 points. Change of -0.57%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,282,615,552 a change of -7.67%
10/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10412 points. Change of 1.59%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 11,136,252,085 a change of 18.42%
9/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10249 points. Change of -0.34%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 9,404,375,895 a change of 9.05%
6/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10284 points. Change of -1.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,624,236,280 a change of -0.81%
5/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10413 points. Change of -1.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,694,948,171 a change of 1.74%
4/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10567 points. Change of 0.79%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,546,557,826 a change of -22.7%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:SDY Speedyhire** **LSE:SRP Serco** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

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Updated charts published on : BP PLC, Centrica, EasyJet, Firstgroup, Speedyhire, Serco, Tern Plc, The Trainline, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 529.2 Percentage Change: + 2.96% Day High: 530.3 Day Low: 510.3

Target met. Further movement against BP PLC ABOVE 530.3 should improve ac ……..

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View Previous BP PLC & Big Picture ***


LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 206.8 Percentage Change: + 3.09% Day High: 207.4 Day Low: 200.6

Target met. All Centrica needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 207.4 to improv ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 1437.5 Percentage Change: -3.65% Day High: 1484 Day Low: 1420.5

Target met. Continued weakness against DGE taking the price below 1420.5 ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet Close Mid-Price: 380.8 Percentage Change: -4.23% Day High: 394.9 Day Low: 378.3

Target met. If EasyJet experiences continued weakness below 378.3, it wil ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 174.1 Percentage Change: + 0.23% Day High: 174.9 Day Low: 170

In the event Firstgroup experiences weakness below 170 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:SDY Speedyhire Close Mid-Price: 22.05 Percentage Change: -3.08% Day High: 22.4 Day Low: 21.7

Continued weakness against SDY taking the price below 21.7 calculates as ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco. Close Mid-Price: 324.8 Percentage Change: + 1.69% Day High: 325.6 Day Low: 317.8

All Serco needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 325.6 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc. Close Mid-Price: 0.55 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0.62 Day Low: 0.55

Target met. Continued trades against TERN with a mid-price ABOVE 0.62 sho ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 186.6 Percentage Change: -3.52% Day High: 193.3 Day Low: 180.4

In the event The Trainline experiences weakness below 180.4 it calculates ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 93.62 Percentage Change: -3.72% Day High: 97.26 Day Low: 93.62

Weakness on Taylor Wimpey below 93.62 will invariably lead to 91p with se ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

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