Posted on

YouGov Plc (LSE:YOU & FTSE:UKX) – published late!

FTSE for FRIDAY and YouGov Plc (LSE:YOU & FTSE:UKX)

Movements are a funny old thing. This year, and we are only on Month Three, we’ve seen a series of movements taking over the media. Fast losing media interest is the Israel/Gaza thing, joining the Russia/Ukraine thing on the boring shelf, alongside the Trans silly arguments and now, we’ve the Trump/Biden mess threatening to take precedence. We rather strongly suspect the UK shall opt to try and sneak a General Election in May, during the US chaotic noise. Of course, this gives some justification to review how one of the polling companies is doing on the stock market!

Oddly, despite finding Mr Trump a truly abhorrent option, the only thing worse than him seems to be the current US President Biden, someone who is displaying fairly advanced symptoms of dementia. Together, they present a similar structure to that facing UK voters where we’re presented with a pair of political entities, each of which has proved their ability to dodge accusations of competence. Perhaps the time has come for a “None Of The Above” option to enter ballot papers, giving everyone a chance to voice their true feelings.

 

Anyway, returning to being whimsical, YouGov certainly have potentials, the market doubtless forecasting a massive year of ridiculous “Voter Intention” surveys. Currently trading around 1165p, it needs above 1230p to hopefully trigger a cycle up to an initial 1528p with secondary, if beaten, a ridiculous looking 1818p and a new all time high. Visually, it appears certain 1528p shall provoke some hesitation, if achieved.

If things intend go wrong for this vote influencer, below 1000p appears to have the potential of triggering reversal to an initial 844p with secondary, if broken, at a bottom of 772p and perhaps a bounce.

 

As for the FTSE for FRIDAY, the UK market is certainly (finally) starting to look interesting. Index movements now exceeding 7786 should create a scenario, where recovery to an initial 7846 is possible with our secondary, if beaten, at 7896 and a chance of some hesitation. However, this situation gives an impression the market is finally breaking from hiatus since 2022, along with the hope it’s entering a new ball game. This being the case, we can produce a Big Picture cycle ambition at a longer term 8038 with our eventual secondary coming along at 8178 points.

Near term, if the FTSE plans any mischief, below 7719 allows for reversal to an initial tame 7704 points with our secondary, if broken, at 7677 points and hopefully a rebound.

 

Have a good weekend, one thankfully without a boring Grand Prix. Hopefully the next one from Australia shall provide entertainment.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:18:39PM BRENT 8469 8402 8355 8452 8532 8576 8470 ‘cess
9:22:47PM GOLD 2161.72 2157 2155 2165 2173 2179 2162
9:27:43PM FTSE 7729.8 7711 7699 7740 7746 7753 7725 ‘cess
10:27:49PM STOX50 4988.3 4973 4962 4995 5000 5008 4985 ‘cess
10:32:03PM GERMANY 17915.5 17882 17851 17932 17946 17976 17901 Success
10:37:14PM US500 5152.9 5123 5119 5156 5162 5172 5144 Success
10:40:02PM DOW 38903 38690 38622 38908 39028 39125 38895 Shambles
10:42:30PM NASDAQ 18008.6 17912 17793 18030 18092 18152 18014 Success
10:46:47PM JAPAN 38513 38306 38180 38530 38897 38989 38764 ‘cess

 

Posted on

Glencore Plc (LSE:GLEN) going to Australia?

#GOLD #BRENT The London Stock Market continues to attract unfavourable opinions with Glencore Plc being the recipient of a rather nasty letter from a major hedge fund, described as an “Activist Investor”. Their letter starts with ‘London is no longer the home of mining’, going on to expand with reasons Glencore should move their listing from London to Sydney, Australia. It’s hard to disagree with some of the points the investor makes and arithmetically, we find it hard to disagree with the notion the company share price is underperforming. We’re not convinced such a malaise is unique to the mining sector, given the plethora of FTSE100 members who’ve opted to jump ship from London and note TUI and Flutter intend do the same later this year.

Across multiple sectors, companies appear to have been struggling on the FTSE for the last three years. Perhaps it’s about time the FTSE opted to rebrand itself or perhaps urge members to divest themselves of retired politicians taking new careers as advisors, instead appointing people with some faith in the future of the country.

 

Above 435p should prove useful, creating a situation where movement to an initial 486 calculates as possible with our secondary, if bettered, at a longer term 578p and, according to the visuals, some almost certain hesitation, given the level of most recent highs in 2023.

Unfortunately, there’s a massive “however” and it’s shown with the Blue Circled area on the chart. The market opted to gap Glencore down in mid-January this year, celebrating the company decision to decrease the annual dividend along with news of reduced demand from China, ensuring a share price viewed as underperforming by analysts, continued to underperform. We’ve even read one firm of analysts claiming Glencore should be enjoying a share nearly at 10 pounds, Unfortunately, the best we can give at the moment is a third level target of 637p, if everything goes right.

 

Should things intend go horribly wrong, below 400p looks dangerous, potentially triggering reversal to an initial 377 with our secondary, if broken, at a hopeful bottom of just 340p. Unfortunately, there is also the Red Circled area of the chart to consider. If you look at it the right way and engage the correctly negative mindset, it’s potentially a Head & Shoulders formation. The arithmetic associated with such gives a pretty unpleasant answer, suggesting an eventual bottom of 215p. Due to this, we’d be quite worried should our earlier secondary target of 340p make an appearance as it would signify a lower low.

 

 

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:00:26PM BRENT 8354 8203 8120 8034 8262 8380 8532 8822 8204 Success
9:04:39PM GOLD 2173.95 2155 2151 2137 2166 2180 2177 2181 2170
9:08:59PM FTSE 7781 ‘cess
9:20:56PM STOX50 5003 ‘cess
9:25:16PM GERMANY 17967 ‘cess
9:28:15PM US500 5171.9
9:36:46PM DOW 39076 ‘cess
9:41:34PM NASDAQ 18092.1
9:44:27PM JAPAN 38557

 

13/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7772 points. Change of 0.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,270,420,862 a change of 0.35%
12/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7747 points. Change of 1.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,245,332,425 a change of 15.81%
11/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7669 points. Change of 0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,256,339,396 a change of 13.77%
8/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7659 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,498,882,120 a change of -31.93%
7/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7692 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,077,896,758 a change of 24.94%
6/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7679 points. Change of 0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,465,210,839 a change of 16.73%
5/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7646 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,538,797,167 a change of -5.01%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc** **LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:ITRK Intertek** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

********

Updated charts published on : BALFOUR BEATTY, Carnival, Capita, Darktrace Plc, MAN, Fresnillo, Hargreaves Lansdown, International Personal Finance, Intertek, Rolls Royce,

LSE:BARC Barclays Close Mid-Price: 177.06 Percentage Change: -0.29% Day High: 179.26 Day Low: 175.02

In the event of Barclays enjoying further trades beyond 179.26, the share ……..

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 372 Percentage Change: + 9.48% Day High: 374.2 Day Low: 338.8

Target met. Further movement against BALFOUR BEATTY ABOVE 374.2 should im ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1190.5 Percentage Change: + 5.54% Day High: 1194 Day Low: 1147.5

All Carnival needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1194 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 13.34 Percentage Change: -7.75% Day High: 14.58 Day Low: 13.34

Target met. In the event Capita experiences weakness below 13.34 it calcu ……..

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LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc. Close Mid-Price: 458.3 Percentage Change: + 0.66% Day High: 473.3 Day Low: 449.9

Target met. In the event of Darktrace Plc enjoying further trades beyond ……..

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LSE:EMG MAN. Close Mid-Price: 255.6 Percentage Change: + 2.36% Day High: 273.4 Day Low: 253

Target met. Further movement against MAN ABOVE 273.4 should improve accel ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 461.7 Percentage Change: -0.56% Day High: 469.5 Day Low: 448.5

Weakness on Fresnillo below 448.5 will invariably lead to 436p with secon ……..

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LSE:HL. Hargreaves Lansdown Close Mid-Price: 719.6 Percentage Change: -1.56% Day High: 739.8 Day Low: 718.8

If Hargreaves Lansdown experiences continued weakness below 718.8, it wil ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance Close Mid-Price: 100.5 Percentage Change: -10.67% Day High: 110.5 Day Low: 100.5

Target met. Continued weakness against IPF taking the price below 100.5 c ……..

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LSE:ITRK Intertek Close Mid-Price: 5016 Percentage Change: -0.91% Day High: 5068 Day Low: 5012

Further movement against Intertek ABOVE 5068 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 393.8 Percentage Change: + 0.51% Day High: 395.7 Day Low: 388.8

All Rolls Royce needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 395.7 to improve acceler ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Posted on

Solgold Plc (LSE:SOLG) showing some potentials

#FTSE #SP500 Our entire knowledge of gold mining in South America has been gleaned from the usually chaotic exploits of Discovery Channels Gold Rush miners, generally where a bunch of “get rich quick” miners and a film crew enter a country, then foul everything up. Sometimes, there’s the added entertainment of bouts of malaria, a consequence of the miners utterly failing to realise what they’re walking in to. Solgold Plc surprised us.

The company focus appears to be establishing world-class copper mines, any search for Gold rarely worth a mention on their website. But recent share price movements seem to have gathered the attention of some traders as we’ve received a few emails asking our opinion on their price potentials.

 

A couple of things became immediately apparent when we ran the numbers. The share has no less than three distinct arguments pointing to a bottom potential of just 3p, a target level the share price has carefully avoided this year despite plenty of opportunity. The lowest share price achieved has been 5.6p, so perhaps this can be taken of an indication of hidden strength. However, the market is messing around with the price to a degree as shown on the chart extract.

Despite the share price soaring during the session on Tuesday, considerable care was taken to ensure it closed below the downtrend since 2022. Perhaps “they” are awaiting news from the company before committing the share price to a zone where some recovery can be anticipated.

This being the case, above 8.95 should now bring recovery to an initial 10p with secondary, if bettered, at a more useful 12.5p. Visually, this is quite a big deal as closure above 12.5p takes the share price into a zone where currently we can calculate a future 16p as possible, potentially returning the share price above the Red uptrend on the chart. We strongly suspect such a movement shall become truly significant.

 

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:16:54PM BRENT 8195.8 8165
10:19:35PM GOLD 2160.17 2168 Success
10:23:09PM FTSE 7759.1 7719 7713 7697 7748 7762 7778 7838 7741 Success
10:26:01PM STOX50 4991.2 4974 Success
10:30:46PM GERMANY 18001.4 17933 Success
11:01:41PM US500 5177.3 5111 5089 5058 5143 5181 5196 5211 5163 Success
11:04:46PM DOW 39001.4 38874 Shambles
11:09:25PM NASDAQ 18216 18142 Success
11:12:28PM JAPAN 39094 38866 Shambles

 

12/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7747 points. Change of 1.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,245,332,425 a change of 15.81%
11/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7669 points. Change of 0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,256,339,396 a change of 13.77%
8/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7659 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,498,882,120 a change of -31.93%
7/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7692 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,077,896,758 a change of 24.94%
6/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7679 points. Change of 0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,465,210,839 a change of 16.73%
5/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7646 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,538,797,167 a change of -5.01%
4/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7640 points. Change of -0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,830,824,809 a change of -4.21%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:ITRK Intertek** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:SDY Speedyhire** **

********

Updated charts published on : Barclays, Carclo, Centamin, Capita, Darktrace Plc, Greggs, Intertek, Lloyds Grp., Speedyhire,

LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 177.58 Percentage Change: + 2.17% Day High: 178.46 Day Low: 174.06

Target met. In the event of Barclays enjoying further trades beyond 178.4 ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 8 Percentage Change: -1.23% Day High: 7 Day Low: 7

Target met. In the event Carclo experiences weakness below 7 it calculate ……..

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LSE:CEY Centamin. Close Mid-Price: 106.3 Percentage Change: + 1.43% Day High: 106.5 Day Low: 104.2

Continued trades against CEY with a mid-price ABOVE 106.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 14.46 Percentage Change: -1.09% Day High: 14.59 Day Low: 14.01

If Capita experiences continued weakness below 14.01, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc. Close Mid-Price: 455.3 Percentage Change: + 4.38% Day High: 455.8 Day Low: 431

Further movement against Darktrace Plc ABOVE 455.8 should improve acceler ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs. Close Mid-Price: 2878 Percentage Change: + 1.34% Day High: 2898 Day Low: 2824

Further movement against Greggs ABOVE 2898 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:ITRK Intertek. Close Mid-Price: 5062 Percentage Change: + 2.04% Day High: 5058 Day Low: 4980

Target met. Continued trades against ITRK with a mid-price ABOVE 5058 sho ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.. Close Mid-Price: 49.55 Percentage Change: + 1.02% Day High: 50.02 Day Low: 49.29

Wonder if someone called an exorcist. It moved! Now above 50.1 should prov ……..

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LSE:SDY Speedyhire Close Mid-Price: 25.2 Percentage Change: -1.18% Day High: 26.1 Day Low: 25.1

Weakness on Speedyhire below 25.1 will invariably lead to 23p with second ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Posted on

SSE Plc (LSE:SSE) and some shocking potentials

#Gold #WallSt The market has been behaving quite strangely this year and there’s a surprising underlying bias about a majority of share price movements. Basically, at first glance, it’s pretty difficult to avoid awarding a mental “buy” against rather a lot of stocks. For instance, a quick scan of the top 30 shares traded on Monday revealed just 4 as “we don’t have a clue”, 24 as “probably a buy” and just 2 as “This almost MUST go up”.

This is a set of results we’re not used to seeing, generally the criteria we use tending to give a 50:50 result between “Buy” and “Sell” results. Our rules are, from our perspective, fairly simple. We review price movements over the prior 50 days and apply our target arguments. Those shares regularly breaking drop targets are awarded a “Sell” bias, whereas those regularly exceeding gain arguments are viewed rather more positively. We notice analysts are rating SSE Plc as a “Strong Buy” but we’re inclined to be slightly less enthusiastic. For us to generate such an opinion, the share price would require to exceed an immediate downtrend and also be painting “Higher Highs”, something SSE are conspicuously avoiding. Market analysts use different criteria than ours, focussing on Fundamentals while our own style is to judge what the market looks like doing.

Thankfully, our track record with this approach is self evident.

 

And so, while some grown ups rate SSE as a Strong Buy, our inclination is to rate is as a possible Buy. We note the recent spike to 1697p was encouraging, especially as our in-house logic “only” pointed to 1677p. With it once again exceeding a gain target, we felt safe pinning the appropriate badge on the company. However, at time of writing, the share price needs better 1777.685p to exceed the immediate Blue downtrend and give considerable hope for the longer term. Above 1777p calculates with the potential of a lift to an initial 1816p with our longer term secondary, if beaten, at 1935p.

 

If things intend go wrong for SSE Plc, their share price needs fall below 1547 to provoke some panic as this looks capable of triggering reversal down to an initial 1467p with our secondary, if broken, at a hopeful bottom of 1315p. One final detail is perhaps worthy of mention.

From viewing the SSE chart, along with the plethora of Buy signals, it becomes probable an undercurrent of optimism is liable to start pushing the FTSE upward, finally breaking from of the hiatus since 2021 we constantly moan about!

 

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:57:38PM BRENT 8209.6 8164 ‘cess
10:01:26PM GOLD 2182.24 2169 2163 2152 2184 2189 2195 2204 2177
10:07:22PM FTSE 7692 7676 ‘cess
10:09:44PM STOX50 4938.2 4930 ‘cess
10:12:34PM GERMANY 17802.7 17752 Success
10:19:54PM US500 5131.7 5119 ‘cess
10:22:18PM DOW 38819 38665 38595 38517 38755 38831 38897 39038 38732 ‘cess
10:24:50PM NASDAQ 18018.7 17950 ‘cess
10:28:52PM JAPAN 38581 38403 Success

 

11/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7669 points. Change of 0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,256,339,396 a change of 13.77%
8/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7659 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,498,882,120 a change of -31.93%
7/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7692 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,077,896,758 a change of 24.94%
6/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7679 points. Change of 0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,465,210,839 a change of 16.73%
5/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7646 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,538,797,167 a change of -5.01%
4/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7640 points. Change of -0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,830,824,809 a change of -4.21%
1/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7682 points. Change of 0.68%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,087,264,861 a change of -41.68%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

********

Updated charts published on : Barclays, Capita, Darktrace Plc, HSBC, Tullow,

LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 173.8 Percentage Change: + 0.91% Day High: 174.38 Day Low: 169.06

Further movement against Barclays ABOVE 174.38 should improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 14.62 Percentage Change: -7.06% Day High: 15.57 Day Low: 14.52

Weakness on Capita below 14.52 will invariably lead to 13p with secondary ……..

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LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc. Close Mid-Price: 436.2 Percentage Change: + 15.58% Day High: 437 Day Low: 378.5

Continued trades against DARK with a mid-price ABOVE 437 should improve t ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC Close Mid-Price: 575.8 Percentage Change: -0.71% Day High: 581 Day Low: 572.9

If HSBC experiences continued weakness below 572.9, it will invariably le ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 27.1 Percentage Change: -4.04% Day High: 28.96 Day Low: 26.86

Weakness on Tullow below 26.86 will invariably lead to 20.75p with second ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Posted on

Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LSE:LLOY), racing to the line…

#Brent #SP500 The racing world has finally found itself competing with UK retail bank share price movements. The 2nd Formula 1 race of this year proved incredible, just 25 overtakes with the highest number being accomplished by a young guy, driving for Ferrari, in the first F1 race of his career. He clearly hadn’t got the memo to tone things down, the TV cameras eventually deciding it was safer focussing on him rather than the appalling lack of action elsewhere. With the regular Ferrari driver being treated for appendicitis, the very young stand-in Oliver Bearman, a Brit, managed to finish with points in 7th place, looking like he’ll be fine to return to school on Monday morning.

Even by last weekends Bahrain performance, it was a truly boring race, but there’s certainly a degree of similarity to the lacklustre performance by Lloyds Bank share price.

 

The immediate problem for Lloyds is roughly at 48.9736p, their share price needing exceed such a level to hopefully trigger some proper action. Above such a level, represented by the Blue downtrend on the chart, should apparently now bring movement to an initial 50.9p with our secondary, if beaten, calculating at a comfortable looking 54.25 at some point in the future. Unfortunately, the visuals promise some hesitation at the 54.25p level, this being a repeated point of hesitation during the last few years. Once the share price actually closes above 54.25p, we’ve an expectation of a future 62.5p and beyond but for now, there’s nothing from the price hiatus since 2021 which suggests the potential for strong upward recovery. Perhaps, similar to Ferrari, they should recruit senior talent from local schools as this might get the share price moving. But we’re not clear on direction!

If things intend go wrong for Lloyds, below 42.2p looks troubling, capable of triggering reversal to an initial 40.2p with our secondary, if broken, at a probable bottom of 35.4p.

 

For now, there are certainly early signals for some optimism and should Lloyds manage to exceed Blue on the chart, it may become slightly interesting for a while.

 

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
10:50:02PM BRENT 8155.6 8140 8082 7969 8210 8265 8277 8322 8194
11:05:25PM GOLD 2178.69 2168
11:12:31PM FTSE 7651.8 7645
11:16:33PM STOX50 4940 4966
11:28:51PM GERMANY 17755 17788
12:35:28AM US500 5128 5114 5092 5060 5152 5190 5215 5460 5086
6:55:51PM DOW 38742 38715
7:53:26PM NASDAQ 18036 18233
7:56:00PM JAPAN 39061 39359

 

8/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7659 points. Change of -0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,498,882,120 a change of -31.93%
7/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7692 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,077,896,758 a change of 24.94%
6/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7679 points. Change of 0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,465,210,839 a change of 16.73%
5/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7646 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,538,797,167 a change of -5.01%
4/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7640 points. Change of -0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,830,824,809 a change of -4.21%
1/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7682 points. Change of 0.68%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,087,264,861 a change of -41.68%
29/02/2024 FTSE Closed at 7630 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,436,888,007 a change of 63.71%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SDY Speedyhire** **LSE:SPT Spirent Comms** **

********

Updated charts published on : Carnival, Centamin, Quadrise, Rolls Royce, Speedyhire, Spirent Comms,

LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1147 Percentage Change: + 2.64% Day High: 1174 Day Low: 1092

In the event of Carnival enjoying further trades beyond 1174, the share s ……..

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LSE:CEY Centamin. Close Mid-Price: 103.8 Percentage Change: + 0.68% Day High: 105.9 Day Low: 101.9

Target met. All Centamin needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 105.9 to improv ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise Close Mid-Price: 1.58 Percentage Change: -5.51% Day High: 1.7 Day Low: 1.55

In the event Quadrise experiences weakness below 1.55 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce Close Mid-Price: 386.4 Percentage Change: -0.92% Day High: 392 Day Low: 384

In the event of Rolls Royce enjoying further trades beyond 392, the share ……..

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LSE:SDY Speedyhire Close Mid-Price: 25.55 Percentage Change: -1.92% Day High: 26.1 Day Low: 25.3

In the event Speedyhire experiences weakness below 25.3 it calculates wit ……..

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LSE:SPT Spirent Comms. Close Mid-Price: 177.6 Percentage Change: + 1.49% Day High: 180.2 Day Low: 175

In the event of Spirent Comms enjoying further trades beyond 180.2, the s ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Posted on

Our famed FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX)

#FTSE #F1 The eternal Groundhog Day in which the UK stock market is trapped continues to frustrate everyone. Across the pond, the US markets are taking turns in painting “New, All Time Highs” whereas here, the only thing worth painting appears to be frustrated lines on charts. The current hiatus isn’t fascinating, just a bit weird, as the UK now appears to be battling with the pre-pandemic high of 2020. Quite why this should be the case defeats us but once again, with the market closing Thursday at 7692 points, we’re in the sacred zone below 7700 points where nothing ever happens.

We’ve a saying in-house; “If it ain’t going up, it’s going down!” but the FTSE isn’t even showing any early warning signs for imminent trouble. It’s just not going up, almost aggressively so, as if some mysterious foot keeps tramping on the brake pedal like a motorist in a 20mph zone with a police car immediately behind. Personally, I’ve an abiding memory of the day I pulled over a police car for such behaviour and am still amazed I’d the gall to do it. I’d literally just collected a new BMW K1200 motorcycle and was riding home, employing supreme caution. Heading through the suburbs, the roads were mercifully quiet but this didn’t stop a police patrol car from tucking in behind me. Driving uphill, a set of traffic lights turned red and I came to a somewhat dodgy standstill, thanks to being a little challenged in leg length. Essentially, I nearly fell over and just knew the two cops were now deciding whether to pull me over for a chat. The lights turned green, I moved head and indicated left, waving at the police car. They dutifully pulled in front of me, so I put the bike on the stand and walked over to the passenger window.

“Any chance of you guys passing ahead? I just picked this up and feel like I’m learning to ride again. Keeping an eye on you at the same time is making me really nervous!”

The laughter proved I’d done the right thing. But yes, the FTSE certainly feels like someone is being a bit over-attentive on the brakes.

 

The immediate situation for the FTSE allegedly suggests above 7712 points should bring movement to an initial 7734 with our secondary, if bettered, at 7766 points. We tossed in the word “allegedly as there’s nothing in recent market movement which justified any real confidence. Who knows, maybe the markets are not moving, due to a self fulfilling lack of confidence! If triggered, the tightest stop for this scenario looks like a fairly reasonable 7670 points.

Our alternate scenario, if the brakes are once again applied, allows below 7670 to threaten a visit to 7638 with our “longer term” secondary calculating at 7588 points.

Have a good weekend. Hopefully the Saudi Grand Prix on Saturday doesn’t provide yet another excuse for a good nap. Currently, with the outbreak of nonsense politics within Formula1, it’s as if they’ve decided creating controversy will keep them in the headlines, despite people choosing to avoid watching the (lack of) racing.

 

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:17:12PM BRENT 8281 8151 8030 8290 8420 8598 8175
10:19:30PM GOLD 2159.56 2143 2139 2153 2166 2172 2155 ‘cess
10:32:15PM FTSE 7686 7638 7616 7665 7713 7737 7673 Shambles
10:42:30PM STOX50 4974.9 4952 4942 4984 4992 4999 4977 Success
10:45:44PM GERMANY 17867 17703 17628 17744 17880 17921 17847 Success
10:58:24PM US500 5152 5082 5048 5118 5166 5189 5136 ‘cess
11:02:03PM DOW 38794.5 38526 38389 37802 38914 38979 38728 ‘cess
11:05:17PM NASDAQ 18239 17896 17724 18032 18338 18369 18138 ‘cess
11:07:52PM JAPAN 39756 39139 38713 39497 39893 40214 39519 Success

 

7/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7692 points. Change of 0.17%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,077,896,758 a change of 24.94%
6/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7679 points. Change of 0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,465,210,839 a change of 16.73%
5/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7646 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,538,797,167 a change of -5.01%
4/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7640 points. Change of -0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,830,824,809 a change of -4.21%
1/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7682 points. Change of 0.68%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,087,264,861 a change of -41.68%
29/02/2024 FTSE Closed at 7630 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,436,888,007 a change of 63.71%
28/02/2024 FTSE Closed at 7624 points. Change of -0.77%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,375,065,167 a change of 28.06%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc** **LSE:ITRK Intertek** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **LSE:SPX Spirax** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Aviva, Centamin, Darktrace Plc, Intertek, Lloyds Grp., Ocado Plc, Quadrise, Rolls Royce, Spirax,

LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 157.9 Percentage Change: -0.94% Day High: 161.4 Day Low: 154.7

Continued weakness against AML taking the price below 154.7 calculates as ……..

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LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 462.2 Percentage Change: + 1.60% Day High: 483 Day Low: 460.3

Target met. Further movement against Aviva ABOVE 483 should improve accel ……..

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LSE:CEY Centamin Close Mid-Price: 103.1 Percentage Change: -0.39% Day High: 104.9 Day Low: 101.4

In the event of Centamin enjoying further trades beyond 104.9, the share ……..

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LSE:DARK Darktrace Plc. Close Mid-Price: 373.7 Percentage Change: + 6.16% Day High: 417 Day Low: 365.5

Target met. All Darktrace Plc needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 417 to imp ……..

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LSE:ITRK Intertek. Close Mid-Price: 4960 Percentage Change: + 0.02% Day High: 4992 Day Low: 4930

All Intertek needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 4992 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.. Close Mid-Price: 48.6 Percentage Change: + 0.42% Day High: 49.03 Day Low: 48.27

Further movement against Lloyds Grp. ABOVE 49.03 should improve accelerat ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc. Close Mid-Price: 458.3 Percentage Change: + 4.66% Day High: 471.7 Day Low: 430.8

Weakness on Ocado Plc below 430.8 will invariably lead to 402p with secon ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise Close Mid-Price: 1.68 Percentage Change: -1.76% Day High: 1.75 Day Low: 1.65

Target met. Weakness on Quadrise below 1.65 will invariably lead to 1.35p ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 390 Percentage Change: + 2.90% Day High: 389 Day Low: 378.8

Target met. Further movement against Rolls Royce ABOVE 389 should improve ……..

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LSE:SPX Spirax. Close Mid-Price: 10660 Percentage Change: + 3.80% Day High: 11280 Day Low: 10575

Target met. Further movement against Spirax ABOVE 11280 should improve ac ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Posted on

Brent Crude updated (CCOM:OILBRENT) about to flow uphill?

#Stoxx50 #SP500 Unfortunately, it’s time to once again give a lesson about charts. And with this one, we’ve considerable difficulty in comprehending the logic behind it! The story kicks off with our previous review against Brent in November last year, where we provided a scenario for a drop to 72.36 dollars. This feat was successfully accomplished on December 13th, yet the rest of the dire warnings we’d provided are increasingly difficult to justify.

 

The problem, obviously, is twofold so we’ll give three arguments….

Firstly, Brent DID NOT break below our drop target. Secondly, the value of Brent managed to bounce above the level of trend break on the Red line, roughly 79 dollars. And Third is the stinker, the price of Brent Crude is carefully walking up the Red trend line.

Quite why this Third type of behaviour occurs is beyond us; we’re unable to imagine any trading mindset which would potentially promote such movement. But it is happening and also provides what can be quite a useful trading signal, due to us no longer being confident the value of the black stuff is still trading in a zone where a future $57 should provide a logical bottom. Quite the converse is the usual outcome with this series of dance steps as after all, the only sensible conclusion we should draw being that our original uptrend was wrong.

However, there’s often a grand gesture made when a price starts “walking up” a prior trend, a big thank you to those traders jealously defending short positions as they’ve been expecting a tumble for the last three months since the original trend break. Quite when it shall occur is obviously open to the ‘slings and arrows of outrageous fortune’ and in this instance, the reference from Hamlet to weapons of war is probably apt, given the state of world conflicts. It’s almost like the oil market is just waiting for the right excuse.

Currently trading around 82.69 US dollars, above 84.25 dollars looks capable of triggering price movement to an initial $88 with our secondary, if bettered, a perfectly sane looking $93.20. The “problem”, is such movements start to occur comes with the price of Brent moving into a cycle where we can easily imagine a third level target of $111. The funny thing, if this sort of thing takes place, it becomes possible the “Party Central” reputation of Downing St shall be eclipsed by a UK Prime Minister and Chancellor dancing in the street, due to surprise enhanced VAT revenues.

 

For now, we’ve no confidence remaining in the Red uptrend and suspect Brent now needs drip below $75 to provoke trouble in the fashion of reversal to an initial $71 with secondary, if broken, at $69.3 and a probable bounce.

 

FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:07:56PM BRENT 8261.4
9:12:51PM GOLD 2145.79 ‘cess
9:22:00PM FTSE 7676 Success
9:24:33PM STOX50 4918 4883 4868 4847 4907 4931 4940 4950 4908 Success
10:01:17PM GERMANY 17717.6
10:04:36PM US500 5106.7 5076 5060 5038 5100 5129 5148 5179 5092 Success
10:07:01PM DOW 38672
10:18:19PM NASDAQ 18016 Success
10:21:21PM JAPAN 40369 Success

 

6/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7679 points. Change of 0.43%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,465,210,839 a change of 16.73%
5/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7646 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,538,797,167 a change of -5.01%
4/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7640 points. Change of -0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,830,824,809 a change of -4.21%
1/03/2024 FTSE Closed at 7682 points. Change of 0.68%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,087,264,861 a change of -41.68%
29/02/2024 FTSE Closed at 7630 points. Change of 0.08%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 10,436,888,007 a change of 63.71%
28/02/2024 FTSE Closed at 7624 points. Change of -0.77%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,375,065,167 a change of 28.06%
27/02/2024 FTSE Closed at 7683 points. Change of -0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,978,135,688 a change of -13%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, Barclays, Carnival, Greggs, Lloyds Grp., Natwest, Ocado Plc, Quadrise,

LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 454.9 Percentage Change: + 0.82% Day High: 456.4 Day Low: 446.7

Continued trades against AV. with a mid-price ABOVE 456.4 should improve ……..

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LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 170.92 Percentage Change: + 0.86% Day High: 173 Day Low: 169

Continued trades against BARC with a mid-price ABOVE 173 should improve t ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1136 Percentage Change: + 1.25% Day High: 1159 Day Low: 1116

Further movement against Carnival ABOVE 1159 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs. Close Mid-Price: 2850 Percentage Change: + 2.74% Day High: 2884 Day Low: 2794

All Greggs needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 2884 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:LLOY Lloyds Grp.. Close Mid-Price: 48.4 Percentage Change: + 1.26% Day High: 48.58 Day Low: 47.92

Target met. Continued trades against LLOY with a mid-price ABOVE 48.58 sh ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 252.4 Percentage Change: + 1.04% Day High: 255.3 Day Low: 249.9

Target met. In the event of Natwest enjoying further trades beyond 256, t ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 437.9 Percentage Change: -1.44% Day High: 455.1 Day Low: 431.7

If Ocado Plc experiences continued weakness below 431.7, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise Close Mid-Price: 1.71 Percentage Change: -6.44% Day High: 1.85 Day Low: 1.7

Continued weakness against QED taking the price below 1.7 calculates as l ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.