Galliford Try 16/01/2020

#SP500 #DOW Despite a company name like a quaint pub, beside a slow river on a summer day, Gallifords share price moves are proving less than alluring. Our previous report (link) was loaded with concern as the share price risked a traumatic drop. Starting this year with reversal from 8 quid to 103p justified our concern, along with raising further concerns for the future.

Shareholders are probably pretty aggravated about both the drop and the method employed. The share price was gapped (manipulated) upward above the downtrend since 2017, mid way through last December. Generally, this sort of price movement gives considerable optimism for the longer term, indicating the market wants the price to head upward. Of course, in this instance, it all went wrong with the official Share Exchange Ratio & Listing Details announcement at the start of this year.

By any standards, price movements have become messy and the share needs above 173p to give hope of recovery up to an initial 211p. Above 211p and we shall need revisit the numbers.

The “bottom” of 103p achieved at the start of this year was, according to our calculations, pretty concise. GFRD cannot afford movement below 103p at present as we cannot calculate further drop targets. With a share price being moved down, exactly to the 103p level, we’ve some hope the price shall simply mess around until news flow from the company provides genuine force to drive the share.

As a result, weakness anytime now below 150 risks reversal to an initial 138p. If broken, secondary is at 120p and hopefully a bounce.

FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:11:01PM	BRENT	63.81
10:12:57PM	GOLD	1556.9									Success
10:15:11PM	FTSE	7631.68
10:17:25PM	FRANCE	6021									Shambles
10:19:07PM	GERMANY	13419.91
10:20:51PM	US500	3293.77	3274	3265	3254	3294	3298	3302.5	3312	3280	‘cess
10:24:34PM	DOW	29079	28835	28736.5	28604	28988	29135	29194.5	29337	28958
10:26:12PM	NASDAQ	9048.12
10:28:09PM	JAPAN	23955

 

15/01/2020 FTSE Closed at 7642 points. Change of 0.26%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,784,341,362 a change of 13.94%

14/01/2020 FTSE Closed at 7622 points. Change of 0.07%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,954,176,416 a change of 15.24%

13/01/2020 FTSE Closed at 7617 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,166,914,509 a change of -0.84%

10/01/2020 FTSE Closed at 7587 points. Change of -0.14%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,210,689,793 a change of -8.73%

9/01/2020 FTSE Closed at 7598 points. Change of 0.32%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,708,798,775 a change of 5.62%

8/01/2020 FTSE Closed at 7574 points. Change of 0.01%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,404,992,564 a change of 14%

7/01/2020 FTSE Closed at 7573 points. Change of -0.03%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,741,303,337 a change of 0.44%