#Brent #Nasduck In Formula One, the cars start racing when the 5 Red Lights go out. This gives viewers the time to reach for a coffee, wine, or whatever. But instead, the Grand Prix season kicked off with all the Red Lights illuminated for just 0.02 of a second, marginally less than the time usually taken to disprove a UK Government statement. But not as fast as it took Brent Crude to be “gapped” above our theoretical $97 top from our analysis last week.
When we see this sort of thing, we’re generally a little bit chuffed as it “proves” we’ve been mapping the correct trend, due to the market opting to manipulate the price above our probable top. However, it also effectively kicks things a little out of kilter, forcing us to rely on price movements since the gap up, as we attempt to extrapolate and figure out what the future may hold. We must congratulate our local petrol station, the guys reacting immediately to the market gap by boosting the price of their diesel from 130.9/Litre up to 141.9/Litre on Sunday. As someone who has not yet bought his 20 Litre/Month load of fuel for the frugal, now MoT’d, dog walk VW. Okay, we will concede our annual mileage is extremely low, rarely troubling 3,000 miles. It’s quite a shock, viewing such a number, as before moving to Argyll, we’d typically do around 20k miles in a car, along with 14k miles on a motorcycle. And would even cram in 250 engine hours in our boat which was most emphatically not economical, a 6.5 Litre diesel engine consuming more than a politician at a free buffet.
With the UK not being involved in the Middle East, while sending its Navy into the area and hosting the US bomber fleet in England, there’s really no reason for Crude Oil prices to surge but of course, they have. The immediate situation for Brent Crude implies movement above $117 threatens a visit to $122 next with our secondary, if bettered, a potential CEILING at $131. Visually, such a ceiling makes a lot of sense, matching the conflated level achieved after Russia decided to visit Ukraine four years ago, achieving a high almost identical to our $131.
We suspect the current rising cycle for Brent is ‘fake’, invented by the markets to profit the markets, hurt by the electric revolution. Hopefully, reversal to the 60/50 dollar range shall prove fairly swift.
Natwest, successfully achieving both targets from our previous analysis, has inevitably fallen victim to the depression currently being caused by activities in the Gulf. It is genuinely annoying, where shares whose value should not be infected, are instead forced to retreat, thanks to imaginary forces from a conflict which often feels equally imaginary. We watched, on YouTube, a report of a missile attack which nearly hit the Dome on the Mound in Jerusalem. Not only common sense suggested the report was fake, a niece (an archaeologist who stays in the city) emailed a link to the false YouTube report, her LoL subject line pointing out it was something historical from Tel Aviv being shown. Who knows, perhaps President Trump shall appoint the once peace envoy, Tony Blair, to smooth things over, after his spectacularly unsuccessful role in such a position from 2008 until 2015. To be fair, his position in such a role was simply as a ‘nice little earner’ rather than being expected to actually achieve anything.
For Natwest, above 591p risks proving useful, calculating with the potential of a lift to an initial 606p with our secondary, if bettered, at 620p and probable hesitation. While the big picture paints a future 634p as exerting an attraction, visually there is a strong argument to anticipate some reversals at such a level.
However, below 567 looks problematic, giving the potential of reversal to an initial 553p with our secondary, if broken, at 526p and a very, very, probable bottom. Should such a level break, the Big Picture signals a visit to 510p as possible, breaking the immediate uptrend along with – more dangerously – the Long Term Blue downtrend.
We think NWG shall be scheduled to bounce, somewhere between 553 and 526 pence. Why? Who knows…
FUTURES
FUTURES
| Time Issued | Market | Price At Issue | Short Entry | Fast Exit | Slow Exit | Stop | Long Entry | Fast Exit | Slow Exit | Stop |
| 1:53:05AM | BRENT | 9232 | 8604 | 8281 | 7908 | 8968 | 9265 | 9348 | 10523 | 9110 |
| 2:04:40AM | GOLD | 5171.3 | 5147 | |||||||
| 2:41:19AM | FTSE | 10320 | 10408 | |||||||
| 2:49:13AM | STOX50 | 5725.2 | 5779 | |||||||
| 2:54:53AM | GERMANY | 23641.4 | 23900 | |||||||
| 2:58:30AM | US500 | 6734.2 | 6813 | |||||||
| 3:04:33AM | DOW | 10320 | 10320 | |||||||
| 3:14:16AM | NASDAQ | 24632.9 | 24582 | 24538 | 24316 | 24825 | 24950 | 25086 | 25256 | 24752 |
| 3:18:32AM | JAPAN | 54012 | 55315 |
6/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10284 points. Change of -1.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,624,236,280 a change of -0.81%
5/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10413 points. Change of -1.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,694,948,171 a change of 1.74%
4/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10567 points. Change of 0.79%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,546,557,826 a change of -22.7%
3/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10484 points. Change of -2.75%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 11,057,042,576 a change of 13.19%
2/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10780 points. Change of -1.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 9,768,828,981 a change of -37.65%
27/02/2026 FTSE Closed at 10910 points. Change of 0.59%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 15,667,378,118 a change of 96.88%
26/02/2026 FTSE Closed at 10846 points. Change of 0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,957,799,956 a change of -7.62% 
SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.
Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION
Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.
UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.
We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…
Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares
Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AVCT Avacta** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:SRP Serco** **LSE:STAR Star Energy** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **LSE:WG. Wood Group** **
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Updated charts published on : Avacta, BALFOUR BEATTY, EasyJet, Hikma, Serco, Star Energy, Taylor Wimpey, Wood Group,
LSE:AVCT Avacta Close Mid-Price: 67.5 Percentage Change: -4.93% Day High: 70.5 Day Low: 67.5
Above 71 should next attempt an initial 76 with our secondary, if exceeded ……..
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View Previous Avacta & Big Picture ***
LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY Close Mid-Price: 709 Percentage Change: -1.87% Day High: 725.5 Day Low: 700.5
This needs above 750 to hopefully trigger further movement to an initial 8 ……..
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View Previous BALFOUR BEATTY & Big Picture ***
LSE:EZJ EasyJet Close Mid-Price: 408.9 Percentage Change: -0.75% Day High: 422.2 Day Low: 403.6
Weakness on EasyJet below 403.6 will invariably lead to 397p with seconda ……..
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View Previous EasyJet & Big Picture ***
LSE:HIK Hikma Close Mid-Price: 1209 Percentage Change: -0.08% Day High: 1234 Day Low: 1205
Continued weakness against HIK taking the price below 1205 calculates as ……..
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View Previous Hikma & Big Picture ***
LSE:SRP Serco. Close Mid-Price: 309.8 Percentage Change: + 1.24% Day High: 313 Day Low: 304.4
Further movement against Serco ABOVE 313 should improve acceleration towa ……..
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View Previous Serco & Big Picture ***
LSE:STAR Star Energy. Close Mid-Price: 14.25 Percentage Change: + 7.55% Day High: 14.75 Day Low: 13.25
In the event of Star Energy enjoying further trades beyond 14.75, the sha ……..
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View Previous Star Energy & Big Picture ***
LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 98.44 Percentage Change: -2.10% Day High: 102 Day Low: 98.06
If Taylor Wimpey experiences continued weakness below 98.06, it will inva ……..
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View Previous Taylor Wimpey & Big Picture ***
LSE:WG. Wood Group. Close Mid-Price: 29.1 Percentage Change: + 0.34% Day High: 29.5 Day Low: 28.8
In the event of Wood Group enjoying further trades beyond 29.5, the share ……..
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View Previous Wood Group & Big Picture ***