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#Germany #S&P500 US President Trump wrote a book called “The Art of The Deal” which essentially launched his future in 1987. We’ve a sneaking suspicion the Iranians may have read his book and now, are cheerfully mincing his efforts in the Middle East. A standard President Trump ploy is to open negotiations by asking for the outrageous. Recent examples include Greenland and his threat to take over the entire island or his threat to fire the head of the Federal Reserve due to lack of action on Interest Rates.\u00a0 And, of course, every single initial announcement about tariff’s.<\/p>\n
Of course, his intention was to bring parties to the negotiating table, while creating the impression he was in the stronger position.. The Middle East is providing further entertainment, though with a nasty sting in the tail. For instance, President Trump announces a potential peace deal, Crude Oil prices immediately fall. Then Iran announces there is no peace deal, immediately provoking a rise in oil prices and making the Middle East happy again. Cynical traders have probably caught onto the current game with oil, indulging Short positions on President Trump announcements, closing and switching to Long’s the instant the media report unnamed sources in Iran claim there are no peace talks. It would be funny, if it were not for the damage being done to the west. What’s surprising, current price movements are nowhere close to those from March to June 2022, when the Ukraine thing was being blamed (incorrectly) for oil prices running amok. Back then, Crude Oil prices spiked before the Russians had fuelled a single tank.<\/p>\n
This, obviously, has nothing to do with Fevertree but their share price has displayed worrying degrees of ineptitude in the last year. It broke the long term downtrend, since 2022,\u00a0 at 710p, yet has failed to grace the markets with any reasonable share price. Equally though, the share has failed to dip below the level of trend break in the period since, giving some confusing hope some slight recovery may be on the cards.<\/p>\n
At present, we shall be hopeful, if the price manages above just 828p. Such a movement should trigger an initial surge toward 878p with our secondary, if beaten, calculating at a future 975p. At this price level, things become interesting as market closure above a future 975p takes the share into the gravitic attraction for a distant 1193p.<\/p>\n
Our alternative scenario, if things turn pear shaped, allows for reversal below 765p trigggering a visit down to an initial 679p with our secondary, if broken, painting a bottom and a hopeful bounce from 633p. While we do suspect some gains may be on the cards, the reversal potentials may also be worth raising a glass to!<\/p>\n
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