Some Brent Crude thoughts and Central Asia Metals too. (CCOM:OILBRENT & LSE:CAML) Trading around $81.56 & 182.80p at time of writing.

#FTSE #Stoxx As an exercise in cynicism, we opted to run the price of Crude oil through a similar movement pattern to that experienced, when the Russia/Ukraine thing kicked off. Back then, we regarded the price inflation of Brent Crude as very contrived, an artificial construct which almost felt it was simply to satisfy media expectations. The actual increase in the price of Brent realistically happened well before Russia started to battle with the door locks of their UAZ 452 trucks, probably the best lightweight 4WD’s ever built, even though their door lock mechanism dated back to a UK supplier in the early 1960’s. But a UAZ 452 van will happily trundle across a field of tree stumps, a task where a Landrover panics and a Landcruiser would find itself impaled. It was a little disconcerting, discovering early UK imports had, by default, a gun mount on the roof.

When we throw the Russia/Ukraine model at Brent currently, there appears to be the possibility of movement above 82.5 dollars bringing a further lift to an initial $87.3 with our longer term (or later that day) secondary calculating at 97 dollars. This secondary target is an issue, representing a logical “top” when we apply the growth model from 2022. What is extremely frustrating is, until mid February, Brent had been residing in a zone where the threat of reversal to an eventual 50 dollars made a lot of sense. The preceding 8 months had seen the market try every trick to avoid triggering a sharp drop.

But, long story short, we suspect Brent shall be intended to top out at 97 dollars. And it’s worth going on to YouTube as Americans have discovered the UAZ 452 as an import.

 

As for Central Asia Metals Plc, the share price is currently paying the price for a company news report of a fairly major “Ooops”, declaring the life potential of its mine in Macedonia should be reduced by 5 years until 2034. Probably a bad idea to declare your corporate Golden Goose is approaching a Best Before date!

There is something fascinating about the reversal inflicted on the share as it suggests weakness below 173 could bring a drop to 158p and visually, a strong suggestion of a bounce. Our reasoning for this relates to the Blue downtrend since 2023 and our official breakout above Blue happening at 157p. This tends strongly indicate a probable level for a rebound anytime soon. However, should 158p break, our secondary calculates at a future 131p, a price level which we would find difficult to justify given the historical picture.

Our alternate scenario suggests above 239p would be needed to signal the drop cycle has been a terrible mistake. In such a position, we would anticipate ongoing movement to an initial 268 with our longer term secondary, if bettered, working out at a future 327 and some hesitation.

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:22:09PM BRENT 8164.9
10:25:40PM GOLD 5087.33 Success
10:28:35PM FTSE 10516.7 10404 10378 10258 10530 10578 10624 10697 10503
10:32:20PM STOX50 5813.3 5736 5705 5540 5854 5854 5879 5927 5811 Success
10:36:21PM GERMANY 23985.5 Success
10:44:07PM US500 6805.1 Success
10:54:29PM DOW 48431.2 Success
10:59:13PM NASDAQ 24673.1 ‘cess
11:02:55PM JAPAN 55191 Success

 

3/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10484 points. Change of -2.75%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 11,057,042,576 a change of 13.19%
2/03/2026 FTSE Closed at 10780 points. Change of -1.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 9,768,828,981 a change of -37.65%
27/02/2026 FTSE Closed at 10910 points. Change of 0.59%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 15,667,378,118 a change of 96.88%
26/02/2026 FTSE Closed at 10846 points. Change of 0.37%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,957,799,956 a change of -7.62%
25/02/2026 FTSE Closed at 10806 points. Change of 1.18%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,613,928,989 a change of 413.26%
24/02/2026 FTSE Closed at 10680 points. Change of -0.04%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 1,678,265,417 a change of -75.91%
23/02/2026 FTSE Closed at 10684 points. Change of -0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,967,110,577 a change of -9.04%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:FOXT Foxtons** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:IQE IQE** **LSE:ITRK Intertek** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **LSE:WG. Wood Group** **

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Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Diageo, EasyJet, Foxtons, Hikma, IQE, Intertek, Tullow, The Trainline, Taylor Wimpey, Wood Group,


LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 40.28 Percentage Change: -7.15% Day High: 44.74 Day Low: 40.34

In the event Aston Martin experiences weakness below 40.34 it calculates ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 1565 Percentage Change: -2.73% Day High: 1590 Day Low: 1544.5

Continued weakness against DGE taking the price below 1544.5 calculates a ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet Close Mid-Price: 431.5 Percentage Change: -4.11% Day High: 445 Day Low: 425.9

In the event EasyJet experiences weakness below 425.9 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup Close Mid-Price: 179.6 Percentage Change: -2.50% Day High: 184.7 Day Low: 177.2

If Firstgroup experiences continued weakness below 177.2, it will invaria ……..

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LSE:FOXT Foxtons Close Mid-Price: 46.5 Percentage Change: -5.10% Day High: 48.2 Day Low: 46.8

Target met. If Foxtons experiences continued weakness below 46.8, it will ……..

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LSE:HIK Hikma Close Mid-Price: 1247 Percentage Change: -0.16% Day High: 1273 Day Low: 1233

If Hikma experiences continued weakness below 1233, it will invariably le ……..

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LSE:IQE IQE. Close Mid-Price: 26 Percentage Change: + 1.56% Day High: 29.5 Day Low: 22

Target met. Continued trades against IQE with a mid-price ABOVE 30 should ……..

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LSE:ITRK Intertek Close Mid-Price: 3882 Percentage Change: -18.14% Day High: 4410 Day Low: 3882

Target met. Continued weakness against ITRK taking the price below 3882 c ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 13.88 Percentage Change: + 8.61% Day High: 14.04 Day Low: 12.78

Continued trades against TLW with a mid-price ABOVE 14.04 should improve ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 185.5 Percentage Change: -0.05% Day High: 189.3 Day Low: 181.6

Continued weakness against TRN taking the price below 181.6 calculates as ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 104.65 Percentage Change: -5.04% Day High: 109.55 Day Low: 103.3

Target met. In the event Taylor Wimpey experiences weakness below 103.3 i ……..

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LSE:WG. Wood Group. Close Mid-Price: 28.96 Percentage Change: + 11.81% Day High: 29.1 Day Low: 27.82

Target met. Continued trades against WG. with a mid-price ABOVE 29.1 shou ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

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