17 March, now titled Natwest share price… Oops

#Gold #Nasdaq  It’s worth remembering back in June 2012, RBS (Natwest) did a sneaky 10:1 share price split, an effort to make the sound of the share price more respectable than it actually was. The initiative, making each share magically worth 2 quid overnight, rather than 20p, was certainly more impressive to the gullible. Until such time the price dribbled its way downhill, matching the lows of the financial crisis with an eventual visit to 99p in 2020. By dividing by 10, this placed the share at a real 9.9p, just 0.2p above the lows of 2009. It was not a pretty picture.

Of course, the market had a final “Hail Mary” to throw at the problem and that was to change the company name, along with its trading code by rebranding RBS into Natwest. To a degree, this sleight of hand has worked as it’s almost possible to forget, when we look at Natwest trading at 440.9p, the share price should really read 44p, due to every 10 shares being magically folded into 1 share in 2012. The period since has been fairly kind to Natwest and there’s now some remarkable potentials forming for the future.

 

The only immediate fly in the ointment has been one of our least favourite share price shuffles, Natwest being gapped UP in February and gapped DOWN in March. Typically, this share price dance introduces the potential for some reliable reversals, a market inspired push toward a level from which we tend expect a rebound.

In the case of Natwest, this situation allows weakness below 428p to trigger reversal to an initial 400p along with a reasonable chance of a rebound, due to the Red uptrend line. Should 400p break, our anticipated rebound level moves down to 368p. Visually, this should not be a big deal as it neatly matches the low of the start of 2025, again giving a good reason for a bounce. And more importantly… it keeps the share price within Big Picture parameters which is quite important.

The situation with Natwest Group now is useful, calculating with the potential of movement next above 462p moving the share price into a region where shuffles upward to an initial 558p becomes possible with our longer term secondary, if bettered, at an astounding 693p, matching the ‘adjusted’ market high of 2007. Our “only” major problem comes from that “GaGa” shuffle, giving a suspicion the market may not wish the share price to flourish above our historical target level at 466p. We’d warned this may cause issues as it would signal the share making the transit from “current market” to “big picture” potentials. It’s not witchcraft, just a fairly typical excuse the market uses to foul up price dance steps.

 

 

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
10:18:43PM BRENT 7040.9 6830 6746 6634 7150 7134 7208 7335 6938
10:37:15PM GOLD 2984.1
10:42:06PM FTSE 8667
10:59:19PM STOX50 5420.3
11:44:22PM GERMANY 23079.9
11:58:37PM US500 5624.8
12:04:04AM DOW 41420.5
12:41:29AM NASDAQ 19648 19354 19209 19038 19472 19692 19819 20042 19590
12:44:12AM JAPAN 37517

 

14/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8632 points. Change of 1.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,339,805,616 a change of -8.09%
13/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8542 points. Change of 0.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,809,805,582 a change of -17.07%
12/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8540 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,005,575,880 a change of -4.97%
11/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8496 points. Change of -1.21%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,372,262,809 a change of -3.66%
10/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8600 points. Change of -0.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,652,125,992 a change of 21.38%
7/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8679 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,304,463,649 a change of -17.82%
6/03/2025 FTSE Closed at 8682 points. Change of -0.83%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,671,130,291 a change of 6.49%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:ASC Asos** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:SBRY Sainsbury** **LSE:TRN The Trainline** **

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Updated charts published on : Asos, Aviva, Firstgroup, Fresnillo, International Personal Finance, Sainsbury, The Trainline,


LSE:ASC Asos Close Mid-Price: 250 Percentage Change: -3.03% Day High: 264.2 Day Low: 247.4

Target met. In the event Asos experiences weakness below 247.4 it calcula ……..

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 547.6 Percentage Change: + 0.66% Day High: 549 Day Low: 539

All Aviva needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 549 to improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 175.8 Percentage Change: + 1.27% Day High: 178.3 Day Low: 166.7

Continued trades against FGP with a mid-price ABOVE 178.3 should improve ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 916.5 Percentage Change: + 1.89% Day High: 933 Day Low: 892.5

Target met. All Fresnillo needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 933 to improve ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 149 Percentage Change: + 7.19% Day High: 149 Day Low: 140

Target met. All International Personal Finance needs are mid-price trades ……..

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LSE:SBRY Sainsbury Close Mid-Price: 235 Percentage Change: -7.77% Day High: 255.8 Day Low: 234

In the event Sainsbury experiences weakness below 234 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:TRN The Trainline Close Mid-Price: 265.4 Percentage Change: -2.57% Day High: 275 Day Low: 261.8

If The Trainline experiences continued weakness below 261.8, it will inva ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

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