BARCLAYS PLC & BitCoin thoughts (LSE:BARC), trading around 496.45 at time of writing.

#Brent #Nasdaq The markets are proving a little crazy this year, perhaps even full on fruitcake. From a UK perspective, Share prices want to go up, some quite substantially. But Brent Crude wants to drop quite sharply, Gold often feels on the edge of a meltdown toward the $3k level, and CryptoCurrency only has itself to blame. Obviously, the Iran thing has focussed minds on just what is and is not a safe place to store your currency and Crypto, pretty conclusively, has been left wanting. In fact, should BitCoin manage to close a session below $63k, things risk becoming particularly nasty with a visit to the $50k level initially with our secondary looking absurd around $25k and a return to the levels of just 3 years ago.

Making things worse, Bitcoin has enacted a pretty neat Head & Shoulders movement formation since the start of 2025. The guy who theorised this to be a useful charting weapon calculated around $38k would be a typical outcome in the current scenario, our expectation around $25k is rather more painful, a result we anticipate to prove correct. Only if, of course, Bitcoin takes the final steps off the cliff. Like Scotland and their forthcoming match against Brazil, this crypto is on the edge, just waiting the right calamity circumstances. Scotland, on the other hand, only need walk onto a football pitch to face Brazil for calamity.

As for Barclays, their share price is doing fairly similar things to others in the banking sector. Essentially, there appears to be quite a lot of confidence (mostly hidden) which should flourish once the Iran shambles is complete. We couldn’t help but speculate the current Iranian walkout from “peace” talks may have something to do with softening oil prices. At least the Pakistan, Iranian, and American delegations can enjoy quality time in Bürgenstock, Switzerland, a place where great views were probably invented.

In the last few days, Barclays share price took a glance above the Blue downtrend since 2007, didn’t like what it saw and promptly retreated to the comparative safety below Blue. Generally, this sort of nonsense defines a share which, if it is going to move, will move fast. All it needs do is actually start going up!

Above 508p should provide a sane trigger to suggest proper movement is coming, this giving the “threat” of a visit to an initial 528p with our secondary for the longer term calculating at a less likely 614p.

If things intend go wrong for Barclays, their share price needs shuffle below Red at 460p currently, risking a visit down to an initial 448p. There is certainly hope for a near term bounce at such a level but our secondary, if it breaks, works out at a future 428p and the risk of the price getting stuck in mud for a while.

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
8:58:33PM BRENT 7971.6 7795 7538 7291 8280 8015 8164 8357 7898
9:00:55PM GOLD 4155.08
9:03:07PM FTSE 10356.2
9:06:40PM STOX50 6275
9:14:27PM GERMANY 24993.9
9:18:10PM US500 7490.4
9:56:47PM DOW 51480.8
10:18:39PM NASDAQ 30336.4 30080 29946 29774 30301 30410 30536 30849 30216
10:22:13PM JAPAN 71711

 

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:BARC Barclays** **LSE:HIK Hikma** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:NG. National Glib** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Barclays, Hikma, International Personal Finance, National Glib,


LSE:AML Aston Martin. Close Mid-Price: 39.74 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Weakness on Aston Martin below 39.74 will invariably lead to 37p and perh ……..

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LSE:BARC Barclays. Close Mid-Price: 496.45 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

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LSE:HIK Hikma. Close Mid-Price: 1457 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 248.5 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

This needs above 258 to hopefully trigger an initial 328p with our seconda ……..

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LSE:NG. National Glib. Close Mid-Price: 1212 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

This is not looking good. Travel below 1175 risks triggering a visit to 10 ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

FTSE for FRIDAY (FTSE:UKX), trading around 10,399 at time of writing.

The breath taking arrogance of UK politicians has proven quite distasteful, while we await the results from a parliamentary seat somewhere near Manchester. We used to see this sort of thing in Scotland, where Labour politicians treated the public vote as theirs, each election promising a guaranteed seat at the trough Eventually, the penny dropped with the electorate, the entitled Labour politicians ejected almost entirely and replaced by an SNP government, an organisation which has managed to produce its own “entitled” troughers and is now paying the price. Hopefully we shall reach a stage where local independent politicians start to take seats as it’s becoming clear large political parties only owe allegiance to themselves, rather than the electorate.

It would be lovely if the results from Manchester toppled the smarmy expectations, though this would risk the current UK Prime Minister staying in place longer. Unfortunately, our suspicion is the Labour guy shall take the seat as he’s disturbingly confident he’s about to be anointed as the next PM.

Making Thursday even more irritating was the Bank of England, opting to continue their suffocating assault on the UK economy. They could easily have surfed the “glory” of the previous evenings England football match, celebrating by doing something positive with interest rates. Unfortunately, the political masters of the BoE clearly do not approve of such an action, so the entire country (and stock market) continues to be suffocated by a central bank following an economic policy which is a proven failure.

It certainly appears the case the FTSE was far from impressed by the BoE actions, setting things up for a Friday with reversals expected. Now below 10.375 looks capable of triggering reversal to an initial 10,335 with our secondary, if broken, at 10,256 and hopefully a rebound. However, it’s worth pointing out the danger of a third level, should the UK index find an excuse to close below 10,256 as a further journey to 10,033 is expected and a very probable market bottom.

Then again, the market does not need to work hard to express some optimism, only needing above 10,435 to trigger gains in the direction of 10,509 points with our secondary, if bettered, at 10,642 points.

From the feel of things, we suspect reversals shall be on the cards.

Have a good weekend.

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
11:42:36PM BRENT 7854.6 7625 7481 6176 8317 7931 7970 8100 7801
11:45:10PM GOLD 4204.66 4201 4189 4142 4234 4276 4284 4312 4242
11:47:44PM FTSE 10401.4 10376 10340 10279 10421 10470 10501 10542 10426
11:51:42PM STOX50 6327.2 6242 6203 6156 6302 6344 6365 6397 6276
11:53:57PM GERMANY 25046.3 24835 24735 24612 25010 25104 25163 25224 25021
11:09:49PM US500 7497 7402 7347 7270 7491 7531 7571 7627 7488
11:13:23PM DOW 51569.5 51478 51236 50885 51716 52243 52302 53164 51980
11:16:07PM NASDAQ 30361.2 29962 29770 29540 30220 30468 30551 30868 30325
11:34:15PM JAPAN 71824 71060 70799 70363 71529 72114 73530 75127 71470

 

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:ITRK Intertek** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **

********

Updated charts published on : BALFOUR BEATTY, BP PLC, MAN, Experian, HSBC, British Airways, Intertek, Natwest,


LSE:BBY BALFOUR BEATTY. Close Mid-Price: 871 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

In the event of BALFOUR BEATTY enjoying further trades beyond 876.5, the ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 490.05 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Target met. Continued weakness against BP. taking the price below 487.7 c ……..

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LSE:EMG MAN. Close Mid-Price: 299.2 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Target met. Further movement against MAN ABOVE 307 should improve acceler ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 2509 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

In the event Experian experiences weakness below 2484 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 1442.4 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Continued trades against HSBA with a mid-price ABOVE 1442 should improve ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 463.1 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

In the event of British Airways enjoying further trades beyond 465.5, th ……..

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LSE:ITRK Intertek. Close Mid-Price: 5815 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Target met. All Intertek needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 5820 to improve ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 641.2 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

In the event of Natwest enjoying further trades beyond 641.2, the share s ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Magnum Ice Cream Company (LSE:MICC), trading around 1,289 at time of writing.

Sorry, our Broadband failed, making it impossible to publish this before the markets opened..

We’ve got a held a vote; is it more fun watching our robot lawnmower or football? A clear majority in our household favoured the little robot and to be accurate, it was only my wife and I voting. But 100% of us found we spend more time watching the grass monster trundling around, rather than a bunch of folk who really should know better, chasing a ball.  Our grass robot isn’t one of these posh ones with GPS control. Instead, it relies on bouncing off things, making random cuts everywhere and with a little bit of moisture, proves utterly unable to go in a straight line. In an attempt to make the cutting lines more regular, we placed a couple of rocks on the lawn only to see the thing wilfully avoid choose to avoid them and for 3 hours, the only part of the lawn which hadn’t been cut was a moat of grass around each boulder. Then it opted to switch things up, spending the next three hours trying to hit the rocks constantly.

Whatever software drives the little robot has a quite different understanding of the concept of “random” than we do. My wife challenged me to figure out software code to drive the machine, so obviously mucking around produced quite a simple series of commands which would effectively drive the machine exactly the way it drives. Essentially, a cascade of “Do This, if you can’t, then Do That, and if you can’t, “Try This”, each command effectively being an attempt to escape from the immediate situation. Or in plain English, think of a woman trying to park a car. Go right, go right some more, go even more right, go further right, try accelerating, go right again, try accelerating harder, go right again. Effectively, ending up with a theoretical machine rotating in a theoretical circle quite perfectly described our robots idea of hysterics. Unfortunately, software alone cannot magically produce a wire brush to clean the grooves in the wheels, clogged grass tending to produce little in the way of drive.

In other words, rather than assume a robot grass machine actually has a brain, it is best to assume a Human Overlord is watching the machines effort, ready and willing to sprint outside into light rain to clear the clogged wet grass from the driving wheels. In other words, relying on AI will always go wrong, without human supervision. There comes a point when software simply runs out of options and shuts down. Which is exactly what happens with our little robot, when it runs into an exceptionally large dog poo or sneaky rock!  Perhaps a decent Laser will destroy obstacles but this type of thinking drifts into Terminator territory.

We still prefer the concept of Artificial Intelligence only being real, if the software erects humanity to the level of being its creator. Until then, it’s only software running “If” algorithms.

But then again, there is always ice cream. With Magnum Ice Cream Company launched on the markets, we’re REALLY not fans of overpriced Magnums, invariably selecting from the cheaper “Me Too” selection in the freezer at our local petrol station shop, Magnums are nice but, chocolate covered ice cream is equally nice and a Magnum never gives a “special” moment when eating it. This ridiculous concept of “special” may sound ridiculous but real chocolate junkies know what it really means. Sometimes you eat the perfect Bounty Bar, sometimes you eat the perfect “Whole Nut” and these delights tend keep the glutton on the correct path. But a Magnum is simply chocolate encrusted ice cream, so the company really should try harder.

It’s easy to ridicule this concept but anyone who drinks coffee understands it, doomed to a life of once again making “the perfect” coffee. Thankfully, with our in-house Bean to Cup machine making such an ideology possible every morning, it’d be nice if an Ice Cream company produced a “perfect” product.

Then again, perhaps this is exactly the target every chocolate or ice cream company has spent their existence trying to attain. (Clue: nothing is nicer than letting a Galaxy square slowly melt in the mouth!)

As for Magnum, while we’ve proven our credentials in the fanboy category, it pnly needs above 1300p to indicate the potential for share price growth to an initial 1,367p with our secondary, if bettered, at a future 1,499p. Above such a level gives a problem, indicating the 15 quid level shall probably prove a future “top”.

If things intend go pear shaped, below 1232 looks like creating an issue for the future, potentially triggering reversals to an initial 1,177 with our secondary, when broken, at 1,032p and a potential bounce.

Like a chocolate Magnum drip on a white shirt in a traffic jam, it’s a bit complex….

.

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
12:03:59AM BRENT 7855.4 7748 7535 6648 8053 7986 8066 8172 7864
11:08:38PM GOLD 4334.04 4312 4295 4275 4346 4355 4361 4368 4329 ‘cess
11:11:25PM FTSE 10461.3 10430 10401 10360 10477 10524 10537 10565 10486 ‘cess
11:14:10PM STOX50 6235 6220 6204 6176 6252 6288 6316 6348 6249 Shambles
11:28:49PM GERMANY 24798.9 24738 24663 24516 24846 25110 25285 25477 24988 Shambles
11:33:50PM US500 7524 7504 7490 7465 7535 7550 7558 7576 7526 Shambles
11:37:21PM DOW 52075 51694 51514 51285 51828 52200 52305 53170 51977
11:51:24PM NASDAQ 30067.5 29943 29931 29696 30195 30636 31130 32094 30424 ‘cess
11:54:12PM JAPAN 69440 68755 68468 67957 69352 69632 66991 66739 69277 ‘cess

 

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, BP PLC, MAN, HSBC, Natwest, Quadrise, Rockhopper, Rolls Royce,


LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 642.8 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

All Aviva needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 644.8 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 504.8 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

In the event BP PLC experiences weakness below 504.2 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo. Close Mid-Price: 33.7 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Weakness on Carclo below 32.5 will invariably lead to 28.75p with seconda ……..

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LSE:EMG MAN. Close Mid-Price: 295.8 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Target met. Continued trades against EMG with a mid-price ABOVE 301.2 sh ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 1437 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Target met. Further movement against HSBC ABOVE 1437 should improve accel ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 638 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Target met. All Natwest needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 639p to improve ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise. Close Mid-Price: 1.75 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

In the event Quadrise experiences weakness below 1.6 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 69.2 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Target met. Weakness on Rockhopper below 67.9 will invariably lead to 63. ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 1390 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Target met. Continued trades against RR. with a mid-price ABOVE 1424 shou ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today”

Games Workshop Plc (LSE:GAW), trading around 20,340 at time of writing

#FTSE #WallSt A client emailed asking us to examine Games Workshop, a share we’ve forgotten about, probably quite wilfully. A personal guilty secret is a love of Science Fiction writing but unfortunately, the folk who catalogue books include “fantasy” such as Star Wars, Dr Who, and Games Workshops main product, “Warhammer” in the category of Sci-Fi. Unfortunately, there’s an extremely large bunch of Warhammer fans who enthusiastically self publish a massive range of Warhammer stories, based on the popular game from Games Workshop. Accidentally downloading a few of the Warhammer audio-books, none proved of sufficient interest to justify getting beyond the first chapters, and thus the theme joined Star Wars & Dr Who in my personal “blocked” list in the Sci-Fi category.

However, this personal foible hasn’t proven sufficient to dampen Games Workshop share price rise. The company employ a “zero tolerance” approach to those who impinge their Intellectual Property, this doubtless being the reason fans produce so much literature, rather than models, coffee mugs, t-shirts, images, maps, for which Games Workshop jealously protect their copyright. Another company who use “zero tolerance” for their character sets is Disney and the policy certainly hasn’t harmed them.

It’s quite interesting – from our nerd perspective – to note Games Workshop (GW to their friends) are now trading above our logical “Top”, the number beyond which we normally be unable to calculate. This worked out at 18,941p and with a relatively impressive degree of confidence, the market managed to confirm our calculations with the current very visible pause around the 19,000p level. But we’re starting to suspect the current hiatus may yet prove just a stutter for the future as now, above 20,340p should apparently trigger a climb to an initial 20,606p. Our secondary, if bettered, works out at 21,304 and yet another all time high. In fact, our secondary target level is a bit arguable as we can also present a longer term ambition at a future 22,128p.

Who knew there was so much interest in the UK’s answer to Dungeons & Dragons. Perhaps the current UK Prime Minister should consider copyright on his speeches as it seems there is serious money to be made from Fantasy.

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
12:03:59AM BRENT 7855.4
11:08:38PM GOLD 4334.04 ‘cess
11:11:25PM FTSE 10461.3 10430 10401 10360 10477 10524 10537 10565 10486 ‘cess
11:14:10PM STOX50 6235 Shambles
11:28:49PM GERMANY 24798.9 Shambles
11:33:50PM US500 7524 Shambles
11:37:21PM DOW 52075 51694 51514 51285 51828 52200 52305 53170 51977
11:51:24PM NASDAQ 30067.5 ‘cess
11:54:12PM JAPAN 69440 ‘cess

 

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:EMG MAN** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:RKH Rockhopper** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, MAN, HSBC, Rockhopper, Rolls Royce,


LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 638.6 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

In the event of Aviva enjoying further trades beyond 638.6, the share sho ……..

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LSE:EMG MAN. Close Mid-Price: 295.8 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

All MAN needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 295.8 to improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 1409.6 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

All HSBC needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1418 to improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:RKH Rockhopper. Close Mid-Price: 69.3 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

If Rockhopper experiences continued weakness below 68.9, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 1393 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

In the event of Rolls Royce enjoying further trades beyond 1407.6, the sh ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

BT Group Plc (LSE:BT.A), trading around 202.50 at time of writing and happy?

#Gold #SP500 It’s a shame how some of the great British institutions have managed to eradicate themselves from daily life. For instance, it was once the case where the BBC was the home of essential viewing shows but the broadcasting corporation, despite many warning signs, continued to ignore the viewing public, demolishing habits like Top of The Pops, Dr Who, Top Gear, The News,etc. With colossal self belief, they thought viewers would always return to “The Beeb” but when they finally destroyed Top Gear just a few years ago, we lost interest. Anyone who had to endure the stream of outright lies broadcast by the BBC during the Scottish thing in 2014, decided to simply stop watching. Nowadays, probably like the majority of viewers North of the border, we no longer pay to a licence fee to a corporation which ate itself.

Similarly, a home phone number was felt to be essential but again, it’s no longer a fixed point in the house and most certainly not provided by BT. The company were another institution which believed itself bigger than the marketplace. I’ve a memory of trying to get Broadband for our offices in the 1990’s, experiencing the shock of BT telling me if I got a local petition together, they’d consider if but would need proof there was a need. Instead, they offered an expensive digital telephone line connection but luckily, we’d a girl called Carol. Carol had a flat directly above our office and had been offered cable TV and Internet, being uncertain whether it would be worth it. We offered to pay for her service – 250 quid a year – if we could drill a little hole in the ceiling to attached a network cable directly onto her cable system. In addition, we’d be happy to ensure she enjoyed a seamless connection to the internet from her home computer.

Obviously, Carol had nothing to lose and we’d high speed fibre optic broadband by 1996, gleefully leaving the constraints of modems far behind. We did obviously retain our BT lines, simply for telephone handsets and the inevitable fax machine. It was to take another 15 years before BT started to behave as if they’d always backed the idea of broadband, trying to pretend they hadn’t been throttling the technology infrastructure for years with their corporate BT Know Best attitude.

Nowadays, living without BBC and BT has proven remarkably easy, both corporations utterly failing to understand the implications of the internet, one of which should be the strongest provider and the other should be one of the strongest web presences. Senior management from the 1990’s and early 2000’s will now be retired with massive pensions, continuing to avoid blame for their utter incompetence at failing to embrace a future which was obvious. It would be correct to say a long term grudge remains at being asked to produce a petition to beg BT for broadband!

However…

BT’s share price did something a little odd on the 9th June, dipping below the Red uptrend since 2024 during the session. As the chart extracts show, this was an intraday movement, the market ensuring the share price closed above the trend and creating a scenario where some fairly near term gains looks possible, hopefully without investors needing to raise a petition! If our suspicion is correct, movement now above 210p should trigger gains to an initial 221p with our longer term secondary, if beaten, at an extremely important 249p. Due to this producing yet another “higher high”, we are forced to admit a long term attraction from 286p exists.

If things intend go wrong, the price needs dial itself below 195p as this would doubtless provoke reversal to an initial 178p with our secondary, if broken, calculating at 156p. Visually, this scenario looks improbable.

We suspect BT shall prove worth watching as it’s doing the work, for a cycle of recovery.

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:47:23PM BRENT 8258
10:51:37PM GOLD 4308.27 4305 4290 4264 4327 4340 4354 4370 4316 ‘cess
10:55:08PM FTSE 10407.1
10:58:18PM STOX50 6226.9
11:39:23PM GERMANY 24818.1
11:48:10PM US500 7548.4 7512 7485 7454 7530 7563 7581 7700 7536 ‘cess
11:51:26PM DOW 51673.5 ‘cess
11:54:58PM NASDAQ 30495.2 ‘cess
11:57:42PM JAPAN 69571

 

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AV. Aviva** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **LSE:RR. Rolls Royce** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aviva, BP PLC, EasyJet, Marks and Spencer, Natwest, Quadrise, Rolls Royce,


LSE:AV. Aviva. Close Mid-Price: 631 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Further movement against Aviva ABOVE 634.8 should improve acceleration to ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 517 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Weakness on BP PLC below 508.2 will invariably lead to 489 with our secon ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet. Close Mid-Price: 500 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

All EasyJet needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 522.4 to improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer. Close Mid-Price: 375.4 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Target met. In the event of Marks and Spencer enjoying further trades bey ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 614.8 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Target met. Further movement against Natwest ABOVE 630.6 should improve a ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise. Close Mid-Price: 1.985 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Weakness on Quadrise below 1.72 will invariably lead to 1.57 with our sec ……..

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LSE:RR. Rolls Royce. Close Mid-Price: 1358.4 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Target met. All Rolls Royce needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 1387 to impr ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LSE:LLOY), trading around 102.35 at time of writing.

#Dax #Brent All things considered, it was a great weekend. Louis Hamilton winning his first Grand Prix race in an age, following a pretty decent event in Barcelona, along with the Straits of Hormuz opening on Sunday evening. As the screen grab below from the MarineTraffic website shows, the bit of water which was once as empty as a politicians conscience is now stuffed with ships, hopefully in sufficient quantity to goose up the stock markets and allow Crude Oil to do what it has been trying to do for an age, drop in price. The only thing spoiling the weekend is our Scotland national football team scored a goal, taking them to the top of their group, and sparking an outpouring of optimism with flags appearing everywhere.  This optimism is always misplaced as opposing teams will no longer field their Under-11’s, instead treating our national side as “serious”. The football pundit Ally McCoist famously bemoaned a player scoring a goal against Brazil with the line; “Don’t do that. You’ve only made them angry!”

Though it is a bit odd, the country often credited with inventing the “sport”, historically creating some really awful national teams which bring ritual humiliation. Maybe this time it will be different…

As for Lloyds, with the Futures Markets currently displaying more enthusiasm than Scots currently show for their national team (Today, Monday, is an Official Bank Holiday in Scotland in honour of the team qualifying for the World Cup), our inclination is to anticipate good things for their share price. On Friday, the market chose to elevate Lloyds share price above the immediate downtrend, presumably in anticipation of the Straits thing being resolved. The immediate situation suggests above just 102.6p should promote some gains for the share price, an initial 107.5p looking like a viable ambition. Our longer term secondary, if this hope is exceeded, calculates at a confident looking 116.7p.

The scenario will create a situation, where Big Picture influences should intrude, closure above 115p assembling a strong argument which favours a distant ambition of 150p sometime in the future. Probably a safer longer term hope than investing in a factory making Scotland Flags to support the football team.

Should things make an effort to go wrong, below 95p could prove nasty, easily provoking reversal to an initial 81p with our secondary, if broken, at 84p. In this instance, it feels like optimism for Lloyds is possible.

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop
11:30:15PM BRENT 8575.8 8250 7532 6248 8450 8610 8739 8902 8482
11:41:32PM GOLD 4283.22 4258
11:46:57PM FTSE 10529.1 10385
11:05:04PM STOX50 6244.2 6235
11:06:55PM GERMANY 25035.5 24633 24463 24258 24758 25083 25181 25591 24890
11:08:48PM US500 7500.3 7438
11:10:38PM DOW 51561.2 51202
11:12:17PM NASDAQ 30104.9 29878
11:15:01PM JAPAN 69382 68414

 

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:ITRK Intertek** **LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer** **LSE:NWG Natwest** **

********

Updated charts published on : BP PLC, EasyJet, IG Group, Intertek, Marks and Spencer, Natwest,


LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 534.5 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

If BP PLC experiences continued weakness below 516.8, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet. Close Mid-Price: 500 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

In the event of EasyJet enjoying further trades beyond 511.8, the share s ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 1938 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

In the event of IG Group enjoying further trades beyond 1955, the share s ……..

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LSE:ITRK Intertek. Close Mid-Price: 5660 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Continued trades against ITRK with a mid-price ABOVE 5755 should improve ……..

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LSE:MKS Marks and Spencer. Close Mid-Price: 376.3 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

All Marks and Spencer needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 377 to improve acc ……..

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LSE:NWG Natwest. Close Mid-Price: 614.2 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Target met. Continued trades against NWG with a mid-price ABOVE 615 shoul ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

Our world famed FTSE for FRIDAY & Brent Thoughts (FTSE:UKX), trading around 10,303 at time of writing.

#FTSE The price of oil has reversed but not with any great commitment, so far. The US announced they were not going to attack Iran on Thursday evening as a Peace Deal with be signed shortly. Needless to say, Iran announced three hours later no final decision had been reached and thus, it was the US’s fault. The market appears to be inured to political nonsense, the price of Brent reversing to the $88 dollar level, insufficient (in our opinion) to successfully trigger some real softening of the oil price. At present, we calculate Brent Crude needs below $85.50 to trigger a convincing cycle of drops, perhaps with a target now around $62 and a return to the price levels experienced in February this year.

As for the FTSE, it has been behaving with similar conviction as the price of Crude, and again it’s probably politics to blame. It’s certainly looking like a problem for the UK Prime Minister who’s proving a little careless in keeping Government Ministers, several choosing to resign rather than back the current “cunning plan” for the military. Essentially, it appears the UK Treasury and Prime Minister have concluded the easiest way to sort out of the military will be to make it vanish. After all, if there was not a military, they couldn’t be accused of failing to manage the military. Apparently a “Budget Review” is to be released on Friday, when Parliament isn’t sitting, which shall reveal substantial cuts in spending. Perhaps this means all the Royal Navy’s rowing boats will only have one oar, thus able to go in circles and nothing else. It’s going to be interesting if the current PM survives in his post until the end of the month and the FTSE now “feels” like it is waiting something significant happening.

Near term, if the FTSE intends do anything positive, above 10,370 should prove important, hopefully triggering market gains to an initial 10,450 with our secondary, if beaten, at 10,479 points. This would certainly be significant, nudging the market into a zone where a third level target of 10,595 calculates as very possible. If triggered, the tightest stop loss level looks like 10,252 points. Hopefully some positive news breaks as it’d be nice to enjoy the Barcelona Grand Prix with a backdrop of the markets turning positive.

Should things intend go awry, below 10,252 could trigger near term reversal to an initial 10,213 points. If broken, our secondary works out at 10,123 points.

Have a good weekend and enjoy the race from Spain, often quite entertaining.

FUTURES


FUTURES

Time Issued Market Price At Issue Short Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Long Entry Fast Exit Slow Exit Stop Prior
10:57:51PM BRENT 8811.8 8742 8667 9140 9391 9510 9056 ‘cess
11:02:59PM GOLD 4212.59 4051 3985 4120 4249 4285 4158 ‘cess
11:07:30PM FTSE 10411.4 10285 10242 10362 10418 10467 10322 Success
11:13:03PM STOX50 6178.6 6020 5980 6084 6176 6230 6122 Success
11:15:35PM GERMANY 24644.1 24073 23953 24358 24664 24747 24427 ‘cess
11:17:35PM US500 7403.4 7252 7194 7332 7411 7429 7344 Success
11:20:51PM DOW 50907.3 50036 49694 50398 50960 51176 50617 Success
11:23:16PM NASDAQ 29509 28539 28163 29007 29558 29616 29263 Success
11:26:56PM JAPAN 66365 63954 63208 64678 66700 67686 66029 Success

 

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…


Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:EXPN Experian** **LSE:IGG IG Group** **LSE:QED Quadrise** **LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey** **

********

Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Experian, IG Group, Quadrise, Taylor Wimpey,


LSE:AML Aston Martin. Close Mid-Price: 41.48 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

In the event Aston Martin experiences weakness below 40p it calculates wi ……..

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LSE:EXPN Experian. Close Mid-Price: 2497 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

If Experian experiences continued weakness below 2497p, it will invariabl ……..

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LSE:IGG IG Group. Close Mid-Price: 1913 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Target met. Further movement against IG Group ABOVE 1927 should improve a ……..

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LSE:QED Quadrise. Close Mid-Price: 1.9 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

This is getting dangerous as weakness now below 1.8 risks a visit to 1.57 ……..

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LSE:TW. Taylor Wimpey. Close Mid-Price: 74.1 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

Continued weakness against TW. taking the price below 74.1 calculates as ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.