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#Brent #Dax <\/b>\u00a0Growing up on the outskirts of Glasgow, a favourite saying at this time of year was; “Red Sky at Night, Stolen Car Alight”. With the fun and games in parts of England over the weekend, doubtless other folk are adopting the pithy country saying to their own areas, where wheelie bins have been weaponised. In the wider world, something rather more horrifying has been happening for the last few hours. Apparently, Iran is expected to fire missiles at Israel with the result, quite a few folk are Live Streaming from the region in the hope of catching some live action. Perhaps it’s proving the show title clich\u00e9; ‘the Revolution will be Televised’ but the ghoulish nature of watching Israel’s skyline in the hope of catching a missile attack is quite dreadful.<\/p>\n
It looks like the markets may be reacting to the threat of war in the Middle East or, more likely, reacting to the very probable threat of Israel responding forcefully. What’s a bit surprising though, the price of Oil has been dropping quite fast and at $76, is now trading in a zone where a visit to $71 has become possible with our eventual secondary in the 50’s. Of course, this doesn’t gel with the chances of a live fire conflict in the oil producing region but, texting a chum who’s involved in a university “dig” in Jerusalem, she doesn’t think anything is expected and was out at a nightclub…<\/p>\n
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With everything going on, we’re not exactly sold on positive movements for Lloyds anytime soon, instead anticipating quite the opposite. From a fairly immediate viewpoint, weakness below 55p looks capable of triggering reversals down to an initial 54.1p and hopefully a rebound. Our secondary, should such a level break, calculates at 51.4p and the prospect of longer term trouble. Danger signs become writ large, should 51.4 break as a cycle to 48.2 becomes expected, dragging the bank share price back below the Blue downtrend since 2009, threatening to dump the share price into a region where the recovery cycle will need to start again.<\/p>\n
Obviously, this should provoke the central banks to reduce interest rates fast, finally admitting they got everything wrong.<\/p>\n
On the converse side, Lloyds now needs exceed 57.4 to give any hope, once again entering a zone with an ambition at 65.8p and beyond. From what we can see of the futures markets tonight (substantially more frightening than Tel Aviv’s skyline) the markets looks like they are losing confidence. Doubtless the UK media shall spin it to blame imaginary Right Wing Activists.<\/p>\n
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