FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX), more misery ahead?

#FTSE #GOLD  From our perspective, the FTSE has now managed to get itself into a bit of a mess. Closing the session on Thursday at 7280 points, the index achieved a successful “lower low” but only, if we take a particular stance. Back on 20th March, the index hit 7206 points but closed the session at an amazing 7403 points. This creates a somewhat ambiguous “lower low” argument but experience has taught the closing price invariably proves the most important argument, especially when coupled with a price closing below a trend.

In the case of the FTSE charts below, the uptrend (Red) since the Covid-19 low of 2020 has not yet been troubled, so we shouldn’t embrace panic. Currently, the FTSE needs close a session below 7215 to solidly break Red, moving the index into a region where a future bottom around 6623 points shall make painful sense.

In summary, we appear to be witnessing a fairly coherent warning shot for future trouble for the index.

But, as always, there’s reason for hope.

 

There’s a pretty strong argument expecting a bounce by the 7200 level, the FTSE already pretty close to a calculated “bottom” within the immediate cycle which works out at 7206 points. This should prove viable, if the UK market weakens below 7267 points.

Absurdly, the index now needs above 7303 points to suggest any near term bottom may be viable as this should trigger market recovery to an initial 7360 with secondary, if beaten, calculating at an impressive 7494 points. It’s difficult to express any reasoning to suggest such a massive gain shall prove possible in just a single session.

 

Crucially, it’s the British Grand Prix this weekend from Silverstone. Hopefully it rains as this should make for a reasonable spectacle but ideally, nothing like the monsoon conditions currently affecting us in Argyll. Traditionally, the start of August brings biblical levels of rain but tonight, the roar from our garden waterfall is proving quite distracting.

Have a good weekend.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:16:09PM BRENT 7648 7499 7453 7563 7667 7698 7606
9:18:27PM GOLD 1909.82 1906 1901 1913 1914 1917 1908 Success
9:22:47PM FTSE 7283.7 7266 7232 7326 7313 7319 7280 Ditto
9:42:44PM STOX50 4226.6 4211 4197 4252 4252 4265 4226 Ditto
9:45:41PM GERMANY 15536.1 15492 15457 15566 15635 15660 15546 Ditto
9:47:58PM US500 4410.1 4385 4368 4412 4417 4424 4405 Ditto
9:50:38PM DOW 33915.5 33768 33705 33955 34192 34226 33930 Ditto
9:58:46PM NASDAQ 15074 14970 14873 15060 15147 15177 15100 Exact
10:00:42PM JAPAN 32394 32245 32199 32464 32748 32941 32600 Success

 

6/07/2023 FTSE Closed at 7280 points. Change of -2.18%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,570,653,867 a change of 7.74%
5/07/2023 FTSE Closed at 7442 points. Change of -1.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,170,439,166 a change of 50.69%
4/07/2023 FTSE Closed at 7519 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,431,263,448 a change of -36.49%
3/07/2023 FTSE Closed at 7527 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,402,403,715 a change of 3.4%
30/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7531 points. Change of 0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,224,612,707 a change of -11.43%
29/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7471 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,898,729,234 a change of 13.7%
28/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7500 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,188,003,612 a change of 2.29%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs** **LSE:BT.A British Telecom** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:ITV ITV** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

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Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Aviva, BALFOUR BEATTY, Barrett Devs, British Telecom, Firstgroup, IG Group, ITV, National Glib, Reabold Resources PLC, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 12.02 Percentage Change: -4.91% Day High: 12.78 Day Low: 11.78

Target met. If AFC Energy experiences continued weakness below 11.78, it ……..

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LSE:AV. Aviva Close Mid-Price: 381.6 Percentage Change: -2.13% Day High: 387.6 Day Low: 380.1

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LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY Close Mid-Price: 331.4 Percentage Change: -3.27% Day High: 346 Day Low: 330.6

Weakness on BALFOUR BEATTY below 330.6 will invariably lead to 318 with s ……..

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LSE:BDEV Barrett Devs Close Mid-Price: 401 Percentage Change: -3.14% Day High: 412.1 Day Low: 400.9

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LSE:BT.A British Telecom Close Mid-Price: 121.5 Percentage Change: -2.06% Day High: 124.35 Day Low: 120.9

Target met. If British Telecom experiences continued weakness below 120.9 ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup Close Mid-Price: 144.7 Percentage Change: -0.55% Day High: 149.1 Day Low: 144.3

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 632.5 Percentage Change: -3.07% Day High: 650.5 Day Low: 638

Target met. If IG Group experiences continued weakness below 638, it will ……..

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LSE:ITV ITV Close Mid-Price: 65.46 Percentage Change: -3.74% Day High: 67.96 Day Low: 65.56

Continued weakness against ITV taking the price below 65.56 calculates as ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib Close Mid-Price: 1020 Percentage Change: -0.73% Day High: 1035 Day Low: 1012.5

Weakness on National Glib below 1012.5 will invariably lead to 1003 with ……..

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LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC Close Mid-Price: 0.11 Percentage Change: -6.52% Day High: 0.12 Day Low: 0.1

Continued weakness against RBD taking the price below 0.1 calculates as l ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey Close Mid-Price: 99.7 Percentage Change: -2.40% Day High: 102 Day Low: 99.26

If Taylor Wimpey experiences continued weakness below 99.26, it will inva ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Predator Oil & Gas (LSE:PRD) and Jean-Claude Van Damme

#Stoxx50 #Japan  Wednesday proved a day of revelations, featuring The Spice Girls and Jean Claude Van Damme! Firstly, there was the realisation The Spice Girls were responsible for the FTSE’s lack of performance since 2012. If they hadn’t performed at the London Olympics, goodness knows how different the world would be. But the chart shows the damage enacted by the superbly talented girl group, the country failing to recover from the brief recession which caused so much damage in 2012.

Our reason for the chart was a little less interesting. People keep searching for blame to account for the UK markets terrible performance, Brexit obviously being one of the popular candidates. Unfortunately, the writing was on the wall long before this point in history and to be concise, the UK failed produce any form of lasting recovery from the financial crash of 2009. The situation now appears to be; no matter what is thrown at the UK, the markets fail to respond, instead remaining in a cycle of misery more suited to a TV soap such as East Enders. When viewed against the performance of Wall St, Germany, or the S&P 500, the FTSE becomes a positive embarrassment – neatly reminding us of The Spice Girls doing the Olympics.

 

As for Jean Claude Van Damme (JCVD), the discovery he was hired to act the role of “Predator” in the film of the same name gave an excuse to review a share we glanced at just a few weeks ago. JCVD abandoned the roll of being a 7 foot tall kick boxing monster, when he discovered he was required to wear stilts, risking very real damage to his person. He left the job, the studio finding someone who was actually the correct height to fit the suit, and the rest is history. In our opinion, it was a fun action movie and JCVD even got to make a cameo appearance in the closing scene, flying a helicopter to the rescue.

Predator’ share price managed to achieve our secondary target, even exceeding it slightly to 16.87p. More importantly, it also closed a session above 15.5p, creating a situation where we should be optimistic for further gains in the future. For no reason other than a wish for things to be tied up in a pretty bow, we wish the share price had closed above 15.5p on the same day it so precisely achieved our target of 16.8p. Instead, it closed at 13.85p and we cannot logically spot a reason for this.

Instead, in an effort to fall down a rabbit hole of numbers, the situation now exists where our software demands the share price close above 16.6p before it will be impressed, triggering further oomph toward 21p with secondary, if beaten, at 23.6p and a new all time high. If attempting to measure immediate strength, intraday traffic near term above 16.9p should trigger an attempt at 19 and if this is exceeded, there’s a strong possibility movement of strength is under way.

If things intend go wrong for Predator, below 13p looks capable of ringing alarm bells, suggesting a drip down to an initial 10p and a need for us to revisit all the numbers!

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
11:14:51PM BRENT 7646 ‘cess
11:21:36PM GOLD 1917.12 Shambles
11:27:46PM FTSE 7437.7 Success
11:43:34PM STOX50 4345.5 4341 4323 4291 4365 4384 4388 4404 4355 Success
11:45:38PM GERMANY 15907.7 Success
11:48:13PM US500 4444.1 ‘cess
11:52:08PM DOW 34251 Success
11:54:25PM NASDAQ 15195.3 ‘cess
11:57:24PM JAPAN 33062 32910 32832 32502 33155 33381 33499 33671 33204
5/07/2023 FTSE Closed at 7442 points. Change of -1.02%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,170,439,166 a change of 50.69%
4/07/2023 FTSE Closed at 7519 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,431,263,448 a change of -36.49%
3/07/2023 FTSE Closed at 7527 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,402,403,715 a change of 3.4%
30/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7531 points. Change of 0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,224,612,707 a change of -11.43%
29/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7471 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,898,729,234 a change of 13.7%
28/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7500 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,188,003,612 a change of 2.29%
27/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of 0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,071,918,393 a change of 6.71%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **

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Updated charts published on : Carnival, ECO (Atlantic) O & G, IG Group, Ocado Plc, Tern Plc,


LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1351.5 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 1376.5 Day Low: 1313

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LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G. Close Mid-Price: 14.5 Percentage Change: + 0.69% Day High: 15.38 Day Low: 14.12

It’s now the case of below 13.75 suggesting the potential of reversal to a ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group Close Mid-Price: 652.5 Percentage Change: -1.88% Day High: 663 Day Low: 652.5

Continued weakness against IGG taking the price below 652.5 calculates as ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 573.4 Percentage Change: -6.79% Day High: 609 Day Low: 570.8

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc. Close Mid-Price: 4 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 4 Day Low: 3.75

Now below 3.75 indicates the potential of a visit to 3p next with secondar ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Rheinmetall AG (XE:RHM) shooting for the stars…

#FTSE #Nasdaq  It was a surprise, discovering a German company with an exquisite sense of humour on its website. Rheinmetal, founded in 1889, managed to create a solid grin as we basked in their boasts of sustainability, CO2 neutrality, social responsibility, emission reduction, and of course, the ever important “Environmental Protection, Energy, and Quality Policy”. Of course, it’s questionable if someone shopping for a Panther Main Battle Tank or more basic tactical vehicles or even F35 fighter aircraft bodies will pay any attention to the company’s green credentials, their product portfolio comprising sufficient attraction to keep those with a military inclination fascinated.

But they do exhibit all important green credentials, necessary if one intends survive in todays world!

 

We’ve been browsing through military linked share prices, attempting to discover who’s benefiting from the Russian thing and currently, it looks like Rheinmetall share price is about due a turn leading the pack. Whether it’s related to their recent promotion to the DAX 40, thanks to reaching #33 in the list of companies with the highest capitalisation in Germany or perhaps, just part of the natural cycle of prices. Regardless it looks like the company doesn’t need work hard to produce some improvement in their share price.

 

Rheinmetall exceeding 257€ should be the first step in a series of trigger movements from a Big Picture perspective, suggesting the potential of future gains to an initial 295 with our secondary, if this level is bettered, calculating up at 313€. Both target levels represent new all time highs for the share price.

Visually, it needs break Red on the chart (currently 205€) to indicate everything going terribly wrong as this risks entering a cycle to 147€ and ideally, a bounce.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:34:17PM BRENT 7607.9
9:36:24PM GOLD 1925.53
9:44:36PM FTSE 7516.3 7513 7505 7486 7533 7536 7549 7561 7513
9:47:04PM STOX50 4385.3
9:49:29PM GERMANY 16029.4 ‘cess
9:51:36PM US500 4452.7
9:53:38PM DOW 34374.5
9:59:07PM NASDAQ 15187.6 15125 15112 15072 15200 15232 15239 15268 15177
10:01:22PM JAPAN 33202 Success

 

4/07/2023 FTSE Closed at 7519 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 3,431,263,448 a change of -36.49%
3/07/2023 FTSE Closed at 7527 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,402,403,715 a change of 3.4%
30/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7531 points. Change of 0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,224,612,707 a change of -11.43%
29/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7471 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,898,729,234 a change of 13.7%
28/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7500 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,188,003,612 a change of 2.29%
27/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of 0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,071,918,393 a change of 6.71%
26/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7453 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,753,007,649 a change of 17.78%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:CBX Cellular Goods** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC** **

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Updated charts published on : Astrazeneca, Cellular Goods, Carnival, Centrica, Reabold Resources PLC,


LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 10580 Percentage Change: + 1.99% Day High: 10664 Day Low: 10278

Weakness on Astrazeneca below 10278 will invariably lead to 9918 with sec ……..

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LSE:CBX Cellular Goods. Close Mid-Price: 0.78 Percentage Change: + 3.33% Day High: 0.82 Day Low: 0.78

Continued weakness against CBX taking the price below 0.78 calculates as ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1351.5 Percentage Change: + 0.75% Day High: 1358.5 Day Low: 1331

Continued trades against CCL with a mid-price ABOVE 1358.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 125.35 Percentage Change: + 0.52% Day High: 127.85 Day Low: 124.75

Target met. Continued trades against CNA with a mid-price ABOVE 127.85 sh ……..

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LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC Close Mid-Price: 0.12 Percentage Change: -4.08% Day High: 0.12 Day Low: 0.12

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Pantheon Resources Plc (LSE:PANR) ready to bounce?

#Gold #SP500 When we looked at Pantheon  over a year ago, we’d gloomily given a “bottom” potential at 47p, an aspiration the share price didn’t exactly ignore. While it’s currently trading around 11p, share price movements provided a classical lesson on why we distrust things when a target level is broken, or in the case of Pantheon, shattered. This was to prove to be one of these instances where, if a price is seen to be reacting to a trend or a target, the odds are of something important happening.

At the end of last year, the share price treated our 47p ambition with similar distain to a politician dealing with the electorate, yet we were left with a sneaking suspicion our “bottom” target was correct. In the next couple of months, share price movements paid homage to the 47p level, gradually nudging higher until there was a vague chance the original break of 47p was all a dreadful mistake. This sense of sanity was to be a mistake, the original drop below 47p proving to be a solid signal worse days were ahead and on March 6th of this year, the market chose to Gap (manipulate – circled) the share value firmly below the 47p, level, opening the session at 34p with a pretty solid suggestion “they” wanted the share price down further.

 

 

The further implication behind the above nasty little game was of Pantheon’s price not being dumped in a free fall position, instead there hopefully being a hint the market has a cunning plan for “bottom”, just one which wasn’t immediately obvious to our cynical eyes. There is now a chance the current drop to 11p may actually be the final ritual dance steps in this game of blindfolded limbo as we could introduce a tenuous price target at the 12p, the exact number being impossible to accurately calculate, thanks to the manipulation gap above. Our “ultimate bottom” worked out at somewhere between 4p and 12p, so the price is now viewed as being in the zone where we should hope for a bounce.

In the event the share price co-operates and heads upward, above 15.25p looks like it should trigger surprise recovery to an initial 18p with secondary, if bettered, at a more useful 25p. At this level, things become interesting as the price needs close above 25p to give the first signal of a change in attitude, one which should permit a visit to a game changing 41p along with an urgent need for us to revisit the shares longer term potentials.

 

For now, hopefully this Alaskan oil miner discovers a trampoline.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:24:51PM BRENT 7494.7 7502 ‘cess
10:26:46PM GOLD 1921.24 1909 1903 1894 1921 1931 1936 1943 1920 ‘cess
10:28:54PM FTSE 7529
10:32:41PM STOX50 4406.3
10:43:51PM GERMANY 16105.4 ‘cess
10:46:24PM US500 4454.3 4439 4433 4425 4453 4457 4465 4479 4445
10:48:40PM DOW 34429.5
10:51:25PM NASDAQ 15200
10:54:04PM JAPAN 33605 Success

 

3/07/2023 FTSE Closed at 7527 points. Change of -0.05%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,402,403,715 a change of 3.4%
30/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7531 points. Change of 0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,224,612,707 a change of -11.43%
29/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7471 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,898,729,234 a change of 13.7%
28/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7500 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,188,003,612 a change of 2.29%
27/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of 0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,071,918,393 a change of 6.71%
26/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7453 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,753,007,649 a change of 17.78%
23/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of -0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,035,557,775 a change of -15.52%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **

********

Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Astrazeneca, Carnival, Centrica, ECO (Atlantic) O & G, HSBC, Marks and Spencer,


LSE:AFC AFC Energy. Close Mid-Price: 12.92 Percentage Change: + 2.22% Day High: 12.78 Day Low: 12.12

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LSE:AZN Astrazeneca Close Mid-Price: 10374 Percentage Change: -8.00% Day High: 11044 Day Low: 10330

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1341.5 Percentage Change: + 3.15% Day High: 1345.5 Day Low: 1305

Target met. Further movement against Carnival ABOVE 1345.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 124.7 Percentage Change: + 0.61% Day High: 125.7 Day Low: 123.8

In the event of Centrica enjoying further trades beyond 125.7, the share ……..

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LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G Close Mid-Price: 13.75 Percentage Change: -5.17% Day High: 14.5 Day Low: 13.75

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 627.6 Percentage Change: + 0.95% Day High: 628.5 Day Low: 622.2

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer. Close Mid-Price: 195.75 Percentage Change: + 1.58% Day High: 195.75 Day Low: 192.75

All Marks and Spencer needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 195.75 to improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Barclays Plc (LSE:BARC) 

#Brent #Germany  It was strange, celebrating the 1st of July by turning the heating on. Here in Argyll, we’d experienced May & June with temperatures in the unpleasant 20’s. It’s no great secret the Scottish summer takes place during these months but when the temperature dipped below 10c on 1st July, radiators started singing their groaning song at being used unexpectedly. Traditionally, we experience a slow downward gradient in temperature misery, expecting September or October to herald the time for heating but this year, things are quite different. Utter confusion also came from another source, the so called Grand Prix in Austria.

Everyone knows how a motor race works. The lights go out, cars drive like the clappers, someone waves a flag and it’s all over. Just for a giggle, the organisation behind Formula 1 decided to shake things up a bit, using what sounds like a corporate committee decision to change the results, after the chequered flag had dropped and drivers had given their media interviews. The problem was a white line and a desire to inflict a 5 second penalty for every car which crossed it. At the point the race finished, there were 1,200 instances needing reviewed, resulting in considerable delays before anyone was willing to say where drivers had actually completed the session.

 

And finally, in the stakes for further confusion, we can offer up Barclays share price as a candidate.

 

Without kidding, we’re slowly coming to the conclusion Barclays share intends eventually to find its way down to a bottom around 98p. The price consistently refuses to head upward and also, refuses to gently spiral downward. Instead, the market feels like an effort is being made to contain the share price between the uptrend (Red) since 2020 and the downtrend (Blue) since a silly sounding 2007. Don’t get us wrong, this Blue downtrend is clearly giving the market a 16 year old reason to react, despite any available logic justifying such behaviour. As we illustrated recently, the UK stock market (worst performing of the majors) has seen many shares trapped, doing very little.

If this is indeed the case, traditional behaviour will be for trapped shares to experience sudden reversals and in the case of Barclays, a sharp plummet down to 98p will make an ideal point for the share price to discover the presence of a trampoline. As a result, it may prove worthwhile to keep a weather eye on the share, just in case something awful occurs which is deemed capable of justifying a 1/3rd being carved off Barclays current share price. We’re the first to concede it’s a ridiculous expectation but, the market is behaving in a ridiculous fashion.

 

If we treat the share as “conventional”, we can now suggest weakness below 141p should make an attempt at 132p with secondary, if broken, at 114p. Such a scenario obviously will take the share within kicking distance of our proposed bottom at 98p, so perhaps there is justification for a movement like this.

 

Should the price decide to give hope to investors, above Blue (presently 163p) is expected to trigger recovery to an initial 168p with secondary, if exceeded, a rather more attractive 198p. In this scenario, we’ll obviously need review the potentials but we shall treat such a level of recovery as significant for the longer term.

 

For now, we regard Barclays with similar trust to that deserved by the Weather and Formula 1 races.

 

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
1:43:06PM BRENT 75.13 74.29 73.86 73.21 75.18 75.8 76.38 77.89 74.74
1:45:32PM GOLD 1919.37 1915
5:00:35PM FTSE 7549 7523
5:02:33PM STOX50 4412.3 4390
9:04:01PM GERMANY 16184.4 16113 16095 16065 16143 16185 16229 16304 16107
9:06:27PM US500 4443.8 4435
9:09:48PM DOW 34378 34359
9:12:21PM NASDAQ 15155.1 15123
9:15:00PM JAPAN 33420 33418

 

30/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7531 points. Change of 0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,224,612,707 a change of -11.43%
29/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7471 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,898,729,234 a change of 13.7%
28/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7500 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,188,003,612 a change of 2.29%
27/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of 0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,071,918,393 a change of 6.71%
26/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7453 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,753,007,649 a change of 17.78%
23/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of -0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,035,557,775 a change of -15.52%
22/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7502 points. Change of -0.75%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,777,191,347 a change of 6.91%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CASP Caspian** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CNA Centrica** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:SPT Spirent Comms** **

********

Updated charts published on : Caspian, Carnival, Centrica, HSBC, Spirent Comms,


LSE:CASP Caspian Close Mid-Price: 3.4 Percentage Change: -15.00% Day High: 3.5 Day Low: 2.6

Target met. If Caspian experiences continued weakness below 2.6, it will ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1300.5 Percentage Change: + 5.90% Day High: 1319 Day Low: 1232

Target met. All Carnival needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1319 to improve ……..

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LSE:CNA Centrica. Close Mid-Price: 123.95 Percentage Change: + 3.25% Day High: 124.5 Day Low: 119.95

Target met. All Centrica needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 124.5 to improv ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 621.7 Percentage Change: + 0.47% Day High: 625.7 Day Low: 615.9

Further movement against HSBC ABOVE 625.7 should improve acceleration tow ……..

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LSE:SPT Spirent Comms. Close Mid-Price: 163.6 Percentage Change: + 0.55% Day High: 165.4 Day Low: 161.8

Weakness on Spirent Comms below 161.8 will invariably lead to 158 with se ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX) and forever…

#FTSE #GOLD  Historically, we’re always a little grouchy about the FTSE, suspecting it’s a 3 legged donkey competing in a thoroughbred horse race. As the first six months of the year are upon us, it seemed worthwhile to compare the UK to other major world markets. With just a single session to go before the end of June, the FTSE is up just 0.27% this year, making it the worst performing of the major indices. We include the UK AIM market (down 9.75%), just because we can…

 

 

 

As for the FTSE near term, we’ve just about grown out of any optimistic tendencies as the UK is literally proving it’s as bad as it gets. With the index continuing to explore the depths below the Blue downtrend since 2018, our inclination is to anticipate further reversals in the period ahead, hopefully with the index eventually discovering a bottom around 7200 points and a meeting with the uptrend since 2020. In the event a serious reversal is coming near term, below 7406 points looks capable of triggering reversal to an initial 4379 points with our secondary, if the initial breaks, calculating down at 7326 points and a possible bounce (of sorts).

If triggered, the tightest stop loss position looks like a reasonable 7446 points.

 

Our converse scenario, if the final trading day intends produce wine and roses, allows above 7516 points to make a leap in the direction of 7554 points. Our secondary, should such a price level be exceeded, works out at 7587 points and some possible hesitation.

 

Have a good weekend and enjoy the Grand Prix.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:01:13PM BRENT 74.42 73.56 72.92 74.55 75.14 75.62 74.2 Success
10:03:40PM GOLD 1907.66 1892 1856 1913 1913 1919 1905
10:07:00PM FTSE 7485.6 7458 7445 7484 7514 7537 7482 ‘cess
10:09:35PM STOX50 4359.8 4339 4329 4352 4371 4376 4349
10:12:34PM GERMANY 15957.5 15918 15894 15965 15999 16047 15931
10:14:29PM US500 4396.9 4369 4363 4389 4399 4411 4369
10:16:48PM DOW 34093.5 33811 33688 33983 34130 34154 34012 ‘cess
10:18:58PM NASDAQ 14949.9 14869 14836 14942 15000 15037 14949
10:21:18PM JAPAN 33157 33096 32970 33232 33396 33438 33229 ‘cess

 

29/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7471 points. Change of -0.39%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,898,729,234 a change of 13.7%
28/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7500 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,188,003,612 a change of 2.29%
27/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of 0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,071,918,393 a change of 6.71%
26/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7453 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,753,007,649 a change of 17.78%
23/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of -0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,035,557,775 a change of -15.52%
22/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7502 points. Change of -0.75%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,777,191,347 a change of 6.91%
21/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7559 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,468,515,731 a change of -18.02%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:CBX Cellular Goods** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G** **LSE:EME Empyrean** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **LSE:SPT Spirent Comms** **LSE:SRP Serco** **

********

Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Cellular Goods, Carnival, Centamin, ECO (Atlantic) O & G, Empyrean, Fresnillo, Gulf Keystone, National Glib, Quadrise, Spirent Comms, Serco,


LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 12.74 Percentage Change: -2.00% Day High: 13.38 Day Low: 12.66

Target met. In the event AFC Energy experiences weakness below 12.66 it c ……..

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LSE:CBX Cellular Goods Close Mid-Price: 0.8 Percentage Change: -3.03% Day High: 0.82 Day Low: 0.8

In the event Cellular Goods experiences weakness below 0.8 it calculates ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1228 Percentage Change: + 0.74% Day High: 1258 Day Low: 1198

In the event of Carnival enjoying further trades beyond 1258, the share s ……..

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LSE:CEY Centamin. Close Mid-Price: 89.55 Percentage Change: + 0.56% Day High: 89.65 Day Low: 87.6

If Centamin experiences continued weakness below 87.6, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G Close Mid-Price: 14.5 Percentage Change: -5.84% Day High: 15.25 Day Low: 14.5

Weakness on ECO (Atlantic) O & G below 14.5 will invariably lead to 9.6p ……..

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LSE:EME Empyrean Close Mid-Price: 0.76 Percentage Change: -1.92% Day High: 0.78 Day Low: 0.74

Continued weakness against EME taking the price below 0.74 calculates as ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo Close Mid-Price: 597.4 Percentage Change: -0.60% Day High: 606.6 Day Low: 589.6

Target met. Continued weakness against FRES taking the price below 589.6 ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone Close Mid-Price: 114.7 Percentage Change: -1.29% Day High: 119.3 Day Low: 111.8

If Gulf Keystone experiences continued weakness below 111.8, it will inva ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib Close Mid-Price: 1038 Percentage Change: -0.91% Day High: 1050.5 Day Low: 1027.5

If National Glib experiences continued weakness below 1027.5, it will inv ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise. Close Mid-Price: 2.15 Percentage Change: + 1.18% Day High: 2.3 Day Low: 2.1

Target met. In the event of Quadrise enjoying further trades beyond 2.3, ……..

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LSE:SPT Spirent Comms Close Mid-Price: 162.7 Percentage Change: -2.57% Day High: 168.2 Day Low: 162.6

Continued weakness against SPT taking the price below 162.6 calculates as ……..

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LSE:SRP Serco. Close Mid-Price: 154.5 Percentage Change: + 8.57% Day High: 160.7 Day Low: 148

Continued trades against SRP with a mid-price ABOVE 160.7 should improve ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Taylor Wimpey Plc (LSE:TW.) facing reversals?

#Brent #WallSt  The lack of movement with many shares is a brutal reflection on the lethargy being shown by the FTSE this year. The UK index is literally the worst performing market among the ‘majors’, one we’re dreading showing on tomorrow’s chart in comparison to the US & European markets when we produce a “First Six Months” review of the world as we know it. To give a sneak preview, everywhere else has grown except for London, one of these troubling details the media tends skip over. Unless the last couple of days of June produce a miracle, something is going horribly wrong with the UK marketplace.

 

Among UK shares, we keep finding ourselves struggling to say anything positive about prices, due to the number of shares trapped in the miasma associated with the FTSE. Our worry is, while there’s a number of shares which “should” be heading upward, increasing numbers of signals are starting to imply quite the opposite. While the much vaunted recession failed to materialise

 

Taylor Wimpey share price is a victim of this years terrible market behaviour, shuffling from a trading position where it looked capable of useful upward travel and instead, has now positioned itself at the top of a down escalator. Fortunately, it doesn’t need try too hard to escape an immediate doom, presently trading around 103p and needing above 117p to suggest some recovery may prove real. Above 117p allows for recovery to an initial 151p with secondary, if exceeded, calculating at a long term 175p. Glancing at the chart below, there’s a virtual certainty of some hesitation at the 175p level, if it ever makes itself known in the future.

 

However, with the Bank of England and politicians doing everything in their power to damage the housing market, there’s obviously a knock-on potential for the building industry with the result hoping for share price recovery may prove to be a faint hope. Instead, below just 99p threatens to provoke reversal for Taylor Wimpey down to an initial 83p and hopefully, a bounce. But should the 83p level break on any initial surge downward, our secondary works out at 67p and hopefully a proper rebound.

 

Our suspicion is LSE:TW. shall prove worth keeping an eye on, just in case 67p makes itself known.

 


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
9:26:58PM BRENT 73.77 71.85 70.08 64.68 74 74.01 74.465 74.84 73.7
9:28:49PM GOLD 1909.01
9:31:49PM FTSE 7501.4 ‘cess
9:34:25PM STOX50 4349.7 ‘cess
9:37:06PM GERMANY 15973.6 Success
10:11:43PM US500 4384.7 ‘cess
10:24:12PM DOW 33891.5 33754 33713 33624 33830 33981 34070 34176 33890
10:27:04PM NASDAQ 14990.1 Shambles
10:31:11PM JAPAN 33285 Success

 

28/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7500 points. Change of 0.52%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,188,003,612 a change of 2.29%
27/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of 0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,071,918,393 a change of 6.71%
26/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7453 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,753,007,649 a change of 17.78%
23/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7461 points. Change of -0.55%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,035,557,775 a change of -15.52%
22/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7502 points. Change of -0.75%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,777,191,347 a change of 6.91%
21/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7559 points. Change of -0.13%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,468,515,731 a change of -18.02%
20/06/2023 FTSE Closed at 7569 points. Change of -0.25%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,450,485,635 a change of 18.02%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:BME B & M** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G** **LSE:EME Empyrean** **LSE:FGP Firstgroup** **LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone** **LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC** **

********

Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, B & M, Carnival, ECO (Atlantic) O & G, Empyrean, Firstgroup, Gulf Keystone,


LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 13 Percentage Change: -5.39% Day High: 13.8 Day Low: 12.94

Weakness on AFC Energy below 12.94 will invariably lead to 12.8 with seco ……..

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LSE:BME B & M. Close Mid-Price: 590.6 Percentage Change: + 1.58% Day High: 592.6 Day Low: 578.4

All B & M needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 592.6 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1219 Percentage Change: + 12.82% Day High: 1216 Day Low: 1099.5

Target met. Continued trades against CCL with a mid-price ABOVE 1216 shou ……..

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LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G Close Mid-Price: 15.4 Percentage Change: -2.53% Day High: 15.75 Day Low: 15.25

Continued weakness against ECO taking the price below 15.25 calculates as ……..

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LSE:EME Empyrean Close Mid-Price: 0.78 Percentage Change: -2.38% Day High: 0.81 Day Low: 0.8

Weakness on Empyrean below 0.78 will invariably lead to 0.72 with seconda ……..

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LSE:FGP Firstgroup. Close Mid-Price: 143.4 Percentage Change: + 2.14% Day High: 147.7 Day Low: 139.5

Further movement against Firstgroup ABOVE 147.7 should improve accelerati ……..

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LSE:GKP Gulf Keystone. Close Mid-Price: 116.2 Percentage Change: + 0.61% Day High: 118.5 Day Low: 114.8

Weakness on Gulf Keystone below 114.8 will invariably lead to 107 and hop ……..

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LSE:RBD Reabold Resources PLC Close Mid-Price: 0.12 Percentage Change: -7.55% Day High: 0.13 Day Low: 0.12

Weakness on Reabold Resources PLC below 0.13 will invariably lead to 0.05 ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.