Trends And Targets

#BrentCude #DAX   An interesting weekend was punctuated with a massive explosion… With the weekend starting by the USA laying on a free fireworks show for Iran, a day of brilliant weather here in Argyll made it easy to forget a nuclear power had just bombed a potential nuclear power. This sort of thing always bothers us a little, thanks to Europe’s secret nuclear weapon store residing just a few miles away from our home, the mountain in the back garden giving some illusory protection. A few weeks ago, when India and Pakistan were barking at each other like two dogs over a garden wall, there was a noticeable increase in military aircraft activity as heavy helicopters were flying low overhead for whatever reason. Despite actions of the USA in Iran, we’ve not been bothered by aircraft activity this weekend, at least until 1am on Sunday morning.

The rains had, as promised, commenced just after midnight, the build up to biblical levels of rainfall not being a surprise but the sudden crack of very local thunder directly overhead was a true shock, the house literally shaking. Never having experienced such a close invisible lightening strike, the first thought jumped directly to something going wrong at the local nuclear weapon shoppe. With a realisation there had been absolutely no change in the noisy rainfall, it was with some relief we concluded it was “just” thunder and relaxed, mentally grateful for the excuse to stop playing Cluedo and sneaking too much red wine (grandchildren visiting) and go to bed.

Here in Argyll, we’re not programmed to cope with temperatures in the 20’s and with the car dashboard boasting of 26.5c, considerable relief welcomed the change in weather. However, Sunday temperatures took some getting used to, the dashboard now reading 13.5c and a breeze taking another 5c off that number. We always joke about our summer being May & June, the torrential rain hinting July is limbering up to ruin the rest of the summer.

 

There’s been a lot of speculation over the weekend the US’s tantrum in Iran shall freak the markets, cause a crash, explode the price of oil, and force European leaders to choose a side. And of course, the media are bathing in a threat of “the enemy within” immigrants being activated to react against “the great Satan”. It’s all very exciting, though unfortunately still reminiscent of the original “may contain weapons of mass destruction” excuses to justify previous wars!

Barclays, presently trading around 324p, has developed a pretty confident trigger point for recovery at 334p. Essentially, closure above such a level will ensure we start confidently promoting the idea of movement to an initial 371p with our longer term secondary, if bettered, at 394p. This secondary is a big deal, dumping the price into a region where a big picture longer term of 508p shall be viewed as exerting an influence.

Alternately, if the speculation of an immediate market panic proves to have any foundation, below 310p could prove a little scary, allowing reversals to an initial 255p with secondary, if broken, at 242p and hopefully a solid rebound…

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
2:06:25AM	BRENT	7615.8	7444	7352	7198	7627	7816	8270	9083	7022
3:20:58AM	GOLD	3368
9:50:12PM	FTSE	8746.5
10:18:23PM	STOX50	5217
10:20:50PM	GERMANY	23282	23280	23195	23098	23330	23404	23524	23596	23317
10:24:51PM	US500	5973.5
10:27:47PM	DOW	42250.8
10:36:57PM	NASDAQ	21652
10:39:46PM	JAPAN	38401

 

20/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8774 points. Change of -0.19%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 13,804,431,161 a change of 245.4%

19/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8791 points. Change of -0.59%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,996,665,836 a change of -22.28%

18/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8843 points. Change of 0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,142,450,151 a change of -29%

17/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8834 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,242,544,038 a change of 37.46%

16/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8875 points. Change of 0.28%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,269,012,608 a change of 2.72%

13/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8850 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,129,702,776 a change of -3.74%

12/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8884 points. Change of 0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,329,195,268 a change of 0.82%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AAL Anglo American** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:MRO Melrose** **LSE:SRP Serco** **LSE:STAN Standard Chartered** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

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Updated charts published on : Anglo American, Diageo, Greggs, Melrose, Serco, Standard Chartered, Tesco,

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LSE:AAL Anglo American Close Mid-Price: 2012 Percentage Change: -0.35% Day High: 2049.5 Day Low: 2016

Target met. In the event Anglo American experiences weakness below 2016 i ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 1881 Percentage Change: -0.74% Day High: 1918.5 Day Low: 1876

If Diageo experiences continued weakness below 1876, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs Close Mid-Price: 1904 Percentage Change: -0.05% Day High: 1916 Day Low: 1892

If Greggs experiences continued weakness below 1892, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:MRO Melrose. Close Mid-Price: 517.2 Percentage Change: + 3.59% Day High: 525.4 Day Low: 504.2

Target met. In the event of Melrose enjoying further trades beyond 525.4, ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco. Close Mid-Price: 198.4 Percentage Change: + 0.35% Day High: 201 Day Low: 197

All Serco needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 201 to improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:STAN Standard Chartered. Close Mid-Price: 1178.5 Percentage Change: + 2.26% Day High: 1198 Day Low: 1172

Continued trades against STAN with a mid-price ABOVE 1198 should improve ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco Close Mid-Price: 402 Percentage Change: -0.05% Day High: 405.2 Day Low: 401.6

Continued trades against TSCO with a mid-price ABOVE 405.2 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#FTSE #Gold   Scottish Widows, owned by Lloyds Banking Group, are perhaps spectacularly shooting themselves in the foot. We’re fairly familiar of the disasters in the pension industry, many of which they haven’t recovered from. Back in 2007, the “smart money” from Pension Funds was invested in UK Blue Chip shares, the flow of Dividend payments along with rock solid share prices making the organisations (and council pension funds) look clever. There was certainly a degree of over-exposure to the banking sector, Lloyds for instance enjoying a high of 615p just before everything hit the fan in 2007. With this “Blue Chip” investment sinking from 615p down to a current 75p, we shouldn’t really be surprised at Scottish Widows growing weary of their FTSE “investments”. The market, overall, is expected to feel some pain, their holdings in the UK diminishing by around 75%.

Unfortunately, we see a little problem with this move by Scottish Widows! They’ve waited years to make this decision, unfortunately with the sort of perfect timing only a corporate committee can come up with as their withdrawing just as the Banking Sector looks like it’s finally enacting a solid recovery from their historic lows. While Scottish Widows reducing their exposure to the UK may impact the FTSE during the next 8 months (according to their timetable), it’s also worth remembering every time they make a sale, someone also opted to buy the share and as a result, harm to the FTSE is liable to prove short term. Meanwhile, the Edinburgh based cowardly “Scottish” company can flee the market, hopefully experiencing the horror all traders experience when they sell a share, watching aghast as it soars higher. A family member recently dumped most of her  Rolls Royce holdings at just over 6 quid, a price level we’d felt was a maximum. When the market opted to gap Rolls Royce up to 735 in February, even exceeding 9 quid recently, any conversation with my little sister usually includes an acidic comment about Rolls Royce… She forgets her holding was initiated when the share price was around 68p.

 

Despite the future of the FTSE facing a drip feed of negative sales by Scottish Widows, our inclination is remain of the belief there is an underlying uptrend on the UK market as it’s completed most of our criteria for a rising cycle to an eventual (though almost unbelievable) long term 9225 points with our secondary, if beaten, at 9800 points. While these numbers almost feel absurd, if the UK index were a single share, we’d be pretty comfortable with this prediction. Near term, however, the market feels slightly nasty.

Currently, below 8788 looks capable of triggering reversals to an initial lame 8767 points with our secondary, if broken, at 8724 points and an almost certain bounce. If triggered, the tightest stop loss looks like 8835 points.

In a more cheerful note, good weather is proposed for the next few days, our grand-daughters doubtless expecting a weekend of paddle boarding or canoes. It’s tempting to teach them how to drive the tractor and attached the cutting deck, so we can get the lawn tidy again. But a memory of discovering how small the lawn feels, when the little tractor is moving at 15mph, means neither girl shall be allowed near it until a method of stopping anything above 2nd gear being selected!

Should Friday bring market movements which echo the good weather, above 8857 should prove capable of triggering “surprise” market recovery to an initial 8881 points with our secondary, if beaten, at 8907 points.

 

Have a good weekend, despite the lack of any Formula 1 action (or inaction).

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
11:10:56PM	BRENT	7785.3	7475	7347		7662	7816	7953		7655	‘cess
11:14:57PM	GOLD	3366.94	3360	3348		3377	3399	3416		3372	‘cess
11:25:57PM	FTSE	8811.5	8782	8768		8816	8870	8906		8835	Success
11:28:39PM	STOX50	5214.1	5201	5189		5231	5240	5261		5210	Success
11:31:07PM	GERMANY	23094.7	23017	22815		23123	23257	23359		23151	‘cess
11:37:27PM	US500	5956.4	5915	5889		5945	5975	6001		5941	Success
11:40:37PM	DOW	42021.3	41752	41558		41986	42142	42163		42036	Success
11:43:24PM	NASDAQ	21665.7	21510	21457		21650	21674	21788		21555	Success
11:45:49PM	JAPAN	38667	38381	38246		38515	38714	38839		38573

 

19/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8791 points. Change of -0.59%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,996,665,836 a change of -22.28%

18/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8843 points. Change of 0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,142,450,151 a change of -29%

17/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8834 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,242,544,038 a change of 37.46%

16/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8875 points. Change of 0.28%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,269,012,608 a change of 2.72%

13/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8850 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,129,702,776 a change of -3.74%

12/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8884 points. Change of 0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,329,195,268 a change of 0.82%

11/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8864 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,285,640,035 a change of 1.8%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:DLG Direct Line Group** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:MRO Melrose** **LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures** **LSE:SRP Serco** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

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Updated charts published on : British Telecom, Carclo, Diageo, Direct Line Group, Greggs, Melrose, OPG Power Ventures, Serco, Tesco,

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 191.15 Percentage Change: + 0.95% Day High: 191.5 Day Low: 189.3

Continued trades against BT.A with a mid-price ABOVE 191.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo. Close Mid-Price: 48 Percentage Change: + 3.23% Day High: 47.7 Day Low: 46.9

Target met. Continued trades against CAR with a mid-price ABOVE 47.7 shou ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 1895 Percentage Change: -0.21% Day High: 1911.5 Day Low: 1882

In the event Diageo experiences weakness below 1882 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:DLG Direct Line Group Close Mid-Price: 304.4 Percentage Change: -0.46% Day High: 309.8 Day Low: 304.4

All Direct Line Group needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 309.8 to improve a ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs Close Mid-Price: 1905 Percentage Change: -1.04% Day High: 1915 Day Low: 1899

Continued weakness against GRG taking the price below 1899 calculates as ……..

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LSE:MRO Melrose. Close Mid-Price: 499.3 Percentage Change: + 2.69% Day High: 510.2 Day Low: 480.5

Continued trades against MRO with a mid-price ABOVE 510.2 should improve ……..

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LSE:OPG OPG Power Ventures. Close Mid-Price: 6.2 Percentage Change: + 7.83% Day High: 6.25 Day Low: 5.75

Further movement against OPG Power Ventures ABOVE 6.25 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco. Close Mid-Price: 197.7 Percentage Change: + 0.20% Day High: 199.5 Day Low: 192.1

Continued trades against SRP with a mid-price ABOVE 199.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 402.2 Percentage Change: + 0.35% Day High: 404.6 Day Low: 400.7

In the event of Tesco enjoying further trades beyond 404.6, the share sho ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Gold #Nasdaq  We don’t get many supercars here in Argyll, often suspecting the reason for the lack relates to awful ground clearance which, when challenged with difficult entry and exit from ferries, along with the reality of our roads boasting potholes which in other countries would be declared an iconic part of the landscape. This is a bit of a pity, due to many of our roads being quite challenging and fun from a drivers perspective, and the scenery doesn’t exactly stink either. The weather, on the other hand, is always open to debate.

A very new looking Aston Martin drove off the ferry today, making the crossing at high tide which greatly reduced the risks from unexpected impacts again a low tide ramp.

After arriving home, my wife invariably asked what model of Aston it was, my only answer being “it was a green one”. To be fair, there’s a sameness across the Aston Martin model range aside from their pretty bland looking SUV. The company share price has been quite vile for years  but perhaps, unlike their Formula1 team, the share price shall finally start to experience some positive vibes.

The immediate situation suggests movement above 89p should now trigger price recovery toward an initial 101p with our secondary, if bettered, calculating at a longer term 118p and some probable hesitation.

To inject some sanity into what comes next, Aston Martin share price needs close a session below 78p to utterly trash our lovely calculations. Given the share is trading at 86 at time of writing, this is a bit like mentioning their Formula 1 driver Lance Stroll is drawing level with his team-mate or any other hazard on track. The chap seems never to have learned the saying,; “You go where you are looking” as avoidance isn’t one of his strong points!

Share price CLOSURE above 118p shall be regarded as a really big deal, allowing for longer term movement to an initial 169p, our Big Picture secondary working out at a future 185p.

Who knows, perhaps AML are on the edge of doing something useful?

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
11:16:02PM	BRENT	7521.3
11:18:42PM	GOLD	3374.9	3362	3348	3314	3392	3400	3412	3429	3373
11:22:07PM	FTSE	8840.4
11:24:18PM	STOX50	5255.7
11:38:45PM	GERMANY	23295
11:42:42PM	US500	5974.1
11:44:51PM	DOW	42125.8
11:47:45PM	NASDAQ	21694.1	21656	21602	21476	21744	21868	21943	22038	21708
11:52:15PM	JAPAN	38679									Success

 

18/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8843 points. Change of 0.1%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,142,450,151 a change of -29%

17/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8834 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,242,544,038 a change of 37.46%

16/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8875 points. Change of 0.28%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,269,012,608 a change of 2.72%

13/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8850 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,129,702,776 a change of -3.74%

12/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8884 points. Change of 0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,329,195,268 a change of 0.82%

11/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8864 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,285,640,035 a change of 1.8%

10/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8853 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,192,375,156 a change of 15.94%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:ITM ITM Power** **LSE:ITRK Intertek** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

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Updated charts published on : Carclo, Capita, Diageo, Greggs, ITM Power, Intertek, Tesco,

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LSE:CAR Carclo. Close Mid-Price: 46.5 Percentage Change: + 5.68% Day High: 47 Day Low: 43.5

Target met. All Carclo needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 47 to improve acc ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita. Close Mid-Price: 284 Percentage Change: + 7.17% Day High: 289 Day Low: 264

Target met. Further movement against Capita ABOVE 289 should improve acce ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 1899 Percentage Change: -0.73% Day High: 1917.5 Day Low: 1883

Continued weakness against DGE taking the price below 1883 calculates as ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs Close Mid-Price: 1925 Percentage Change: -0.72% Day High: 1935 Day Low: 1909

Weakness on Greggs below 1909 will invariably lead to 1888 with secondary ……..

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LSE:ITM ITM Power Close Mid-Price: 81.8 Percentage Change: -0.49% Day High: 84.9 Day Low: 77.9

All ITM Power needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 84.9 to improve accelerati ……..

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LSE:ITRK Intertek. Close Mid-Price: 4766 Percentage Change: + 0.34% Day High: 4776 Day Low: 4736

Below 4620 risks promoting reversal next to an initial 4462 with secondary ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 400.8 Percentage Change: + 1.16% Day High: 401.5 Day Low: 397.6

Further movement against Tesco ABOVE 401.5 should improve acceleration to ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#FTSE #Stoxx50   We remain with a soft spot for Hong Kong & Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC). The reason is fairly basic, the company formed by a Scottish chap anxious to produce a company capable of operating on “sound Scottish banking principles”. They were also, almost as an afterthought, eager to profit off the drug trade, especially opium, but also happy to finance the flow of cheap goods and merchandise from China to the rest of the British empire. While so called “sound Scottish banking principles” vanished in the bonfire which immolated Royal Bank of Scotland in 2009, the sector had been fooling the entire world, based on the reputation of folk who are long gone. It’s unlikely Fred Goodwin will have any roads named after him, unlike his predecessors in RBS and HSBC.

 

On the subject of roads, we’ve a spectacular event locally this weekend, the Argyll town of Dunoon attempting to mimic Monte Carlo while it hosts the final stage of the Argyll Rally on public roads in the town centre.

Hopefully we’re able to attend and take some snapshots, especially of the full speed blast the wrong way down the towns high street. As the photo below highlights, the local boy racer fraternity already are embracing the concept of racing on the edge. Not shown in this snapshot is an utterly furious looking mother, along with a downcrest teenager, while they admire the burnt out vehicle suspended in small trees at the edge of a local forest. He had lost control on a straight road… Presumably the teenager will use the patented local lie; “A deer jumped in front of me”. It’s an excuse impossible to disprove, once even used by our own daughter when she wrote off her Toyota RAV4.

 

As for HSBC, their share price is driving us a little nuts. A couple of positives, the share is now trading firmly above the price level before the man made artificial Covid-19 reversals of 2020. Despite the banking share experiencing movements last April which were strangely reminiscent of that awful year, share price movements recently seem to be quietly implying we should anticipate some further gains in 2025. It is certainly the case HSBC share price needs close a session below 709p to bring panic, the visuals imparting a surprising degree of confidence.

Now above 890p should prove quite significant, hopefully triggering share price movements to an initial 1064p. If exceeded, our secondary calculates at a future 1095p, the close proximity of these target levels bringing a subliminal suggestion we should anticipate some hesitation there’s any risk of the share price soaring gleefully into the land of higher highs.

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:53:29PM	BRENT	7642.2									Success
10:57:43PM	GOLD	3387.74
11:00:25PM	FTSE	8840.3	8807	8796	8760	8844	8863	8884	8908	8832
11:04:01PM	STOX50	5260.9	5256	5235	5199	5274	5311	5325	5348	5283
11:06:20PM	GERMANY	23277
11:09:48PM	US500	5973.4									‘cess
11:12:37PM	DOW	42172.3									‘cess
11:14:33PM	NASDAQ	21686
11:16:30PM	JAPAN	38190

 

17/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8834 points. Change of -0.46%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,242,544,038 a change of 37.46%

16/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8875 points. Change of 0.28%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,269,012,608 a change of 2.72%

13/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8850 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,129,702,776 a change of -3.74%

12/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8884 points. Change of 0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,329,195,268 a change of 0.82%

11/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8864 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,285,640,035 a change of 1.8%

10/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8853 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,192,375,156 a change of 15.94%

9/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8832 points. Change of -0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,478,322,268 a change of 1.25%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Carclo, Capita, Diageo, Greggs, Tullow,

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LSE:CAR Carclo. Close Mid-Price: 44 Percentage Change: + 4.76% Day High: 43.8 Day Low: 41.5

Target met. Further movement against Carclo ABOVE 43.8 should improve acc ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita. Close Mid-Price: 265 Percentage Change: + 6.21% Day High: 269.5 Day Low: 238.5

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LSE:DGE Diageo. Close Mid-Price: 1913 Percentage Change: + 0.37% Day High: 1910 Day Low: 1890

Weakness on Diageo below 1890 will invariably lead to 1875p with secondar ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs Close Mid-Price: 1939 Percentage Change: -0.62% Day High: 1955 Day Low: 1928

In the event Greggs experiences weakness below 1928 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 21.4 Percentage Change: + 4.90% Day High: 21.5 Day Low: 19.74

Continued trades against TLW with a mid-price ABOVE 21.5 should improve t ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Gold #SP500   A bunch of emails, doubtless inspired by recent movements on the price of gold, have been asking about the prospects for Greatland Gold. Unsurprisingly, with world events recently suggesting paying attention to “safe” investments may not be a dreadful idea, the price of Gold has gone a little nuts. We’d advise a little caution before rushing to join the Gold party, there being a suggestion peace could break out with very little warning, provoking reversals in Gold and obviously, the price of Crude oil, any interruption in the flow of missiles doubtless being welcomed by world markets. Unfortunately, this will tend make deaths on both sides of the political arguments meaningless, but folk holding long positions may find themselves absorbing damage from rapid reversals in Gold or Crude.

However… while the price of Crude looks vulnerable to any outbreak of common sense, Gold has behaved just a little differently, arguably taking a bit of a breath before a fairly near term surge to a new high. In other words, Gold appears to be showing strength absent from the price of Crude, so perhaps share prices with companies in the Gold sector shall experience continued oomph for the future. From our perspective, Greatland, despite enjoying assets in Western Australia, are entirely wrongly placed, unable to take advantage of the 0.7 metre of snow which fell at the weekend, starting the ski season surprisingly early in Eastern Australia!

Before we zoom in on the share price for Greatland, it shall be worth watching Gold as movement above 3,447 should next promote the concept of growth to an initial 3,535 with our secondary, if beaten, at a longer term 3,675 and very probable hesitation.

 

With regard Greatland, despite employees being denied the opportunity of skiing to work, movement next above 18p should hopefully trigger share price recovery to an initial 21.4p with our secondary, if bettered, at a longer term 28.7p. Overall, we can now regard the share as trading in a zone where a long term 42p is apparently exerting an attraction. If everything intends go dreadfully wrong, price closure below 15p shall be regarded as a bad thing, undoing any immediate growth calculations and forcing us back to studying the tea leaves.

For now, despite a strong visual chance of the share price reversing to threaten the 15p level, we shall not be surprised if it intend head to 28p as a major point of interest.

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:28:09PM	BRENT	7232.3									‘cess
10:31:04PM	GOLD	3384.89	3380	3353	3320	3396	3422	3433	3450	3406
10:46:44PM	FTSE	8838
11:05:18PM	STOX50	5316
11:18:35PM	GERMANY	23578.8
11:23:53PM	US500	6031.5	5995	5974	5948	6026	6045	6059	6098	6022	‘cess
11:36:34PM	DOW	42511.5									‘cess
11:38:24PM	NASDAQ	21884.5									‘cess
11:41:39PM	JAPAN	38544									‘cess

 

16/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8875 points. Change of 0.28%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,269,012,608 a change of 2.72%

13/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8850 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,129,702,776 a change of -3.74%

12/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8884 points. Change of 0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,329,195,268 a change of 0.82%

11/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8864 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,285,640,035 a change of 1.8%

10/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8853 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,192,375,156 a change of 15.94%

9/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8832 points. Change of -0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,478,322,268 a change of 1.25%

6/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8837 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,423,165,966 a change of -14.16%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CASP Caspian** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:DGE Diageo** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

********

Updated charts published on : Caspian, Centrica, Diageo, Firstgroup, Fresnillo, Tullow,

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LSE:CASP Caspian Close Mid-Price: 2.1 Percentage Change: -19.23% Day High: 2.4 Day Low: 2.1

If Caspian experiences continued weakness below 2.1, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 168.1 Percentage Change: + 1.27% Day High: 168.9 Day Low: 165.9

All Centrica needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 168.9 to improve accelerati ……..

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LSE:DGE Diageo Close Mid-Price: 1906 Percentage Change: -2.26% Day High: 1948 Day Low: 1900.5

If Diageo experiences continued weakness below 1900.5, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup Close Mid-Price: 226.4 Percentage Change: -0.53% Day High: 230 Day Low: 223.8

All Firstgroup needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 230 to improve accelerati ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 1417 Percentage Change: -1.94% Day High: 1454 Day Low: 1415

In the event of Fresnillo enjoying further trades beyond 1454, the share ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 20.4 Percentage Change: + 8.28% Day High: 20.7 Day Low: 19.04

In the event of Tullow enjoying further trades beyond 20.7, the share sho ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Brent #Dax  Thus far, world events have failed to destabilise Lloyds Bank share price though we’re inclined to an outpouring of caution, due to Crude oil and Gold being goosed upward during the last few sessions. It’s almost as if the market is taking a deep breath while Israel and Iran scratch each others back with missiles. Meanwhile, the media continue to paint a picture of calm in the world, careful to ensure the word “Pakistan” doesn’t appear anywhere near any article on the Indian airliner disaster. It’s about as transparent as the “Romanian” interpreter in the Northern Ireland case against immigrants, exquisite care being taken by a media avoiding admitting the Romanian interpreter isn’t being used to translate from Romanian but instead, allegedly from another language!

No matter what, the world is not a nice place presently. Some real entertainment was had from the Canadian Grand Prix, all of which we missed due to an “incident” shutting the all ferries down for 6 hours. A huge search and rescue operation was launched for a missing passenger, something previously unheard of! However, the wonderful ESPN Formula 1 summary on YouTube got the entire race’s good bits out of the way in just 20 minutes. Unfortunately, the missing passenger remains missing, the chaps wife failing to notice he was absent until the vessel docked. This is perhaps not as odd as it sounds, my own wife expecting me to either nap for the crossing or go on deck and take photographs of the ever changing Argyll scenery.

 

And therefore, despite an accumulation of excuses for Lloyds share price not to accelerate properly,  things are performing with some resilience. The share price is certainly fluttering around but absolutely nowhere need any danger level, Lloyds share needing to close below 48p before investing in running shoes becomes a great idea.

Currently, share price movement above 79p  should prove capable of triggering recovery (we can still call it recovery for quite a while!) to an initial 89p with our secondary, if bettered, at a longer term visually sensible 110p. In fact, Lloyds are becoming irritating as we dare not describe movements as “growth” rather than “recovery” until such time the share price closes above 110p as a future 124p becomes available as a 3rd level ambition, a point in time where arithmetic will allow us to describe a ridiculous sounding 200p as exerting an attraction…

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
10:25:38PM	BRENT	7420.3	7250	7018	6752	7495	7610	7714	8092	7344
10:28:42PM	GOLD	3432
10:30:49PM	FTSE	8835.7
10:32:51PM	STOX50	5272.2
10:36:47PM	GERMANY	23430.9	23277	22965	22453	23564	24501	23833	23943	23727
11:26:31PM	US500	5954.5
11:30:18PM	DOW	42111
11:33:02PM	NASDAQ	21621
11:35:04PM	JAPAN	37808

 

13/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8850 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,129,702,776 a change of -3.74%

12/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8884 points. Change of 0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,329,195,268 a change of 0.82%

11/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8864 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,285,640,035 a change of 1.8%

10/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8853 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,192,375,156 a change of 15.94%

9/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8832 points. Change of -0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,478,322,268 a change of 1.25%

6/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8837 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,423,165,966 a change of -14.16%

5/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8811 points. Change of 0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,152,607,890 a change of -21.02%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AAL Anglo American** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:CPI Capita** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:GRG Greggs** **LSE:ITV ITV** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

********

Updated charts published on : Anglo American, Centrica, Capita, Firstgroup, Fresnillo, Greggs, ITV, Tullow, Tesco,

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LSE:AAL Anglo American Close Mid-Price: 2113.5 Percentage Change: -0.94% Day High: 2108.5 Day Low: 2081.5

If Anglo American experiences continued weakness below 2081.5, it will in ……..

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 166 Percentage Change: + 0.45% Day High: 167.6 Day Low: 165.3

In the event of Centrica enjoying further trades beyond 167.6, the share ……..

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LSE:CPI Capita Close Mid-Price: 249.5 Percentage Change: -3.67% Day High: 265 Day Low: 247

All Capita needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 265 to improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 227.6 Percentage Change: + 0.62% Day High: 228.6 Day Low: 223.2

Target met. In the event of Firstgroup enjoying further trades beyond 228 ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 1445 Percentage Change: + 2.19% Day High: 1447 Day Low: 1400

Target met. Further movement against Fresnillo ABOVE 1447 should improve ……..

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LSE:GRG Greggs Close Mid-Price: 1981 Percentage Change: -0.15% Day High: 1990 Day Low: 1945

If Greggs experiences continued weakness below 1945, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:ITV ITV. Close Mid-Price: 83.45 Percentage Change: + 1.03% Day High: 86.25 Day Low: 81.9

Continued trades against ITV with a mid-price ABOVE 86.25 should improve ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 18.84 Percentage Change: + 0.32% Day High: 19.66 Day Low: 18.58

Further movement against Tullow ABOVE 19.66 should improve acceleration t ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 398.2 Percentage Change: + 1.69% Day High: 399.2 Day Low: 387.3

All Tesco needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 399.2 to improve acceleration ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Gold #FTSE Thursday should have brought outpourings of happiness for the UK market, the index finally achieving an all time high by accelerating beyond the peak at the start of March this year. However, it’s likely the fun and games between Israel and Iran shall overshadow everything, Israel having decided to remove Iran’s nuclear potentials. Further muddying the waters is an expectation of civil war in Iran, once the Israel action is complete and regime change becomes possible. In other words, the FTSE shall probably opt to experience reversals, regardless of any “higher high” justifications for hope.

This conflict kicking off so late, ensured our suggested Long positions on Brent Crude were probably useless. With Brent futures currently trading around 7648 cents, we suspect a price level of 8200 shall be challenged on the immediate cycle. Our longer term secondary, if such a point is exceeded, works out at 9072 cents! Our life would certainly be easier, if they’d announce well in advance the date and time of future conflicts as the surprise war can easily make our numbers redundant within minutes. For instance, if the FTSE intends panic, reversal to around 8760 points looks possible, perhaps with further drops in 100 point increments, producing a secondary target around 8656 points..

At time of writing, FTSE futures are around 8820 points and with news Iran were on the verge of assembling 15 nuclear weapons, we lack confidence in declaring 8760 points as a “bottom” capable of provoking a bounce. Overall, it is even possible to speculate on 8570 eventually making an appearance. Amazingly, the tightest stop loss level is astounding, sitting around just 8845 points.

 

But there has been something “funny” with index movements during the most recent 8 sessions. Generally, our conclusion is to completely distrust a break of an uptrend, when a share or market price essentially haunts the prior uptrend and continuing upward. This situation often ends with a “surprise” sharp recovery above the prior trend line, meaning we shall not be aghast if the market regains direction, finding itself above Red and creating a scenario where happy days are ahead. In summary, we can speculate any near term reversals shall prove a bit fake and short lived.

If we’re right, moves next above 8897 points should paint a picture of FTSE GAINS to an initial 9303 points with our Big Picture longer term secondary calculating at 9715 points.

 

Have a good weekend and enjoy the often messy Canadian Grant Prix. Or better still, watch the party atmosphere from the  Le Mans 24 hrs, an event which always resonates with a “wish I could afford to be there” vibe. It’s one of these events, like OctoFest in Munich, or the Edinburgh Festival in Scotland, usually 5 days of pompous garbage overshadowed by a single 30 minute show.

 

 

FUTURES

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
11:42:33PM	BRENT	6997.3	6806	6704		6864	7007	7052	7134
11:50:19PM	GOLD	3380.69	3338	3318		3377	3400	3413	3453		Success
10:54:41PM	FTSE	8879.7	8826	8795		8874	8903	8917	8934		‘cess
10:58:37PM	STOX50	5353.3	5338	5323		5364	5382	5399	5424		‘cess
11:28:35PM	GERMANY	23714.4	23613	23572		23739	23888	23979	24101		‘cess
11:32:15PM	US500	6032.9	5983	5957		6017	6047	6053	6076
11:36:04PM	DOW	42893	42556	42382		42813	42975	43006	43156		‘cess
11:38:26PM	NASDAQ	21854	21696	21579		21815	21952	21990	22032		‘cess
11:41:16PM	JAPAN	38112	37971	37837		38250	38302	38433	38584

 

12/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8884 points. Change of 0.23%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,329,195,268 a change of 0.82%

11/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8864 points. Change of 0.12%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,285,640,035 a change of 1.8%

10/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8853 points. Change of 0.24%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,192,375,156 a change of 15.94%

9/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8832 points. Change of -0.06%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,478,322,268 a change of 1.25%

6/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8837 points. Change of 0.3%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,423,165,966 a change of -14.16%

5/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8811 points. Change of 0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,152,607,890 a change of -21.02%

4/06/2025 FTSE Closed at 8801 points. Change of 0.16%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,523,776,146 a change of 16.37%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AAL Anglo American** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:ITV ITV** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

********

Updated charts published on : Anglo American, British Telecom, Firstgroup, Fresnillo, ITV, Tesco,

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LSE:AAL Anglo American Close Mid-Price: 2133.5 Percentage Change: -0.44% Day High: 2138.5 Day Low: 2103

Continued weakness against AAL taking the price below 2103 calculates as ……..

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom. Close Mid-Price: 185.45 Percentage Change: + 2.57% Day High: 188.4 Day Low: 179.75

Target met. In the event of British Telecom enjoying further trades beyon ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 226.2 Percentage Change: + 3.86% Day High: 225.2 Day Low: 207

Further movement against Firstgroup ABOVE 225.2 should improve accelerati ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 1414 Percentage Change: + 1.87% Day High: 1416 Day Low: 1384

Target met. All Fresnillo needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1416 to improv ……..

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LSE:ITV ITV. Close Mid-Price: 82.6 Percentage Change: + 4.23% Day High: 83.45 Day Low: 79.15

In the event of ITV enjoying further trades beyond 83.45, the share shoul ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 391.6 Percentage Change: + 1.64% Day High: 397.6 Day Low: 385.6

Continued trades against TSCO with a mid-price ABOVE 397.6 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares